X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Early Deep Sleepers / Dynasty Stashes for 2017 (Part One)

By EricEnfermero (Own work) [CC BY-SA 4.0 (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0)], via Wikimedia Commons

Alex Chamberlain provides early fantasy baseball deep sleepers for the 2017 MLB season at catcher, first base and second base. Dynasty stashes and waiver wire targets.

It's never too early to dream about next year. Whether you're looking for the perfect sneaky keeper or dynasty stash, or you're already eliminated from contention from your playoffs, there exists a smorgasbord of underowned players at every position ripe for the picking.

The premise is simple: identify players with very low ownership rates who have the potential to gain relevance in standard mixed formats. Low ownership rates serve as a proxy for general interest in players heading into next season; the lower the ownership rate, the lower that player will likely slip on draft day 2017.

Editor's Note: Purchase a full season NFL Premium Pass (including DFS Premium), and also get MLB Premium + DFS for free through the playoffs. Premium DFS research, lineup picks, expert lineups, tools and more. You can see screenshots of our NFL Premium and MLB Premium and DFS tools. What are you waiting for?

 

It's Never Too Early

This week will feature a catcher, first baseman and second baseman. Subsequent weeks will feature a shortstop, a third baseman, an outfielder, and starting pitchers. Each of the following players are owned in less than 10 percent of fantasy leagues according to FleaFlicker.

 

First Base

Tommy Joseph, PHI

2016 stats: 20 HR, 42 R, 41 RBI, 1 SB, .256/.304/.505 in 322 PA

Joseph is currently the 26th-most owned catcher in FleaFlicker leagues. Too bad Joseph has all but permanently moved out from behind the plate, where his skill set no longer plays up the way it could. Still, Joseph has hit for massive power, generating a 36.2% hard-hit rate (Hard%) along with sky-high fly ball and pull rates (46.9% FB, 42.0% Pull). All validate the 40-homer pace -- yes, 40-homer pace he has put together in his debut campaign.

With powerful upside comes inevitable downside. Joseph does't strike out too much, but he walks very infrequently. On the batted ball side of things, his lowly line drive rate (16.1% LD), propensity to pop up (14.3% IFFB), and generally lead-footed baserunning portend a below-average batting average on balls in play (BABIP). Indeed, Joseph has recorded just a .260 BABIP thus far, and it might not get better.

Plenty of power hitters get by with low BABIPs, though (think Jose Bautista, most prominently). Even if he doesn't make quite as good of contact and the HR/FB rate dips a few points, it seems like Joseph could fairly easily hit 25 to 30 home runs while running a league-average batting average of .250 or so. If the power is totally legit, that upside starts to venture into Chris Carter territory without the batting average volatility.

Unfortunately, Joseph plays for a terrible team, and he has been platooned with Ryan Howard out of pity for the latter. Philadelphia won't pick up Howard's option, though, leaving first base all to Joseph, where he should hit well enough to avoid another platoon (not that the Phillies have many viable in-house options).

If you're looking for next year's surprise power breakout à la Adam Duvall, even if it doesn't come with much else, Joseph could be your guy.

 

Catcher

Jett Bandy, LAA C

2016 stats: 8 HR, 20 R, 25 RBI, 1 SB, .238/.288/.399 in 215 PA

Bandy looks like a more extreme version of Joseph that still catches. Bandy's home run total paces out to almost 25 home runs over a full season, although it looks more like 17 home runs when allotted a more typical amount of playing time for shot-callers.

Bandy hits even more fly balls than Joseph -- in fact, it's the 4th-highest fly ball rate among hitters with at least 200 plate appearances. He doesn't hit the ball especially hard, but his propensity to, like Joseph, pull the ball frequently means balls will clear fences. And, like Joseph, he has his flaws: few walks, too many pop-ups. He'll probably run a pretty low BABIP.

Again, that's OK, especially for a catcher. Brian McCann and Yasmani Grandal are the poster boys for low-average, high-power catchers, and Bandy has an opportunity to join that crew next season. Unfortunately, he likely won't earn a full-time gig -- the last player to record at least 400 plate appearances as a catcher for the Angels was Mike Napoli in 2010 -- but the lion's share of a platoon behind the dish could still next him 15 home runs. You could do worse in two-catcher leagues.

The Angels' farm system is incredibly thin, so the fact that we're even having this conversation about a 31st-round pick is remarkable. Remember Bandy's name, for his fly ball tendencies alone make him an intriguing late-round play for deeper formats with a chance to flirt with mixed-league relevance.

 

Second Base

Ryan Schimpf, SDP

2016 stats: 19 HR, 43 R, 47 RBI, 1 SB, .224/.336/.557 in 292 PA

This isn't how I meant for this narrative to play out, but it did. Using the same leaderboard from before: among hitters with at least 200 plate appearances, Schimpf has the highest fly ball rate, and it's not even close. At 64.5%, Schimpf is an absolute fly ball machine. And he hits the ball hard, too; between his hard-hit and pull rates, both of which exceed 40%, it's no wonder he is already threatening the 20-homer mark at just 288 plate appearances.

Schimpf is the most extreme version of Joseph. He is the most extreme version of anybody. He doesn't even have the opportunity to hit line drives because he hits so many fly balls. Like Joseph and Bandy before him, he pops up way too much. But his baserunning value grades out well, so there's a chance he can take back some of his lost BABIP through adept via swift feet. Unfortunately, he strikes out so much that a Mendoza Line batting average is almost inevitable.

Schimpf is the rookie incarnation of Chris Davis, Chris Carter, Khris Davis, et al. Granted, he's 28 years old, so it's hard to call him a rookie. But with his unsightly strikeout rate, league-average walk rate, massive power (thus far) and extreme fly ball tendencies, it's almost hard to imagine a 2017 scenario in which he doesn't join that group, other than one that sees him only playing part time as San Diego's second baseman.

If he stops hitting the ball hard and his HR/FB rate craters, Schimpf could still limp his way to 20 home runs. But his minor league track record suggests otherwise. His isolated power (ISO) has always impressed, sitting well above .200 from 2011 through 2013. It was in 2014 when he flipped the switch, though, as his ISO leaped up to .252 in 2014 to .258 in 2015 up to a massive .374 in 2016 prior to his debut. Power was always in the cards.

Unless Schimpf falls off the face of the earth, there's a legitimate chance he is next year's Brian Dozier, albeit without the solid plate discipline and stolen bases. It'll be more like if Chris Carter moved to second base -- his 110 wRC+ would be a top-15 mark. We've seen Carter not fulfill his power promise in prior years, though, so know the volatility inherent in a hitter like Schimpf. However, the upside could be massive.

 

Live Expert Q&A Chats - Every Weekday @ 1 PM and 6 PM EST (DFS)

Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-55" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

 




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Ryan Hartman

Suffers Lower-Body Injury
Adrian Kempe

Agrees to $85 Million Extension With Kings
Jack Della Maddalena

Gets Dominated
Islam Makhachev

Claims UFC Welterweight Belt
Zhang Weili

Gets Outclassed
Valentina Shevchenko

Wins Unanimous Decision At UFC 322
Sean Brady

Suffered First-Round TKO Loss
Michael Morales

Remains Unbeaten
Leon Edwards

Suffers Second-Round Knockout Loss
Leon Edwards

Carlos Prates Becomes The First Man To Knock Out Leon Edwards
Beneil Dariush

Suffers Brutal First-Round Knockout Loss
Beneil Dariush

Benoit Saint Denis Knocks Out Beneil Dariush In 16 Seconds
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Clears 100-Yard Mark Again in Loss to Rams
Jahmyr Gibbs

Leads Lions in Receiving in Week 11 Loss
Christian Watson

Breaks Out With First Two Touchdowns of the Year
Josh Naylor

Mariners Finalizing Five-Year Contract
Derrick Henry

Breaks Two-Game Scoreless Streak in Week 11
George Kittle

Hauls in Two Touchdown Grabs in Week 11 Win
Drake London

Knee Injury "Not Thought to be Overly Serious"
Aaron Rodgers

May Have "Slight Break" in Left Wrist, Likely Out for Week 12
Jacoby Brissett

Sets Completion Record in Loss to 49ers
Trey McBride

Extends Touchdown Streak in Busy Outing Against 49ers
Michael Wilson

Peppered With Targets Amid Teammate's Absence
Christian McCaffrey

Scores Three Touchdowns in Divisional Win
Michael Penix Jr.

Aggravates Knee Injury, Could Miss More Time
Dillon Gabriel

to Remain the Starter if Healthy
Travis Etienne Jr.

Scores Two Touchdowns in Run-Heavy Blowout
P.J. Washington

Active Against the Trail Blazers
Anthony Davis

Won't Play on Sunday Night
Kenneth Gainwell

Catches Two Touchdown Passes in Elevated Role
Zion Williamson

Remains Sidelined on Sunday
Bijan Robinson

Scores Twice in Overtime Loss to Panthers
Jrue Holiday

Won't Play Sunday
Dillon Gabriel

Ruled Out With a Concussion Against Ravens
Kristaps Porzingis

to Miss Another Game on Sunday
Bam Adebayo

Not Ready to Return Monday
Josh Jacobs

Not Believed to Have Season-Ending Knee Injury
Jalen Brunson

Unavailable Monday
OG Anunoby

to Sit Out at Least Two Weeks
Bilal Coulibaly

Back in Action Sunday
Tetairoa McMillan

Sets New Career-Highs in Overtime Win
Scott Mayfield

Available Sunday
Stephon Castle

Won't Return on Sunday Night
Sean Tucker

Scores Three Times in Lead-Back Role
Josh Allen

Scores Six Touchdowns in Thrilling Victory
NYI

Max Shabanov Returns From 12-Game Absence Sunday
Derrick Jones Jr.

Won't Return on Sunday
Samuel Honzek

Out Week-to-Week
Kirby Dach

Sidelined for 4-6 Weeks
Kristaps Porzingis

Questionable for Sunday's Meeting with Phoenix
Thatcher Demko

Considered Week-to-Week
Filip Hronek

Good to Go Sunday
Quinn Hughes

Back in Action Sunday
CFB

Jeremiah Smith, Carnell Tate Not Dealing With Long-Term Injuries
Grayson Allen

Sidelined With Quad Contusion
Viktor Arvidsson

Injured in Saturday's Win
Jonathan Kuminga

Knee Issue Keeps Him Out of Weekend Action
Nick Foligno

Ruled Out for Four Weeks
Bilal Coulibaly

Questionable With Calf Issue Against Nets
Samuel Honzek

Hurt in Collision With Teammate
Precious Achiuwa

Questionable With Illness For Sunday
Drew Doughty

Exits With Lower-Body Injury
P.J. Washington

Expected Back From Shoulder Issue Sunday
Charlie McAvoy

Sustains Upper-Body Injury Against Canadiens
Tre Jones

Uncertain for Sunday With Minutes Set to Tighten
Thomas Harley

Out Week-to-Week
CFB

Virginia Tech Close To Naming James Franklin As Head Coach
Coby White

Could Make Season Debut Sunday
Josh Giddey

Set to Return Sunday
Zion Williamson

Tagged as Questionable for Sunday
Jeff Skinner

Placed on Injured Reserve
Matt Duchene

Continues to Sit Saturday
Thomas Harley

a Game-Time Call Saturday
Kaapo Kakko

Out Week-to-Week
Joseph Woll

Starts on Saturday
John Carlson

Out on Saturday
CFB

Garrett Nussmeier Doubtful vs. Arkansas On Saturday
Edwin Díaz

Blue Jays Interested in Signing Edwin Diaz?
Jacob deGrom

Named AL Comeback Player of the Year
Ronald Acuña Jr.

Ronald Acuna Jr. Wins NL Comeback Player of the Year Award
Aroldis Chapman

Named AL Reliever of the Year
Edwin Díaz

Edwin Diaz Named NL Reliever of the Year
Justin Thomas

Will Miss Start Of 2026 After Undergoing Back Surgery
Islam Makhachev

Set For UFC 322 Main Event
Jack Della Maddalena

Set For His First Title Defense
Zhang Weili

Can Become The New Women's Flyweight Champion
Valentina Shevchenko

Set For UFC 322 Co-Main Event
Michael Morales

Looks To Remain Undefeated
CFB

Mario Craver a Game-Time Decision for Week 12
Sean Brady

Set For Title Eliminator Bout
Carlos Prates

A Favorite At UFC 322
Leon Edwards

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Benoît Saint Denis

Benoit Saint Denis Set To Open Up UFC 322 Main Card
Beneil Dariush

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
CFB

Virginia's Chandler Morris Trending Toward Facing Duke on Saturday
Edwin Díaz

Edwin Diaz Says There's a "50-50" Chance he Returns to Mets
Shohei Ohtani

Wins his Fourth MVP Award
Aaron Judge

Wins AL MVP Award Again
Raisel Iglesias

Dodgers Interested in Signing Raisel Iglesias
Pete Alonso

Orioles Could be in the Mix to Sign Pete Alonso
Félix Bautista

Felix Bautista Could Return in Second Half in 2026
Kodai Senga

Attracting Trade Interest, Will the Mets Move him?
Yordan Alvarez

Expected to be Ready for Spring Training
Byron Buxton

Could Waive his No-Trade Clause
Paul Skenes

the Unanimous NL Cy Young Winner
Tarik Skubal

Wins AL Cy Young for Second Straight Year
CFB

Still No Update on Jermod McCoy's Return Timeline
Sami Valimaki

Riding Momentum Into Bermuda
Matthieu Pavon

Struggling Through a Rough Season
Taylor Montgomery

Hopes to Get Back on Track at Port Royal
Ben Martin

a Risky Play at Bermuda Championship
Mark Hubbard

Primed for a Bounce-Back Week in Bermuda
Lee Hodges

Searching for a Spark in Bermuda
Stephen Vogt

Wins Back-to-Back AL Manager of the Year Honors
Milwaukee Brewers

Pat Murphy Named NL Manager of the Year Again
Patrick Fishburn

Looking to Bounce Back in Bermuda
Eric Cole

Carrying Momentum into Bermuda
Tommy Edman

to Have Ankle Surgery Next Week
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks Unlikely to Trade Ketel Marte
Sahith Theegala

Finishes Tied for 27th at Bank of Utah Championship
Sam Stevens

Finishes Tied for 36th at Baycurrent Classic
Patrick Rodgers

Finishes Tied For Sixth at World Wide Technology Championship
Luke List

Finishes 75th at World Wide Technology Championship
Ben Kohles

Finishes Tied for 63rd at World Wide Technology Championship
PGA

Nico Echavarria Finishes Tied for 14th at World Wide Technology Championship
Luke Clanton

Finishes Tied for 46th at World Wide Technology Championship
Blades Brown

Finishes Tied for 18th at Korn Ferry Tour Championship

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP