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The NASCAR Cup Series heads to Martinsville on Sunday for the final race of the Round of 8. After Sunday's race, the Championship 4 will be set. Christopher Bell and Kyle Larson have already clinched spots, but who else will join them?
William Byron is 30 points above the cut line while Ryan Blaney is 10 points to the good. Tyler Reddick, Martin Truex Jr, and Denny Hamlin all have chances to get in on points depending on how Sunday's race goes, while Chris Buescher essentially faces a must-win.
Below are my NASCAR DFS lineup picks for the Xfinity 500 on DraftKings and FanDuel this week. This slate locks on 10/29/23 at 2:05 PM ET. If you have any questions or want to talk about NASCAR, you can find me on Twitter at @juscarts.
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DFS Lineup Picks - DraftKings, FanDuel
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Kyle Larson
Starts Fifth - DK: $11,000, FD: $13,500
Kyle Larson has been very good at Martinsville since joining Hendrick Motorsports, with three top fives in his five starts since 2021. That includes a victory when the Cup Series was here back in April, as Larson started 19th and finished with the win after leading 30 laps.
That marked the third time in the last four Cup Series races here that Larson has spent double-digit laps at the front of the field. He starts fifth on Sunday and should be viewed as one of the biggest threats to win the race.
He's already clinched a spot in the next round, but that didn't stop him from contending last week at Homestead. He might have won that race if it hadn't been for him crashing into the barrels at the end of pit road, suddenly ending his day.
Joey Logano
Starts 15th - DK: $9,800, FD: $9,000
Joey Logano can't win the championship this season, but he can still make some noise to end the year. Logano should be a big threat to win Sunday's race.
While he starts 15th, that hasn't really hurt Logano at Martinsville. This will be the fourth Cup Series race in a row here that Logano has started between 12th and 15th. In the previous three, he has finishes of second, sixth, and second.
Overall, Logano has recorded a top 10 in eight consecutive Martinsville starts, with four top fives in that span. He's also won here once in Cup, dominating the 2018 fall race as he led 309 of 500 laps.
Kyle Busch
Starts 31st - DK: $9,000, FD: $9,500
Kyle Busch is this week's place differential chalk play, as a poor qualifying run puts him way back in 31st. That's despite Busch showing some speed in practice.
Considering Busch has an average finish of 14.35 this season, it's pretty obvious why he should be in Cash lineups this week. Even factoring in that he's had two consecutive finishes outside the top 20 here, Busch's place differential upside can't be ignored.
Busch has two Cup Series wins here, as he dominated the 2016 spring race, leading 352 of 500 laps, and then won again in the fall 2017 race.
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Chase Briscoe
Starts Third - DK: $7,300, FD: $7,500
Normally, I'd fade a Stewart-Haas driver that was starting this high, especially when that driver isn't Kevin Harvick. But SHR showed a lot of speed when the Cup Series was here earlier this year and the team was fast again in qualifying on Saturday.
Back in April, Chase Briscoe finished fifth in the NOCO 400. He started fourth and led 109 laps, the second-most of any driver. The most laps led? 135 by his Stewart-Haas teammate Ryan Preece. Kevin Harvick led 20 laps, while Aric Almirola was the only SHR driver not to lead. However, Almirola finished sixth.
Briscoe has three consecutive top-10 finishes at Martinsville, including a ninth in this race last year. He was also seventh in his only Xfinity start here. Could Briscoe end up being a surprise winner on Sunday?
Erik Jones
Starts 29th - DK: $6,700, FD: $4,000
Erik Jones is another solid place differential option. While he was only 31st here in April, he had three consecutive top-20 finishes at Martinsville before that, including an eight in the 2021 fall race.
Legacy Motor Club has been really hit-or-miss this season, but it's felt like the team has had better speed lately, even if Jones hasn't managed to get a lot of great finishes out of this car. He has a good shot to sneak into the top 15 if he can run a clean race.
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Starts 20th - DK: $6,100, FD: $4,800
Martinsville has never been Ricky Stenhouse Jr.'s best track, but he ran well here back in April. After qualifying 16th, Stenhouse worked his way up to an eighth-place finish. His other two top 10s at this track both came in 2017, when he finished 10th in both races.
Over his last six Cup Series starts here, Stenhouse has four top-20 results. I think there's some really solid value here for Stenhouse at this price based on his earlier performance here this year.
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