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The Baller Ranks: Top 200 Hitters Weekly Rankings (Week 6)

juan soto fantasy baseball rankings outfield MLB injury news

The Baller Ranks have a new player at number two, and his name is not Tatis, Yellich, or Acuna. While all three of those players have their claims to the second spot, the change is primarily based on volume. With that hint, can you guess which superstar has more remaining games than any other player in the top 10?

As we turned the halfway point in the baseball season, we've been exposed to a slew of postponed games. That change is wreaking havoc with the projected values. Players with extra games are getting meaningful bumps, and players with fewer are seeing their values decline by comparison.

That means that players for teams like the Cardinals, Phillies, Marlins, and Pirates are seeing a boost in their value. I started documenting this two weeks ago with the dramatic changes to the Cardinals' schedule and how that caused the fantasy value for their players to skyrocket. In the interim, several other teams have seen their schedules changed. Here are the teams with the most games remaining in the season. Last night's cancellations will impact this some, but it captures the most notable teams.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and weekly lineup resources:

 

Team Games Remaining
Cardinals 41
Phillies 35
Marlins 35
Pirates 34
Yankees 33
Nationals 33
Tigers 32
Reds 32
Mets 32
Brewers 32
Blue Jays 32
Rangers 31
Orioles 31
Cubs 31

 

Schedule Shenanigans

While most teams have only 28 or 29 games remaining, there are many with 32 or more. For players on those teams, we're seeing value increases from 5% to 25%. The simple reality is that five or six games can mean another two or three home runs, four or five runs and RBI, extra weight for a player with a strong batting average, and another steal or two.

The answer to the question about which superstar has the most remaining games probably depends on whether you consider Bryce Harper to be a superstar. Harper does have more remaining games than anyone else in the top ten, but I don't think he's quite earned honorary of "superstar." Our new number two in the rankings is none other than Juan Soto.

The schedule anomalies I referenced above are particularly significant for players like Harper, Soto, and Goldschmidt, who are not only offensive heavyweights with excellent production per game, but also players who hit at the top of their team's order every single day.

That said, working from the list above, here are the players from those teams with the highest plate shares.

Player Team Plate Share
Jonathan Villar Marlins 108.9%
Trea Turner Nationals 108.1%
Cavan Biggio Blue Jays 106.7%
Paul Goldschmidt Cardinals 105.4%
Keston Hiura Brewers 105.1%
Anthony Santander Orioles 103.3%
Rhys Hoskins Phillies 101.9%
Anthony Rizzo Cubs 101.7%
Christian Yelich Brewers 100.9%
Brandon Nimmo Mets 100.8%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Blue Jays 100.0%
Jonathan Schoop Tigers 100.0%
Michael Conforto Mets 99.2%
Eugenio Suarez Reds 99.1%
Renato Nunez Orioles 98.4%
Pete Alonso Mets 98.3%
Javier Baez Cubs 98.3%
Bryce Harper Phillies 97.1%
Josh Bell Pirates 97.1%
Jesus Aguilar Marlins 97.0%
Teoscar Hernandez Blue Jays 96.6%
Brian Anderson Marlins 96.0%
Nick Solak Rangers 95.8%
Niko Goodrum Tigers 95.6%
Joey Gallo Rangers 94.9%
Joey Votto Reds 94.6%
Adam Eaton Nationals 94.6%
Didi Gregorius Phillies 94.2%
Ian Happ Cubs 94.1%
Asdrubal Cabrera Nationals 93.7%
Kyle Schwarber Cubs 93.3%
J.T. Realmuto Phillies 93.3%
Kolten Wong Cardinals 93.2%
Bryan Reynolds Pirates 93.1%
Andrew McCutchen Phillies 92.3%

Soto is conspicuously absent from that list because his quarantine period cost him eight games.

For Soto, the bonus games are bumping his value by about $5. He's earned the rest of his increase with his performance. Over the last two weeks, he's hit six home runs, 13 R, 13 RBI, and hit .380.

The spike in Soto's projected value is not merely based on the increase in his counting stats, but his ability to contribute a high average. That's not an expectation that he'll hit .380 all year long, but if he just manages his career average of .293, it will have significant value relative to the .242 league-wide batting average this season.

As I said, Harper is a similar case. The Phillies have even more games remaining than the Nationals, and Harper has had a superlative season in his own right. His barrel rate (17.5%), wOBA (.448), and xwOBA (.463) are all in the top 5% of the league right now. Given an extra five or six relative games, there's an argument for pushing Harper's value up to Acuna's at $43.

 

Young Superstars

The shift to Soto's value is tied to another, larger conversation about whether we are being too slow to accept young superstars as the value equivalents of older, more established players. Baseball's aging curves have shifted, and I can't remember any other time when three of the ten best players in baseball were 22 years old or younger. I am, of course, referring to Ronald Acuna, Fernando Tatis Jr., and Juan Soto.

That list omits many other excellent young players who are either on the cusp of ascending to a new level or who did not arrive in the majors until they were older because their teams deemed it financially beneficial to hold them back.

To that end, I'd love to hear more about how to weigh the performances of young players. While I have no intention of discarding what we know about small sample sizes and data stabilization, baseball is doing better at helping young ballplayers reach their ceilings at younger and younger ages.

Having wandered into that quagmire, here are the Meta Report for week 6 and the Baller Ranks Top-200 hitters. If you're unfamiliar with the Meta Report, here's a quick guide on how to read it. And if you missed Nick Mariano's pitcher rankings yesterday, here are his top 101 relievers and his top 101 starters.

 

Week 6 Hitter Rankings

Rank $ Player Pos Trend
1 47.0 Mike Trout OF 0 ▬
2 46.0 Juan Soto OF 1 ▲
3 44.0 Christian Yelich OF -1 ▼
4 43.0 Ronald Acuna Jr. OF 38 ▲
5 38.0 Mookie Betts OF 0 ▬
6 37.0 Bryce Harper OF 4 ▲
7 36.0 Nolan Arenado 3B -3 ▼
8 35.0 Trevor Story SS 0 ▬
9 35.0 Cody Bellinger OF -2 ▼
10 34.0 Fernando Tatis Jr. SS 1 ▲
11 32.0 Francisco Lindor SS -2 ▼
12 31.0 Jose Ramirez 3B -6 ▼
13 29.0 Trea Turner SS 3 ▲
14 29.0 Freddie Freeman 1B -1 ▼
15 28.0 Nelson Cruz DH -1 ▼
16 28.0 J.T. Realmuto C/1B/DH 1 ▲
17 27.0 J.D. Martinez DH -2 ▼
18 25.0 Rafael Devers 3B 0 ▬
19 24.0 Paul Goldschmidt 1B/DH 21 ▲
20 23.0 Manny Machado 3B 4 ▲
21 23.0 Eloy Jimenez OF 1 ▲
22 23.0 Javier Baez SS -3 ▼
23 22.0 Marcell Ozuna OF/DH 4 ▲
24 22.0 Xander Bogaerts SS -1 ▼
25 22.0 Anthony Rendon 3B 5 ▲
26 22.0 Pete Alonso 1B 2 ▲
27 21.0 Luis Robert OF 5 ▲
28 21.0 Nick Castellanos OF 1 ▲
29 20.0 Charlie Blackmon OF -3 ▼
30 19.5 Starling Marte OF 3 ▲
31 19.5 Keston Hiura 2B 17 ▲
32 19.0 Joey Gallo OF 4 ▲
33 19.0 Jose Altuve 2B -12 ▼
34 19.0 George Springer OF -3 ▼
35 18.5 Anthony Rizzo 1B 4 ▲
36 18.0 Whit Merrifield OF 14 ▲
37 18.0 Eddie Rosario OF 0 ▬
38 18.0 Matt Chapman 3B 0 ▬
39 18.0 Ketel Marte 2B -5 ▼
40 17.0 Carlos Correa SS 4 ▲
41 17.0 Yoan Moncada 3B 4 ▲
42 16.5 Tim Anderson SS 11 ▲
43 16.0 Yuli Gurriel 1B 17 ▲
44 16.0 Eugenio Suarez 3B -3 ▼
45 15.5 Jose Abreu 1B 19 ▲
46 15.5 Jonathan Villar 2B/SS/OF 15 ▲
47 15.5 Marcus Semien SS 0 ▬
48 15.5 Ramon Laureano OF 4 ▲
49 15.5 Gary Sanchez C 7 ▲
50 15.5 Austin Meadows OF/DH 1 ▲
51 15.0 Michael Conforto OF 7 ▲
52 15.0 Ozzie Albies 2B 13 ▲
53 14.5 Max Kepler OF 4 ▲
54 14.0 Corey Seager SS/DH 23 ▲
55 14.0 Matt Olson 1B -6 ▼
56 14.0 Jorge Soler DH 6 ▲
57 14.0 Shohei Ohtani DH -11 ▼
58 14.0 Kyle Schwarber OF -4 ▼
59 14.0 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B/DH -4 ▼
60 13.0 Giancarlo Stanton DH 9 ▲
61 12.5 Brandon Lowe 2B 28 ▲
62 12.5 Gio Urshela 3B 16 ▲
63 12.5 Willson Contreras C 7 ▲
64 12.0 Aaron Judge OF/DH -39 ▼
65 12.0 Miguel Sano 1B 9 ▲
66 12.0 Mike Moustakas 2B/DH 5 ▲
67 12.0 Yasmani Grandal C/1B/DH -4 ▼
68 11.5 Max Muncy 1B/2B/3B/DH 0 ▬
69 11.0 Franmil Reyes DH 3 ▲
70 11.0 Didi Gregorius SS 11 ▲
71 11.0 Alex Bregman 3B -59 ▼
72 10.5 Luke Voit 1B 20 ▲
73 10.0 Wil Myers OF 10 ▲
74 10.0 Bo Bichette SS -39 ▼
75 10.0 David Peralta OF 1 ▲
76 10.0 Eduardo Escobar 3B -1 ▼
77 10.0 Victor Robles OF -4 ▼
78 9.5 Kyle Tucker OF 12 ▲
79 9.5 J.D. Davis 3B/OF/DH 17 ▲
80 9.5 Adalberto Mondesi SS -14 ▼
81 9.0 Trent Grisham OF 13 ▲
82 9.0 Andrew McCutchen OF/DH 0 ▬
83 9.0 Jorge Polanco SS -16 ▼
84 9.0 Rhys Hoskins 1B 1 ▲
85 9.0 Gleyber Torres SS -65 ▼
86 9.0 Josh Donaldson 3B -2 ▼
87 8.5 Alex Verdugo OF 4 ▲
88 8.5 Adam Eaton OF -1 ▼
89 8.0 Byron Buxton OF -9 ▼
90 8.0 Josh Bell 1B/DH -11 ▼
91 7.5 Mike Yastrzemski OF 20 ▲
92 7.5 Teoscar Hernandez OF 9 ▲
93 7.5 Avisail Garcia OF -5 ▼
94 7.0 Anthony Santander OF 13 ▲
95 7.0 Renato Nunez 1B/3B/DH 13 ▲
96 7.0 Jonathan Schoop 2B 9 ▲
97 7.0 Justin Turner 3B -38 ▼
98 7.0 Brian Anderson 3B -1 ▼
99 7.0 Christian Vazquez C -13 ▼
100 6.5 Dominic Smith 1B/OF/DH 20 ▲
101 6.5 Jeff McNeil 2B/3B/OF/DH -8 ▼
102 6.0 Dansby Swanson SS 1 ▲
103 6.0 Cavan Biggio 2B 11 ▲
104 6.0 Kyle Seager 3B 21 ▲
105 6.0 Mitch Moreland 1B 12 ▲
106 6.0 Corey Dickerson OF/DH -2 ▼
107 5.5 Randal Grichuk OF -1 ▼
108 5.5 Eric Hosmer 1B 39 ▲
109 5.5 Ian Happ OF 10 ▲
110 5.5 Yadier Molina C 28 ▲
111 5.5 Howie Kendrick 1B/DH -12 ▼
112 5.5 David Dahl OF/DH -12 ▼
113 5.0 A.J. Pollock OF 8 ▲
114 5.0 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. OF 4 ▲
115 5.0 Joey Votto 1B -5 ▼
116 5.0 Will Smith C 12 ▲
117 4.5 Pedro Severino C/DH 34 ▲
118 4.5 Jesse Winker OF/DH -3 ▼
119 4.5 Carlos Santana 1B -21 ▼
120 4.5 Paul DeJong SS -8 ▼
121 4.5 Kolten Wong 2B 3 ▲
122 4.5 Dylan Carlson OF -9 ▼
123 4.0 Kyle Lewis OF 13 ▲
124 4.0 Mark Canha 1B/OF/DH 17 ▲
125 4.0 DJ LeMahieu 1B/2B 9 ▲
126 4.0 Travis d'Arnaud C/DH 36 ▲
127 4.0 Shin-Soo Choo OF/DH 22 ▲
128 3.5 David Fletcher SS 12 ▲
129 3.5 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 3B -6 ▼
130 3.5 Amed Rosario SS -4 ▼
131 3.5 Joc Pederson OF -9 ▼
132 3.5 Jo Adell OF -5 ▼
133 3.0 Willy Adames SS 0 ▬
134 3.0 Christian Walker 1B -25 ▼
135 3.0 Maikel Franco 3B -4 ▼
136 3.0 Wilson Ramos C/DH -20 ▼
137 3.0 Luis Urias 2B/3B/SS 65 ▲
138 3.0 Brett Gardner OF -1 ▼
139 2.5 Ryan McMahon 1B/2B/3B 28 ▲
140 2.5 J.P. Crawford SS 4 ▲
141 2.5 Ryan Braun OF/DH -2 ▼
142 2.5 Alec Bohm 3B 57 ▲
143 2.5 Michael Brantley OF/DH 57 ▲
144 2.5 Khris Davis DH -9 ▼
145 2.5 Travis Shaw 1B/3B/DH -3 ▼
146 2.0 Dylan Moore 1B/2B/3B/SS/OF -3 ▼
147 2.0 Asdrubal Cabrera 1B/3B/DH -2 ▼
148 2.0 Nick Solak OF 18 ▲
149 2.0 Rio Ruiz 3B -20 ▼
150 2.0 Kris Bryant 3B/OF/DH -107 ▼
151 2.0 Hunter Renfroe OF -21 ▼
152 1.5 Jake Cronenworth 1B/2B/3B/SS 27 ▲
153 1.5 Tommy La Stella 1B/2B/DH 23 ▲
154 1.5 Kevin Pillar OF 46 ▲
155 1.5 Aaron Hicks OF -7 ▼
156 1.5 Ryan Mountcastle OF 44 ▲
157 1.5 Joey Bart C 43 ▲
158 1.0 Austin Slater OF/DH -3 ▼
159 1.0 JaCoby Jones OF 16 ▲
160 1.0 Nick Ahmed SS -3 ▼
161 1.0 Jesus Aguilar 1B/DH -8 ▼
162 1.0 Brandon Nimmo OF 16 ▲
163 1.0 Salvador Perez C/1B/DH -68 ▼
164 1.0 Niko Goodrum SS -4 ▼
165 1.0 Cesar Hernandez 2B -2 ▼
166 1.0 Yandy Diaz 3B 11 ▲
167 1.0 Jean Segura 2B/3B/SS -9 ▼
168 1.0 Bryan Reynolds OF -7 ▼
169 1.0 Victor Caratini C/1B/DH -19 ▼
170 1.0 Nick Senzel OF -11 ▼
171 1.0 Daniel Murphy 1B -69 ▼
172 1.0 Kevin Newman 2B/SS -4 ▼
173 1.0 Edwin Encarnacion DH 0 ▬
174 1.0 Danny Santana 1B/OF/DH 12 ▲
175 1.0 Chance Sisco C/DH 25 ▲
176 1.0 Luis Arraez 2B -2 ▼
177 1.0 Kurt Suzuki C/DH 10 ▲
178 1.0 Yoshitomo Tsutsugo 3B/OF/DH -9 ▼
179 1.0 Mitch Garver C/1B -47 ▼
180 1.0 Elvis Andrus SS -28 ▼
181 1.0 Willie Calhoun OF/DH -10 ▼
182 1.0 Max Stassi C 8 ▲
183 1.0 Evan White 1B 17 ▲
184 1.0 Donovan Solano 2B/3B/SS -30 ▼
185 1.0 Evan Longoria 3B 15 ▲
186 1.0 Justin Smoak 1B -4 ▼
187 1.0 Tommy Edman 2B/3B/SS -41 ▼
188 1.0 Sean Murphy C 12 ▲
189 1.0 Miguel Cabrera DH -8 ▼
190 1.0 Daulton Varsho C/OF/DH -7 ▼
191 1.0 Austin Romine C -11 ▼
192 1.0 Andrelton Simmons SS -3 ▼
193 1.0 Danny Jansen C -29 ▼
194 1.0 Omar Narvaez C -24 ▼
195 1.0 Austin Riley 1B/3B/OF 5 ▲
196 1.0 Shogo Akiyama OF -12 ▼
197 1.0 Rowdy Tellez 1B/DH -12 ▼
198 1.0 Carson Kelly P/C -10 ▼
199 1.0 Garrett Hampson 2B/SS/OF/DH -8 ▼
200 1.0 Carter Kieboom 3B/DH 1 ▲

 

Key Rankings Movers

Eric Hosmer (1B, Padres)

No batter has surprised me more than Eric Hosmer this season. For years, Hosmer has been a fantasy afterthought: a stable but unappealing player whose ceiling was barely rosterable in many leagues.

Hosmer may be a year late to the party, but he's become a devout follower of the church of Latter-Day Launch Angles. Hosmer's launch angle this season is 11.9°, almost double his previous career-high of 6.0° in 2015. That change has improved Hosmer's barrel rate from the 5.8% he maintained from 2015 to 2019 to the 13.3% that he has this year.

That launch angle change seems to be driving Hosmer's entire improvement. His exit velocity is almost identical, and most of his plate discipline numbers are remarkably similar. One key difference in Hosmer's plate discipline is that his contact rate has improved. With that, his swinging-strike rate has dropped from 13.4% to 7.3%, and his contact rate has jumped up from 73.0% to 84.7%. Meaningfully, Hosmer has seen more first-pitch strikes. It's possible that change is related to the improved Padres' lineup, but we know that lineup protection has very little evidence behind it.

Regardless, we have a certified swing change with enough data behind it to indicate that fantasy managers can bank on Hosmer's power surge as being real. Whether he ends up as a player with 30 HR power remains to be seen, but his previous pace of 25 HR/162 games seems a very safe projection.

Jonathan Schoop (2B, Tigers)

Schoop has had a few weeks of climbing projections, but unlike Hosmer, there hasn't been an evident change in his game that has improved his value. Instead, Schoop's move to Motor City and its supply of unlimited at-bats is helping to bolster his value.

Despite being an eight-year veteran, Schoop has only gotten full playing time twice in his career. In 2016, he had 647 plate appearances and hit 25 home runs. In 2017, he had 675 plate appearances and hit 32 home runs. Keep in mind those seasons were in the pre-rabbit-ball era, so the power output is even more impressive.

Granted, other factors have hurt the second baseman's value since then. In particular, Schoop's profile shows years with spikes in ground-ball and infield-fly rates, hard-hit rates that plummeted, and walk rates that have been in the bottom tenth of the league. Despite that, Schoop has managed to put it all together in Detroit this year. The consistent playing time and some modest improvements to his plate discipline are allowing Schoop to maintain a pace that would equal his 2017 season.

He's been around so long that it's easy to assume that Schoop is 30 or older, but this is only his age-28 season. While Hosmer, JD Martinez, and Lance Lynn are reminders that a player will sometimes develop dramatically in their later careers, that's not exactly what Schoop has shown. So far, it seems to be more a case of the player we knew, but finally in a situation where he can put his talents to their best use.

Adalberto Mondesi (SS, Royals

When managers drafted Adalberto Mondesi this summer, they were probably taking him as a top-50 player. Mondesi has fallen to 80th in this update, and there are probably many managers who feel he should be lower than that.

Believe it or not, the projection systems have barely changed their outlook on Mondesi since the start of the season. I'm not sure what part of Mondesi's dataset keeps his projection so stable, but the machines have real confidence that he will rebound.

It's not clear to me that he deserves all of that confidence. The $9.5 tag on him isn't a total collapse of Mondesi's projected value. However, it is a definite correction that accounts for his inability to barrel the ball this season and the fact that critical numbers like his barrel rate (5.3%), walk rate (1.8%), and hard-hit rate (30.7%) have started to stabilize.

I worried in the spring that Mondesi would struggle this season because of the combination of his high-strikeout tendencies and his recovery from shoulder surgery. I also thought that the delayed start would give him time to recover, but that's not what he's shown so far this season.

Free-swingers like Mondesi are always prone to bouts of extreme streakiness, and the frantic nature of this season is distorting our ability to regard players like him with the perspective they deserve. However, it's hard to dismiss a 31-game, 115 PA period with a .199 xwOBA as a negative indicator of his status.



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Loses Out On Winning At Martinsville
Rose Namajunas3 days ago

Drops Decision Matchup
Erin Blanchfield3 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Dustin Stoltzfus3 days ago

Gets First-Round Knockout At UFC Edmonton
Marc-Andre Barriault3 days ago

Knocked Out At UFC Edmonton
Trevin Giles3 days ago

Losses Third Fight In A Row
Mike Malott3 days ago

Wins Decision At UFC Edmonton
NASCAR4 days ago

Speeding Penalty Foils Martin Truex Jr.'s Last Realistic Shot At Winning
Denny Hamlin4 days ago

Fails To Advance To Championship 4 But Runs Well
Shane Van Gisbergen4 days ago

Shane van Gisbergen Earns Best Oval Finish at Martinsville
William Byron4 days ago

Tentatively In Championship 4 Pending Ruling On Manufacturer Orders
MMA4 days ago

Ariane Lipski Submitted At UFC Edmonton
Jasmine Jasudavicius4 days ago

Gets Submission Win At UFC Edmonton
Caio Machado4 days ago

Still Winless In The UFC
Brendson Ribeiro4 days ago

Edges Out Split Decision At UFC Edmonton
Amir Albazi4 days ago

Falls Short At UFC Edmonton
Brandon Moreno4 days ago

Dominates At UFC Edmonton
Daniel Suarez4 days ago

Will Start 20th At Martinsville
Zane Smith4 days ago

Might Be An Underrated Value Play For Martinsville
Tyler Reddick4 days ago

Is A Top DFS Recommendation For Martinsville Lineups
Joey Logano4 days ago

Will Be One To Watch At Martinsville
Brad Keselowski4 days ago

Should DFS Players Rely On Brad Keselowski For Martinsville Lineups?
Carson Hocevar4 days ago

Is A Great DFS Option For All Martinsville DFS Lineups
Ty Gibbs4 days ago

Is Ty Gibbs Worth Rostering At Martinsville This Week For DFS?
Austin Cindric4 days ago

Could Have A Top-20 Performance At Martinsville
William Byron4 days ago

Might Be Usable Only In DFS Tournaments At Martinsville
Chris Buescher4 days ago

Should DFS Players Roster Chris Buescher At Martinsville?
Alex Bowman4 days ago

Expect A Solid Top-10 Performance From Alex Bowman At Martinsville
Rose Namajunas6 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Edmonton
Erin Blanchfield6 days ago

Returns At UFC Edmonton
Marc-Andre Barriault6 days ago

Dustin Stoltzfus Set To Face Marc-Andre Barriault At UFC Edmonton
Marc-Andre Barriault6 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Edmonton
Trevin Giles6 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Mike Malott6 days ago

Opens Up UFC Edmonton Main Card

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TE
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DEF
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