X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Champ or Chump: Adolis Garcia

Rick Lucks takes a deep look into the value of Texas Rangers OF Adolis Garcia in fantasy baseball redraft leagues for 2021. Is he really this good?

Fantasy managers generally look for certain qualities when evaluating prospects. We like younger players who post dominant numbers on the farm. We like prospects with raw tools that make scouts salivate, leading to appearances on top prospect lists. We like players who we had heard of before the season started.

Adolis Garcia checks none of those boxes and that makes him interesting to evaluate. The 28-year-old rookie is slashing .291/.329/.603 with 14 HR and five steals for the Texas Rangers thus far, establishing himself as the everyday centerfielder and cleanup hitter for the team. Despite that, he was never regarded as a top prospect and received a future value of just 35+ in his final FanGraphs scouting report. He was old for most of his MiLB stops and his stat lines there are more good than great.

The Cuban defector's plate discipline isn't good, but his contact quality is something special. This author feels that the end of Garcia's MLB tenure will be brutal to watch, but that his physical skills will allow him to enjoy several good seasons before he gets there. Let's look at why.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Interesting Fantasy Skills on the Farm

Garcia signed with the Yomiuri Giants in Japan for 2016, but didn't play any games there. He made his professional debut in 2017 for Double-A Springfield in the St. Louis Cardinals organization. The team must have thought that Garcia was an advanced prospect because it's rare for a MiLB career to start in the high minors, and he made them look good with a respectable .285/.339/.476 triple-slash line with 12 homers and 12 steals over 342 PAs.

His eight CS were far too many and he didn't demonstrate any particular aptitude for power hitting with a 35.9 FB% and 14.5% HR/FB, but it was a strong debut. His 7.6 BB% and 22.5 K% were both solid if unspectacular and he ran a reasonable .338 BABIP. Springfield is a hitter's haven with a 1.287 HR factor that ranked in the 89th percentile of the MiLB landscape (and the 64th percentile for BABIP) in 2019, but the Cardinals still decided that his performance merited a midseason promotion to Triple-A Memphis.

Garcia's line improved in Memphis as he hit .301/.342/.478 with three homers and steals over 147 PAs, and he was only caught stealing once. Sadly, the rest of his peripherals took a nosedive. His BB% plunged to just 4.8 while his K% largely held steady at 21.1. His FB% ticked downward to 34.3% while his 8.8% HR/FB was a fraction of his Double-A mark. He would be a completely different player the next season.

Garcia returned to Memphis in 2018 and slashed .256/.281/.500 with 22 HR and 10 SB over 428 PAs. His 3.3 BB% was very low, and his K% ticked up to 23.1. He also added a ton of fly balls to his profile, posting a 47.9 FB% and 15% HR/FB at the cost of running a .283 BABIP. He was caught stealing three times. In short, he became an all-or-nothing slugger who could steal the occasional base as opposed to the more well-rounded skill set he demonstrated in 2017. The Cardinals gave him a brief look in the majors that year, but he appeared in more games (21) than he recorded plate appearances (17).

Garcia was even more of an all-or-nothing slugger in 2019 for Memphis, slashing .253/.301/.517 with 32 HR and 14 SB in 529 PAs. His 10 CS meant that his success rate was nowhere near strong enough to run at the MLB level, while his 52 FB% dominated his batted ball profile. He walked slightly more at a 4.2% clip, but gave it all back with a 30.1 K%. His 18.7 HR/FB and .305 BABIP were higher than the previous year, likely the result of the ball that turned all of Triple-A into Coors Field in 2019. The Cardinals rewarded him by designating him for assignment in December.

That sounds bleak, but Garcia's performance was probably better than it looked. Memphis was a pitcher's park from 2017-19, posting a 97 HR factor and 93 BABIP factor per MiLB.com. It finished in the 87th percentile for HR and 61st for BABIP in 2019, but both of those marks are pitcher-friendly compared to the rest of Triple-A that season. The Rangers saw something they liked and acquired him, giving him seven big league PAs and the rest of the shortened season at the alternate training site in 2020.

 

Big Bat Booms: From DFA to Stardom

We don't know what the Rangers did with Garcia at the alternate training site, but you can't fake some of the metrics he's putting up this year. He's probably not going to sustain a 31.1% HR/FB all season, but he ranks in the top-20 among qualified hitters in both average airborne exit velocity (96.8 mph, 17th) and rate of Barrels per Batted Ball Event (18.5%, sixth). He also hits 41.7% of his batted balls in the air, a stat that suggests he knows how to make the most of his pop. The power is real.

Garcia is striking out 27.3% of the time against a paltry 5 BB%, and both metrics are backed by his relatively high 41.2% chase rate and low 81 Z-Contact%. That said, he didn't strike out that often in the minors outside of 2019, so some growth could be expected. His 16.2 SwStr% is pretty ugly though. He'll never walk, so his OBP will always be at the mercy of the BABIP gods. His 28.1 ft./sec Statcast Sprint and low 54.8 Pull% on ground balls make Garcia shift-proof, and he's hitting .405 in his 42 PAs against it (.255 in 57 PAs without it).

The whole profile bears similarities to Javier Baez of the Chicago Cubs, even extending to the strong defensive reputation that both players enjoy. In fantasy the homers will be there and they'll both steal a few bags, though not with ideal success rates (Garcia is five-for-eight on the year). Their batting averages depend on their BABIP, ranging from plus to total dumpster fire. You don't know exactly what you're getting, but the power, speed, and prominent lineup spot should make the net package a plus.

 

The Final Verdict

Nobody is as good as Garcia has looked thus far, but his xBA of .275 and xSLG of .562 would both be great for fantasy managers even if we assume that his K% remains unchanged. The Rangers are not a contending club and their offense has to run to try and score, so he'll probably keep attempting steals even if his success rate wouldn't fly on other teams. Add in the power and Garcia is a Champ for the rest of the season.

Unfortunately, this profile looks ugly when things go south. If you had Javier Baez and his 57 wRC+ in 2020, then you know exactly how bad it can get. Fantasy managers in dynasty or keeper leagues may want to consider trading Garcia at the peak of his value even though there's nothing wrong yet. Therefore, Garcia looks like a Chump over the longer term.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Advice




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Michael Conforto5 hours ago

Homers, Scores Three Runs
Jace Jung5 hours ago

Hits Home Run No. 2 At Triple-A
Jon Singleton5 hours ago

Signs Minor-League Deal With Mets
Niko Goodrum5 hours ago

Signs Minor-League Deal With Mets
Nick Kurtz5 hours ago

Belts Third Home Run In Last Four Games
Shohei Ohtani5 hours ago

Blasts Walk-Off Home Run
Zac Veen5 hours ago

Triples, Collects Four RBI At Triple-A On Wednesday
Zac Gallen5 hours ago

Strikes Out 13
Luke Waddell6 hours ago

Swinging A Hot Bat At Triple-A
Chandler Simpson6 hours ago

With A Two-Run Triple, Stolen Base On Wednesday
Los Angeles Chargers7 hours ago

Chargers Sign Tight End Jordan Petaia
Austin Gomber7 hours ago

Scratched From Rehab Start With Shoulder Inflammation
Zack Wheeler7 hours ago

Records 10 Strikeouts
7 hours ago

Matthew Golden Making Pre-Draft Visit To Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals8 hours ago

Trey Hendrickson Not Looking For Short-Term Deal
Aroldis Chapman8 hours ago

Earns First Save Of The Season
Garrett Crochet8 hours ago

Works Eight Strong Innings
Tutu Atwell8 hours ago

Rams Plan To Give Tutu Atwell A Bigger Role In 2025
Rafael Devers8 hours ago

Finally Delivers At The Plate
Tampa Bay Buccaneers8 hours ago

Bucs Restructure Antoine Winfield's Deal To Free Up Cap Space
Xavier Edwards8 hours ago

Collects Four Hits
Pete Alonso8 hours ago

Comes Up Clutch
Jackson Merrill10 hours ago

Goes Deep After Inking Nine-Year Extension
Jrue Holiday10 hours ago

Won't Play Against Miami
New York Jets10 hours ago

Xavier Newman-Johnson Re-Signs With New York
Luis Castillo10 hours ago

Finally Beats The Tigers On Wednesday
Al Horford10 hours ago

Sidelined Versus Heat
Seiya Suzuki10 hours ago

Carries Cubs Offense With Two Homers, Five RBI
Kristaps Porzingis10 hours ago

Ruled Out On Wednesday
Fred VanVleet11 hours ago

Out Versus Utah
Dennis Santana11 hours ago

Picks Up First Save Of The Year
Dean Wade11 hours ago

Sidelined On Wednesday
Trae Young11 hours ago

Expected To Suit Up On Wednesday
Joel Embiid11 hours ago

Will Undergo Arthroscopic Surgery On His Left Knee
Evgeni Malkin11 hours ago

Joins Penguins For Road Trip
Filip Chytil12 hours ago

Could Miss Rest Of Season
Declan Chisholm12 hours ago

Back In Action Against Rangers
Keaton Wallace12 hours ago

Sidelined Again On Wednesday
Samuel Girard12 hours ago

Exits Avalanche Lineup Wednesday
Joel Kiviranta12 hours ago

Returning Against Blackhawks
Eeli Tolvanen12 hours ago

Misses First Game Of The Season
Jaden Schwartz12 hours ago

Unavailable Against Canucks
14 hours ago

Kyle McCord Rising Up Draft Boards?
14 hours ago

Ashton Jeanty To Raiders Continues To Gain Steam
14 hours ago

Emeka Egbuka To Fall To Round 2?
Los Angeles Rams14 hours ago

Rob Havenstein Expected To Be Ready For Training Camp
Cleveland Browns16 hours ago

Mike Hall Likely To Miss Offseason Program After Having Knee Surgery
New England Patriots16 hours ago

Christian Barmore Expected To Be Ready For Offseason Workouts
16 hours ago

Saints Expected To Visit With Quinn Ewers
Jake Moody16 hours ago

49ers To Bring In Competition For Jake Moody
Pittsburgh Steelers16 hours ago

Steelers In Play To Draft A Running Back
Green Bay Packers18 hours ago

Packers Not Ruling Out Jaire Alexander Returning
Tennessee Titans18 hours ago

No. 1 Overall Pick Might Not Be For Sale
Kenny Pickett19 hours ago

Browns Feel Good About QB Situation, Kenny Pickett
Cleveland Browns19 hours ago

Browns Unlikely To Trade Up To No. 1 Overall For Cam Ward
Cincinnati Bengals19 hours ago

Bengals Still Working On Contract Extension With Trey Hendrickson
Dyami Brown19 hours ago

Jaguars Intrigued By Dyami Brown's Potential
Bennedict Mathurin20 hours ago

Iffy For Wednesday
Myles Turner20 hours ago

May Miss Another Game Wednesday
Al Horford20 hours ago

Considered Doubtful Wednesday
Jrue Holiday20 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday's Game
Kristaps Porzingis21 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Wednesday
Jaylen Brown21 hours ago

Could Remain On The Shelf Wednesday
Cade Cunningham21 hours ago

Likely Out For Fifth Straight Game
Anthony Davis21 hours ago

Probable Wednesday
Evan Bouchard22 hours ago

Tallies Two Assists In Victory
Jake Guentzel22 hours ago

Tallies Goal, Assist In Victory
Kirill Marchenko23 hours ago

Scores Hat Trick On Tuesday
Tage Thompson23 hours ago

Stays Hot On The Scoresheet
Lane Hutson23 hours ago

Dishes Out Three Helpers In Overtime Victory
Alex Ovechkin23 hours ago

Tallies Two Points In Victory
Cameron Young1 day ago

A Player To Avoid At Valero Texas Open
Kurt Kitayama1 day ago

In Search Of Consistency At Valero Texas Open
Si Woo Kim1 day ago

Looking To Bounce Back At Valero Texas Open
Tom Hoge1 day ago

Looking To Build Off Strong Performance At The PLAYERS Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick1 day ago

Looking For Consistency At Valero Texas Open
Corey Conners1 day ago

Continues Strong Form Ahead Of Valero Texas Open
Patrick Cantlay1 day ago

Eyeing Victory At Valero Texas Open
Gary Woodland1 day ago

Showing Great Form Ahead Of Valero Texas Open
Akshay Bhatia1 day ago

Aiming For Repeat At Valero Texas Open
Alejandro Tosti1 day ago

A Volatile Choice At TPC San Antonio
Guerschon Yabusele1 day ago

Out Against Knicks
Karl-Anthony Towns1 day ago

Sits Out Tuesday's Game
Jevon Carter1 day ago

Ruled Out Tuesday
Dalen Terry1 day ago

Unavailable Against Raptors
Julian Phillips1 day ago

Out On Tuesday
Jimmy Snuggerud1 day ago

Ready For NHL Debut Tuesday
Jacob Trouba1 day ago

Set To Rejoin Ducks Lineup Tuesday
Troy Terry1 day ago

On Track To Play Tuesday
Jonathan Marchessault1 day ago

Remains Out Against Blue Jackets
Alex Laferriere2 days ago

Expected To Return On Tuesday
Luke Schenn2 days ago

A Game-Time Decision Tuesday
Dante Fabbro2 days ago

Returns Against Predators
Olli Määttä2 days ago

Olli Maatta A Game-Time Call On Tuesday
Jordan Spieth2 days ago

Needs To Find Consistency At TPC San Antonio
Jake Knapp2 days ago

Making First Appearance At Valero Texas Open
Michael Kim2 days ago

Looking To Find The Magic Again In San Antonio
Tommy Fleetwood2 days ago

Is Nearly A Must-Play At Valero Texas Open
Tony Finau2 days ago

Hoping For Better Approach Play In San Antonio
Eric Cole2 days ago

Trending In Right Direction Ahead Of Valero
Sam Stevens2 days ago

Enjoys Nice Result In Houston
PGA2 days ago

J.T. Poston Seeks To Contend At Valero Texas Open
Denny McCarthy2 days ago

Keeps Making Cuts But Needs To Make More Putts
Brian Harman2 days ago

Off To A Subpar 2025 So Far
Ryan Preece3 days ago

Has Three Straight Top-10 Finishes For First Time In His Career
NASCAR3 days ago

Bubba Wallace After Third-Place Finish At Martinsville: "What a Great Day"
Todd Gilliland3 days ago

Has Mistake-Free Day At Martinsville, Grabs Another Top-10 Finish
Brandon Moreno3 days ago

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Steve Erceg3 days ago

Losses Third Consecutive Fight
Drew Dober3 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Mexico City
Manuel Torres3 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Harry Hall3 days ago

Bounces Back In Houston Last Week
CJ Vergara3 days ago

Gets Submitted
Édgar Cháirez3 days ago

Edgar Chairez Gets Submission Win At UFC Mexico City
Vince Morales3 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC Mexico City
Raul Rosas Jr.3 days ago

Gets Decision Win At UFC Mexico City
Saimon Oliveira3 days ago

Still Winless In The UFC
David Martinez3 days ago

Wins His UFC Debut
Kevin Borjas3 days ago

Earns His First UFC Win
Ronaldo Rodríguez3 days ago

Ronaldo Rodriguez Suffers His First UFC Loss
Christopher Bell3 days ago

Powers His Way To A Second-Place Finish At Martinsville
Chase Elliott3 days ago

Strong Martinsville Performance Ends With A Top-Five Finish
Kyle Larson3 days ago

Collects A Top-Five Finish At Martinsville
William Byron3 days ago

Places 22nd After Struggles At Martinsville
Joey Logano3 days ago

Claims His First 2025 Top-10 Finish After Up-And-Down Performance
Tyler Reddick3 days ago

Fails To Place In The Top 10 At Martinsville
Denny Hamlin3 days ago

Silences Doubters After Crew-Chief Change
Ty Gibbs3 days ago

Earns Best 2025 Finish At Martinsville Despite Failing Cool Suit
Ross Chastain3 days ago

Has A Great Day At Martinsville
Chase Briscoe3 days ago

Has Solid Run At Martinsville
Erik Jones3 days ago

Disqualified At Martinsville For Weight Violation
Josh Berry4 days ago

Has Top-10 Upside At Martinsville
Joey Logano4 days ago

Don't Overlook Joey Logano This Weekend
Ryan Preece4 days ago

Could Get First Three-Race Top-10 Streak Of His Career
Chase Elliott4 days ago

Looking To Continue Great Runs At Martinsville
Christopher Bell4 days ago

Wins Pole At Martinsville, But Can He Stay Up There?
Ryan Blaney4 days ago

Fast In Practice But Skeptical About Car
Denny Hamlin4 days ago

New Crew Chief Has Terrible Martinsville Record
Steve Erceg6 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Brandon Moreno6 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Mexico City
Manuel Torres6 days ago

Set For Co-Main Event
Drew Dober6 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Mexico City
Joe Pyfer6 days ago

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Kelvin Gastelum6 days ago

Set For Middleweight Matchup
Vince Morales6 days ago

In Dire Need Of Victory
Raul Rosas Jr.6 days ago

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Saimon Oliveira6 days ago

Looks For His First UFC Win
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
UFL RANKINGS, FANTASY FOOTBALL,

UFL Fantasy Football Rankings for Week 2: QB, RB, WR, TE Rankings and Analysis (2025)

Week 2 of the UFL season is just around the corner. This week will feature one game on Friday, one game on Saturday, and two on Sunday. Birmingham and Michigan will play at 8:00 p.m. EDT on Friday, followed by Memphis-D.C. on Saturday at 8:00 p.m. EDT. Sunday's game pits the 1-0 Renegades against the […]


Calvin Ridley - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL DFS Picks, Draft Sleepers

Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings: Overvalued, Undervalued Players (2025)

Dynasty fantasy football rankings constantly shift, especially as we inch closer to the new season and fantasy drafts. Dynasty managers know the importance of finding those underrated players who could be steals in drafts or trades. They also know some players are overhyped due to unsustainable trends or past production. I'll break down two overvalued […]


Justin Fields - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Best Fantasy Football Moves During 2025 NFL Free Agency

It has been a wild offseason so far in the NFL. Plenty of players have switched teams in free agency, and some stars were even traded. Deebo Samuel Sr. was dealt to the Washington Commanders, Geno Smith was traded to the Las Vegas Raiders, and DK Metcalf has a new home with the Pittsburgh Steelers. These […]


Tyreek Hill - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Three Aging Fantasy Football Players To Sell In Dynasty Leagues

It's hard to always know when to sell off your aging fantasy football players. Often, it's also difficult to accept that it's better to move on from a player when he's coming off a productive season and still has a lot left in the tank. But I believe it's better to be a year early […]


J.J. McCarthy - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Draft Sleepers

Five Fantasy Football Superflex Quarterback Breakouts, Draft Targets (2025)

If you’ve ever played in a Superflex fantasy football league, then you know how important quarterbacks are in this format. The ability to start multiple stud quarterbacks can carry you to a Superflex title. Unfortunately, finding two such players isn’t so easy. All the top signal-callers come off draft boards first, and that makes it […]


Omarion Hampton - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks - NFL Draft

Ideal Landing Spots For The Top 12 Fantasy Football Rookies - 2025 NFL Draft

Then, the NFL Draft continues to inch closer and closer. This is a very interesting class, with a handful of players who could be stars in the NFL and reshape fantasy football leagues going forward. Here are the ideal landing spots for the top 12 fantasy football rookies. These picks exist in conversation with each […]


Jalen Coker - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Eight Best Ball Late Round Value Fantasy Football Players To Target For 2025

Fantasy football is the most popular game in all of sports. It has gone from a paper-and-pen game to a multi-million dollar-a-year one. While redraft leagues are the most popular form of fantasy football, best ball leagues are quickly gaining steam. The best part of best ball leagues is the ability to draft thousands of […]


Abdul Carter - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2025 NFL Draft Rankings: Top 10 Fantasy Football Edge Rusher Prospects

Edge rusher is the most important, most coveted, and most highly-paid position on defense in the NFL. It stands to reason that the most important position in the entire game being quarterback, and by a wide margin, means the most important position on defense are the players that are tasked with disrupting opposing QBs as […]


Brock Purdy - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Picks

Brock Purdy Dynasty Fantasy Football Outlook and Trade Value

Despite becoming the all-time leading passer for the Iowa State Cyclones, Brock Purdy wasn't a highly touted prospect due to his perceived lack of athleticism. The 49ers picked him with the final pick of the 2022 NFL Draft, but Mr. Irrelevant quickly proved everyone wrong. In his first two years, he started in back-to-back NFC […]


Michael Florio's Football Show - Podcast RotoBaller Network

Florio's Football Show: Scouting NFL Draft Prospects!

Michael F Florio goes over some of the top prospects from this years NFL Draft. Florio talks about what he looks for when watching prospect tape and explains what traits translate best to the NFL level. Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (SiriusXM channel 87) on Sundays from 6-7 am. You can […]


Najee Harris - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Dynasty Fantasy Football Buy or Sell: Najee Harris, Rico Dowdle, Jordan Mason

One year ago, we discussed the futures of Josh Jacobs, Derrick Henry, Saquon Barkley, and Aaron Jones as those free agents found new homes. This year's headliners are Najee Harris, Rico Dowdle, and Jordan Mason. Not quite the same. Still, with every transaction come implications for dynasty fantasy football rosters across the globe. Below, we […]


Romeo Doubs - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Early 2025 Fantasy Football Sleepers: Undervalued NFC Draft Targets

While the 2025 fantasy football redraft season is still several months away, there is no such thing as being too prepared for your fantasy draft. Fantasy football is year-round, even for those who only play in redraft leagues. The landscape of fantasy football will change between today and the start of redraft season, with the […]


Detroit Lions Defense, Aidan Hutchinson - Fantasy Football DST Rankings, Streamers, IDP Sleepers

2025 Fantasy Football IDP Sleepers: Five Draft Targets

It's notably difficult to identify sleepers in fantasy football IDP leagues. The skill of the players in question is very important, but situation also plays a large factor, as does a recent history of injuries. Rather than bucketing them into groups, it's better to analyze each one individually, look at where they are in terms […]