X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

Seven Seconds or Harden: D'Antoni and the Rockets

After being a preseason favorite in the West, last year's Rockets stumbled out of the gate, fired head coach Kevin McHale, and limped into the playoffs under interim coach J. B. Bickerstaff.  This offseason they made big changes. First of all, Mike D’Antoni is now at the reigns of the Harden Express and his fast paced coaching style already has Houston in the right direction. D’Antoni has great playoff experience and will be able to help the Rockets in late game situations with creative offensive strategies. His offense is fun to watch and will mesh perfectly with a Rockets roster now that they've let Dwight Howard walk. To further fit with D'Antoni's game, they added even more shooting by adding two former New Orleans Pelicans, stretch-four Ryan Anderson and combo-guard Eric Gordon.

We all know what James Harden can do -- he is one of three or four players who have a case to be drafted first overall in fantasy leagues, and the hope under D'Antoni is that he'll see his numbers go even higher if they Rockets play at a faster pace, sacrificing defense for offense.  I won't waste time with further superlatives -- let's get into what we can expect from the rest of the team under their new head coac.

 

Ryno Stretching the Floor

Ryan Anderson averaged 17.0 PPG for the Pelicans last year which would've be second behind only James Harden in scoring for the Rockets. Not only will he take pressure off of Harden, but he can score from anywhere on the court. He has great range and his 36% average from 3PT range actually puts him above Harden (to be fair to Harden, though, he creates his own shots, so they come with a higher degree of difficulty). Although Anderson has been known to be more of a bench scorer, there is no reason he shouldn't excel when in a starting role. Last year he averaged around 30.4 MPG, which might even increase in D'Antoni's system. The Rockets have little veteran depth across the board and sorely could use the help of Anderson. He will create space for the rest of the team and can be a centerpiece for the Houston offense. He can score in the low post as well as from the outside very efficiently and will be THE go-to forward in Houston.

Anderson is going to be a regular DFS play in D'Antoni's offense. He should be comfortable in it right away, since his coach in New Orleans, Alvin Gentry, was a former D'Antoni assistant in Phoenix. Anderson will be one of those players that can explode for 30 points for a fairly cheap price, if you look for the right matchups.  In standard leagues, Anderson is fairly one-dimensional player as a points/threes option, but could be end up being an under-priced pick and a great fit as a big man on teams that are punting FG% or blocks.  He'll likely come cheaper because of his checkered injury history, if that's an area where you're willing to gamble.

In New Orleans, Ryan Anderson had a usage rate of 24.7, the third most used player on the Pelicans. In Houston, Harden holds a 32.5% usage rate and is the most used, obviously. Among the select Rockets that played over 70 games, Dwight Howard was second with 18.4%. It is fair to assume that Anderson’s usage will take a hit and fall closer to the 19-20 range given how much Harden demands the ball.  However, if he does add to his minutes per game, that would offset his usage rate. Regardless if his usage falls, he should be second on the team in usage and will be a big part of the offense. With Anderson being an elite shooter and playing alongside a force on the wing in Harden, less usage could work in his favor with increased efficiency, converting more attempts with less opportunities, and posting a better FG% for fantasy owners.

On the flip side, Ryan Anderson is not a good defender and that will be a thorn in the foot of the Rockets all season. Luckily, bad defense doesn't hurt you in fantasy as long as it doesn't get you benched. In fact, it might even help, as it allows the other team to score more points and force you to keep up. Incidentally, it also allows DFS owners to target the Rockets as a juicy matchup if they're going to be trotting out two subpar defenders in Harden and Anderson at the same time.

 

Eric Gordon: A Newly Made Sixth Man

Although Eric Gordon is coming off a shortened season, that doesn't hurt his draft value for me in seasonal leagues. But that is only because I believe Gordon should not be drafted at all. Gordon has not played more than 64 games since his rookie year, suffering injury after injury and constantly missing time. While none of his injuries seem all that related (last year it was a broken finger attempting to swipe a ball away from Rudy Gobert), I'm still not willing to invest in a guy who is so consistently hurt like Gordon is.

While his shooting has been as good as it's always been -- 38% from 3PT last year, with a career high 2.5 makes -- he doesn't produce much elsewhere outside of points and threes.  While I said the same thing about Anderson, that's different -- Anderson naturally gets a few rebounds as a big man, and being a three point threat as a PF is much more useful in H2H category leagues where you're punting other big man stats.  Your guards need to do other stuff.

The real problem is how Gordon is going to be able to produce in a 3 guard rotation with Harden and Beverley. It appears for now, he'll be the guy coming off the bench, which makes sense since his ability to create offense will be helpful when Harden sits, with Beverly being a better fit alongside Harden for his defense. He could do well as a 6th man in the D'Antoni offense, nonetheless -- look at what Leandro Barbosa did in his prime as 6th man for the Suns offense. At least this means they won't have to play Jason Terry close to 30 minutes anymore.

His streakiness is concerning and I believe that he will not be a consistent fantasy asset in standard leagues given his lack of production elsewhere when his shot's not falling. He is also now playing with James Harden, who will eat up possessions for Houston.  Last year, Gordon played a massive role in the Pelicans offense (often starting alongside a distributor with Jrue Holiday leading the bench units). He will be used in that way in spurts to rest Harden, but he'll still have to share the floor some of the time with Harden, so his usage will take a step back. In seasonal leagues, there are options with much higher upside throughout the draft who won't have the injury downside of Gordon. I'm taking a hard pass. In DFS, Gordon is another strictly matchup play like Anderson. Against a team with weaker defensive guards, he could be a great cheaper DFS option. He'd also be tremendous option were Harden to miss any games... but Harden has only missed one game (as a result of a suspension) in the last two years, so that's unlikely.

 

Trevor Ariza, Clint Capela, and Everyone Else

While Patrick Beverley can be a nice deeper league option, Trevor Ariza and Clint Capela should be the only other two players on your fantasy basketball radar in standard leagues. Trevor Ariza is going to continue to get plenty of playing time as a defensive anchor. Not only can he defend but Ariza has proven to be a bit of a menace when he finds his shot. He contributes mostly in 3s there.  However, that is going to fade with Anderson and Gordon taking up more outside shots.  His age may be concerning as he's now 31 and adding Gordon could mean Ariza will see less minutes.  He'll still be a quality contributor in steals with a few threes, but you should probably expect decline in his numbers from recent seasons.

Clint Capela now has a huge opportunity to start with Dwight Howard is out of the picture. Unfortunately, Ryan Anderson will likely steal a lot of the potential scoring from Clint as Anderson is a more versatile offensive threat. The 22-year-old Capela averaged a little under 20 minutes-per-game last season and contributed 6.4 PPG along with 6.0 RPG, 0.8 steals and 1.2 blocks. Capela is going to be under the basket and should be the top rebounder for the Rockets, as well as a nice source of defensive stats. I don't think he will get quite the run to be a consistent double-double candidate -- he started 35 games last year, after all, and still only averaged 23.5 minutes per game in those.

The biggest problem for Capela is inability to convert FTs -- 37% last season. In roto leagues, this will make him basically unplayable, while in H2H leagues he may be best left for teams punting FT%.

The Rockets will be a new team and turn some heads but for fantasy, most of that production is still going to be going to select few players, and primarily to James Harden.  Ryan Anderson is the only other player I'm expecting to be a decent pick at his draft value.  I'm passing on Gordon's injury concerns, Ariza's age, and Capela's poor free throw shooting.

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Projections
Articles & Tools
Weekly Planner
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Tyler Soderstrom

Returns to A's Lineup
Tyler Warren

Sidelined on Wednesday with Toe Injury
Jaylen Waddle

Questionable for Week 3 Against Buffalo
Joe Burrow

Bengals Not Closing the Door on Joe Burrow Returning This Year
CFB

LaNorris Sellers to Play Against Missouri?
Kyle Tucker

Progress has "Plateaued"
Isaac Paredes

has "Outside Chance" to Return This Weekend
CFB

Kaidon Salter Expected To Start for Colorado on Saturday
Willson Contreras

Goes on 10-Day Injured List, Done for Season
Justin Fields

Ruled Out for Week 3 Due to Concussion
Jayden Reed

Out Indefinitely After Foot and Shoulder Surgery
Washington Commanders

Preston Smith Signs With Commanders
Trey Jemison III

Joins Knicks on Two-Way Contract
Kevin McCullar Jr.

Signs New Two-Way Deal With Knicks
Matt Ryan

Returns to Knicks on Exhibit 10 Contract
New York Knicks

Alex Len Signs Exhibit 9 Deal With Knicks
Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Expected to Take on Larger Offensive Role With Hawks
Thomas Sorber

Undergoes Surgery
Dominic Canzone

Has Five-Hit, Three-Homer Game Tuesday
Cal Raleigh

Sets Single-Season Home Run Record for a Switch-Hitter
Jayden Reed

Undergoes Clavicle and Foot Surgeries, Out for Foreseeable Future
Bo Bichette

to Miss Rest of Regular Season
Zach Neto

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Hand Injury
Yordan Alvarez

Out on Tuesday, Dealing With "Significant" Ankle Sprain
Aaron Jones Sr.

Vikings Place Aaron Jones Sr. on Injured Reserve With Hamstring Injury
CFB

Diego Pavia Refutes Report of Seeking Seventh Collegiate Season
Christian Kirk

Expected to Return in Week 3
CFB

Diego Pavia Seeking Another Year of Eligibility
Tarik Skubal

on Track to Start Thursday
CFB

Kevorian Barnes Questionable Against SMU
Bo Bichette

has Short-Term Knee Injury, Could Return for Postseason
Tosan Evbuomwan

Joins Knicks
NBA

Kai Jones Links Up With EuroLeague Team
Bismack Biyombo

Returns to Spurs
Bones Hyland

Rejoins Timberwolves
Kobe Bufkin

Moves to Brooklyn
Trey Yesavage

Sets Franchise Strikeout Record On Monday
Yordan Alvarez

To Receive MRI For Sprained Left Ankle On Tuesday
Willson Contreras

Exits Early Monday With Right-Biceps Tightness
Yordan Alvarez

Exits With Ankle Sprain
Brock Bowers

Officially Active on Monday Night
Jauan Jennings

Day-to-Day With Ankle Injury
Logan O'Hoppe

Activated Off Seven-Day Injured List
CBJ

Denton Mateychuk Dealing With Groin Issue
Bo Horvat

Fine for Training Camp
Kirby Dach

on Track to Be Ready for Opening Night
Jose Altuve

Returns Against Rangers
J.J. McCarthy

Expected to Miss 2-4 Weeks With High-Ankle Sprain
J.J. McCarthy

Likely Out for Week 3 With High-Ankle Sprain
Jean Silva

Gets Finished For The First Time In His Career
Aaron Jones Sr.

Unlikely to Play in Week 3 Due to Hamstring Injury
Diego Lopes

Returns To The Win Column
Jayden Daniels

' Week 3 Status in Doubt
Rob Font

Outclassed In The Noche UFC 3 Co-Main Event
David Martinez

Wins His Second UFC Fight
Jared Gordon

Suffers Brutal TKO Loss At Noche UFC 3
Rafa Garcia

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Brian Thomas Jr.

Dealing with Wrist Injury
Dustin Stoltzfus

Drops A Decision At Noche UFC 3
Kelvin Gastelum

Gets Back In The Win Column
Diego Ferreira

Suffers Second-Round TKO
Alexander Hernandez

Extends His Win Streak With A Brutal TKO
Quang Le

Suffers First-Round Knockout
Santiago Luna

Shines In His UFC Debut
Christopher Bell

Earns his First Bristol Cup Series Victory
Alex Bowman

Falls Short of Advancing Through Cup Series Playoffs
Chase Briscoe

Collects his Third Top-10 Finish at Bristol
Ryan Blaney

Strong Top-Five Bristol Performance Advances him to the Playoffs
Corey Heim

Earns his First Career Cup Series Top-10 Finish at Bristol
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Leads Greece to Bronze Medal
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Drops 28 Points in EuroBasket Finals
CFB

Indiana's Lee Beebe Jr. Out for Season with Knee Injury
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Named EuroBasket MVP
Bryce Eldridge

Giants to Promote Bryce Eldridge
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Progressing in Recovery
Jonathan Kuminga

Receives New Offer From Warriors
Kenneth Walker III

Bounces Back with Big Week 2 Performance
Bijan Robinson

Rushes for 143 Yards in Week 2
Justin Fields

Currently in Concussion Protocol
Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals Calling Around to Available Free-Agent Quarterbacks
Joe Burrow

to Undergo Surgery, Out at Least Three Months
Emil Heineman

Aiming to Take the "Next Step" This Season
Braeden Cootes

Good to Go for Camp
Ivan Fedotov

Blue Jackets Acquire Ivan Fedotov From Flyers
Garrett Crochet

Punches Out 12 in Win
Cole Ragans

to Return on Wednesday
George Kirby

Strikes Out 14 in Win
Quentin Grimes

Still Not Close to a New Contract Agreement
Joel Embiid

"Looking Slender, Spry and in Positive Spirits"
Ty Gibbs

Has Arguably his Best Career Drive, but Only Finishes 10th
Chase Elliott

Despite Crashing Out at Bristol, Chase Elliott Advances to Round of 12
Austin Dillon

Misses Round of 12 After Extremely Mediocre Bristol Run
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen Fails to Advance to Round of 12
Josh Berry

Finishes Last in All Three Round of 16 Races to Fail to Advance
CFB

Ryan Williams Explodes In Return To Field
CFB

Drew Allar Plays Mediocre Game In Blowout Win
CFB

LaNorris Sellers Exits Game In Blowout Loss
CFB

DJ Lagway Tosses Five Interceptions In Loss
CFB

Garrett Nussmeier Plays Game Manager in Saturday's Win
CFB

CJ Carr Remains Poised In Narrow Loss
CFB

John Mateer Leads Oklahoma In Rout
CFB

Arch Manning Struggles Against UTEP
CFB

Jeremiah Smith Impresses In Win
CFB

Sam Leavitt Shines As Arizona State Rebounds From Week 2 Loss
Ivan Demidov

Turning Heads in Rookie Camp
NHL

Calvin de Haan Signs With Swedish Team
Samuel Girard

Skates With Non-Contact Jersey
Mackenzie Blackwood

Dealing With Injury Ahead of Training Camp
Spencer Knight

Signs Three-Year Extension With Blackhawks
Chris Buescher

May have Another Solid Run at Bristol
Corey Perry

Out 6-8 Weeks Following Surgery
Kyle Busch

Should DFS Managers Roster Kyle Busch at Bristol?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

Is Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Too Risky to Consider Rostering at Bristol?
Michael McDowell

Could be A Solid Value Option For Bristol DFS Lineups
Chase Elliott

Probably Won't Factor in for Bristol Win
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Not as Strong at Bristol as Other Short Tracks
Alex Bowman

Needs to Win to Make Round of 12
Ross Chastain

has Never Led at Bristol but Has Been Pretty Consistent
Austin Dillon

Richmond Speed Unlikely to Carry Over to Bristol
Josh Berry

Might Run Well at Bristol, but Almost Certainly Won't Win to Advance
Justin Haley

Bristol One of Justin Haley's Few Recent Bright Spots
CFB

Austin Simmons Listed As Game-Time Decision Against Arkansas
CFB

Nico Iamaleava Struggles In Fourth Straight Loss
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Dealing With a "Tweak"
BUF

Alexandar Georgiev Joins Sabres on One-Year Deal
Corey Perry

Injured During Pre-Camp Skate
CFB

Antonio Williams Out Against Georgia Tech
CFB

CJ Bailey Flashes Again in Win Over Wake Forest
CFB

Jaxson Moi a Game-Time Decision for Tennessee on Saturday
Jean Silva

A Favorite At Noche UFC 3
Diego Lopes

Set For Noche UFC 3 Main Event
Rob Font

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
David Martinez

Set For Noche UFC 3 Co-Main Event
Rafa Garcia

An Underdog At Noche UFC 3
Jared Gordon

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Dustin Stoltzfus

Looks To Return To The Win Column
Kelvin Gastelum

In Dire Need Of Victory
Diego Ferreira

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Malcolm Brogdon

Heading to Knicks on One-Year Deal
Landry Shamet

Staying with the Knicks

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP