👉 TAP TO SAVE 30% WITH CODE NEW
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 30% Now
Import Your Leagues
Top-Rated Accuracy
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Early Deep Sleepers / Dynasty Stashes for 2017 (Part Two)

It's never too early to dream about next year. Whether you're looking for the perfect sneaky keeper or dynasty stash, or you're already eliminated from contention from your playoffs, there exists a smorgasbord of underowned players at every position ripe for the picking.

The premise is simple: identify players with very low ownership rates who have the potential to gain relevance in standard mixed formats. Low ownership rates serve as a proxy for general interest in players heading into next season; the lower the ownership rate, the lower that player will likely slip on draft day 2017.

Editor's Note: Purchase a full season NFL Premium Pass (including DFS Premium), and also get MLB Premium + DFS for free through the playoffs. Premium DFS research, lineup picks, expert lineups, tools and more. You can see screenshots of our NFL Premium and MLB Premium and DFS tools. What are you waiting for?

 

It's Never Too Early

This week will feature a shortstop, third baseman and outfielder. Next week will feature three starting pitchers. Each of the following players are owned in 10 percent or less of fantasy leagues, according to FleaFlicker.

 

Shortstop

Chris Owings, ARI
2016 stats: 4 HR, 48 R, 42 RBI, 18 SB, .274/.316/.415 in 439 PA

Owings isn't the gold standard of excellence in on-base percentage (OBP) leagues. With an 18.7% strikeout rate (K%) and 4.6% walk rate (BB%), he has a Starlin Castro feel to him, albeit with the home run and stolen base columns swapped. Accordingly, Owings doesn't immediately project to be a special bat, despite his status as a former 1st-round pick. He looks a lot like the player he demonstrated he was in the minor leagues, which is actually a compliment -- guys like Owings frequently don't pan out with his skill set. But, with an 89 wRC+, he is a decidedly below-average hitter.

He does a few things well, though. He mitigates his aversion to free trips to first base by hitting the ball well when he makes contact, running a .320 batting average on balls in play (BABIP) through his first 1,400-ish plate appearances. His elevated line drive rate (LD%), above-average infield fly ball rate (IFFB%), decent hard-hit rate (Hard%) and plus speed all support his perennially robust BABIP.

Speaking of speed: it's the second time in two years that Owings has surpassed the 15-steal threshold. It's nothing exemplary, but with power more plentiful than ever, stolen bases have become relatively scarce. Owings' 17 steals place him tied for 6th among shortstops, making him something like a poor man's Elvis Andrus (owned in 69% of leagues; NFBC ADP 7th among shortstops) or a normal man's Alcides Escobar (16%; 15th).

(Note: Owings also qualifies at outfield. If you play in a league with single-position eligibility, he likely will only qualify for outfield.)

 

Third Base

Ryon Healy, OAK
2016 stats: 12 HR, 32 R, 33 RBI, 0 SB, .303/.336/.519 in 254 PA

It's hard to find sleepers at a position that runs so deep. Healy likely won't be starting fodder in shallow leagues or possibly even in deeper mixed leagues. He's showing a good deal of promise, though, especially as his Athletics teammates flounder around him, so it's difficult not to look his way.

Healy actually looks a lot like Owings in terms of plate approach, from his various swing and contact rates to his resultant plate discipline metrics (19.6% K, 4.4% BB). Healy is far from a burner on the base paths, though; at 6-foot-5, (allegedly) 225 pounds, he probably eats guys like Owings for breakfast.

So it won't surprise you, then, that he's on pace to hit 30 home runs over a full season. That'll play in shallow leagues, even if he doesn't walk and the league-wide power surge rolls over into 2017. With decent pull-side and fly ball rates, Healy at least swings it like a slugger. The hard-hit rate leaves something to be desired -- 28.6% is not only lower than league average, it's lower than Owings' -- so it'd be nice to see him barrel up a few more balls before buying into the 16% HR/FB rate.

With that said, even a little regression in that regard doesn't hurt his stock too much. A 23- to 25-homer pace will do from a third baseman I expected to drafted barely in the top-25 third basemen, if that high. And, again, despite the power surge this season, only a dozen third baseman have topped the 25-homer mark. It gives him the opportunity to be something like a poor man's Jake Lamb breakout, but for 2016. That's something of a discredit to Lamb -- his peripherals looked great last season, and he actually attempts stolen bases -- but next summer Healy could conjure fond memories of Lamb's incredibly first half of 2016.

 

Outfield

Alex Dickerson, SDP
2016 stats: 10 HR, 37 R, 37 RBI, 5 SB, .256/.228/.459 in 271 PA

I featured Dickerson last week at FanGraphs. It feels cheap to feature him again, but I like him so much more than other players in the same ownership range who will be wide-awake sleepers, such as Tyler Naquin and Keon Broxton. Frankly, I think Dickerson is better than both of them, if less flashy. He's far safer.

To touch on the finer points: outside of a suppressed BABIP, Dickerson looks a lot like an outfielding Kyle Seager. He might not have quite the power, but it's something he could (should) grow into, given it was his calling card when being drafted in the 3rd round of the 2011 draft. Meanwhile, the strong gains in contact skills he made at Triple-A this season carried over to the Major League level, resulting in an impressive power-plate discipline combination reminiscent of Maikel Franco. Franco has had his troubles this season, stemming mostly from a BABIP as equally marred as Dickerson's. But Dickerson's batted ball profile is much more authoritative and his speed much more impressive, which should help pull his batting average out of the depths.

His power pace right now is completely reasonable. Extrapolating his current line, and adjusting his BABIP to a league-average rate, we're looking at a player capable of slashing .280/.350/.470 with 20 home runs and a dozen stolen bases. If keep talking in terms of poor men: that's a poor man's (vintage) Michael Brantley.

 

Live Expert Q&A Chats - Every Weekday @ 1 PM and 6 PM EST (DFS)

Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-55" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

 




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 30% Now
Import Your Leagues
Top-Rated Accuracy
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Xavier Legette

Trending Down Ahead of Year 3
Rashod Bateman

a Cut Candidate in All Dynasty Leagues?
Ja'Tavion Sanders

Can Ja'Tavion Sanders Break Through in the Panthers' Offense?
Jayden Reed

Can Jayden Reed Bounce Back as a WR3/Flex in 2026?
Travis Hunter

to be Full-Time Cornerback, Part-Time Wide Receiver in 2026
Anthony Edwards

Considered Questionable for Friday
Devin Booker

Will Sit Out Friday's Game
Nikola Jokić

Nikola Jokic Questionable for Friday
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Won't Face Nuggets Friday
Stephen Curry

Set to Play Friday
L.J. Cryer

Back in Action Thursday Night
Charles Bassey

Available Against Lakers
Gui Santos

Won't Play Thursday
Rudy Gobert

to Rest on Friday
Tari Eason

is Cleared to Play on Thursday
Kobe Brown

Won't Play on Thursday
Ben Sheppard

to Miss Third Straight Game
Jarace Walker

is Available on Thursday
Sam Hauser

Available Against Knicks
Collin Sexton

Active Against Wizards
Neemias Queta

Good to Go on Thursday
Derrick White

Cleared to Suit Up Against Knicks
Blake Coleman

Unavailable Thursday
Stephen Curry

Ruled Out Against Lakers on Thursday
Quinton Byfield

Cleared to Play Thursday
Thomas Chabot

Makes Surprise Return Thursday
Jaylen Brown

Out Thursday
Luke Hughes

to Miss Rest of Season
Stuart Skinner

Faces Devils Thursday
Joel Embiid

Undergoes Surgery for Appendicitis
Nazem Kadri

to "Miss Some Games" With Finger Injury
Seth Jones

to Miss Rest of Season Due to Broken Foot
Corbin Carroll

Dealing With Hip Injury, Not Expected to Miss Much Time
NFL

Jordyn Tyson to Hold Individual Workout on April 17
Brent Rooker

Exits Early on Thursday Due to Apparent Injury
NFL

No New Injury Issues for Francis Mauigoa
Travis Hunter

to be "Limited Participant" During Offseason Workouts
Carolina Panthers

Denzel Boston Visiting With Panthers on Thursday
Mark Andrews

Ready for More Opportunities in 2026
Tyrone Tracy Jr.

Part of a Muddled Giants Backfield Heading into 2026
Chimere Dike

Fantasy Value Potentially Limited by What He Offers in Return Game
Chase Brown

an Important Name to Monitor on Day 1 of the NFL Draft
Bijan Robinson

Could Just Be Entering His Prime
Jameson Williams

Consistency the Key to a True Jameson Williams Breakout
Jarace Walker

May Exit Pacers Lineup Again Thursday
Zach Benson

Scores Twice in Comeback Victory
Logan Thompson

Shuts Out the Leafs
Zach Eflin

Undergoes Successful Elbow Surgery, Will Miss Remainder of 2026
J.K. Dobbins

Broncos Prioritized Re-Signing J.K. Dobbins
NFL

Francis Mauigoa to Undergo Additional Imaging on a Back Issue
Kaleb McGary

Retires After Seven Years in the NFL
Jawaan Taylor

Signs with the Falcons
Andrei Kuzmenko

to Be Re-Evaluated in 7-8 Days
Mason Appleton

Won't Play Thursday
Tony DeAngelo

Expected to Return Thursday
John Klingberg

Rejoins Sharks Lineup Wednesday
Alex Lyon

Dealing With Lower-Body Injury
Oliver Ekman-Larsson

Back in Action Wednesday
Alex Ovechkin

Won't Decide Future Until Offseason
Cole Ragans

"Should be Good" for Next Start
Reynaldo López

Reynaldo Lopez Handed Seven-Game Suspension
Jorge Soler

Suspended Seven Games, Will Appeal
NFL

NFL Scouts See Plenty of Upside With Drew Allar
NFL

Ty Simpson to Fall into Second Round in NFL Draft?
Cole Ragans

Diagnosed With Thumb Contusion
Cole Ragans

Leaves Early on Wednesday After Being Hit in the Hand
Jacob deGrom

Expects to Make his Next Start
Konnor Griffin

Pirates Sign Konnor Griffin to Nine-Year Extension
Justus Annunen

Ends Predators' 120-Game Streak Without a Shutout
Trevor Zegras

Leads Flyers to Victory Tuesday
Kevin Bahl

Sustains Lower-Body Injury Against Stars
Michael Rasmussen

Likely to Miss Rest of Regular Season
Dmitry Kulikov

Done for the Season After Breaking Finger
Tyrrell Hatton

a Steady Option at The Masters
Justin Thomas

a High-Risk, High-Reward Option at The Masters
PGA

Sungjae Im a Volatile Option at the Masters
Nicolai Hojgaard

Carrying Momentum Into The Masters
Si Woo Kim

in Strong Form Heading to The Masters
Chris Gotterup

Ready to Make His Masters Debut
Patrick Reed

Brings Momentum to The Masters
Jon Rahm

Looks Poised for His Second Green Jacket
Jacob deGrom

Doesn't Have Structural Damage in his Knee
J.T. Realmuto

Leaves Game on Tuesday Due to Bruised Right Foot
Cody Ponce

to Have Knee Surgery, Expected to Miss Six Months
Alejandro Kirk

Facing Six-Week Absence
Jacob deGrom

to Undergo MRI on Tuesday
Mike Trout

Back in the Lineup on Tuesday
Hunter Brown

Diagnosed with Grade 2 Shoulder Strain
Adam Scott

Form Points to Him Competing at Masters
Jordan Spieth

Finding Consistency Heading to Masters
Hideki Matsuyama

Trending In Right Direction For Masters
Cade Horton

to Undergo Season-Ending Elbow Surgery
Tommy Fleetwood

a Contender if his Putter Cooperates at The Masters
Jacob deGrom

Pitches Through Knee Issue on Monday
Dalton Rushing

Smacks Two Homers in Rout of Blue Jays
Max Scherzer

Dealing With Forearm Tendinitis, Expected to Make his Next Start
Collin Morikawa

Vegas has Lost Confidence in Collin Morikawa Ahead of Masters Tournament
Ludvig Aberg

One of the Top Plays For This Week's Masters Tournament
Rory McIlroy

Set to Defend his Long-Awaited Masters Victory
Bryson DeChambeau

Looks to Finally Claim a Green Jacket
Patrick Cantlay

Needs Plenty to Go Right at Augusta
Harris English

Playing Solid Golf Heading to Masters
Sam Burns

Bouncing Back Nicely After Slow Start to 2026 Season
Corey Conners

Quietly Putting Together A Strong 2026 Season
Russell Henley

Looks to Bounce Back At Masters
Chris Duncan

Suffers Second-Round Submission Loss
Renato Moicano

Gets Back In The Win Column
Tabatha Ricci

Gets Outgrappled
Virna Jandiroba

Bounces Back
Brendson Ribeiro

Suffers First-Round Submission Loss
Abdul-Rakhman Yakhyaev

Earns First-Round Submission Win
Rafael Estevam

Suffers His First Loss
Ethyn Ewing

Dominates At UFC Vegas 115
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF