X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

ADP Review - February Risers and Fallers

The fine people over at NFBC have really put together an awesome fantasy sports product. You can participate in fantasy drafts all year long, and the platform is just great.

One of the coolest things they do is keep detailed ADP data. You can even select custom date ranges to limit the drafts you want to search. I thought it would be interesting to do just that.

I went back in time and exported the ADP data from just drafts that finished up in December and January, and then compare those figures with drafts that were completed in February. Let's take a look at some risers and fallers.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and weekly lineup resources:

 

February Risers

Inside the top-50

Player Dec-Jan February Diff
Pete Alonso 56.6 48.6 -8.1
J.T. Realmuto 52.2 47.6 -4.6
Tim Anderson 34.9 32.0 -2.9
Ronald Acuna Jr. 12.1 9.3 -2.8
Rafael Devers 17.3 14.8 -2.4
Yordan Alvarez 30.4 28.1 -2.3
Aaron Judge 38.4 36.2 -2.2

Outside of Realmuto (catcher bump), Tim Anderson (steals bump), and Ronald Acuna (possibly delayed season bump), we see some of the biggest power bats in the league gravitating upwards a bit. I think this may be driven by the speculation over the changed baseball. Scott White over at CBS wrote this great piece about how the deadened baseball brought power numbers down in an uneven way.

The guys without eye-popping exit velocity numbers suffered the most. That piece alone, along with other Twitter discussions about the topic, may have pushed these huge power bats like Alonso, Devers, Alvarez, and Judge upwards a bit.

Inside the top-100

Player Dec-Jan February Diff
Byron Buxton 61.3 53.4 -7.9
Jorge Polanco 82.0 75.2 -7.0
Jonathan India 92.8 86.3 -7.0
Brandon Lowe 78.3 72.6 -6.8
Javier Baez 63.5 58.6 -6.5
Daulton Varsho 94.4 89.5 -5.7

As far as we know, Byron Buxton did not pull a hamstring yet this year, so he has been moving upwards as people more and more want to get ahold of that massive upside.

Other notes:

  • Maybe some more people have taken a look at how good Jorge Polanco was in 2021 because he is on the way up.
  • We saw some pretty cheap prices on India early on, but that has corrected a bit. I imagine he continues to trend upwards as more non-expert leagues draft, just giving him that Rookie of the Year bump.
  • Catcher bump for Varsho! Lots of smart people have been talking him up as a great fantasy option this year, and he's gotten a bit expensive because of it.

Overall

Player Dec-Jan February Diff
Trevor Bauer 311.2 218.0 -93.2
Stephen Strasburg 319.4 292.9 -26.5
Rowdy Tellez 328.0 304.1 -23.9
MJ Melendez 400.4 380.7 -19.7
Seiya Suzuki 216.6 197.8 -18.8
Mitch Garver 195.2 177.5 -17.7
Jake McGee 289.8 272.2 -17.6
Kyle Finnegan 403.9 387.0 -16.9
Eugenio Suarez 202.8 187.8 -15.0

The "Bauer Bend" is real.

The news came out in early February that he will be avoiding any legal trouble, and now the question goes to if Major League Baseball will institute some sort of punishment. There is still plenty of risks here about his 2022 status, but you see the pivot that fantasy managers made on him after that news broke.

Other notes:

  • There may be a bit more optimism about Strasburg's health as he's entered the top-300.
  • Then we have some more of those raw power bats like Rowdy Tellez, Mitch Garver, and Eugenio Suarez moving up a bit - they are strong options for late dingers are tougher-to-fill positions.
  • Seiya Suzuki will certainly move up even more when he lands on a team, but he's already starting to see some helium.

Other notable risers: Marcell Ozuna (-14.3), Josh Donaldson (-14.6), Corey Kluber (-13.6), Elias Diaz (-13.0), Carlos Carrasco (-12.7), Joey Gallo (-12.0)

 

February Fallers

Inside the top-50

Player Dec-Jan February Diff
Sandy Alcantara 38.8 44.5 5.7
Lucas Giolito 42.1 46.8 4.7
Cedric Mullins 31.5 35.3 3.8
Marcus Semien 35.5 39.1 3.6
Walker Buehler 16.1 19.4 3.3
Brandon Woodruff 18.9 22.1 3.2
Max Scherzer 17.8 20.9 3.1
Shane Bieber 31.3 34.3 3.0
  • Holy pitchers! Drafters have discovered the strength of the middle-tiers of starting pitchers and have started to back off the back-end ace tier.
  • Lots of people may have looked more into the power peripheral numbers of Mullins and Semien, who seemed to overperform in homers last year - they are headed slightly downwards.

Inside the top-100

Player Dec-Jan February Diff
Luis Castillo 84.7 96.5 11.8
Logan Webb 60.6 70.9 10.3
Jack Flaherty 73.0 81.6 8.6
Lance Lynn 63.9 71.0 7.1
Kevin Gausman 66.4 73.2 6.8
Chris Sale 55.2 62.0 6.8
Frankie Montas 88.3 94.3 6.0
Robbie Ray 47.6 52.5 4.9
Kenley Jansen 91.2 96.0 4.8
  • More pitchers moving downwards, that's a very interesting trend to see. It could be a bit of a self-fulfilling prophecy as well just because as pitchers move down, managers have less urgency to draft them since they see so many of the really good arms still available.
  • There may be less and less confidence that Kenley Jansen ends up back with the Dodgers. You would think he would be the closer wherever he lands, but if you are leaving the Dodgers for another team, you're almost certainly downgrading in projected saves opportunities.

Overall

Player Dec-Jan February Diff
Ken Giles 280.8 329.3 48.5
Josh Jung 279.0 325.5 46.5
J.P. Crawford 331.7 364.5 32.8
Hunter Dozier 355.2 387.5 32.2
Jacob Stallings 355.6 385.1 29.5
Pavin Smith 369.1 396.9 27.9
Michael Fulmer 356.7 383.9 27.1
Sixto Sanchez 342.2 367.2 25.0
Brandon Marsh 372.1 396.7 24.6
Vidal Brujan 334.1 358.7 24.5
James Kaprielian 342.7 367.1 24.4
Adam Frazier 323.0 346.4 23.4
Randal Grichuk 364.6 386.9 22.3
Andrew McCutchen 360.3 361.6 21.4
Anthony Santander 254.4 275.5 21.2
Adbert Alzolay 341.1 362.1 21.0
Ha-Seong Kim 371.6 391.8 20.2
Eric Hosmer 361.0 381.1 20.1
  • That Mariners bullpen is super crowded, and that has sent confidence in Ken Giles downwards.
  • The very unfortunate news about the injury to Josh Jung has made him pretty much undraftable in redraft leagues, so don't make that mistake!
  • Lots of other fringe-starters on the list, these are mostly guys that could get bumped out of playing time if their team signs one of the many remaining free agents.

Other notable fallers: Danny Jansen (17.8), Devin Williams (17.6), Pablo Lopez (17.5), Matt Barnes (15.8), Camilo Doval (13.8), Andrew Vaughn (12.9)

Thanks for checking out the post, hope you enjoyed it!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Advice




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Grayson Allen5 hours ago

Ruled Out Versus Kings
D'Angelo Russell6 hours ago

Suiting Up On Wednesday
Bradley Beal6 hours ago

Unavailable Wednesday
DK Metcalf7 hours ago

Puts In Full Practice On Wednesday
Henrik Norlander7 hours ago

Needs Strong Showing At Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Michael Kim7 hours ago

Playing Well Down The Stretch
Nick Taylor7 hours ago

Returns To Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Jhonattan Vegas8 hours ago

Playing Well Heading To Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Matthias Schmid8 hours ago

Looks To Bounce Back At Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Patrick Rodgers8 hours ago

Heads To Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Mackenzie Hughes8 hours ago

Debuts At Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Maverick McNealy8 hours ago

Seeking Back-To-Back Top-10 Finishes In Bermuda
Lucas Glover8 hours ago

In A Groove Ahead Of Bermuda Championship
Andrew Putnam8 hours ago

A Player To Watch In Bermuda
PGA8 hours ago

Nico Echavarria In Top Form Heading To Bermuda
Jusuf Nurkic8 hours ago

Back On Wednesday Night
Anfernee Simons8 hours ago

Won't Suit Up Against The Timberwolves
Robert Williams III8 hours ago

Resting In Rematch With Minnesota
Deandre Ayton8 hours ago

Out Again On Wednesday
Andre Drummond9 hours ago

Out Sick On Wednesday
Paul George9 hours ago

Won't Play Versus Cleveland
Joel Embiid9 hours ago

Sitting On Wednesday
Tage Thompson9 hours ago

Labeled As Day-To-Day
Mattias Samuelsson9 hours ago

Out Indefinitely
Gabriel Landeskog9 hours ago

Remains Without A Timeline
Jonas Brodin9 hours ago

Considered Questionable For Thursday
Tank Bigsby9 hours ago

Listed As DNP On Wednesday
Andre Drummond9 hours ago

Listed As Questionable On Wednesday
Tyreek Hill9 hours ago

Misses Wednesday's Practice
Hampus Lindholm10 hours ago

Expected To Miss "Weeks"
Jani Hakanpaa10 hours ago

Available On Wednesday
Tee Higgins10 hours ago

Officially Limited On Wednesday
Marcus Smart10 hours ago

Set To Play Wednesday
Seth Jarvis10 hours ago

Set To Miss A Second Consecutive Game
Michael Pittman Jr.10 hours ago

Practicing In Full
Brian Thomas Jr.10 hours ago

Limited On Wednesday
Josh Jacobs10 hours ago

Limited During Wednesday's Practice
Mike Conley10 hours ago

Resting Wednesday Versus Portland
Kirk Cousins10 hours ago

Limited On Wednesday
Najee Harris10 hours ago

Does Not Practice On Wednesday
Christian McCaffrey11 hours ago

Limited On Wednesday
George Kittle11 hours ago

Not Practicing On Wednesday
Brian Robinson Jr.11 hours ago

Off The Injury Report
DK Metcalf11 hours ago

To Be Limited In Wednesday's Practice
Sam LaPorta12 hours ago

Misses Practice, Remains Day-To-Day
J.J. McCarthy13 hours ago

Undergoes Second Knee Surgery
Gardner Minshew II13 hours ago

Will Start In Week 11
Tee Higgins14 hours ago

Won't Practice But Bengals Encouraged With His Progress
Isiah Pacheco14 hours ago

Unlikely To Return In Week 11
Younghoe Koo14 hours ago

Falcons Sticking With Younghoe Koo As Their Kicker
Dalton Kincaid14 hours ago

No Practice For Dalton Kincaid On Wednesday
Amari Cooper14 hours ago

To Be Limited On Wednesday
Nick Hardy17 hours ago

Looks To Find Consistency On The Greens In Bermuda
Carson Young18 hours ago

Hopes To Carry Recent Form To Bermuda
Brandon Clarke18 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday's Action
Kevin Yu18 hours ago

A Name To Watch At Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Marcus Smart18 hours ago

Picks Up Questionable Tag Ahead Of Wednesday
Fred VanVleet18 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable For Wednesday
Steven Adams18 hours ago

Questionable For Meeting With Clippers
Dorian Finney-Smith18 hours ago

In Danger Of Missing Another Game
Obi Toppin19 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday Night
Anthony Davis19 hours ago

Expected To Play Wednesday
Connor McDavid19 hours ago

Leads Oilers To Victory With Four-Point Effort
Neal Pionk19 hours ago

Records Three Assists In Historic Win
Linus Ullmark19 hours ago

Records First Shutout As Senator
Hampus Lindholm19 hours ago

Taken Out By A Lower-Body Injury
Sam Bennett19 hours ago

Battling An Upper-Body Injury
Lars Eller20 hours ago

Returns To Washington
Shohei Ohtani1 day ago

Among NL Silver Slugger Winners
Aaron Judge1 day ago

Headlines AL Silver Slugger Winners
Jose Alvarado1 day ago

Out Against OKC
Dante Fabbro1 day ago

Makes Blue Jackets Debut Tuesday
Wander Franco1 day ago

Now Facing Weapons Charges
Spencer Knight1 day ago

Set To Face Devils Tuesday
Travis d'Arnaud1 day ago

Agrees On Two-Year Deal With Angels
Logan Stanley1 day ago

Added To Injured Reserve
Philipp Grubauer1 day ago

Remains Out On Tuesday
Shane Pinto1 day ago

Returns To Senators Lineup
Cam Fowler1 day ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Robby Fabbri1 day ago

Lands On Injured Reserve
Brendon Todd1 day ago

A Hard Sell At Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Greyson Sigg1 day ago

May Surprise In Bermuda
Jacob Bridgeman1 day ago

In For Adventure At Port Royal Golf Course
Mark Hubbard1 day ago

Plays Solid In Bermuda
Andrew Novak1 day ago

Tries To Build Off ZOZO Championship
Daniel Berger1 day ago

Looks To Continue His Consistent Run At Port Royal Golf Course
Justin Lower1 day ago

Looks To Continue His Hot Play At Butterfield Bermuda Championship
2 days ago

Blue Jays, Red Sox To Meet With Juan Soto
Dustin Wolf2 days ago

Cools Off Kings Monday
Jasson Domínguez3 days ago

Yankees Expect Jasson Dominguez To Have A Big Role In 2025
Carlos Correa3 days ago

Progressing
Carlos Prates3 days ago

Gets Higlight-Reel Knockout Win At UFC Vegas 100
Neil Magny3 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Vegas 100
Cortavious Romious3 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 100
Gaston Bolaños3 days ago

Gaston Bolanos Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Joey Logano3 days ago

Holds On At Phoenix To Win His Third Cup Series Championship
Los Angeles Dodgers3 days ago

Dodgers Considered Favorites For Roki Sasaki
Ryan Blaney3 days ago

Falls Short Of The 2024 Cup Series Title At Phoenix
Dusko Todorovic3 days ago

Gets TKO'd At UFC Vegas 100
Wander Franco3 days ago

Arrested On Monday After Altercation
Tyler Reddick3 days ago

Lacks Speed Of Other Championship 4 Contenders But Drives Well
William Byron3 days ago

Finishes Third In Phoenix Race And Championship
Miami Marlins3 days ago

Marlins Hire Clayton McCullough As New Skipper
Mansur Abdul-Malik3 days ago

Gets First-Round Finish At UFC Vegas 100
Luana Pinheiro3 days ago

Falls Short At UFC Vegas 100
Gillian Robertson3 days ago

Extends Win Streak At UFC Vegas 100
Gerald Meerschaert3 days ago

Gets Finished At UFC Vegas 100
MMA3 days ago

Reinier de Ridder Gets Submission Win In UFC Debut
4 days ago

Rays Have Interest In Juan Soto
NASCAR4 days ago

Bubba Wallace Is A Top DFS Recommendation With Upside For Phoenix
Tyler Reddick4 days ago

Is Expected To Compete For The Title At Phoenix
Joey Logano4 days ago

Is One Of The Favorites To Win At Phoenix
Kyle Larson4 days ago

Could Be A Favorable DFS Option For Phoenix Lineups
Corey Lajoie4 days ago

Corey LaJoie Will Start 20th At Phoenix
Brad Keselowski4 days ago

Is A Solid Recommendation For Phoenix DFS Lineups
Erik Jones4 days ago

Will Start 19th At Phoenix This Week
Carson Hocevar4 days ago

Will Compete For A Top-10 Finish At Phoenix
Ty Gibbs4 days ago

Should DFS Players Fade Ty Gibbs At Phoenix?
Chase Elliott4 days ago

Is Chase Elliott A Solid DFS Pick For Phoenix Lineups?
Ryan Blaney4 days ago

The Championship Favorite Despite Qualifying Blunder
William Byron4 days ago

Will Be Strong In Fight For Championship
Austin Cindric4 days ago

Is Austin Cindric Worth Rostering For Phoenix DFS Lineups?
Ross Chastain4 days ago

Is Great At Phoenix
Christopher Bell4 days ago

Looking To Go Back-To-Back At Phoenix After Championship Snub
Chase Briscoe4 days ago

Can Be Worth Rostering In Tournaments At Phoenix
Denny Hamlin4 days ago

Could Contend At Phoenix
5 days ago

Nick Martinez Expected To Accept Qualifying Offer
MLB5 days ago

Roki Sasaki Will Be Posted, Opens Door For 2025 MLB Debut
Nolan Arenado5 days ago

Could Be On The Trade Block
Zach Neto5 days ago

Undergoes Shoulder Surgery, Could Miss Start Of 2025
Mason Miller6 days ago

To Stay In The Bullpen
Shohei Ohtani6 days ago

Shoulder Surgery Could Delay His Pitching
New York Yankees6 days ago

Yankees Exercise Aaron Boone's Option
Carlos Prates6 days ago

Looks For His Fourth Win In A Row
Neil Magny6 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
MMA6 days ago

Benardo Sopaj Looks For His First UFC Win
Ricky Turcios6 days ago

Returns At UFC Vegas 100
Dusko Todorovic6 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 100

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP