X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Reviewing Tom Bellucco's 10 Bold Predictions for 2017

RotoBaller's Tom Bellucco reviews his bold predictions for the 2017 fantasy baseball season.

Well, my quest for a second straight championship in the RotoBaller Expert's League fell short. Congrats to Max Petrie for pulling away mercilessly in the final few weeks. Luckily I was able to hold off the aggressive pushes from Brad Johnson and Kyle Bishop to finish in second place.

For those of you keeping track at home, that's a second place finish in 2015, a first place finish in 2016, and a second place finish in 2017. You know you're running hot when the butt of the jokes in the group chat at season's end are "Well, at least Tom didn't win!" Let's hope we can keep this pattern going next season.

As for my bold calls, I'm not all that impressed. For one, I thought I missed some hanging curveballs looking back. Mentioning my optimism for Robbie Ray, Luis Severino, and Charlie Blackmon in some shap or form surely would've made me seem smarter. Oh well. Let's figure out where my pre-season boldness led me at season's end.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Reviewing Tom Bellucco's 10 Bold Predictions for 2017

1. Byron Buxton will be a top 20 OF in 5x5 roto leagues

This one started out really rough. Byron Buxton batted just .216 in the first half, mimmicking his struggles from previous seasons and even getting demoted to ninth in the Twins' order. The only bright spots were his stolen bases and his stellar defensive play. After waiting for what seemed like far too long, I dropped Lord Byron for what was probably another bum outfielder. He made me look dumb.

Buxton went nuts in the second half despite missing some games due to an injury. During the 56 games he played, he stole 13 more bases (29 total) and hit 11 home runs (16 total) while averaging .300 (.253 total). The improvement helped get him back up to the sixth or seventh spots in the order, but that move wasn't enough to bolster his RBI and run numbers. Depending on how you calculate roto value, he was probably somewhere just outside the top 30 outfielders (37 on ESPN's Player Rater). Maybe I'll just let someone else draft him next year and plan to trade for him or pick him up in July.

 

2. Yasmani Grandal will hit 30+ HR this season

This was certainly a bold call, and I'm starting to think that Yasmani Grandal just doesn't have the average needed to hit 30 bombs. He finished with 22 homers in 129, which is respectable, and his average did come back up a bit to .247, but his 17% HR/FB rate left me hanging (down from 25% last year). His peripheral numbers all look pretty identical, so I think this is a stat line we can come to expect from Grandal going forward. He was probably a top 10 catcher in your format, so we can't be all that upset.

 

3. Joey Votto and Freddie Freeman will join Paul Goldschmidt in the top 3 of points league first baseman

Oh what could have been if Freddie Freeman had just stayed healthy.

I basically want to give myself a win on this one based on Freeman's crazy production when healthy this season. As for Joey Votto and Paul Goldschmidt, they both lapped the field in terms of production. Jose Abreu quietly made an impressive push at the top 3, but I think he, along with Anthony Rizzo, Edwin Encarnacion, and Daniel Murphy, will be a tier behind these three stud first basemen in next year's draft (with Rizzo being on the cusp of Tier 1, for what it's worth).

 

4. James Paxton will become an ace

Looking back, this one may not have been bold enough, simply because almost everyone else saw the potential. James Paxton finished an injury-scarred season with a 2.98 ERA, 1.10 WHIP, and 10.3 K/9 in his 136 innings pitched. The combination of his vamped up fastball and devastating breaking ball fooled hitters whenever he was on the mound. If he can stay healthy, Paxton could crack the first tier of starting pitchers next year.

 

5. Sean Manaea will strike out 200 batters in 2017

Sean Manaea didn't quite reach the high expectations I set for him, but a mid-season physical change might've been responsible for his second half struggles. The San Francisco Chronicle reported that Manaea lost 25 pounds and a significant amount of velocity after changing up his ADD medication. We could sit here and pointlessly pretend we know what happened to the big lefty until the cows come home, but if he can at least get back to his first half self next year, he'll have a real shot to eclipse the 200 strikeouts I boldly predicted for him in 2017.

 

6. Hector Neris saves 35 games in 2017

Half of this battle was predicting that Hector Neris would steal the closer gig from Jeanmar Gomez (OK, maybe that part was inevitable) which he did in late April, giving him a chance at that optimistic 35 saves. Unfortunately, the Phillies offense and starting pitchers weren't nearly as kind. He also had a few hiccups with mechanics along the way. However, Neris got closer than I thought he would thanks to his nine(!!!) saves in September, finishing with 26 on the year. Of course, these saves were going directly to Max's RB Experts League team while he pulled away from my worthless bullpen. Anyways, if nothing else, the second half of the season showed us how dominate Neris can be in this role if the Phillies slew of young, promising hitters can put up some runs next season.

 

7. Daniel Murphy will hit below .290 this season

I would not like to spend all that much time on this one. Let's just say this prediction had no evidence backing it to begin with (perhaps other than some personal bias), and it turned out to be wronger than Cam Newton's remarks at the press conference podium. The good news is that my fellow RB experts had the same skeptial outlook as me (or maybe they were drunk at this point in the auction) because I got Daniel Murphy on the cheap ($23 out of a $260 budget [about the same as Carlos Gonzalez, Kyle Schwarber, and Christian Yelich]) and rode him to a very successful season. Thanks guys, and sorry for doubting you, Murph.

 

 8. The worst case scenario happens with Billy Hamilton

I'm not sure how to view this one. I'm still glad that I didn't own Billy Hamilton anywhere, but he didn't exactly fall off the face of the earth either. I just keep thinking that with a .247 batting average and 59 stolen bases, imagine what he could actually do if his OBP wasn't a dreadful .299! That's bad for a leadoff hitter who's supposed to be scoring runs, folks. Hamilton remained in the leadoff role for the 2017 season, so that alongside with his skillset provides plenty of value (especially in roto leagues), but I still think it's a lot to sacrifice three categories in order to excel in one (stolen bases) and just get by in another (runs). I guess I'll just always be on this side of that Hamilton fence.

 

9. Matt Harvey will be on the waiver wire by the end of the 2017 season

Nice! This one might've been all but certain to a lot of us, but it feels good to have read Matt Harvey's boom/bust outlook the correct way. Those of you who drafted him late or bought him in auctions probably didn't lose a whole lot by just dropping him after a month or so, but at least I didn't spend my valuable $9 and a roster spot on him (sorry Harris). Don't even think about biting next year. Harvey is toast.

 

10. Andrew McCutchen has the best right fielder season in Pittsburgh since Roberto Clemente

Time to get emotional.

I was so torn at the end of March when Andrew McCutchen was demoted to the sixth spot in the order and trade rumors swirled around him and the Pirates. As a realistic Buccos fan, I could totally see why the organization would just get something, anything for him while they still had a chance, despite the fact that he brought the franchise back from the depths of hell. Then, it happened.

Cutch hit .308 with 20 home runs between June 1st and the end of the season. He also stole six bases in that span, putting his totals at 28 home runs and 11 stolen bases in the 2017 season with a respectable .279 average. That was good enough for a finish of outfielder number 22 on ESPN's Player Rater.

Even better was the fact that he played 156 games, marking his eighth season in a row with 146 or more games played. The only time in his career when he was below that mark was his rookie season in 2009 when he was promoted in June. Outside of that 146, his second-lowest mark is 153. Say what you want about the ups and downs of his career, but the guy has been out there and playing through it all.

Was the season as good as I hoped for my favorite baseball player of all time? No, not quite. However, he certainly proved his worth offensively, even if it was for a team that slowly imploded in the late months. Regardless, I hope that Cutch can continue to produce enough to get another contract or two, retire in Pittsburgh after a handful more of these type of offensive seasons, and just maybe win a World Series ring :).

 




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Hunter Brown4 hours ago

Quality-Start Streak Continues Tuesday
Jordan Spieth4 hours ago

Targets Another Strong RBC Heritage Showing
Kevin Gausman4 hours ago

Tosses Another Quality Start In Tuesday's Win
Jasson Domínguez5 hours ago

Jasson Dominguez Collects Three Hits, Three RBI Tuesday
Collin Morikawa5 hours ago

Eyeing Victory At RBC Heritage
Jake Irvin5 hours ago

Tosses Seven Shutout Innings In Tuesday Win
Alex Bregman5 hours ago

Collects Five Hits, Four RBI Tuesday
Max Homa5 hours ago

Breaks Through At The Masters
Tyler Soderstrom5 hours ago

Hits Two Three-Run Homers Tuesday
Corbin Carroll5 hours ago

Hits Grand Slam, Plates Five Tuesday
Weston Wilson5 hours ago

Moves Rehab Assignment To Triple-A
Noelvi Marte5 hours ago

Heads Back To Triple-A
Endy Rodríguez6 hours ago

Endy Rodriguez Lands On Injured List
Trevor Megill6 hours ago

Ready To Go
Tobias Myers6 hours ago

To Make Next Rehab Start On Friday
Brandon Woodruff6 hours ago

To Go Four Innings In Thursday's Rehab Start
Bobby Miller6 hours ago

To Start On Wednesday Against Rockies
Keider Montero6 hours ago

To Start On Wednesday Against Milwaukee
Paul DeJong6 hours ago

Paul Dejong Leaves Early After Being Hit In The Face By A Pitch
Matt Wallner6 hours ago

Suffers Hamstring Injury On Tuesday
Carlos Correa7 hours ago

Departs Monday's Game With Wrist Soreness
Tony Finau7 hours ago

A Hard Player To Trust At RBC Heritage
Jake Cronenworth7 hours ago

Could Be Out A Month-Plus
Bryan Hoeing7 hours ago

Mixes In Breaking Balls In Tuesday's Bullpen
Yu Darvish7 hours ago

Plays Catch Off Mound
Corey Conners7 hours ago

Looking To Keep Momentum Going At RBC Heritage
Moses Moody8 hours ago

Available Versus Memphis
Dalen Terry8 hours ago

Probable Versus The Heat
Lonzo Ball8 hours ago

Doubtful For Wednesday Night
Anthony Davis8 hours ago

Probable Versus Sacramento
John FitzPatrick10 hours ago

Re-Signs With Green Bay
Cleveland Browns10 hours ago

Julian Okwara Signs With Cleveland
Gabriel Landeskog10 hours ago

Could Be An Option For Playoff Opener
MIN10 hours ago

Jake Middleton Returns From Four-Game Absence
Trae Young11 hours ago

Cleared To Face Orlando
Jared Spurgeon11 hours ago

Available Against Ducks
Josh Giddey11 hours ago

Expected To Play On Wednesday Night
Ilya Samsonov11 hours ago

Returns To Vegas Crease Tuesday
Noah Hanifin11 hours ago

To Be Rested Against Flames
Moses Moody11 hours ago

Added To The Injury Report
Mark Stone11 hours ago

Sits Out Tuesday's Action
Oliver Ekman-Larsson11 hours ago

Expected To Return For Postseason
Owen Power11 hours ago

To Miss Rest Of Regular Season
Viktor Hovland11 hours ago

Remains Volatile Ahead Of RBC Heritage
Stefan Noesen11 hours ago

Returns To Action Tuesday
Russell Henley12 hours ago

To Bounce Back At RBC Heritage
Claude Giroux12 hours ago

Won't Play On Tuesday
Jake Sanderson12 hours ago

Resting Against Blackhawks
Jason Day12 hours ago

Making Eighth Career Start At Harbour Town
Adam Pelech12 hours ago

Available Tuesday
Nikolaj Ehlers12 hours ago

Considered Week-To-Week
Logan Couture12 hours ago

Announces Retirement
Ludvig Aberg12 hours ago

A Top Player To Possibly Avoid At RBC Heritage
Green Bay Packers14 hours ago

Packers Remain Committed To Trading Jaire Alexander, Have Received Interest
Mark Andrews14 hours ago

Ravens Non-Committal On Mark Andrews' Status With Team
14 hours ago

Giants Holding Private Workouts For Jalen Milroe, Tyler Shough
Carolina Panthers15 hours ago

Panthers Open To Trading Back From No. 8 Overall Pick
Dallas Cowboys15 hours ago

Tyron Smith Calling It A Career
15 hours ago

Omarion Hampton Visits With Bears
Tyreek Hill16 hours ago

Dolphins Not Pursuing A Trade Of Tyreek Hill
16 hours ago

Shedeur Sanders To Hold A Final Private Workout For Giants On Thursday
Green Bay Packers16 hours ago

Isaiah Simmons Visits With Packers
Courtland Sutton16 hours ago

Contract Talks With Courtland Sutton "Moving In The Right Direction"
Dak Prescott16 hours ago

To Be Limited During Voluntary Workouts
NFL16 hours ago

Travis Hunter Not Interested In Being Limited To One Side Of The Ball
Miami Dolphins16 hours ago

Dolphins, Jalen Ramsey Mutually Agree To Explore Trade Options
Grant Williams19 hours ago

"Hitting Milestones"
Robert Williams III19 hours ago

Expects To Be Ready For Training Camp
LaMelo Ball20 hours ago

Hornets Want LaMelo Ball To "Get Stronger"
Luke Kennard20 hours ago

Active On Tuesday
Santi Aldama20 hours ago

Returns To Grizzlies Lineup Tuesday
Zach Edey20 hours ago

Ready To Face Warriors
Scotty Pippen Jr.20 hours ago

Good To Go Against Warriors
Jaren Jackson Jr.20 hours ago

Available Against Warriors
Desmond Bane20 hours ago

Ready For Play-In Action
Ja Morant20 hours ago

Back In Action Tuesday
Draymond Green20 hours ago

Available Tuesday
Jimmy Butler III20 hours ago

Good To Go For Tuesday
Devin Booker21 hours ago

Wants To Stay In Phoenix
Alexander Volkanovski21 hours ago

Reclaims Featherweight Title
Diego Lopes21 hours ago

Drops Decision At UFC 314
Paddy Pimblett22 hours ago

Remains Undefeated In The UFC
Michael Chandler22 hours ago

Suffers TKO Loss
Frank Nazar22 hours ago

Tallies Two Points In Victory
MMA22 hours ago

Patricio Freire Gets Dominated In His UFC Debut
Yair Rodriguez22 hours ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
J.T. Miller22 hours ago

Posts Third Straight Two-Point Game
Bryce Mitchell22 hours ago

Gets Submitted At UFC 314
Clayton Keller22 hours ago

Tallies Four Points On Monday
Lucas Raymond23 hours ago

Scores Goal, Adds Two Helpers
Jean Silva23 hours ago

Gets Submission Win At UFC 314
Quinton Byfield23 hours ago

Exits Early On Monday
Adrian Kempe23 hours ago

Scores Three Points In Victory
Dominick Reyes23 hours ago

Wins Third Fight In A Row
Cory Joseph1 day ago

Available For Play-In Game
Brady Tkachuk1 day ago

To Be Ready For Start Of Playoffs
New England Patriots2 days ago

Abdul Carter Visiting With New England
2 days ago

Cam Skattebo Lined Up For Final Two Top-30 Visits
Dallas Cowboys2 days ago

Micah Parsons In Dallas For Voluntary Workouts
Chicago Bears2 days ago

Bears Extend Kyler Gordon
Austin Dillon2 days ago

Nabs His First Top-10 Finish Of The 2025 Season At Bristol
Ryan Blaney2 days ago

Bold Strategies Fall Flat, Still Musters A Top-Five Finish At Bristol
Christopher Bell2 days ago

Finishes In The Top 10 After Falling Back Midway At Bristol
Ty Gibbs2 days ago

Earns His First Top-Five Finish Of The 2025 Season At Bristol
Chase Briscoe2 days ago

Quietly Scores First Career Top-Five Finish At Bristol
William Byron2 days ago

Denny Hamlin Cuts Into William Byron's Points Lead
William Byron2 days ago

Makes Best Of His Mediocre Qualifying Run With Sixth-Place Finish
Alex Bowman2 days ago

Despite Engine Failure, Alex Bowman's Improved Speed Looks Promising
NASCAR2 days ago

A.J. Allmendinger Enters Playoff Picture With Surprise Bristol Top-10 Finish
Evan Engram3 days ago

Touts Bo Nix As A "True Weapon"
Arizona Cardinals3 days ago

Calais Campbell Still Feeling "Dominant" At Age 38
Kyle Larson3 days ago

Will Compete For The Win At Bristol
Chase Elliott3 days ago

Is One Of The More Favorable DFS Options Available For Bristol
William Byron3 days ago

Is A Solid DFS Option For Bristol Lineups
Tyler Reddick3 days ago

Could Tyler Reddick Be A Sneaky DFS Option For Bristol?
NASCAR3 days ago

Is Bubba Wallace Worth Rostering For Bristol This Week?
Ross Chastain3 days ago

Could Ross Chastain Be A Worthy DFS Choice For Bristol?
Carson Hocevar3 days ago

Is Carson Hocevar Worth Rostering For Bristol DFS Lineups?
NASCAR3 days ago

Should Fantasy Managers Avoid Rostering A.J. Allmendinger In DFS For Bristol?
Ryan Preece3 days ago

Is Ryan Preece Worth Rostering For Bristol Lineups?
Austin Dillon3 days ago

May Be One Of The Top Value Options For Bristol DFS This Week
Noah Gragson3 days ago

Should DFS Players Consider Noah Gragson For Bristol Lineups?
Riley Herbst3 days ago

Is In Play For Bristol DFS Lineups
Diego Lopes5 days ago

Can Become New UFC Featherweight Champion
Alexander Volkanovski5 days ago

Looks To Reclaim Featherweight Title
Paddy Pimblett5 days ago

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Michael Chandler5 days ago

Set For Co-Main Event
MMA5 days ago

Patricio Freire Set For His UFC Debut
Yair Rodriguez5 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Jean Silva5 days ago

A Favorite At UFC 314
Bryce Mitchell5 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Dominick Reyes5 days ago

Set To Open Up UFC 314 Main Card
Nikita Krylov5 days ago

Looks For His Fourth Win In A Row
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF