🖥 TAP TO SAVE 50% WITH CODE THANKS
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Power Risers and Fallers for Week 8: Buy or Sell?

RotoBaller's Nick Mariano looks at some fantasy baseball bats for week eight that approach the end of May either extremely hot or cold in the power department.

Welcome back to this investigative piece where we examine players who have seen some notable changes in their power profiles -- for better or for worse -- in 2017.

As usual, you don’t need me to tell you that Miguel Sano or Aaron Judge are strong or that Jarrod Dyson and Billy Hamilton are toward the bottom in average exit velocity. We're nearing the two-month mark on the 2017 season and it's safe to say that sanity is nowhere in sight. Let's see if we still can't give some context to some surging bats with regards to power using our trusty little RotoBaller premium toolbox.

For reference, here's a tasty little screencap of the premium power tool that much of the inspiration for this article comes from. It pulls the fly-ball, pull and hard-hit rates for players -- metrics associated with power -- and looks at notable recent swings in performance.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and resources:

 

Power Risers and Fallers - Premium Tool

Identifying top power risers and fallers for each week can help you spot the best pickups before your competition. RotoBaller's Premium Power Risers and Fallers tool has you covered every day. Here's a free sample:

 

Power Risers

Justin Bour - (1B, MIA):

Bour owns a ridiculous .535 ISO over the last two weeks with eight homers over his last 12 starts, so yeah, we’re going to have to speak on this. And he hasn’t just been hitting long balls, going 19-for-46 (.413) overall with a ridiculous 60 percent hard-hit rate and identical pull rate while hitting the ball into the air at a 40-percent clip.

The 28-year-old has 12 homers overall in just 175 plate appearances after leaving the yard 15 times in 321 PAs last season, though his current 32.4 percent HR/FB rate will tumble toward 20 percent. However, the biggest part of this is that he’s gone 10-for-33 with his first three career homers against southpaws in 2017. He had hit just .223 over his first 103 at-bats vs. LHP, so this improvement should lead to true full-time play and 30-homer potential.

Michael Conforto - (OF, NYM): 

While Conforto had an ugly four-strikeout game the day of my writing this, his prior six games had yielded two doubles, four homers, 10 runs scored and eight RBI alongside an insane .476 average. He only hit five fly balls in total, but four of them left the park thanks to a 71.4 percent hard-hit rate in those games.

10 of his last 12 batted balls checked in at 97-plus mph, with only one of those carrying a negative launch angle. Even including the previous week for a two-week window, he has a robust 65.5 percent hard-hit rate and a paltry 6.9 percent soft-contact rate alongside a 48.3 percent fly-ball rate. Hopefully, the return of Yoenis Cespedes doesn’t dig into Conforto’s breakout. It shouldn’t, but my trust in Terry Collins is nil.

Alex Bregman - (3B, HOU):

While it hasn’t been the flashiest showing, Bregman’s first three homers of the season have come over his last 10 starts. The sophomore has posted a solid 34.5 percent hard-hit rate (30.9 percent otherwise), but the 44.8 percent fly-ball rate (33.3 percent) and 55.2 percent pull rate (34 percent) illustrate a change in approach. What was really terrible was his 21.9 percent infield-fly rate, which has been cut to 7.7 percent in his last two weeks.

Now, the caveat with his three homers is that one of them went 348 feet while another went 349 feet. He does have a 402-foot field out to his name as well, but honestly, this is more about making sure people aren’t getting too excited about the recent “homer” surge. The signs are there

Mike Napoli - (1B, TEX):

Napoli’s 19 barrels are tied for the seventh most in the MLB, which has translated to 11 homers overall and six long balls (though just 11 RBI) over his last two weeks. His fly-ball and pull rate both sit at 55.6 percent in that span, with an impressive 48.2 percent hard-hit rate making those pulled flies useful. He's 12-for-41 (.324) in that two-week window, so half of those hits have migrated to Souvenir City and 16 of his 29 outs have come via strikeout. Napoli isn't new to the "swing for the fences" approach -- he hit 34 homers with a 30.1 percent strikeout rate in 2016 -- but his soft-contact rate has risen by five percent compared to last season. Again, it won't matter much as long as his loud contact is counting for something, but it does explain some of his atrocious .212 BABIP (.296 in '16) and subsequent .193 batting average. That's difficult to stomach even if you reach the 35-homer, 100-RBI plateau.

 

Power Fallers

Carlos Correa - (SS, HOU):

Correa just returned from a brief illness and homered, so that kind of takes away from the message at-large here. That said, I'm stubborn and already penciled him into the lineup, and also it doesn’t change that he had smacked only one ball over 350 feet over the past two weeks before Thursday night. There’s no skirting that judging 40 plate appearances is harsh, but an 18.2 percent hard-hit rate is going to give you troubles when courting the home run. That and half of the balls he hit were grounders. And he only pulled 13.6 percent of them. I highly doubt anyone would "sell low" on him, but there might be some people selling him off for 90 cents on the dollar given the ebbs and flows with power and the fact that he hasn't attempted a steal yet (it isn't all about power, after all).

Dustin Pedroia - (2B, BOS):

Pedroia lost his six-game hitting streak on Thursday and was removed for precautionary reasons with left knee soreness. The 33-year-old went from logging an extra-base hit in eight of nine games from May 4-13, but in 10 games since then he’s only mustered one (a double). He's still hit .293 since then so the average isn't ailing and he's only been rung up three times in the 41 at-bats since, but there's just no zing, no pep. It isn't as though he was drafted for homers, but the guy did hit 15 dingers last season and is currently rocking a 4.5 percent HR/FB rate that would be his worst since his first full season in 2007 (4.4 percent).

He's definitely earned the struggles, with just a quarter of his batted balls going in the air with a puny 8.3 percent hard-hit rate backing it. Throw in a 16.7 percent pull rate and you've got an ugly power picture. The interesting thing here is that you could easily say he's not a "faller", but rather has been down all season. He's one of seven players with at least 50 batted balls who have yet to register a "barrel" on a hit. If you can get something for him on name value alone, I'd go for it.

Marcell Ozuna - (OF, MIA):

Ozuna hasn’t gone yard since his two-homer game on May 8, with only three doubles in 14 games since then. Granted, he’s hit safely in nine of his last 11 games, but we want the powah! So since then, he’s put up a ghastly 56.4 percent ground-ball rate alongside a 30.8 percent hard-contact mark, which is below league-average. Oh.

In case you’re wondering, that’s not good when it comes to power. His hard-hit rate was 49.4 percent before the power outage hit, and while his primary outcome was still the grounder, they only came at a 44.9 percent clip. Mix in an 11-percent drop in his pull rate and viola, you’ve got a candidate for this article. While he should rebound from this slump, the fact that he hasn’t even hit a ball more than 285 feet in a week is alarming.

Giancarlo Stanton - (OF, MIA):

The outfield that slumps together, stays together? At least Bour's safe in the infield. Like his teammate Ozuna, Stanton also hasn’t been able to clear the fence since May 8, though he has six doubles since then so there’s that. While he’s still slapping the souls out of baseballs with his swing (six balls hit at 112 mph or greater in the past week), none of them have been at a launch angle greater than 15 degrees. That points to a poor 23.8 percent fly-ball rate since May 8 and explains the laser-beam doubles not turning into homers. This seems like a rather easy fix at first glance -- especially given his 22 percent strikeout rate since May 8 is below his season-long mark of 24.2 percent -- but being a bit on top of the ball certainly presents a legitimate hurdle no matter how you slice it.

 

More Risers and Fallers

 

Premium Tools & DFS Research

Get a free trial of our powerful MLB Premium Tools. Our famous DFS Optimizer & Lineup Generator, daily Matchup Ratings, expert DFS Lineups/Cheat Sheets, and more.

Sign Up Now!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Mike Trout

Angels Open to Mike Trout Playing Center Field in 2026
Victor Wembanyama

Coming off the Bench on Tuesday Night
Rudy Gobert

Not on the Injury Report for Wednesday
Anthony Edwards

on the Injury Report Again for Wednesday Night
Ja Morant

Questionable for Wednesday's Meeting With Timberwolves
Saquon Barkley

Misses Practice With Stinger
RJ Harvey

Dealing With Rib Injury
Josh Jacobs

Intends to Play Against Bears on Saturday
Zach Bogosian

Misses Tuesday's Game
Marcus Johansson

Unavailable Tuesday
Artyom Levshunov

Scratched for Tuesday
Mathew Barzal

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Joseph Woll

Returns to Action Tuesday
Mike Matheson

Won't Play on Tuesday
Rasmus Ristolainen

Makes Season Debut Tuesday
Bam Knight

Cardinals Place Bam Knight on Injured Reserve
CFB

Kansas State's Jayce Brown Intends to Transfer
CFB

Nation's Leading Passer Drew Mestemaker to Enter Transfer Portal
Justin Crawford

Phillies Planning to Start Justin Crawford in Center Field
CFB

Jayden Maiava Signs New Deal to Return to USC
CFB

Aidan Mizell Won't Return to Florida, Entering Transfer Portal
CFB

East Carolina Targeting Jordan Davis as Next Offensive Coordinator
Patrick Mahomes

Targeting Week 1 Return in 2026
Cutter Gauthier

Scores Twice at MSG
CFB

Michigan QB Jadyn Davis Set to Enter Transfer Portal
CFB

Travis Williams Joining Texas A&M Defensive Staff
Tim Stützle

Tim Stutzle Records Three Assists in Dramatic Win
Filip Forsberg

Nets 11th Career Hat Trick
Sam Reinhart

Pots Two Goals Against Lightning
Darcy Kuemper

Hurt Versus Stars
Gustav Forsling

Injured in Monday's Win
Brandon Hagel

Makes Early Exit Monday
Cooper Flagg

Becomes Youngest 40-Point Scorer in NBA History
Victor Wembanyama

May Come Off the Bench Again Tuesday
Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic to Undergo MRI Tuesday
Sam Hauser

Tweaks Left Ankle Monday
Peyton Watson

Not Expected to Be Out Long-Term
Ja Morant

Injures Ankle in Monday's Win
Darren Waller

Hauls in Two Touchdowns in Monday Night Loss
Brandon Clarke

Still Out Monday
Rome Odunze

Considered Week-to-Week With Foot Injury
James Harden

Officially Active on Monday Night
Ja Morant

to Remain Under Minutes Restriction Monday
James Harden

a Game-Time Call Monday
John Konchar

to Be Re-Evaluated in Three Weeks
Julian Strawther

Active on Monday
James Harden

Good to Go Monday
Tari Eason

Remains Out Monday
Daniel Gafford

to Be Limited to 17-20 Minutes Monday
Davante Adams

Considered Week-to-Week With Hamstring Injury
Kyle Filipowski

Starting Against Mavericks
Brandon Williams

Out Monday
Jaylen Warren

to Play Through Illness on Monday Night
Will Smith

Sharks Place Will Smith on Injured Reserve
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Expected to Return Before Christmas
Dylan Holloway

to Miss Six Weeks
Patrick Kane

Expected to Miss at Least Two Games
Quinton Byfield

Ruled Out for Monday
Mika Zibanejad

Won't Play on Monday
Connor Bedard

Out Until 2026
Bhayshul Tuten

to Miss a Few Weeks With Finger Injury
Joe Burrow

Will Start the Rest of the Season
Jayden Daniels

to be Shut Down for Final Three Games
Philip Rivers

Will Start Again in Week 16
Drake London

Falcons "Very Hopeful" Drake London Can Return in Week 16
CFB

Dylan Raiola Entering His Name into Transfer Portal
Micah Parsons

MRI Confirms Torn ACL for Micah Parsons
CFB

Cincinnati's Brendan Sorsby Plans to Transfer When Portal Opens
Adolis García

Adolis Garcia, Phillies Finalizing One-Year Deal on Monday
Jaylen Warren

Questionable for Monday Night Due to Illness
Bam Knight

has "Bad Sprain," Unlikely to Play in Week 16
Brandon Royval

Suffers First-Round TKO Loss
CFB

Baylor, LSU, Miami Among Potential Suitors for DJ Lagway
CFB

Aidan Chiles Will Enter Transfer Portal
Manel Kape

Shines At UFC Vegas 112
New York Jets

Jets Fire Defensive Coordinator Steve Wilks
Kevin Vallejos

Gets Second-Round Knockout Win
Christian Watson

Avoids Long-Term Injury, Status for Week 16 Unclear
Giga Chikadze

Suffers His First Career Knockout Loss
CFB

Quarterback DJ Lagway Entering Transfer Portal
Cesar Almeida

Gets Dominated
Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Wins Sixth Fight In A Row
Teddye Buchanan

Ravens Linebacker Teddye Buchanan Believed to Have Torn ACL
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Melquizael Costa

Gets First-Round Knockout Win
Marcus Buchecha

Still Winless In The UFC
Kennedy Nzechukwu

And Marcus Buchecha Fight To Draw
Lance Gibson jr

Lance Gibson Jr. Drops Decision In His UFC Debut
King Green

Gets Back In The Win Column
Dallas Goedert

has Third Two-Touchdown Game on Sunday
Kenley Jansen

Agrees to One-Year Deal With Tigers
Merrill Kelly

Returns to Diamondbacks on Two-Year Deal
Jorge Polanco

Agrees to Two-Year Deal With Mets
CFB

LaNorris Sellers to Return to South Carolina in 2026
CFB

Washington State Expected to Hire Kirby Moore as Next Head Coach
CFB

Kyle Whittingham Stepping Down as Utah Head Coach
Manel Kape

Set For UFC Vegas 112 Main Event
Brandon Royval

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 112
Kevin Vallejos

Set For His Third UFC Fight
Giga Chikadze

In Dire Need Of Victory
Cesar Almeida

Set To Welcome Cezary Oleksiejczuk To The UFC
Cezary Oleksiejczuk

Set To Make His UFC Debut
Maikel Garcia

Royals Agree on Five-Year Extension
Melquizael Costa

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Morgan Charrière

Morgan Charriere Looks to Win Second Consecutive Fights
Marcus Buchecha

Looks To Bounce Back
CFB

Sherrone Moore Charged with Home Invasion, Among Other Charges
CFB

Freddie Kitchens Fired from North Carolina Coaching Staff
CFB

Bryce Underwood Could Leave Michigan Without Buyout
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Padres Not Considering Trading Fernando Tatis Jr.
Tarik Skubal

Tigers Engaged in "Serious Talks" Around Trading Tarik Skubal at the Winter Meetings
CFB

Chris Brazzell II Declaring for NFL Draft
CFB

Fernando Mendoza Named AP College Football Player of the Year
Raisel Iglesias

to Remain the Braves Closer
Robert Suarez

Agrees on Three-Year Deal With Braves
CFB

Sherrone Moore Remains in Police Custody

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP