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Houston Astros starting pitcher Zack Greinke is a 2021 fantasy baseball draft value. His ADP is undervalued, making him a potential draft bargain and late-round sleeper to target.
BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 90
CURRENT ADP: ~106 overall
ANALYSIS: Greinke is once again going pretty late with an ADP of above 100. Even at age 37, he's pretty attractive at that price point given that he had managed 200+ innings three consecutive years before 2020 where he racked up 67. The strikeout rate is not going to be through the roof (8.6, 8.1, and 9.0 K/9 rates the last three years), but he is as good a bet as anybody to flirt with 200 innings pitched in 2021, which will help him tremendously in catching up in total strikeouts.
There is also the element of how much teams want to protect their pitchers for future years. With guys like Greinke, there's way less to worry about on that front. The Astros are not going to be concerned about putting too many innings on Greinke's arm this year for fear of losing innings from him in the future. That heightens his chances even more of throwing more innings than the vast majority of starters. You can have Greinke as an SP2 or SP3 and chances are you'll be pleased with how many strikeouts he gets you at that price.
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