👉 TAP TO SAVE 30% WITH CODE NEW
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 30% Now
Import Your Leagues
Top-Rated Accuracy
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Tom Bellucco's 10 Bold Predictions for 2016

Fellow writer Kyle Bishop had a great idea for us "experts" to come up with a plethora of bold predictions. So far we've see the 10 bold predictions from Kyle and Max. Now it's my turn.

I like to think I did fairly well on my more conservative predictions last year (believing in the Gerrit Cole, Bryce Harper, and Manny Machado breakouts were among them; calling Justin Verlander a mid-season sleeper was my favorite stance in retrospect), so let's hope I'm not due for regression this year. Anyways, you want bold, and I got bold. Let's see what crazy calls I came up with this year.

Editor's note: Be sure to check out our fantasy baseball rankings assistant. We recently launched this handy new rankings tool - you can easily filter, sort, and export all sorts of rankings for mixed leagues, AL/NL only, top prospects, dynasty formats, keeper values and more! It's all in one place, and all free.

 

Bold Predictions for 2016

1. Jung Ho Kang will finish as a top-four shortstop

I'll get my homer picks out of the way early (notice I said picks) (that means there's another one coming). The eye test is not always as persuasive as analytics these days, but this was a key example of when the eye test works. Prior to his breakout last year, I was convinced that Kang had some of the quickest hands at the plate I had seen in a long time. It translated to an above-average batting average with surprising power up until his gruesome injury. His draft stock will be lower than it should be this year because he'll start the season on the DL. However, as long as he can avoid a setback, Kang should return by the end of April, and he will be playing everyday at third base. Repeat production of last year will put him a step above the boring landscape that is the shortstop position.

2. Gregory Polanco will finish higher on the outfield ranks than teammate Starling Marte

Marte is being drafted well before Polanco in most mock drafts, and that's the way it should be. However, I think their stats will be very similar come October, and I give the edge to Polanco. I won't be drafting Polanco first, but this goes to show you why I won't be drafting Marte at his ADP, and I will likely have a lot of Polanco at his ADP. The right fielder had a rough start to 2015, but from the month of July forward he hit .274 with a BABIP that looked more like what someone of his speed should carry. His power numbers were down, but we've seen the deep ball potential in the past. Polanco has an upside of 30 steals and 110 runs in this offense. While Marte will almost surely beat him in RBI, Polanco has the ability to match him in HRs (I'm predicting a regression for Marte), and a breakout third year will surpass his highly touted teammate.

3. Anthony Rendon will be a top three second baseman and a top five third baseman

Rendon dealt with injuries for a lot of 2015, but he still managed to show flashes of of his 2014 self. If he can manage to avoid another injury this season, the numbers he produced two years ago are very reachable, and the upside is even higher yet. Rendon is a solid contact hitter who has surprising pop to all fields. In a lineup that features arguably the best hitter in baseball in Bryce Harper, Rendon should find a lot of success hitting in the top half of the order. Take Brian Dozier's numbers from last year, subtract a few home runs and add a handful of runs and RBI. That's a very attainable, high-upside season for Rendon.

4. Matt Wieters will be a top 5 catcher

Ranked largely in the 8-10 range among analysts, Wieters is a catcher that I feel can pay off his ADP and then some. If he can keep his troublesome throwing arm healthy, Wieters is guaranteed a prime spot in an Orioles' lineup that is loaded with power. Opposing pitchers will have to throw strikes to someone, right? Let's hope the inflated K% is not going to stick around this year, because in that case a return to Wieters' norm of 20-25 HRs is very reasonable. That could lead to a plethora of helpful counting stats in what should be a high octane offense.

5. Lorenzo Cain will be a top 12 outfielder

I've made the joke many times before that LoCain is a poor man's version of Andrew McCutchen. Well, last year the Royals' center fielder made that poor man very wealthy. Cain is capable of of a 20-110-80-30 season (HR, R, RBI, SB) if he improves on last year's production. While some may think that regression is coming for the 29-year-old, the opposite may actually be the case. His BABIP was not abnormally high, his batting average seemed sustainable, and there's no reason this Kansas City offense can't have the same success this year. Cain is a guy who will do whatever it takes to help his team win games, and most times that results in positive production for your fantasy team, especially in category leagues (Cain has a tendency to take walks at a below average rate).

6. Christian Yelich will bat .300, score 110 runs, and steal 25 bases

Yelich's game plan for 2016? Get on base. Then, he'll likely wait for Giancarlo Stanton to either make an out or drive him in (usually by clearing the fences). If Stanton does get out, Yelich will likely be stealing to get into scoring position for the lesser hitter behind Stanton. That mindset leads me to believe that he'll be a very successful fantasy option this season. Marlins Park is not helpful in the home run department, but its huge yard has and will help Yelich add a few more points to his average. If I can finish my draft with Polanco, Cain, and Yelich on my team, I will feel tremendous about the upside that my team provides from the outfield position, and that's without considering my first or even second round pick.

7. Clayton Kershaw, Chris Sale, and Dallas Keuchel will be the three best pitchers in fantasy baseball

I don't know how much explanation I have for this one. In fact, the same might be the case for my next call too. However, I'm pretty confident that Kershaw is the best pitcher in baseball, and a bump in the road last season won't sway me from that. Outside of him, I think Sale and Keuchel have the command and dominant qualities to rival the Dodgers' ace. There are way too many aces these days to firmly say that such a bold call will come true, but every time I look at a draft board these three studs stand out to me.

8. J.A. Happ will win 15 games and strikeout 200 batters

... And J.A. Happ will be the fourth best pitcher in fantasy baseball. Just kidding. This one's a stretch; I know. However, the eye test worked for me on Kang last season, and I'm leaning on it again for this pick. Happ was committed to throwing more strikes last season, and he had his best year in a while. Now he returns to the dangerous hitter's park in Toronto, and that combined with his age will drive a lot of owners away. However, I think Happ's curve ball is one of the best in the business. Add that to his command that has become near perfect over his countless years pitching, and you may have a guy who can go six innings strong on a consistent basis. He'll need to strikeout more batters to be successful in Toronto, and he'll rack up the wins if he can keep opposing teams under four runs every game. This is my late-round flyer at the starting pitcher spot.

9. Ken Giles will have the most saves in 2016

No rocket science here. Giles is a very good reliever when he can keep his head on his shoulders. The Astros have a seemingly laid back organization, and their offense is really rounding into form with stud hitters like Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa, and George Springer. Giles should get plenty of save opportunities, and he has just as good of a chance as Craig Kimbrel and Wade Davis to lead the league in the main (and most important) closer category.

10. Brett Gardner will play 145 games or more for the fourth straight year

The Yankees marathon man has been excellent in terms of consistency the past three years. Gardner has played 145, 148, and 151 games leading up to his age 32 season. His numbers don't jump off the page at you, but you know what you'll get. If he can stay on the field all year again, we can reasonable expect 15 HR, 90 R, 65 RBI, and 25 SB. That's not going to win you a fantasy baseball championship alone, but it'll put you well on your way considering the low ADP that Gardner ends up with year after year. The boldness is not in the number themselves, but that Gardner can avoid injury for another consecutive season. Maybe it's not as bold as the other picks above, but keep in mind that the aging veteran is due for a DL stint.

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

 




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 30% Now
Import Your Leagues
Top-Rated Accuracy
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Tony Pollard

Remains the Lead Back for Now
David Montgomery

Is David Montgomery Really the Bell Cow in Houston?
Chris Godwin Jr.

a Low-End WR2 After Teammate's Departure?
LeQuint Allen Jr.

to Get More Involved in Year 2?
Isaiah Davis

Faces Improbable Path to Fantasy Relevance
Michael Carter

Signing with the Titans
Puka Nacua

Checks Into Rehab Facility
Jock Landale

Leaves Game with Ankle Injury
Paul George

Explodes for 39 Points in Win Over Wizards
Jerami Grant

Still Out Thursday
Trey Murphy III

Could Miss Fourth Straight Game
Marcus Smart

to Miss Sixth Straight Game
Gary Trent Jr.

Exits Early with Hip Injury
Mark Williams

Could Return Against Hornets
Aaron Gordon

Returns Against Utah
Gary Payton II

Out Wednesday
Gui Santos

Ruled Out Against San Antonio
Bobby Portis

Kyle Kuzma Ruled Out Wednesday
Ryan Rollins

Won't Suit up on Wednesday
Obi Toppin

Good to Go Against Chicago
Myles Turner

Won't Play on Wednesday
Pascal Siakam

to Play on Wednesday
Scottie Barnes

is Available on Wednesday
Brandon Ingram

is Absent on Wednesday
Immanuel Quickley

to Miss Sixth Straight Game
Jalen Brunson

is Ruled Out on Wednesday
Josh Giddey

Sidelined on Wednesday
Anthony Edwards

Considered Questionable for Thursday
Brandon Hagel

Likely Out on Thursday
Damon Severson

Not Expected to Return During Regular Season
Igor Chernyshov

a Game-Time Call Wednesday
Radko Gudas

Out Wednesday
Cutter Gauthier

Questionable for Rest of the Week
Evander Kane

Unavailable Wednesday
Cale Makar

to Miss "Some Time"
Konnor Griffin

Pirates in "Deep" Negotiations for Long-Term Contract
Carlos Estévez

Royals Place Carlos Estevez on 15-Day Injured List
CFB

Gunner Stockton Looking "Great" After Offseason Injury
CFB

Sam Leavitt Showing "Encouraging Signs" at LSU Practice
Hendon Hooker

Signs with the Titans
Kaleb Johnson

Given a Clean Slate with New Coaching Staff
DK Metcalf

Dynasty Outlook Murky with Quarterback Uncertainty?
Trey McBride

Is Trey McBride the TE1 in Dynasty Fantasy Football?
Mark Andrews

Faces Less Competition in Tight End Room
Wan'Dale Robinson

the Clear No. 1 Target in Tennessee?
Brock Purdy

Supporting Cast Gets an Upgrade for 2026
Jalen McMillan

Headed for a Bigger Role in 2026
Ashton Jeanty

Poised to Break Out with Improved Offense and Protection?
Justin Jefferson

Poised to Re-Emerge as an Elite Dynasty Wide Receiver in 2026
J.J. McCarthy

Dynasty Value is Fading Heading into 2026
NFL

Brenen Thompson May Struggle to Consistently Earn Targets in the NFL
Drake Maye

Can Drake Maye Overcome Questionable Supporting Cast in New England?
Garrett Wilson

Will Garrett Wilson Have a More Stable Environment Around Him in New York Going Forward?
J.J. Spaun

Needs the Putter to Cooperate in San Antonio
Thorbjorn Olesen

Trending Up in San Antonio
Denny McCarthy

Carrying Momentum into San Antonio
Matt Grzelcyk

Unavailable for Reminder of Season
Artyom Levshunov

Ruled Out for Rest of Season
Mathieu Olivier

to Miss Couple of Weeks
Evan Rodrigues

to Have Season-Ending Surgery
Sam Reinhart

Won't Return This Season
Carter Yakemchuk

Injured in Tuesday's Loss
Aaron Ekblad

Hand Injury "Doesn't Look Good"
Jose Fernandez

Launches Two Home Runs in Historic MLB Debut
Chase DeLauter

Exits Tuesday's Game with Foot Injury, X-Rays Come Back Negative
Chris Kirk

Has Course History on His Side in San Antonio
Billy Horschel

a Volatile Option at the Valero Texas Open
Joe Highsmith

Still Searching for Form in San Antonio
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Looks to Find Form at the Valero Texas Open
Seiya Suzuki

to Begin a Rehab Assignment Soon
Simon Holmstrom

Misses Tuesday's Action
Alexandre Carrier

Out 2-4 Weeks With Upper-Body Injury
Jordan Spieth

a Horse for Course History at TPC San Antonio
Mason Lohrei

Misses Second Consecutive Game Tuesday
Tyler Myers

Unavailable Against Bruins
Robert MacIntyre

Has One Flaw to Overcome at Valero Texas Open to be a Must-Play
Michael Bunting

to Sit Out Tuesday's Game
Maverick McNealy

In Exceptional Form This Season
Michael Thorbjornsen

Playing Well But Still Searching For A Win
Hideki Matsuyama

Playing Well Heading to the Valero Texas Open
Si Woo Kim

Heads to Valero Texas Open For Final Tune-Up Before Masters
Nikita Kucherov

a Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Evgeni Malkin

Ready for Action Tuesday
Cody Ponce

Diagnosed With ACL Sprain, to Miss "Significant Time"
Collin Morikawa

Withdraws From Valero Texas Open
PGA

Stephan Jaegar Still Looking For Consistency at Valero Texas Open
Nicolai Hojgaard

is Red-Hot Coming to TPC San Antonio
Tony Finau

a Risky Proposition at Valero Texas Open
Ludvig Aberg

Looks to Shake Off Collapse at Valero Texas Open
Jacob deGrom

Cleared for Season Debut on Tuesday
Colt Emerson

Signs an Eight-Year Extension with Mariners
Patrick Rodgers

Needs to Make More Birdies in San Antonio
Sepp Straka

Seeks Opportunity in San Antonio This Weekend
Nick Taylor

Could Again Struggle at the Valero Texas Open
Jose Altuve

Tallies Four Hits, Two Homers in Big Night
Miguel Vargas

Hits Grand Slam, Drives in Six in Win Over Miami
Tanner Bibee

to Start on Tuesday Against Dodgers
Chase Elliott

Takes Advantage of Pit Strategies for Second Career Martinsville Win
Denny Hamlin

Dominates but Finishes Second at Martinsville
Joey Logano

Bounces Back with Third-Place Finish at Martinsville
Ty Gibbs

Gains his Fourth Top-Five Finish of the Season at Martinsville
William Byron

Scores Another Top-Five Finish at Martinsville
Joe Pyfer

Extends His Winning Streak
Israel Adesanya

Loses Fourth Consecutive Fight
Maycee Barber

Suffers Her First Knockout Loss
Alexa Grasso

Scores Highlight-Reel Knockout
Niko Price

Retires After UFC Seattle Loss
Michael Chiesa

Victorious In His Retirement Fight
Julian Erosa

Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Lerryan Douglas

Scores First-Round Knockout Win In His UFC Debut
Alex Bregman

Clobbers First Two Homers in Sunday's Loss at Wrigley
Yandy Díaz

Yandy Diaz Records Five Hits, Drives in Four in Win Over Cardinals
Kyle Larson

Is Likely to Pay Off for DFS at Martinsville
Christopher Bell

Could Have Another Top-10 Performance At Martinsville
William Byron

Is A Threat to Win Again at Martinsville
Chase Elliott

is A Solid DFS Option for Martinsville Lineups
Chase Briscoe

has Plenty of Upside for DFS Lineups at Martinsville
Carlos Estévez

Carlos Estevez Unlikely to See High-Leverage Opportunities in Near Future
Jacob deGrom

Feels "Much Better," Hopeful he Can Start This Week
Ty Gibbs

Should Fantasy Managers Roster Ty Gibbs at Martinsville?
Ryan Preece

Is A Solid DFS Option for Martinsville Lineups
Josh Berry

Could Josh Berry Pay Off for Tournament DFS Lineups At Martinsville?
Carson Hocevar

May be Too Inconsistent to Start in Martinsville DFS Lineups
Austin Cindric

Is Austin Cindric Worth Rostering for DFS At Martinsville?
Denny Hamlin

the Favorite to Win at Martinsville
Ryan Blaney

Should Contend at Martinsville
Tyler Reddick

Should Come Back Down to Earth at Martinsville
Joey Logano

Will Be Strong at Martinsville
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Looking to Rebound at Martinsville
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen Showing Progress, Qualifies Fifth at Martinsville
Dylan Cease

Fans 12 in Blue Jays Debut on Saturday
Andrew Vaughn

Needs Hand Surgery, Expected to be Out 4-6 Weeks
Jacob deGrom

"Confident" he Will Make his Next Start
Jacob deGrom

Scratched From Saturday's Start Due to Neck Stiffness
Jeferson Quero

Brewers Calling Up Catching Prospect Jeferson Quero
Deyvison De Los Santos

Marlins Promote Deyvison De Los Santos to Major Leagues
Joe Pyfer

Set For UFC Seattle Main Event
Israel Adesanya

Returns At UFC Seattle
Maycee Barber

Looks To Extend Her Win Streak To Eight
Alexa Grasso

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Niko Price

In Dire Need Of Victory
Michael Chiesa

Set For Retirement Fight
Lerryan Douglas

Set For His UFC Debut
Julian Erosa

Looks To Bounce Back
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF