👉 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE SPRING
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 50% Now
Import Your Leagues
Props Tool
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

Tom Bellucco's 10 Bold Predictions for 2016

Fellow writer Kyle Bishop had a great idea for us "experts" to come up with a plethora of bold predictions. So far we've see the 10 bold predictions from Kyle and Max. Now it's my turn.

I like to think I did fairly well on my more conservative predictions last year (believing in the Gerrit Cole, Bryce Harper, and Manny Machado breakouts were among them; calling Justin Verlander a mid-season sleeper was my favorite stance in retrospect), so let's hope I'm not due for regression this year. Anyways, you want bold, and I got bold. Let's see what crazy calls I came up with this year.

Editor's note: Be sure to check out our fantasy baseball rankings assistant. We recently launched this handy new rankings tool - you can easily filter, sort, and export all sorts of rankings for mixed leagues, AL/NL only, top prospects, dynasty formats, keeper values and more! It's all in one place, and all free.

 

Bold Predictions for 2016

1. Jung Ho Kang will finish as a top-four shortstop

I'll get my homer picks out of the way early (notice I said picks) (that means there's another one coming). The eye test is not always as persuasive as analytics these days, but this was a key example of when the eye test works. Prior to his breakout last year, I was convinced that Kang had some of the quickest hands at the plate I had seen in a long time. It translated to an above-average batting average with surprising power up until his gruesome injury. His draft stock will be lower than it should be this year because he'll start the season on the DL. However, as long as he can avoid a setback, Kang should return by the end of April, and he will be playing everyday at third base. Repeat production of last year will put him a step above the boring landscape that is the shortstop position.

2. Gregory Polanco will finish higher on the outfield ranks than teammate Starling Marte

Marte is being drafted well before Polanco in most mock drafts, and that's the way it should be. However, I think their stats will be very similar come October, and I give the edge to Polanco. I won't be drafting Polanco first, but this goes to show you why I won't be drafting Marte at his ADP, and I will likely have a lot of Polanco at his ADP. The right fielder had a rough start to 2015, but from the month of July forward he hit .274 with a BABIP that looked more like what someone of his speed should carry. His power numbers were down, but we've seen the deep ball potential in the past. Polanco has an upside of 30 steals and 110 runs in this offense. While Marte will almost surely beat him in RBI, Polanco has the ability to match him in HRs (I'm predicting a regression for Marte), and a breakout third year will surpass his highly touted teammate.

3. Anthony Rendon will be a top three second baseman and a top five third baseman

Rendon dealt with injuries for a lot of 2015, but he still managed to show flashes of of his 2014 self. If he can manage to avoid another injury this season, the numbers he produced two years ago are very reachable, and the upside is even higher yet. Rendon is a solid contact hitter who has surprising pop to all fields. In a lineup that features arguably the best hitter in baseball in Bryce Harper, Rendon should find a lot of success hitting in the top half of the order. Take Brian Dozier's numbers from last year, subtract a few home runs and add a handful of runs and RBI. That's a very attainable, high-upside season for Rendon.

4. Matt Wieters will be a top 5 catcher

Ranked largely in the 8-10 range among analysts, Wieters is a catcher that I feel can pay off his ADP and then some. If he can keep his troublesome throwing arm healthy, Wieters is guaranteed a prime spot in an Orioles' lineup that is loaded with power. Opposing pitchers will have to throw strikes to someone, right? Let's hope the inflated K% is not going to stick around this year, because in that case a return to Wieters' norm of 20-25 HRs is very reasonable. That could lead to a plethora of helpful counting stats in what should be a high octane offense.

5. Lorenzo Cain will be a top 12 outfielder

I've made the joke many times before that LoCain is a poor man's version of Andrew McCutchen. Well, last year the Royals' center fielder made that poor man very wealthy. Cain is capable of of a 20-110-80-30 season (HR, R, RBI, SB) if he improves on last year's production. While some may think that regression is coming for the 29-year-old, the opposite may actually be the case. His BABIP was not abnormally high, his batting average seemed sustainable, and there's no reason this Kansas City offense can't have the same success this year. Cain is a guy who will do whatever it takes to help his team win games, and most times that results in positive production for your fantasy team, especially in category leagues (Cain has a tendency to take walks at a below average rate).

6. Christian Yelich will bat .300, score 110 runs, and steal 25 bases

Yelich's game plan for 2016? Get on base. Then, he'll likely wait for Giancarlo Stanton to either make an out or drive him in (usually by clearing the fences). If Stanton does get out, Yelich will likely be stealing to get into scoring position for the lesser hitter behind Stanton. That mindset leads me to believe that he'll be a very successful fantasy option this season. Marlins Park is not helpful in the home run department, but its huge yard has and will help Yelich add a few more points to his average. If I can finish my draft with Polanco, Cain, and Yelich on my team, I will feel tremendous about the upside that my team provides from the outfield position, and that's without considering my first or even second round pick.

7. Clayton Kershaw, Chris Sale, and Dallas Keuchel will be the three best pitchers in fantasy baseball

I don't know how much explanation I have for this one. In fact, the same might be the case for my next call too. However, I'm pretty confident that Kershaw is the best pitcher in baseball, and a bump in the road last season won't sway me from that. Outside of him, I think Sale and Keuchel have the command and dominant qualities to rival the Dodgers' ace. There are way too many aces these days to firmly say that such a bold call will come true, but every time I look at a draft board these three studs stand out to me.

8. J.A. Happ will win 15 games and strikeout 200 batters

... And J.A. Happ will be the fourth best pitcher in fantasy baseball. Just kidding. This one's a stretch; I know. However, the eye test worked for me on Kang last season, and I'm leaning on it again for this pick. Happ was committed to throwing more strikes last season, and he had his best year in a while. Now he returns to the dangerous hitter's park in Toronto, and that combined with his age will drive a lot of owners away. However, I think Happ's curve ball is one of the best in the business. Add that to his command that has become near perfect over his countless years pitching, and you may have a guy who can go six innings strong on a consistent basis. He'll need to strikeout more batters to be successful in Toronto, and he'll rack up the wins if he can keep opposing teams under four runs every game. This is my late-round flyer at the starting pitcher spot.

9. Ken Giles will have the most saves in 2016

No rocket science here. Giles is a very good reliever when he can keep his head on his shoulders. The Astros have a seemingly laid back organization, and their offense is really rounding into form with stud hitters like Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa, and George Springer. Giles should get plenty of save opportunities, and he has just as good of a chance as Craig Kimbrel and Wade Davis to lead the league in the main (and most important) closer category.

10. Brett Gardner will play 145 games or more for the fourth straight year

The Yankees marathon man has been excellent in terms of consistency the past three years. Gardner has played 145, 148, and 151 games leading up to his age 32 season. His numbers don't jump off the page at you, but you know what you'll get. If he can stay on the field all year again, we can reasonable expect 15 HR, 90 R, 65 RBI, and 25 SB. That's not going to win you a fantasy baseball championship alone, but it'll put you well on your way considering the low ADP that Gardner ends up with year after year. The boldness is not in the number themselves, but that Gardner can avoid injury for another consecutive season. Maybe it's not as bold as the other picks above, but keep in mind that the aging veteran is due for a DL stint.

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

 




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 50% Now
Import Your Leagues
Props Tool
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

NFL

Arvell Reese Could Generate Trade Interest in the Top 10 of NFL Draft
DeForest Buckner

Colts Targeting a Training Camp Return for DeForest Buckner
Michael Harris II

Continues to Heat Up With Two-Homer Game on Wednesday
Francisco Lindor

Leaves Wednesday's Game Early With Calf Tightness
JR Ritchie

Earns Promotion, Will Make MLB Debut on Thursday
Jakob Poeltl

Expected to Bounce Back Thursday
Jordan Goodwin

Collin Gillespie Replaces Jordan Goodwin in Starting Unit for Game 2
Rob Dillingham

Undergoes Wrist Procedure
Grayson Allen

Cleared to Play Wednesday
Keldon Johnson

Lands Sixth Man of the Year Award
Jordan Goodwin

Won't Play Wednesday
Mark Williams

Misses Wednesday's Action
Ja'Kobe Walter

Could Miss Pivotal Game 3
Peyton Watson

Remains Out for Game 3
Aaron Gordon

Likely to Play in Game 3
Anthony Edwards

' Status Uncertain for Game 3
Thomas Bryant

Iffy for Game 3
Immanuel Quickley

Questionable for Game 3
Jonathan Isaac

Ruled Out for Game 2
Noah Ostlund

Could Return Thursday
Pontus Holmberg

Will Miss Round 1
Charle-Edouard D'Astous

Could Be an Option Friday
Victor Hedman

Traveling With Team
Radko Gudas

Unavailable for Game 2
Los Angeles Rams

Rams Increasingly Likely to Draft a First-Round Wide Receiver?
Yakov Trenin

Considered a Game-Time Decision Wednesday
Shedeur Sanders

Gets First Reps in Team Workouts
Mats Zuccarello

a Game-Time Call Wednesday
Wyatt Langford

Expected to Go on Injured List With Flexor Strain
NFL

Chris Bell is Ahead of Schedule in ACL Rehab
NFL

Caleb Banks on Pace for Football Activities in June
Maikel Garcia

Leaves Early on Wednesday With Elbow Soreness
Carson Beck

Could Carson Beck be a First-Round Pick in the NFL Draft?
Roman Anthony

Day-to-Day With Sore Back
Juan Soto

Officially Back in Mets Lineup on Wednesday
J.T. Realmuto

Phillies Place J.T. Realmuto on Injured List With Back Injury
Lucas Giolito

Signs With Padres, Worth a Waiver-Wire Pickup?
Ryan Helsley

Orioles Put Ryan Helsley on Bereavement List on Wednesday
George Pickens

to Play on Franchise Tag in 2026
Quinshon Judkins

Spotted at Voluntary Offseason Workouts
Isaiah Davis

Remains Without a Clear Pathway to Playing Time in New York
Kyle Pitts Sr.

Chiefs Looking to Acquire Kyle Pitts Sr. From the Falcons?
Kaleb Johnson

Does Kaleb Johnson Still Carry Dynasty Buy-Low Appeal?
DK Metcalf

Should Dynasty Managers Be Looking to Sell on DK Metcalf?
Trey McBride

Is Trey McBride Currently Undervalued in Dynasty Leagues?
Carolina Panthers

Kenyon Sadiq Linked to Panthers in Mock Drafts
Wan'Dale Robinson

Could Be Primed for Breakout Year with the Titans
Brock Purdy

Is Brock Purdy a Sneaky Buy-Low Candidate for Dynasty Managers?
Arizona Cardinals

Jeremiyah Love a "Logical Pick" if Cardinals Stay at No. 3 in NFL Draft
CFB

Beau Pribula Leading Virginia Quarterback Competition
Jalen McMillan

a Low-Cost Buy Who Can Provide Spike Weeks
Jack Eichel

Sets Up Two Goals Tuesday
Justin Jefferson

Buy Window is Closing Fast
Artemi Panarin

Records Another Power-Play Goal
Dylan Guenther

Enjoys Multi-Point Outing Tuesday Night
J.J. McCarthy

Is J.J. McCarthy Worth Buying Low?
Viktor Arvidsson

Strikes Twice in Game 2 Win
Lane Hutson

Nets First Career Postseason Goal
Brandon Hagel

Records Tampa Bay's First Postseason Gordie Howe Hat Trick
Nikita Kucherov

Ends 16-Game Postseason Goal Drought
Scoot Henderson

Erupts for 31 Points in Series-Tying Victory
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Fills Stat Sheet in Losing Effort
Kevin Durant

Commits Nine Turnovers in Game 2 Loss
Marcus Smart

Catches Fire in Game 2
LeBron James

Leads Lakers to Victory With Game-High 28 Points
Jake LaRavia

Exits Early Tuesday
Harrison Barnes

Injures Left Wrist in Game 2
Marco Penge

Trending Down Entering Zurich Classic
Sahith Theegala

Eyes Another Strong Week at Zurich Classic
Brooks Koepka

Shane Lowry Teams Up with Brooks Koepka at Zurich Classic
Si Woo Kim

Adds Another Strong Finish at RBC Heritage
Elly De La Cruz

Early-Season Breakout Continues on Tuesday
Wyatt Langford

Pulled Early on Tuesday With Forearm Tightness
Luke Clanton

Hoping to Find Form in New Orleans
Jackson Holliday

Leaves Rehab Game With Hand Discomfort
Corbin Carroll

Returns to Arizona's Lineup Against White Sox
Scottie Scheffler

is Starting to Hit His Stride
Brooks Koepka

Looking for Progress in PGA Return With Partner at Zurich Classic
Matt Fitzpatrick

Looks to Share Recent Form at Zurich Classic
Zack Wheeler

to Make Season Debut on Saturday
Jonathan Toews

Undecided on NHL Future
Jonathan Huberdeau

Expects to Be Ready for Training Camp
DAL

Nathan Bastian Not Expected to Play Before Round 2
Roope Hintz

Doubtful for Game 4
Adam Henrique

Won't Play in Game 2 Against Ducks
Victor Hedman

Doubtful to Play in Round 1
Charle-Edouard D'Astous

Unavailable Tuesday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Back in Leadoff Spot on Tuesday After Injury Scare
CFB

Ashton Daniels Named Florida State's Starting Quarterback
Juan Soto

Expected to Return on Wednesday
Royce Lewis

Twins Reinstate Royce Lewis From Injured List on Tuesday
Adley Rutschman

Activated From Injured List on Tuesday
Dylan Cease

Continues Strong Start With 12-Strikeout Performance
Raisel Iglesias

Placed on 15-Day Injured List with Shoulder Inflammation
Tyler Reddick

Earns His Fifth Win of the 2026 Season at Kansas
Kyle Larson

Finishes as the Runner-Up at Kansas
Chase Briscoe

Rallies for A New Career-Best Finish at Kansas
Denny Hamlin

Leads the Most Laps at Kansas but Misses Out on Victory
Christopher Bell

Falls Out of Contention for Kansas Victory on Final Restart
Mike Malott

Scores Third-Round TKO Win
Gilbert Burns

Retires After UFC Winnipeg Loss
Charles Jourdain

Extends Winning Streak
Kyler Phillips

Drops Decision At UFC Winnipeg
Mandel Nallo

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss In His UFC Debut
Jai Herbert

Scores First-Round TKO Win
Karine Silva

Gets Dominated at UFC Winnipeg
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Dominates Karine Silva
Kyle Larson

Should not be Underestimated for the Win at Kansas
Denny Hamlin

Can Denny Hamlin Dominate at Kansas Again?
NASCAR

Christoper Bell Should Contend for First Win at Kansas
Tyler Reddick

Fastest in Practice and Qualifying for Kansas Race
Ryan Blaney

Could Score another Top-10 Finish at Kansas
Ty Gibbs

Poised to Continue Hot Streak at Kansas
Chris Buescher

Always Consistent, Has Speed Heading Into Kansas
William Byron

is A Solid DFS Option for Kansas Lineups
Carson Hocevar

Poised for Career-Best Run at Kansas
Chase Briscoe

Is Chase Briscoe Worth Rostering for DFS at Kansas?
Chase Elliott

Is A Favorable DFS Option for Kansas Lineups
Joey Logano

Could Joey Logano be Considered Playable In DFS This Week at Kansas?
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace is A Favorable Driver to Consider for Kansas Lineups
Ross Chastain

Is Ross Chastain A Worthy DFS Option for Kansas?
Brad Keselowski

Could Brad Keselowski be A Sneaky DFS Option for Kansas?
Daniel Suarez

Should DFS Managers Roster Daniel Suarez at Kansas?
Mike Malott

A Favorite At UFC Winnipeg
Gilbert Burns

Set For UFC Winnipeg Main Event
Kyler Phillips

Set UFC Winnipeg Co-Main Event
Charles Jourdain

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Jai Herbert

An Underdog At UFC Winnipeg
Mandel Nallo

Set For His UFC Debut
Karine Silva

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Looks To Bounce Back
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF