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Dynasty Stock Watch for 2017 – QB (Part 2)

A quarterback’s fantasy value can change as much during the offseason as it can during the regular season.

The offseason has been kinder to some signal callers than others. While many quarterbacks have had their receiving corps and/or coaching staffs upgraded, others have watched their favorite targets depart via free agency or seen their organizations acquire other quarterbacks poised to steal their jobs and plant them on the sidelines.

Here are three quarterbacks whose fantasy stock is rising in dynasty leagues, and three quarterbacks whose stock is falling this offseason.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

Ed. Note: Keep tabs on Rotoballer's NFL page for the latest reaction and analysis to free agent moves in order to stay ahead of the game!

 

Stock Rising

Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars (13.07)

2016 Stats:  3,905 passing yards, 23 TD, 16 INT, 359 rushing yards, 3 TD

Bortles was one of fantasy football’s biggest disappointments in 2016. All of his numbers across the board were way down compared to 2015. He threw a dozen fewer touchdown passes and for 523 less yards when fantasy owners assumed he was going to take a step towards being one of the top-five quarterbacks in the fantasy world.

There is hope that Jacksonville’s new head coach Doug Marrone will right Bortles’ wrongs, though. In the final two games of 2016 when Marrone was installed as interim head coach, Bortles had back-to-back 300-yard games (he only threw for 300 yards three times in the other 14 contests). That bodes well for Bortles improving with Marrone running the team for a full season.

What also bodes well is that Bortles may actually have a rushing attack to take the pressure off of him. Jacksonville drafted LSU standout Leonard Fournette in the first round, so any semblance of a rushing threat should help keep defenses honest and allow Bortles some passing lanes. Jacksonville has been ranked 21st, 27th and 22nd in rushing offense in Bortles’ three seasons.

 

Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans (12.02)

2016 Stats:  N/A

Watson had no trouble dismantling Alabama’s staunch defense in the BCS Championship Game this past January (420 passing yards, three TD tosses), so the NFL should be a piece of cake, right? Houston did not draft Watson with the 12th pick overall this past April to use him as Tom Savage insurance. Watson will be the future franchise quarterback, and his future is bright and could happen sooner than later.

Houston’s carousel of quarterbacks has been as mediocre as a New York strip streak that is overcooked and underseasoned. Watson could/should win the starting job during training camp, and if he does he has DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller at receiver, the underrated C.J. Fiedorowicz at tight end, and Lamar Miller anchoring the backfield. A rookie quarterback could not ask for a better situation to be placed in.

 

Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins (N/A)

2016 Stats:  2,995 passing yards, 19 TD, 12 INT, 164 rushing yards, 1 TD

Tannehill has been underwhelming as a fantasy QB in his five seasons as Miami’s starting quarterback. He has no 30-TD or 4,500-yard years to his credit, and he has never ventured into the same fantasy zip code as the likes of Tom Brady, Drew Brees or Aaron Rodgers, plus he has been passed on the fantasy cheat sheets by phenoms like Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota.

But Miami head coach Adam Gase helped Tannehill set career-highs in completion percentage, QB rating and yards per attempt last season, so the 28-year-old Tannehill’s fantasy value is tending upward. Add in that his top trio at WR (Jarvis Landry, Kenny Stills, DeVante Parker) is returning and that the Dolphins signed touchdown-loving tight end Julius Thomas to supply him with another weapon and things look to be lining up for Tannehill to have the best season of his career in 2017.

 

Stock Falling

Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals (14.04)

2016 Stats:  4,233 passing yards, 26 TD, 14 INT, 38 rushing yards, 0 TD

The 37-year-old Palmer still has fantasy value left in his rifle right arm judging by the 4,233 passing yards and 26 touchdowns he threw for last season, but the writing is on the wall that his days of being dependable in fantasy leagues are winding down. Palmer’s touchdown tosses went down while his interceptions went up in 2016 compared to 2015, and Father Time is probably not going to give him a magic elixir to help Palmer have another four productive seasons.

Drew Stanton and Blaine Gabbert are not up-and-coming quarterbacks that will challenge Palmer for playing time, and workhorse back David Johnson will keep helping Palmer in a multitude of ways. Palmer is sitting on retirement’s front stoop, though, as he did not announce until February that he would continue playing. Plus his favorite receiver, Larry Fitzgerald, might hang it up after this season, too. It is hard to fathom Palmer as a quarterback you can hang onto long-term in a dynasty league.

 

 Mike Glennon, Chicago Bears (N/A)

2016 Stats:  75 passing yards, 1 TD, 0 INT, 0 rushing yards, 0 TD

Glennon is a classic dropback passer with a big, tall body. He is not going to rack up rushing yards like he is Cam Newton and will never make throws on the run a la Aaron Rodgers, but during a small sample size of starts during his days with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers he looked like he could be a serviceable starter. That’s why Glennon was given $45 million by Chicago to solidify the squad’s quarterback position, or so we thought.

After the Bears snagged Mitchell Trubisky with the second pick overall in the draft, Glennon’s future became murkier than the water surrounding the Exxon Valdez. Instead of Glennon being the sure starter, now he may have to battle Trubisky in training camp to win the job. At best, Glennon will be installed as the starter at the beginning of the season, but is a couple bad outings away from watching Trubisky run the offense. To top it all off, top target Alshon Jeffrey signed with the Philadelphia Eagles, and Chicago chose to replace him with past-his-prime Victor Cruz, annual disappointment Kendall Wright and Pittsburgh washout Markus Wheaton. Have fun in Chicago, Mike!

 

Alex Smith, Kansas City Chiefs (N/A)

2016 Stats:  3,502 passing yards, 15 TD, 8 INT, 134 rushing yards, 5 TD

Everyone’s favorite game manager might have fewer games to manage in his future. Kansas City traded up in the first round of this year’s draft to select Patrick Mahomes, and the Chiefs did not do that because he will hand the ball off to Spencer Ware better. Smith and his short passes and playoff losses are on borrowed time in K.C.

Smith will probably end up being a cap casualty in 2018 once Kansas City feels Mahomes is ready to take over the team. The Chiefs have more salary cap problems than the New York Jets have finding a quality quarterback. That is Kansas City released No. 1 receiver Jeremy Maclin, which also does no favors for Smith’s fantasy value heading into the 2017 season. Smith cannot be counted on helping any fantasy team in the future with all of this going against him.

 

More 2017 Fantasy Football Analysis




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REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Yordan Alvarez

Exits With Ankle Sprain
Brock Bowers

Officially Active on Monday Night
Jauan Jennings

Day-to-Day With Ankle Injury
Logan O'Hoppe

Activated Off Seven-Day Injured List
CBJ

Denton Mateychuk Dealing With Groin Issue
Bo Horvat

Fine for Training Camp
Kirby Dach

on Track to Be Ready for Opening Night
Jose Altuve

Returns Against Rangers
J.J. McCarthy

Expected to Miss 2-4 Weeks With High-Ankle Sprain
J.J. McCarthy

Likely Out for Week 3 With High-Ankle Sprain
Jean Silva

Gets Finished For The First Time In His Career
Aaron Jones Sr.

Unlikely to Play in Week 3 Due to Hamstring Injury
Diego Lopes

Returns To The Win Column
Jayden Daniels

' Week 3 Status in Doubt
Rob Font

Outclassed In The Noche UFC 3 Co-Main Event
David Martinez

Wins His Second UFC Fight
Jared Gordon

Suffers Brutal TKO Loss At Noche UFC 3
Rafa Garcia

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Brian Thomas Jr.

Dealing with Wrist Injury
Dustin Stoltzfus

Drops A Decision At Noche UFC 3
Kelvin Gastelum

Gets Back In The Win Column
Diego Ferreira

Suffers Second-Round TKO
Alexander Hernandez

Extends His Win Streak With A Brutal TKO
Quang Le

Suffers First-Round Knockout
Santiago Luna

Shines In His UFC Debut
Christopher Bell

Earns his First Bristol Cup Series Victory
Alex Bowman

Falls Short of Advancing Through Cup Series Playoffs
Chase Briscoe

Collects his Third Top-10 Finish at Bristol
Ryan Blaney

Strong Top-Five Bristol Performance Advances him to the Playoffs
Corey Heim

Earns his First Career Cup Series Top-10 Finish at Bristol
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Leads Greece to Bronze Medal
Alperen Sengün

Alperen Sengun Drops 28 Points in EuroBasket Finals
CFB

Indiana's Lee Beebe Jr. Out for Season with Knee Injury
Dennis Schröder

Dennis Schroder Named EuroBasket MVP
Bryce Eldridge

Giants to Promote Bryce Eldridge
Jaren Jackson Jr.

Progressing in Recovery
Jonathan Kuminga

Receives New Offer From Warriors
Kenneth Walker III

Bounces Back with Big Week 2 Performance
Bijan Robinson

Rushes for 143 Yards in Week 2
Justin Fields

Currently in Concussion Protocol
Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals Calling Around to Available Free-Agent Quarterbacks
Joe Burrow

to Undergo Surgery, Out at Least Three Months
Emil Heineman

Aiming to Take the "Next Step" This Season
Braeden Cootes

Good to Go for Camp
Ivan Fedotov

Blue Jackets Acquire Ivan Fedotov From Flyers
Aaron Jones Sr.

Injures Hamstring During Sunday Night Football
Darren Waller

Not Expected to Play in Week 3
Garrett Crochet

Punches Out 12 in Win
Cole Ragans

to Return on Wednesday
Jameson Williams

Records Long Touchdown in Week 2, Still Limited to Downfield Role?
George Kirby

Strikes Out 14 in Win
Jayden Daniels

Considered "Day-to-Day" with Knee Injury
Carlos Estévez

Carlos Estevez Exits with Back Tightness
Jonathan Taylor

Tops 200 Yards From Scrimmage in Week 2 Win
Joe Burrow

Could Miss Three Months if he Requires Toe Surgery
Davante Adams

Headlines Rams Receiving Corps Sunday
Wan'Dale Robinson

Explodes for 142 Yards, Touchdown in Overtime Thriller
Joe Flacco

Browns Not Considering Benching Joe Flacco After Week 2
Quentin Grimes

Still Not Close to a New Contract Agreement
Joel Embiid

"Looking Slender, Spry and in Positive Spirits"
Ty Gibbs

Has Arguably his Best Career Drive, but Only Finishes 10th
Chase Elliott

Despite Crashing Out at Bristol, Chase Elliott Advances to Round of 12
Austin Dillon

Misses Round of 12 After Extremely Mediocre Bristol Run
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen Fails to Advance to Round of 12
Josh Berry

Finishes Last in All Three Round of 16 Races to Fail to Advance
Luis Arraez

Takes a Seat on Sunday With Head Injury
Adolis García

Adolis Garcia Activated, Starting on Sunday
CFB

Ryan Williams Explodes In Return To Field
CFB

Drew Allar Plays Mediocre Game In Blowout Win
CFB

LaNorris Sellers Exits Game In Blowout Loss
CFB

DJ Lagway Tosses Five Interceptions In Loss
CFB

Garrett Nussmeier Plays Game Manager in Saturday's Win
CFB

CJ Carr Remains Poised In Narrow Loss
CFB

John Mateer Leads Oklahoma In Rout
CFB

Arch Manning Struggles Against UTEP
CFB

Jeremiah Smith Impresses In Win
Bryan Woo

Records Career-High 13 Strikeouts
Max Muncy

Exits Early on Saturday
CFB

Sam Leavitt Shines As Arizona State Rebounds From Week 2 Loss
Salvador Perez

Reaches 300 Home Runs, 1,000 RBI
Jose Altuve

Exits Early With Foot Discomfort
Trey Yesavage

Heading to Big Leagues
Will Smith

Placed on 10-Day Injured List
Ivan Demidov

Turning Heads in Rookie Camp
NHL

Calvin de Haan Signs With Swedish Team
Samuel Girard

Skates With Non-Contact Jersey
Mackenzie Blackwood

Dealing With Injury Ahead of Training Camp
Spencer Knight

Signs Three-Year Extension With Blackhawks
Chris Buescher

May have Another Solid Run at Bristol
Corey Perry

Out 6-8 Weeks Following Surgery
Kyle Busch

Should DFS Managers Roster Kyle Busch at Bristol?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

Is Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Too Risky to Consider Rostering at Bristol?
Michael McDowell

Could be A Solid Value Option For Bristol DFS Lineups
Chase Elliott

Probably Won't Factor in for Bristol Win
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Not as Strong at Bristol as Other Short Tracks
Alex Bowman

Needs to Win to Make Round of 12
Ross Chastain

has Never Led at Bristol but Has Been Pretty Consistent
Austin Dillon

Richmond Speed Unlikely to Carry Over to Bristol
Josh Berry

Might Run Well at Bristol, but Almost Certainly Won't Win to Advance
Justin Haley

Bristol One of Justin Haley's Few Recent Bright Spots
Tarik Skubal

Avoids Serious Injury, Expected to Make Next Start
CFB

Austin Simmons Listed As Game-Time Decision Against Arkansas
CFB

Nico Iamaleava Struggles In Fourth Straight Loss
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen

Dealing With a "Tweak"
BUF

Alexandar Georgiev Joins Sabres on One-Year Deal
Corey Perry

Injured During Pre-Camp Skate
Tanner Bibee

Fans 10 in Two-Hit Shutout
Zach Neto

Dealing With Wrist Soreness
Masyn Winn

Shut Down for Rest of Season
Tarik Skubal

to Undergo Imaging on Saturday
CFB

Antonio Williams Out Against Georgia Tech
CFB

CJ Bailey Flashes Again in Win Over Wake Forest
CFB

Jaxson Moi a Game-Time Decision for Tennessee on Saturday
Jean Silva

A Favorite At Noche UFC 3
Diego Lopes

Set For Noche UFC 3 Main Event
Rob Font

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
David Martinez

Set For Noche UFC 3 Co-Main Event
Rafa Garcia

An Underdog At Noche UFC 3
Jared Gordon

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Dustin Stoltzfus

Looks To Return To The Win Column
Kelvin Gastelum

In Dire Need Of Victory
Diego Ferreira

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Malcolm Brogdon

Heading to Knicks on One-Year Deal
CFB

David Sanders Jr. Won't Play Against Georgia
Landry Shamet

Staying with the Knicks
CFB

Dylan Edwards Slated to Return on Friday
Adam Lowry

Aims for Early-Season Return
CFB

Ryan Williams Expected to Play Against Wisconsin
CFB

Billy Edwards Jr. Unlikely to Play on Saturday
P.J. Washington

Officially Signs Contract Extension
CFB

David Sanders Jr. Questionable to Make Debut Against Georgia
Lauri Markkanen

Big at Both Ends as Finland Books Place in EuroBasket Semis
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Notches 39 Points in Losing Effort
NBA

Cam Reddish Expected to Move to Europe
NBA

Trey Lyles Joins Real Madrid
Charles Bassey

Signs Exhibit 10 Deal With Hawks
Sacramento Kings

Terence Davis Waived by Kings
Matthew Knies

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Jack Eichel

Unbothered by Lack of Extension
Sidney Crosby

Not Thinking About Leaving Pittsburgh
SJ

Michael Misa Signs Entry-Level Contract With Sharks
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Nursing an Injury
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the Ultimate Wild Card at Procore
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Looks to Extend Momentum in Napa
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Aims for Another Strong Showing at Procore
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Brings Ball-Striking Upside to Napa
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Alperen Sengün

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Bud Cauley

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Finishes Tied for Seventh at Tour Championship
J.J. Spaun

Finishes Tied for 25th at Tour Championship
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Finishes Tied for 19th at Tour Championship
Keith Mitchell

Misses Cut at Wyndham Championship
Ben Griffin

Finishes Tied for 10th at Tour Championship
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Finishes Tied for Second at Tour Championship

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1B
2B
3B
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SP
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