X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Batting Bargains of the First Half

While nobody will argue that the desired final end point to the marathon that is the grueling fantasy baseball season is staking claim to a league championship, veterans of this fair game relish a few other nuances of the grind along the way. There's the smug feeling of besting a rival in a trade, the nightly box score checking on a night when your team posts those wonderful crooked numbers, and the lazy flip on the remote, just in time to watch your ace carve up the competition. But perhaps tops on this list, is the feeling associated with the slow buildup and long-term payout of a bargain acquisition posting glorious counting stats on a nightly basis.

So sit back, grab your popcorn, and enjoy this position-by-position rundown of the best batting bargains of the first half.

Editor's Note: RotoBaller has the best Premium MLB Subscription for only $1.99 per week. We have all the tools to help win your seasonal and daily leagues: Hitter & Pitcher Streamers, Matchup Ratings for every player, Sleeper Surgers for AVG, HR, Ks, PLUS Daily DFS Cheat Sheets, Lineup Picks, Expert Lineups, Stacks and Avoids. 

 

First Half Studs - Draft Day Steals

Catcher: Wilson Ramos

Was there any question as to who would claim this spot? Ramos leads all catchers in HR and RBI with 13 and 47, respectively. His wRC+ (Weighted Runs Created Plus) currently sits at a league-leading 147 - second in that category, trailing well behind at 127, is a guy by the name of Buster Posey. You may have heard of him. This leads to a few obvious questions -

Is this first half just a result of good luck?

Has Ramos broke through to a higher rung on the fantasy value ladder?

Can I put ketchup on my hot dog?

Let's start with the obvious one. Ketchup on a hot dog is a violation of Rule 1.2 of the Universal Hot Dog Code. And while children may be given leniency, adults should be mocked shamelessly if even one droplet of ketchup hits that dog. Now back to Ramos. To address the first question - has he been lucky? At first glance, his .344 BABIP seems like a red flag - especially in comparison to his .289 career mark. But when we dig further, Ramos has praised the results of his off-season LASIK surgery, an operation which has allowed him to see the ball better - and last time I checked, seeing the ball is one of the first steps to take when one desires to hit the ball. His Hard Hit rate backs this up. In 2014 and 2015, Ramos averaged 27% in that department - this season he sits at a sterling 34.4%. Additional proof that Ramos is seeing the ball better? He has nearly doubled his walk rate from the previous two seasons. Long story short - this IS a new and improved Wilson Ramos, so do not sell high.

First Base: Wil Myers

Wil Myers entered the season as almost an afterthought at the first-base position, a fallback plan when the top and middle tiers were exhausted. Now it appears that those residing at the top-tier of the position will need to slide over to make room for the post-hype breakthrough slugger. And while the 19 HR are good enough to place him fifth among all first-basemen, his stolen base prowess is really what sets him apart from the pack. His 14 steals rank him 10th in all the majors and - injuries aside - he seems a safe bet to eclipse 25 this year. To put that into context, Paul Goldschmidt - the reigning king of the fleet-footed first-basemen kingdom - has a career high mark of 21 steals.

The main driver of Myers' success has been his ability to pound the ball to all fields. Take a look at the splits:

Pull% = 35.8%
Cent% = 40.9%
Oppo% = 23.2%

And now his OPS and ISO for each:

Pull = 1.000 / .297
Cent = 1.158 / .304
Oppo = 1.041 / .386

An ability to hit the ball with authority to all fields is an excellent indicator of untapped power in young players and Myers is still only 25 years old. The power breakout we are seeing appears to be legitimate.

Second Base: Danny Espinosa

Espinosa has played solely at shortstop this season but qualifies at second-base after playing 81 games there in 2015. To omit him from this discussion would do a disservice to the remarkable and strange year that he has cobbled together. All the more impressive has been his invaluable dispensing of home runs from a middle infield position with such largesse after a dismal April performance, all while uber-prospect Trea Turner has been breathing down his neck in Triple-A.

But the question that begs answering is whether we are seeing a new-and-improved player or just a flash in the pan performance out of a seven year veteran. The month of June is where most of the damage was done - .309/.418/.704 slash line, with 21 R, 9 HR, and 21 RBI. Extrapolating the counting numbers over 600 at-bats and you end up with 155 R, 55 HR, and 155 RBI. Even an HGH-fueled cyborg programmed to annihilate stitched-cowhide spheres of cork and yarn would be proud of that stat line. Of course, the question of why one would need to fuel a baseball-destroying automaton with HGH is a discussion for another day. The question answered here and now is that after logging well over 2,000 major league at-bats, we have a pretty concrete idea of what to expect from Danny Espinosa - and it's not elite production. Enjoy the ride while it lasts, but be prepared to cut bait once signs of the inevitable regression return.

Shortstop: Jonathan Villar

All apologies to Trevor Story, but Villar's run - and by run, I certainly mean run - has quickly (see where I am going with this) made him a free agent steal (groans are welcome at this point). And while Villar does not have the name cache of other stars, maybe he should. Let's take a look at a quick player comparison.

Player A - .316 AVG, 46 R, 6 HR, 32 RBI, 27 S
Player B - .295 AVG, 42 R, 6 HR, 31 RBI, 29 S

Near identical stats, right?

Player A is Starling Marte, Player B is Jonathan Villar.

Detractors may point to an elevated .406 BABIP, but Villar excels at putting the ball on the ground (57.9 GB%) and from there, uses his speed to get on base. Therefore, a BABIP somewhere in the range of .360 for the second half is not an unreasonable expectation. After being misused and under-utilized in Houston, the Brewers have given him every chance to succeed, as evidenced by the green light he has on the base paths. So much so, that an outside shot of 60 SB exists. Read that again. Sixty steals for a guy that cost pennies to acquire. If that doesn't butter your bread, then nothing will.

Third Base: Jake Lamb

This Lamb has been anything but meek and mild. Jake Lamb. He of the 20 HR and NL-leading .621 SLG percentage. Those numbers alone are worthy of a side of mint jelly but Lamb's cleanup slot has also netted owners 61 RBI - and the three steals are just icing on the cake. And if ISO is your thing, only David Ortiz has a higher one. As far as good deals go, Lamb has been the garage sale Van Gogh of bargains.

So the question that drifts unanswered in the ether is whether we can expect this production to continue into the second half and beyond. To answer that, we must delve deeply into the waters of the first half data. The worrying aspect that the numbers present is a eerie similarity to Lamb's 2015 numbers. The plate discipline numbers in particular, are alarming - a near-identical percentage of swings at balls in the zone and out of the zone, with an overall contact rate that has actually decreased slightly over the past season. Certainly not the enthralling numbers that owners are looking for. But what to make of the gigantic increase in HR/FB rate from 7.2% to 29.4% in 2016? Undoubtedly, this rate will not continue at its current high level, but two stats in particular provide hope for second half success. A spike in Hard Hit Percentage from 36.3% to 42.9% and a Pull Percentage that has climbed to 50.7% from 38.7% of 2015.

While the advanced statistics indicate a few holes in the breakout, this level of improvement goes well beyond advanced metrics. Other than receiving the offer to end all offers, redraft league owners should expect to continue to reap vast second half rewards. Dynasty league Jake Lamb owners should convert their league payouts into dollar bills and thrust them into the air, sans care, and bask in the shimmering, green glory that flutters gently downward.

Outfield: Mark Trumbo

The cream of the 2016 outfield crop features a few guys that could qualify for this honor - certainly Adam Duvall and his NL-leading 23 HR could be pegged, or do-it-all guys like Jackie Bradley Jr. and Odubel Herrera could make their case. But the 2016 version of Mark Trumbo has played like a man possessed in his new Camden Yard wonderland. And the scary prospect for non-Trumbo owners is that he has been equally effective at home as he has been on the road - 13 HR in 170 AB at home and 14 HR in 171 AB on the road.

What the data shows is that his batted ball profile has not deviated exceedingly from his historical numbers. The spray chart looks in line with past seasons, albeit with a slight increase in pull percentage. The Hard Hit and Line Drive rate also exhibit similar minuscule increases, but not enough to account for the current power surge. The outlier in the data set appears to be the HR/FB rate - a rate that currently sits at 26%, up a whopping 11.5% from last season. So when Trumbo is hitting fly balls, luck seems to be playing a bit of a factor as to whether or not they leave the park.

So he's lucky. Sell, right? Not so fast my friend. There is another interesting statistic that can be gleaned when one continues to dig. Mark Trumbo is seeing more fastballs this year. And Mark Trumbo is destroying fastballs this year. The wFB/C stat shows the average amount of runs that a hitter has produced when facing 100 fastballs. Trumbo's wFB/C currently sits at 2.81. His previous career high - 0.56. And with how well the Orioles offense has played this season, it's a safe expectation that he will continue to see an increased rate of fastballs in the second half. Fantasy owners - continue to ride the Mark Trumbo wave off into the sunset.

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Shane Bieber

Staying in Toronto for 2026
Salvador Perez

Agrees to Two-Year Extension With Royals
Gustav Nyquist

Jets Move Gustav Nyquist to Injured Reserve
Noah Hanifin

Expected to Return From 10-Game Absence Tuesday
William Eklund

to Remain Out Wednesday
TB

Max Crozier Available Tuesday
Tristan Jarry

Lands on Injured Reserve
Jason Zucker

Placed on Injured Reserve
Trevor Story

Opts in for Remaining Two Years on his Contract
Pyotr Kochetkov

Starts on Tuesday
Luguentz Dort

Available on Tuesday
Yu Darvish

to Miss All of 2026 Following Flexor-Tendon Surgery
Jacoby Brissett

to Start Again in Week 10
Kyler Murray

Given 4-8 Week Timetable for Foot Injury
Anthony Edwards

Considered Questionable For Wednesday
Yves Missi

Out Tuesday
Zion Williamson

Expected to Miss at Least One Week
Bradley Beal

Sidelined on Tuesday
Kawhi Leonard

Out Versus Thunder on Tuesday
A.J. Brown

Won't be Traded at Deadline
Garrett Wilson

"Untouchable" in Trade Talks
Jakob Poeltl

Questionable Vs. the Bucks on Tuesday
Kawhi Leonard

Uncertain for Tuesday
Precious Achiuwa

Has Agreed to Sign With the Kings
Darius Garland

Could Make Season Debut As Early As Wednesday
Shota Imanaga

Becomes a Free Agent
Jimmy Butler III

Downgraded to Questionable Against the Suns
Luis Robert Jr.

White Sox Pick Up 2026 Option on Luis Robert Jr.
LaMelo Ball

Will Not Play Tuesday
CFB

LJ Martin Expected to Play in Top-10 Matchup Against Texas Tech
PGA

LIV Golf Expanding To 72-Hole Format In 2026
Rashid Shaheed

Being Shipped to the Seahawks
Sauce Gardner

Colts Acquiring Sauce Gardner From the Jets
Travis Hunter

Not Expected to be Out Long-Term
Brian Thomas Jr.

has Low-Grade Ankle Sprain, has Chance to Play in Week 10
Jakobi Meyers

Jaguars Acquiring Jakobi Meyers
Al Horford

Sits Out Tuesday's Game
Chet Holmgren

Back in Thunder Lineup Tuesday
LaMelo Ball

May Remain Out Tuesday
Zion Williamson

Considered Questionable for Tuesday
Jared McCain

on Track to Make Season Debut Tuesday
Joel Embiid

Available Tuesday
Filip Forsberg

Has Multi-Point Outing Monday
Brock Boeser

Notches Three Points in Overtime Victory
Joey Daccord

Continues Home Success Monday
Connor McDavid

Surpasses 1,100 Career Points
Auston Matthews

Sparks Maple Leafs Comeback
Noel Acciari

Sustains Upper-Body Injury
Kyler Murray

Still the Starting QB When Healthy
Atlanta Braves

Braves Hire Walt Weiss as Their Next Manager
Kris Bubic

Cleared to Begin a Throwing Program
Brandon Woodruff

Declines Mutual Option for 2026
Freddy Peralta

Brewers Exercise 2026 Option on Freddy Peralta
Lucas Giolito

Declines his 2026 Player Option
Daniel Gafford

to be Limited on Monday
Jabari Smith Jr.

Sidelined on Monday Night
Josh Hart

Available to Play on Monday
Kyler Murray

Officially Inactive on Monday Night
J.J. Spaun

Finishes Sixth at Procore Championship
PGA

Matti Schmid Finishes Tied for 46th at Baycurrent Classic
Keith Mitchell

Finishes Tied for 10th at Baycurrent Classic
Si Woo Kim

Finishes Tied for 21st at Genesis Championship
Mackenzie Hughes

Misses The Cut at Sanderson Farms Championship
Max Greyserman

Finishes Second at Baycurrent Classic
Austin Eckroat

Finishes Tied for 56th at Baycurrent Classic
Luke Clanton

Finishes Tied for 56th at Bank of Utah Championship
Morgan Barron

Out Week-to-Week
Terry McLaurin

Commanders Don't Think Terry McLaurin Will Play in Week 10
Jayden Daniels

to be "Out for a While" With Dislocated Elbow
Adam Lowry

Ready for Season Debut Tuesday
Pierre-Luc Dubois

to Miss "Extended Period of Time"
Omarion Hampton

Not Expected to Return to Practice Until After Week 12 Bye
Robert Thomas

Set to Return Monday
Quinn Hughes

Available Monday
Justin Brazeau

Remains Out Monday
William Nylander

Rejoins Maple Leafs Lineup Monday
Pete Alonso

Officially Opts Out of his Contract With Mets
Alex Bregman

Opts Out of his Contract With Boston
Edwin Díaz

Edwin Diaz on the Open Market This Winter
Cody Bellinger

Becomes Free Agent After Opting Out
Robert Suarez

Opts Out, Becomes Free Agent
Kyle Larson

Wins His Second NASCAR Cup Series Championship at Phoenix
Ryan Blaney

Concludes the 2025 Season with A Win at Phoenix
William Byron

Strong Championship Effort Ends With Late-Race Flat-Tire Crash
Quinshon Judkins

Browns Optimistic Quinshon Judkins Can Play in Week 10
Tucker Kraft

Done for the Year With Torn ACL
Denny Hamlin

Overtime Four-Tire Call Costs Denny Hamlin the Championship
Chase Briscoe

Championship Bid Never Really Started After Two Tire Failures
Brad Keselowski

Nearly Steals Phoenix Race
David Onama

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
Steve Garcia

Scores First-Round TKO Win
Ante Delija

Suffers His First UFC Loss
CFB

Dylan Raiola Suffers Season-Ending Injury
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Gets Knockout Win
Themba Gorimbo

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 110
Jayden Daniels

Suffers Dislocated Elbow on Sunday Night
Jeremiah Wells

Gets Back In The Win Column
Yadier del Valle

Remains Undefeated
Jayden Daniels

X-Rays Come Back Negative on Jayden Daniels' Left Arm, MRI to Come
Jaelan Phillips

Gets Dealt to Eagles for a Third-Round Pick
Isaac Dulgarian

Cut By UFC Following Submission Loss
Daniel Frunza

Still Winless In The UFC
Charles Radtke

Dominates Daniel Frunza
Allan Nascimento

Gets Submission Win
Philipp Kurashev

Stays Hot on Sunday
Cody Durden

Suffers Second-Round Submission Loss
Jaylen Warren

Records First Career Two-Touchdown Game in Week 9 Win Over Colts
Michael Pittman Jr.

Leads Colts With Nine Catches in Week 9 Loss at Pittsburgh
Max Scherzer

Doesn't Plan on Retiring
Michael King

Becomes Free Agent After Declining Mutual Option
Austin Cindric

is A Driver to Avoid for Phoenix DFS Lineups
Yoshinobu Yamamoto

Named World Series MVP
Alex Bowman

Could Alex Bowman be A Sneaky Tournament Play for Phoenix?
Noah Gragson

Should DFS Players Roster Noah Gragson At Phoenix?
Erik Jones

Is Erik Jones Worth Rostering for DFS at Phoenix?
Michael McDowell

an Easy Recommendation for DFS at Phoenix
Chase Briscoe

Probably Won't Win the Title
Joey Logano

Could Play Spoiler in Championship Battle at Phoenix
Tyler Reddick

Seeking to End Winless Drought, but Probably Won't Have the Speed
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Looks to Protect Top-10 Points Finish at Phoenix
Brad Keselowski

Hasn't Been Fast at Phoenix With RFK Racing
Daniel Suarez

With Nothing at Stake, Expect Little From Daniel Suarez
Kyle Busch

Qualifies Well, but Will Probably Finish Worse Than he Starts
Chris Buescher

Ryan Preece has a Shot to Overtake Chris Buescher as RFK Racing's Lead Driver
Austin Dillon

Looks to Avoid Finishing Last in NASCAR Playoffs
AJ Allmendinger

A.J. Allmendinger Might be a Worthy DFS Option
Shohei Ohtani

to Start Game 7 of World Series
Alejandro Kirk

X-Rays Come Back Negative on Alejandro Kirk's Hand
David Onama

Set For UFC Vegas 110 Main Event
Steve Garcia

Returns At UFC Vegas 110
Waldo Cortes-Acosta

Set For Co-Main Event
Ante Delija

In Search For His Second UFC Win
Themba Gorimbo

A Favorite At UFC Vegas 110
Jeremiah Wells

Looks To Return To The Win Column
Yadier del Valle

Looks To Remain Undefeated
CFB

Arizona State Quarterback Sam Leavitt Out for the Season
Isaac Dulgarian

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Daniel Frunza

Looks For His First UFC Win
CFB

Arch Manning Listed as Questionable for Vanderbilt Matchup
CFB

Arion Carter Listed as Questionable Ahead of Oklahoma Matchup

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP