👉 TAP TO SAVE 30% WITH CODE NEW
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 30% Now
Import Your Leagues
Props Tool
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

2016 Fantasy Baseball Draft Values: Four Strikeouts Sleepers

Strikeouts are more prevalent in today's game than they've ever been. Real baseball teams are catching on to what fantasy owners have known for some time - a pitcher who can rack up the whiffs is almost always more valuable than one who can't.

Well, they probably knew that before, but as baseball has evolved into its current state, it's become more and more rare to find pitchers who are able to succeed year after year without above-average K rates. What does that mean for fantasy owners? Strikeouts are easier for everyone to find, which makes uncovering potential mid or late-round strikeout artists all the more valuable. Here are four such players to target in your drafts this spring.

Editor's note: For more preseason draft value and sleeper advice, check out our 2016 fantasy baseball rankings dashboard, which is already loaded up with lots of great articles. Aside from staff rankings and ADP analysis across all positions, we also dig into MLB prospect rankings, and dynasty/keeper rankings as well.

 

American League

Trevor Bauer

2015 was an interesting year for Bauer to say the least. Bauer earned wins in two of his first three starts of the season. In these three games, he only allowed 2 earned runs and registered 26 SO in 19.0 IP. Immediately, Bauer was a wavier wire wonder and his ownership percentage was skyrocketing. Unfortunately for Bauer, he would reach double digits SO in only two more starts. This is not really due to ineffectiveness, but rather a lack of control. In 30 total starts, Bauer lasted an average of 5.7 innings. For arguments sake, let’s round that up to 6.0 innings. In 20 starts where Bauer lasted at least 6.0 innings, he averaged 6.6 strikeouts. In 10 starts where Bauer lasted less than 6.0 innings, he averaged just 3.0 SO. We can easily see that Bauer’s strikeouts depend on his ability to last through a majority of the game. Obviously there are going to be more K in longer outings, but this discrepancy is significant. With a 22.9% K%, we know that Bauer has the stuff to miss a lot of bats. If he can improve his command and go further into ballgames, we can expect to see SO in bunches and most likely a drop WHIP.

Luis Severino

 Upon his mid-season call-up in 2015, Severino lived up to the hype that made him the Yankees’ most highly regarded prospect. Severino made 11 Major League starts, compiling a 2.89 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Batters made contact on 78.7% of Severino’s pitches but were only able to register a .265 BABIP and a .229 average. Only 50.3% of these pitches were inside the strike zone and batters swung and missed on 9.6% of strikes throw by Severino. More importantly, Severino managed a 62.8% F-Strike%, or the percentage of first pitches thrown for strikes. In his first season with a similar workload, Clayton Kershaw only managed a 54.7% F-Strike%. This is not me comparing Luis Severino to Clayton Kershaw by any means. However, the odds of striking a batter out increase dramatically when the first pitch is thrown for a strike rather than for a ball and with a F-Strike% mark like Severino’s we get a glance at the caliber of pitcher he has the potential to be.

The velocity is another aid in Severino’s K upside. The average velocity of his fastball was 95.2mph in 2015, and the average velocity of his slider was 89.0mph in that same year. Even his changeup packed heat, with his average velocity measuring at 87.8mph.

If Severino is able to build on this impressive F-Strike% across a full season of work and maintain the velocity on all three of his pitches, the strikeout possibilities are endless.

 

National League

Raisel Iglesias

It seems that entering the 2016 fantasy baseball season, Raisel Iglesias is on every “sleeper” list in existence, regardless of what aspect of fantasy baseball is being covered. With an inflated 4.15 ERA in 16 starts in 2015 and a 3-7 record, you may be wondering why. A closer look reveals the meat and potatoes of Iglesias’s game and there is actually a lot to like. Iglesias is one of Cincinnati’s many young pitchers, but he is one of the few that has seen some big league action. In the same 16 starts in 2015, Iglesias amassed a 26.3 K% and a 9.82 K/9. Batters swung at 47.4% of his pitches but only compiled a .225 average and a .285 BABIP. Righties were only able to hit .176 against him. Lefties, on the other hand, hit .285 against Iglesias but as the young Cuban pitcher further develops his changeup, the splits should even out a bit more.

Iglesias had trouble maintaining velocity in the later innings of his starts but like a mature ball player, he admitted that conditioning was at the root of these issues. With better conditioning, a more reliable changeup, and the trust of the Cincinnati Reds organization, Iglesias has the potential to miss bats at an even higher rate.

Joe Ross

The Washington Nationals and fantasy owners alike are still trying to figure out what to make of Joe Ross. Going into 2016, the Nats will tab Ross as their fifth starter after going back and forth between the bullpen and the starting rotation for some time. In 13 starts and 76.2 IP, Ross accounted for 69 punchouts, giving him a 22.0% K%. Batters only made contact on 75.5% of Ross’s pitches, leading to a .220 opposing average. We have to wonder what Ross can do with a full season of work. Unlike his brother Tyson Ross of the San Diego Padres, whose lack of command leads to an elevated walk rate, Ross does not exhibit the same qualities; his BB/9 was a suppressed 2.47.

Ross’s fastball is not going to blow anyone away, and he only uses it 57.2% of the time. Ross is a bit craftier, using his slider 35.6% of the time and his changeup 7.1% of the time to keep batters guessing. The interaction between a pitcher and a batter is always a chess match but with Joe Ross, the mind games become even more intense. While other pitchers rely on a cannon of an arm to throw strikes, Ross is more cerebral and uses mind over matter to collect strikeouts.

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

 


Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 30% Now
Import Your Leagues
Props Tool
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Jacoby Brissett

an Emergency Option in Dynasty Leagues
Jared Goff

a Steady Dynasty Option Despite Age, Lack of Rushing Upside?
Daniel Jones

a QB1 When Healthy?
NFL

Nicholas Singleton Cleared to Resume Running
Parker Messick

Flirts With No-Hitter in Latest Gem Against Orioles
Jock Landale

Hawks Plan to Re-Evalute Jock Landale in Two Weeks
Mike Trout

Hits Five Homers in Series Versus Yankees
Jonathan Isaac

Considered Questionable for Matchup Versus Hornets
Moussa Diabaté

Moussa Diabate Listed as Questionable for Friday
Paris Johnson Jr.

Cardinals Pick Up Paris Johnson Jr.'s Fifth-Year Option
Joel Embiid

Expected to Miss Start of Playoffs
CGY

Arsenii Sergeev to Make NHL Debut Thursday
Aleksander Barkov

Cleared for World Championship
New York Giants

Giants Want "a Lot" for Dexter Lawrence
Pierre-Luc Dubois

Dealing With Fractured Hand
Zach Whitecloud

Ready to Rock Thursday
Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers, Derwin James Expected to Pick Up Contract Talks After Draft
Matt Coronato

Available Against Kings
Josh Manson

Expected to Return for Postseason
Nathan MacKinnon

Martin Necas Sit Out Regular-Season Finale
New York Jets

Jets Cancel Visit With David Bailey
NFL

K.C. Concepcion Visits With Chargers, 49ers
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals a Real Threat to Select Jeremiyah Love at No. 3 Overall
Cameron Ward

Should Throw at Minicamp
De'Von Achane

Spotted at Dolphins Training Facilities
Spencer Arrighetti

Fans 10 in Season Debut, to Remain a Focal Point in Rotation?
Nick Pivetta

Dealing With Flexor Strain, Could Miss Months
Nico Hoerner

Homers, Drive in Five in Win Over Phillies
Shota Imanaga

Strikes Out 11 in First Win of the Season
Sal Stewart

Continues to Hit, Goes Deep Twice on Wednesday
Shohei Ohtani

Strikes Out 10 in Win Over Mets
NFL

Can Zacharia Branch Actually Succeed for Fantasy Managers?
Cade Otton

Could be at Risk on Day 1 of NFL Draft
Connor Bedard

Has Two Assists in Season Finale
Claude Giroux

Sends Out Two Assists in Battle of Ontario Win
Tetairoa McMillan

It's Possible That Tetairoa McMillan Has Only Shown His Floor
Tye Kartye

Registers First Career Three-Point Game
T.J. Hockenson

Should Still Have More to Give
Owen Power

Records Two Assists Wednesday
Jordan Love

a Middle-of-the-Road Superflex Option
Esa Lindell

Tallies Two Points in Regular-Season Finale
Reilly Smith

Produces Three-Point Performance Wednesday
Shane Wright

Returns With a Goal Wednesday
Bennedict Mathurin

Leads Clippers in Scoring Wednesday Night
Kristaps Porzingis

Impresses in Play-In Win
Stephen Curry

Leads Warriors to Vital Victory With 35 Points
Desmond Bane

Scores Game-High 34 Points in Play-In Loss
Tyrese Maxey

Guides 76ers Into Playoffs With 31-Point Effort
LaMelo Ball

Receives $60,000 Fine for Tuesday's Actions
Thomas Bryant

Practices in Limited Capacity Wednesday
Spencer Jones

Limited at Wednesday's Practice
Peyton Watson

Limited to Non-Contact Work at Practice
Bam Adebayo

NBA Investigating LaMelo Ball's Trip of Bam Adebayo
Isaiah Jackson

Cleared for Wednesday
Terrance Ferguson

Can Terrance Ferguson Establish a More Consistent Role in 2026?
Dalton Schultz

Could See a Reduced Role in Houston in 2026
Kimani Vidal

Playing Time in Los Angeles an Open Question Heading into 2026
Juwan Johnson

Looking to Build on Breakout 2025 Campaign
Immanuel Quickley

Remains Day-to-Day After Workout
Isaiah Jackson

Probable to Return for Play-In Game
Tyler Kolek

Returns to Practice Ahead of Playoffs
Trendon Watford

Active on Wednesday
Jonathan Isaac

Ruled Out for Play-In Game Wednesday
Dylan Harper

Expected to Suit Up for Game 1 on Sunday
Shohei Ohtani

Will Pitch on Wednesday, But Won't DH
Nick Pivetta

Confident he'll Pitch Again This Year
Alex Lyon

Expected to Miss Playoff Opener
Zach Hyman

Set to Return Thursday
Sam Steel

Back in Action Wednesday
Gustav Forsling

Sits Out Season Finale
Matthew Tkachuk

Rejoins Panthers Lineup Wednesday
TB

Max Crozier Available Against Rangers
Brandon Hagel

Returns for Regular-Season Finale
Trevor Story

Carries Red Sox With Five RBI on Wednesday
Sam Antonacci

Officially Called Up by White Sox
Jorge Soler

Suspension Reduced to Four Games
Harrison Bader

Giants Place Harrison Bader on 10-Day Injured List With Hamstring Strain
CFB

Michigan Lands Commitment From Quarterback Kamden Lopati
Ketel Marte

Serving as Designated Hitter on Wednesday
Kevin McGonigle

Tigers, Kevin McGonigle Agree to Eight-Year Contract Extension
Sahith Theegala

Brings Strong Form Into Harbour Town
Wyndham Clark

Needs Putter to Show Up at RBC Heritage
Ryan Weathers

Allows Four Homers, Strikes Out 10 on Tuesday
Byron Buxton

Sets the Tone for Twins With Two Homers on Tuesday
Hunter Goodman

Homers Twice in Loss to Astros
JJ Wetherholt

Goes Yard Twice in Win Over Guardians
Jacob Bridgeman

Looks to Return to Elite Form at Harbour Town
J.J. Spaun

a Volatile Option at RBC Heritage
PGA

Sungjae Im Offers High-Upside Value at RBC Heritage
Matt Fitzpatrick

Set for Another Strong Showing at RBC Heritage
Jason Day

Eyes Bounce-Back After Sunday Struggles at the Masters
Akshay Bhatia

Looking to Rebound at Harbour Town
Ketel Marte

Diamondbacks Expect Ketel Marte to Return on Wednesday
Cameron Young

Hoping to Secure Second Win of Season at RBC Heritage
Scottie Scheffler

Looks to Win Again at RBC Heritage
Shane Lowry

Has Disappointing Final Round at Masters
Viktor Hovland

Hoping to Build on Final Round at Masters
Brian Harman

Struggling For Consistency Heading to RBC Heritage
Chris Gotterup

Putting Together Outstanding 2026 Season
Justin Thomas

Looks to Defend in Hilton Head
Jordan Spieth

in Search of Improved Putting at RBC Heritage
Marco Penge

May Continue Up-and-Down Ride at the RBC Heritage
Xander Schauffele

Could Get The Job Done at RBC Heritage
Jake Knapp

Keeps Building Strong Results in 2026
Kurt Kitayama

Trying to Regain Form From Florida
Collin Morikawa

Continues to be a Scary DFS Play at RBC Heritage
CFB

Tramell Jones Jr. Outperforms Aaron Philo During Florida's Spring Scrimmage
CFB

Keelon Russell Flashes in Alabama's Spring Game
Ty Gibbs

Holds off the Field for His First Cup Series Victory at Bristol
Ryan Blaney

Earns His First Runner-Up Finish at Bristol
Kyle Larson

Dominant Performance At Bristol Falls Short of Victory
Tyler Reddick

Matches his Career-Best Finish at Bristol
Alex Bowman

Crashes Early at Bristol in Return From Injury
Carlos Ulberg

Is The New Light Heavyweight Champion
Jiří Procházka

Jiri Prochazka Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Azamat Murzakanov

Suffers His First Loss
Paulo Costa

Wins Back-to-Back Fights
Curtis Blaydes

Drops Decision At UFC 327
Josh Hokit

Remains Unbeaten
Carson Hocevar

Is Carson Hocevar A Worthy DFS Option for Bristol Lineups?
NASCAR

Could Bubba Wallace Be A Solid DFS Option for Bristol Lineups?
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF