👉 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE SPRING
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


Late Round Gems: Starting Pitcher Sleepers

In general, starting pitchers are more volatile than hitters. Pitchers are more injury prone, and Tommy John surgery is seemingly more common than ever. Furthermore, one or two bad outings can bloat a starting pitcher’s statistics beyond repair for that season. In some cases, starters suddenly lose fastball velocity and subsequently become shells of their former selves.

Waiting to draft starters is a pretty well known fantasy baseball strategy, but the key to its success lies in selecting quality arms late in the draft. Here are a few starting pitchers who will be available late and offer immense value.

Editor's note: Be sure to also check out our 2016 fantasy baseball rankings dashboard. Our rankings assistant tool combines all our staff's ranks in one place. You can easily filter and export all sorts of rankings and tiers - mixed leagues, points leagues, AL/NL only, top prospects, dynasty ranks, keeper values, and more.

 

Starting Pitchers: Diamonds in the Rough

Joe Ross, Washington Nationals

Joe Ross exploded onto the scene in 2015, posting a 3.64 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 76.2 innings. The right-hander, younger brother of the Padre’s Tyson Ross, went 5-5 and maintained excellent ratios of 8.10 K/9 and 2.47 BB/9. His 49.8 GB% was well above league average and helped limit homeruns.

Ross, who will turn 23 in May, exerted his dominance last year by using a sinker/slider combination. The slider, which Ross threw 35.7% of the time, produced an outstanding 25.8 SwStr%. Perhaps even more impressive, batters hit a pathetic .135 and slugged .246 against the pitch. Ross’s sinker, which the rookie threw 53.2% of the time, induced a 51.3 GB% and held opposing batters to a .258 batting average and a .379 slugging percentage.

Despite Ross’s 2015 success, left-handers teed off on him to the tune of a .275/.353/.456 slash line. Ross will need to find a pitch to successfully neutralize lefties if he wants to improve on last season. He has been honing his change-up and recently learned a split-finger fastball from Nationals’ closer Jonathan Papelbon. Although the righty may be on an innings limit, he should be so productive that it will not significantly affect his season totals.

 

Luis Severino, New York Yankees

After being promoted to the majors in August, Luis Severino made 11 starts and totaled 62.1 innings. Over that span, the flame-throwing rookie went 5-3, boasting a 2.89 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. He maintained an excellent 8.09 K/9 and an adequate 3.18 BB/9. Severino’s BB/9 rate should decrease in 2016, as the right-hander never posted a BB/9 higher than 2.50 throughout his minor league career.

Severino had success using a fastball/slider combination. The rookie’s overpowering fastball, which averaged 95.2 mph, held hitters to a .231 batting average. His slider held a 55.7 GB%, holding hitters to a .234 batting average and a .351 slugging percentage. Although he used it less frequently, Severino’s change-up was even more devastating. Producing a 17.6 SwStr%, Severino’s change-up stymied batters to a .222 batting average and a .259 slugging percentage.

These numbers are taken from small sample sizes, but the young pitcher has blue chip pedigree and had similar success in the minor leagues. In 2015 at triple-A Colombus, Severino went 7-0 over 11 starts, posting a 1.91 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP in 61.1 innings.

The 50.3 GB% Severino maintained in the majors was excellent, and the 1.30 HR/9 that victimized him was fluky. His 17.3% HR/FB was freakishly high and is bound to decrease. Totaling 161.2 innings in 2015, Severino should be able approach 200 innings this year before the Yankees shut him down.

 

Jason Hammel, Chicago Cubs

Jason Hammel quietly put together his second consecutive quality season for the Chicago Cubs last season. A 10-7 record and 3.74 ERA do not jump off the page, but Hammel’s 9.07 K/9 and 2.11 BB/9 were both career bests and indicative of a pitcher who boasted quality stuff and excellent command. Furthermore, Hammel’s 10.9 SwStr% last season ranked 21st among all qualified starting pitchers.

Although 2015 was likely Hammel’s career year, he should only regress slightly from his 172 strikeouts. In 2014, the year Hammel was traded to the Cubs, he put up a very respectable 8.06 K/9 and 2.25 BB/9, tallying 158 strikeouts. He could easily land somewhere around there for the 2016 season.

Surrendering too many homeruns, Hammel posted a 1.17 HR/9 in 2014 and a 1.21 HR/9 in 2015. The right-hander compensates for his gopher ball issues by not walking many batters and subsequently maintaining WHIPs of 1.12 and 1.16 in 2014 and 2015, respectively.

Hammel will turn 34 in September and, despite not having much of an injury history, has never surpassed the 180-inning mark. Regardless, Hammel is a safe bet to maintain the output of his last two seasons.

 

Vince Velasquez, Philadelphia Phillies

Vince Velasquez just won the fifth starter spot with Philadelphia and has huge strikeout potential. The 9.38 K/9 and 10.5 SwStr% he posted as a rookie in 2015 over 55.2 innings were exceptional, and the right-hander has consistently maintained a K/9 over 10 during his minor league career.

Velasquez relied heavily on his fastball, which he threw 68.5% of the time last year. The pitch averaged 94.6 mph and held batters to a .242 average and a .394 slugging percentage. His slider, which he threw only 5.3% of the time in 2015, induced a 23.1 SwStr%. If Velasquez can further utilize the pitch, he will be a force in 2016.

Turning 24 in June, the right-hander will likely be on an innings limit this season, which will cap his upside. Velasquez walks too many batters and is prone to surrendering homeruns. But the young Philly boasts electric stuff and could still rack up more than 150 Ks while maintaining a decent ERA.

 

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jackson Holliday

Orioles Reinstate Jackson Holliday From Injured List on Monday
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Braves Reinstate Ronald Acuna Jr. From Injured List on Monday
Jose Altuve

Astros Put Jose Altuve on Injured List With Oblique Strain
Larry Nance Jr.

is Questionable for Game 1 on Tuesday
OG Anunoby

is Probable for Tuesday's Game 1
Luke Kornet

is Cleared for Game 1
New Orleans Pelicans

Jamahl Mosley Agrees to Become Pelicans Next Head Coach
De'Aaron Fox

is Ruled Out for Game 1 on Monday
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Set to Start Game 7
Corey Seager

Going on Injured List With Back Injury
Tage Thompson

Can Match Franchise Record With Another Multi-Point Game
Nick Suzuki

Seeks More Road Success Monday
Lane Hutson

Riding a Five-Game Assist Streak Into Game 7
Filip Gustavsson

Needs Offseason Surgery
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Reinstated and Starting on Monday Against Twins
Cam Skattebo

Dynasty Stock Rising Following NFL Draft
Kaleb Johnson

Logging First-Team Reps in OTAs
Evan Engram

Dynasty Value Fading After Production Decline in 2025
TreVeyon Henderson

Dynasty Outlook Clouded By Split Backfield in New England
Caleb Williams

' Dynasty Upside Remains Sky-High Entering 2026
Bijan Robinson

Is Bijan Robinson the No. 1 Overall Player in Dynasty Formats?
Woody Marks

Should Have Plenty of Opportunities to Catch Passes
Drew Allar

Working as QB4 in First OTA Session
Aaron Rodgers

Reports to Steelers Facilities on Monday
Alvin Kamara

Saints Remain Non-Committal on Alvin Kamara's Future
Chris Olave

Saints Continue to Work on Extension With Chris Olave
Parker Washington

a Sneaky Trade Target in Dynasty Leagues?
Melquizael Costa

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 117
Jarquez Hunter

Can Jarquez Hunter's Dynasty Outlook Improve in Year 2?
Arnold Allen

Bounces Back
James Conner

Off the Dynasty Radar Entirely?
Elijah Arroyo

Will Elijah Arroyo Continue to Have Trouble Getting on the Field?
Daniel Santos

Suffers Second-Round TKO Loss
Tre Tucker

Not a Long-Term Solution in Dynasty Leagues
MMA

Dohoo Choi Wins His Third Consecutive Fight
Malcolm Wellmaker

Suffers His Second Loss In A Row
Juan Diaz

Scores Second-Round Submission
Christian Edwards

Defeated At UFC Vegas 117
CFB

Transfer Running Back Arnold Barnes Visiting Iowa State on Monday
Modestas Bukauskas

Gets Split-Decision Win
Jack Bech

a Dynasty Hold as New-Look Raiders Offense Takes Shape
Jaydon Blue

a Low-Value Dynasty Stash Until Depth Charts are Settled
Makai Lemon

a Top-Five Pick in Dynasty Rookie Drafts
George Kittle

a Dynasty Buy with League-Winning Potential
Jhostynxon Garcia

Expected to Join the Pirates on Tuesday
Chris Rodriguez Jr.

a Dynasty Sleeper with High Touchdown Potential
Tobias Harris

Goes Cold in Game 7 Loss
Quinn Hughes

Open to Signing Extension This Offseason
Jalen Duren

Finishes Game 7 with Quiet Line
Cade Cunningham

Endures Cold Shooting Night Sunday
Joel Eriksson Ek

Misses Second Round Due to Heel Injury
Sam Merrill

Catches Fire in Game 7 Win
Evan Mobley

Posts Versatile Double-Double in Game 7
Jonas Brodin

Sits Out Round 2 Due to Toe Injury
Donovan Mitchell

Guides Cavaliers Into East Finals
Sam Malinski

Practices Fully Sunday
Jarrett Allen

Scores 23 Points in Cavs' Game 7 Rout of Pistons
Josh Manson

Rejoins Practice
Kevin Huerter

Active on Sunday Night
Caris LeVert

Duncan Robinson, Caris LeVert Available Sunday
Dean Wade

Max Strus Replaces Dean Wade in Starting Lineup Sunday
Luke Kornet

Iffy for Monday
Larry Nance Jr.

Won't Play Sunday
De'Aaron Fox

Listed as Questionable for Monday's Action
Jalen Williams

Officially Available for Game 1 Against Spurs
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Named MVP for Second Straight Year
Colt Emerson

Mariners Promoting Top Prospect Colt Emerson to Major Leagues
Bones Hyland

Wants to Stay in Minnesota
Munetaka Murakami

Fantastic First Season Continues With Two More Homers
Cristopher Sánchez

Cristopher Sanchez Dazzles With 13-Strikeout Complete Game on Saturday
Blake Snell

to Undergo Elbow Surgery on Tuesday
Clay Holmes

Could Miss Around Three Months
Jose Altuve

Exits After Swing
Corey Seager

Absent With Back Spasms on Saturday
Jeremy Lauzon

Misses Saturday's Practice
Mark Stone

Doesn't Practice Saturday
Josh Manson

Misses Practice, Considered Day-to-Day
Brent Burns

Day-to-Day Ahead of Conference Finals
Cale Makar

Considered Day-to-Day
Alex Lyon

Likely to Start Game 6 Against Canadiens
Owen Power

Available Saturday
Trevor Story

Hits the Injured List With Groin Injury
Blake Snell

Likely to Need Elbow Surgery
Kyle Schwarber

on a Heater, Hits Two More Homers to Take Major-League Lead
Clay Holmes

Suffers Fractured Fibula on Friday Night
Blake Snell

Heads to 15-Day Injured List
Blake Snell

Scratched From Start on Friday for Undisclosed Reasons
Max Fried

Heading to Injured List With Elbow Bone Bruise
CFB

Julian Sayin Looking To Build Off Of Strong Debut Season
CFB

College GameDay Set for First Three Weeks
CFB

Jeremiah Smith Aiming For Ohio State Receiving Records
CFB

Keshaun Singleton Projects as Auburn's WR1
CFB

Jeremiah Cobb Impresses New Auburn Staff
CFB

Alberto Mendoza Very Likely to Start for Georgia Tech
CFB

Charles Woodson Jr. Commits to Michigan
Jordan Westburg

to Have Season-Ending Elbow Surgery
Melquizael Costa

Set For UFC Vegas 117 Main Event
Arnold Allen

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 117
Daniel Santos

Set For UFC Vegas 117 Co-Main Event
MMA

Dohoo Choi Returns At UFC Vegas 117
Juan Diaz

Set To Make His UFC Debut
Malcolm Wellmaker

Looks To Bounce Back
Christian Edwards

Set For His UFC Debut
Modestas Bukauskas

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Lane Hutson

Contributes Two Assists in Game 5 Victory
Nick Suzuki

Amasses Three Points in Crucial Victory Thursday
Juraj Slafkovsky

Dishes Out Three Assists in Game 5 Win
Carter Hart

Stops 31 Pucks in Series-Clinching Win
CFB

Virginia Tech Lands Commitment from Four-Star QB Peter Bourque
CFB

NFL Veteran Tom Moore Joins Iowa Coaching Staff
CFB

Can Cam Cook Dominate in Return to Big 12?
CFB

ACC, Big 12 Support 24-Team College Football Playoff
CFB

Anthony Colandrea Looking to Elevate Nebraska Back to National Contention
CFB

Kwazi Gilmer Set for Big Impact at Nebraska
Justin Thomas

Trending Well Ahead of PGA Championship Despite Concerning Form
J.J. Spaun

Trending Up Ahead of PGA Championship
Adam Scott

Riding Strong Form Into PGA Championship
Patrick Reed

Looking to Make Another Run at PGA Championship
PGA

Sungjae Im Looks to Build on Strong Finish at Truist Championship
Sam Burns

Must Keep Ball in Play at PGA Championship
Jordan Spieth

Looks to Complete Career Grand Slam at Aronimink
Brandt Snedeker

Not the Best Option for the PGA Championship
Rasmus Hojgaard

a Volatile Option at PGA Championship
Maverick McNealy

Seeking Better Start in Philadelphia
Harry Hall

a Boom-or-Bust Option at Aronimink
Hideki Matsuyama

Attempts to Improve Over 2025 PGA Championship
Scottie Scheffler

Looks to Defend PGA Championship at Aronimink
Nicolai Hojgaard

Wants to Keep Momentum Rolling in Philadelphia
Ben Griffin

Attempting to Bounce Back After Truist Championship
CFB

Transfer Defensive Lineman Devarrick Woods Commits to Clemson
Harris English

Will Need His Putter to Thrive at Aronimink
Akshay Bhatia

Creative Flair Could Show Itself in Philadelphia
Keegan Bradley

Knows the Aronimink Golf Club Well
Si Woo Kim

Struggles at Truist Championship
Gary Woodland

Can Continue Incredible 2026 Season at PGA Championship
Xander Schauffele

In Excellent Form Heading to PGA Championship
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF