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RB Opportunity Share and Impact (NFC South & West): 2019 Review

Antonio Losada looks at last season's running back usage and fantasy impact for each of the 32 NFL teams. He tackles both the NFC South and NFC West franchises this time around.

We roll on with coverage of each of the eight NFL divisions, discussing the teams that are part of them and the running backs that were part of those teams in 2019. To present those teams and players I use a set of easy-to-read charts: treemaps. The graphics will hold all of the players of each team, the size of each box corresponding with the number of targets+carries (percentage among teammates) he saw during the season and the color related to the fantasy points per game (PPR-format leagues) he finished with at the end of the year. Also, the width of the full graphic represents how many total opportunities (tarets+carries; combining those of every rusher) were awarded to running backs by the team compared to the rest of the teams of its division (the empty space in blue to the right, the fewer targets+carries were used by rushers of such team).

Just to make things as clear as possible, I will add a little personal blurb on each team and how they performed in terms of RB usage and impact during the 2019 season. Let's dive in, this time covering the NFC South and NFC West.

Check out the other parts of this series, broken up by divisional pairs: AFC South & West, NFC East & North.

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NFC South: RB Opportunity Share & Fantasy Impact

  • New Orleans Saints
    • As expected, Alvin Kamara was the leading man in New Orleans' backfield, logging more than half (56%) of the opportunities himself. He was also the most productive, returning 55% of the total fantasy points.
    • Perhaps more surprising was Latavius Murray's efficiency. Given just 37.7% of the opportunities (most of them due to Kamara missing time), he was able to rack up 39.3% of the Saints backfield FP.
  • Atlanta Falcons
    • Devonta Freeman finished the year as the clear best rusher of the Falcons. He used 57.7% of the opportunities and gave 53.8% of the total fantasy points back himself, but missed two games in the second half of the season and never reached 100 yards in any game. Still, he'll be looking for a new home in 2020.
    • Although Brian Hill saw 22.1% of the opportunities and returned 19.8% of the team's points, it was Ito Smith on just 9.9% usage who surprised the most getting 12.3% of the backfield's point to his name on a very limited number of chances. I'm very intrigued to see where things go for him next season.
  • Tampa Bay Buccanneers
    • A nightmare of a backfield like not many others. Jones and Barber built an RBBC-system in Tampa Bay logging 45.3% and 40.5% of the opportunities respectively and returning 42.3% and 34.5% of the points each. It was a pretty interchangeable backfield that might work in real life but does little good in fantasy leagues.
    • Just to add fuel to the fire, Dare Ogunbowale also was thrown into the mix and even on a low 12.7% of the total opportunities, he returned a massive 21.8% of the team's points. Let's hope this doesn't turn into a three-in-one package or we'd need to say goodbye to Bucs RBs in 2020.
  • Carolina Panthers
    • Christian McCaffrey, that's all I need to say.
    • CMC with 92.3% of opportunities and 92.8% of the points to his name, rightfully so. A beautiful sight to behold.

 

NFC West: RB Opportunity Share & Fantasy Impact

  • San Francisco 49ers
    • Tampa Bay's backfield 2.0 (see Bucs notes above).
    • Not a perfect alignment in terms of usage/production, but for the most part, it worked. If we judge by point share then it should have actually been Mostert RB1, Coleman RB2, and Breida RB3.
    • Even looking at the rushing/receiving splits, it was super close with no one tasked with just one part of the game. Everybody ate, everybody thrived, and fantasy football owners were screwed deciding who to play each week.
  • Seattle Seahawks
    • It seemed like Penny could find a place in this backfield but ultimately it was all about Chris Carson, who finished the year seeing 73.9% of the team's opportunities and giving back 67.4% of the points.
    • Penny wasn't bad, but his low usage rate (17.8%) cut his production too short and left him at Prosise's level hadn't it been for the former's valuable (but often unpredictable) touchdowns.
  • Los Angeles Rams
    • Healthy or not, Gurley led the Rams backfield with his 68.2% opportunity share. It made sense, considering he averaged 15.1 points per game while no other tailback averaged more than four...
    • I still think this should have ended in a much greater split with Gurley at the head. The rest of the rushing corps were just too bad to keep feeding them on a drive-by-drive basis.
  • Arizona Cardinals
    • Even playing just six games for the Cardinals, Drake was still able to rack up 32.4% of the team's total points in the year on 33.9% of the opportunities.
    • David Johnson's days as a league-winner might be over. He had 41.1% and 32.2% opportunity and point shares but his 11.8 FP/G were too bad to be considered a top-tier RB1.
    • Chase Edmonds, on a much more limited usage (23.8%) gave back 27.7% of the team's points. Put together Drake and Edmonds on a healthier diet of opportunities and Johnson has no place in this backfield going forward, assuming he isn't released.

More Fantasy Football Analysis




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Kevin Huerter

Active on Sunday Night
Caris LeVert

Duncan Robinson, Caris LeVert Available Sunday
Dean Wade

Max Strus Replaces Dean Wade in Starting Lineup Sunday
Luke Kornet

Iffy for Monday
Larry Nance Jr.

Won't Play Sunday
De'Aaron Fox

Listed as Questionable for Monday's Action
Jalen Williams

Officially Available for Game 1 Against Spurs
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Named MVP for Second Straight Year
Jonah Coleman

is an Intriguing Power Back to Target in Dynasty Leagues
Colt Emerson

Mariners Promoting Top Prospect Colt Emerson to Major Leagues
Darius Slayton

Lacking Long-Term Upside for Dynasty Managers
Keaton Mitchell

a Prime Dynasty Handcuff Option Entering First Season in L.A.
Jadarian Price

Looks Like the Running Back of the Future in Seattle
Isaiah Bond

Dynasty Outlook Clouded by Uncertain Role in Cleveland
James Cook III

Remains a High-End Dynasty RB1 Entering 2026
Lamar Jackson

Poised for Bounce Back Season in 2026
Bucky Irving

Expected to Be Ready for Training Camp
Kyle Williams

Deep Threat Kyle Williams Facing Uphill Battle for Playing Time
Michael Pittman Jr.

Could Receive Short-Term Value Uptick in PPR Leagues
Stefon Diggs

Chiefs, Commanders Could Make Sense for Stefon Diggs
Will Howard

Dynasty Value Dealt a Blow
Jaylen Warren

Should Benefit From Veteran QB's Return to Pittsburgh
Drew Allar

Could Continue to Hold Dynasty Value
Pat Freiermuth

Could See a Small Dynasty Bump With Veteran QB Returning
DK Metcalf

A Dynasty Sell Candidate With Veteran QB Returning?
Bones Hyland

Wants to Stay in Minnesota
Mike Conley

Hints He Will Continue Playing Next Season
Kevin Huerter

Iffy for Sunday Night
Caris LeVert

Questionable for Game 7
Duncan Robinson

Back on Injury Report Ahead of Game 7
Larry Nance Jr.

Likely Out Sunday Due to Illness
Munetaka Murakami

Fantastic First Season Continues With Two More Homers
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez Dazzles With 13-Strikeout Complete Game on Saturday
Aaron Rodgers

Signs One-Year Deal With Steelers
Blake Snell

to Undergo Elbow Surgery on Tuesday
Clay Holmes

Could Miss Around Three Months
Jose Altuve

Exits After Swing
Corey Seager

Absent With Back Spasms on Saturday
Jeremy Lauzon

Misses Saturday's Practice
Mark Stone

Doesn't Practice Saturday
Josh Manson

Misses Practice, Considered Day-to-Day
Brent Burns

Day-to-Day Ahead of Conference Finals
Cale Makar

Considered Day-to-Day
Alex Lyon

Likely to Start Game 6 Against Canadiens
Owen Power

Available Saturday
Isaac TeSlaa

Can Isaac TeSlaa Carve Out a Larger Role in Detroit Going Forward?
Troy Franklin

Facing Uphill Battle for Playing Time in Denver
Trevor Lawrence

Should Trevor Lawrence Be Valued as a Dynasty QB1?
Courtland Sutton

in Line for Reduced Role in Denver?
Trevor Story

Hits the Injured List With Groin Injury
Blake Snell

Likely to Need Elbow Surgery
Duncan Robinson

Nets 14 Points With Four Triples
Cade Cunningham

Contributes 21 Points in Game 6 Win
Jalen Duren

Bounces Back With Double-Double
Anthony Edwards

Finishes Season-Ending Loss With 24 Points
Victor Wembanyama

Tallies 19 Points in Friday's Win
De'Aaron Fox

Highly Effective in Blowout Win
Stephon Castle

Shines in Series-Clincher
Kyle Schwarber

on a Heater, Hits Two More Homers to Take Major-League Lead
Clay Holmes

Suffers Fractured Fibula on Friday Night
Blake Snell

Heads to 15-Day Injured List
Blake Snell

Scratched From Start on Friday for Undisclosed Reasons
Max Fried

Heading to Injured List With Elbow Bone Bruise
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College GameDay Set for First Three Weeks
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Jeremiah Smith Aiming For Ohio State Receiving Records
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Keshaun Singleton Projects as Auburn's WR1
CFB

Jeremiah Cobb Impresses New Auburn Staff
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Alberto Mendoza Very Likely to Start for Georgia Tech
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Charles Woodson Jr. Commits to Michigan
Jordan Westburg

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Melquizael Costa

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Arnold Allen

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 117
Daniel Santos

Set For UFC Vegas 117 Co-Main Event
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Dohoo Choi Returns At UFC Vegas 117
Juan Diaz

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Malcolm Wellmaker

Looks To Bounce Back
Christian Edwards

Set For His UFC Debut
Modestas Bukauskas

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Tarik Skubal

Resumes Playing Catch, Ahead of Schedule?
Lane Hutson

Contributes Two Assists in Game 5 Victory
Nick Suzuki

Amasses Three Points in Crucial Victory Thursday
Juraj Slafkovsky

Dishes Out Three Assists in Game 5 Win
Carter Hart

Stops 31 Pucks in Series-Clinching Win
Pavel Dorofeyev

Enjoys Second Consecutive Multi-Goal Game
Shea Theodore

Records Two Points in Game 6 Win
Mitchell Marner

Scores Special Goal in Series-Clincher
Ryan Johnson

Takes Over as Canucks GM, Sedins Promoted to Co-Presidents
Drew Helleson

Won't Play Thursday
Radko Gudas

Unlikely to Play Thursday
Jeremy Lauzon

Remains Out Thursday
Mark Stone

Misses Third Consecutive Game
EDM

Kris Knoblauch Fired as Oilers Head Coach
CFB

Virginia Tech Lands Commitment from Four-Star QB Peter Bourque
Byron Buxton

Scratched on Thursday With Hip Soreness
Cal Raleigh

Heading to Injured List With Oblique Strain
Francisco Alvarez

has Knee Surgery, Expected to Miss Eight Weeks
Quinn Hughes

Finishes Postseason With 15 Points
Cal Raleigh

Exits With Apparent Side Injury on Wednesday Night
Juan Soto

X-Rays Come Back Negative on Juan Soto's Ankle
CFB

NFL Veteran Tom Moore Joins Iowa Coaching Staff
CFB

Can Cam Cook Dominate in Return to Big 12?
CFB

ACC, Big 12 Support 24-Team College Football Playoff
CFB

Anthony Colandrea Looking to Elevate Nebraska Back to National Contention
CFB

Kwazi Gilmer Set for Big Impact at Nebraska
Justin Thomas

Trending Well Ahead of PGA Championship Despite Concerning Form
J.J. Spaun

Trending Up Ahead of PGA Championship
Adam Scott

Riding Strong Form Into PGA Championship
Patrick Reed

Looking to Make Another Run at PGA Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im Looks to Build on Strong Finish at Truist Championship
Sam Burns

Must Keep Ball in Play at PGA Championship
Jordan Spieth

Looks to Complete Career Grand Slam at Aronimink
Brandt Snedeker

Not the Best Option for the PGA Championship
Rasmus Hojgaard

a Volatile Option at PGA Championship
Maverick McNealy

Seeking Better Start in Philadelphia
Harry Hall

a Boom-or-Bust Option at Aronimink
Hideki Matsuyama

Attempts to Improve Over 2025 PGA Championship
Scottie Scheffler

Looks to Defend PGA Championship at Aronimink
Nicolai Hojgaard

Wants to Keep Momentum Rolling in Philadelphia
Ben Griffin

Attempting to Bounce Back After Truist Championship
CFB

Transfer Defensive Lineman Devarrick Woods Commits to Clemson
Harris English

Will Need His Putter to Thrive at Aronimink
Akshay Bhatia

Creative Flair Could Show Itself in Philadelphia
Keegan Bradley

Knows the Aronimink Golf Club Well
Si Woo Kim

Struggles at Truist Championship
Gary Woodland

Can Continue Incredible 2026 Season at PGA Championship
Xander Schauffele

In Excellent Form Heading to PGA Championship
CFB

Isaac Brown Has All-American Upside in 2026
CFB

Nyck Harbor Heading into Breakout Year?
CFB

Notre Dame, USC in Discussions to Resume Rivalry Series
CFB

Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele Has Eyes on ACC Title
CFB

Ahmad Hardy's Gunshot Wound Not Viewed as Career-Threatening
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