Riley Herbst Likely To Finish Worse Than His Usual 17th At Phoenix
Source: Racing Reference
After an improbable three straight 17th-place finishes to start the season, Riley Herbst qualified one spot worse than that at Phoenix, which was actually his best qualifying position on a non-drafting oval in his Cup Series career to date. However, don't expect him to extend his streak a fourth week as Herbst developed very lowly in the Xfinity Series, which likely suggests the same will hold true for him in Cup. The first three races on drafting ovals and a road course are the kind of quirky races where an unheralded underdog can place well just by avoiding crashes, but in a more run-of-the-mill race like at Phoenix, he's probably going to be much slower as he learns the ropes and will probably finish worse than he starts. Even though Herbst has a solid projected finish in theory, he's not a good DFS play.Zane Smith Likely To Outperform Phoenix Expectations Due To Ford Speed
Source: Racing Reference
Zane Smith starts 26th at Phoenix and on paper is not expected to do much because his best career finish at the track is 29th. However, he has switched from Spire Motorsports to Front Row Motorsports for 2025 and FRM has arguably been better at the track lately than Spire was last year. Michael McDowell had top fifteens in three of his last four starts while Todd Gilliland posted top 20s in both races. Since Smith was substantially faster in the second half of 2024 than the first, it seems likely that his actual finish will be better than his projected finish at this track, especially since FRM is a Penske satellite and the Penske has obviously put far more emphasis into Phoenix than any other team after winning three straight titles here. He is a lowkey solid choice for place differential.Cody Ware Not Very Valuable At Phoenix
Source: Racing Reference
Cody Ware qualified 35th for Sunday's race at Phoenix. Although Ware has finished better than he has started in every one of his Phoenix starts, except for the 2021 winter race where he crashed, there still isn't enough upside to actually consider him for DFS lineups. He has never finished better than 28th in a race here, nor has he finished less than four laps down. Although his DraftKings salary of $4,800 is the second-cheapest in the field, ahead of only debutant Katherine Legge, there's a reason for that, and he is best avoided.William Byron On Pole At Phoenix, Will Be Tough To Beat
Source: Jayski
William Byron will definitely be a contender in the Shriners Children's 500 at Phoenix Raceway this weekend. The Hendrick Motorsports driver looked stout in practice on Saturday, ranking second-fastest in 30-lap average, and then Byron went out and followed that up by winning the pole in qualifying later that afternoon. As far as track record goes at Phoenix, Byron has been one of the best in the desert in the Next Gen era. Looking at the last five races here, he's finished sixth or better four times, and got a win in the spring race here two years ago. Byron has also led a combined 178 laps over the last four events at this track. As far as DFS contests go, Byron is a great candidate to grab early dominator points and he should be able to contend for the race win, too. At $10,000 on DraftKings, he has a hefty price tag, but has a good chance of making it into the optimal lineup despite that.Christopher Bell Looking To Continue Dominant Ways At Phoenix
Fresh off of back-to-back wins at Atlanta and COTA, Christopher Bell now shifts his focus to Phoenix Raceway, a track where he absolutely dominated at last season. Will the Joe Gibbs Racing driver be able to grab his third Cup Seriesread more...
Despite Greatness At Phoenix, Ryan Blaney Has Never Won In The Desert
If we were to tell you that there was a driver who hasn't finished worse than fifth in the last seven races at Phoenix Raceway, a normal reaction would be, "well he has definitely won at least one or two ofread more...
Kyle Larson Should Be Strong At Phoenix Despite Qualifying 17th
Source: Driver Averages
Don't let Kyle Larson's starting spot for this weekend's Shriners Children's 500 fool you. The No. 5 Chevrolet is still really strong this weekend. Larson hit the apron wrong during his qualifying lap on Saturday, and that is why he will start from back in 17th place when the green flag waves in Phoenix. If that wouldn't have happened, Larson likely would have had a top-five qualifying effort. As far as race speed goes, the No. 5 Chevrolet looks to be one of the best heading into the race, as Larson had the best 25- and 30-lap average during practice. Additionally, his track record at Phoenix is very strong, as "Yung Money" has finished fourth or better in three of the last four races at this track while posting top-10 results in 10 of the last 12. Larson is a strong all-around DFS option on Sunday, and you should definitely have plenty of him in your DraftKings lineups.Chris Buescher A DFS Pivot Option At Phoenix
Source: ifantasyrace
Don't forget about Chris Buescher ($8,400) when building your DraftKings lineups for this weekend's Shriners Children's 500 at Phoenix Raceway. Over the last three races at the track, Buescher has been one of the strongest competitors, with finishes of ninth, second, and fifth to his credit over that span. He also has results of 15th and 10th here at Phoenix back in 2023 and 2022, which were also with the Next Gen car. Looking at this weekend, Buescher qualified 13th, which is actually a little better than his "normal" in the desert. Additionally, the No. 17 looked pretty good in practice, ranking eighth-fastest in 10-lap average, ninth-fastest in 15-lap average, and 11th-fastest in 20-lap average. The Fords tend to be the best manufacturer when it comes to tire falloff on long runs, and Buescher's recent track record speaks for itself. In tournaments, Buescher looks to be an excellent pivot option on DraftKings heading into race day. Ross Chastain Qualifies 24th At Phoenix But Should Improve On Race Day
Source: ifantasyrace
Ross Chastain was a bit down on the speed chart in qualifying on Saturday for this weekend's Shriners Children's 500 at Phoenix Raceway, as the No. 1 Chevrolet will roll off the grid from 24th when the race goes green on Sunday. However, don't expect Chastain to ride around mid-pack all day. In terms of practice speeds, Ross looked solid during the pre-qualifying session, ranking inside the top 10 in 10-, 15-, 20-, 25-, and 30-lap average. As far as track history goes, Chastain has been one of the strongest at Phoenix in the Next Gen era, with four results of sixth or better in the six races, including a win in the fall 2023 race. He wound up finishing sixth in the spring race last season after starting 12th. At $8,800 on DraftKings this weekend, Chastain carries a relatively hefty price tag, but the Place Differential upside makes him a viable DFS option on Sunday.Alex Bowman A Strong Place-Differential Play At Phoenix
Source: Steven Taranto X Account
Alex Bowman will roll off the starting grid from 32nd place for Sunday's Shriners Children's 500 at Phoenix Raceway, but he should place much better than that when it's all said and done. Bowman, like his teammate Kyle Larson, clipped the apron in Turn 1 during his qualifying lap and ruined his time. And while Bowman may not be the strongest driver at Phoenix, he now becomes a very strong play in DFS on Sunday due to his place-differential upside (plus the fact that he is priced at just $7,800 on DraftKings). Over the last four races at this track, Bowman has ended up between ninth and 20th each time. Even if he's only able to pull off a 20th-place finish here on Sunday, that will equal 35 fantasy points for the Hendrick Motorsports driver thanks to place differential. Bowman is a strong core driver to build around in DFS on Sunday, especially in cash games.Ryan Preece Could Be A Dark Horse At Phoenix
Don't sleep on Ryan Preece in this weekend's Shriners Children's 500 at Phoenix Raceway. The short, flat tracks are where Preece excels at the most, and Roush-Fenway Keselowski Racing has found some speed here at Phoenix over the last couple ofread more...
There's Upside For Todd Gilliland At Phoenix
Source: ifantasyrace
Todd Gilliland is always a popular low-tier driver in the fantasy and betting world, and with him coming off of a top-10 finish at COTA last weekend, you may be looking to dip back into the Gilly Gang well again this weekend. That's probably not a bad idea. Gilliland has made six career Cup Series starts at Phoenix Raceway and has posted three top-20 finishes during that three-year span, including a 19th in his first-ever start here and a 17th-place finish in last year's spring race. Todd also ended up with a 20th-place result in the fall race last November. Looking at other flat tracks last season, Gilliland finished 16th at Gateway, 12th at Iowa, 12th at New Hampshire, and 21st and 17th in the two Richmond races. The No. 34 team struggled to find any meaningful speed in practice this weekend, but if they can make some adjustments and grab another top-20 finish on Sunday, Gilliland will be well worth the $5,600 price tag on DraftKings. AJ Allmendinger Qualifies 16th At Phoenix But Has Rough History At Track
Source: Driver Averages
Is AJ Allmendinger an option in DFS this weekend? The Kaulig Racing driver is pretty cheap on DraftKings ($6,100) for Sunday's Shriners Children's 500, but he qualified up in 16th for this weekend's race, so is he worth the risk? Allmendinger has had decent runs at Phoenix Raceway in the past, but has struggled at the track in the Next Gen era. In four races at Phoenix with this new car, Allmendinger has ended up 20th or worse three times, although he did walk away with a 12th-place finish in the fall 2022 race after starting 16th (the same spot he qualified this weekend). The No. 16 Chevrolet didn't pop out in practice as being very strong, but track position is pretty important with this Next Gen car, too. You probably shouldn't go super heavy on Allmendinger in DFS contests this weekend, but if you're max entering, you should probably have a low level of exposure in case he sneaks into the top 10.Ty Dillon Could Have Respectable Showing At Phoenix
Source: Jayski
After a couple of rough races at Atlanta and COTA, Ty Dillon probably isn't mad that Phoenix Raceway is the next stop on the NASCAR Cup Series schedule. That's because he doesn't have that bad of a record at this race track. Statistically, Phoenix ranks in the top third of tracks for Ty. He has an average finish of 20.6 in the desert over the course of 14 total starts, including a streak of six straight finishes between 15th and 21st from 2018 to 2022. This weekend, Dillon struggled quite a bit in practice, ranking 36th-fastest out of 37 cars, but he qualified up in 25th-place, which is a trend in the right direction. Although you can't really trust a low-tier driver like Ty Dillon, it may be worth taking a flier on him in tournament lineups, as he is priced at just $5,000 on DraftKings this weekend.Katherine Legge To Make Cup Series Debut At Phoenix
Source: Yahoo!
There will be a new name in the field in this weekend's Shriners Children's 500 at Phoenix Raceway, as Katherine Legge will be making her NASCAR Cup Series debut in the No. 78 Chevrolet for Live Fast Motorsports (typically driven by BJ McLeod). As far as expectations go, Legge is keeping things realistic, saying she just wants to complete the entire race and minimize her mistakes. She stated, "I want to stay out of trouble and show respect and prove that I belong. I think if I do those things, I think I will get the opportunity to do more." In practice on Saturday, Legge was the slowest out of 37 cars and was also the slowest in qualifying. She will likely need attrition to move up during the race on Sunday. Even at only $4,500 on DraftKings, it will take mass chaos (and her avoiding it) for Legge to score any meaningful FPTS in DFS.