5 years agoMatt Chapman hit .249/.342/.506 with 36 long balls in 2019, and there are reasons to believe that 2020 will be even better. The 26-year-old Chapman's power breakout looks completely sustainable, as he combines a high fly ball rate (43.1%) with a strong HR/FB (19%) that's supported by his Statcast power indicators (97.1 mph average airborne exit velocity, 12.3% rate of Brls/BBE). Both Statcast metrics represent improvements over his 2018 campaign (95.9 mph, 8.9% Brls/BBE). Chapman is also projected for a significant role in Oakland's potent lineup, so he should have plenty of opportunities to generate counting stats for his owners. If there's a downside here, it's that Chapman's .249 batting average was largely substantiated by his .255 xBA. He hits way too many pop-ups (17.5 IFFB% last season, 16.1% career), so his BABIP is likely to land near last season's .270 mark barring something significant changing. His career mark is .301 and he doesn't really strikeout that often for today's game (21.9 K%), making at least some batting average improvement possible. Expect a .260ish hitter with last year's power numbers and plenty of counting stats, making for a great return on his current ADP of 87.20. You probably won't get points for Chapman's superlative defense, but it's fun to watch when he's on your roster regardless.--Rick Lucks - RotoBaller