TAP FOR 6 MONTHS OF PREMIUM FREE 💰
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Late Round Gems: Starting Pitcher Sleepers

In general, starting pitchers are more volatile than hitters. Pitchers are more injury prone, and Tommy John surgery is seemingly more common than ever. Furthermore, one or two bad outings can bloat a starting pitcher’s statistics beyond repair for that season. In some cases, starters suddenly lose fastball velocity and subsequently become shells of their former selves.

Waiting to draft starters is a pretty well known fantasy baseball strategy, but the key to its success lies in selecting quality arms late in the draft. Here are a few starting pitchers who will be available late and offer immense value.

Editor's note: Be sure to also check out our 2016 fantasy baseball rankings dashboard. Our rankings assistant tool combines all our staff's ranks in one place. You can easily filter and export all sorts of rankings and tiers - mixed leagues, points leagues, AL/NL only, top prospects, dynasty ranks, keeper values, and more.

 

Starting Pitchers: Diamonds in the Rough

Joe Ross, Washington Nationals

Joe Ross exploded onto the scene in 2015, posting a 3.64 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 76.2 innings. The right-hander, younger brother of the Padre’s Tyson Ross, went 5-5 and maintained excellent ratios of 8.10 K/9 and 2.47 BB/9. His 49.8 GB% was well above league average and helped limit homeruns.

Ross, who will turn 23 in May, exerted his dominance last year by using a sinker/slider combination. The slider, which Ross threw 35.7% of the time, produced an outstanding 25.8 SwStr%. Perhaps even more impressive, batters hit a pathetic .135 and slugged .246 against the pitch. Ross’s sinker, which the rookie threw 53.2% of the time, induced a 51.3 GB% and held opposing batters to a .258 batting average and a .379 slugging percentage.

Despite Ross’s 2015 success, left-handers teed off on him to the tune of a .275/.353/.456 slash line. Ross will need to find a pitch to successfully neutralize lefties if he wants to improve on last season. He has been honing his change-up and recently learned a split-finger fastball from Nationals’ closer Jonathan Papelbon. Although the righty may be on an innings limit, he should be so productive that it will not significantly affect his season totals.

 

Luis Severino, New York Yankees

After being promoted to the majors in August, Luis Severino made 11 starts and totaled 62.1 innings. Over that span, the flame-throwing rookie went 5-3, boasting a 2.89 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. He maintained an excellent 8.09 K/9 and an adequate 3.18 BB/9. Severino’s BB/9 rate should decrease in 2016, as the right-hander never posted a BB/9 higher than 2.50 throughout his minor league career.

Severino had success using a fastball/slider combination. The rookie’s overpowering fastball, which averaged 95.2 mph, held hitters to a .231 batting average. His slider held a 55.7 GB%, holding hitters to a .234 batting average and a .351 slugging percentage. Although he used it less frequently, Severino’s change-up was even more devastating. Producing a 17.6 SwStr%, Severino’s change-up stymied batters to a .222 batting average and a .259 slugging percentage.

These numbers are taken from small sample sizes, but the young pitcher has blue chip pedigree and had similar success in the minor leagues. In 2015 at triple-A Colombus, Severino went 7-0 over 11 starts, posting a 1.91 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP in 61.1 innings.

The 50.3 GB% Severino maintained in the majors was excellent, and the 1.30 HR/9 that victimized him was fluky. His 17.3% HR/FB was freakishly high and is bound to decrease. Totaling 161.2 innings in 2015, Severino should be able approach 200 innings this year before the Yankees shut him down.

 

Jason Hammel, Chicago Cubs

Jason Hammel quietly put together his second consecutive quality season for the Chicago Cubs last season. A 10-7 record and 3.74 ERA do not jump off the page, but Hammel’s 9.07 K/9 and 2.11 BB/9 were both career bests and indicative of a pitcher who boasted quality stuff and excellent command. Furthermore, Hammel’s 10.9 SwStr% last season ranked 21st among all qualified starting pitchers.

Although 2015 was likely Hammel’s career year, he should only regress slightly from his 172 strikeouts. In 2014, the year Hammel was traded to the Cubs, he put up a very respectable 8.06 K/9 and 2.25 BB/9, tallying 158 strikeouts. He could easily land somewhere around there for the 2016 season.

Surrendering too many homeruns, Hammel posted a 1.17 HR/9 in 2014 and a 1.21 HR/9 in 2015. The right-hander compensates for his gopher ball issues by not walking many batters and subsequently maintaining WHIPs of 1.12 and 1.16 in 2014 and 2015, respectively.

Hammel will turn 34 in September and, despite not having much of an injury history, has never surpassed the 180-inning mark. Regardless, Hammel is a safe bet to maintain the output of his last two seasons.

 

Vince Velasquez, Philadelphia Phillies

Vince Velasquez just won the fifth starter spot with Philadelphia and has huge strikeout potential. The 9.38 K/9 and 10.5 SwStr% he posted as a rookie in 2015 over 55.2 innings were exceptional, and the right-hander has consistently maintained a K/9 over 10 during his minor league career.

Velasquez relied heavily on his fastball, which he threw 68.5% of the time last year. The pitch averaged 94.6 mph and held batters to a .242 average and a .394 slugging percentage. His slider, which he threw only 5.3% of the time in 2015, induced a 23.1 SwStr%. If Velasquez can further utilize the pitch, he will be a force in 2016.

Turning 24 in June, the right-hander will likely be on an innings limit this season, which will cap his upside. Velasquez walks too many batters and is prone to surrendering homeruns. But the young Philly boasts electric stuff and could still rack up more than 150 Ks while maintaining a decent ERA.

 

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Oakland Athletics

A's Open to Kyler Murray Exploring a Return to Baseball
Coby White

is Available on Wednesday
Kelly Oubre Jr.

Won't Play on Wednesday
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Suffers Small Fracture in his Finger
VJ Edgecombe

is Ruled Out on Wednesday
Isaiah Hartenstein

to Play on Wednesday
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

is Cleared for Wednesday's Contest
Collin Murray-Boyles

to Remain Sidelined on Thursday
Egor Demin

Ruled Out for Thursday's Game
Brandon Ingram

Considered Questionable For Thursday
Kyshawn George

Slated to Miss Thursday's Matchup With Jazz
Drey Jameson

Could be a Sleeper Out of the Arizona Bullpen
Brandon Williams

Expected to Suit Up Against Magic on Thursday
Rafael Devers

Feeling Much Better, Could Return This Weekend
Abner Uribe

Dominates Tigers; a Saves Candidate in Milwaukee?
Dylan Crews

Returns to Grapefruit League Lineup on Wednesday
Cooper Flagg

Considered Questionable For Thursday
Trae Young

Off Injury List For Thursday
Shane McClanahan

Throws Two Scoreless Innings in Spring Debut
Kirby Yates

Is Kirby Yates the Favorite for Closing Duties in Anaheim?
Klay Thompson

Probable For Thursday's Clash With Magic
Stefon Diggs

Patriots Releasing Stefon Diggs
Mick Abel

Making his Case as Twins Starter in 2026
Corbin Carroll

Progressing to Batting Practice Swings
Byron Buxton

Looking Like a Draft-Day Value
Merrill Kelly

Scheduled for Bullpen Session on Thursday
Cam Schlittler

to Make Grapefruit League Debut on Friday
Andrew Kittredge

Dealing With Shoulder Inflammation
Walker Jenkins

Reassigned to Minor-League Camp
Cody Bellinger

Scheduled to Return to Grapefruit League Action on Thursday
Matt Shaw

to Start Seeing More Time in the Outfield
Hunter Greene

Says he Doesn't Have UCL Damage
Nolan McLean

Feeling Better, to Throw 50-55 Pitches in Sim Game
Trent McDuffie

Chiefs Sending Trent McDuffie to Rams in Blockbuster Deal
Hunter Greene

to Undergo MRI for Elbow Injury
Taylor Moore

Looking to Build on Cognizant Classic Finish
Robert MacIntyre

Brings Solid Form to Bay Hill
Scottie Scheffler

the Tournament Favorite at Bay Hill
Jonathan Drouin

Ready to Go Wednesday
Xander Schauffele

Trending Well Ahead of API
Jake Walman

Avoids Major Injury Tuesday
Marcus Johansson

Makes Early Exit Versus Lightning
Cole Smith

Golden Knights Pick Up Cole Smith From Nashville
Michael McCarron

Sent to Wild for Second-Round Pick
Ryan O'Reilly

Sustains Eye Injury Tuesday
Artturi Lehkonen

Deemed Week-to-Week
Kevin Love

Active Wednesday Night
Jaden Ivey

to Miss Five-Game Road Trip
Zach Edey

Has Season-Ending Ankle Surgery
Matas Buzelis

Exits Early Tuesday
Josh Giddey

Hurts Ankle Tuesday
Jarrett Allen

Exits Early With Knee Injury
Si Woo Kim

Looking to Return to Top Form at Bay Hill
Leon Draisaitl

Dominates With Five-Point Game
Ben Griffin

Looking to Return to Form at Arnold Palmer Invitational
PGA

Nico Echavarria Looks to Build on Cognizant Classic Win at Arnold Palmer
Sam Burns

Searching for Consistency at Arnold Palmer Invitational
Daniel Berger

Offers Sneaky Upside at Bay Hill
Jack Hughes

Contributes With Two Assists
Dougie Hamilton

Picks Up Two Points in Win
Jacob Markstrom

Cruises to Win
Dylan Guenther

Picks Up Two Points on Tuesday Night
Jeremy Swayman

Defeats the Penguins
Zion Williamson

Ready to Take on Lakers
VJ Edgecombe

Sustains Back Injury Tuesday
Justin Thomas

Making Season Debut at API Following Lower-Back Surgery
NASCAR

Collin Morikawa Hopes To Better Last Year's Runner-Up Finish at API
Emmet Sheehan

Behind in Camp Due to Illness
Tommy Fleetwood

Isn't As Confident of a Start at Bay Hill as Previous Weeks
Blake Lizotte

Unavailable Against Bruins
Marcus Foligno

Considered Week-to-Week
Jonas Brodin

Rejoins Wild Lineup
John Carlson

Misses Fourth Consecutive Game
Mikael Granlund

Troy Terry, Mikael Granlund Remain Out Tuesday
J.T. Miller

Lands on Injured Reserve
Mark Stone

Ruled Out Tuesday
Kyler Murray

Will be Released
Trey Hendrickson

Bengals Not Using the Franchise Tag on Trey Hendrickson
Daniel Jones

Colts Place Transition Tag on Daniel Jones
Adam Scott

Might Endure Tough Times at Bay Hill
Aldrich Potgieter

Extremely Risky When it Comes to Bay Hill
PGA

Sungjae Im to Make Season Debut at Arnold Palmer Invitational
Jordan Spieth

an All-or-Nothing Option at Bay Hill
Harry Hall

Trying to Rebound After the Genesis Invitational
Ryan Gerard

Needs Better Start at Bay Hill
Kenneth Walker III

Won't Get the Franchise Tag
Patrick Cantlay

Still Plagued by Bad Putting Ahead of Arnold Palmer Invititational
Daniel Jones

Colts Expected to Use Transition Tag on Daniel Jones
Breece Hall

Jets Placing Franchise Tag on Breece Hall
CFB

Mark Stoops Joining Texas Coaching Staff
Nick Seeler

Suffers Lower-Body Injury Versus Maple Leafs
Jason Day

Attempts to Bounce Back from The Genesis Invitational
Jacob Bridgeman

Rolling into Arnold Palmer Invitational
Russell Henley

Looks to Defend Title at the Arnold Palmer Invitational
Khalil Mack

Will Play in 2026
MMA

Lone'er Kavanagh Gets Back In The Win Column
Brandon Moreno

Gets Outclassed
Marlon Vera

Loses Fourth Fight In A Row
Daniel Jones

Colts Have "50/50" Chance to Get a Deal Done With Daniel Jones
David Martinez

Remains Undefeated In The UFC
Daniel Zellhuber

Loses Third Consecutive Fight
King Green

Gets Second-Round TKO Win
Felipe Bunes

Drops Decision At UFC Mexico City
Édgar Cháirez

Edgar Chairez Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Ryan Blaney

Falls to Eighth Despite Running Most of the Race in the Top Five At COTA
Ty Gibbs

Wins A Stage and Finishes Fourth At COTA
Christopher Bell

Earns First Top-Five Finish of the 2026 Season at COTA
Kyler Murray

"Repeatedly" Linked to Jets
Shane Van Gisbergen

Falls Short of Victory At COTA
Tyler Reddick

Wins At COTA and Makes NASCAR History
David Montgomery

Texans Acquire David Montgomery From Lions
Kyler Murray

Likely to be Released
Travis Etienne Jr.

Not Expected to be Franchise-Tagged
Aaron Jones Sr.

Vikings Planning to Release Aaron Jones Sr.?
Tyler Reddick

Could Make History at COTA
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen Still the Favorite at COTA
Christopher Bell

Will Be Tough to Beat at COTA
AJ Allmendinger

Could Contend at COTA
Connor Zilisch

Carries Plenty of Upside for DFS at COTA
Chase Elliott

May be A Strong Contender Again at COTA
Chris Buescher

Is Nothing But Consistent at Road Courses
Ross Chastain

May Be An Underrated Competitor for the Win at COTA
William Byron

Is William Byron a Viable DFS Option for COTA?
Carson Hocevar

Needs Clean Race at COTA
Kyle Larson

Could be A Decent DFS Option for COTA Lineups
Ryan Blaney

Could Ryan Blaney be A Sleeper DFS Option for All Formats for COTA?
Chase Briscoe

Should DFS Players Roster Chase Briscoe at COTA?
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Is A Favorable Value Option for COTA DFS Lineups
Ty Gibbs

Could Ty Gibbs Be A Rosterable DFS Play for COTA?
A.J. Brown

Patriots "Have Explored Trade Talks" Involving A.J. Brown
Lone'er Kavanagh

Set For UFC Mexico City Main Event
Brandon Moreno

Looks To Bounce Back
David Martinez

Set For UFC Mexico City Co-Main Event
Marlon Vera

In Dire Need Of Victory
King Green

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Daniel Zellhuber

Aims To Snap Two-Fight Skid
Felipe Bunes

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Édgar Cháirez

Edgar Chairez A Favorite At UFC Mexico City
George Pickens

Cowboys Not Interested in Trading George Pickens
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF