X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Pitchers Who Changed Scenes - Risers and Fallers for 2020

Projecting pitching performance is a never-ending cycle that is constantly changing due to a variety of factors. Pitchers are often tinkering with their pitch mix, which can sometimes unlock a new level in performance. Their velocity can go up, which adds some intrigue to their profile; or it could go down, which usually makes them less appealing and could mean an injury is in play.

Another major factor that can drastically affect a pitcher's value is when he changes teams. It's pretty obvious what happens when a pitcher goes to or leaves Colorado, but it's usually not quite that simple. A variety of circumstances come into play, such as park factors, team defense, offensive support, and organizational philosophy.

As always, many players have changed teams this off-season. In this column, we'll take a look at four pitchers that will be sporting new uniforms when play resumes, and what impact that is likely to have on their fantasy value for the 2020 campaign.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball draft tools and resources:

 

David Price (SP, LAD)

Once a workhorse who topped 208 IP in six of seven seasons from 2010-16, Price has posted totals of 74 2/3, 176, and 107 1/3 in three seasons since. Price put up a 4.28 ERA in 2019, which was his highest of the past decade, but his underlying skills, including a career-best 28% K%, were excellent. He actually had a 3.16 ERA through 17 starts before the wheels fell off. Price made four more appearances before hitting the IL with a cyst on his wrist, and during that time, he allowed 20 earned runs in 17 innings. Perhaps the injury was affecting Price during his rough stretch, and a .469 BABIP definitely contributed to the struggles.

Price was traded from the Red Sox to the Dodgers in early February and should benefit from the move from the AL East to the NL West. He's not the workhorse he used to be- after topping 208 innings in six of seven seasons from 2010-16, Price has posted totals of 74 2/3, 176, and 107 1/3 in three seasons since. He doesn't have to be, though. The season is likely to be shorter than usual, and the Dodgers do a great job of getting the most out of their pitchers, even if it means capping their workload a bit.

Price still owns strong skills, and the move to Los Angeles looks like a great landing spot where he will get plenty of run support. His price is rising in drafts, and rightfully so, as he's a good bet to put up excellent numbers in 2020.

 

Hyun-Jin Ryu, (SP, TOR)

Ryu is coming off a huge 2019 season in which he posted a 2.32 ERA across 182 2/3 innings, his heaviest workload since 2013. He parlayed that success into a four-year, $80 million deal with Toronto, where he's expected to serve as the ace of the rotation.

There are a few reasons to be wary of Ryu's production carrying over into 2020, though. First of all, he hadn't even reached 130 innings in any of the previous four seasons, so he remains very risky on the health front. Even with the schedules expected to be shortened, Ryu is unlikely to hold up for the duration of the season.

Also, Ryu enjoyed much better results at Dodger Stadium the past three seasons than on the road:

During that span, Ryu's K% dropped five full percentage points in road games, from 25.6% at Dodger Stadium, down to 20.5% in all other parks. The Rogers Centre in Toronto plays more hitter-friendly, so he can't be expected to sustain the home dominance. Currently going off the board at pick 139 in NFBC drafts, as the 40th starting pitcher taken, Ryu is a little over-priced.

 

Dylan Bundy (SP, LAA)

Bundy has always possessed quality stuff but was never able to put it all together in Baltimore. In his three full seasons as a starter, he struck out 23.2% of the batters he faced, but an ugly 1.7 hr/9 during that time resulted in a 4.84 ERA. Though Bundy pitched half his games in a hitter-friendly park, he was equally bad at home (4.81 ERA) and on the road (4.86).

Bundy's four-seam fastball has been crushed the past two seasons, as 37 of the 70 home runs he's allowed have come off the pitch, with batters putting up a .316 BA and .288 ISO. He did shy away from the four-seamer late in the year, throwing it just 35% of the time over his final nine starts. During that span, he allowed just five home runs in 53 1/3 innings, with a 50% ground ball rate.

Bundy is far from a sure thing, as his velocity has dipped three years in a row, and he has a long history of home run problems. However, he's always missed bats at a decent clip, there's reason to believe the late-season gains can stick, and simply getting out of Baltimore adds to the appeal. With an NFBC ADP of 268, Bundy makes for an intriguing mid-round upside gamble.

 

Homer Bailey (SP, MIN)

It has appeared for quite some time that Bailey's days of being fantasy relevant were in the rearview, but he went on a nice little run at the end of last season that put him back on the radar. After some initial struggles following a trade to Oakland, he put up a 2.25 ERA across 48 innings in his last eight starts. During that time, he recorded a 24% SwK and 62% ground ball rate on his cutter, and his four-seam fastball was extremely effective as well.

After signing a one-year, $7 million deal with Minnesota, Bailey finds himself in a good situation for 2020. He'll have one of the top offenses in the league supporting him and will pitch roughly one-third of his games against weak AL Central offenses-the Royals, Indians, and Tigers. Bailey can't reasonably be expected to just pick up where he left off at the end of last year, but he can provide decent value at his 492 ADP, especially if you have the roster flexibility to pick your spots with him.

More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Donald Parham Jr.28 mins ago

Steelers Sign Donald Parham Jr. To One-Year Deal
Philadelphia Eagles33 mins ago

Nolan Smith Has Surgery For Torn Triceps Muscle
George Kittle40 mins ago

Discussing Extension With 49ers
Matthew Stafford1 hour ago

Rams Give Permission To Matthew Stafford's Agent To Talk To Other Teams
Patrick Williams1 hour ago

To Miss At Least Two Weeks
Jarrett Allen1 hour ago

Won't Return On Friday
Fred VanVleet1 hour ago

Nearing Return
Nick Kurtz1 hour ago

Unlikely To Make Opening Day Roster
Josh Giddey1 hour ago

Considered Probable For Saturday
Cole Young1 hour ago

Likely To Begin At Triple-A
Jalen Smith1 hour ago

Unavailable Saturday
Jabari Smith Jr.2 hours ago

Will Come Off The Bench On Friday
Nikola Vučević2 hours ago

Nikola Vucevic Probable For Saturday
Bubba Chandler2 hours ago

Could Break Camp With Big-League Club
DaQuan Jeffries2 hours ago

Remains Out On Saturday
Mike Conley2 hours ago

Back In Action Friday
Mark Williams2 hours ago

Removed From Injury Report
Rudy Gobert2 hours ago

Will Not Play Against Rockets
LaMelo Ball2 hours ago

Expected To Play On Saturday
Anthony Edwards2 hours ago

Good To Go Friday
St. Louis Cardinals2 hours ago

Drew Rom Shut Down From Throwing
Ayo Dosunmu2 hours ago

Questionable To Play On Saturday
Aaron Gordon2 hours ago

Labeled As Probable For Saturday
JoJo Romero2 hours ago

Throws Live Batting Practice
Jamal Murray2 hours ago

Likely To Play Against Lakers
Jarred Vanderbilt2 hours ago

Available On Saturday
Erik Swanson3 hours ago

Throws Off The Mound
LeBron James3 hours ago

Considered Probable For Saturday
Evan Sisk3 hours ago

Dealing With Illness
Nikola Jović3 hours ago

Nikola Jovic Active Against Raptors
Dwight Powell3 hours ago

Remains Out Against Pelicans
Travis Jankowski3 hours ago

Signs Contract With Cubs
P.J. Washington3 hours ago

Available Friday
Jacob Misiorowski4 hours ago

Is One To Watch
Kyle Teel4 hours ago

On The Cusp Of The Big Leagues
Aaron Schunk4 hours ago

Outrighted To Triple-A
Ernie Clement4 hours ago

Expected To Open The Year At Third Base
Ricky Tiedemann5 hours ago

Encouraged With His Progress
Brett Baty5 hours ago

Getting Work At Shortstop
CJ Abrams5 hours ago

To Stick In Leadoff Spot
Chase Hampton5 hours ago

Has Tommy John Surgery
Akil Baddoo5 hours ago

Undergoes Hand Surgery
Mike Clevinger5 hours ago

Could Pitch In Relief Role
Skyy Moore5 hours ago

Could Be Salary Cap Casualty
Luis Garcia6 hours ago

Throws Bullpen Session
Arizona Cardinals6 hours ago

Cardinals Plan To Be Active In Free Agency
JT Brubaker6 hours ago

Exits After Getting Hit By Comebacker
Adrian Del Castillo6 hours ago

Dealing With Arm Fatigue
Carolina Panthers6 hours ago

Panthers Release Dane Jackson
New Orleans Saints6 hours ago

Saints Officially Hire Brandon Staley As Defensive Coordinator
Aaron Rodgers6 hours ago

Looking To Join A Contender
Gerald Everett6 hours ago

Bears Releasing Gerald Everett
Henry Cejudo10 hours ago

Set For Bantamweight Clash
Song Yadong10 hours ago

Faces A Legend At UFC Seattle
Anthony Hernandez10 hours ago

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Brendan Allen10 hours ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Jean Matsumoto11 hours ago

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Rob Font11 hours ago

An Underdog At UFC Seattle
Melsik Baghdasaryan11 hours ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Christian Kirk11 hours ago

Jaguars To Cut Christian Kirk?
Jean Silva11 hours ago

A Favorite At UFC Seattle
Indianapolis Colts11 hours ago

Colts Likely To Go In Another Direction With Braden Smith
Alonzo Menifield11 hours ago

Opens Up UFC Seattle Main Card
Julius Walker12 hours ago

Makes His UFC Debut
Houston Texans12 hours ago

Denico Autry An Obvious Cut Candidate
Detroit Lions12 hours ago

Lions May Be Forced To Cut Za'Darius Smith
Denver Broncos12 hours ago

Alex Singleton Could Be Let Go This Offseason
Dallas Cowboys12 hours ago

Donovan Wilson A Potential Salary Cap Casualty?
Cleveland Browns12 hours ago

Ogbonnia Okoronkwo A Cut Candidate
Cincinnati Bengals12 hours ago

Sheldon Rankins Likely To Be Let Go
New England Patriots1 day ago

Patriots Re-Sign Ben Brown, Demontrey Jacobs
Cleveland Browns1 day ago

Dawand Jones Undergoes Knee Surgery
Los Angeles Chargers1 day ago

Chargers Agree To Three-Year Deal With Elijah Molden
Jeremy Lauzon1 day ago

Ruled Out For Rest Of Season
Kyle Connor1 day ago

Scratched On Thursday
Josh Morrissey1 day ago

Will Not Play On Thursday
Igor Shesterkin1 day ago

May Be Available Against Sabres
Bryan Rust1 day ago

Ready To Return To Penguins Lineup
Evgeni Malkin1 day ago

On Track To Return Saturday
Seth Jarvis1 day ago

Rejoins Canada's Lineup Thursday
Brady Tkachuk1 day ago

Good To Go Thursday
Jared Spurgeon2 days ago

Battling Illness
Nico Hischier2 days ago

Targeting Saturday Return
Thatcher Demko2 days ago

Deemed Week-To-Week
Kirill Marchenko2 days ago

Could Return On Saturday
Adam Lowry2 days ago

Set To Return On Saturday
Charlie McAvoy2 days ago

Develops Shoulder Infection
PGA2 days ago

Kris Ventura A Strong Value Pick At The Mexican Open
Sam Ryder2 days ago

A Player To Watch At The Mexican Open
Aldrich Potgieter2 days ago

An Intriguing Option At The Mexican Open
Mac Meissner2 days ago

Looking To Regain Form At The Mexican Open
PGA2 days ago

K.H. Lee A Player To Avoid At The Mexican Open
Stephan Jaeger2 days ago

Aims For Consistency At Mexican Open
Nicolai Hojgaard2 days ago

Poised For Strong Performance At Mexican Open
Joel Dahmen2 days ago

Difficult To Trust At Mexican Open
Michael Thorbjornsen3 days ago

Looks To Get Things Going In The Right Direction At Mexico Open
Davis Riley3 days ago

An Unlikely Candidate For Success At Mexico Open
Luke List3 days ago

A Risky Play With Upside At Mexican Open
Carson Young3 days ago

A Volatile Option At Mexican Open
Ryan Fox3 days ago

A Boom-Or-Bust Play At Mexican Open
Alex Smalley3 days ago

A Solid Play At Mexican Open
Kevin Yu3 days ago

A Risky Play With Upside At Mexican Open
Taylor Moore3 days ago

An Intriguing Option At Mexican Open
Rasmus Hojgaard3 days ago

Eyeing A Major Bounce-Back At Mexican Open
Michael Kim3 days ago

Looks To Keep Momentum Going At Mexican Open
Sam Stevens3 days ago

Continues His Excellent 2025 Season At Genesis Invitational
Patrick Rodgers3 days ago

Finishes Tied For Third At Genesis Invitational
Thorbjorn Olesen3 days ago

Makes First PGA Tour Start In 2025 At Mexico Open
Nathan MacKinnon4 days ago

Pots Two Goals In Monday's Win
Sam Reinhart4 days ago

Dishes Out Three Assists Against Finland
Lucas Raymond4 days ago

Tries To Extend Point Streak Against USA
William Byron4 days ago

Trusts His Instinct To Win Second Straight Daytona 500
Jake Guentzel4 days ago

Looks To Extend Multi-Point Streak Monday
Jimmie Johnson4 days ago

Has Unexpected Emotions After Podium Finish At Daytona 500
Jake Oettinger4 days ago

Starts Against Sweden
John Hunter Nemechek4 days ago

Gets First Career Top-Five Finish At Daytona 500
Jake Sanderson4 days ago

Slots Into Team USA Lineup
Matthew Tkachuk4 days ago

Ruled Out Monday
Gregory Rodrigues4 days ago

Gets TKO'd At UFC Vegas 102
Jared Cannonier4 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Nazim Sadykhov4 days ago

Remains Undefeated In The UFC
Ismael Bonfim4 days ago

Suffers Fifth Career Loss At UFC Vegas 102
Rodolfo Vieira4 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 102
Andre Petroski4 days ago

Extends His Win Streak
Ryan Blaney4 days ago

Strong Daytona 500 Performance Falls Short Of Victory
Kyle Larson4 days ago

Continues To Struggle At Daytona After Underwhelming Result
Chase Briscoe4 days ago

Scores First Top-Five Finish With Joe Gibbs Racing At Daytona 500
Tyler Reddick4 days ago

Quietly Finishes The Daytona 500 As The Runner-Up
Ross Chastain4 days ago

Daytona 500 Effort Ends In An Early Crash
Connor Matthews5 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Vegas 102
Jose Miguel Delgado5 days ago

Jose Delgado Gets Quick Win In Debut At UFC Vegas 102
Dylan Budka5 days ago

Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss At UFC Vegas 102
Edmen Shahbazyan5 days ago

Gets Knockout Win At UFC Vegas 102
Calvin Kattar5 days ago

Suffers Fourth Straight Loss At UFC Vegas 102
Denny Hamlin5 days ago

Fights For The Win But Gets Eliminated In Last-Lap Crash
Austin Cindric5 days ago

Has Best Run At Daytona 500 Until Last-Lap Crash
Justin Allgaier5 days ago

Earns First Top-10 Finish Since 2015
Martin Truex Jr5 days ago

.'s Sour Luck Continues With Early Daytona 500 Crash
Helio Castroneves5 days ago

Eliminated From Daytona 500 In Crash With Teammate
Joey Logano6 days ago

May Be A Favorite To Find The Front At Daytona, But What About For DFS?
Denny Hamlin6 days ago

Is Denny Hamlin Worth Rostering For Daytona Lineups?
Chase Elliott6 days ago

Could Chase Elliott Be Worth Rostering At Daytona This Week?
Ryan Blaney6 days ago

Should DFS Players Trust Ryan Blaney This Week At Daytona?
Alex Bowman6 days ago

Will Be One Of The Best DFS Plays Of The Week For Daytona
Brad Keselowski6 days ago

Is A DFS Lock For Daytona Lineups
Ross Chastain6 days ago

Has A Real Shot Of Winning But Should Be Avoided For DFS
Chris Buescher6 days ago

Undervalued For The Win At Daytona
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF