TAP FOR 6 MONTHS OF PREMIUM FREE 💰
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

2016 Fantasy Baseball Draft Values: Four Strikeouts Sleepers

Strikeouts are more prevalent in today's game than they've ever been. Real baseball teams are catching on to what fantasy owners have known for some time - a pitcher who can rack up the whiffs is almost always more valuable than one who can't.

Well, they probably knew that before, but as baseball has evolved into its current state, it's become more and more rare to find pitchers who are able to succeed year after year without above-average K rates. What does that mean for fantasy owners? Strikeouts are easier for everyone to find, which makes uncovering potential mid or late-round strikeout artists all the more valuable. Here are four such players to target in your drafts this spring.

Editor's note: For more preseason draft value and sleeper advice, check out our 2016 fantasy baseball rankings dashboard, which is already loaded up with lots of great articles. Aside from staff rankings and ADP analysis across all positions, we also dig into MLB prospect rankings, and dynasty/keeper rankings as well.

 

American League

Trevor Bauer

2015 was an interesting year for Bauer to say the least. Bauer earned wins in two of his first three starts of the season. In these three games, he only allowed 2 earned runs and registered 26 SO in 19.0 IP. Immediately, Bauer was a wavier wire wonder and his ownership percentage was skyrocketing. Unfortunately for Bauer, he would reach double digits SO in only two more starts. This is not really due to ineffectiveness, but rather a lack of control. In 30 total starts, Bauer lasted an average of 5.7 innings. For arguments sake, let’s round that up to 6.0 innings. In 20 starts where Bauer lasted at least 6.0 innings, he averaged 6.6 strikeouts. In 10 starts where Bauer lasted less than 6.0 innings, he averaged just 3.0 SO. We can easily see that Bauer’s strikeouts depend on his ability to last through a majority of the game. Obviously there are going to be more K in longer outings, but this discrepancy is significant. With a 22.9% K%, we know that Bauer has the stuff to miss a lot of bats. If he can improve his command and go further into ballgames, we can expect to see SO in bunches and most likely a drop WHIP.

Luis Severino

 Upon his mid-season call-up in 2015, Severino lived up to the hype that made him the Yankees’ most highly regarded prospect. Severino made 11 Major League starts, compiling a 2.89 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Batters made contact on 78.7% of Severino’s pitches but were only able to register a .265 BABIP and a .229 average. Only 50.3% of these pitches were inside the strike zone and batters swung and missed on 9.6% of strikes throw by Severino. More importantly, Severino managed a 62.8% F-Strike%, or the percentage of first pitches thrown for strikes. In his first season with a similar workload, Clayton Kershaw only managed a 54.7% F-Strike%. This is not me comparing Luis Severino to Clayton Kershaw by any means. However, the odds of striking a batter out increase dramatically when the first pitch is thrown for a strike rather than for a ball and with a F-Strike% mark like Severino’s we get a glance at the caliber of pitcher he has the potential to be.

The velocity is another aid in Severino’s K upside. The average velocity of his fastball was 95.2mph in 2015, and the average velocity of his slider was 89.0mph in that same year. Even his changeup packed heat, with his average velocity measuring at 87.8mph.

If Severino is able to build on this impressive F-Strike% across a full season of work and maintain the velocity on all three of his pitches, the strikeout possibilities are endless.

 

National League

Raisel Iglesias

It seems that entering the 2016 fantasy baseball season, Raisel Iglesias is on every “sleeper” list in existence, regardless of what aspect of fantasy baseball is being covered. With an inflated 4.15 ERA in 16 starts in 2015 and a 3-7 record, you may be wondering why. A closer look reveals the meat and potatoes of Iglesias’s game and there is actually a lot to like. Iglesias is one of Cincinnati’s many young pitchers, but he is one of the few that has seen some big league action. In the same 16 starts in 2015, Iglesias amassed a 26.3 K% and a 9.82 K/9. Batters swung at 47.4% of his pitches but only compiled a .225 average and a .285 BABIP. Righties were only able to hit .176 against him. Lefties, on the other hand, hit .285 against Iglesias but as the young Cuban pitcher further develops his changeup, the splits should even out a bit more.

Iglesias had trouble maintaining velocity in the later innings of his starts but like a mature ball player, he admitted that conditioning was at the root of these issues. With better conditioning, a more reliable changeup, and the trust of the Cincinnati Reds organization, Iglesias has the potential to miss bats at an even higher rate.

Joe Ross

The Washington Nationals and fantasy owners alike are still trying to figure out what to make of Joe Ross. Going into 2016, the Nats will tab Ross as their fifth starter after going back and forth between the bullpen and the starting rotation for some time. In 13 starts and 76.2 IP, Ross accounted for 69 punchouts, giving him a 22.0% K%. Batters only made contact on 75.5% of Ross’s pitches, leading to a .220 opposing average. We have to wonder what Ross can do with a full season of work. Unlike his brother Tyson Ross of the San Diego Padres, whose lack of command leads to an elevated walk rate, Ross does not exhibit the same qualities; his BB/9 was a suppressed 2.47.

Ross’s fastball is not going to blow anyone away, and he only uses it 57.2% of the time. Ross is a bit craftier, using his slider 35.6% of the time and his changeup 7.1% of the time to keep batters guessing. The interaction between a pitcher and a batter is always a chess match but with Joe Ross, the mind games become even more intense. While other pitchers rely on a cannon of an arm to throw strikes, Ross is more cerebral and uses mind over matter to collect strikeouts.

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

 


Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Compare Any Players
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Thomas White

Marlins Reassign Thomas White to Minor-League Camp
Breece Hall

Jets Placing Franchise Tag on Breece Hall
Max Scherzer

Completely Past his Thumb Issues
CFB

Mark Stoops Joining Texas Coaching Staff
Francisco Lindor

Plays Catch, Hopes to Take BP on Wednesday
Mike Burrows

Looking Strong in Early Spring Action
Garrett Crochet

Is an Elite Anchor for Your Rotation
Casey Mize

Can Be a Late-Round Value Pick
Nick Seeler

Suffers Lower-Body Injury Versus Maple Leafs
Daylen Lile

Can Be a Great Outfield Sleeper
Andrew Painter

Headed for Opening Day Roster?
Pierre-Olivier Joseph

Injured in Monday's Loss
Giancarlo Stanton

Will Make His Spring Training Debut on Tuesday
Joel Armia

Moved to Injured Reserve
Artturi Lehkonen

Set to Miss Time After Getting Hurt Monday
Shea Theodore

Iffy for Tuesday Due to Illness
Mitchell Marner

Dealing With Illness
Mark Stone

Considered Day-to-Day
Jason Day

Attempts to Bounce Back from The Genesis Invitational
Santi Aldama

Questionable Tuesday
Cedric Coward

Could Return Tuesday
Jacob Bridgeman

Rolling into Arnold Palmer Invitational
Ty Jerome

Could Miss Third Straight Game
Davion Mitchell

Iffy to Face Nets
Norman Powell

Misses Second Consecutive Game
Anthony Black

Likely to Return Tuesday
Klay Thompson

Questionable Tuesday
Russell Henley

Looks to Defend Title at the Arnold Palmer Invitational
Max Scherzer

Could Make Grapefruit League Debut This Weekend
Alex DeBrincat

Collects Two More Points
Andrew Benintendi

Should be Back on Thursday
Kirill Marchenko

Earns Three Points on Monday
Nicolai Hojgaard

Continues to Search for First PGA Tour Victory at API
Xander Bogaerts

the Leading Candidate to Hit Leadoff for Padres
Shane Lowry

Trying to Shake Off Last Week's Heartbreak at the API
Fernando Tatis Jr.

Moving to Middle of the Batting Order?
Kyle Stowers

Doing Baseball Activities, to Start Running Progression Soon
Matt Fitzpatrick

Continues Scorching Start to 2026 Season
Keegan Bradley

Searching for Better Results Heading to Bay Hill
Cedric Mullins

Goes Deep for First Time in Rays Uniform
Jac Caglianone

Looking Good at the Plate So Far This Spring
Isaac Paredes

Homers in Spring Debut
Logan Webb

to Start WBC Opener for Team USA on Friday
Tarik Skubal

Scheduled to Throw Around 55 Pitches Against Great Britain
Kyle Freeland

to Make Spring Debut on Wednesday
P.J. Washington

Questionable vs. Hornets
Dairon Blanco

Designated for Assignment by Royals
Egor Demin

to Miss Second Straight Game
Nicolas Claxton

Expected to Play on Tuesday
Coby White

Ruled Out vs. Dallas
Collin Murray-Boyles

to Miss Second Straight Game
Naji Marshall

Unavailable Versus Charlotte
Donovan Mitchell

Out Tuesday vs. Detroit
Cooper Flagg

Listed as Doubtful for Tuesday Night
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

Ruled Out for Tuesday's Matchup With Bulls
Isaiah Hartenstein

to Miss Game Against Bulls
Anthony Gill

Out, Julian Reese Set to Start Monday
Kris Dunn

Available On Monday Against Warriors
John Collins

Sidelined vs. Warriors
Giannis Antetokounmpo

Set to Suit Up Monday
Trevor Moore

Unavailable Monday
Drew Doughty

Could Return Thursday
Roope Hintz

Misses Third Consecutive Game
Zach Werenski

Iffy for Monday's Action
Travis Konecny

a Game-Time Decision Monday
John Gibson

Exits Win Early
Connor Murphy

Moving to Edmonton
Khalil Mack

Will Play in 2026
MMA

Lone'er Kavanagh Gets Back In The Win Column
Brandon Moreno

Gets Outclassed
Marlon Vera

Loses Fourth Fight In A Row
Daniel Jones

Colts Have "50/50" Chance to Get a Deal Done With Daniel Jones
David Martinez

Remains Undefeated In The UFC
Daniel Zellhuber

Loses Third Consecutive Fight
King Green

Gets Second-Round TKO Win
Felipe Bunes

Drops Decision At UFC Mexico City
Édgar Cháirez

Edgar Chairez Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Ryan Blaney

Falls to Eighth Despite Running Most of the Race in the Top Five At COTA
Ty Gibbs

Wins A Stage and Finishes Fourth At COTA
Christopher Bell

Earns First Top-Five Finish of the 2026 Season at COTA
Kyler Murray

"Repeatedly" Linked to Jets
Shane Van Gisbergen

Falls Short of Victory At COTA
Tyler Reddick

Wins At COTA and Makes NASCAR History
David Montgomery

Texans Acquire David Montgomery From Lions
Lukas Dostal

Sets New Career High With 24th Win
Cutter Gauthier

Hits Two Goals in Shootout Win
Robert Thomas

Returns to Action With Multi-Point Effort
Matthew Tkachuk

Dishes Out Three Assists Sunday
Matthew Schaefer

Has First Three-Point Outing
Kyler Murray

Likely to be Released
Travis Etienne Jr.

Not Expected to be Franchise-Tagged
Aaron Jones Sr.

Vikings Planning to Release Aaron Jones Sr.?
Tyler Reddick

Could Make History at COTA
Shane Van Gisbergen

Shane van Gisbergen Still the Favorite at COTA
Christopher Bell

Will Be Tough to Beat at COTA
AJ Allmendinger

Could Contend at COTA
Connor Zilisch

Carries Plenty of Upside for DFS at COTA
Chase Elliott

May be A Strong Contender Again at COTA
Chris Buescher

Is Nothing But Consistent at Road Courses
Ross Chastain

May Be An Underrated Competitor for the Win at COTA
William Byron

Is William Byron a Viable DFS Option for COTA?
Carson Hocevar

Needs Clean Race at COTA
Kyle Larson

Could be A Decent DFS Option for COTA Lineups
Ryan Blaney

Could Ryan Blaney be A Sleeper DFS Option for All Formats for COTA?
Chase Briscoe

Should DFS Players Roster Chase Briscoe at COTA?
NASCAR

Bubba Wallace Is A Favorable Value Option for COTA DFS Lineups
Ty Gibbs

Could Ty Gibbs Be A Rosterable DFS Play for COTA?
Michael McDowell

Is Michael McDowell A Favorable DFS Option for COTA?
A.J. Brown

Patriots "Have Explored Trade Talks" Involving A.J. Brown
Lone'er Kavanagh

Set For UFC Mexico City Main Event
Brandon Moreno

Looks To Bounce Back
David Martinez

Set For UFC Mexico City Co-Main Event
Marlon Vera

In Dire Need Of Victory
King Green

Looks To Win Back-To-Back Fights
Daniel Zellhuber

Aims To Snap Two-Fight Skid
Felipe Bunes

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Édgar Cháirez

Edgar Chairez A Favorite At UFC Mexico City
George Pickens

Cowboys Not Interested in Trading George Pickens
Ashton Jeanty

Not in Line for Workhorse Role in 2026?
Anthony Richardson Sr.

Colts Give Anthony Richardson Sr. Permission to Seek a Trade
Kyler Murray

Prefers to be Released
Derek Carr

"Strong Belief" That Derek Carr is "Very Serious" About Unretiring
Andy Dalton

Is Andy Dalton Available for a Trade?
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF