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Dynasty Stock Watch for 2017 – QB (Part 2)

A quarterback’s fantasy value can change as much during the offseason as it can during the regular season.

The offseason has been kinder to some signal callers than others. While many quarterbacks have had their receiving corps and/or coaching staffs upgraded, others have watched their favorite targets depart via free agency or seen their organizations acquire other quarterbacks poised to steal their jobs and plant them on the sidelines.

Here are three quarterbacks whose fantasy stock is rising in dynasty leagues, and three quarterbacks whose stock is falling this offseason.

Editor's Note: The FFPC Baby Gorilla Tournament is now open, featuring a $100,000 grand prize and a $675,450 total prize pool! This 12-team, Tight End Premium contest uses a 20-round draft format, with the overall winners determined by total points scored during Weeks 15–17. Get $25 to use toward your first entry by signing up through our link. Grab your team now! Sign Up Now!

Ed. Note: Keep tabs on Rotoballer's NFL page for the latest reaction and analysis to free agent moves in order to stay ahead of the game!

 

Stock Rising

Blake Bortles, Jacksonville Jaguars (13.07)

2016 Stats:  3,905 passing yards, 23 TD, 16 INT, 359 rushing yards, 3 TD

Bortles was one of fantasy football’s biggest disappointments in 2016. All of his numbers across the board were way down compared to 2015. He threw a dozen fewer touchdown passes and for 523 less yards when fantasy owners assumed he was going to take a step towards being one of the top-five quarterbacks in the fantasy world.

There is hope that Jacksonville’s new head coach Doug Marrone will right Bortles’ wrongs, though. In the final two games of 2016 when Marrone was installed as interim head coach, Bortles had back-to-back 300-yard games (he only threw for 300 yards three times in the other 14 contests). That bodes well for Bortles improving with Marrone running the team for a full season.

What also bodes well is that Bortles may actually have a rushing attack to take the pressure off of him. Jacksonville drafted LSU standout Leonard Fournette in the first round, so any semblance of a rushing threat should help keep defenses honest and allow Bortles some passing lanes. Jacksonville has been ranked 21st, 27th and 22nd in rushing offense in Bortles’ three seasons.

 

Deshaun Watson, Houston Texans (12.02)

2016 Stats:  N/A

Watson had no trouble dismantling Alabama’s staunch defense in the BCS Championship Game this past January (420 passing yards, three TD tosses), so the NFL should be a piece of cake, right? Houston did not draft Watson with the 12th pick overall this past April to use him as Tom Savage insurance. Watson will be the future franchise quarterback, and his future is bright and could happen sooner than later.

Houston’s carousel of quarterbacks has been as mediocre as a New York strip streak that is overcooked and underseasoned. Watson could/should win the starting job during training camp, and if he does he has DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller at receiver, the underrated C.J. Fiedorowicz at tight end, and Lamar Miller anchoring the backfield. A rookie quarterback could not ask for a better situation to be placed in.

 

Ryan Tannehill, Miami Dolphins (N/A)

2016 Stats:  2,995 passing yards, 19 TD, 12 INT, 164 rushing yards, 1 TD

Tannehill has been underwhelming as a fantasy QB in his five seasons as Miami’s starting quarterback. He has no 30-TD or 4,500-yard years to his credit, and he has never ventured into the same fantasy zip code as the likes of Tom Brady, Drew Brees or Aaron Rodgers, plus he has been passed on the fantasy cheat sheets by phenoms like Jameis Winston and Marcus Mariota.

But Miami head coach Adam Gase helped Tannehill set career-highs in completion percentage, QB rating and yards per attempt last season, so the 28-year-old Tannehill’s fantasy value is tending upward. Add in that his top trio at WR (Jarvis Landry, Kenny Stills, DeVante Parker) is returning and that the Dolphins signed touchdown-loving tight end Julius Thomas to supply him with another weapon and things look to be lining up for Tannehill to have the best season of his career in 2017.

 

Stock Falling

Carson Palmer, Arizona Cardinals (14.04)

2016 Stats:  4,233 passing yards, 26 TD, 14 INT, 38 rushing yards, 0 TD

The 37-year-old Palmer still has fantasy value left in his rifle right arm judging by the 4,233 passing yards and 26 touchdowns he threw for last season, but the writing is on the wall that his days of being dependable in fantasy leagues are winding down. Palmer’s touchdown tosses went down while his interceptions went up in 2016 compared to 2015, and Father Time is probably not going to give him a magic elixir to help Palmer have another four productive seasons.

Drew Stanton and Blaine Gabbert are not up-and-coming quarterbacks that will challenge Palmer for playing time, and workhorse back David Johnson will keep helping Palmer in a multitude of ways. Palmer is sitting on retirement’s front stoop, though, as he did not announce until February that he would continue playing. Plus his favorite receiver, Larry Fitzgerald, might hang it up after this season, too. It is hard to fathom Palmer as a quarterback you can hang onto long-term in a dynasty league.

 

 Mike Glennon, Chicago Bears (N/A)

2016 Stats:  75 passing yards, 1 TD, 0 INT, 0 rushing yards, 0 TD

Glennon is a classic dropback passer with a big, tall body. He is not going to rack up rushing yards like he is Cam Newton and will never make throws on the run a la Aaron Rodgers, but during a small sample size of starts during his days with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers he looked like he could be a serviceable starter. That’s why Glennon was given $45 million by Chicago to solidify the squad’s quarterback position, or so we thought.

After the Bears snagged Mitchell Trubisky with the second pick overall in the draft, Glennon’s future became murkier than the water surrounding the Exxon Valdez. Instead of Glennon being the sure starter, now he may have to battle Trubisky in training camp to win the job. At best, Glennon will be installed as the starter at the beginning of the season, but is a couple bad outings away from watching Trubisky run the offense. To top it all off, top target Alshon Jeffrey signed with the Philadelphia Eagles, and Chicago chose to replace him with past-his-prime Victor Cruz, annual disappointment Kendall Wright and Pittsburgh washout Markus Wheaton. Have fun in Chicago, Mike!

 

Alex Smith, Kansas City Chiefs (N/A)

2016 Stats:  3,502 passing yards, 15 TD, 8 INT, 134 rushing yards, 5 TD

Everyone’s favorite game manager might have fewer games to manage in his future. Kansas City traded up in the first round of this year’s draft to select Patrick Mahomes, and the Chiefs did not do that because he will hand the ball off to Spencer Ware better. Smith and his short passes and playoff losses are on borrowed time in K.C.

Smith will probably end up being a cap casualty in 2018 once Kansas City feels Mahomes is ready to take over the team. The Chiefs have more salary cap problems than the New York Jets have finding a quality quarterback. That is Kansas City released No. 1 receiver Jeremy Maclin, which also does no favors for Smith’s fantasy value heading into the 2017 season. Smith cannot be counted on helping any fantasy team in the future with all of this going against him.

 

More 2017 Fantasy Football Analysis




REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Isaiah Likely

Carries Significant Dynasty Upside into First Season in New York
Emanuel Wilson

Dynasty Outlook Clouded by Depth Chart Uncertainty in Seattle
Jaylin Noel

Is Jaylin Noel Still Roster-Worthy in Dynasty Formats?
Dylan Sampson

Carries Dynasty Upside Despite Current Place on Depth Chart
George Holani

Is George Holani Worthy of a Deep-League Dynasty Roster Spot?
Tank Bigsby

Could See an Increase in Snaps in 2026
Corey Seager

Rangers Activate Corey Seager From the Injured List
Gabriel Bonfim

Set For UFC Vegas 118 Main Event
Belal Muhammad

In Dire Need Of Win
Kendre Miller

Is it Time to Move on From Kendre Miller in Dynasty Leagues?
Edmen Shahbazyan

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 118
Shayne Gostisbehere

Dishes Out Two Power-Play Assists in Comeback Win
Hollywood Brown

a Dynasty Fade in New-Look Eagles Receiver Room
Brendan Allen

Looks For His Third Win In A Row
Seth Jarvis

Ties Finals With Power-Play Goal
Mark Stone

Scores Sixth Playoff Goal in Overtime Defeat
Tom Nolan

Searches For His Fifth Consecutive Win
Darnell Mooney

Facing Further Dynasty Decline
Mitch Marner

Records Two Assists in Game 2 Loss
Farés Ziam

Fares Ziam A Favorite At UFC Vegas 118
Brett Howden

Matches Franchise Record With Another Productive Outing
Christian Kirk

Unlikely to Regain Dynasty Value in San Francisco
Brayden McNabb

Hospitalized After Taking Puck to Face
Brashard Smith

Can Brashard Smith Be Dropped in Dynasty Leagues?
Zachariah Branch

Impressing New Falcons QB in OTAs
AJ Barner

Expected to be Ready for Training Camp
Aaron Judge

Diagnosed with Stress Fracture, Out 4-6 Weeks
Luther Burden III

Looking Like a True WR1 in OTAs With Bears
T.J. Watt

Alex Highsmith Expected to Remain With Steelers
Maxx Crosby

Close to Returning to Practice?
A.J. Brown

Patriots Don't Expect A.J. Brown to be Limited Physically
Shohei Ohtani

has "Small" Blister, a "Non-Issue" for his Pitching Starts
Brent Rooker

Out on Thursday Due to Knee Soreness
Myles Garrett

Rams Rework Myles Garrett's Contract
Frederik Andersen

Hurricanes Retain Confidence in Frederik Andersen
Tank Dell

Back on the Field at OTAs This Week
Vincent Trocheck

Maple Leafs Interested in Vincent Trocheck
Sam LaPorta

Looks Good During OTA Practice on Thursday
Mike Evans

Making a Strong Impression at OTAs With his New Team
Dylan Larkin

Requests Trade From Red Wings
Corey Seager

Expected to Return This Weekend
Lucas Erceg

Royals to Mix and Match in Ninth With Lucas Erceg Struggling
Jonathan Toews

Expected to Retire
Anders Lee

Set to Hit Open Market
TB

Jon Cooper Wins First Jack Adams Trophy
De'Aaron Fox

Struggles Again Wednesday Night
Dylan Harper

Turns Heads in Finals Opener
Stephon Castle

Close to Double-Double in Game 1 Loss to Knicks
Victor Wembanyama

Notches 26 Points in Finals Debut
Josh Hart

Grabs 15 Rebounds in Game 1 Win Over Spurs
Karl-Anthony Towns

Opens Finals With Double-Double
Jalen Brunson

Scores Game-High 30 Points in Finals Opener
Aaron Judge

to Undergo Additional Imaging
Ketel Marte

Out on Wednesday With Back, Hamstring Injuries
Mitchell Robinson

is Available for Game 1 on Wednesday
Kawhi Leonard

Unlikely to be Traded
Chicago Bulls

Bulls Host Potential Lottery Picks for Workout
Washington Wizards

Wizards Considering Trading Down in Draft
Corbin Burnes

has Teres Major Strain, Unlikely to Return Until September
Rickie Fowler

Looks To Continue Resurgent Season At Memorial
CFB

Can Eric Singleton Jr. Fully Break Out at Third School?
CFB

Katin Houser Steps into QB1 Role for Illinois
CFB

Savion Hiter an Immediate Impact Freshman for Michigan
CFB

Isaiah Horton Set to Take Over KC Concepcion's Role
CFB

UCLA Transfer Karson Gordon Signs with Austin Peay
CFB

Will Muschamp Bringing New Intensity to Texas Practices
Gary Woodland

Brings Boom-or-Bust Potential to Memorial
Jordan Spieth

Still Searching for a Breakthrough
Alex Smalley

Brings Elite Form to Memorial Tournament
Justin Rose

Looks to Recapture Memorial Tournament Success
Cameron Young

Looks to Get Back to His Contending Ways at Murifield Village
Chris Gotterup

Needs to Find Fairways at Muirfield Village
Si Woo Kim

Looks to Stay Hot at Memorial Tournament
Matt Fitzpatrick

Positioned for Success at Muirfield Village
Jalen Chatfield

Records Two Assists in Tuesday's Loss
Keegan Bradley

Looking for Another Strong Finish at Muirfield
Nikolaj Ehlers

Nets Two Goals in Game 1 Loss to Golden Knights
Shea Theodore

Notches Three Points in Game 1 Win
Brayden McNabb

Sets Up Three Goals in Game 1 Win Over Hurricanes
Justin Thomas

is an Exciting Play This Week in Ohio
Brett Howden

Starts Finals With Multi-Point Effort
Scottie Scheffler

Looks to Win Memorial Tournament for Third Consecutive Year
Tomas Hertl

Scores Game-Winner in Finals Opener
Rory McIlroy

Looking for Better Performance at Muirfield Village
Drake Baldwin

Could Return During Braves Next Homestand
Garrett Crochet

Diagnosed With Low-Grade Lat Strain
Russell Henley

Coming to Ohio on the Heels of Latest Victory
Tommy Fleetwood

Looking for Better Iron Play at Memorial Tournament
Patrick Cantlay

Looks to Continue Dominance at Muirfield Village
Ludvig Aberg

a Great Fit for Muirfield Village
Isaiah Hartenstein

Hopeful to Stay with Oklahoma City
Luguentz Dort

Wants to Remain with Thunder
Mitchell Robinson

is Questionable for Game 1
Moussa Diabaté

Moussa Diabate Has Contract Guaranteed for 2026-2027 Season
Oso Ighodaro

Gets Guaranteed Contract for Next Season
NAS

Chris MacFarland Joins Predators as President and General Manager
VAN

Canucks Name Manny Malhotra as New Head Coach
Brendan Gallagher

to Leave Canadiens This Offseason
Aaron Judge

Out on Tuesday With Rib/Shoulder Injury
Josh Hader

Set to Return from Injured List on Tuesday
CFB

SEC Coach Calls Buster Faulkner a "Home-Run Hire"
CFB

Auburn a Sleeper in the SEC Under Alex Golesh?
CFB

Noah Fifita Primed for Strong 2026 Campaign
CFB

Oregon Assistant Coach Charged with DUII, Reckless Driving
CFB

Tight End Nick Pollack Commits to Clemson
Akshay Bhatia

Needs the Driver to be True in Ohio
Aaron Rai

Primed to take on the Memorial Tournament
J.J. Spaun

Rebounded at Charles Schwab Challenge
Xander Schauffele

One to Watch This Week in Ohio
Elly De La Cruz

to Miss 2-4 Weeks of Action
Chase Burns

is Scratched Due to Illness
Deiveson Figueiredo

Suffers Second-Round Submission Loss
Song Yadong

Gets Second-Round Submission Win
Zhang Mingyang

Suffers Back-To-Back Losses
Alonzo Menifield

Gets Back In The Win Column
Tallison Teixeira

Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Sergei Pavlovich

Scores First-Round Knockout Win
Cameron Smotherman

Suffers Third Loss In A Row
Edwin Arroyo

Reds Promote Top Infield Prospect Edwin Arroyo, Viewed as Priority Pick Up Ahead of MLB Debut
Kai Asakura

Earns His First UFC Win
Elly De La Cruz

Placed on IL with Right Hamstring Tightness
Denny Hamlin

Earns the first Nashville Cup Series Victory of his Career on Sunday
Christopher Bell

Finishes as the Runner-Up at Nashville
Chase Briscoe

Earns First Career Podium Finish at Nashville
Ryan Blaney

Scores A Solid Top-10 Finish at Nashville
Kyle Larson

Top-10 Streak at Nashville Ends after Late Flat Tire Spin
Elly De La Cruz

Exits with Hamstring Tightness
Tyler Reddick

Is One of the Top Favorites to Win at Nashville
Kyle Larson

May Continue his Top-10 Consistency at Nashville this week
Christopher Bell

Is One of the Top Competitors for the Win at Nashville
Chase Briscoe

Is A Must Start for Nashville DFS Lineups
Chase Elliott

has Plenty of Upside for Nashville DFS Lineups
William Byron

Is William Byron A Playable DFS Option for Nashville Lineups?
Carson Hocevar

Is Likely to have Another Solid Result at Nashville
NASCAR

Should Fantasy Players Roster Bubba Wallace at Nashville?
Chris Buescher

Is A Decent All-Around DFS Option for Nashville Lineups
Daniel Suarez

is Likely to Drop Positions during the Cracker Barrel 400
Garrett Crochet

Suffers Setback, Likely to Undergo MRI for Lat Tightness
Denny Hamlin

Could Denny Hamlin Dominate at Nashville?
Ryan Blaney

Is a DFS Tournament Option at Nashville
Ty Gibbs

Don't Overlook Ty Gibbs at Nashville
Joey Logano

Could Show Life at Nashville
Ross Chastain

Needs a Good Run at Nashville
Chet Holmgren

Fails to Step Up in the Season Finale
Cason Wallace

Ends Postseason with Strong Showing
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Caps MVP Season with Game 7 Exit
Stephon Castle

Continues Postseason Run with 16 Points
Julian Champagnie

Shines in Series-Clinching Win
RANKINGS
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1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF