👉 TAP TO SAVE 30% WITH CODE NEW
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Champ or Chump: Nick Delmonico & Lucas Giolito

It's easy to stop paying attention to the weaker teams this time of year, as the small portion of media coverage baseball gets with football starting up is devoted exclusively to the pennant races. The weakest teams are arguably the most interesting from a fantasy perspective, however, because they are trying to unearth the gems you are looking for to fuel your playoff run.

Consider the Chicago White Sox as an example. There is no way that they're playing in October, yet astute fantasy owners could receive a boost from unheralded Nick Delmonico for their playoff push. Likewise, Lucas Giolito was summoned to the major leagues with little fanfare to make his 2017 debut. Let's take a closer look at what the White Sox have to offer in fantasy.

Ownership rates provided are from Yahoo! leagues.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball draft tools and resources:

 

The Fantasy Jury is Out

Nick Delmonico (OF, CWS) 20% Owned

Raise your hand if you knew that Delmonico was slashing .329/.434/.614 with six homers and a pair of swipes over the first 83 PAs of big league career. No lying! Nothing in his minor league track record suggests that Delmonico is actually this good, but he might be good enough to provide a little help.

Delmonico hit an uninspiring .262/.347/.421 with 12 HR and four steals in 429 PAs at Triple-A this season, a slight improvement over the .246/.320/.385 with seven dingers and two steals he put up over 295 PAs at the level last season. He earned last year's promotion by dominating Double-A to the tune of .338/.397/.676 with 10 HR and a steal over 159 PAs. The performance sticks out like a sore thumb on Delmonico's player page, but it is there and shouldn't be completely discounted.

A closer look at Delmonico's indicators should let us separate the talent from the luck. Let's start with his power stroke. Delmonico's FB% of 37% is solid, especially since fly balls tend to do well at Guaranteed Rate Field. His 29.5% FB% before his promotion creates some skepticism that he can maintain a rate this high over a larger sample, but his 44.1% FB% at Triple-A last season suggests that he knows how to lift the ball. With all of the fly ball revolution talk, Delmonico seems likely to continue hitting an above average number of airborne baseballs.

Sadly, his HR/FB is almost certainly due for significant regression. His 30% mark would set a professional best, surpassing the 27.8% rate he produced during his magical PAs at Double-A last season. His average airborne exit velocity thus far is nothing special (91.3 mph), nor does he produce Barrels at an above average clip (5.3% Brls/BBE). That said, there is one positive indicator here. He has pulled a ton of his fly balls so far (40%), a fact that should help him maximize his home park if he can keep it up. His HR/FB at Triple-A was 14%, suggesting moderate power with upside thanks to his home park.

His batting average is supported by excellent plate discipline and a .333 BABIP. A 14.5% BB% paired with a 15.7% K% is nothing short of elite, though the walk rate would be a professional best over a full season. Still, his underlying chase rate of 25.4% and emerging power support an elevated BB%. His favorable K% is similarly supported by a 17% rate at Triple-A before his call-up and an 8.9% SwStr%. Plate discipline metrics are among the fastest to stabilize, and this profile looks legitimate.

His BABIP is... interesting. He is popping out much less frequently than he did in the minors (10% IFFB% vs. 20.9% at Triple-A this year), so more pop-ups are likely moving forward. His .261 BABIP on ground balls is rooted in consistently weak contact, as evidenced by an average grounded exit velocity of just 77.8 mph. This could allow him to regularly make it to first base before an opposing fielder can get the ball and throw it over there. This "skill" could prove sustainable, though his .296 BABIP at Triple-A was just average.

He has pulled relatively few grounders so far (47.8%), so the shift should not rob him of too many hits. Delmonico's line drives have produced at a well below average rate (.545 BABIP) despite a reasonable LD% (20.4%), potentially giving Delmonico some room to mitigate regression elsewhere. Delmonico can probably run a .310 BABIP or so the rest of the way, a high enough figure to be a real batting average asset with his refusal to strikeout.

The White Sox have taken to hitting the 25-year old cleanup on most days, so he should produce as many counting stats as can reasonably be expected from the team. He also has a pair of appearances at first base this season, creating the possibility of dual positional eligibility in the future. Delmonico is not the All-Star caliber bat he's looked like so far, but he can still help a fantasy roster.

Verdict: Champ

Lucas Giolito (SP, CWS) 21% Owned

Giolito was meh in his 2017 debut, going six innings and allowing six hits (three of which were homers) with only four strikeouts. Control has been a frequent problem for Giolito in the past, so it was nice to see him avoid walks. Still, the start wasn't quite what fantasy owners were hoping to see out of him.

The 23-year old has consistently posted strong seasons in the upper minors. His 4.48 ERA at Triple-A this year masked a much better 3.85 xFIP over 128 2/3 IP. His 24.3% K% was solid, though his 10.7% BB% was a little high. All of the traditional "luck" metrics were neutral (73.8% strand rate, 14.4% HR/FB) or worked against him (.312 BABIP), so there are no obvious reasons preventing Giolito from performing similarly in the major leagues.

Giolito actually figured out the minors a while ago. His first taste of Double-A in 2015 consisted of 47 1/3 IP of 3.80 ERA (3.37 xFIP) baseball, with very few homers allowed (4.4% HR/FB) and an inflated BABIP (.341). His 22.3% K% was mediocre, especially when paired with a 8.4% BB%. He repeated the favorable HR/FB (3.8%) in 71 IP at the level last year on his way to a 3.17 ERA and 3.69 xFIP. His BABIP was high again (.323) and his strand rate was a tad low (66.5%). His K% (23%) and BB% (10.9%) remained pedestrian, but the results were there to justify a promotion to Triple-A.

The Nationals exposed Giolito to Triple-A for 37.1 IP last season, over which he produced an excellent 2.17 ERA, still strong 2.51 xFIP, and average 14.3% HR/FB. His strand rate was high (82%), but he finally brought his BABIP under control (.295). Best of all, he finally produced the K% (26.9%) that his raw stuff always suggested he could while simultaneously cutting down his walk rate (6.7% BB%). This season could be seen as a step in the wrong direction after last season's numbers, but he still has enticing stuff. He approached 96 mph in the first inning of his MLB start, though lost velocity as the game wore on.

To date, Giolito's MLB performance pales in comparison to his minor league work. He has a 6.59 ERA (5.51 xFIP) over 27 1/3 career IP, with a subpar K% (12%) nearly equivalent to his BB% (9.6%). He has also struggled mightily with the long ball (32.3% career HR/FB), a rate that shouldn't be sustainable for anyone with the talent to reach the big leagues over a larger sample. In fact, Giolito actually excels at the one thing that should be able to control the power game: ground balls.

Giolito has posted FB% rates better than league average at every minor league stop. He had a 33.1% rate in his first taste of Double-A paired with a 26.7% IFFB% that made a quarter of them harmless. He didn't induce quite as many pop-ups when repeating the level last year (13.5% IFFB%), but allowed fewer fly balls to make up for it (26.8% FB%). His 21.9% FB% and 19% IFFB% were excellent in his first taste of Triple-A, and the elite pop-up rate returned this season (23.7% IFFB%) at the expense of a slightly higher FB% (33.8%).

He has a career 33.7% FB% at the MLB level, so this skill is translating. The pop-ups have disappeared (6.5% career IFFB%), but that should regress as he gains experience at the highest level. Giolito was not particularly susceptible to the long ball at Triple-A and prevented them entirely at Double-A, so this does not look like a contact quality issue. Giolito should have much better results when the ball starts staying in the yard.

This does not suggest that Giolito is a finished product. Guaranteed Rate Field is a terrible place to hope for HR/FB regression, and whatever strikeout pitch he relied on in the minors has eluded Pitch Info so far. His best offering is a change with a 14.3% SwStr%, but a low 31.3% chase rate prevents it from becoming a put away pitch. His heat sports a career Zone% of 55.6%, so he should be able to overcome the inflated BB% numbers that plagued him in the minors. He just needs to find a secondary pitch to complement it.

If you are in a tight ERA race or have a large enough lead to play very conservatively, Giolito isn't for you. He's a high upside lottery ticket who may be undervalued in certain circles right now. That has value for at least one roster in every league, so he gets a Champ tag.

Verdict: Champ

More Player Outlooks

 

Premium Tools & DFS Research

Get a free trial of our powerful MLB Premium Tools. Our famous DFS Optimizer & Lineup Generator, daily Matchup Ratings, expert DFS Lineups/Cheat Sheets, and more.

Sign Up Now!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Randal Grichuk

Joins Yankees on Minor-League Deal
Cam Schlittler

Faces Live Hitters on Wednesday
Keegan Murray

Won't Return on Wednesday Night
Jayson Tatum

a "Full Go" in Five-on-Five Scrimmages
Will Warren

has Promising Spring Training Debut
Andrew Abbott

Goes Two Innings in Spring Training Debut
Pascal Siakam

Likely to Miss Second Straight Game
Joel Embiid

On Track to Suit Up Thursday
Kyler Murray

Prefers to be Released
Jalen Johnson

Could Miss Thursday's Rematch
Devin Carter

Ready to Go vs. Houston
Derek Carr

"Strong Belief" That Derek Carr is "Very Serious" About Unretiring
James Harden

Will Not Play in Milwaukee
Dorian Finney-Smith

Sitting Wednesday vs. Kings
Scottie Barnes

Set to Suit Up Wednesday
Kyle Anderson

Remains Sidelined vs. Warriors
Alex Caruso

Sidelined Wednesday vs. Pistons
Al Horford

Good to Go Wednesday
Isaiah Hartenstein

Chet Holmgren to Miss Matchup with Pistons
Konnor Griffin

Exits Early After Being Hit in the Foot
Konnor Griffin

Open to Long-Term Extension With Pirates
Triston Casas

Thinks he Could be Ready by Opening Day
Brenton Doyle

Scratched on Wednesday With Wrist Inflammation
Draymond Green

Sidelined Against Memphis
Merrill Kelly

Won't be Ready for Opening Day
Mikael Granlund

Leo Carlsson In, Mikael Granlund Out for Ducks Wednesday
De'Anthony Melton

Ruled Out Wednesday
River Ryan

Making a Case for Starting Role
Luisangel Acuña

Luisangel Acuna Leaves Early With a Cut Above his Eye
Connor McDavid

Ready to Play Wednesday
John Carlson

Out Wednesday
Donovan Mitchell

Ruled Out Wednesday
Roope Hintz

Misses Wednesday's Action Due to Illness
Shea Theodore

Unavailable Wednesday
Evan Mobley

Sidelined for Wednesday's Matchup With Milwaukee
Mark Stone

Mitch Marner Won't Play Wednesday
Logan Cooley

on Track to Return Wednesday
Sidney Crosby

Set to Miss Four Weeks
James Harden

Plans to Play Through Fractured Right Thumb Wednesday
Robert Garcia

Could Emerge as the Preferred Ninth-Inning Option in Texas
Andy Dalton

Is Andy Dalton Available for a Trade?
Brendan Rodgers

Injures Shoulder in Spring Training Game
Chase DeLauter

Scratched on Wednesday With Lower-Body Soreness
Ryan O'Hearn

Could See a Career High in Plate Appearances in 2026
Bailey Ober

Can Bailey Ober Rebound After His Disastrous 2025?
J.P. Crawford

has Minor Shoulder Injury
Troy Melton

Dealing With Arm Soreness
Patrick Sandoval

has "Eye-Opening" Batting Practice Session
Francisco Lindor

to Restart "Impact" Activities in 2-3 Days
Paul Skenes

Expects to Make Two Starts in World Baseball Classic
Keith Mitchell

Making The Comfortable Return to PGA National
CFB

Chandler Morris Suing NCAA for Seventh Year of Eligibility
Chris Kirk

Searching for a Spark at Cognizant Classic
Brooks Koepka

Making Third PGA Tour Start at Cognizant Classic
Mackenzie Hughes

a Steady Option at Cognizant Classic
Seamus Power

Seeking More Green in Florida
PGA

Haotong Li Back From a Break as Florida Stretch Starts
Stephan Jaeger

Trying to Put Four Rounds Together in Florida
Ty Jerome

Available Wednesday
PGA

Nico Echavarria Again Attempting to Make the Weekend
Amen Thompson

Won't Play Wednesday
Jamal Murray

Probable Wednesday
Patrick Fishburn

Looking for a Spark at Cognizant Classic
Blades Brown

Set for Cognizant Classic Debut
Michael Thorbjornsen

Looking to Bounce Back at Cognizant Classic
Maxx Crosby

Raiders Expect Maxx Crosby to Return
Nino Niederreiter

Out Week-to-Week
Neal Pionk

Out Week-to-Week With New Injury
Noah Hanifin

Unavailable Wednesday
Jack Eichel

to Miss Wednesday's Action
John Tavares

Expected to Play Wednesday
Samuel Girard

Penguins Acquire Samuel Girard From Avalanche
Victor Hedman

Good to Go for Wednesday
Brayden Point

Available for Lightning
Mikko Rantanen

to Miss at Least Two Weeks
Billy Horschel

Looks to Improve Season at Cognizant Classic
Kyle Pitts Sr.

Falcons Place Franchise Tag on Kyle Pitts Sr.
Joe Highsmith

Returns to Defend at Cognizant Classic
Quinshon Judkins

Out of Walking Boot, Will be Ready for Training Camp
Breece Hall

Jets Will Use Franchise Tag on Breece Hall if Extension isn't Reached
Joel Dahmen

Needs Better Consistency Heading Into The Florida Swing
Daniel Berger

Looks to Improve Putting as PGA Tour Begins Its Florida Swing
Kirk Cousins

Falcons Plan to Release Kirk Cousins
Zach Ertz

Plans to Return for 14th Season
Davis Thompson

Struggling to Find Birdies as Florida Looms
Tom Kim

Not Quite Cutting It in 2026
Nicolai Hojgaard

Wants to Build Momentum from Scottsdale
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Returns After Extended Break for Florida Event
CFB

Gunner Rivers Follows His Father, Commits To North Carolina State
Will Zalatoris

Set to Make Tournament Debut at Cognizant Classic
Linus Ullmark

Available for Senators
Rasmus Hojgaard

Trending Up at the Cognizant Classic
Ryan Reaves

Sharks Activate Ryan Reaves From Injured Reserve
Charlie Lindgren

Activated From Injured Reserve Monday
Josh Norris

Cleared to Return Wednesday
Anthony Hernandez

Suffers Third-Round TKO Loss
Sean Strickland

Gets Back In The Win Column
Kyle Pitts Sr.

Falcons Planning to Use Franchise Tag on Kyle Pitts Sr.
Geoff Neal

Suffers Back-To-Back Knockout Losses
Uros Medic

Shines At UFC Houston
Dan Ige

Gets Finished For The First Time In His Career
Melquizael Costa

Extends His Win Streak To Six
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Falls Short of Victory at EchoPark Speedway
Carson Hocevar

Rallies to Fourth At EchoPark Speedway After Early Struggles
Ross Chastain

Finishes Third At EchoPark Speedway
Chase Briscoe

Scores First Career Top-Five Finish at EchoPark Speedway
Tyler Reddick

Nabs His Second Win of the Season At EchoPark Speedway
Joey Logano

Will Be Popular DFS Pick at EchoPark Speedway
Tyler Reddick

on Pole After Qualifying Rained Out at EchoPark Speedway
Chase Elliott

Could Chase Elliott Be Worth Rostering At EchoPark Speedway?
Ryan Blaney

Is Ryan Blaney Worth Rostering for DFS at EchoPark Speedway?
William Byron

Is William Byron Worth Rostering for DFS at EchoPark Speedway?
Rondale Moore

Passes Away
Denny Hamlin

Is Worth Consideration for EchoPark Speedway DFS Lineups
Brad Keselowski

Is A Tournament Option for DFS At EchoPark Speedway
NASCAR

Is Bubba Wallace Rosterable In DFS At EchoPark Speedway?
Austin Cindric

Should DFS Managers Roster Austin Cindric at EchoPark Speedway?
Ross Chastain

Is Ross Chastain A Sneaky DFS Option for EchoPark Speedway?
Ricky Stenhouse Jr

Is Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Worth Rostering for DFS at EchoPark Speedway?
Alex Bowman

Will Start Towards the Rear At EchoPark Speedway
Javonte Williams

Cowboys Sign Javonte Williams to Three-Year, $24 Million Extension
Travis Etienne Jr.

has "Legitimate Interest" in Joining Chiefs
Zach Charbonnet

Undergoes Knee Surgery on Friday
CFB

Curt Cignetti Agrees to New Deal With Indiana, Will Earn $13.2 Million Per Year
Anthony Hernandez

Set For UFC Houston Main Event
Sean Strickland

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Uros Medic

Set For UFC Houston Co-Main Event
Geoff Neal

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Melquizael Costa

A Favorite At UFC Houston
Dan Ige

An Underdog At UFC Houston
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF