👉 TAP TO SAVE 30% WITH CODE NEW
X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 30% Now
Import Your Leagues
Props Tool
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

2016 Fantasy Baseball Draft Values: Four Strikeouts Sleepers

Strikeouts are more prevalent in today's game than they've ever been. Real baseball teams are catching on to what fantasy owners have known for some time - a pitcher who can rack up the whiffs is almost always more valuable than one who can't.

Well, they probably knew that before, but as baseball has evolved into its current state, it's become more and more rare to find pitchers who are able to succeed year after year without above-average K rates. What does that mean for fantasy owners? Strikeouts are easier for everyone to find, which makes uncovering potential mid or late-round strikeout artists all the more valuable. Here are four such players to target in your drafts this spring.

Editor's note: For more preseason draft value and sleeper advice, check out our 2016 fantasy baseball rankings dashboard, which is already loaded up with lots of great articles. Aside from staff rankings and ADP analysis across all positions, we also dig into MLB prospect rankings, and dynasty/keeper rankings as well.

 

American League

Trevor Bauer

2015 was an interesting year for Bauer to say the least. Bauer earned wins in two of his first three starts of the season. In these three games, he only allowed 2 earned runs and registered 26 SO in 19.0 IP. Immediately, Bauer was a wavier wire wonder and his ownership percentage was skyrocketing. Unfortunately for Bauer, he would reach double digits SO in only two more starts. This is not really due to ineffectiveness, but rather a lack of control. In 30 total starts, Bauer lasted an average of 5.7 innings. For arguments sake, let’s round that up to 6.0 innings. In 20 starts where Bauer lasted at least 6.0 innings, he averaged 6.6 strikeouts. In 10 starts where Bauer lasted less than 6.0 innings, he averaged just 3.0 SO. We can easily see that Bauer’s strikeouts depend on his ability to last through a majority of the game. Obviously there are going to be more K in longer outings, but this discrepancy is significant. With a 22.9% K%, we know that Bauer has the stuff to miss a lot of bats. If he can improve his command and go further into ballgames, we can expect to see SO in bunches and most likely a drop WHIP.

Luis Severino

 Upon his mid-season call-up in 2015, Severino lived up to the hype that made him the Yankees’ most highly regarded prospect. Severino made 11 Major League starts, compiling a 2.89 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. Batters made contact on 78.7% of Severino’s pitches but were only able to register a .265 BABIP and a .229 average. Only 50.3% of these pitches were inside the strike zone and batters swung and missed on 9.6% of strikes throw by Severino. More importantly, Severino managed a 62.8% F-Strike%, or the percentage of first pitches thrown for strikes. In his first season with a similar workload, Clayton Kershaw only managed a 54.7% F-Strike%. This is not me comparing Luis Severino to Clayton Kershaw by any means. However, the odds of striking a batter out increase dramatically when the first pitch is thrown for a strike rather than for a ball and with a F-Strike% mark like Severino’s we get a glance at the caliber of pitcher he has the potential to be.

The velocity is another aid in Severino’s K upside. The average velocity of his fastball was 95.2mph in 2015, and the average velocity of his slider was 89.0mph in that same year. Even his changeup packed heat, with his average velocity measuring at 87.8mph.

If Severino is able to build on this impressive F-Strike% across a full season of work and maintain the velocity on all three of his pitches, the strikeout possibilities are endless.

 

National League

Raisel Iglesias

It seems that entering the 2016 fantasy baseball season, Raisel Iglesias is on every “sleeper” list in existence, regardless of what aspect of fantasy baseball is being covered. With an inflated 4.15 ERA in 16 starts in 2015 and a 3-7 record, you may be wondering why. A closer look reveals the meat and potatoes of Iglesias’s game and there is actually a lot to like. Iglesias is one of Cincinnati’s many young pitchers, but he is one of the few that has seen some big league action. In the same 16 starts in 2015, Iglesias amassed a 26.3 K% and a 9.82 K/9. Batters swung at 47.4% of his pitches but only compiled a .225 average and a .285 BABIP. Righties were only able to hit .176 against him. Lefties, on the other hand, hit .285 against Iglesias but as the young Cuban pitcher further develops his changeup, the splits should even out a bit more.

Iglesias had trouble maintaining velocity in the later innings of his starts but like a mature ball player, he admitted that conditioning was at the root of these issues. With better conditioning, a more reliable changeup, and the trust of the Cincinnati Reds organization, Iglesias has the potential to miss bats at an even higher rate.

Joe Ross

The Washington Nationals and fantasy owners alike are still trying to figure out what to make of Joe Ross. Going into 2016, the Nats will tab Ross as their fifth starter after going back and forth between the bullpen and the starting rotation for some time. In 13 starts and 76.2 IP, Ross accounted for 69 punchouts, giving him a 22.0% K%. Batters only made contact on 75.5% of Ross’s pitches, leading to a .220 opposing average. We have to wonder what Ross can do with a full season of work. Unlike his brother Tyson Ross of the San Diego Padres, whose lack of command leads to an elevated walk rate, Ross does not exhibit the same qualities; his BB/9 was a suppressed 2.47.

Ross’s fastball is not going to blow anyone away, and he only uses it 57.2% of the time. Ross is a bit craftier, using his slider 35.6% of the time and his changeup 7.1% of the time to keep batters guessing. The interaction between a pitcher and a batter is always a chess match but with Joe Ross, the mind games become even more intense. While other pitchers rely on a cannon of an arm to throw strikes, Ross is more cerebral and uses mind over matter to collect strikeouts.

 

MLB & Fantasy Baseball Chat Room

[iflychat_embed id="c-12" hide_user_list="yes" hide_popup_chat="no" height="400px"]

 


Check out RotoBaller's entire fantasy baseball waiver wire pickups and sleepers list, updated daily!




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

#1 Expert Projections
Save 30% Now
Import Your Leagues
Props Tool
Compare Any Players
Compare Any Players
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Nick Pivetta

Heads to 15-Day Injured List
Jonathan Isaac

Questionable for Wednesday
Dillon Brooks

Available for Tuesday's Play-In Game Against Portland
Pelle Larsson

Active on Tuesday
John Marino

a Game-Time Call Tuesday
Austin Reaves

Slated to Miss at Least One More Week
Pyotr Kochetkov

Starting for Hurricanes Tuesday
Gabriel Moreno

Diamondbacks Put Gabriel Moreno on 10-Day Injured List With Oblique Strain
Matvei Gridin

Returns to Action Tuesday
Cole Ragans

Returning to the Mound on Tuesday Against Tigers
Ryan Pulock

Unavailable for Season Finale
Luis Arraez

Back in Giants Lineup on Tuesday
Evander Kane

Not Expected to Play This Week
Erik Karlsson

Kris Letang Won't Play Tuesday
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic Set to Miss at Least One More Week
Sidney Crosby

Evgeni Malkin Resting on Tuesday
Dallas Cowboys

Cowboys Looking to Trade Up in the First Round of 2026 NFL Draft?
Jackson Chourio

Estimated Return Pushed Back to Early May
Christian Yelich

Expected to Return in Mid-to-Late May
Jackson Holliday

to be Shut Down a Few Days With Wrist Soreness
Si Woo Kim

Has Become Less Reliable Ahead of RBC Heritage
NFL

Teams Concerned About Rueben Bain Jr.'s Off-the-Field Issues
Brandon Allen

Giants Sign Brandon Allen to Add to QB Room
Denver Broncos

Eli Stowers Visiting With Broncos
Dontayvion Wicks

Could End Up Being Eagles WR2
New York Jets

Omar Cooper Jr. Visits With Jets on Monday
Miami Dolphins

Makai Lemon Visits With Dolphins on Monday
Ja'Tavion Sanders

Looks Good After Ankle Surgery
Tank Dell

2026 Availability Still a Mystery
Bhayshul Tuten

to Have Much Bigger Role in 2026?
DeVonta Smith

Eagles Think DeVonta Smith Could be an Elite WR1
De'Von Achane

Dolphins, De'Von Achane Not Close to Contract Extension
Russell Henley

Looks to Carry Momentum Into Harbour Town
Christian Yelich

Placed on 10-Day Injured List With Groin Strain
Jeremiah Jackson

has Career Day on Monday
Jake Burger

Goes Yard Twice in Win Over A's
Mike Trout

Two Homers, Five RBI Not Enough at Yankee Stadium
Tommy Fleetwood

a Good Ball-Striking Play at RBC Heritage
Trent Grisham

Comes Off the Bench to Hit Two Homers
Aaron Judge

Homers Twice on Monday in Win Over Angels
Sam Burns

Hopes to Carry Good Form to Harbour Town
Harris English

Solid but Not Spectacular in 2026
Daniel Berger

Could Contend Again at Hilton Head
Joe Mixon

Is There Any Value Still to Be Squeezed From Joe Mixon?
Marvin Mims Jr.

Likely the Odd Man Out in a Crowded Broncos Receiver Room
RJ Harvey

Ceiling Likely Still Capped in Year 2
Mark Scheifele

Establishes New Franchise Record With 101 Points
Baker Mayfield

Can Baker Mayfield Regain QB1 Status?
Quinton Byfield

Scores Twice in Playoff Clincher
Porter Martone

Extends Point Streak to Five Games
Brian Robinson Jr.

Could Have Standalone Flex Value as High-Level Insurance Back
Macklin Celebrini

Nets Two Goals Against Predators
Matt Duchene

Registers Three Assists Monday Night
Nikita Kucherov

Hits 130-Point Mark in Monday's Overtime Win
Jack Eichel

Collects Four Points Against Jets
Jordan Goodwin

Returns From Two-Game Absence
Jerami Grant

Tagged as Questionable for Tuesday
Grayson Allen

Questionable Tuesday
Jalen Green

Cleared for Action Tuesday
Devin Booker

Available Tuesday
Immanuel Quickley

Considered Day-to-Day
Joel Embiid

Expected to Miss Play-In Tournament
Nolan Arenado

Hits Two Homers, Drives in Five on Monday
Brandon Lowe

Stays Hot in Monday's Blowout Win Over Nationals
Kyle Schwarber

Goes Deep Twice on Monday in Win Over Cubs
Tucker Kraft

Worth Buying Low in Dynasty Leagues?
Jackson Holliday

Not Expected to Come Off Injured List This Week
Jakobi Meyers

the Jaguars Receiver to Target in Dynasty Leagues?
Tage Thompson

Reaches 40 Goals
Jayden Higgins

Is Jayden Higgins a Year 2 Breakout Candidate?
Mavrik Bourque

has a Hat Trick on Monday
Sam LaPorta

a Buy-Low Target Coming Off of Injury
Patrick Cantlay

Finding Form Heading to RBC Heritage
Ludvig Aberg

Continues Playing Well Heading to RBC Heritage
Ryan Mountcastle

Orioles Place Ryan Mountcastle on 60-Day Injured List With Foot Fracture
Dru Smith

Ruled Out Against Hornets on Tuesday
Pelle Larsson

Considered Questionable for Tuesday
Simone Fontecchio

Slated to Suit Up Against Hornets
Nikola Jović

Nikola Jovic Unavailable for Tuesday
Frank Nazar

Good to Go Monday
Luka Dončić

Luka Doncic to be Re-Evaluated on Tuesday
Brandon Hagel

Misses Monday's Action
Radek Faksa

Michael Bunting, Radek Faksa Rejoin Stars Lineup Monday
MIN

Wild Resting Several Key Players Monday
Jared McCann

to Miss Kraken's Last Three Games
Merrill Kelly

to Make his Season Debut on Tuesday
Tatsuya Imai

Going on 15-Day Injured List With Arm Fatigue
CFB

Tramell Jones Jr. Outperforms Aaron Philo During Florida's Spring Scrimmage
Jeremy Peña

Jeremy Pena Lands on 10-Day Injured List With Hamstring Strain
CFB

Keelon Russell Flashes in Alabama's Spring Game
Ty Gibbs

Holds off the Field for His First Cup Series Victory at Bristol
Ryan Blaney

Earns His First Runner-Up Finish at Bristol
Kyle Larson

Dominant Performance At Bristol Falls Short of Victory
Tyler Reddick

Matches his Career-Best Finish at Bristol
Alex Bowman

Crashes Early at Bristol in Return From Injury
Derik Queen

has 30-Point, 22-Rebound Season Finale
Ryan Nembhard

Sets Rookie Assist Record
Carlos Ulberg

Is The New Light Heavyweight Champion
Cade Cunningham

Records 14 Assists Sunday
Jiří Procházka

Jiri Prochazka Suffers First-Round Knockout Loss
Milwaukee Bucks

Doc Rivers Departs as Bucks Head Coach
Azamat Murzakanov

Suffers His First Loss
Paulo Costa

Wins Back-to-Back Fights
Curtis Blaydes

Drops Decision At UFC 327
Josh Hokit

Remains Unbeaten
Carson Hocevar

Is Carson Hocevar A Worthy DFS Option for Bristol Lineups?
NASCAR

Could Bubba Wallace Be A Solid DFS Option for Bristol Lineups?
Carlos Ulberg

A Slight Underdog
Jiří Procházka

Jiri Prochazka Can Become UFC Champion Again
Paulo Costa

Makes his Light-Heavyweight Debut
Azamat Murzakanov

Looks To Remain Unbeaten
Josh Hokit

Looks To Remain Undefeated
Curtis Blaydes

A Favorite At UFC 327
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF