February 4, 2026
Matt Fitzpatrick looked strong for most of the week at The American Express before a final-round 74 dropped him back to a T63 finish. He now looks to the WM Phoenix Open, where he has competed four times, missing the cut here last year after posting finishes of T15, T29, and T10 in prior starts. Success at TPC Scottsdale typically hinges on solid off-the-tee and approach play. Through his only start this season, Fitzpatrick ranks 114th in strokes gained off the tee (-0.261 per round) and 66th on approach (+0.296). His best rounds here have also coincided with strong short-game performance, an area that let him down at The American Express, where he lost -0.745 strokes around the green and putting. Despite this, Fitzpatrick has been one of the hottest players on Tour since May of last year and remains a solid option at his $9,300 price tag on DraftKings.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
February 4, 2026
Sahith Theegala has put together a very strong start to 2026, recording finishes of T7, T8, and T31 in his first three events. He'll look to keep things rolling at the WM Phoenix Open, where he has competed four times, posting two top-five finishes without a missed cut. His best results here have coincided with strong approach play, an area where he currently ranks 84th on Tour, gaining +0.188 strokes per round. He has also been stellar in the short game, ranking 15th in both strokes gained putting (+1.043 per round) and around the green (+0.611). Theegala is likely to be a popular option after his strong start, but at $8,400 on DraftKings, he can be started confidently this week.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
February 4, 2026
After a breakout campaign in 2025, J.J. Spaun has taken a step back to start the year, with results of a missed cut and a T40 to start the season. He'll look to find some momentum at the WM Phoenix Open, where he has competed six times, recording just two finishes inside the top 50. Success at TPC Scottsdale typically hinges on solid off-the-tee and approach play. Through two events this year, Spaun ranks 77th in strokes gained off the tee (+0.154 per round) and 114th on approach (-0.250). He has made up ground around the green, where he ranks fifth, gaining +1.047 strokes per round. Another thing working in his favor is approach play from 150-200 yards, where he sits in the 86th percentile in proximity over the last 12 months, a range that accounted for over 40% of approach shots here last year. At $9,000 on DraftKings, Spaun profiles more as a wait-and-see option than a fantasy must-start.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
February 4, 2026
Viktor Hovland will make his 2026 PGA Tour debut at the WM Phoenix Open after finishing T14 at the Dubai Desert Classic last week. This will be his fourth time teeing it up at TPC Scottsdale, where he has a T42 and two missed cuts in previous starts. Success here typically hinges on solid off-the-tee and approach play. Last year, Hovland ranked 83rd in strokes gained off the tee (+0.099 per round) but was second on approach, gaining +0.945 strokes per round. He also sits in the 99th percentile in proximity from 150-200 yards over the last 12 months, a range that accounted for over 40% of approach shots here last year. Hovland has run into issues in the short game here, losing nearly eight strokes around the green and on the greens in his previous trips. At $9,200 on DraftKings, he brings event-winning upside but is one of the most volatile players in the field.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
February 4, 2026
Rasmus Hojgaard has been very steady to start 2026, recording a T30 at the Farmers Insurance Open and a T44 at The American Express. The long-ball hitter has done most of his damage off the tee, which suits him well at the WM Phoenix Open, where he finished T12 last year. Hojgaard is gaining +0.995 strokes off the tee, ranking sixth on tour, though his irons have lagged behind, losing -0.111 strokes per round (108th) through two events. He also sits in just the 35th percentile in proximity from 150-200 yards over the last 12 months, a range that accounted for over 40% of approach shots here last year. Despite some ball-striking inconsistency, his elite off-the-tee play should serve him well, and at $7,700 on DraftKings, he offers strong upside in this price range.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
February 4, 2026
Brian Harman has not gotten off to a strong start in 2026, missing the cut at The American Express after finishing T61 at the Sony Open. He'll look to find some form at the WM Phoenix Open, where he has competed 12 times, missing just one cut and recording three top-25 finishes. His best results here have coincided with strong off-the-tee play, which is typically paramount to success at TPC Scottsdale. Through two events this year, Harman ranks 131st in strokes gained off the tee (-0.388 per round) and 113th on approach (-0.249). He also sits in the 76th percentile in proximity from 150-200 yards over the last 12 months, a range that accounted for over 40% of approach shots here last year. Harman needs to find his form, but at $6,800 on DraftKings, he offers solid upside in this price range for a guy who has become a regular here.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
February 4, 2026
When Daniel Berger gets his putter rolling, it is a beautiful thing to watch. The American golfer finished T2 at the WM Phoenix Open, seven strokes behind Thomas Detry, who was on fire all week. Berger is capable of performances like that, too. Look to his final round 64 at the Sony Open in January. He candidly admitted his middle round 66's in 2025 could have been even better. Early in his career, Berger was a Top 40-50 level putter on tour. If he is getting back to that level again (55th now), look out! The TPC Scottsdale course sets up well for Berger and his accuracy (was +17% in 2025). Placing the ball well makes Berger a DFS and betting option for the WM Phoenix Open.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
February 4, 2026
Max Greyserman started strong at the Farmers Insurance Open, opening with a first-round 64 before following it up with a second-round 78 to miss the cut. He'll look to bounce back at the WM Phoenix Open, where he has competed just once, finishing T49 last year. Success here typically hinges on solid off-the-tee and approach play. Through two events this season, Greyserman ranks 128th in strokes gained off the tee (-0.335 per round) and 110th on approach (-0.169). He also sits in just the 36th percentile in proximity from 150-200 yards over the last 12 months, a range that accounted for over 40% of approach shots here last year. After last week's collapse, Greyserman will be looking for some consistency, and at $7,200 on DraftKings, fantasy managers will be hoping to see it.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
February 4, 2026
Jake Knapp is playing the golf of his life right now. The American golfer contended in both 2026 appearances and netted a Top 5 at the Farmers Insurance Open. Knapp started off well last year at Scottsdale with a 67 but the middle rounds proved costly as he only gained one stroke to par. In 2025, we alluded to the fact that Knapp was seeking to build more runs of consistency. He was successful at times but could not make enough birdies. Off the tee is key for Knapp. Looking at his runs of solid finishes reveals a positive metric here. Typically when his driving distance is 10+% above average, it overcomes his accuracy issues. Again, with a birdie or better conversion percentage at 36.47% in 2025, this raised his DFS outlook.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
February 4, 2026
Joel Dahmen, who started the Farmers Insurance Open as an alternate, took full advantage of the opportunity and finished T7. He'll look to carry that momentum into the WM Phoenix Open, where he has made seven appearances but has yet to finish inside the top 40. Success here typically hinges on strong off-the-tee and approach play. Through two events this season, Dahmen ranks 45th in strokes gained off the tee (+0.418 per round) and 93rd on approach (+0.059). Where he can struggle is from 150-200 yards, ranking in just the 30th percentile in proximity over the last 12 months, a key range that accounted for over 40% of approach shots here last year. At $6,900 on DraftKings, Dahmen is likely to be a popular option, but he'll need improved approach play to return value.
--Dakota Legg - RotoBallerSource: PGA Tour
February 4, 2026
Corey Conners has not played poorly at the WM Phoenix Open. However, the Canadian golfer has not finished inside the Top 15 in his previous five appearances. Conners' best result came back in 2021 (T-17). Last year, he opened with a 67 then watched things snowball the wrong way. A 73-76 weekend dropped him all the way to a T-70. Conners had several aspects of his game break down at the worst possible time. His betting odds have moved all the way to +7000 on DraftKings (was +5500). Conners' final round 71 at the Sony Open was concerning. Three bogeys on a reasonable Back 9 along with several errant shots cause some nerves even from a DFS standpoint.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
February 4, 2026
Sepp Straka got his 2026 season started with a lackluster performance at The American Express. The Austrian golfer saw plenty of rust two weeks ago via a 72-74 start. His third round 68 was not enough to play on Sunday but did show a little improvement. Last year, Straka started slow and built up to a T-15 result at Scottsdale. His final round 66 was one of the best on Sunday. Straka gained a ton of strokes last year in a two month run with six Top 15 finishes in seven events. If the Austrian shook off the rust, bettors are starting to believe he has. His number to win the WM Phoenix Open expects to shorten (+8000 via DraftKings). A Top 10 result is +500 which makes Straka an intriguing potential contender.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
February 4, 2026
Jordan Spieth has not won a PGA Tour event in four years. The American golfer has battled a litany of issues and injuries over the past several seasons. Going into the offseason last year healthy and coming into 2026 without mishaps was his biggest win. Spieth ended the Sony Open well and finished T-24 after a birdie-birdie finale. His driving distance was 12% better than average in Hawaii. Accuracy was a little in question at -7%. However, Spieth has been adjusting his swing and refining things. Driver and woods/iron accuracy may take time. With Spieth trending down to +5500, winning is out of the question. He is more focused on improving his overall game which means a potential fade here.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
February 4, 2026
Keith Mitchell has been improving each week as the WM Phoenix Open looms. The American golfer nearly climbed into the Top 10 last week at the Farmers Insurance Open (T-11). His solid weekend (68-69) paved the way to a nice success and nearly $200,000 payday. The one nagging concern with Mitchell has been putting so far in 2026. Small sample sizes can skew things but since late 2023, Mitchell has been outside the Top 100 in ranking metrics. This is starting to look like the 2024 campaign where Mitchell missed putts at an alarming rate. It pushed his putts per round then to 29.33. Now, that is 30.08. His 3-putt avoidance has been outside the Top 150 since 2023 as well. Mitchell is a DFS play if and only if the putter is even near tour average.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
February 4, 2026
Tom Hoge has truly been up and down in more ways than one to start of 2026. The American golfer has won once on the PGA Tour. His WM Phoenix Open results over the last five years is literally its own roller coaster. He has altered missed cuts with Top 20 results. A logical pattern dictates another good weekend finish. Hoge's 2026 so far features a T-40, T-8, and T-70. One bright spot is putting where Hoge has gained strokes compared to average every week. This is in contrast to the Fall Swing where Hoge struggled mightily putting (Sanderson Farms and The RSM Classic). January saw Hoge lose 2.1 strokes around the greens. That may be the bigger concern at Scottsdale for the golfer and a reason to still fade him.
--Chris Wassel - RotoBallerSource: PGATour.com
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