👉 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE SPRING
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


Harris Yudin's 10 Bold Predictions for 2017

Over the final two weeks leading up to Opening Day, our writers will be offering their most audacious projections for the 2017 fantasy baseball season. This is my second year contributing to this bold predictions series.

Last season, I hit on a couple of predictions (Jake Arrieta’s fall from grace, Christian Yelich’s breakout, Roberto Osuna cementing himself as a top reliever) and embarrassed myself with several others— won’t go into too much detail, you can find the piece here.

Here are this year’s predictions, all of which contain positive outlooks.

Featured Promo: Save 50% the regular price with discount code SPRING, for a limited time. Exclusive access to our Team Sync platform, DFS cheat sheets, Lineup Optimizers, betting/prop picks, and exclusive content from Nick Mariano and Eric Cross! GAIN ACCESS NOW

 

Harris Yudin's 10 Bold Predictions for 2017

1. Jarrod Dyson leads MLB in stolen bases

Dyson has been limited to a platoon/bench role throughout his career in Kansas City, accumulating 156 steals over his last five years— the sixth-most in baseball over that span despite never seeing 300 at-bats in a single season. Now, the 32-year-old speedster will be given an opportunity to become more than a part-time player with the Mariners. Dyson’s .278/.340/.388 slash line from 2016 featured three career highs (min. 100 PA), and while he doesn’t possess any power, he has proven to be a capable hitter, even hitting .379 in 29 AB against southpaws. If he can secure a spot atop Seattle’s lineup and maintain respectable rate stats, Dyson could not only steal 50-60 bases, but also sniff 80 or 90 runs, as well. Of course, to lead the majors in swipes he will need to stay healthy and hit above .280, but that’s not so crazy as far as bold predictions go.

2. Yu Darvish finishes as SP1 in the American League

Last year, I wrote about Matt Harvey and Stephen Strasburg finishing, alongside Clayton Kershaw, among the top three starters in MLB. That… didn’t go so well. But that doesn’t mean I’m going to stop recognizing upside— especially in my bold predictions. Darvish is another less-than-durable pitcher with tremendous stuff, and this could be the year he fully develops into a truly elite arm. Darvish, 30, has made just 37 starts over the last three seasons combined, but boasts an impressive 2.94 FIP over that span— eighth-best mark among SP with at least 240 IP. If he can just stay healthy, Darvish has the stuff to compile 20 wins, 200 strikeouts and a sub-3.00 ERA.

I know this seems not-so-bold considering my colleague Nick Mariano predicted Darvish to be overall SP1 (!!!), but I have too much respect for Kershaw (and, incidentally, no respect whatsoever for Nick) to oust the three-time Cy Young Award winner from the top spot.

3. Joc Pederson hits 30 homers, finishes as a top-20 outfielder

All Pederson has done since coming into the league is hit bombs— 51 one of them to be exact, in just 886 AB. While the narrative seems to be that he hasn’t improved since coming into the league, that’s not even close to being true. The 24-year-old cut down on the massive 29.1 percent strikeout rate from his rookie year, his BABIP jumped up 34 points (still with room for growth) and his OBP shot up 84 points. His contact rate increased from 66.7 percent to 75.0 percent, and he made harder contact in the process. The biggest concern surrounding Pederson is his high HR/FB rate (23.1 percent), but he has the raw power and the uppercut swing to increase his home run output. He would’ve eclipsed 30 long balls last year if you prorate his numbers over a full season, so a healthy Pederson could actually sniff 40 if he can continue to cut down on his whiffs.

4. Carlos Correa OR Corey Seager finishes as the No. 2 overall player

This one is inspired by some Rotoballer readers who were taken aback by first, my claim that Seager could wind up as the second best player in fantasy this year, and second, the fact that I actually prefer Correa to Seager. It’s kind of a cop out, but whatever. The two young shortstops sit at No. 14 and No. 15 in my rankings, so this is not a HUGE reach. Still, I can’t imagine any fantasy owner is entrusting either player with a top-five pick on draft day.

Correa took a minor step back in his second season, hitting 20 HR with 13 SB and a .274/.361/.451 slash line. Still, he recorded a 37.2 percent hard hit rate and knocked in 96 runs. His home run total was a result of a low fly ball rate and a poor HR/FB ratio, but both of those numbers could very well creep back toward where they were in 2015. Correa has 30/20 potential, and could rack up 200 R+RBI hitting in the potent Astros lineup.

What Seager lacks in speed (five steals in 800 PA), he makes up for in power and on-base skills. Over those 800 PA, the 22-year-old has slashed .312/.374/.519 with 30 HR, 122 R and 89 RBI. His walk and strikeout rates (7.9 and 19.4 percent, respectively) are not so concerning for a 21-year-old rookie, and it’s more than feasible for him to improve upon those numbers in his sophomore campaign.

There’s definitely the opportunity for either Correa or Seager to be out-done by only Mike Trout, and I wouldn’t be shocked to see both of them in the top 10 overall at year’s end.

5. Andrew McCutchen hits over .300

I can’t tell if this is extremely bold or really not that bold at all. On one hand, the 30-year-old McCutchen has seen a progressive decline in his overall numbers over the last few years, and could simply be on a downward trajectory with eight full seasons under his belt. On the other hand, 30 is often still within a player’s prime, and Cutch has continued to post solid counting stats— he has eclipsed 20 home runs in each of the last six years. So his average has dropped from .314 in 2014 to .292 in 2015 and then down to a meager .256 last season, but it’s hard to imagine he went from an elite on-base option to a .250 hitter in just two years.

McCutchen’s OPS was 48 points higher in the second half of the year than in the first, and it sat well over .800 from August through the end of the regular season. Additionally, his walk rate jumped 3.1 points and his strikeout rate fell 7.8 points from the first half to the second. I don’t think I really believe McCutchen will break the .300 mark again, but to completely rule out a bounce back would be foolish.

6. Carlos Rodon strikes out more batters than Chris Sale

I think it’s only fair to preface this by saying that I do like Sale this year, and I don’t think the move to Fenway will really have any negative effects on his numbers. This is more about Rodon and the leap I expect him to take. The 24-year-old has a complete arsenal, headlined by a wipeout slider that was among the 10 best in baseball last year. In his sophomore campaign, Rodon improved his strikeout rate, lowered his walk rate and induced weaker contact despite a bump in his fly ball rate.

Yes, Sale struck out 65 more batters a year ago, but they posted remarkably similar K/9 rates. The biggest obstacle here is that Sale is an innings eater, with at least 200 in three of his last four years, so Rodon will have to at least come close to matching his workload to pull this off. If that were to happen — likely as a result of an injury to Sale — this prediction could come to fruition. Rodon has the stuff to one day lead the AL in strikeouts, so why can’t that be this year?

7. Mike Moustakas finishes as a top-10 third baseman

We know the top four— Kris Bryant, Nolan Arenado, Manny Machado and Josh Donaldson, in whatever order — but it gets a little blurry after that. Third base is a deep position, and there are at least 15 guys who could solidify one of the remaining spots in the top 10. Moustakas’s 2016 season was cut short in May by a knee injury, but he was hitting at an impressive pace— seven homers, 13 RBI in just 104 at-bats with improved strikeout and walk rates. He displayed an enhanced ability to reach base in his last full season of 2015, and that should continue in 2017 if he can remain healthy. A stat line of 30 homers, 80 runs, 90 RBI and a .280 average is within reach for the 28-year-old, and those numbers should place him among the top 10 who are eligible at the hot corner.

8. Tommy Joseph finishes as a top-10 first basemen

Joseph is a popular sleeper pick for 2017, but I think he is capable of even exceeding those expectations. NFBC has him as the 24th 1B-eligible player off the board, so cracking the top 10 would certainly be a surprise. After battling injuries and inconsistency throughout the minors, Joseph made his major league debut in May, and proceeded to smack 21 homers over just 315 at-bats. His batted ball profile indicates his power isn’t likely to fade, and while he may never be a .280 hitter, his .267 BABIP should improve, and with it, his .257 average. The potential for 35-40 homers means Joseph could out-produce guys like Eric Hosmer, Brandon Belt and Adrian Gonzalez.

9. Jurickson Profar manages 15/15 season

Honestly, there’s not a whole lot to back this up— Profar hit five homers with two steals and a .239 average across 272 AB last season. In fact, he’s never gone 15/15 at any level of his professional career. But Profar, who headlined what has become a very underwhelming top-10 prospect group from 2012, still possesses five-tool talent, and if he can remain healthy, the 24-year-old (yes, he only turned 24 in February) should receive solid playing time between left field and DH for the Rangers. He’s not on my mixed league radar (currently ranked No. 365), but Fangraphs says that rostering him would require blind hope, and that’s exactly what I am using to justify this prediction!

10. Dylan Bundy finishes as top-40 starter

About two sentences ago, I mentioned that the 2012 prospect class has largely been a disappointment. Right behind Profar on that list was Dylan Bundy— a crafty right-hander who was selected by the Orioles with the fourth overall pick in the 2011 MLB Draft. Bundy tossed 1.2 innings in the big leagues in 2012, but failed to reach the highest level again until 2016, as injuries limited his time on the field and stunted his development. Last season, Bundy made the jump to the bigs and proceeded to hurl 109.2 quality innings, racking up 104 strikeouts to go along with a 4.02 ERA. Nothing overly impressive, but he has flashed dominance at times, particularly in his one-hit shutout over seven innings against the Rangers on Aug. 2. Bundy managed a strong 10.5 percent swinging strike, and his batted ball profile improved from the first half to the second— other than his HR/FB rate, which should come back down as he continues to command the strike zone better. Bundy isn’t the safest mixed-league pick, but he has the potential to break out in 2017.

 

More 2017 RotoBaller Predictions




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Denver Broncos

Broncos Sign GM George Paton to New Five-Year Deal
Brandon McManus

Packers Release Kicker Brandon McManus
New York Jets

Jets Talking to a "Number of Veteran Quarterbacks"
Travis Etienne Jr.

a Reliable Dynasty Starter Entering First Season With Saints
Kenneth Gainwell

Is Kenneth Gainwell's Dynasty Stock Still Rising After Offseason Change of Scenery?
Mac Jones

a Deep-League Dynasty Stash Candidate
Tez Johnson

Facing Uphill Battle for Playing Time in Tampa Bay
Jared Goff

Remains a High-Floor Dynasty QB2 Heading into 2026
De'Von Achane

Remains a High-End Dynasty RB Despite Uncertain Supporting Cast
Xavier Worthy

Chiefs Limited Xavier Worthy's Usage After Injury Last Year
Rashee Rice

Chiefs Not Ready to Discuss Extension With Rashee Rice?
Cade Otton

Remains a Quality Dynasty Depth Piece
CFB

Walker Lyons Could be Go-To Target for Bear Bachmeier
Austin Reaves

Scores 31 Points in Game 2 Defeat
T.J. Hockenson

Bounce-Back Chances Stifled by Improved Pass-Catching Depth
CFB

Ty Benefield a Potential Game-Changer for LSU Defense
Chet Holmgren

Anchors Thunder Past Lakers in Game 2
CFB

Hayden Lowe Set for Significant Role Following Miami's NFL Departures
Jordan Addison

Facing Competition for No. 2 Role?
Tobias Harris

Stays Hot in Game 2 Victory
Cade Cunningham

Pushes Pistons to 2-0 Series Lead
CFB

Taylor Wein in Position for Big Season on Oklahoma's Defensive Line
Taylor Heinicke

Retiring After 11 Seasons
Jarrett Allen

Provides Bright Spot in Cavs' Game 2 Loss to Pistons
Jauan Jennings

Signs With Vikings on One-Year Deal
CFB

Rasheem Biles an Instant Impact Player for Texas
James Harden

Struggles in Game 2 Loss
Donovan Mitchell

Finishes Game 2 Loss with 31 Points
Gradey Dick

Open to Trade Away From Toronto
Michael Porter Jr.

Wants to Stay in Brooklyn
Charlotte Hornets

Hornets Extend Charles Lee After 25-Win Improvement
Jarred Vanderbilt

Ruled Out for Game 2 Against Thunder
Luke Kennard

Cleared to Play Thursday
Ayo Dosunmu

Considered Questionable for Game 3 Against Spurs
Anthony Edwards

Remains Questionable on Injury Report Ahead of Game 3
Mitchell Robinson

Probable for Friday's Action
Kevin Huerter

Remains Out Thursday
Sam Merrill

Unavailable Thursday
OG Anunoby

Tagged as Questionable for Friday
Joel Embiid

Listed as Questionable for Game 3 Against Knicks
Dan Vladar

Looks to Return to Winning Ways Thursday
Connor Dewar

Penguins Re-Sign Connor Dewar for Two Years
Mikko Rantanen

Played Through Torn MCL Late in the Season
Rasmus Dahlin

Ready to Go Friday
Kyle Pitts Sr.

Signs Franchise Tender on Thursday
Alexander Nikishin

Set to Return Thursday
Joe Burrow

Attending Voluntary Workouts, Ready for Monster Season?
Christian Dvorak

Available Thursday
Owen Tippett

Remains Out Thursday
Roman Anthony

Heading for the Injured List
CFB

Sam Leavitt Expected to Be Full-Go for Fall Camp
T.J. Hockenson

Can T.J. Hockenson Bounce Back with Improved Quarterback Play in Minnesota?
Jordan Love

Is Jordan Love's Dynasty Upside Fading Entering 2026?
Dalton Schultz

Facing Increased Playing Time Competition in Houston Entering 2026
Tarik Skubal

Could Return in 4-6 Weeks After Successful Elbow Surgery
Cole Ragans

Royals Hopeful That Cole Ragans Makes his Next Start
Paul George

Does a Little Bit of Everything in Game 2 Loss
Tyrese Maxey

Tallies Team-High 26 Points in Wednesday's Loss
Mark Stone

Nets Late Power-Play Goal in Losing Effort
Leo Carlsson

Pots Game-Winner Wednesday Night
Juraj Slafkovsky

Ends Point Drought in Game 1 Loss
Bowen Byram

Ties Franchise Record With Fourth Postseason Goal
Zach Benson

Posts Second Consecutive Multi-Point Game
Rasmus Dahlin

"Seems Fine" After Early Exit on Wednesday
Emilio Pagán

Emilio Pagan has Grade 2 Hamstring Strain, Expected to Miss 4-8 Weeks
Joe Ryan

Listed as Scheduled Starter for Saturday Against Cleveland
Tyler Glasnow

Not Expected to Land on the Injured List
Framber Valdez

Suspension Reduced to Five Games
Nils Hoglander

Will Miss World Championship Due to Injury
Christian Dvorak

Likely to Play in Game 3 Against Hurricanes
Owen Tippett

a Game-Time Decision Thursday
Noah Cates

to Miss Rest of Round 2
Arber Xhekaj

Rejoins Canadiens Lineup Wednesday
Brendan Gallagher

Scratched on Wednesday
Logan Stanley

Returns to Action Wednesday
Framber Valdez

Suspended Six Games
Tyler Glasnow

Exits Early on Wednesday With Back Pain
CFB

Brauntae Johnson the Next Star in Notre Dame's Secondary?
CFB

Ethan Barbour a Name to Know in Georgia's Tight End Room
CFB

Payton Pierce Next Up at Linebacker for Ohio State
CFB

Javin Gordon to Play Significant Role for Tennessee?
CFB

Tanook Hines Stepping into WR1 Role for USC
CFB

Rueben Owens II has "Star Potential" in Fourth Campaign
Brandon Woodruff

has Fluid Drained From his Right Shoulder
Brandon Woodruff

to Resume Throwing on Saturday, Return Imminent?
Carlos Correa

to Have Season-Ending Ankle Surgery
Jacob Misiorowski

Listed as Friday's Probable Starter
Logan Webb

Dealing With Knee Discomfort
Carlos Correa

Expected to Miss Significant Time With Ankle Injury
Collin Morikawa

Withdraws From Truist Championship
Xander Schauffele

Carries Elite Form Into Quail Hollow
Hideki Matsuyama

Looks to Bounce Back at Truist Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick

Secures Third Win of 2026 Season
Patrick Cantlay

Continues Playing Well Heading to Truist Championship
Ludvig Aberg

Returns to Action For Truist Championship
Justin Thomas

Searching for Consistency at Quail Hollow
Jordan Spieth

Looks to Break Through at Quail Hollow
Adam Scott

Brings Strong Form to Quail Hollow
Robert MacIntyre

a Steady Option at Truist Championship
Jason Day

Looks to Overcome Approach Struggles at Quail Hollow
Akshay Bhatia

Looks for Complete Game at Truist Championship
Mats Zuccarello

Extends Point Streak to Five Games
Emilio Pagán

Emilio Pagan Headed for Injured List With Hamstring Injury
Emilio Pagán

Emilio Pagan Carted Off With Apparent Hamstring Injury on Tuesday
Justin Rose

to Continue Mid-Season Club Change at Truist Championship
Si Woo Kim

is Back to Peak Form Ahead of Truist Championship
Sam Burns

to Bounce Back at Truist Championship
Cameron Young

Looks to Carry Dominance to Quail Hollow
Rory McIlroy

Returns to Familiar Stomping Grounds This Week at Quail Hollow
Chris Gotterup

Looking to Bounce Back at Quail Hollow
MLB

Cardinals-Brewers Game Postponed on Tuesday
Roman Anthony

Day-to-Day With Wrist Sprain
Jacob Misiorowski

"All Things Look Good" for Jacob Misiorowski to Start on Wednesday
Tommy Fleetwood

Looking For Better Iron Play at Quail Hollow
MLB

Rockies-Mets Game Postponed Due to Inclement Weather
CFB

Mario Craver Enters No. 1 Wide Receiver Role for Marcel Reed
CFB

LaNorris Sellers a Strong Rebound Candidate in 2026
CFB

Cam Coleman Poised for Monster Year at Texas?
CFB

Will Hammond Pushing to Be Ready for Week 1
Alex Fitzpatrick

Looking to Keep Up Ball-Striking Output at Quail Hollow
CFB

Notre Dame Leads College Football in Returning Snaps
CFB

Two Ole Miss Football Players Arrested, Charged with DUI
Ben Griffin

Looks Solid on the Surface Heading to Charlotte
Chase Elliott

Earns his Second Texas Motor Speedway Victory
Denny Hamlin

Misses Out on Winning at Texas
Alex Bowman

Finishes Third for the Second Week in a Row at Texas
Tyler Reddick

Earns Seventh Top-Five Finish of the Season at Texas
Chris Buescher

Scores his First Career Texas Finish in the Top Five
CFB

Bryce Underwood in Better Situation Entering Sophomore Season
CFB

Nico Iamaleava Emerging as Leader, Playmaker for UCLA
Jack Della Maddalena

Gets Dominated At UFC Perth
Carlos Prates

Shines At UFC Perth
Beneil Dariush

Suffers A First-Round TKO Loss
Quillan Salkilld

Remains Unbeaten In The UFC
Tim Elliott

Drops Decision At UFC Perth
Steve Erceg

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Ollie Schmid

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Marwan Rahiki

Remains Unbeaten
Christopher Bell

Is Christopher Bell Worth Rostering for Texas Lineups?
William Byron

Might have the Speed to Compete for the Win at Texas
Joey Logano

Provides Solid Upside for Texas DFS Lineups
Chase Briscoe

Could Chase Briscoe be A Sneaky Pick for Texas Lineups?
Ty Gibbs

Should DFS Managers Roster Ty Gibbs at Texas?
Daniel Suarez

Is Daniel Suarez Worth Rostering After Career-Best Starting Position at Texas?
Kyle Busch

Is a DFS Risk Starting in the Top 10 at Texas
Tyler Reddick

One of the Favorites to Win at Texas
Chase Elliott

Could Contend for Another Win at Texas
Carson Hocevar

on Pole at Texas
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Wrecks in Practice at Texas
Chris Buescher

Looking to Continue Strong Run at Texas
Austin Dillon

Blows Engine in Practice at Texas
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF