👉 TAP TO SAVE 30% WITH CODE NEW
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 30% Now
Import Your Leagues
Top-Rated Accuracy
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Tom Bellucco's 10 Bold Predictions for 2016

Fellow writer Kyle Bishop had a great idea for us "experts" to come up with a plethora of bold predictions. So far we've see the 10 bold predictions from Kyle and Max. Now it's my turn.

I like to think I did fairly well on my more conservative predictions last year (believing in the Gerrit Cole, Bryce Harper, and Manny Machado breakouts were among them; calling Justin Verlander a mid-season sleeper was my favorite stance in retrospect), so let's hope I'm not due for regression this year. Anyways, you want bold, and I got bold. Let's see what crazy calls I came up with this year.

Editor's note: Be sure to check out our fantasy baseball rankings assistant. We recently launched this handy new rankings tool - you can easily filter, sort, and export all sorts of rankings for mixed leagues, AL/NL only, top prospects, dynasty formats, keeper values and more! It's all in one place, and all free.

 

Bold Predictions for 2016

1. Jung Ho Kang will finish as a top-four shortstop

I'll get my homer picks out of the way early (notice I said picks) (that means there's another one coming). The eye test is not always as persuasive as analytics these days, but this was a key example of when the eye test works. Prior to his breakout last year, I was convinced that Kang had some of the quickest hands at the plate I had seen in a long time. It translated to an above-average batting average with surprising power up until his gruesome injury. His draft stock will be lower than it should be this year because he'll start the season on the DL. However, as long as he can avoid a setback, Kang should return by the end of April, and he will be playing everyday at third base. Repeat production of last year will put him a step above the boring landscape that is the shortstop position.

2. Gregory Polanco will finish higher on the outfield ranks than teammate Starling Marte

Marte is being drafted well before Polanco in most mock drafts, and that's the way it should be. However, I think their stats will be very similar come October, and I give the edge to Polanco. I won't be drafting Polanco first, but this goes to show you why I won't be drafting Marte at his ADP, and I will likely have a lot of Polanco at his ADP. The right fielder had a rough start to 2015, but from the month of July forward he hit .274 with a BABIP that looked more like what someone of his speed should carry. His power numbers were down, but we've seen the deep ball potential in the past. Polanco has an upside of 30 steals and 110 runs in this offense. While Marte will almost surely beat him in RBI, Polanco has the ability to match him in HRs (I'm predicting a regression for Marte), and a breakout third year will surpass his highly touted teammate.

3. Anthony Rendon will be a top three second baseman and a top five third baseman

Rendon dealt with injuries for a lot of 2015, but he still managed to show flashes of of his 2014 self. If he can manage to avoid another injury this season, the numbers he produced two years ago are very reachable, and the upside is even higher yet. Rendon is a solid contact hitter who has surprising pop to all fields. In a lineup that features arguably the best hitter in baseball in Bryce Harper, Rendon should find a lot of success hitting in the top half of the order. Take Brian Dozier's numbers from last year, subtract a few home runs and add a handful of runs and RBI. That's a very attainable, high-upside season for Rendon.

4. Matt Wieters will be a top 5 catcher

Ranked largely in the 8-10 range among analysts, Wieters is a catcher that I feel can pay off his ADP and then some. If he can keep his troublesome throwing arm healthy, Wieters is guaranteed a prime spot in an Orioles' lineup that is loaded with power. Opposing pitchers will have to throw strikes to someone, right? Let's hope the inflated K% is not going to stick around this year, because in that case a return to Wieters' norm of 20-25 HRs is very reasonable. That could lead to a plethora of helpful counting stats in what should be a high octane offense.

5. Lorenzo Cain will be a top 12 outfielder

I've made the joke many times before that LoCain is a poor man's version of Andrew McCutchen. Well, last year the Royals' center fielder made that poor man very wealthy. Cain is capable of of a 20-110-80-30 season (HR, R, RBI, SB) if he improves on last year's production. While some may think that regression is coming for the 29-year-old, the opposite may actually be the case. His BABIP was not abnormally high, his batting average seemed sustainable, and there's no reason this Kansas City offense can't have the same success this year. Cain is a guy who will do whatever it takes to help his team win games, and most times that results in positive production for your fantasy team, especially in category leagues (Cain has a tendency to take walks at a below average rate).

6. Christian Yelich will bat .300, score 110 runs, and steal 25 bases

Yelich's game plan for 2016? Get on base. Then, he'll likely wait for Giancarlo Stanton to either make an out or drive him in (usually by clearing the fences). If Stanton does get out, Yelich will likely be stealing to get into scoring position for the lesser hitter behind Stanton. That mindset leads me to believe that he'll be a very successful fantasy option this season. Marlins Park is not helpful in the home run department, but its huge yard has and will help Yelich add a few more points to his average. If I can finish my draft with Polanco, Cain, and Yelich on my team, I will feel tremendous about the upside that my team provides from the outfield position, and that's without considering my first or even second round pick.

7. Clayton Kershaw, Chris Sale, and Dallas Keuchel will be the three best pitchers in fantasy baseball

I don't know how much explanation I have for this one. In fact, the same might be the case for my next call too. However, I'm pretty confident that Kershaw is the best pitcher in baseball, and a bump in the road last season won't sway me from that. Outside of him, I think Sale and Keuchel have the command and dominant qualities to rival the Dodgers' ace. There are way too many aces these days to firmly say that such a bold call will come true, but every time I look at a draft board these three studs stand out to me.

8. J.A. Happ will win 15 games and strikeout 200 batters

... And J.A. Happ will be the fourth best pitcher in fantasy baseball. Just kidding. This one's a stretch; I know. However, the eye test worked for me on Kang last season, and I'm leaning on it again for this pick. Happ was committed to throwing more strikes last season, and he had his best year in a while. Now he returns to the dangerous hitter's park in Toronto, and that combined with his age will drive a lot of owners away. However, I think Happ's curve ball is one of the best in the business. Add that to his command that has become near perfect over his countless years pitching, and you may have a guy who can go six innings strong on a consistent basis. He'll need to strikeout more batters to be successful in Toronto, and he'll rack up the wins if he can keep opposing teams under four runs every game. This is my late-round flyer at the starting pitcher spot.

9. Ken Giles will have the most saves in 2016

No rocket science here. Giles is a very good reliever when he can keep his head on his shoulders. The Astros have a seemingly laid back organization, and their offense is really rounding into form with stud hitters like Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa, and George Springer. Giles should get plenty of save opportunities, and he has just as good of a chance as Craig Kimbrel and Wade Davis to lead the league in the main (and most important) closer category.

10. Brett Gardner will play 145 games or more for the fourth straight year

The Yankees marathon man has been excellent in terms of consistency the past three years. Gardner has played 145, 148, and 151 games leading up to his age 32 season. His numbers don't jump off the page at you, but you know what you'll get. If he can stay on the field all year again, we can reasonable expect 15 HR, 90 R, 65 RBI, and 25 SB. That's not going to win you a fantasy baseball championship alone, but it'll put you well on your way considering the low ADP that Gardner ends up with year after year. The boldness is not in the number themselves, but that Gardner can avoid injury for another consecutive season. Maybe it's not as bold as the other picks above, but keep in mind that the aging veteran is due for a DL stint.

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

 




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 30% Now
Import Your Leagues
Top-Rated Accuracy
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Tua Tagovailoa

Open to Being a QB Mentor in Atlanta
Zay Flowers

Ravens Want to Extend Zay Flowers Soon
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena on the Astros Opening Day Roster
Blake Snell

Dodgers Place Blake Snell on 15-Day Injured List
John Carlson

Sets Up Three Goals Tuesday Night
Joel Hofer

Picks Up Sixth Shutout of the Season
John Tavares

Records Three Assists in Tuesday's Win
NJ

Arseni Gritsyuk Scheduled for Imaging Wednesday
Jordan Mason

Could Benefit from Quarterback Change
Tony DeAngelo

Suffers Lower-Body Injury Tuesday
Aaron Rodgers

Mike McCarthy Would Welcome an Aaron Rodgers Reunion
Emmitt Finnie

Enters Concussion Protocol
Ryan Fox

a High-Upside Value in Houston
Barrett Hayton

Sustains Upper-Body Injury Tuesday
Dak Prescott

Remains Egregiously Undervalued
Marco Penge

a Boom-or-Bust Option in Houston
Cedric Coward

Returns From Three-Game Absence
CeeDee Lamb

Cowboys' Offensive Cohesion Could Lead to Another Big Year from CeeDee Lamb
Jaylen Wells

Won't Play Against Spurs
NFL

Jeremiyah Love Does Not Participate at Notre Dame Pro Day
Ty Jerome

Unavailable Wednesday
Brice Sensabaugh

Resting on Wednesday
Kyle Filipowski

Dealing With Illness, Unlikely to Play Wednesday
Jakob Poeltl

Could Miss Another Game Wednesday
Immanuel Quickley

Questionable Wednesday
Puka Nacua

Accused of Biting a Woman, Making Antisemitic Remarks
Aaron Rai

Looks to Bounce Back in Houston
Luther Burden III

Ascending Into Major Role on Offense?
Jason Day

a Volatile Option at the Texas Children's Houston Open
Joe Mixon

Remains a Free Agent as April Approaches
Kirby Yates

Angels Place Kirby Yates on 15-Day Injured List
Elijah Moore

Eagles Sign Elijah Moore to a One-Year Deal
Harris English

Eyes a Bounce-Back at the Texas Children's Houston Open
Ben Griffin

Looks for Turnaround at the Texas Children's Houston Open
Kirk Cousins

an Option as Backup Quarterback in Green Bay?
Zach Wilson

Saints Sign Zach Wilson to a One-Year Deal
Rickie Fowler

Brings Strong Form Into Texas Children's Houston Open
Brandon Clarke

to Miss Rest of Season
Ja Morant

Done for the Season
Brady Tkachuk

Collects Two More Points on Tuesday
Royce O'Neale

Available Tuesday Night
Grayson Allen

Cleared for Action Tuesday
Martin Necas

Scores Twice Against Penguins
Brandon Ingram

Questionable for Wednesday's Game
Ryan Dunn

Won't Play Against Nuggets
Paul George

Officially Available Wednesday
Nick Lodolo

Will Open 2026 on the Injured List Due to Finger Ailment
Pete Crow-Armstrong

Agrees to Six-Year, $115 Million Extension With the Cubs
John Collins

is Returning on Wednesday
Jordan Miller

is Questionable for Wednesday's Game
Bennedict Mathurin

is Returning on Wednesday
Kawhi Leonard

is Uncertain for Wednesday's Game
Kyle Kuzma

Carries Questionable Tag for Wednesday
Bobby Portis

is Tagged as Questionable for Wednesday
Kevin Porter Jr.

to Miss Fourth Straight Game
Igor Chernyshov

Returns to Sharks Lineup
Dylan Larkin

Good to Go Tuesday
Ross Colton

Logan O'Connor, Ross Colton Available Tuesday
Morgan Rielly

Back in Action Tuesday
Joel Eriksson Ek

Kirill Kaprizov, Joel Eriksson Ek Returning Tuesday
Thomas Chabot

to Be "Out a While"
Evgeni Malkin

Out Against Avalanche Tuesday
Joe Flacco

Reaches Agreement to Return to Bengals
Marvin Mims Jr.

Now a Trade Candidate in Denver?
Francisco Lindor

Likely to be Ready for Opening Day
Ryan Gerard

Can Continue Rolling at Texas Children's Houston Open
Pierceson Coody

Bounces Back at Valspar Championship
Rasmus Hojgaard

Trying to Get Back on Track at Texas Children's Houston Open
Michael Thorbjornsen

Playing Well Heading to Texas Children's Houston Open
Harry Hall

Looking for Consistency at Texas Children's Houston Open
Brooks Koepka

Continues Building Momentum
Odell Beckham Jr.

Plans to Play in 2026
RJ Harvey

Ready for a Year 2 Jump?
Baker Mayfield

Buccaneers Expected to Discuss Extension With Baker Mayfield This Offseason
Brian Robinson Jr.

Falcons to Sign Brian Robinson Jr.
Joey Bosa

a Good Fit for the 49ers?
Lavonte David

Hanging Up his Cleats
Roki Sasaki

to Stick in Rotation Despite Spring Struggles
Kevin McGonigle

Makes Tigers Opening Day Roster
Scottie Scheffler

Withdraws From Texas Children's Houston Open
James Reimer

Picks Up Victory Against Rangers
Ryan Pepiot

Placed on Injured List to Open the Season
J.J. Wetherholt

JJ Wetherholt Likely to Hit Leadoff on Opening Day
Connelly Early

to Make First Start on Sunday
Luke Clanton

Might Have a Problem in Houston
Sam Stevens

Happy to See Houston This Week
Keith Mitchell

Tries to Rebound After The Players Championship
Will Zalatoris

Returning This Week at Houston
Wyndham Clark

Trending in the Wrong Direction Heading to Houston
Shane Lowry

Seeking Better Luck in Houston This Weekend
Kurt Kitayama

Poised to Bounce Back at the Houston Open
Pete Crow-Armstrong

Cubs, Pete Crow-Armstrong Finalizing Long-Term Extension
Shane Pinto

Opens Scoring Versus Rangers
Blake Snell

Targeting a May Return
Hunter Greene

Reds Place Hunter Greene on 60-Day Injured List
J.J. Wetherholt

JJ Wetherholt Makes Cardinals Opening Day Roster
Nick Pivetta

to Start on Opening Day for Padres
Brandon Woodruff

Makes Brewers Opening Day Rotation
Zack Wheeler

to Start Rehab Assignment on Saturday
Carson Benge

Makes Mets Opening Day Roster
Seiya Suzuki

to Start the Season on the Injured List
Lerone Murphy

Suffers His First Loss
Dennis Santana

Won't be Pirates' Primary Closer
Movsar Evloev

Edges Out Lerone Murphy
CFB

Notre Dame Ranks No. 1 in Returning Production for 2026
Michael Aswell

Jr. Drops Decision At UFC London
Michael Aswell

Luke Riley Outclasses Michael Aswell Jr.
Sam Patterson

Suffers Unanimous-Decision Loss
Michael Page

Wins Lackluster Decision
Austen Lane

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Iwo Baraniewski

Delivers 28-Second TKO
Lawson Crouse

Picks Up Three Points in Overtime Win
Filip Forsberg

Takes Predators Past Blackhawks
Alex Ovechkin

Scores 1,000th Career Goal
Tyler Reddick

Overcomes Adversity for Fourth Victory of the Season At Darlington
Brad Keselowski

Falls Short of Darlington Victory Despite Domination
Ryan Blaney

Recovers From Pit-Road Struggles to Score Career-Best Darlington Finish
Carson Hocevar

Rallies to Finish Fourth at Darlington
Kyle Larson

Decent Performance Ends with Technical Issues At Darlington
Tyler Reddick

the Clear Favorite at Darlington
Kyle Larson

a High-Risk, High-Reward Driver at Darlington
Ryan Blaney

Is Getting Better at Darlington
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Not Slowing Down at Darlington
Chris Buescher

Should be a Top-10 Contender at Darlington
Austin Cindric

a Sleeper at Darlington
Erik Jones

Quickest in Practice at Darlington
Denny Hamlin

Qualifies Ninth for this Week's Cup Race at Darlington
Chase Briscoe

Is One of the Top DFS Options of the Week for Darlington
William Byron

Is William Byron A Playable DFS Option for Darlington Lineups?
Christopher Bell

Could Christopher Bell be Considered A Decent DFS Option for Darlington?
Chase Elliott

Is Chase Elliott Worth Rostering At Darlington This Week For DFS?
Joey Logano

May Not Have the Speed to Warrant A Darlington DFS Lineup Spot
Ross Chastain

Should DFS Players Trust Ross Chastain at Darlington?
Kyle Busch

Could Kyle Busch Be A Worthy DFS Option for Darlington?
Brad Keselowski

May be A Contriarian DFS Tournament Option At Darlington
Lerone Murphy

Set For UFC London Main Event
Movsar Evloev

Looks To Remain Unbeaten
Michael Aswell

Jr. An Underdog At UFC London
Luke Riley

Set For UFC London Co-Main Event
Sam Patterson

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Michael Page

Set For Welterweight Bout
Austen Lane

In Dire Need Of Victory
Iwo Baraniewski

A Favorite At UFC London
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF