🖥 CYBER WEEK - TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE CYBER
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Late Round Gems: Starting Pitcher Sleepers

In general, starting pitchers are more volatile than hitters. Pitchers are more injury prone, and Tommy John surgery is seemingly more common than ever. Furthermore, one or two bad outings can bloat a starting pitcher’s statistics beyond repair for that season. In some cases, starters suddenly lose fastball velocity and subsequently become shells of their former selves.

Waiting to draft starters is a pretty well known fantasy baseball strategy, but the key to its success lies in selecting quality arms late in the draft. Here are a few starting pitchers who will be available late and offer immense value.

Editor's note: Be sure to also check out our 2016 fantasy baseball rankings dashboard. Our rankings assistant tool combines all our staff's ranks in one place. You can easily filter and export all sorts of rankings and tiers - mixed leagues, points leagues, AL/NL only, top prospects, dynasty ranks, keeper values, and more.

 

Starting Pitchers: Diamonds in the Rough

Joe Ross, Washington Nationals

Joe Ross exploded onto the scene in 2015, posting a 3.64 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 76.2 innings. The right-hander, younger brother of the Padre’s Tyson Ross, went 5-5 and maintained excellent ratios of 8.10 K/9 and 2.47 BB/9. His 49.8 GB% was well above league average and helped limit homeruns.

Ross, who will turn 23 in May, exerted his dominance last year by using a sinker/slider combination. The slider, which Ross threw 35.7% of the time, produced an outstanding 25.8 SwStr%. Perhaps even more impressive, batters hit a pathetic .135 and slugged .246 against the pitch. Ross’s sinker, which the rookie threw 53.2% of the time, induced a 51.3 GB% and held opposing batters to a .258 batting average and a .379 slugging percentage.

Despite Ross’s 2015 success, left-handers teed off on him to the tune of a .275/.353/.456 slash line. Ross will need to find a pitch to successfully neutralize lefties if he wants to improve on last season. He has been honing his change-up and recently learned a split-finger fastball from Nationals’ closer Jonathan Papelbon. Although the righty may be on an innings limit, he should be so productive that it will not significantly affect his season totals.

 

Luis Severino, New York Yankees

After being promoted to the majors in August, Luis Severino made 11 starts and totaled 62.1 innings. Over that span, the flame-throwing rookie went 5-3, boasting a 2.89 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. He maintained an excellent 8.09 K/9 and an adequate 3.18 BB/9. Severino’s BB/9 rate should decrease in 2016, as the right-hander never posted a BB/9 higher than 2.50 throughout his minor league career.

Severino had success using a fastball/slider combination. The rookie’s overpowering fastball, which averaged 95.2 mph, held hitters to a .231 batting average. His slider held a 55.7 GB%, holding hitters to a .234 batting average and a .351 slugging percentage. Although he used it less frequently, Severino’s change-up was even more devastating. Producing a 17.6 SwStr%, Severino’s change-up stymied batters to a .222 batting average and a .259 slugging percentage.

These numbers are taken from small sample sizes, but the young pitcher has blue chip pedigree and had similar success in the minor leagues. In 2015 at triple-A Colombus, Severino went 7-0 over 11 starts, posting a 1.91 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP in 61.1 innings.

The 50.3 GB% Severino maintained in the majors was excellent, and the 1.30 HR/9 that victimized him was fluky. His 17.3% HR/FB was freakishly high and is bound to decrease. Totaling 161.2 innings in 2015, Severino should be able approach 200 innings this year before the Yankees shut him down.

 

Jason Hammel, Chicago Cubs

Jason Hammel quietly put together his second consecutive quality season for the Chicago Cubs last season. A 10-7 record and 3.74 ERA do not jump off the page, but Hammel’s 9.07 K/9 and 2.11 BB/9 were both career bests and indicative of a pitcher who boasted quality stuff and excellent command. Furthermore, Hammel’s 10.9 SwStr% last season ranked 21st among all qualified starting pitchers.

Although 2015 was likely Hammel’s career year, he should only regress slightly from his 172 strikeouts. In 2014, the year Hammel was traded to the Cubs, he put up a very respectable 8.06 K/9 and 2.25 BB/9, tallying 158 strikeouts. He could easily land somewhere around there for the 2016 season.

Surrendering too many homeruns, Hammel posted a 1.17 HR/9 in 2014 and a 1.21 HR/9 in 2015. The right-hander compensates for his gopher ball issues by not walking many batters and subsequently maintaining WHIPs of 1.12 and 1.16 in 2014 and 2015, respectively.

Hammel will turn 34 in September and, despite not having much of an injury history, has never surpassed the 180-inning mark. Regardless, Hammel is a safe bet to maintain the output of his last two seasons.

 

Vince Velasquez, Philadelphia Phillies

Vince Velasquez just won the fifth starter spot with Philadelphia and has huge strikeout potential. The 9.38 K/9 and 10.5 SwStr% he posted as a rookie in 2015 over 55.2 innings were exceptional, and the right-hander has consistently maintained a K/9 over 10 during his minor league career.

Velasquez relied heavily on his fastball, which he threw 68.5% of the time last year. The pitch averaged 94.6 mph and held batters to a .242 average and a .394 slugging percentage. His slider, which he threw only 5.3% of the time in 2015, induced a 23.1 SwStr%. If Velasquez can further utilize the pitch, he will be a force in 2016.

Turning 24 in June, the right-hander will likely be on an innings limit this season, which will cap his upside. Velasquez walks too many batters and is prone to surrendering homeruns. But the young Philly boasts electric stuff and could still rack up more than 150 Ks while maintaining a decent ERA.

 

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Logan Thompson

Posts First Shutout of the Season
Brayden Schenn

Leads Blues to Victory Sunday
Macklin Celebrini

Bags Three Points in Impressive Road Victory
Jaylen Wright

Runs Wild in Week 14 Win
Chase Brown

Scores Two Touchdowns in Week 14 Loss
Nico Collins

Leads Texans in Receiving in Sunday Night Win
San Francisco Giants

Jeff Kent Elected to Baseball Hall of Fame
Ketel Marte

Red Sox Interested in Trading for Ketel Marte
Kyle Schwarber

Pirates Make Four-Year Offer to Kyle Schwarber
Travis Etienne Jr.

Scores Two Touchdowns in Week 14
Christian Watson

Continues to Find the End Zone in Week 14
Blake Corum

Leads Rams Backfield With Phenomenal Week 14 Showing
Michael Wilson

Enjoys Heavy Involvement in Week 14
Puka Nacua

Enjoys Best Game of the Season in Rout of Cardinals
Harold Fannin Jr.

Eclipses Century Mark, Scores Touchdown Sunday
CFB

Mississippi State, Rice Accept Bowl Bids as 5-7 Teams
CFB

Auburn, Florida State, Baylor Among Teams to Decline Bowl Bids
Paul George

Available on Sunday Evening
Joel Embiid

Available Against Lakers
Lauri Markkanen

Ruled Out Versus OKC
Geno Smith

Doesn't Return to Week 14 Game Against Broncos
DK Metcalf

Totals Almost 150 Yards in Big Win Over Ravens
Jimmy Butler III

Officially Active on Sunday Night
CFB

Rob Aurich Set to Become Nebraska's Defensive Coordinator
LeBron James

Available Versus Philadelphia
Geno Smith

Questionable to Return With Shoulder Injury
Joe Burrow

Throws Four Touchdowns in Snowy Conditions
Tee Higgins

Finds the End Zone Twice in Loss to Bills
Tony Pollard

Stuns Browns, Breaks Off Two Huge Touchdowns
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Scores Twice in Victory Over Falcons
Shedeur Sanders

Racks Up Four Touchdowns in Narrow Loss to Titans
Josh Allen

Totals Four Touchdowns in Win Over Bengals
MON

Samuel Montembeault Ruled Out for Sunday
Carter Hart

Available Against Rangers Sunday
Ryan Leonard

to Miss "Extended Period of Time"
De'Von Achane

Avoids a Broken Rib in Week 14
John Carlson

a Game-Time Decision Sunday
Zach Ertz

Feared to Have Torn ACL
Jordan Kyrou

Unavailable Against Canadiens
Daniel Jones

Could be Done for Season with Achilles Injury
Matt Duchene

Set to Return Against Penguins
Pyotr Kochetkov

Back for Hurricanes Sunday
Evgeni Malkin

Won't Play on Sunday
CFB

Notre Dame Opting Out of Postseason Amid College Football Playoff Exclusion
Karl-Anthony Towns

Ruled Out Against Orlando
Draymond Green

Remains on the Shelf Versus Chicago
Jimmy Butler III

Expected to Return on Sunday
Immanuel Quickley

Now Probable Versus Boston
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Will Miss First Game of the Year on Sunday
Joel Embiid

Upgraded to Probable Against Lakers
Ja Morant

Doubtful Against Portland
Robert Williams III

Now Questionable Versus Memphis
Donovan Clingan

Questionable Versus Grizzlies
CFB

Kendal Briles a Candidate for South Carolina Offensive Coordinator Job
CFB

James Madison Playoff-Bound After Duke Wins ACC Title?
CFB

Notre Dame, Miami, Alabama on College Football Playoff Bubble
CFB

Brent Pry Could Return to Virginia Tech as Defensive Coordinator
Darcy Kuemper

Ends Losing Streak With Shutout Performance
Nikolaj Ehlers

Collects Three Points in Saturday's Win
Ilya Sorokin

Ties Franchise Record With 25th Shutout
Sam Bennett

Bags Season-High Four Points Saturday
Jordan Kyrou

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Saturday
Dominic James

Hurt on Saturday
LaMelo Ball

Won't Suit Up Against Denver
Immanuel Quickley

Questionable for Sunday Afternoon
Klay Thompson

Downgraded Versus Houston
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Out Again on Saturday Evening
Tyler Herro

Will Miss Another Game on Saturday
Jimmy Butler III

Out Again on Saturday Night
Draymond Green

Ruled Out Versus Cleveland
Jose A. Ferrer

Mariners Acquire Jose A. Ferrer from the Nationals
Mason Marchment

Expected to Return Saturday
Danila Yurov

Returns From Two-Game Absence Saturday
Jesperi Kotkaniemi

Available Saturday
Harry Ford

Traded to the Nationals
Shane Pinto

to Miss Two Weeks
Cody Bellinger

Drawing Interest From the Phillies
MacKenzie Gore

Will the Nationals Trade MacKenzie Gore?
Byron Buxton

Twins Not Planning to Trade Joe Ryan, Byron Buxton
Petr Yan

Looks To Reclaim Bantamweight Belt
Merab Dvalishvili

Set For His Fourth Title Defense
Joshua Van

Can Become The New Flyweight Champion
Alexandre Pantoja

Set For Fifth Title Defense At UFC 323
Tatsuro Taira

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Brandon Moreno

Searches For His Third Win In A Row
Payton Talbott

A Favorite At UFC 323
Henry Cejudo

Set For His Retirement Fight
Jan Blachowicz

Set To Open Up UFC 323 Main Card
Bogdan Guskov

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
CFB

Emmett Johnson Leaving Nebraska for 2026 NFL Draft
CFB

Jam Miller Unlikely to Play in SEC Title Game
CFB

Penn State Expected to Hire Matt Campbell from Iowa State
CFB

Arkansas Targeting Ron Roberts for Defensive Coordinator Job
Jhostynxon Garcia

Pirates Acquire Jhostynxon Garcia From Red Sox
Cody Bellinger

Yankees Pushing Hard to Re-Sign Cody Bellinger
CFB

Penn State Eyeing Iowa State Coach Matt Campbell For Coaching Vacancy
Alex Bregman

Cubs Have Renewed Interest in Alex Bregman
CFB

Billy Napier Finalizing Deal to Become James Madison's New Head Coach
CFB

Buster Faulkner Set to Become Florida's New Offensive Coordinator
CFB

Joe Sloan Expected to be Kentucky's New Offensive Coordinator
CFB

Lane Kiffin Working to Keep Defensive Coordinator Blake Baker at LSU
CFB

Brian Daboll a Candidate for Penn State Head-Coaching Job?
Kyle Tucker

Visits With Blue Jays
Emilio Pagán

Reds Bring Back Closer Emilio Pagan on Two-Year Deal
Cedric Mullins

Rays Agree on One-Year Deal
Freddy Peralta

Brewers Considering Trading Freddy Peralta
Kyle Schwarber

Reds Serious About Adding Kyle Schwarber in Free Agency?
CFB

Brent Key Signing Five-Year Deal to Remain at Georgia Tech
CFB

Brian Hartline Expected to Land USF Head-Coaching Job
CFB

Collin Klein Expected to be Top Target for Kansas State if Head-Coach Job Opens
Kyle Schwarber

Giants Have Checked in on Kyle Schwarber
Willson Contreras

Willing to Waive his Full No-Trade Clause?

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP