X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Late Round Gems: Starting Pitcher Sleepers

In general, starting pitchers are more volatile than hitters. Pitchers are more injury prone, and Tommy John surgery is seemingly more common than ever. Furthermore, one or two bad outings can bloat a starting pitcher’s statistics beyond repair for that season. In some cases, starters suddenly lose fastball velocity and subsequently become shells of their former selves.

Waiting to draft starters is a pretty well known fantasy baseball strategy, but the key to its success lies in selecting quality arms late in the draft. Here are a few starting pitchers who will be available late and offer immense value.

Editor's note: Be sure to also check out our 2016 fantasy baseball rankings dashboard. Our rankings assistant tool combines all our staff's ranks in one place. You can easily filter and export all sorts of rankings and tiers - mixed leagues, points leagues, AL/NL only, top prospects, dynasty ranks, keeper values, and more.

 

Starting Pitchers: Diamonds in the Rough

Joe Ross, Washington Nationals

Joe Ross exploded onto the scene in 2015, posting a 3.64 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 76.2 innings. The right-hander, younger brother of the Padre’s Tyson Ross, went 5-5 and maintained excellent ratios of 8.10 K/9 and 2.47 BB/9. His 49.8 GB% was well above league average and helped limit homeruns.

Ross, who will turn 23 in May, exerted his dominance last year by using a sinker/slider combination. The slider, which Ross threw 35.7% of the time, produced an outstanding 25.8 SwStr%. Perhaps even more impressive, batters hit a pathetic .135 and slugged .246 against the pitch. Ross’s sinker, which the rookie threw 53.2% of the time, induced a 51.3 GB% and held opposing batters to a .258 batting average and a .379 slugging percentage.

Despite Ross’s 2015 success, left-handers teed off on him to the tune of a .275/.353/.456 slash line. Ross will need to find a pitch to successfully neutralize lefties if he wants to improve on last season. He has been honing his change-up and recently learned a split-finger fastball from Nationals’ closer Jonathan Papelbon. Although the righty may be on an innings limit, he should be so productive that it will not significantly affect his season totals.

 

Luis Severino, New York Yankees

After being promoted to the majors in August, Luis Severino made 11 starts and totaled 62.1 innings. Over that span, the flame-throwing rookie went 5-3, boasting a 2.89 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. He maintained an excellent 8.09 K/9 and an adequate 3.18 BB/9. Severino’s BB/9 rate should decrease in 2016, as the right-hander never posted a BB/9 higher than 2.50 throughout his minor league career.

Severino had success using a fastball/slider combination. The rookie’s overpowering fastball, which averaged 95.2 mph, held hitters to a .231 batting average. His slider held a 55.7 GB%, holding hitters to a .234 batting average and a .351 slugging percentage. Although he used it less frequently, Severino’s change-up was even more devastating. Producing a 17.6 SwStr%, Severino’s change-up stymied batters to a .222 batting average and a .259 slugging percentage.

These numbers are taken from small sample sizes, but the young pitcher has blue chip pedigree and had similar success in the minor leagues. In 2015 at triple-A Colombus, Severino went 7-0 over 11 starts, posting a 1.91 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP in 61.1 innings.

The 50.3 GB% Severino maintained in the majors was excellent, and the 1.30 HR/9 that victimized him was fluky. His 17.3% HR/FB was freakishly high and is bound to decrease. Totaling 161.2 innings in 2015, Severino should be able approach 200 innings this year before the Yankees shut him down.

 

Jason Hammel, Chicago Cubs

Jason Hammel quietly put together his second consecutive quality season for the Chicago Cubs last season. A 10-7 record and 3.74 ERA do not jump off the page, but Hammel’s 9.07 K/9 and 2.11 BB/9 were both career bests and indicative of a pitcher who boasted quality stuff and excellent command. Furthermore, Hammel’s 10.9 SwStr% last season ranked 21st among all qualified starting pitchers.

Although 2015 was likely Hammel’s career year, he should only regress slightly from his 172 strikeouts. In 2014, the year Hammel was traded to the Cubs, he put up a very respectable 8.06 K/9 and 2.25 BB/9, tallying 158 strikeouts. He could easily land somewhere around there for the 2016 season.

Surrendering too many homeruns, Hammel posted a 1.17 HR/9 in 2014 and a 1.21 HR/9 in 2015. The right-hander compensates for his gopher ball issues by not walking many batters and subsequently maintaining WHIPs of 1.12 and 1.16 in 2014 and 2015, respectively.

Hammel will turn 34 in September and, despite not having much of an injury history, has never surpassed the 180-inning mark. Regardless, Hammel is a safe bet to maintain the output of his last two seasons.

 

Vince Velasquez, Philadelphia Phillies

Vince Velasquez just won the fifth starter spot with Philadelphia and has huge strikeout potential. The 9.38 K/9 and 10.5 SwStr% he posted as a rookie in 2015 over 55.2 innings were exceptional, and the right-hander has consistently maintained a K/9 over 10 during his minor league career.

Velasquez relied heavily on his fastball, which he threw 68.5% of the time last year. The pitch averaged 94.6 mph and held batters to a .242 average and a .394 slugging percentage. His slider, which he threw only 5.3% of the time in 2015, induced a 23.1 SwStr%. If Velasquez can further utilize the pitch, he will be a force in 2016.

Turning 24 in June, the right-hander will likely be on an innings limit this season, which will cap his upside. Velasquez walks too many batters and is prone to surrendering homeruns. But the young Philly boasts electric stuff and could still rack up more than 150 Ks while maintaining a decent ERA.

 

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Brock Purdy36 mins ago

49ers Start Contract Talks With Brock Purdy
Deebo Samuel Sr.42 mins ago

49ers Will Honor Deebo Samuel Sr.'s Trade Request
Jared Jones57 mins ago

Debuts New Pitch In Spring Game
Brandon Nimmo1 hour ago

Expected To Make Grapefruit League Debut Soon
Starling Marte1 hour ago

To Take Live Batting Practice In Early March
Tarik Skubal1 hour ago

To Start On Opening Day Against Dodgers
Fernando Tatis Jr.1 hour ago

Back In Camp
Aaron Judge2 hours ago

To Hit Second In 2025
Linus Ullmark2 hours ago

Starting On Wednesday
Will Smith2 hours ago

To Make Cactus League Debut On Friday
Freddie Freeman2 hours ago

Scheduled To DH On Thursday
TOR2 hours ago

Chris Tanev Viewed As Day-To-Day
Michael Bunting2 hours ago

Dealing With Illness
Shane Pinto2 hours ago

Sitting Out On Wednesday
Matthew Stafford2 hours ago

Expected To Stay With Rams?
Josh Norris2 hours ago

Ruled Out For Wednesday's Contest
Aaron Rodgers2 hours ago

Interested In Playing For The Giants?
Brady Tkachuk3 hours ago

Will Not Play On Wednesday
Shohei Ohtani3 hours ago

To Make Cactus League Debut On Friday
Jonatan Clase3 hours ago

Could Play In Games This Weekend
Anthony Santander3 hours ago

Away Due To Visa Issues
Green Bay Packers3 hours ago

Packers Open To Trading Jaire Alexander
Clarke Schmidt3 hours ago

Expects To Throw Live Batting Practice This Weekend
Matthew Stafford3 hours ago

Rams Expected To Drive Up Asking Price For Matthew Stafford
Jake Cousins3 hours ago

To Begin Throwing Program On Monday
Austin Wells4 hours ago

Playing On Wednesday
Jose Altuve4 hours ago

To Make Left Field Debut On Friday
Wyatt Langford4 hours ago

Resumes Light Baseball Activities
Cameron Young5 hours ago

A High-Risk, High-Reward Play At PGA National
Taylor Pendrith5 hours ago

Is An Enticing Play At Cognizant Classic
Gary Woodland5 hours ago

Aiming For Bounce-Back Performance At PGA National
Jackson Jobe5 hours ago

Allows Two Runs Across Two Frames
PGA6 hours ago

Kris Ventura A Value Pick At The Cognizant Classic
NFL6 hours ago

Tyler Warren Won't Take Part In On-Field Work At NFL Combine
PGA6 hours ago

Niklas Norgaard Making Third PGA Tour Start At Cognizant Classic
Tennessee Titans6 hours ago

Harold Landry Granted Permission To Seek Trade
Franco Aleman6 hours ago

May Require Surgery
6 hours ago

Rob Gronkowski Denies NFL Comeback Rumors
Erik Van Rooyen6 hours ago

Looking For Sustained Success At PGA National
Kumar Rocker6 hours ago

Stumbles In Spring Debut
Xavier Isaac6 hours ago

X-Rays Come Back Negative On Xavier Isaac
Hurston Waldrep6 hours ago

Optioned To Triple-A
Malcolm Brogdon7 hours ago

Out For Fourth Consecutive Game
Alexandre Sarr7 hours ago

Questionable Wednesday
T.J. McConnell7 hours ago

Questionable To Play On Wednesday
Ayo Dosunmu7 hours ago

Questionable Wednesday
Nikola Vučević7 hours ago

Nikola Vucevic Doubtful For Meeting With Clippers
Chet Holmgren7 hours ago

Available Against Nets
Nikola Jović7 hours ago

Nikola Jovic To Miss At Least Four Weeks
Bam Adebayo7 hours ago

Iffy For Wednesday
Trent Frederic8 hours ago

Injured On Tuesday
Josh Anderson8 hours ago

Undergoing Evaluation
NYR8 hours ago

K’Andre Miller Exits Early On Tuesday
Roman Josi9 hours ago

Injured On Tuesday
William Nylander9 hours ago

Exits Early On Tuesday
Adam Fox9 hours ago

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Jordan Spieth14 hours ago

Looking To Bounce Back In Cognizant Classic Debut
Seamus Power14 hours ago

A Risky Play With Upside At PGA National
Andrew Novak14 hours ago

Searching For Consistency At PGA National
Denny McCarthy15 hours ago

Eyeing First Career Victory At PGA National
Min Woo Lee16 hours ago

Aims To Keep The Momentum Going At PGA National
Chris Kirk16 hours ago

A Wild Card At PGA National
Tennessee Titans16 hours ago

Titans Could Look To Add To RB Room
Tennessee Titans16 hours ago

Titans Will Listen To Calls On No. 1 Overall Pick
NFL16 hours ago

Colston Loveland Expected To Be Cleared For Training Camp
Miami Dolphins17 hours ago

Dolphins Not Expecting Terron Armstead To Return
Philadelphia Eagles17 hours ago

Kevin Patullo Will Call Plays For Eagles Offense
Philadelphia Eagles17 hours ago

Eagles Will Make "Concerted Effort" To Keep Zack Baun
Los Angeles Chargers17 hours ago

Chargers Could Retain Joey Bosa
Matthew Stafford17 hours ago

Raiders A Potential Landing Spot For Matthew Stafford
Las Vegas Raiders17 hours ago

Raiders Want To Keep Maxx Crosby Long Term
Jaylen Warren17 hours ago

Steelers Will Tender An Offer To Jaylen Warren
J.J. McCarthy17 hours ago

Hoping To Be Ready For Start Of Offseason Program
Xavier Legette17 hours ago

Has Offseason Foot Surgery
Mark Hubbard18 hours ago

Trending In The Wrong Direction Ahead Of Cognizant Classic
Alex Smalley18 hours ago

Continues To Impress Ahead Of The Cognizant Classic
Taylor Moore18 hours ago

Continues Playing Well Heading To Cognizant Classic
Justin Lower18 hours ago

Misses Cut At Mexico Open
Max Greyserman18 hours ago

Hitting Stride Heading To Cognizant Classic
Jake Knapp18 hours ago

Posts Solid Finish At Mexico Open
PGA18 hours ago

Sungjae Im Looking For Bounce-Back At Cognizant Classic
Austin Eckroat18 hours ago

Defends Title At Cognizant Classic
Billy Horschel18 hours ago

Misses Second Straight Cut
Cameron Johnson18 hours ago

May Miss Wednesday's Game
Tyrese Haliburton18 hours ago

Questionable Versus Toronto
Karl-Anthony Towns18 hours ago

Questionable On Wednesday
OG Anunoby18 hours ago

Probable Versus Philly
Justin Edwards18 hours ago

Expected To Return On Wednesday
Quentin Grimes18 hours ago

Likely To Face The Knicks
Guerschon Yabusele18 hours ago

Ruled Out On Wednesday Night
Cole Anthony18 hours ago

Won't Return On Tuesday Night
P.J. Washington19 hours ago

Active On Tuesday
Joel Embiid19 hours ago

Out On Wednesday
Ben Simmons19 hours ago

Available For Wednesday
Kawhi Leonard19 hours ago

Ready To Play On Wednesday
Norman Powell19 hours ago

To Miss Wednesday's Contest
Brady Tkachuk22 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday's Game
Kevin Bahl22 hours ago

Rejoins Flames Lineup Tuesday
Matt Grzelcyk22 hours ago

Good To Go Tuesday
Alex Tuch22 hours ago

A Game-Time Call Tuesday
Noah Dobson22 hours ago

Not Ready To Return On Tuesday
Andrew Copp22 hours ago

Out For The Season
Joel Eriksson Ek23 hours ago

Lands On Injured Reserve
Brendan Gallagher1 day ago

Set To Play On Tuesday
Max Pacioretty1 day ago

Ruled Out On Tuesday
Song Yadong2 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Henry Cejudo2 days ago

Suffers Third Straight Loss
Brendan Allen2 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC Seattle
Anthony Hernandez2 days ago

Extends His Winning Streak
Jean Matsumoto2 days ago

Suffers First Career Loss
Rob Font2 days ago

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Melsik Baghdasaryan2 days ago

Gets TKO'd At UFC Seattle
Jean Silva2 days ago

Gets First-Round Finish At UFC Seattle
Alonzo Menifield2 days ago

Edges Out Split Decision At UFC Seattle
Julius Walker2 days ago

Defeated In His UFC Debut
Kyle Busch2 days ago

Leaves Atlanta With His First Top-10 Finish Of 2025
Kyle Larson2 days ago

Scores The Best Drafting-Track Finish Of His Career At Atlanta
Ryan Blaney2 days ago

Rallies Back To Score A Finish Of Fourth At Atlanta
NASCAR2 days ago

Despite Rarely Factoring For The Lead, Bubba Wallace Has Great Points Day
Ross Chastain2 days ago

Chances For Victory End After A Bump From Carson Hocevar
Ricky Stenhouse Jr2 days ago

. Recovers From Causing Daytona Big One To Finish Fifth At Atlanta
Carson Hocevar2 days ago

Earns Best Career Finish
Ryan Blaney3 days ago

The Heavy Favorite To Win At Atlanta
Kyle Larson3 days ago

Can Kyle Larson Finally Get A Good Finish At The New Atlanta?
Chase Elliott3 days ago

Can Win This Weekend
William Byron3 days ago

Don’t Overlook William Byron At Atlanta This Weekend
Austin Cindric3 days ago

Looking To Contend Once Again At Atlanta
Ross Chastain3 days ago

Will Start Deep in the Field at Atlanta
Daniel Suarez3 days ago

Looking To Continue Magic At Atlanta
Christopher Bell3 days ago

An Obvious DFS Pick At Atlanta
Denny Hamlin3 days ago

Is One of the Top DFS Options Of The Week For Atlanta Lineups
Joey Logano3 days ago

Is One Of The Favorites To Win At Atlanta
Kyle Busch3 days ago

Expect Kyle Busch To Compete For The Win At Atlanta
Ty Gibbs3 days ago

Should Not Be Overlooked For Atlanta DFS Lineups
Tyler Reddick3 days ago

Should Fantasy Players Roster Tyler Reddick At Atlanta This Week?
Alex Bowman3 days ago

Is Alex Bowman Worth Rostering For DFS Lineups At Atlanta?
Henry Cejudo5 days ago

Set For Bantamweight Clash
Song Yadong5 days ago

Faces A Legend At UFC Seattle
Anthony Hernandez5 days ago

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Brendan Allen5 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Jean Matsumoto5 days ago

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Rob Font5 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Seattle
Melsik Baghdasaryan5 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Jean Silva5 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Seattle
Alonzo Menifield5 days ago

Opens Up UFC Seattle Main Card
Julius Walker5 days ago

Makes His UFC Debut
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF