TAP FOR 6 MONTHS OF PREMIUM FREE 💰
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

2016 Fantasy Baseball Draft Values: Four Strikeouts Sleepers

Strikeouts are more prevalent in today's game than they've ever been. Real baseball teams are catching on to what fantasy owners have known for some time - a pitcher who can rack up the whiffs is almost always more valuable than one who can't.

Well, they probably knew that before, but as baseball has evolved into its current state, it's become more and more rare to find pitchers who are able to succeed year after year without above-average K rates. What does that mean for fantasy owners? Strikeouts are easier for everyone to find, which makes uncovering potential mid or late-round strikeout artists all the more valuable. Here are four such players to target in your drafts this spring.

Editor's note: For more preseason draft value and sleeper advice, check out our 2016 fantasy baseball rankings dashboard, which is already loaded up with lots of great articles. Aside from staff rankings and ADP analysis across all positions, we also dig into MLB prospect rankings, and dynasty/keeper rankings as well.

 

American League

Trevor Bauer

2015 was an interesting year for Bauer to say the least. Bauer earned wins in two of his first three starts of the season. In these three games, he only allowed 2 earned runs and registered 26 SO in 19.0 IP. Immediately, Bauer was a wavier wire wonder and his ownership percentage was skyrocketing. Unfortunately for Bauer, he would reach double digits SO in only two more starts. This is not really due to ineffectiveness, but rather a lack of control. In 30 total starts, Bauer lasted an average of 5.7 innings. For arguments sake, let’s round that up to 6.0 innings. In 20 starts where Bauer lasted at least 6.0 innings, he averaged 6.6 strikeouts. In 10 starts where Bauer lasted less than 6.0 innings, he averaged just 3.0 SO. We can easily see that Bauer’s strikeouts depend on his ability to last through a majority of the game. Obviously there are going to be more K in longer outings, but this discrepancy is significant. With a 22.9% K%, we know that Bauer has the stuff to miss a lot of bats. If he can improve his command and go further into ballgames, we can expect to see SO in bunches and most likely a drop WHIP.

Luis Severino

 Upon his mid-season call-up in 2015, Severino lived up to the hype that made him the Yankees’ most highly regarded prospect. Severino made 11 Major League starts, compiling a 2.89 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Batters made contact on 78.7% of Severino’s pitches but were only able to register a .265 BABIP and a .229 average. Only 50.3% of these pitches were inside the strike zone and batters swung and missed on 9.6% of strikes throw by Severino. More importantly, Severino managed a 62.8% F-Strike%, or the percentage of first pitches thrown for strikes. In his first season with a similar workload, Clayton Kershaw only managed a 54.7% F-Strike%. This is not me comparing Luis Severino to Clayton Kershaw by any means. However, the odds of striking a batter out increase dramatically when the first pitch is thrown for a strike rather than for a ball and with a F-Strike% mark like Severino’s we get a glance at the caliber of pitcher he has the potential to be.

The velocity is another aid in Severino’s K upside. The average velocity of his fastball was 95.2mph in 2015, and the average velocity of his slider was 89.0mph in that same year. Even his changeup packed heat, with his average velocity measuring at 87.8mph.

If Severino is able to build on this impressive F-Strike% across a full season of work and maintain the velocity on all three of his pitches, the strikeout possibilities are endless.

 

National League

Raisel Iglesias

It seems that entering the 2016 fantasy baseball season, Raisel Iglesias is on every “sleeper” list in existence, regardless of what aspect of fantasy baseball is being covered. With an inflated 4.15 ERA in 16 starts in 2015 and a 3-7 record, you may be wondering why. A closer look reveals the meat and potatoes of Iglesias’s game and there is actually a lot to like. Iglesias is one of Cincinnati’s many young pitchers, but he is one of the few that has seen some big league action. In the same 16 starts in 2015, Iglesias amassed a 26.3 K% and a 9.82 K/9. Batters swung at 47.4% of his pitches but only compiled a .225 average and a .285 BABIP. Righties were only able to hit .176 against him. Lefties, on the other hand, hit .285 against Iglesias but as the young Cuban pitcher further develops his changeup, the splits should even out a bit more.

Iglesias had trouble maintaining velocity in the later innings of his starts but like a mature ball player, he admitted that conditioning was at the root of these issues. With better conditioning, a more reliable changeup, and the trust of the Cincinnati Reds organization, Iglesias has the potential to miss bats at an even higher rate.

Joe Ross

The Washington Nationals and fantasy owners alike are still trying to figure out what to make of Joe Ross. Going into 2016, the Nats will tab Ross as their fifth starter after going back and forth between the bullpen and the starting rotation for some time. In 13 starts and 76.2 IP, Ross accounted for 69 punchouts, giving him a 22.0% K%. Batters only made contact on 75.5% of Ross’s pitches, leading to a .220 opposing average. We have to wonder what Ross can do with a full season of work. Unlike his brother Tyson Ross of the San Diego Padres, whose lack of command leads to an elevated walk rate, Ross does not exhibit the same qualities; his BB/9 was a suppressed 2.47.

Ross’s fastball is not going to blow anyone away, and he only uses it 57.2% of the time. Ross is a bit craftier, using his slider 35.6% of the time and his changeup 7.1% of the time to keep batters guessing. The interaction between a pitcher and a batter is always a chess match but with Joe Ross, the mind games become even more intense. While other pitchers rely on a cannon of an arm to throw strikes, Ross is more cerebral and uses mind over matter to collect strikeouts.

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

 


Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

CFB

Duke Suing Quarterback Darian Mensah
Naz Reid

Upgraded to Available Tuesday Against Utah
Collin Murray-Boyles

Will Not Play Tuesday
Cam Skattebo

Should be Ready by OTAs
Mark Williams

Uncertain to Play on Tuesday in Philadelphia
Paul George

Could Return Tuesday
Joel Embiid

Will Not Play Tuesday
George Kittle

Expects to Return "Well Before November"
CFB

Alberto Mendoza Entering Transfer Portal
Mookie Betts

Plans to Retire at the End of his Current Contract
Tennessee Titans

Titans Set to Hire Robert Saleh as Next Head Coach
Josh Giddey

Could Return Tuesday
Zaccharie Risacher

Ruled Out for the Week
Kristaps Porzingis

to Sit Out at Least One More Week
Jalen Williams

to Be Re-Evaluated in Two Weeks
Tyler Herro

Out Indefinitely With Ribs Issue
Jimmy Butler III

Out for Season With ACL Tear
Ludvig Aberg

Making Season Debut at American Express
Ryan Gerard

Heads to PGA West With Momentum After Strong Week in Hawaii
Naz Reid

Holds Questionable Tag for Tuesday
Rudy Gobert

is Cleared for Tuesday's Game
Christian Braun

to Remain Out on Tuesday
Ron Holland II

is Available to Play on Monday
Joel Embiid

Slated to Suit Up Monday
Miami Dolphins

Dolphins Expected to Hire Jeff Hafley as Next Head Coach
Day'Ron Sharpe

Ruled Out on Monday
Jalen Green

to Return on Tuesday
Draymond Green

Ruled Out for Monday's Game
Egor Demin

Ruled Out on Monday
Ondrej Palat

Ready to Face Flames
Devin Booker

Active Against Nets
Chris Kreider

Returns From Two-Game Absence Monday
Corey Perry

Back With Kings
Bobby Brink

Available Monday Night
William Nylander

Misses Second Straight Game Monday
Kiefer Sherwood

Sharks Pick Up Kiefer Sherwood From Canucks
Matthew Tkachuk

Set for Season Debut Monday
Sepp Straka

Eyes Repeat At The American Express
Si Woo Kim

Poised To Contend At The American Express
Zach Charbonnet

has Torn ACL
Zach Charbonnet

Needs Knee Surgery, Out for Rest of Playoffs
Tennessee Titans

Mike McCarthy a Finalist for Titans Head-Coaching Job?
Colston Loveland

Suffers Concussion in Divisional Round Loss
Kyren Williams

Scores Two Touchdowns in Divisional Round Win
Buffalo Bills

Bills Fire Head Coach Sean McDermott
Tom Wilson

May Return Monday
Henri Jokiharju

Moved to Non-Roster List
Frank Nazar

Returns to Practice
Oskar Sundqvist

Suffers Skate Cut Sunday
Kasperi Kapanen

Considered Day-to-Day
Zach Whitecloud

Joins Flames
Rasmus Andersson

Moves to Vegas
Carson Soucy

Expected Back on Monday
Teuvo Teravainen

to Remain Out Monday
Matthew Tkachuk

"Close" to Season Debut
Rodrigo Abols

Flyers Place Rodrigo Abols on Injured Reserve
Alex Lyon

Practices on Sunday
Rhamondre Stevenson

Returns in Sunday's AFC Divisional Round Game
Josh Norris

Out Week-to-Week
Dylan Holloway

Set to Return Sunday
Ha-Seong Kim

has Finger Surgery, Out 4-5 Months
Rhamondre Stevenson

Questionable to Return on Sunday With Eye Injury
Woody Marks

Returns Following Brief Exit on Sunday
Dalton Schultz

Won't Return in Sunday's AFC Divisional Round Game
Aaron Rodgers

Steelers Open to Aaron Rodgers Returning in 2026?
Jarrett Stidham

to Start AFC Championship Game
Zach Charbonnet

Questionable to Return Against 49ers
Atlanta Falcons

Falcons Hiring Kevin Stefanski as Head Coach
Bo Nix

Suffers Broken Bone in Ankle, Done for Playoffs
Green Bay Packers

Packers Sign Head Coach Matt LaFleur to Multi-Year Extension
Ricky Pearsall

Active for Divisional Round
CFB

Darian Mensah Entering Transfer Portal
J.T. Realmuto

Signs Three-Year Deal to Return to Phillies
Bo Bichette

Agrees to Three-Year Contract With Mets
CFB

Weber State Signs former Ohio State, Cal Quarterback Devin Brown
Bo Bichette

Phillies the "Overwhelming" Favorite to Sign Bo Bichette
Josh Lowe

Angels Acquire Josh Lowe in Three-Team Trade
Kyle Tucker

Signs Four-Year Contract With Dodgers
Clayton Kershaw

to Pitch for Team USA in World Baseball Classic
CFB

Auburn, Ohio State the Lead Suitors for Kyle Parker
CFB

Oregon QB Transfer Bryson Beaver Linked to Georgia, Kentucky
CFB

Jake Merklinger Commits to UConn
Ben Griffin

Looks To Stay Hot In 2026
Ranger Suárez

Ranger Suarez Agrees to Five-Year Deal With Red Sox
CFB

Dante Moore Not Entering 2026 NFL Draft, Will Return to Oregon

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP