Zach Ertz (TE, PHI) - 2021 Fantasy Football Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~150 Overall

CURRENT ADP: ~170

ANALYSIS:  I understand that this ADP is because most people think Ertz is on his way out of Philadelphia to allow Dallas Goedert to take over the reins at the position, but I think we might be jumping the gun on that a bit.

So not only is Ertz seeing more targets and playing more snaps than Goedert, but Ertz also stated that he wants to retire an Eagle. Ertz also led the Eagles in target share last year at 18.6% while playing 81.3% of snaps, most on the team. Many will say, "Yeah, but what did he do with those snaps and targets?" The truth is, not so much; however, I think much of that has to do with Carson Wentz and not a massive decline for Ertz.

The tight end averaged three yards of separation, per Next Gen Stats, which is the same as Darren Waller. Ertz also had only a 50% catch rate but just five drops on the year, which suggests that many of the passes he was seeing were not entirely catchable.

What's also worth pointing out is that the Eagles moved Ertz around in the formation more than Goedert last year and used Ertz way more as a receiver, while Goedert does comparably more blocking.

I think this preseason has clearly shown us that, now that Ertz is remaining with the Eagles, he is still going to be a major part of this offense. Ertz will remain an active receiving tight end; yet, he's being taken after guys like Cole Kmet, Adam Trautman, and Hunter Henry. Give me the discount on a former elite tight end every time. In the later rounds of drafts, Ertz is an easy flier to take, especially in PPR formats. For such a low cost, it wouldn't take much for him to exceed his draft-day cost, and we've seen him have some huge seasons in the past.

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