The middle of August means the playoffs week approach, so those of you in head-to-head formats must start preparing and rotisserie leagues can see the stretch run, so let's now look at pitchers' post-ASB stats with an update of my weekly Starting Pitcher Baller Ranks. This brings you my top 101 SPs moving forward as the final months wave over us.
Click the link! This google sheet accompanies the table below and adds relevant 5x5 stats, K%, BB%, BABIP, FIP, xFIP, SIERA, ERA-FIP, and CSW%. Do note that I leave off most injured players, and removing those injured players can give an illusion that others have risen despite mediocre performances. I highly encourage you to click the link.
To be clear, these Rest of Season ranks are geared towards traditional 5x5 leagues sans most injured SPs, lest a return is imminent. If 25% of the board is on the IL, then it isn't terribly actionable, and I'll intermittently weave in updates of where I'd throw them in if they were healthy. For now, let's dive into my Top 101 SPs and be sure we've got the best rotation possible.
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Top 101 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 19
(+/-) | Tier | Player | Rank | EV | $ | $PV | Trend | Notes |
0 | 1 | Zack Wheeler | 1 | 8.2 | 42.0 | 42.0 | 0.0 ▬ | CG, 2-hitter as PHI retired Halladay's number |
0 | 1 | Max Scherzer | 2 | 1.4 | 41.0 | 38.5 | 2.5 ▲ | New threads, same Max; more wins coming |
3 | 1 | Walker Buehler | 3 | 11.7 | 38.0 | 34.0 | 4.0 ▲ | Ol' reliable this year; now 85 IP over '20 tally |
-1 | 1 | Brandon Woodruff | 4 | 5.2 | 36.0 | 36.0 | 0.0 ▬ | Woody's defense really lets him down; PIT next |
2 | 2 | Lance Lynn | 5 | 6.9 | 33.5 | 31.0 | 2.5 ▲ | Zero concern about IP workload here |
-1 | 2 | Yu Darvish | 6 | -0.1 | 33.5 | 34.5 | -1.0 ▼ | Sub-1.00 WHIP post-ASB is nice, 5.32 FIP/high ERA not |
2 | 2 | Carlos Rodon | 7 | 3.7 | 31.0 | 28.0 | 3.0 ▲ | 11-K scoreless outing proves plenty left in tank |
3 | 2 | Robbie Ray | 8 | 4.3 | 30.0 | 26.0 | 4.0 ▲ | 5 K or fewer in 3 of last 4 is odd, but ratios still low |
-1 | 2 | Lucas Giolito | 9 | 2.7 | 29.0 | 30.0 | -1.0 ▼ | 3 straight gems,KC implosion, then MIN gem |
0 | 2 | Kevin Gausman | 10 | -0.2 | 27.0 | 27.0 | 0.0 ▬ | Beat up ARZ in get-right start, draws them again |
1 | 2 | Corbin Burnes | 11 | 5.9 | 26.0 | 25.5 | 0.5 ▲ | Held SF to one run over 7 IP, now at 113 IP |
1 | 3 | Luis Castillo | 12 | 4.7 | 24.0 | 24.5 | -0.5 ▼ | QS in 9 of his last 10 before Monday meltdown |
2 | 3 | Joe Musgrove | 13 | 3.3 | 24.0 | 22.0 | 2.0 ▲ | 3 QS in a row after 5 IP or fewer in 4 straight gms |
N/A | 3 | Chris Sale | 14 | N/A | 23.0 | 0.0 | 23.0 ▲ | Expected to debut on Aug. 14 vs. BAL, praise be |
2 | 4 | Aaron Nola | 15 | 3.9 | 19.5 | 19.5 | 0.0 ▬ | Way too inconsistent this year, mid-4's ERA burns |
3 | 4 | Julio Urias | 16 | 5.8 | 19.5 | 18.5 | 1.0 ▲ | Never would've bet on 135 IP by Aug. 9, kudos |
3 | 4 | Chris Bassitt | 17 | 3.9 | 19.5 | 18.5 | 1.0 ▲ | Steady low-end SP2/high SP3 all year |
3 | 4 | Shohei Ohtani | 18 | 6.1 | 19.0 | 17.0 | 2.0 ▲ | 2021 AL MVP is dealing, velo holding up |
4 | 4 | Sean Manaea | 19 | 5.1 | 18.5 | 15.0 | 3.5 ▲ | Big Ks, low BBs, profitland |
4 | 4 | Charlie Morton | 20 | 5.5 | 18.5 | 15.0 | 3.5 ▲ | Workhorse in great form down stretch |
-5 | 4 | Hyun-Jin Ryu | 21 | 8.8 | 17.0 | 20.5 | -3.5 ▼ | Willing to forgive hiccup v. Boston lineup |
-4 | 4 | Sandy Alcantara | 22 | -0.9 | 15.0 | 19.0 | -4.0 ▼ | 7 shutout IP w/ 10 K (yay)...then obliterated at Coors |
N/A | 4 | Jack Flaherty | 23 | N/A | 15.0 | 0.0 | 15.0 ▲ | Set to return from torn oblique on Thursday |
1 | 4 | Jose Berrios | 24 | 2.5 | 15.0 | 13.0 | 2.0 ▲ | Excellent for TOR, only 1 ER through 2 starts |
6 | 4 | Frankie Montas | 25 | 7.3 | 15.0 | 11.0 | 4.0 ▲ | 5 straight QS, 7-plus K in all of them w/ 10 K in 3 |
-12 | 5 | Trevor Rogers | 26 | 0.8 | 14.5 | 24.0 | -9.5 ▼ | Missing time causing command slip? |
1 | 5 | Tyler Mahle | 27 | 2.0 | 12.5 | 12.5 | 0.0 ▬ | Dominated PIT with another 10-K gem |
-2 | 5 | Kenta Maeda | 28 | 3.7 | 12.5 | 13.0 | -0.5 ▼ | Battled through @CIN, @HOU starts in last 2 |
1 | 5 | Lance McCullers Jr. | 29 | 4.6 | 12.0 | 11.0 | 1.0 ▲ | Never a low-WHIP arm, 8-plus Ks in 6 of last 7 |
2 | 5 | Max Fried | 30 | 7.3 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 1.0 ▲ | 4 QS in 5 post-ASB outings |
-2 | 5 | Zack Greinke | 31 | -3.0 | 11.0 | 12.0 | -1.0 ▼ | |
-10 | 5 | Carlos Carrasco | 32 | 1.6 | 10.0 | 15.0 | -5.0 ▼ | Reached 62 pitches on Aug. 4, still building |
-6 | 5 | Framber Valdez | 33 | 1.6 | 9.5 | 12.5 | -3.0 ▼ | |
0 | 5 | Luis Garcia | 34 | 5.8 | 9.5 | 9.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
0 | 5 | Kyle Hendricks | 35 | 5.1 | 9.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 ▬ | Has a QS in 14 of last 16!!! 11 wins in that span |
4 | 5 | Alek Manoah | 36 | 2.6 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
6 | 5 | German Marquez | 37 | 4.7 | 9.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 ▲ | Laughs at Coors by blanking Marlins over 6 IP |
3 | 6 | Patrick Sandoval | 38 | 5.8 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
10 | 6 | Logan Webb | 39 | 3.3 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 ▲ | On many of my teams in '21, will be again in '22 |
4 | 6 | Shane McClanahan | 40 | 4.9 | 8.0 | 7.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
5 | 6 | John Means | 41 | 1.9 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 0.0 ▬ | 11 K in 11 IP gives hope after only 4 K in 11.2 prior IP |
-5 | 7 | Yusei Kikuchi | 42 | 1.8 | 8.0 | 9.0 | -1.0 ▼ | |
-10 | 7 | Marcus Stroman | 43 | 5.9 | 8.0 | 9.5 | -1.5 ▼ | |
-6 | 7 | Anthony DeSclafani | 44 | 0.0 | 7.0 | 8.5 | -1.5 ▼ | |
-9 | 7 | Sonny Gray | 45 | 1.7 | 7.0 | 9.0 | -2.0 ▼ | |
8 | 7 | Freddy Peralta | 46 | 5.7 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 ▲ | How will MIL handle his innings? Looks incredible |
-2 | 7 | Adam Wainwright | 47 | 5.7 | 7.0 | 7.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
-9 | 7 | Logan Gilbert | 48 | 3.2 | 7.0 | 8.0 | -1.0 ▼ | |
-7 | 7 | Alex Wood | 49 | 0.8 | 7.0 | 8.0 | -1.0 ▼ | |
-3 | 7 | Nathan Eovaldi | 50 | 4.1 | 6.5 | 7.0 | -0.5 ▼ | |
-3 | 7 | Zac Gallen | 51 | 1.2 | 6.0 | 7.0 | -1.0 ▼ | Shows flashes but likely a lost year for Gallen |
32 | 8 | Josiah Gray | 52 | -0.8 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 ▲ | |
45 | 8 | Blake Snell | 53 | 2.3 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 ▲ | 7 scoreless with 13 K reminds us of the ceiling |
-2 | 8 | Casey Mize | 54 | 0.5 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
-2 | 8 | Dylan Cease | 55 | 8.2 | 4.0 | 5.0 | -1.0 ▼ | 10-plus Ks in 3 of his last 5, the potential is there |
-6 | 8 | Adbert Alzolay | 56 | 1.5 | 6.0 | 6.5 | -0.5 ▼ | |
0 | 8 | Tanner Houck | 57 | 5.7 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 0.0 ▬ | Righty Chris Sale will have his counterpart soon |
10 | 8 | Austin Gomber | 58 | 2.2 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 ▲ | |
N/A | 8 | Jesus Luzardo | 59 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 ▲ | Can fresh threads help him bounce back? Meh |
0 | 8 | Tylor Megill | 60 | 3.6 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
0 | 8 | Zach Thompson | 61 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
-7 | 8 | Kwang-Hyun Kim | 62 | -0.9 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 2.5 ▲ | |
-1 | 8 | Jon Gray | 63 | 2.3 | 4.5 | 6.5 | -2.0 ▼ | |
-1 | 8 | Eduardo Rodriguez | 64 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 4.5 | -1.5 ▼ | |
0 | 8 | Triston McKenzie | 65 | -1.8 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 ▬ | My heart can't take another Danny Salazar |
N/A | 8 | James Kaprielian | 66 | 3.7 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 ▲ | 6 IP, 2 ER, 5 baserunners in return from IL |
10 | 8 | Jameson Taillon | 67 | 6.2 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 ▲ | Getting stronger as season progresses, wow |
-1 | 8 | Joe Ross | 68 | 2.2 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
-18 | 9 | Zach Plesac | 69 | -0.9 | 2.0 | 6.0 | -4.0 ▼ | Virtually unstartable this past month; low Ks too |
11 | 9 | Wade Miley | 70 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
2 | 9 | Taijuan Walker | 71 | -6.6 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 ▲ | Workload concerns? Foreign substance ban issue? |
-2 | 9 | Tarik Skubal | 72 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
10 | 9 | Touki Toussaint | 73 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
-2 | 9 | Kyle Gibson | 74 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 ▲ | |
1 | 10 | Ross Stripling | 75 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 ▲ | |
11 | 10 | Michael Pineda | 76 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
-6 | 10 | Mike Minor | 77 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 ▼ | |
-14 | 10 | Kyle Muller | 78 | 3.7 | 1.5 | 3.0 | -1.5 ▼ | |
N/A | 10 | Luis Gil | 79 | 4.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 ▲ | 11 scoreless IP to start career, when is next start? |
-11 | 10 | Jake Odorizzi | 80 | -5.4 | 1.5 | 2.0 | -0.5 ▼ | |
-3 | 10 | Chris Flexen | 81 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 ▬ | |
-3 | 10 | Andrew Heaney | 82 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | HR problems won't resolve at Yankee Stadium |
-3 | 10 | Merrill Kelly | 83 | 7.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
5 | 10 | Nick Pivetta | 84 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
-3 | 10 | Cole Irvin | 85 | 4.8 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
0 | 10 | David Price | 86 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
N/A | 10 | Steven Matz | 87 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
N/A | 11 | Madison Bumgarner | 88 | 5.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | 7 IP in 3 straight; low ratios but also low Ks |
N/A | 11 | Cal Quantrill | 89 | 6.1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
N/A | 11 | Marco Gonzales | 90 | 4.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
N/A | 11 | Carlos Hernandez | 91 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | Incredible arsenal, showed out v. CHW & NYY |
8 | 11 | Daniel Lynch | 92 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
N/A | 11 | Eli Morgan | 93 | 3.9 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | Strong whiff rate, low walks of late; I'm interested |
-28 | 12 | Reid Detmers | 94 | -1.7 | 1.0 | 2.5 | -1.5 ▼ | Some good, some bad in first 2 starts; I'm holding |
1 | 12 | Johnny Cueto | 95 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
N/A | 12 | Patrick Corbin | 96 | -1.8 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | |
-12 | 12 | Daulton Jefferies | 97 | -0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
N/A | 12 | Braxton Garrett | 98 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 ▲ | Walks must simmer but 10 K vs. SD great to see |
-7 | 12 | Luis Patino | 99 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
-12 | 12 | Ryan Yarbrough | 100 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ | |
-4 | 12 | Rich Hill | 101 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 ▬ |
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