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Top 101 Starting Pitchers: Rest-Of-Season Rankings for Fantasy Baseball Week 16 (2024)

Kevin Gausman - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Welcome, RotoBallers, to the latest in our weekly rest-of-season series that looks at my top 101 SP Baller Ranks breakdown. We hope you're staying cool as the temperatures and humidity make this writer sweat more than Carlos Rodon watching another first-inning meatball get smashed. Read on for the Week 16 edition of my weekly Starting Pitcher Baller Ranks!

Check out my SP thoughts with tiered ranks, complemented by a rest-of-season auction value ($), their Previous Week's Value (PV), the trend between the two, and a (+/-) column denoting the rank shift compared to last week. Please note most stats here are gathered before Tuesday's games.

These ranks are geared toward traditional 5x5 roto leagues, and I typically exclude most injured SPs, lest a return is imminent. With the break approaching, we'll be a bit more flexible this time. This week will be more "stream of consciousness," so let's see where my mind goes in navigating my top 101 SPs!

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and weekly lineup resources:

 

Starting Pitcher Rankings Analysis

-Kevin Gausman went into the lab after his worst start of the season (7 ER, 5 BB vs. NYY) and emerged with a potential fix. He entered a prime Seattle matchup with a plan to begin his delivery “more hunched over.” His average vertical and horizontal release points were at their lowest, sliding ~2-3 inches.

The result was ~1.5 mph of gained velocity on his four-seamer, splitter, and sinker, with a spin rate boost of roughly 50 rpm to all of his pitches. He induced 17 whiffs on 37 swings against the four-seamer alone, with 21 whiffs in total. Some of that is on Seattle. We saw Gausman crush Oakland a month ago so one must be open-minded to this being a blip, but a marked change in approach feels encouraging. He lines up to face the Giants in San Francisco on July 11 next.

-Ranger Suarez could use one of those revitalization techniques, as he got smoked by Atlanta for five runs on six hits (two homers) and two walks on Saturday. But at least he had seven strikeouts after zero in the previous clunker. One can rarely run perfectly through an entire MLB season, but the latest poor start bringing strikeouts back at least provides optimism.

If he settles in the 3.00-3.40 ERA range instead of being this mystifying 2.00 ERA breakout, then most can live with that. This writer would buy low if there’s sizable panic afoot.

-Luis Gil pulled out of the spiral by allowing one run on four hits and zero walks (!) with nine strikeouts against the Red Sox on Sunday night. It’s his longest start and the most strikeouts since May 29, as well as his first outing of the season without issuing a free pass.

His average four-seam velocity jumped back up to 97.7 mph from a 96.6 mph average in his previous outing. You have to decide whether this is a brief sell-high window or the beginning of a turnaround. This is a reminder that Gil is nearly at 100 IP after missing most of 2022 and 2023.

-Bobby Miller got demolished again on Tuesday night, allowing nine runs on 10 hits and three walks over four innings. Many are expressing confusion and the Dodgers insist that he’s healthy, but most would prefer to blame a physical issue at this point. The faithful will hope the time off through the midseason break gets him on track, but he’s testing our patience. One can’t blame anyone for jumping ship given the ratio damage done, but remember that first start of the season (6 IP, 0 ER, 11 K)? Ugh.

-Spencer Schwellenbach had a great Saturday against the Phillies, who were missing Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber. The rookie once again displayed his six-pitch arsenal, though this time he threw more splitters (20%) with five whiffs on nine swings. One of them was put into play at a hapless 69.7 mph.

Overall, his 37% CSW% on 81 pitches highlights a trend that he’s not afraid to attack the zone. We expect his 5.02 ERA to keep coming down toward the 3.57 FIP/3.62 xFIP/3.62 SIERA.

-Andrew Heaney averaged 83.6 mph with less break on his slider against a yearly average of 81.9 mph and it delivered a 50% whiff rate on 18 thrown. The overall 32% CSW% gives him four straight solid outings (23 ⅓ IP, 7 ER, 2 HR, 6 BB, 30 K) despite facing good offenses in the Mets, Brewers, Orioles, and Rays. (Well, mostly good offenses.) If he’s unlocking some of the form that gave up a 35% strikeout rate in 2022 with the Dodgers, then we have to be there.

-Christian Scott tossed 5 ⅔ IP of two-run ball against the Pirates, with all of the damage coming on an Oneil Cruz home run. It was the only hit he allowed on the day and that’s nothing to be ashamed of. However, he only struck out three batters, which gives him 16 Ks in his last 26 ⅓ IP in the bigs. He’s also given up a homer in five of seven MLB starts.

And then the bigger report came out that not only was Scott intentionally limited to 75 pitches, but he might’ve needed Tommy John surgery last season. Tread carefully and see if a prospect-lover in your league will bite on name value.

-Zac Gallen is showing improved velocity coming off the IL. There were preseason fears around his massive 2023 workload affecting his 2024 campaign, but perhaps this midseason breather will help for the second half. Unfortunately, Arizona left him in an inning too long against Atlanta on Tuesday.

-Luis Castillo answered my fear with a strong outing against the Blue Jays, but I’d like to see the whiffs become a trend rather than a one-off before I back down.

-Tanner Houck was done dirty by a rain delay in New York so I’m not going to sweat bullets here, though it seems some are constantly waiting for the other shoe to drop on this breakout. Float a low-ball offer if you’d like.

-Bailey Ober continues to enjoy plus matchup after plus matchup. I hesitate to move him much higher without more of a test, but consistency has to count for something as well.

-Shane Baz looked better than I anticipated in his first major league outing of 2024, especially with the four-seamer command. Can he locate well enough to avoid mistakes against the big Yankee bats in his next turn? I won’t blame anyone for selling early given his lengthy medical sheet, but he has a top-25 upside.

-Gavin Williams had a rough 2024 MLB debut, but turned it around in start No. 2, holding the Tigers scoreless over 5 ⅓ IP. He scattered four hits and a walk with five strikeouts on the day. He notably more than doubled his curveball usage, ramping that up to a career-high ~30%. The average four-seam velocity also climbed from 96.8 mph to 97.5 mph.

The 2021 first-round pick has been fortunate in facing the White Sox and Tigers out of the gate, but he’ll face a Tampa team next. The Rays have the highest team walk rate over the last two weeks so his command will need to be sharp.

-Jose Quintana held Washington to two baserunners over seven scoreless frames and now has back-to-back seven-inning gems against the Nats. He was iffy against Houston on June 28, but had quality wins against the Cubs and Padres before that. Will the Mets capitalize on this surge with the upcoming trade market? Will you?

-Tyler Anderson gives me agita. I accept that some pitchers will outearn most peripherals because they are that good at avoiding barrels and inducing crummy contact. But now Anderson fires out with a 10-strikeout gem (okay, the Cubs are bad right now) after failing to eclipse five strikeouts in a start since April? And with zero walks! If he goes to a contender with better run support at the deadline, then perhaps the run-good doesn’t have to end.

-Edward Cabrera threw 47-of-82 pitches for strikes in his return to the bump after missing two months. He struck out four while walking only one, allowing two runs on four hits in 3 ⅔ IP. ECab remains inefficient but we’ll see if he can mix in more putaway sliders and pump the fastball in for a healthier strike rate against Cincinnati this week.

-Tyler Glasnow hits the injured list with back soreness but is expected back after the break. Glasnow backers can say this explains away the poor recent form while detractors can say this is the tip of the injury iceberg. The Dodgers are happy to give their arms a breather when possible as well, with the All-Star break lining up well for the fewest starts missed. I’ll leave him on for now.

-Zack Wheeler was lifted after five innings with back tightness after a long fourth inning on the bench as Philadelphia pounded Bobby Miller. The move was termed as precautionary and he expects to make his next start, though they may push him to the other side of the break anyway.

-DJ Herz should be back after the All-Star break given the upside we’ve seen, but it’s possible Washington gives him a breather with shorter minor league outings as he works on consistent command.

-Yu Darvish is “physically in a good spot” but is dealing with a “personal matter involving his family,” per Padres manager Mike Shildt. While it’s good to hear that his physical health is better than the elbow inflammation reports from a couple of weeks ago, it’s obviously more important that one’s family is okay. For those who can’t wait out an indefinite timeline, do what you must. Just don’t complain on socials about how he should be pitching instead of being there for family.

-Cooper Criswell should come up for Friday’s start as Josh Winckowski heads back to the bullpen. The 27-year-old just threw six innings of one-hit ball with eight strikeouts and zero walks on July 6 at Triple-A.

-Jackson Jobe just struck out a season-high eight across five innings and could be knocking on the door if Detroit deals Jack Flaherty and/or Tarik Skubal. (Or moves Kenta Maeda to the bullpen.) Jobe hadn’t gone beyond four innings in a start prior to that and also hasn’t walked more than one batter in any of his last seven starts. A left hamstring strain cost him May and the first half of June, but he’s firing on all cylinders right now.

Notable Trade Deadline Candidates:

-Garrett Crochet
-Tarik Skubal
-Jack Flaherty
-Yusei Kikuchi
-Zach Eflin
-Andrew Heaney
-Max Scherzer
-Erick Fedde
-Tyler Anderson

**Contenders Buying SPs: BAL, LAD, HOU, ATL, CLE, MIL, SD, SF, STL? BOS?

 

Top 101 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 16

(+/-) Tier Player Rank $ PV Trend
1 1 Tarik Skubal 1 $44.5 43.0 1.5 ▲
3 1 Chris Sale 2 $43.5 42.0 1.5 ▲
0 1 Zack Wheeler 3 $43.5 43.0 0.5 ▲
-3 1 Tyler Glasnow* 4 $42.0 44.5 -2.5 ▼
1 2 Garrett Crochet 5 $40.0 38.0 2.0 ▲
-2 2 Corbin Burnes 6 $40.0 43.0 -3.0 ▼
0 2 Paul Skenes 7 $38.5 38.0 0.5 ▲
1 3 Cole Ragans 8 $36.0 36.0 0.0 ▬
-1 3 Max Fried 9 $36.0 36.5 -0.5 ▼
2 3 Joe Ryan 10 $34.0 33.0 1.0 ▲
2 3 Aaron Nola 11 $34.0 33.0 1.0 ▲
2 3 Zac Gallen 12 $31.5 31.0 0.5 ▲
-3 3 Gerrit Cole 13 $31.5 34.0 -2.5 ▼
-3 3 Sonny Gray 14 $31.0 34.0 -3.0 ▼
0 3 George Kirby 15 $31.0 31.0 0.0 ▬
0 3 Logan Gilbert 16 $31.0 31.0 0.0 ▬
1 3 Grayson Rodriguez 17 $30.0 30.0 0.0 ▬
-1 3 Logan Webb 18 $29.0 30.0 -1.0 ▼
0 3 Justin Steele 19 $27.0 27.0 0.0 ▬
0 3 Seth Lugo 20 $27.0 26.0 1.0 ▲
0 4 Tanner Bibee 21 $26.0 26.0 0.0 ▬
0 4 Luis Castillo 22 $26.0 26.0 0.0 ▬
0 4 Shota Imanaga 23 $25.0 25.0 0.0 ▬
0 4 Tanner Houck 24 $25.0 25.0 0.0 ▬
0 4 Pablo Lopez 25 $24.0 24.0 0.0 ▬
1 4 Freddy Peralta 26 $24.0 23.0 1.0 ▲
-1 4 Dylan Cease 27 $23.0 24.0 -1.0 ▼
2 4 Reynaldo Lopez 28 $23.0 20.5 2.5 ▲
3 4 Bailey Ober 29 $22.0 19.0 3.0 ▲
1 4 Jack Flaherty 30 $20.5 20.5 0.0 ▬
2 4 Hunter Brown 31 $20.5 19.0 1.5 ▲
3 4 Taj Bradley 32 $19.0 18.0 1.0 ▲
1 4 Cristopher Sanchez 33 $18.0 19.0 -1.0 ▼
8 4 Nathan Eovaldi 34 $18.0 15.0 3.0 ▲
2 4 Michael King 35 $18.0 17.0 1.0 ▲
0 4 Ronel Blanco 36 $18.0 17.5 0.5 ▲
-9 4 Ranger Suarez 37 $18.0 23.0 -5.0 ▼
3 4 Kutter Crawford 38 $17.5 16.0 1.5 ▲
6 5 Kevin Gausman 39 $16.5 14.0 2.5 ▲
-1 5 Max Scherzer 40 $16.0 16.5 -0.5 ▼
-3 5 MacKenzie Gore 41 $16.0 16.5 -0.5 ▼
-2 5 Gavin Stone 42 $15.0 16.0 -1.0 ▼
0 5 Ryan Pepiot 43 $15.0 15.0 0.0 ▬
2 5 Nick Pivetta 44 $14.5 14.0 0.5 ▲
3 6 Hunter Greene 45 $14.0 12.0 2.0 ▲
4 6 Luis Gil 46 $14.0 12.0 2.0 ▲
5 6 Reese Olson 47 $12.0 10.0 2.0 ▲
N/A 6 Blake Snell 48 $12.0 N/A N/A
0 6 Nestor Cortes 49 $12.0 12.0 0.0 ▬
N/A 6 Shane Baz 50 $12.0 N/A N/A
N/A 6 Nick Lodolo 51 $11.5 N/A N/A
5 6 Yusei Kikuchi 52 $11.0 9.0 2.0 ▲
-6 6 Carlos Rodon 53 $10.0 12.0 -2.0 ▼
-1 6 Gavin Williams 54 $10.0 10.0 0.0 ▬
4 6 Jake Irvin 55 $10.0 8.5 1.5 ▲
-5 6 Zach Eflin 56 $10.0 11.5 -1.5 ▼
-1 6 Mitch Keller 57 $9.0 10.0 -1.0 ▼
-4 6 Framber Valdez 58 $8.5 10.0 -1.5 ▼
-4 7 Matt Waldron 59 $8.5 10.0 -1.5 ▼
0 7 Bryce Miller 60 $8.5 8.5 0.0 ▬
1 7 Erick Fedde 61 $8.5 8.0 0.5 ▲
1 7 Spencer Schwellenbach 62 $8.0 8.0 0.0 ▬
8 7 Andrew Heaney 63 $8.0 5.0 3.0 ▲
-20 7 Bobby Miller 64 $7.0 14.5 -7.5 ▼
-7 7 Chris Bassitt 65 $6.0 8.5 -2.5 ▼
0 7 Kyle Gibson 66 $6.0 6.0 0.0 ▬
-6 7 Christian Scott 67 $5.5 8.5 -3.0 ▼
9 7 Jose Quintana 68 $5.5 3.0 2.5 ▲
-5 7 Tobias Myers 69 $5.5 7.0 -1.5 ▼
-5 8 Jose Berrios 70 $5.0 6.0 -1.0 ▼
-4 8 Mitchell Parker 71 $5.0 5.5 -0.5 ▼
15 8 Jameson Taillon 72 $4.5 2.0 2.5 ▲
-4 8 Marcus Stroman 73 $4.5 5.5 -1.0 ▼
-4 8 Brandon Pfaadt 74 $4.0 5.0 -1.0 ▼
1 8 Simeon Woods Richardson 75 $4.0 3.5 0.5 ▲
9 9 Brady Singer 76 $3.5 2.0 1.5 ▲
6 9 Andrew Abbott 77 $3.5 2.0 1.5 ▲
8 9 Michael Wacha 78 $3.0 2.0 1.0 ▲
-5 9 Spencer Arrighetti 79 $2.5 4.0 -1.5 ▼
13 9 Tyler Anderson 80 $2.5 1.0 1.5 ▲
9 9 Sean Manaea 81 $2.5 1.5 1.0 ▲
-9 9 Charlie Morton 82 $2.0 4.0 -2.0 ▼
N/A 9 Edward Cabrera 83 $2.0 N/A N/A
-3 9 Landon Knack 84 $2.0 2.5 -0.5 ▼
N/A 9 Dean Kremer 85 $2.0 N/A N/A
-7 9 Zack Littell 86 $2.0 2.5 -0.5 ▼
-3 9 Carson Spiers 87 $2.0 2.0 0.0 ▬
N/A 9 Drew Thorpe 88 $2.0 N/A N/A
N/A 9 Yariel Rodriguez 89 $2.0 N/A N/A
6 10 Ben Lively 90 $1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲
-2 10 Jose Soriano 91 $1.5 1.5 0.0 ▬
6 10 Jonathan Cannon 92 $1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
-11 10 Michael Lorenzen 93 $1.0 2.5 -1.5 ▼
N/A 10 Albert Suarez 94 $1.0 N/A N/A
N/A 10 Colin Rea 95 $1.0 N/A N/A
5 10 Brayan Bello 96 $1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬
N/A 10 Keider Montero 97 $1.0 N/A N/A
N/A 10 Jordan Hicks 98 $1.0 N/A N/A
N/A 10 James Paxton 99 $1.0 N/A N/A
N/A 10 Joey Estes 100 $1.0 N/A N/A
N/A 10 Aaron Civale 101 $1.0 N/A N/A


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As long as I am allowed to create content, I am officially on Mike Evans watch. In Week 13, Evans would finish with 118 receiving yards on eight receptions, keeping his 11th straight 1,000-yard season within reach. With five games remaining, Evans is currently sitting on 521 yards, 479 yards shy of keeping the streak […]