🖥 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE THANKS
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Tom Bellucco's 10 Bold Predictions for 2016

Fellow writer Kyle Bishop had a great idea for us "experts" to come up with a plethora of bold predictions. So far we've see the 10 bold predictions from Kyle and Max. Now it's my turn.

I like to think I did fairly well on my more conservative predictions last year (believing in the Gerrit Cole, Bryce Harper, and Manny Machado breakouts were among them; calling Justin Verlander a mid-season sleeper was my favorite stance in retrospect), so let's hope I'm not due for regression this year. Anyways, you want bold, and I got bold. Let's see what crazy calls I came up with this year.

Editor's note: Be sure to check out our fantasy baseball rankings assistant. We recently launched this handy new rankings tool - you can easily filter, sort, and export all sorts of rankings for mixed leagues, AL/NL only, top prospects, dynasty formats, keeper values and more! It's all in one place, and all free.

 

Bold Predictions for 2016

1. Jung Ho Kang will finish as a top-four shortstop

I'll get my homer picks out of the way early (notice I said picks) (that means there's another one coming). The eye test is not always as persuasive as analytics these days, but this was a key example of when the eye test works. Prior to his breakout last year, I was convinced that Kang had some of the quickest hands at the plate I had seen in a long time. It translated to an above-average batting average with surprising power up until his gruesome injury. His draft stock will be lower than it should be this year because he'll start the season on the DL. However, as long as he can avoid a setback, Kang should return by the end of April, and he will be playing everyday at third base. Repeat production of last year will put him a step above the boring landscape that is the shortstop position.

2. Gregory Polanco will finish higher on the outfield ranks than teammate Starling Marte

Marte is being drafted well before Polanco in most mock drafts, and that's the way it should be. However, I think their stats will be very similar come October, and I give the edge to Polanco. I won't be drafting Polanco first, but this goes to show you why I won't be drafting Marte at his ADP, and I will likely have a lot of Polanco at his ADP. The right fielder had a rough start to 2015, but from the month of July forward he hit .274 with a BABIP that looked more like what someone of his speed should carry. His power numbers were down, but we've seen the deep ball potential in the past. Polanco has an upside of 30 steals and 110 runs in this offense. While Marte will almost surely beat him in RBI, Polanco has the ability to match him in HRs (I'm predicting a regression for Marte), and a breakout third year will surpass his highly touted teammate.

3. Anthony Rendon will be a top three second baseman and a top five third baseman

Rendon dealt with injuries for a lot of 2015, but he still managed to show flashes of of his 2014 self. If he can manage to avoid another injury this season, the numbers he produced two years ago are very reachable, and the upside is even higher yet. Rendon is a solid contact hitter who has surprising pop to all fields. In a lineup that features arguably the best hitter in baseball in Bryce Harper, Rendon should find a lot of success hitting in the top half of the order. Take Brian Dozier's numbers from last year, subtract a few home runs and add a handful of runs and RBI. That's a very attainable, high-upside season for Rendon.

4. Matt Wieters will be a top 5 catcher

Ranked largely in the 8-10 range among analysts, Wieters is a catcher that I feel can pay off his ADP and then some. If he can keep his troublesome throwing arm healthy, Wieters is guaranteed a prime spot in an Orioles' lineup that is loaded with power. Opposing pitchers will have to throw strikes to someone, right? Let's hope the inflated K% is not going to stick around this year, because in that case a return to Wieters' norm of 20-25 HRs is very reasonable. That could lead to a plethora of helpful counting stats in what should be a high octane offense.

5. Lorenzo Cain will be a top 12 outfielder

I've made the joke many times before that LoCain is a poor man's version of Andrew McCutchen. Well, last year the Royals' center fielder made that poor man very wealthy. Cain is capable of of a 20-110-80-30 season (HR, R, RBI, SB) if he improves on last year's production. While some may think that regression is coming for the 29-year-old, the opposite may actually be the case. His BABIP was not abnormally high, his batting average seemed sustainable, and there's no reason this Kansas City offense can't have the same success this year. Cain is a guy who will do whatever it takes to help his team win games, and most times that results in positive production for your fantasy team, especially in category leagues (Cain has a tendency to take walks at a below average rate).

6. Christian Yelich will bat .300, score 110 runs, and steal 25 bases

Yelich's game plan for 2016? Get on base. Then, he'll likely wait for Giancarlo Stanton to either make an out or drive him in (usually by clearing the fences). If Stanton does get out, Yelich will likely be stealing to get into scoring position for the lesser hitter behind Stanton. That mindset leads me to believe that he'll be a very successful fantasy option this season. Marlins Park is not helpful in the home run department, but its huge yard has and will help Yelich add a few more points to his average. If I can finish my draft with Polanco, Cain, and Yelich on my team, I will feel tremendous about the upside that my team provides from the outfield position, and that's without considering my first or even second round pick.

7. Clayton Kershaw, Chris Sale, and Dallas Keuchel will be the three best pitchers in fantasy baseball

I don't know how much explanation I have for this one. In fact, the same might be the case for my next call too. However, I'm pretty confident that Kershaw is the best pitcher in baseball, and a bump in the road last season won't sway me from that. Outside of him, I think Sale and Keuchel have the command and dominant qualities to rival the Dodgers' ace. There are way too many aces these days to firmly say that such a bold call will come true, but every time I look at a draft board these three studs stand out to me.

8. J.A. Happ will win 15 games and strikeout 200 batters

... And J.A. Happ will be the fourth best pitcher in fantasy baseball. Just kidding. This one's a stretch; I know. However, the eye test worked for me on Kang last season, and I'm leaning on it again for this pick. Happ was committed to throwing more strikes last season, and he had his best year in a while. Now he returns to the dangerous hitter's park in Toronto, and that combined with his age will drive a lot of owners away. However, I think Happ's curve ball is one of the best in the business. Add that to his command that has become near perfect over his countless years pitching, and you may have a guy who can go six innings strong on a consistent basis. He'll need to strikeout more batters to be successful in Toronto, and he'll rack up the wins if he can keep opposing teams under four runs every game. This is my late-round flyer at the starting pitcher spot.

9. Ken Giles will have the most saves in 2016

No rocket science here. Giles is a very good reliever when he can keep his head on his shoulders. The Astros have a seemingly laid back organization, and their offense is really rounding into form with stud hitters like Jose Altuve, Carlos Correa, and George Springer. Giles should get plenty of save opportunities, and he has just as good of a chance as Craig Kimbrel and Wade Davis to lead the league in the main (and most important) closer category.

10. Brett Gardner will play 145 games or more for the fourth straight year

The Yankees marathon man has been excellent in terms of consistency the past three years. Gardner has played 145, 148, and 151 games leading up to his age 32 season. His numbers don't jump off the page at you, but you know what you'll get. If he can stay on the field all year again, we can reasonable expect 15 HR, 90 R, 65 RBI, and 25 SB. That's not going to win you a fantasy baseball championship alone, but it'll put you well on your way considering the low ADP that Gardner ends up with year after year. The boldness is not in the number themselves, but that Gardner can avoid injury for another consecutive season. Maybe it's not as bold as the other picks above, but keep in mind that the aging veteran is due for a DL stint.

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

 




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Conor Timmins

to Miss 6-8 Weeks With Broken Leg
Tristan Jarry

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Versus Bruins
Anthony Cirelli

Injured in Thursday's Loss
Matthew Stafford

Racks Up Highest Yardage Total in Over a Decade
Puka Nacua

Delivers Career-Best Performance on Thursday Night Football
Michael King

Padres Bring Michael King Back on Three-Year Deal
Anthony Edwards

on the Injury Report Again for Friday Night
Joel Embiid

on the Injury Report for Friday Due to an Illness
Logan Webb

Will Pitch for Team USA in World Baseball Classic
Tarik Skubal

Joins Team USA for World Baseball Classic
Anthony Davis

Cleared to Play Versus Detroit
Jakobi Meyers

Jaguars Agree to Three-Year Extension With Jakobi Meyers
Davante Adams

Officially Out on Thursday Night
LaMelo Ball

Available Against Atlanta
Trae Young

on a Minutes Restriction on Thursday
Michael Kesselring

Available After 14-Game Absence
Tyrese Maxey

Off the Injury Report for Friday Night
Peyton Krebs

Good to Go Thursday
Norman Powell

Good to Go Against Brooklyn
Jake Bean

Set for Surgery, Out Indefinitely
Mike Matheson

Misses Second Straight Game Thursday
Mitchell Robinson

Won't Suit Up Against Indiana
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Back for Lightning Thursday
Josh Hart

Sidelined on Thursday Evening
Ryan McDonagh

Available Thursday
OG Anunoby

Available Against Indiana
Karl-Anthony Towns

Out on Thursday Night
Artemi Panarin

a Game-Time Call Thursday
Devin Neal

Placed on Injured Reserve, Will Not Return in 2025
CFB

Will Muschamp Becoming Next Texas Defensive Coordinator
Norman Powell

Upgraded to Probable
Lauri Markkanen

Ruled Out Thursday
LaMelo Ball

Upgraded to Probable for Thursday
Trae Young

Will Play Thursday Against the Hornets
Christian Watson

Questionable for Week 16
Gabe Vincent

Will Miss at Least a Week
Josh Jacobs

Listed as Questionable for Saturday Night
T.J. Watt

Unlikely to Play in Week 16
D'Andre Swift

Questionable to Face the Packers
Rome Odunze

Ruled Out for Week 16
Jawhar Jordan

Could be in for Significant Workload Against Raiders
Rome Odunze

Expected to Miss Third Straight Game
CFB

Beau Pribula Set to Enter Transfer Portal
Josh Jacobs

Expected to Play in Week 16
Sebastian Aho

Leads Hurricanes to Victory With Three-Point Period
Joel Hofer

Notches Third Shutout of the Season
Jordan Martinook

Sustains Lower-Body Injury
Puka Nacua

Brother Charged With Stealing NBA Player's SUV
Jonathan Marchessault

Exits Early Wednesday
Evan Rodrigues

Suffers Lower-Body Injury Wednesday
Lars Eller

to Miss at Least Three More Weeks
Thomas Chabot

Remains Out Thursday
Jrue Holiday

Remains Out Thursday
Khris Middleton

Unavailable Against Spurs
Bilal Coulibaly

Back From Four-Game Absence Thursday
Collin Sexton

Out on Thursday
Tari Eason

Remains Questionable on Injury Report
Bo Bichette

Willing to Make the Move to Second Base
Davante Adams

Doubtful to Play Thursday Night
Matthew Tkachuk

Status Uncertain for Winter Classic
Tyson Foerster

Ruled Out for Five Months
Quinton Byfield

Back From One-Game Absence Wednesday
Gustav Forsling

Available Against Kings
Devin Neal

Ruled Out for Sunday
Christian Watson

"Should be Good" to Face the Bears on Saturday
Geno Smith

has "a Good Chance" to Return in Week 16
Saquon Barkley

Back at Practice on Wednesday
Brady Cook

Will Start Again in Week 16
Patrick Mahomes

Rehabbing ACL, LCL Tears
CFB

Jeremiyah Love Officially Heading to NFL Draft
CFB

Jake Merklinger Leaving Tennessee for Transfer Portal
Mike Trout

Angels Open to Mike Trout Playing Center Field in 2026
CFB

Kansas State's Jayce Brown Intends to Transfer
CFB

Nation's Leading Passer Drew Mestemaker to Enter Transfer Portal
Justin Crawford

Phillies Planning to Start Justin Crawford in Center Field
CFB

Jayden Maiava Signs New Deal to Return to USC
CFB

Aidan Mizell Won't Return to Florida, Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

East Carolina Targeting Jordan Davis as Next Offensive Coordinator
CFB

Michigan QB Jadyn Davis Set to Enter Transfer Portal
CFB

Travis Williams Joining Texas A&M Defensive Staff
CFB

Dylan Raiola Entering His Name into Transfer Portal
CFB

Cincinnati's Brendan Sorsby Plans to Transfer When Portal Opens
Adolis García

Adolis Garcia, Phillies Finalizing One-Year Deal on Monday
Brandon Royval

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
CFB

Baylor, LSU, Miami Among Potential Suitors for DJ Lagway
CFB

Aidan Chiles Will Enter Transfer Portal
Manel Kape

Shines At UFC Vegas 112
Kevin Vallejos

Gets Second-Round Knockout Win
Giga Chikadze

Suffers His First Career Knockout Loss
CFB

Quarterback DJ Lagway Entering Transfer Portal
Cesar Almeida

Gets Dominated
Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Wins Sixth Fight In A Row
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Melquizael Costa

Gets First-Round Knockout Win
Marcus Buchecha

Still Winless In The UFC
Kennedy Nzechukwu

And Marcus Buchecha Fight To Draw
Lance Gibson jr

Lance Gibson Jr. Drops Decision In His UFC Debut
King Green

Gets Back In The Win Column
Kenley Jansen

Agrees to One-Year Deal With Tigers
Merrill Kelly

Returns to Diamondbacks on Two-Year Deal
Jorge Polanco

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Mets
CFB

LaNorris Sellers to Return to South Carolina in 2026

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP