X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Champ or Chump: Willie Calhoun & Tyler Glasnow

The minor league shuttle continues to deliver players of interest into the fantasy pool. The Rangers are taking a look at Willie Calhoun, a 22-year old bat-first prospect received in the Yu Darvish swap. Meanwhile, the Pirates summoned 24-year old Tyler Glasnow after a dominant stint at Triple-A. He was awful in his previous stint at the major league level, but maybe now he'll get things rolling.

It's worth noting that I can't tell you whether you should roster a guy or not anymore. Instead, your standings page should be making that determination. If you like your place in the standings, you should play conservatively and avoid question marks like the players above. If your league will boil down to a category or two, roster as many assets in that category as you can. If you need a miracle, high upside plays who are freely available are exactly what you should look into. Every team is a unique situation, and I'll try my best to explain the types of situations these guys would be a good fit in. Let's do it!

Ownership rates provided are from Yahoo! leagues.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

The Fantasy Jury is Out

Willie Calhoun (2B/OF, TEX) 9% Owned

No one can deny that Calhoun crushed Triple-A pitching this year, as he slashed a combined .300/.355/.572 with 31 bombs between the Dodger (414 PAs) and Ranger (120 PAs) organizations. He slashed .254/.318/.469 with 27 HR in 560 PAs at Double-A last year, numbers that would lead to a part-time role at best considering his poor glove. His future was always in the AL, and now fantasy owners can see what he has to offer.

Power is the biggest asset in his profile. Calhoun has hit a ton of fly balls at every level of the Upper Minors, posting a 39.1% FB% at Double-A last year, 44.5% with LA's Triple-A affiliate, and 46.9% after joining the Texas farm club. He has also posted above average HR/FB rates at every stop (15.7%, 15.9%, and 17.4% respectively), suggesting that he has the above average raw power to make a fly ball-centric profile work. Arlington is a notoriously hitter-friendly ballpark, so Calhoun is likely to pop more than a few homers over the rest of the season.

Those homers might cost you a couple points in batting average, though. His BABIP was just .242 in his full season at Double-A last year, an almost unheard of number on the farm. All of the fly balls figure to drag Calhoun's BABIP down, and he also hit a low number of line drives (19.5% LD%) last season. Pull% by batted ball type is not publicly available for minor league seasons, but his overall Pull% of 49.7% suggests that he could run into shift problems if he hasn't already. Calhoun has no foot speed to speak of, so his grounders figure to underperform moving forward.

Calhoun posted a BABIP of .289 at Triple-A this season, but the underlying peripherals still suggest a lower mark against MLB pitching. His FB% was higher this year, while his LD% declined (15% with Dodgers, 14.3% with Rangers). He also pulled a ton of baseballs (45.6% with Dodgers, 48% with Rangers), and he still can't run. His BABIP seems likely to settle around .270 unless something changes dramatically.

Optimists may point to low K% figures (11.6% at Double-A, 11.8% with the Dodgers organization this year, 10% with the Rangers farm club) as a way for Calhoun to keep his average up, but his plate discipline really isn't elite. He walked 8% of the time at Double-A, 8.7% of the time at Triple-A with the Dodgers, and just 5% of the time after being traded to the Rangers. More walks should have been available to him considering his power numbers. Calhoun seems to end PAs by making contact early, preventing him from striking out or walking. The collapse of Pablo Sandoval tells us how quickly that game plan can fall apart.

There is also risk that the "contending" Rangers bench him if he does not hit the ground running. Calhoun has also played both outfield and second base on the farm this year, allowing fantasy platforms to give him wonky positional eligibility. Be sure to double-check that he actually qualifies at the position you plan to use him in before scooping him up.

Calhoun debuted in the seventh slot in the Rangers batting order, a position unlikely to produce many counting stats. He might be the best option for homers available to you, but he'll hurt you in every other category. Make sure you can take the hit if you need to move up in home runs.

Verdict: Chump

Tyler Glasnow (SP, PIT) 30% Owned

Glasnow might have been the worst pitcher in the majors this season, compiling a 7.45 ERA (5.17 xFIP) over 54 1/3 IP before his recent call-up. His "luck metrics" suggest more than a little bad fortune, as his 18.5% HR/FB, .366 BABIP against, and 59.4% LOB% all seem on the unlucky side. Still, his 18.9% K% doesn't move the needle in fantasy. His 10.9% BB% is also unacceptable from an arm with so few strikeouts.

His poor performance could theoretically be a contact quality issue, but Statcast data suggests otherwise. His 92.5 mph average airborne exit velocity against is roughly league average, as is his 7.6% rate of Brls/BBE. His batted ball distribution is normal as well (20.9% LD%, 44.3% GB%, 34.8% FB% career), so Glasnow does not get hit any differently than your average MLB arm.

The Pirates have 14 DRS as a unit, but their lineup has had so much turnover that their total numbers are meaningless. Their outfield defense stands out as being particularly weak, as Andrew McCutchen has -14 DRS in center field while a variety of right fielders have combined for -15. Glasnow's fly balls (.207) and line drives (.816) have both fallen for hits more often than average, an issue perhaps better attributed to his teammates than to him.

Glasnow's Triple-A performance this season looks like a completely different pitcher. He compiled a 1.93 ERA (2.17 xFIP) with a 38.5% K% (!) and 8.8% BB% over 93 1/3 IP. The luck metrics turned around completely, as Glasnow allowed a BABIP of .276, a HR/FB of 10.2%, and stranded 84.6% of the baserunners against him. There is little reason to think that these numbers are repeatable at the MLB level, but at least they prove that Glasnow is not doomed to consistently underperform his peripherals.

He was also excellent at Triple-A last season, posting a 1.87 ERA (3.37 xFIP) with a 30.4% K% and 14.2% BB%. The walks were high, but they didn't impact Glasnow too much thanks to an 85.7% strand rate. A 4.1% HR/FB and .255 BABIP against contributed to the sky high strand rate, but again similar numbers should not be expected with the Pirates. Glasnow pitched well at both Double-A (2.43 ERA and 2.35 xFIP in 63 IP) and Triple-A (2.20 ERA, 3.27 xFIP in 41 IP) in 2015, striking out and walking a bunch at each stop. He's clearly a strikeout artist with control problems.

Glasnow pitched 23 1/3 IP of 4.24 ERA (4.57 xFIP) ball in the majors last season, finally posting normal luck metrics (71% strand rate, .317 BABIP, 10% HR/FB) in the process. His K% (22.9%) was in between his work this year and his minor league performance, while his BB% (12.4% BB%) was again too high. Where have the elite K numbers gone?

Glasnow's Pitch Info repertoire does not support an elite K%. He throws a fastball, curve, change, and sinker. His heater is harder this year as opposed to last (93.8 mph last year, 94.5 this), but the offering's effectiveness declined considerably (10% SwStr% vs. 4.8% this year). Major league hitters are not fooled by the offering, slashing .330/.438/.591 against the pitch over Glasnow's career. He didn't feature a sinker at all last year, and the offering's performance (3.6% SwStr%, 50.7% Zone%, .421/.458/.658 triple slash against) suggests that he shouldn't.

Both of Glasnow's secondary offerings flash potential, but lack consistency. His curve's solid 14.3% SwStr% is offset by a low chase rate (36.3%) and lower Zone% (32.1%) over his career. His change looks like a wipeout offering at first glance (18% SwStr%, 37.4% Zone% career), but it's seldom chased outside of the zone (28.7% chase rate). As a result, both of these pitches are great ways to walk batters.

Glasnow's stuff has to be better in the minors, but the metrics to prove it aren't publicly available. He could figure everything out over the rest of the 2017 season, but it is not the most likely outcome. He's fine if you need a Hail Mary lottery ticket for a stunning comeback, but he's tough to recommend if you care about ERA, WHIP, walks, or are coming up against an innings limit.

Verdict: Chump

 

More Player Outlooks

 

Premium Tools & DFS Research

Get a free trial of our powerful MLB Premium Tools. Our famous DFS Optimizer & Lineup Generator, daily Matchup Ratings, expert DFS Lineups/Cheat Sheets, and more.

Sign Up Now!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Karl-Anthony Towns

Upgraded to Questionable For Season Opener
PGA

Alex Noren is a Smash Play at Bank of Utah Championship
Jalen Suggs

Good to Go on Wednesday Night
Karl-Anthony Towns

Now Doubtful for the Opener
Mike Evans

Could be Back in Under Eight Weeks
Bucky Irving

Will Not Play in Week 8
Jayden Daniels

Will Not Play on Monday Night Against Chiefs
Darren Waller

Dolphins Place Darren Waller on Injured Reserve
Maverick McNealy

Look Out For Maverick McNealy This Week in Utah
Justin Lower

Unlikely to Flip The Script at Bank of Utah Championship
Stephan Jaeger

Looking for Repeat Performance in Utah
CFB

Behren Morton Will be Listed as Questionable on Wednesday
Max McGreevy

a Longer Shot to Contend in Utah
Jackson Suber

on the Bubble for the PGA in 2026
Greyson Sigg

Improving at the Right Time This Fall
Seamus Power

Hopes to Make More Birdies This Week
Patton Kizzire

May Struggle Once Again in Utah
Beau Hossler

Up and Down Heading to Bank of Utah Championship
Adam Hadwin

Looking to Find the Weekend in Utah
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Enjoying the Fall Golf Season
Grant Williams

Sidelined for Start of Season
Dante Exum

Unavailable Wednesday
Robert Williams III

Ruled Out for Wednesday
Kelly Olynyk

Not Ready for Spurs Debut Wednesday
Ace Bailey

Questionable for Season Opener
Isaiah Collier

to Be Re-Evaluated in One Week
Brad Marchand

Delivers Two Assists on Special Night
Adrian Kempe

Lifts Kings to Victory Tuesday
Justin Brazeau

Records Three Points Against Canucks
Jack Hughes

Pots Third Career Hat Trick
TOR

Chris Tanev Could Miss Time With Upper-Body Injury
Jack McBain

Evaluated for Upper-Body Injury
Tom Hoge

Sputtering into Bank of Utah Championship
Sahith Theegala

On the Upswing Heading into Utah
Andrew Putnam

Looks to Find Form in Utah
Matt McCarty

Looks to Defend Title in Utah
Ben Kohles

a Strong Value Play at Bank of Utah Championship
Max Homa

Trending Up Entering the Bank of Utah Championship
Nick Dunlap

Searching for Spark at Bank of Utah Championship
Quade Cummins

Struggling to Find Form Ahead of Bank of Utah Championship
Gabe Vincent

Starting on Tuesday Night
Maxx Crosby

Raiders Won't Trade Maxx Crosby
Caris LeVert

Listed Probable for Season Opener
Jimmy Butler III

Officially Good to Go Versus the Lakers
Jonathan Kuminga

Officially Available on Tuesday Night
Anthony Edwards

Uncertain for the Opener
De'Aaron Fox

Sidelined For Spurs Season Opener
Jonathan Marchessault

Remains Absent Against Ducks
Darcy Kuemper

Available Tuesday
Corey Perry

Makes Season Debut Tuesday
Matt Duchene

Misses Tuesday's Action
Kevon Looney

Unavailable For Season Opener Versus Memphis
Alexander Romanov

Unavailable Versus Sharks
Brock Boeser

Remains Out Tuesday
Jared McCann

Out on Tuesday
Daniel Gafford

Not Expected to Play Versus San Antonio
Darius Garland

Unavailable For Wednesday
Kel'el Ware

Questionable for Wednesday Night
OG Anunoby

Likely Available on Wednesday Evening
Mitchell Robinson

Out Of Action For Knicks Season Opener
Jason Day

Making a Spot Start at Bank of Utah Championship
Los Angeles Angels

Kurt Suzuki to be the Angels' Next Manager
Bo Bichette

Plans to be Ready for World Series
Tyrod Taylor

Aaron Glenn "Moving Toward" Naming Tyrod Taylor the Starting QB
Zach Charbonnet

Finds the End Zone Twice on Monday Night
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Continues Elite Production
Chris Godwin

Bucky Irving May Not Play This Week
Michael Penix Jr.

Expected to Be "Good to Go" for Sunday
Nick Foligno

Back With Blackhawks
Pierre-Luc Dubois

Remains Sidelined Tuesday
Alexander Romanov

a Game-Time Call for Tuesday
Niko Mikkola

Cleared for Tuesday
Matt Duchene

Probable for Tuesday's Game
Adin Hill

Suffers Lower-Body Injury Monday
Nico Collins

Ruled Out Late on Monday Night With Concussion
Nico Collins

Suffers Head Injury on Monday Night
Jahmyr Gibbs

Blows Up For 218 Total Yards, Two Touchdowns in Win
Mike Evans

to Miss Most of the Year With Broken Clavicle
Brandon Woodruff

Expects to Be Ready for Opening Day
Mike Evans

Ruled Out Monday With Concussion, Shoulder Injury
Mike Evans

Making his Return in Primetime Against Detroit
Emeka Egbuka

Officially Active on Monday Night
Patrik Laine

Remains Out Monday
Jared McCann

Out Against Flyers
Michael Penix Jr.

Dealing With Bone Bruise in Foot, Considered Day-to-Day
Jayden Daniels

Avoids Long-Term Injury, Status Unknown for Week 8
Tua Tagovailoa

Dolphins Sticking With Tua Tagovailoa as Their Starting QB
Brock Bowers

Expected Back After the Bye
Reinier de Ridder

Reinier De Ridder Suffers His First UFC Loss
Brendan Allen

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Kevin Holland

Drops Decision
Mike Malott

Wins Third Fight In A Row
Marlon Vera

Loses Third Consecutive Fight
Aiemann Zahabi

Gets A Razor-Thin Split Decision Win
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Manon Fiorot

Gets Back In The Win Column
Davey Grant

Suffers Submission Loss
Charles Jourdain

Gets First-Round Submission Win
Matt Frevola

Gets Dominated At UFC Vancouver
Matt Frevola

Kyle Nelson Dominates Matt Frevola
George Springer

Returns to Lineup for Game 6 of ALCS
CFB

Colorado State Fires Head Coach Jay Norvell After Four Seasons
CFB

Florida Fires Head Coach Billy Napier After Four Years
Chase Elliott

Can Chase Elliott Deliver Another Clutch Win to Make Championship 4?
William Byron

Seeks First Win at Talladega to Overcome Las Vegas Crash
Chase Briscoe

Likely to Finish Worse Than he Starts
Kyle Larson

Despite No Wins on Drafting Tracks, Kyle Larson is Improving
Tyler Reddick

Despite Winning at Talladega, Tyler Reddick's Drafting Record Is Not So Hot
Ross Chastain

Poor Qualifying Makes him a Strong DFS Option at Talladega
Chris Buescher

Excellent Crash Avoidance Could Reap Dividends at Talladega
Ty Gibbs

If Ty Gibbs' Team Executes a Better Strategy, he Could Win at Talladega
Daniel Suarez

Hopes for Clutch Talladega Win to Remain in the NASCAR Cup Series
Josh Berry

Might Contend at Talladega
Austin Dillon

Doesn't Lead Enough at Talladega to Contend for Wins
Brendan Donovan

Undergoes Sports Hernia Surgery
George Springer

Exits Game 5 Early After HBP on his Knee
Jackson Chourio

Back in Game 4 Lineup Against Dodgers
Iván Herrera

Ivan Herrera Has Bone Spurs Removed From his Elbow
Brendan Allen

Set For UFC Vancouver Main Event
Reinier de Ridder

Reinier De Ridder A Favorite At UFC Vancouver
Mike Malott

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Kevin Holland

Set For UFC Vancouver Co-Main Event
Aiemann Zahabi

Looks For His Seventh Consecutive Win
Marlon Vera

Returns At UFC Vancouver
Jasmine Jasudavicius

Looks To Extend Her Win Streak
Manon Fiorot

Looks To Bounce Back
Aoriqileng

Aori Aoriqileng Looks To Rebound
CFB

Curt Cignetti Signs Eight-Year, $11.6 Million Extension With Indiana
Carlos Rodón

Carlos Rodon Unlikely to Be Ready for Opening Day After Elbow Surgery
Anthony Santander

Removed From ALCS Roster With Back Injury
Jackson Chourio

Aggravates Hamstring, Pulled Early in Game 3 of NLCS
Aaron Judge

Will Not Need Elbow Surgery
Anthony Volpe

Won't be Ready for Start of Next Season

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP