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Top 100 Saves+Holds Rankings for Fantasy Baseball Relief Pitchers (July Update)

Jeff Hoffman - fantasy baseball closers pitchers relievers rankings draft sleepers waiver wire pickups

Hello and welcome to a summertime update of our Saves+Holds reliever ranks! Fear not, those who venture out beyond the traditional 5x5 scoring where a reliever's worth boils down to their ability to generate saves. We've got you covered with this fun piece exploring fantasy baseball bullpens beyond the ninth inning.

A closer's role is undoubtedly important, but managers continue to evolve by introducing more fluid bullpen roles that allow them to deploy their best arm earlier if needed, all while shuffling who gets the ninth. Saves+Holds (or Solds, or SV+HLD) leagues help fantasy leagues reward the best arms regardless of the inning, though it still favors closers in a vacuum. Be sure to also check out our constantly updated fantasy baseball closers and saves depth charts.

Reminder: A hold is recorded when a relief pitcher enters with a lead of three runs or less, or with the tying run on deck, at the plate, or on base, and maintains that lead while recording at least one out. Read on and you'll see where I rank each player, what tier they're in, and then an entertaining bullpen breakdown with some June stat spotlights. While I look for pitchers used in high-leverage situations, this is also about how good the arm is and how efficient their K/9 works for many of you. Most injured arms are omitted.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and weekly lineup resources:

 

2024 Saves+Holds Rankings - Mixed Leagues (July Update)

Rankings as of July 1, 2024

Rank Tier Player Team Lg
1 1 Emmanuel Clase CLE AL
2 1 Ryan Helsley STL NL
3 1 Craig Kimbrel BAL AL
4 1 Mason Miller OAK AL
5 1 Josh Hader HOU AL
6 2 Edwin Diaz NYM NL
7 2 Evan Phillips LAD NL
8 2 Pete Fairbanks TB AL
9 2 Raisel Iglesias ATL NL
10 2 Paul Sewald ARI NL
11 2 Trevor Megill MIL NL
12 2 Griffin Jax MIN AL
13 3 Jhoan Duran MIN AL
14 3 Andres Munoz SEA AL
15 3 Clay Holmes NYY AL
16 3 Robert Suarez SD NL
17 3 Jose Alvarado PHI NL
18 3 Jeff Hoffman PHI NL
19 3 Tanner Scott MIA NL
20 4 Camilo Doval SF NL
21 4 Jason Adam TB AL
22 4 JoJo Romero STL NL
23 4 Kirby Yates TEX AL
24 4 Kenley Jansen BOS AL
25 4 Carlos Estevez LAA AL
26 4 Yennier Cano BAL AL
27 4 Kyle Finnegan WAS NL
28 4 David Robertson TEX AL
29 5 Matt Strahm PHI NL
30 5 Bryan Hudson MIL NL
31 5 Ryan Pressly HOU AL
32 5 Alex Vesia LAD NL
33 5 Ryan Walker SF NL
34 5 A.J. Minter ATL NL
35 6 Alexis Diaz CIN NL
36 6 Reed Garrett NYM NL
37 6 Andrew Kittredge STL NL
38 6 Bryan Abreu HOU AL
39 6 James McArthur KC AL
40 6 Jason Foley DET AL
41 6 Aroldis Chapman PIT NL
42 6 Ryne Stanek SEA AL
43 6 Luke Weaver NYY AL
44 6 Orion Kerkering PHI NL
45 6 Daniel Hudson LAD NL
46 6 Colin Holderman PIT NL
47 6 Scott Barlow CLE AL
48 6 Hunter Gaddis CLE AL
49 6 Cade Smith CLE AL
50 6 Chad Green TOR AL
51 6 Chris Martin BOS AL
52 6 Jeremiah Estrada SD NL
53 7 Michael Kopech CHW AL
54 7 Fernando Cruz CIN NL
55 7 Lucas Erceg OAK AL
56 7 Joe Jimenez ATL NL
57 7 Kevin Ginkel ARI NL
58 7 A.J. Puk MIA NL
59 7 Blake Treinen LAD NL
60 7 Tyler Rogers SF NL
61 7 Colin Poche TB AL
62 7 Hunter Harvey WAS NL
63 7 Pierce Johnson ATL NL
64 8 Ben Joyce LAA AL
65 8 Adam Ottavino NYM NL
66 8 Kevin Kelly TB AL
67 8 Tommy Kahnle NYY AL
68 8 Garrett Cleavinger TB AL
69 8 Ryan Fernandez STL NL
70 8 Elvis Peguero MIL NL
71 8 Jorge Alcala MIN AL
72 8 Chris Stratton KC AL
73 8 Justin Slaten BOS AL
74 8 Sam Hentges CLE AL
75 8 Tyler Holton DET AL
76 8 Dedniel Nunez NYM NL
77 8 Nate Pearson TOR AL
78 8 John Brebbia CHW AL
79 8 Robert Garcia WAS NL
80 8 Tayler Scott HOU AL
81 8 Andrew Nardi MIA NL
82 8 Yohan Ramirez LAD NL
83 8 Cionel Perez BAL AL
84 8 Tyson Miller CHC NL
85 8 Tim Herrin CLE AL
86 9 Enyel De Los Santos SD NL
87 9 Beau Brieske DET AL
88 9 Adrian Morejon SD NL
89 9 Jose Leclerc TEX AL
90 9 Justin Martinez ARI NL
91 9 Trent Thornton SEA AL
92 9 Giovanny Gallegos STL NL
93 9 Gregory Soto PHI NL
94 9 Austin Voth SEA AL
95 9 John Schreiber KC AL
96 9 Jacob Webb BAL AL
97 9 Hector Neris CHC NL
98 9 Porter Hodge CHC NL
99 9 Sam Moll CIN NL
100 9 Tayler Saucedo SEA AL

Saves+Holds Rankings Analysis

Let’s have some fun with June RP leaderboards since I’ll be doing a bullpen-by-bullpen team breakdown shortly. That’s typically how I lay this analysis out but we’ll look at recent movement this time around instead. Assume the qualifier here for ranks is a pool of 261 RPs with at least five innings thrown in June:

Ryan Walker, Robert Garcia, Dylan Lee, and Luke Little all hold a piece of the top five in terms of Called Strike + Whiffs rate (CSW%), posting 36.8% or greater on the month. Danny Young was above them all, trailing only the top three of Raisel Iglesias, David Robertson, and Ryan Helsley, but the Mets saw fit to option Young again in their infinite bullpen wisdom. Walker and Garcia are in nice spots, with Walker seeing more high leverage. Lee and Little are still seeking consistent late usage.

For “fun,” there is one key name in the bottom five of that CSW list: Robert Suarez at 18.7%. The San Diego stopper still holds an elite 1.09 ERA/0.79 WHIP with a 24.4% strikeout rate on the year, but let’s zoom in on June. That K rate sunk over 10 percentage points from May’s 28.9% mark to 18.2%, yet he still only walked one batter in eight frames. Fangraphs has his hard-hit rate at a paltry 15.4%, down from 35.5% in May, which is how you survive fewer strikes.

Who might have some luck swings coming? Reliever stats are notorious for being rooted in small samples, with even a full season’s worth of data easily able to outrun peripherals that suggest otherwise. Drilling that down to a single month gets even more fraught, but it can still identify buy/sell opportunities. If a pitcher has a BABIP below .100 in a month then it’s reasonable to expect regression from that moving forward, even if one allows for that being realistic in a month of RP work.

Hans Crouse of the Angels is the only one with a .000 BABIP in June, striking out seven with two walks in his five frames of work. He hasn’t recorded a hold yet and has a “failed starting pitcher prospect” aura about him from stints with Texas and Philadelphia. Oh, but that is where some of our best relievers are born from! All I’ll say is Crouse had 42 strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA (2.91 FIP/2.34 xFIP) in 23 ⅓ IP of relief work at Triple-A before the late-June promotion. Oh, and his 1.07 WHIP had a .357 BABIP behind it so he’s not just a luck merchant. Stash it away. Maybe he'll appear in the August update.

Otherwise, here are the six RPs with a BABIP below .100 in June alongside their April-May BABIP: Tyson Miller (.043, .213), Mason Miller (.053, .314), Bryan Hudson (.080, .200), Colin Poche (.087, .300), Paul Sewald (.091, .125), and Carlos Estevez (.095, .304). These are recognizable names, especially as this writer clamors for Miller to get save opportunities in a maligned Cubbie bullpen. Sewald is simply having a great time on the bump, but feel free to dish him to anyone who thinks he's Mr. Perfect.

There are a handful of interesting RPs with high June BABIPs as well: Jeremiah Estrada (.483, .148), David Robertson (.467, .250), and Nate Pearson (.423, .304).

Estrada’s usage and velocity haven’t markedly changed, but his four-seamer in-zone rate fell from ~60% to ~40% while his slider essentially did the opposite. And yet his expected batting average on either offering did not jump above .200 – but his third pitch, the splitter, looks like a culprit. Its xBA soared to .356 (actual AVG .462) after holding batters to one hit on 61 thrown in April and May (~.100 xBA). Again, the pitch metrics look healthy so I’m not worried. I expect that peak form to return shortly, even if the big whiffs come with some barreled mistakes.

Robertson is arguably one of June’s best relievers but he couldn’t escape unfortunate batted-ball placement. He led the aforementioned group of 261 RPs with a 48.6% strikeout rate, a 0.75 SIERA, a 0.48 xFIP, and a 75% groundball rate. It’s incredible to witness an age-39 form like this, but maybe a team or two out there don’t realize what they have with the 4.00 ERA/1.11 WHIP over the last month.

Pearson gave up nine runs in 10 ⅔ IP last month thanks in large part to four home runs surrendered. The damage was exacerbated by the batted-ball luck because a 16:3 K:BB sure didn’t hurt. Expectations for the 27-year-old are less than Estrada/Robertson, but the Blue Jays may also flip Chad Green and/or Yimi Garcia at the deadline. Erik Swanson is floundering at Triple-A.

Pearson’s 2.47 SIERA in June ranked 40th with not only the poor BABIP but a bottom 20 28.6% HR/FB rate. I’d rather speculate on K:BB as a building block than BABIP or HR/FB, but there’s no question that Pearson needs to clean up the meatballs.

Let’s take a moment to look at velocity trends, comparing June to the earlier months. I was one of those terrified by Emmanuel Clase’s workload seemingly diminishing his form last season. Cleveland has not eased off in 2024 but what has Clase done? Ramp his cutter up to an average of 100.3 mph, giving him the best monthly figure on that since June 2021. And after his slider sat around 90 mph in April and May, that also climbed to 91.3 mph in June. He's getting better as the season progresses! Rostering any piece of CLE's bullpen seems like an automatic win in this format.

Others who gained over a full tick on their fastball in June: Aroldis Chapman, Raisel Iglesias, Edwin Diaz, and David Bednar. One key reliever of interest lost some life, as Andres Munoz continues to cede some effectiveness amidst this lower-back issue that he’s managing. Seattle’s closer went from a beautiful 38.3% K-BB% in May to 8.6% in June, losing whiffs while the walks rose. Overall, his walk rate with the bases empty is 3.8% versus 18.5% with men on. His second half will look to avoid further inconsistency and potential back flare-ups.

Munoz joins Jhoan Duran, who has shown decreased velocity all season long, in a mini-tier of “incredible potential but sporting a massive red flag.” At least Duran still has a ~1.00 WHIP on the season, but middling strikeout rates in the 20-25% range are not the monthly splits we’ve come to expect. Instead of pumping 103 mph, he’s maxing out at 100. It could be far worse – a weakened Duran is still better than many RPs – but I can’t put him above Griffin Jax, who sports superior whiffs and ratios.

Finally, the good news in any Solds format is that traditional worries over role changes due to trades are mitigated. Tanner Scott’s fantasy value will likely plunge in save-focused leagues as contenders have a closer in place, but there’s no way he doesn’t stay in high-leverage spots to at least nab holds. This also goes for injury displacements. Trevor Megill has been lights out but Devin Williams could be back within a month. The saves would dry up but the solds shouldn’t. Keep ‘em coming!

Did you have fun here? We hope so! Keep your eyes peeled for a team-by-team bullpen breakdown coming soon from yours truly. Be sure to holler at me if there's anyone in particular you want to get the spotlight.



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