X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Analyzing Hot and Cold Starts - Fantasy Baseball Hitters and Pitchers

Lucas Giolito - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

Jon Anderson goes over some of the hitters and pitchers standing out positively and negatively in the first two weeks of the season to determine who to buy or sell.

Do not overreact! That is one of the cardinal rules for having success in fantasy baseball. Baseball has more variance and randomness built into it than probably any other sport. We need large samples of data before we can make any confident conclusions. If you're reading this, I'm not offering you anything new. You know that you should not judge a player based on 10 games. But knowing that and then having the mental acuity and self-control to act (or not act) on that knowledge are two different things.

One more important thing here before we start talking about some names – the more granular, predictive stats are subject to randomness as well. Yes, it is better to look at barrel rate than home run totals over a two-week span because barrel rates are more predictive. However, that does not mean that a player can't post an outlier barrel rate over a short period of time, in fact, it happens constantly. What I want to focus more so on today are the players that are over or underperforming in those "under the hood" statistics as well. This might actually help us be able to buy low or sell high early on in the year since most of the competition is aware of these underlying statistics at this point and might be more prone to panic if those are the bad stats rather than just the box score stats.

Let's move forward, and then I think what I'm saying will become more clear.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Slow Starts - Hitters

Nick Castellanos, Philadelphia Phillies

Castellanos was one of the bigger busts of the 2022 season, and 2023 sure has not started off well. He has a 43% strikeout rate in his 37 plate appearances. That likely has the Castellanos manager who drafted him for the bounce-back being pushed toward giving up. It probably won't be much longer before Castellanos hits some waiver wires if this keeps up, but to me, that means it's time to buy.

Highest K% - Hitters (Prior to 4/10/2023)

Player PA K%
Brandon Belt 25 60.0%
Nick Castellanos 37 43.2%
Gunnar Henderson 35 40.0%
David Hensley 30 40.0%
MJ Melendez 38 39.5%
Max Muncy 41 39.0%
Michael A. Taylor 32 37.5%
Ramon Urias 30 36.7%
Blake Sabol 30 36.7%
Ryan McMahon 41 36.6%

Since 2021, Castellanos has a strong 22% K%. That is over 1,138 plate appearances. Trust those plate appearances and ignore the 32 from this year. He also has yet to barrel a ball this year, so that puts him 8.6 points below his 2021-2022 barrel rate of 8.6%. I'm not saying that Castellanos is going to get back to his 2018-2021 ways this season, but I am telling you that he's likely very, very easy to acquire right now.

Max Muncy, Los Angeles Dodgers

Another player that disappointed for most of last year and might be buyable right now after his slow start (40.5% K%, 50.8% Contact%). Muncy's strikeout rate across 2021 and 2022 sat at 22.7%, a solid number. His contact rate was up there at 75.3% - right around the league average. Muncy puts balls in play at a league-average rate (when swinging at least), and there's no reason at this point to think he won't continue to do that in 2023.

Muncy also gives you very nice positional flexibility playing 2B and 3B in most leagues, which is a big boost for fantasy purposes. I think Muncy is a great guy to attempt the buy-low on.

Ke'Bryan Hayes, Pittsburgh Pirates

He might be a little bit tougher to buy because the bad stats he's putting out are mostly just the box score stats that tend not to fool anybody at this point. That said, I don't think anybody who drafted Hayes had really high hopes for him, so he's likely not a player that would be tough to pray away from someone in your league.

The best thing we're seeing from Hayes right now is that he's hitting more balls in the air. From 2021-2022, his average launch angle was 4.1 degrees. This year, it's 17.8 in 33 PAs. A small sample, to be sure, but launch angle does stabilize pretty quickly so there's a good chance this is signal rather than noise. To put this in another way, Hayes' ground-ball rate has come down from 52.9% to 41.4% so far.

Javier Baez, Detroit Tigers

If you are completely out on Javier Baez and just won't listen to any of this, I don't blame you, in fact – I respect you.

However, if you were like me and were into buying low on Baez this draft season, I don't believe you should have changed your mind already despite this miserable start where Baez has hit .121/.171/.293 without a homer or a steal. He also has yet to barrel a baseball. But we are talking about 35 plate appearances, that's just not enough to make you care about the lack of production.

One positive for Baez is that his strikeout rate came down in 2022 and it's low again to start this 2023 season at 21.9%. That is backed up by an improved (still not good, but improved) contact rate of 67% (it was five points lower in 2021-2022). The Tigers have faced some tough pitching so far, and Baez is a notoriously streaky hitter - now seems like a pretty good time to go get him for peanuts.

 

Hot Starts - Hitters

Adam Duvall, Boston Red Sox

Tuesday update: Duvall did indeed hit the IL with a broken wrist. He will not require surgery, so he could be back with time left this season, but he's a drop in fantasy right now, so you can ignore this write-up.

This might be a moot point if Duvall hits the IL with this wrist injury he sustained yesterday (my apologies if this post comes out after that happens, at this time of the writing it's unclear). Either way, it's tough to trade a guy with an injury – but if Duvall does get back relatively quickly, I think he's a guy to try the sell-high on.

So far he has a 12% strikeout rate. That's just not going to keep going. His career strikeout rate is above 30% – and no, I'm not willing to believe a 34-year-old player can drop his strikeout rate by more than a couple of points while maintaining the same power. Duvall is a fine player for homers and RBI, but nothing should have changed in your mind about his batting average potential.

Bryan Reynolds, Pittsburgh Pirates

Reynolds isn't exactly a veteran, but he's no spring chicken either at the age of 28. That makes it tougher to believe that he's about to have a huge breakout season where he messes around and gets MVP votes.

So far this year, compared to the last two seasons, he is beating his barrel rate by 26 points, beating his strikeout rate by ten points, and beating his average exit velocity by 5.6 miles per hour. Nobody with a brain is going to be fooled to think there isn't serious regression coming, but that does not mean you can't sell him for significantly more than you could have a week ago.

Wander Franco, Tampa Bay Rays

Everything is going perfectly for Franco so far. He's hitting .351/.400/.757 with four homers and two steals already, scoring more than three fantasy points per plate appearance (the league average is around 2.6).

I am telling you to sell high on Reynolds, but I'm not necessarily telling you that about Franco. Nothing under the hood is all that different from what we've seen from him in the Majors so far, so there really might not be all that much regression here. However, if someone offered me a first or second-round player for him in a redraft league, I'm still going to take that. Two weeks of games should not be changing our views of players all that much, so if you can ever trade up several rounds from your leagues' draft results – you should probably do it.

James Outman, Los Angeles Dodgers

Rookies are always tougher to give advice on because we just don't know much about them. What we have seen from Outman so far is incredible as he's hit three homers in 35 PAs with a 31% barrel rate. His max exit velocity is 108 miles per hour and his average is quite good as well at 91 miles per hour.

However, he currently sits with a scary 36% strikeout rate and a 59% contact rate. If those numbers do not improve, he's going to be a tough player to start - and he's likely going to be spending some time on the Dodgers bench. Young prospects are always tougher to let go of, but the smart decision right now would be to let someone else have him if they'll give you a more reliable starter for your fantasy team moving forward.

 

Slow Starts - Pitchers

Corbin Burnes, Milwaukee Brewers

This is a case where things are down across the board. His stuff+, SwStr%, and everything else you might look at are showing red flags.

This is exactly my point. You should not react much even when these more advanced metrics are scaring you in two or three outings. What do you think is more likely?

  1. Burnes just stinks now after two years of Cy Young performances
  2. It was a couple of super randomly bad starts clustered together at the beginning of a year

I'll answer that! Number two is more likely. If you have Burnes, hold him. If you don't have Burnes, try to check the panic meter on the person that does.

Lucas Giolito, Chicago White Sox

This fits that Muncy/Castellanos mold nicely. Giolito crushed fantasy managers last season, and those first two starts have been more of the same. People are sick of him, claiming he's completely washed. I just don't buy it. Yes, he has a bad 11.2% SwStr% so far with a 14.3% Brl% allowed and he's given up nine earned runs in two starts. However, he's only walked one hitter and most of the damage came in one start. He had a pretty good outing in his first go at it with a 6:1 K:BB ratio throwing five decent innings.

I don't think Giolito will ever be a fantasy ace again, but you have to imagine that the cost to acquire him is just too low right now.

George Kirby, Seattle Mariners

A 4.36 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP is not what people were hoping for from Kirby after two starts, but he faced two pretty great lineups in the Angels and Guardians.

The most important thing I can tell you is that he's still throwing strikes like he always has. He's walked just one batter in 10.3 innings with nine strikeouts. Better matchups are coming, and Kirby is too talented to downgrade right now. I would aggressively buy low on him if he has another down outing.

 

Fast Starts - Pitchers

Jeffrey Springs & Drew Rasmussen, Tampa Bay Rays

They were popular breakout SP picks during draft season, so those that drafted them are probably feeling pretty validated right now. I don't think they are going to be guys that you trade and you're like over the moon about it in a couple of months because they fell apart right after the trade, but I do think the market is probably a bit too high on them right now.

Springs has faced the Tigers and Athletics, and Rasmussen has faced the Nationals and Athletics. You couldn't have hand-picked an easier schedule to start the year for these two.

I'm not saying trade them for anybody that went ahead of them in your draft because they both are legitimately exciting young pitchers, but if someone is offering me Luis Castillo or someone like that (Corbin Burnes maybe if you have a real panic guy in your league) – I'm pulling the trigger, and I think you should too.

Jesus Luzardo, Miami Marlins

Luzardo's fantasy stock has been all over the map in his young career, and right now it's probably near a high point. He struck out 10 Twins in seven innings on April 5 and followed that up with 5.2 more strong innings against the Mets. He now has 15 strikeouts in 12.2 innings with a 31% K%.

The bad news is the 10.4% BB% and the history of maddening inconsistency we have from him. He will have some sparkling outings, but I can't help thinking there are going to be some trainwrecks mixed in as well. If you can get anything close to a true fantasy ace for him, I'd do it.

Justin Steele, Chicago Cubs

The lefty has thrown a dozen innings now and has given up just one run, and they weren't cakewalk matchups either against the Brewers and Rangers. The K% is okay at 23.4%, but the walk rate is bad at 10.6%. He is still essentially a two-pitch guy:

You can certainly get away with that (Hunter Greene, Spencer Strider), but the difference with Steele is that neither of his two offerings pops in the pitch quality models (the four-seam has a 103 Stuff+, and the slider is at 103). He seems like a guy with average stuff and a lack of depth in the pitch arsenal. It's very tough to be successful like that.

It's possible that Steele is just so deceptive that he'll continue to fool hitters, but he seems like someone to get rid of while the getting is good. Maybe I'll eat my hat on this one, but I think it's sound advice right now.

 

Conclusion

So I guess my general thesis here is that very early in the season, it's a good idea to trade away your surprise best players and try to get your hands on other people's disappointing duds. The first couple of weeks are when the majority of overreactions happen because the stats you see everywhere are only coming from a small sample of data – there's no more data to look at. Compare this with July, when a player can go on a torrid streak and have it not make a massive impact on their season totals. People will overreact early on, and you should embrace the game's variance and do some buying high and some selling low. Thanks for reading!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Advice




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Charlie Morton17 mins ago

Strikes Out 10 In Loss
J.T. Realmuto26 mins ago

Collects Three Hits
Nikola Jokić33 mins ago

Nikola Jokic Expected To Play On Friday
Hunter Brown40 mins ago

Registers Eight Strikeouts
Jonathan Kuminga44 mins ago

Back On Thursday Night
Christian Walker46 mins ago

Mashes Homer In Win
Freddie Freeman56 mins ago

Heading To Injured List
Miles Boykin2 hours ago

Heading To Chicago
Jalen Wilson3 hours ago

Sidelined On Thursday
Baker Mayfield3 hours ago

Tampa Bay Restructures Baker Mayfield's Deal
Case Keenum3 hours ago

Chicago Signs Case Keenum To One-Year Deal
Kyshawn George3 hours ago

Unavailable For Thursday
Richaun Holmes3 hours ago

Out Versus Magic
Khris Middleton3 hours ago

Out Again Thursday Versus Magic
D'Angelo Russell4 hours ago

Good To Go On Thursday
Noah Clowney4 hours ago

Done For Rest Of The Season
Jordan Poole4 hours ago

Unavailable For Thursday
Scottie Barnes4 hours ago

Available On Thursday
Cedric Mullins4 hours ago

Goes Deep In Loss To Boston
Jonathan Drouin4 hours ago

Martin Necas, Jonathan Drouin Unavailable Thursday
Tyrese Maxey4 hours ago

Expected To Miss Rest Of Season
Alexandar Georgiev4 hours ago

Nursing An Upper-Body Injury
Henry Thrun4 hours ago

Returns From Nine-Game Absence Thursday
Taijuan Walker4 hours ago

Blanks Rockies For Six Innings To Earn First Win
Tanner Houck5 hours ago

Picks Up No-Decision In Four-Inning Outing
Olli Määttä5 hours ago

Olli Maatta Returns To Utah Lineup Thursday
Alex Bregman5 hours ago

Fills The Box Score In Win Over Orioles
Dylan Guenther5 hours ago

Ready To Go Thursday
Jorge Polanco5 hours ago

Reinstated From Paternity List
Anthony Duclair5 hours ago

Takes Leave Of Absence
Carlos Rodriguez5 hours ago

Joining Brewers On Thursday
Alex Pietrangelo5 hours ago

On Track To Return Thursday
Brady Tkachuk5 hours ago

Out On Thursday
DJ LeMahieu5 hours ago

"About A Week Away" From Taking Live At-Bats
Devin Williams5 hours ago

To Return From Paternity List On Friday
Jake Fraley5 hours ago

Gavin Lux, Jake Fraley Sitting Against A Lefty
Trey McBride5 hours ago

Cardinals Making Trey McBride The Highest-Paid Tight End In NFL History
Geno Smith6 hours ago

Raiders, Geno Smith Agree To Two-Year Extension
Jeferson Quero6 hours ago

Set Back With Hamstring Injury
Eguy Rosario7 hours ago

Clears Waivers, Outrighted To Triple-A
Xavier Isaac7 hours ago

Rays Hopeful Xavier Isaac Will Return In A Couple Of Weeks
Angel Genao7 hours ago

Won't Return Until June
Austin Wells7 hours ago

Being Rested On Thursday
Paul Goldschmidt7 hours ago

Sitting In Finale Against Arizona
Masataka Yoshida7 hours ago

Not Ready For Rehab Assignment
7 hours ago

Tyler Shough Could Be Day 2 Pick In NFL Draft
Dallas Cowboys7 hours ago

Shemar Stewart Meeting With Cowboys Staff
New York Giants8 hours ago

Travis Hunter The Likely Pick For Giants?
Dallas Cowboys8 hours ago

DeMarvion Overshown Aiming For Comeback Player Of The Year Award
Washington Commanders9 hours ago

Commanders Sign T.J. Maguranyanga
Kansas City Chiefs9 hours ago

Mike Edwards Reunites With Chiefs
New Orleans Saints9 hours ago

Saints Could Take A Quarterback Early In The Draft
Joe Milton III12 hours ago

Traded To Cowboys
Anfernee Simons13 hours ago

Could Be Absent Again Thursday
Scoot Henderson13 hours ago

Misses Third Consecutive Game Thursday
Scottie Barnes13 hours ago

Iffy For Thursday
Immanuel Quickley13 hours ago

Takes Thursday Off
Jakob Poeltl13 hours ago

Sits Out Thursday's Game
Damian Lillard13 hours ago

May Return To Action Sooner Than Expected
Giannis Antetokounmpo13 hours ago

Likely To Suit Up Thursday
LeBron James14 hours ago

Probable Thursday
Jared McCann15 hours ago

Tallies Three Helpers On Wednesday
Jackson Blake15 hours ago

Scores Twice In Victory
Artemi Panarin15 hours ago

Tallies Three Points In Overtime Victory
Andrei Svechnikov15 hours ago

Exits Early On Wednesday
Jake McCabe15 hours ago

Suffers Injury On Wednesday
Jonathan Drouin16 hours ago

Exits Wednesday's Contest
Los Angeles Chargers23 hours ago

Chargers Sign Tight End Jordan Petaia
1 day ago

Matthew Golden Making Pre-Draft Visit To Steelers
Cincinnati Bengals1 day ago

Trey Hendrickson Not Looking For Short-Term Deal
Tutu Atwell1 day ago

Rams Plan To Give Tutu Atwell A Bigger Role In 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers1 day ago

Bucs Restructure Antoine Winfield's Deal To Free Up Cap Space
Jrue Holiday1 day ago

Won't Play Against Miami
New York Jets1 day ago

Xavier Newman-Johnson Re-Signs With New York
Al Horford1 day ago

Sidelined Versus Heat
Evgeni Malkin1 day ago

Joins Penguins For Road Trip
Filip Chytil1 day ago

Could Miss Rest Of Season
Declan Chisholm1 day ago

Back In Action Against Rangers
Samuel Girard1 day ago

Exits Avalanche Lineup Wednesday
Joel Kiviranta1 day ago

Returning Against Blackhawks
Eeli Tolvanen1 day ago

Misses First Game Of The Season
Jaden Schwartz1 day ago

Unavailable Against Canucks
1 day ago

Kyle McCord Rising Up Draft Boards?
1 day ago

Ashton Jeanty To Raiders Continues To Gain Steam
Cameron Young2 days ago

A Player To Avoid At Valero Texas Open
Kurt Kitayama2 days ago

In Search Of Consistency At Valero Texas Open
Si Woo Kim2 days ago

Looking To Bounce Back At Valero Texas Open
Tom Hoge2 days ago

Looking To Build Off Strong Performance At The PLAYERS Championship
Matt Fitzpatrick2 days ago

Looking For Consistency At Valero Texas Open
Corey Conners2 days ago

Continues Strong Form Ahead Of Valero Texas Open
Patrick Cantlay2 days ago

Eyeing Victory At Valero Texas Open
Gary Woodland2 days ago

Showing Great Form Ahead Of Valero Texas Open
Akshay Bhatia2 days ago

Aiming For Repeat At Valero Texas Open
Alejandro Tosti2 days ago

A Volatile Choice At TPC San Antonio
Jordan Spieth2 days ago

Needs To Find Consistency At TPC San Antonio
Jake Knapp2 days ago

Making First Appearance At Valero Texas Open
Michael Kim2 days ago

Looking To Find The Magic Again In San Antonio
Tommy Fleetwood2 days ago

Is Nearly A Must-Play At Valero Texas Open
Tony Finau2 days ago

Hoping For Better Approach Play In San Antonio
Eric Cole2 days ago

Trending In Right Direction Ahead Of Valero
Sam Stevens3 days ago

Enjoys Nice Result In Houston
PGA3 days ago

J.T. Poston Seeks To Contend At Valero Texas Open
Denny McCarthy3 days ago

Keeps Making Cuts But Needs To Make More Putts
Brian Harman3 days ago

Off To A Subpar 2025 So Far
Ryan Preece3 days ago

Has Three Straight Top-10 Finishes For First Time In His Career
NASCAR3 days ago

Bubba Wallace After Third-Place Finish At Martinsville: "What a Great Day"
Todd Gilliland3 days ago

Has Mistake-Free Day At Martinsville, Grabs Another Top-10 Finish
Brandon Moreno3 days ago

Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Steve Erceg3 days ago

Losses Third Consecutive Fight
Drew Dober3 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Mexico City
Manuel Torres3 days ago

Gets Back In The Win Column
Harry Hall3 days ago

Bounces Back In Houston Last Week
CJ Vergara3 days ago

Gets Submitted
Édgar Cháirez3 days ago

Edgar Chairez Gets Submission Win At UFC Mexico City
Vince Morales3 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC Mexico City
Raul Rosas Jr.3 days ago

Gets Decision Win At UFC Mexico City
Saimon Oliveira3 days ago

Still Winless In The UFC
David Martinez3 days ago

Wins His UFC Debut
Kevin Borjas3 days ago

Earns His First UFC Win
Ronaldo Rodríguez3 days ago

Ronaldo Rodriguez Suffers His First UFC Loss
Christopher Bell3 days ago

Powers His Way To A Second-Place Finish At Martinsville
Chase Elliott3 days ago

Strong Martinsville Performance Ends With A Top-Five Finish
Kyle Larson3 days ago

Collects A Top-Five Finish At Martinsville
William Byron3 days ago

Places 22nd After Struggles At Martinsville
Joey Logano3 days ago

Claims His First 2025 Top-10 Finish After Up-And-Down Performance
Tyler Reddick4 days ago

Fails To Place In The Top 10 At Martinsville
Denny Hamlin4 days ago

Silences Doubters After Crew-Chief Change
Ty Gibbs4 days ago

Earns Best 2025 Finish At Martinsville Despite Failing Cool Suit
Ross Chastain4 days ago

Has A Great Day At Martinsville
Chase Briscoe4 days ago

Has Solid Run At Martinsville
Erik Jones4 days ago

Disqualified At Martinsville For Weight Violation
Josh Berry5 days ago

Has Top-10 Upside At Martinsville
Joey Logano5 days ago

Don't Overlook Joey Logano This Weekend
Ryan Preece5 days ago

Could Get First Three-Race Top-10 Streak Of His Career
Chase Elliott5 days ago

Looking To Continue Great Runs At Martinsville
Christopher Bell5 days ago

Wins Pole At Martinsville, But Can He Stay Up There?
Ryan Blaney5 days ago

Fast In Practice But Skeptical About Car
Denny Hamlin5 days ago

New Crew Chief Has Terrible Martinsville Record
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Russell Wilson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

Fantasy Football Outlooks For QBs On New Teams: Russell Wilson, Justin Fields, Sam Darnold, Geno Smith, more

The NFL quarterback carousel gets to spin every offseason, and plenty of QBs have already found new homes ahead of the 2025 NFL season. For fantasy football, a player's surrounding team is extremely important, so it's worth looking into each of their outlooks with their new squads. There are still a few unsigned QBs, but […]


Shedeur Sanders - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks

2025 Dynasty Fantasy Football Rookie Mock Draft: 12-Team, Superflex/Two-QB

The 2025 NFL Draft is still less than 30 days away. Therefore, dynasty fantasy rookie mock drafts are nearly here. Much will change between now and the NFL Draft. However, it’s time for another dynasty rookie mock draft. This rookie mock draft is a two-round, 12-team, and two-quarterbacks. For a deeper dive into dynasty strategy, […]


Deshaun Watson - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2025 NFL Offseason Team Needs: Bengals, Browns, Ravens, Steelers

The AFC North, comprised of the Baltimore Ravens, Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, and Pittsburgh Steelers, sent two teams to the playoffs in 2024 and had one on the cusp of a playoff berth. The Ravens have the best roster of the four teams by a long shot. The Steelers have a solid defensive group, and […]


UFL RANKINGS, FANTASY FOOTBALL,

UFL Fantasy Football Rankings for Week 2: QB, RB, WR, TE Rankings and Analysis (2025)

Week 2 of the UFL season is just around the corner. This week will feature one game on Friday, one game on Saturday, and two on Sunday. Birmingham and Michigan will play at 8:00 p.m. EDT on Friday, followed by Memphis-D.C. on Saturday at 8:00 p.m. EDT. Sunday's game pits the 1-0 Renegades against the […]


Calvin Ridley - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL DFS Picks, Draft Sleepers

Dynasty Fantasy Football Rankings: Overvalued, Undervalued Players (2025)

Dynasty fantasy football rankings constantly shift, especially as we inch closer to the new season and fantasy drafts. Dynasty managers know the importance of finding those underrated players who could be steals in drafts or trades. They also know some players are overhyped due to unsustainable trends or past production. I'll break down two overvalued […]


Justin Fields - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Best Fantasy Football Moves During 2025 NFL Free Agency

It has been a wild offseason so far in the NFL. Plenty of players have switched teams in free agency, and some stars were even traded. Deebo Samuel Sr. was dealt to the Washington Commanders, Geno Smith was traded to the Las Vegas Raiders, and DK Metcalf has a new home with the Pittsburgh Steelers. These […]


Tyreek Hill - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Three Aging Fantasy Football Players To Sell In Dynasty Leagues

It's hard to always know when to sell off your aging fantasy football players. Often, it's also difficult to accept that it's better to move on from a player when he's coming off a productive season and still has a lot left in the tank. But I believe it's better to be a year early […]


J.J. McCarthy - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Draft Sleepers

Five Fantasy Football Superflex Quarterback Breakouts, Draft Targets (2025)

If you’ve ever played in a Superflex fantasy football league, then you know how important quarterbacks are in this format. The ability to start multiple stud quarterbacks can carry you to a Superflex title. Unfortunately, finding two such players isn’t so easy. All the top signal-callers come off draft boards first, and that makes it […]


Omarion Hampton - College Football Rankings, NCAA CFB DFS Lineup Picks - NFL Draft

Ideal Landing Spots For The Top 12 Fantasy Football Rookies - 2025 NFL Draft

Then, the NFL Draft continues to inch closer and closer. This is a very interesting class, with a handful of players who could be stars in the NFL and reshape fantasy football leagues going forward. Here are the ideal landing spots for the top 12 fantasy football rookies. These picks exist in conversation with each […]


Jalen Coker - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Eight Best Ball Late Round Value Fantasy Football Players To Target For 2025

Fantasy football is the most popular game in all of sports. It has gone from a paper-and-pen game to a multi-million dollar-a-year one. While redraft leagues are the most popular form of fantasy football, best ball leagues are quickly gaining steam. The best part of best ball leagues is the ability to draft thousands of […]


Abdul Carter - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2025 NFL Draft Rankings: Top 10 Fantasy Football Edge Rusher Prospects

Edge rusher is the most important, most coveted, and most highly-paid position on defense in the NFL. It stands to reason that the most important position in the entire game being quarterback, and by a wide margin, means the most important position on defense are the players that are tasked with disrupting opposing QBs as […]


Brock Purdy - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Picks

Brock Purdy Dynasty Fantasy Football Outlook and Trade Value

Despite becoming the all-time leading passer for the Iowa State Cyclones, Brock Purdy wasn't a highly touted prospect due to his perceived lack of athleticism. The 49ers picked him with the final pick of the 2022 NFL Draft, but Mr. Irrelevant quickly proved everyone wrong. In his first two years, he started in back-to-back NFC […]


Michael Florio's Football Show - Podcast RotoBaller Network

Florio's Football Show: Scouting NFL Draft Prospects!

Michael F Florio goes over some of the top prospects from this years NFL Draft. Florio talks about what he looks for when watching prospect tape and explains what traits translate best to the NFL level. Be sure to also tune into RotoBaller Radio on SiriusXM (SiriusXM channel 87) on Sundays from 6-7 am. You can […]