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Wide Receiver Sleepers, Risers, Fantasy Football Breakouts - Targets, Air Yards, Snaps Trends Analysis for Week 8
Targets are paramount when it comes to evaluating pass-catchers for fantasy football. There are no air yards, receiving yards, receptions, or touchdowns without first earning a target. There’s a reason the biggest and most consistent target-earners are among the top fantasy point scorers: they can be relied on by not just their team’s offense to earn targets and produce on those targets.
We’ll take a weekly team-by-team look into these target earners and separate the wheat from the chaff. To properly lead into what we’ll be looking at this season, we’ll have to establish a baseline of the most important things we’re looking at with targets and other receiving metrics that paint the full picture for who we should be rostering, who we should be adding, and who we can drop.
Everything we’ll discuss in this season’s WR/TE/RB Targets, Air Yards, and Snaps trends analysis article will be some of the best statistics and metrics correlating with fantasy football production. Think of targets as a page in a coloring book, representing the outline yet to be colored. Coloring on that page adds context and flavor to that page. That’s what we’ll do with targets--adding more context than just box score stats.
Note: Statistics from our player pages at RotoBaller were included during the compilation of data, while Pro Football Reference, PFF, Fantasy Points Data, NFELO, NFL NextGenStats, NFL Pro+, RotoViz, ESPN Stats and Info, SumerSports, and Nathan Jahnke's Immediate Fantasy Football Takeaways article for that particular week were also used as resources in the creation of this article.
Important Links
We're also providing a full table with statistics for each week HERE.
Largest Target Share % Increases from Week 6 To Week 7
| Name | Pos. | Team | WK 6 Target Share | WK 7 Target Share | Diff (+/-) |
| Cedric Tillman | WR | CLE | 0.0% | 23.9% | +23.9% |
| Mason Tipton | WR | NO | 2.9% | 23.1% | +20.2% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 15.4% | 34.8% | +19.4% |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | ARI | 6.3% | 25.0% | +18.8% |
| Tre Tucker | WR | LV | 2.9% | 21.2% | +18.4% |
| Romeo Doubs | WR | GB | 13.3% | 30.3% | +17.0% |
| Troy Franklin | WR | DEN | 10.3% | 26.1% | +15.7% |
| Jalen McMillan | WR | TB | 2.9% | 17.8% | +14.9% |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders | TE | CAR | 19.4% | 33.3% | +13.9% |
| Khalil Shakir | WR | BUF | 8.7% | 22.6% | +13.9% |
| Will Dissly | TE | LAC | 16.7% | 29.7% | +13.1% |
| Stefon Diggs | WR | HOU | 24.1% | 36.8% | +12.7% |
| DJ Turner | WR | LV | 8.6% | 21.2% | +12.6% |
| Van Jefferson | WR | PIT | 0.0% | 12.0% | +12.0% |
| Hunter Henry | TE | NE | 13.3% | 25.0% | +11.7% |
Cedric Tillman saw a massive bump up thanks to the Browns trading Amari Cooper and with plenty of players out for the Saints, you can the same for Mason Tipton. Both Las Vegas Raiders starting wide receivers showed up here as the volume was there, but with the quarterback change back to Gardner Minshew following the Aidan O'Connell broken thumb, that volume was incredibly volatile and inefficient.
Some role changes highlight this chart this week, as Troy Franklin saw some consistent volume on Thursday Night Football, as did Ja'Tavion Sanders with the Panthers. Sanders was literally the only thing working in the passing game for the Panthers as they got steamrolled by the Commanders in Week 7.
Largest Target Share % Decreases from Week 6 To Week 7
| Name | Pos. | Team | WK 6 Target Share | WK 7 Target Share | Diff (+/-) |
| Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 36.0% | 5.3% | -30.7% |
| Emari Demercado | RB | ARI | 21.9% | 0.0% | -21.9% |
| Demario Douglas | WR | NE | 30.0% | 8.3% | -21.7% |
| DeAndre Hopkins | WR | TEN | 24.0% | 2.6% | -21.4% |
| Darius Slayton | WR | NYG | 32.4% | 11.5% | -20.8% |
| Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | 20.7% | 0.0% | -20.7% |
| Noah Brown | WR | WAS | 24.2% | 4.0% | -20.2% |
| Chris Godwin | WR | TB | 37.1% | 20.0% | -17.1% |
| Dalton Schultz | TE | HOU | 27.6% | 10.5% | -17.1% |
| Josh Downs | WR | IND | 27.0% | 10.0% | -17.0% |
| Ameer Abdullah | RB | LV | 14.3% | 0.0% | -14.3% |
| Drake London | WR | ATL | 37.0% | 22.9% | -14.2% |
| Tyler Goodson | RB | IND | 13.5% | 0.0% | -13.5% |
| Gabe Davis | WR | JAC | 22.9% | 10.5% | -12.3% |
| Theo Johnson | TE | NYG | 11.8% | 0.0% | -11.8% |
With Zay Flowers suffering an injury and Demario Douglas getting sick, it was tough on some of the pass catchers here. Not as tough as for Chris Godwin certainly, even though his season-ending injury didn't come until the latter part of Monday Night Football against the Ravens.
Some quarterback issues and lack of involvement plagued guys like DeAndre Hopkins, Courtland Sutton, Josh Downs, Dalton Schultz, and Tyler Goodson, as it was pretty clearly expressed in their respective team recaps, especially for the Indianapolis Colts with Downs and Goodson.
Arizona Cardinals
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | 6 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 41.6% | 90.0% | 84.2% | 9.8 | 25.0% | 27.8% | 22.2% | 0.78 | 5.1 | WR55 |
| Greg Dortch | WR | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 6.4% | 36.7% | 29.8% | 4.5 | 8.3% | 11.1% | 18.2% | 0.45 | 7.5 | WR44 |
| Michael Wilson | WR | 3 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 25.5% | 73.3% | 77.2% | 12.0 | 12.5% | 16.7% | 13.6% | 0.68 | 2.5 | WR84 |
| Zay Jones | WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.8% | 26.7% | 19.3% | 11.0 | 4.2% | 5.6% | 12.5% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR104 |
| Zach Pascal | WR | 6.7% | 3.5% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Trey McBride | TE | 6 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 24.6% | 90.0% | 94.7% | 5.8 | 25.0% | 27.8% | 22.2% | 1.89 | 10.1 | TE16 |
| Elijah Higgins | TE | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2.1% | 26.7% | 36.8% | -3.0 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 12.5% | 0.13 | 1.1 | TE50 |
| Tip Reiman | TE | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 52.6% | 0.0 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 0.08 | 1.1 | TE50 |
| James Conner | RB | 4 | 2 | 51 | 0 | -3.7% | 70.0% | 84.2% | -1.3 | 16.7% | 11.1% | 19.0% | 2.43 | 17.2 | RB15 |
| Trey Benson | RB | 3.3% | 7.0% | 0.0 | RB76 | ||||||||||
| Emari Demercado | RB | 3.3% | 10.5% | 1.4 | RB66 |
Cardinals Notes From Week 7:
The Cardinals didn’t do too much on offense, but didn’t really need to as the Chargers tried to let Cameron Dicker beat them into field goal submission and unbelievably (sarcasm) that didn’t work!
James Conner (18-101 rushing; four targets, 2-51) continues to be one of the most underappreciated running backs of the last decade or so as the guy just produces without any rhyme or reason. As the old Simpsons joke goes, he’s a running back “you can set your watch to.”
In the passing game, Kyler Murray only threw for 145 yards on the night but rushed for 64 yards and a touchdown on the ground. Seeing most of that passing volume was Conner and Trey McBride (six targets, 5-51), who led Arizona in targets, receptions, and tied in yards with Conner. Greg Dortch (two targets, 1-5-1) caught a touchdown, and “short king autumn” rolls on.
Marvin Harrison Jr. (six targets, 3-21, 90% routes) has been pretty disappointing this season, with no better than a WR57 finish in the last three weeks and 10.7 fantasy points in the last three weeks combined. In a season where played like Malik Nabers, Brian Thomas, Brock Bowers, and others are asserting themselves, not seeing Harrison do anything close to that with consistency feels like a real missed opportunity.
He’s been “fine” on the rookie curve, but maybe we’re expecting a little much out of rookie pass-catchers because we’ve been so spoiled over the last half-decade.
Marvin Harrison Jr., Sacrificial X-receiver. https://t.co/REI5ChdJon
— Matt Harmon (@MattHarmon_BYB) October 21, 2024
Atlanta Falcons
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Drake London | WR | 8 | 6 | 63 | 1 | 33.4% | 94.9% | 89.0% | 10.6 | 22.9% | 30.8% | 21.6% | 1.70 | 18.3 | WR8 |
| Darnell Mooney | WR | 7 | 5 | 46 | 0 | 23.7% | 94.9% | 87.7% | 8.6 | 20.0% | 26.9% | 18.9% | 1.24 | 9.6 | WR32 |
| Ray-Ray McCloud III | WR | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 15.5% | 92.3% | 87.7% | 9.8 | 11.4% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 0.25 | 2.9 | WR77 |
| Casey Washington | WR | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 1.2% | 2.6% | 9.6% | 3.0 | 2.9% | 3.8% | 100.0% | 14.00 | 2.4 | WR86 |
| KhaDarel Hodge | WR | 15.4% | 24.7% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Kyle Pitts | TE | 9 | 7 | 65 | 0 | 27.0% | 87.2% | 75.3% | 7.6 | 25.7% | 15.4% | 26.5% | 1.91 | 13.5 | TE10 |
| Charlie Woerner | TE | 7.7% | 15.1% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Ross Dwelley | TE | 2.6% | 11.0% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Bijan Robinson | RB | 5 | 3 | 40 | 0 | -2.0% | 56.4% | 68.5% | -1.0 | 14.3% | 7.7% | 22.7% | 1.82 | 23.3 | RB9 |
| Tyler Allgeier | RB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 1.2% | 23.1% | 23.3% | 3.0 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 1.00 | 5.5 | RB42 |
| Jase McClellan | RB | 2.6% | 8.2% | 1.7 | RB60 |
Falcons Notes From Week 7:
Atlanta had picked up their pass rate in the past two weeks, with over 10% pass rate over expected (PROE), but in the last week, they’ve fallen back to the negatives and in Week 7, dipping back to -9.6 PROE, which was sixth-lowest PROE in the league this week.
They just could not keep up with the Seahawks in this one, staying two scores behind for the majority of the game until giving up 10 points in the fourth quarter to seal their fate.
We’re seeing the targets begin to normalize with Kyle Pitts (team-leading nine targets, 7-65), Drake London (eight targets, 6-63-1), and Darnell Mooney (seven targets, 5-46) condensing those as a trio with Ray-Ray McCloud III (four targets, 2-9) looking like he’s back to a pretty clear fourth option there.
While McCloud is seeing a healthy route share in the Falcons’ offense that utilizes the most 11 personnel in the NFL by a sizable margin, it’s hard to maintain four consistent target-earners unless the offense is so hyper-condensed, or the pass rate is so much higher than any other team in the league. Unfortunately, neither are the case.
After a brief flirtation with making Tyler Allgeier (more of a standalone asset in this offense, Allgeier hit a four-week low in snaps (23%) and total touches (6). Of course, that was because Bijan Robinson’s (21-103-1 rushing; five targets, 3-40 receiving) role has swelled into what it probably should be going forward, a high-value-touch-dominant back capable of shouldering most of the weekly workload.
Baltimore Ravens
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Zay Flowers | WR | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | -1.1% | 82.1% | 71.2% | -2.0 | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 0.48 | 4.0 | WR63 |
| Rashod Bateman | WR | 4 | 4 | 121 | 1 | 50.8% | 85.7% | 76.3% | 23.3 | 20.0% | 13.3% | 16.7% | 5.04 | 22.1 | WR2 |
| Nelson Agholor | WR | 2 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 8.5% | 46.4% | 47.5% | 8.0 | 10.0% | 6.7% | 15.4% | 1.54 | 3.0 | WR72 |
| Tylan Wallace | WR | 14.3% | 16.9% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Mark Andrews | TE | 4 | 4 | 41 | 2 | 20.3% | 60.7% | 54.2% | 9.3 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 23.5% | 2.41 | 20.1 | TE3 |
| Isaiah Likely | TE | 3 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 17.5% | 71.4% | 59.3% | 10.7 | 15.0% | 20.0% | 15.0% | 0.85 | 3.7 | TE35 |
| Charlie Kolar | TE | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 6.0% | 10.7% | 35.6% | 11.0 | 5.0% | 6.7% | 33.3% | 4.67 | 2.4 | TE38 |
| Derrick Henry | RB | 1 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 2.2% | 39.3% | 57.6% | 4.0 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 1.18 | 25.2 | RB7 |
| Justice Hill | RB | 3 | 3 | 44 | 1 | -8.2% | 35.7% | 45.8% | -5.0 | 15.0% | 20.0% | 30.0% | 4.40 | 13.8 | RB20 |
| Patrick Ricard | FB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.8% | 14.3% | 35.6% | 7.0 | 5.0% | 6.7% | 25.0% | 0.00 | 0.0 | FB3 |
Ravens Notes From Week 7:
Derrick Henry (15-169 rushing; one target, 1-13-1 receiving) is pretty good, folks. He’s personally getting ready to push my head in the dirt every week he goes off this season because I didn’t draft him.
It was a Rashod Bateman (four targets, 4-121-1) week, predicted by not very many people, but the second we start to trust the guy, he hits us with a one-catch, six-yard game. It’s a tale as old as time. With Zay Flowers (one target, 1-11, 82% routes) suffering an ankle injury but playing through it, it’s likely Flowers was de-emphasized a little bit, making Bateman the go-to guy in the offense for the night.
You know, the go-to guy besides Mark Andrews (four targets, 4-41-2), who apparently is back? He still only ran 61% of routes so it’s hard to chase such limited time on the field especially when it’s touchdown-based upside. Justice Hill (three targets, 3-44-1) caught the other touchdown of Lamar Jackson’s FIVE touchdown passes. Jackson is looking like the league MVP right now. Again.
Buffalo Bills
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Curtis Samuel | WR | 2.9% | 3.6% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Khalil Shakir | WR | 7 | 7 | 65 | 0 | 1.7% | 80.0% | 69.1% | 0.7 | 22.6% | 28.0% | 25.0% | 2.32 | 13.5 | WR18 |
| Keon Coleman | WR | 7 | 4 | 125 | 0 | 32.4% | 82.9% | 74.5% | 13.1 | 22.6% | 16.0% | 24.1% | 4.31 | 16.5 | WR14 |
| Mack Hollins | WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.4% | 65.7% | 74.5% | 18.0 | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR104 |
| Amari Cooper | WR | 5 | 4 | 66 | 1 | 21.9% | 34.3% | 34.5% | 12.4 | 16.1% | 20.0% | 41.7% | 5.50 | 16.6 | WR13 |
| Dalton Kincaid | TE | 6 | 3 | 52 | 0 | 26.0% | 71.4% | 72.7% | 12.3 | 19.4% | 24.0% | 24.0% | 2.08 | 8.2 | TE20 |
| Dawson Knox | TE | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 12.7% | 42.9% | 56.4% | 12.0 | 9.7% | 8.0% | 20.0% | 0.33 | 1.5 | TE42 |
| Quintin Morris | TE | 2.9% | 5.5% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| James Cook | RB | 45.7% | 52.7% | 9.2 | RB29 | ||||||||||
| Ray Davis | RB | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | -2.1% | 20.0% | 23.6% | -6.0 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 0.86 | 11.7 | RB22 |
| Ty Johnson | RB | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1.1% | 28.6% | 21.8% | 3.0 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 0.40 | 7.4 | RB36 |
Bills Notes From Week 7:
In his Buffalo Bills debut, Amari Cooper (five targets, 4-66-1, 41.7% TPRR) predictably ran a low amount of routes (12) as he gets up to speed on the Bills’ playbook. Cooper was targeted five times including a touchdown snag. He’s clearly the top target going forward, but the passing game isn’t very condensed.
That’s not going to completely kill Cooper’s fantasy value by any stretch, but it leaves the door open certainly for some high-variance weeks thanks to the sheer number of options that could go off for the Bills in a given week.
Like Keon Coleman (seven targets, 4-125), who had two receptions of 40+ yards on the afternoon. Khalil Shakir (seven targets, 7-65) saw some low-aDOT manufactured touches that he turned into a solid day at the offense, but that in and of itself is high variance as he feels like the third or fourth target in most weeks with the addition of Cooper.
I keep seeing people talk about how Amari Cooper has opened up Keon Coleman's fantasy potential. So I looked at the film. And Amari Cooper was on the field for exactly zero of Coleman's targets in Week 7.
— JJ Zachariason (@LateRoundQB) October 21, 2024
James Cook (12-32-1) saw a decent amount of work including a rushing score, but Ray Davis (one target, 1-6; 5-41-1 rushing) got most of his workload late plus a touchdown of his own in the fourth quarter. Ty Johnson (one target, 1-4-1 receiving) caught a touchdown but was uninvolved in the run game. It appears most of the opportunity from Johnson did shift a little to Davis, so that could be something to watch going forward as it seems like a long game rather than a sudden shift.
Carolina Panthers
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Diontae Johnson | WR | 3 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 66.9% | 72.7% | 69.8% | 13.7 | 17.6% | 21.4% | 18.8% | 1.06 | 2.7 | WR81 |
| Xavier Legette | WR | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3.4% | 86.4% | 83.7% | 0.7 | 17.6% | 14.3% | 15.8% | 0.16 | 2.9 | WR77 |
| Jonathan Mingo | WR | 27.3% | 25.6% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| David Moore | WR | 27.3% | 32.6% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Jalen Coker | WR | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 6.5% | 59.1% | 51.2% | 4.0 | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 0.77 | 2.0 | WR93 |
| Ian Thomas | TE | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -1.6% | 18.2% | 48.8% | -0.5 | 11.8% | 7.1% | 50.0% | 1.00 | 2.4 | TE38 |
| Ja'Tavion Sanders | TE | 6 | 6 | 61 | 0 | 50.8% | 77.3% | 74.4% | 5.2 | 35.3% | 35.7% | 35.3% | 3.59 | 12.1 | TE12 |
| Chuba Hubbard | RB | 72.7% | 83.7% | 11.2 | RB23 | ||||||||||
| Miles Sanders | RB | 2 | 1 | -6 | 0 | -26.1% | 31.8% | 25.6% | -8.0 | 11.8% | 14.3% | 28.6% | -0.86 | 3.8 | RB47 |
Panthers Notes From Week 7:
The Panthers were unserious throughout the entire game as they got down 27-0 at the half and then 37-0 against backup quarterback Marcus Mariota for most of this when Jayden Daniels left with a rib injury and didn’t come back.
Chuba Hubbard (17-52-1) continues to be excellent, saving his fantasy day with 52 rushing yards and the lone touchdown for the Carolina side.
Because I’m contractually obligated to talk about the Panthers, Andy Dalton threw for just 93 yards before getting pulled for Bryce Young, who completed two passes for -4 yards. Because of course he did.
The only bright spot for the Panthers was tight end Ja’Tavion Sanders (six targets, 6-61), who has been excellent the last two games. Expect that to be unlikely to continue as Young has been tabbed as the starting quarterback for the Panthers in Week 8 following Dalton getting in a car accident.
It’s probably not great for Diontae Johnson (three targets, 1-17), who had been carrying some volume and been usable in fantasy. Probably no longer on that front. With the Panthers season slipping away, might Johnson get moved before the NFL trade deadline?
Chicago Bears
Bears Notes From Week 7:
ON BYE IN WEEK 7
Cincinnati Bengals
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Ja'Marr Chase | WR | 6 | 5 | 55 | 1 | 30.5% | 100.0% | 87.0% | 12.5 | 25.0% | 35.3% | 21.4% | 1.96 | 16.5 | WR14 |
| Tee Higgins | WR | 8 | 4 | 82 | 1 | 48.4% | 100.0% | 81.5% | 14.9 | 33.3% | 47.1% | 28.6% | 2.93 | 18.2 | WR9 |
| Andrei Iosivas | WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.7% | 67.9% | 70.4% | 24.0 | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR104 |
| Mike Gesicki | TE | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.8% | 46.4% | 31.5% | 2.0 | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 0.15 | 1.2 | TE48 |
| Drew Sample | TE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.6% | 17.9% | 50.0% | 4.0 | 4.2% | 5.9% | 20.0% | 0.00 | 0.0 | TE52 |
| Tanner Hudson | TE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 26.0 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 0.00 | 0.0 | TE52 |
| Erick All Jr. | TE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8% | 50.0% | 51.9% | -2.0 | 4.2% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 0.00 | 0.0 | TE52 |
| Zack Moss | RB | 3 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 0.0% | 39.3% | 50.0% | 0.0 | 12.5% | 0.0% | 27.3% | 3.00 | 7.0 | RB38 |
| Chase Brown | RB | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | -0.8% | 35.7% | 57.4% | -1.0 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 0.90 | 7.3 | RB37 |
Bengals Notes From Week 7:
The Bengals were in a typical AFC North slugfest and besides a special teams touchdown by Charlie Jones that kicked off the scoring in Week 7’s main slate, Ja’Marr Chase (eight targets, 5-55-1) and Tee Higgins (eight targets, 4-82-1) each scored a touchdown and consolidated 58% of targets and 82% of Joe Burrow’s first-read targets.
Only one other pass-catcher had over eight receiving yards and only two pass-catchers had more than one target in this one, and both were running backs.
Chase Brown (15-44 rushing; two targets, 2-9 receiving) is doing his best to leave Zack Moss (6-7 rushing; three targets, 3-33 receiving) in the dust and for the most part, it’s working. Brown’s day was relatively quiet all things considered, but Brown’s work as the upside profile of the backfield that is being emphasized more on offense versus Moss should be weighted heavily for fantasy purposes.
I don’t want to say Moss is droppable, because he’s not, but he’s into the more contingency-based role that he was slotted into when he was in Indianapolis after starting a handful of games before Jonathan Taylor returned in 2023.
Cleveland Browns
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Jerry Jeudy | WR | 6 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 26.1% | 98.2% | 95.2% | 15.8 | 13.0% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 0.32 | 2.8 | WR80 |
| Elijah Moore | WR | 6 | 6 | 41 | 0 | 11.4% | 70.2% | 64.3% | 6.9 | 13.0% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 1.03 | 10.1 | WR28 |
| Cedric Tillman | WR | 11 | 8 | 81 | 0 | 33.0% | 82.5% | 82.1% | 10.9 | 23.9% | 31.3% | 23.4% | 1.72 | 18.1 | WR10 |
| Jamari Thrash | WR | 5.3% | 8.3% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Jaelon Darden | WR | 14.0% | 13.1% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| David Njoku | TE | 13 | 10 | 76 | 1 | 18.2% | 80.7% | 82.1% | 5.1 | 28.3% | 31.3% | 28.3% | 1.65 | 23.6 | TE1 |
| Jordan Akins | TE | 5 | 4 | 42 | 0 | 9.6% | 22.8% | 21.4% | 7.0 | 10.9% | 6.3% | 38.5% | 3.23 | 8.2 | TE20 |
| Geoff Swaim | TE | 15.8% | 25.0% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Pierre Strong Jr. | RB | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | -0.6% | 54.4% | 50.0% | -1.0 | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 0.29 | 2.5 | RB56 |
| D'Onta Foreman | RB | 7.0% | 13.1% | 0.5 | RB72 | ||||||||||
| Nick Chubb | RB | 3 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 2.2% | 19.3% | 35.7% | 2.7 | 6.5% | 3.1% | 27.3% | 0.91 | 10.2 | RB26 |
Browns Notes From Week 7:
Deshaun Watson is out for the year with a torn Achilles’ tendon and has been one of the worst starting quarterbacks of this century. Not hyperbole. Hopefully this is the last time I will write his name in this article for the rest of the season, or ever.
After the quarterback listed above, Dorian Thompson-Robinson was inefficient, threw a bunch of passes, and suffered his own injury and gave way to emergency third quarterback Jameis Winston, who had the only passing touchdown to David Njoku (13 targets, 10-76-1). Winston has the upside necessary to make this a fantasy-friendly offense in the same way Joe Flacco did with a ton of passing volume.
Insane graphic…. 😭 pic.twitter.com/cUX2EaxI9Y
— Portersburgh (@PortersBurgh) October 21, 2024
Cedric Tillman (11 targets, 8-81) jumped right into the “X’ receiver spot that Amari Cooper vacated when he was traded to the Bills, and immediately earned 11 targets and had a solid target-earning day. Let’s be clear: he didn’t show anything close to that last season, where he only earned 42 targets on a 358-route sample. That’s only good for a 11.7% TPRR--a bad number any way you slice it.
Things change, circumstances change, players improve. We’ll just take it as a grain of salt for now, but at worst, he’s a flier to see if he can replicate anything close to that production from Week 7.
If he can’t, there’s always the aforementioned Njoku, Elijah Moore (six targets, 6-41) and/or Jerry Jeudy (six targets, 1-18), but Jeudy is a harder bet to make just because it feels like his ship has sailed on the target-earning, route-running archetype he was saddled with when he came out of the NFL Draft and disappointed, leading to his trade from Denver to the Browns this past offseason.
Pierre Strong Jr. (3-6 rushing; two targets, 1-9 receiving) took most of the on-field time in the offense at 50% snaps and 54% routes, but only saw three carries and two targets. Nick Chubb (11-22-1 rushing; three targets, 1-10) made his return as he’s being worked into the fold for the Browns and averaged just 2.0 YPC but scored a touchdown.
One of the cooler things in sports is seeing Chubb come back from last season’s season-ending knee injury to score his touchdown. Look for Chubb to get ramped up and lead this backfield once again.
Dallas Cowboys
Cowboys Notes From Week 7:
ON BYE IN WEEK 7
Denver Broncos
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Courtland Sutton | WR | 84.8% | 86.2% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Marvin Mims Jr. | WR | 3 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 8.2% | 30.3% | 18.5% | 4.7 | 13.0% | 20.0% | 30.0% | 1.80 | 3.8 | WR65 |
| Troy Franklin | WR | 6 | 5 | 50 | 0 | 30.7% | 66.7% | 50.8% | 8.8 | 26.1% | 10.0% | 27.3% | 2.27 | 10.0 | WR29 |
| Devaughn Vele | WR | 3 | 1 | 20 | 0 | 18.6% | 57.6% | 43.1% | 10.7 | 13.0% | 20.0% | 15.8% | 1.05 | 3.0 | WR72 |
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey | WR | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 16.9% | 36.4% | 50.8% | 9.7 | 13.0% | 10.0% | 25.0% | 1.00 | 3.2 | WR71 |
| Adam Trautman | TE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.3% | 42.4% | 61.5% | 4.0 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 0.00 | 0.0 | TE52 |
| Lucas Krull | TE | 4 | 3 | 41 | 0 | 29.0% | 60.6% | 44.6% | 12.5 | 17.4% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 2.05 | 7.1 | TE24 |
| Nate Adkins | TE | 12.1% | 29.2% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Javonte Williams | RB | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 | -5.7% | 45.5% | 63.1% | -3.3 | 13.0% | 20.0% | 20.0% | 1.53 | 26.1 | RB5 |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | RB | 21.2% | 21.5% | 3.5 | RB50 | ||||||||||
| Michael Burton | FB | 6.1% | 16.9% | 0.0 | FB3 |
Broncos Notes From Week 7:
Denver wasn’t super impressive from an “eye-test” perspective, but you don’t have to be super impressive to beat what amounted to a Sun Belt Conference team in the New Orleans Saints.
It was mainly Javonte Williams (14-88-2 rushing; three targets, 3-23 receiving), who looked better than frankly any time since his ACL injury. Despite Jaleel McLaughlin and Audric Estime returning, Williams still saw a solid 63% snaps and 14-of-23 running back carries on the night.
In the passing game, Courtland Sutton (no targets, 85%) ran wind sprints and cardio as Troy Franklin (six targets, 5-50, 67% routes) led the Broncos in all receiving stuff on the night. Franklin is the closest thing to real, actual upside in this unathletic wide receiver room. Well, meaning the guys they actually use seriously, because we don’t count Marvin Mims (three targets, 2-18, 30% routes) here.
Devaughn Vele (three targets, 1-20, 58% routes) saw some longer-aDOT stuff than he’s typically seen this season as well, but nobody really mattered elsewhere for the Broncos. Yes despite that, Bo Nix continues to do his best “Drake Maye-lite” impression. That’s from a fantasy points-scoring upside way only, by the way. Don’t get it twisted, Nix has a lot of work to do as a real-life NFL quarterback.
Detroit Lions
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | 8 | 8 | 112 | 1 | 51.1% | 93.1% | 94.7% | 11.1 | 34.8% | 46.2% | 29.6% | 4.15 | 25.2 | WR1 |
| Jameson Williams | WR | 1 | 1 | -4 | 0 | -2.9% | 82.8% | 75.4% | -5.0 | 4.3% | 7.7% | 4.2% | -0.17 | 0.6 | WR103 |
| Kalif Raymond | WR | 4 | 3 | 39 | 1 | 34.0% | 34.5% | 28.1% | 14.8 | 17.4% | 30.8% | 40.0% | 3.90 | 12.9 | WR21 |
| Tim Patrick | WR | 2 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 9.8% | 44.8% | 52.6% | 8.5 | 8.7% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 1.92 | 4.5 | WR59 |
| Sam LaPorta | TE | 1 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 12.1% | 82.8% | 94.7% | 21.0 | 4.3% | 0.0% | 4.2% | 1.04 | 3.5 | TE36 |
| Brock Wright | TE | 34.5% | 49.1% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Shane Zylstra | TE | 3.4% | 5.3% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | 4 | 4 | 44 | 0 | -5.3% | 58.6% | 57.9% | -2.3 | 17.4% | 7.7% | 23.5% | 2.59 | 32.0 | RB1 |
| David Montgomery | RB | 3 | 3 | 39 | 0 | 1.2% | 27.6% | 38.6% | 0.7 | 13.0% | 0.0% | 37.5% | 4.88 | 8.0 | RB33 |
Lions Notes From Week 7:
In what probably should have been a primetime game over the sixth Aaron Rodgers primetime game against Russell Wilson, the Lions and Vikings slugged it out for early NFC North supremacy with the Lions squeaking one out thanks to a Jake Bates field goal with 0:15 left.
The Lions actually started down 10-0 in the first quarter, but on three unanswered touchdowns, took the lead and never gave it back up until late in the fourth quarter, which necessitated the late-minute field goal.
The Lions were carried by Amon-Ra St. Brown (eight targets, 8-112), who led the Lions in everything on the passing-game side. With Jameson Williams (one target, 1-(-4)) out for two games for violating the NFL’s performance-enhancing substances policy, look for Sam LaPorta (one target, 1-25, 83% routes) to get more involved in the offense.
The same goes for Tim Patrick (two targets, 2-25) and potentially Kalif Raymond (four targets, 3-39-1) on the deeper-league side of things.
Besides St. Brown carrying part of the offense, it was Jahmyr Gibbs (15-116-2 rushing; four targets, 4-44) shouldering most of the load in the running game as David Montgomery (9-31 rushing; three targets, 3-39 receiving) wasn’t as much of a factor having left the game with a knee injury, which head coach Dan Campbell said he “got kneed in the back of the knee… so it was more like a bruise or contusion.”
It shouldn’t affect Montgomery heading into the next game considering he returned and practiced on Wednesday.
Green Bay Packers
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Jayden Reed | WR | 4 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 12.1% | 83.8% | 74.1% | 9.0 | 12.5% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 0.32 | 3.0 | WR72 |
| Romeo Doubs | WR | 10 | 8 | 94 | 0 | 41.0% | 86.5% | 82.8% | 12.2 | 31.3% | 32.0% | 31.3% | 2.94 | 17.4 | WR12 |
| Christian Watson | WR | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 10.1% | 51.4% | 53.4% | 15.0 | 6.3% | 4.0% | 10.5% | 0.47 | 1.5 | WR98 |
| Dontayvion Wicks | WR | 6 | 3 | 48 | 1 | 28.7% | 45.9% | 41.4% | 14.2 | 18.8% | 20.0% | 35.3% | 2.82 | 13.8 | WR17 |
| Bo Melton | WR | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2.7% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 8.0 | 3.1% | 4.0% | 20.0% | 1.60 | 1.7 | WR97 |
| Malik Heath | WR | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Tucker Kraft | TE | 3 | 3 | 33 | 1 | 9.8% | 100.0% | 94.8% | 9.7 | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 0.89 | 12.3 | TE11 |
| Ben Sims | TE | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.3% | 13.5% | 27.6% | 1.0 | 3.1% | 4.0% | 20.0% | 0.40 | 1.2 | TE48 |
| Josh Jacobs | RB | 5 | 5 | 16 | 1 | -4.7% | 56.8% | 67.2% | -2.8 | 15.6% | 16.0% | 23.8% | 0.76 | 20.2 | RB13 |
| Emanuel Wilson | RB | 16.2% | 20.7% | 1.1 | RB68 | ||||||||||
| Chris Brooks | RB | 5.4% | 13.8% | 0.0 | RB76 | ||||||||||
| Andrew Beck | FB | 2.7% | 8.6% | 0.0 | FB3 |
Packers Notes From Week 7:
It really feels like with Jordan Love operating at a high level, that we should be getting more consistently good performances from the players we KNOW are good, like Jayden Reed (four targets, 2-10 receiving; 1-0 rushing) and Dontayvion Wicks (six targets, 3-48-1). Not that Christian Watson (two targets, 1-9) and Romeo Doubs (team-leading 10 targets, 8-94) aren’t good; the contrary is true.
They’re just good for real-life NFL offenses in their current role against what Reed and Wicks can do by separating.
It’s nitpicking really, because these four wide receivers and Tucker Kraft (three targets, 3-33-1) are interchangeable in terms of who is going to produce on a weekly basis. It’s when you see a stat line like Reed’s with some near misses that don’t show up on the stat sheet where it gets frustrating.
Josh Jacobs (12-76 rushing; five targets, 5-16-1 receiving) took 67% of the snaps and parlayed that into a solid effort where he scored his first receiving touchdown of his NFL career, with Jacobs having the most career receptions (211) in NFL history without a touchdown catch. Wild stuff!
Jacobs’ role, while in question at points, is as secure as it gets right now. Even if it doesn’t have massive upside for fantasy, as the thesis is team-based upside where we know the offense is going to be pretty prolific in most weeks.
Houston Texans
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Stefon Diggs | WR | 7 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 47.1% | 86.2% | 81.3% | 9.4 | 36.8% | 36.4% | 28.0% | 0.92 | 7.3 | WR46 |
| Tank Dell | WR | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 36.4% | 86.2% | 71.9% | 12.7 | 21.1% | 27.3% | 16.0% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR104 |
| Xavier Hutchinson | WR | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 7.9% | 58.6% | 64.1% | 11.0 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 0.65 | 2.1 | WR90 |
| John Metchie | WR | 34.5% | 35.9% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Dalton Schultz | TE | 2 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 18.6% | 75.9% | 78.1% | 13.0 | 10.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 1.27 | 3.8 | TE34 |
| Cade Stover | TE | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0.7% | 31.0% | 48.4% | 1.0 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 1.67 | 2.5 | TE37 |
| Teagan Quitoriano | TE | 6.9% | 20.3% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Joe Mixon | RB | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 | -8.6% | 44.8% | 65.6% | -4.0 | 15.8% | 27.3% | 23.1% | 0.69 | 26.4 | RB4 |
| Dameon Pierce | RB | 13.8% | 10.9% | 0.2 | RB74 | ||||||||||
| Dare Ogunbowale | RB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1% | 17.2% | 23.4% | -3.0 | 5.3% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 0.00 | 0.6 | RB71 |
Texans Notes From Week 7:
I don’t want to say the Texans’ passing game was bad, but… well, okay. The Texans were bad. BAD. C.J. Stroud only completed 10 passes for 86 yards as the Packers’ defense was clamped all over the pass-catchers.
Stefon Diggs (team-leading seven targets, 5-23) carried the volume, if that’s what you want to call it. Tank Dell (four targets, zero catches) had a shot at a touchdown very early in the first quarter where he had a step on Keisean Nixon turning around but ended up dropping in on a diving effort. Dalton Schultz (two targets, 1-28) led the team in receiving yards on his lone catch.
This team clearly misses Nico Collins and what he offers as far as a consistent threat, but with THIS group of pass-catchers minus Collins, they need to be able to get it done.
The one thing that DID work and kept the Texans in the game was Joe Mixon (25-115-2 rushing; three targets, 2-9 receiving), where he was really the only consistent way the Texans could move the ball, so they just fed him over and over. You can’t argue with it the way it was working.
Indianapolis Colts
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Michael Pittman Jr. | WR | 5 | 3 | 63 | 0 | 36.1% | 96.6% | 88.7% | 15.0 | 25.0% | 20.0% | 17.9% | 2.25 | 9.3 | WR37 |
| Josh Downs | WR | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.5% | 69.0% | 61.3% | 0.5 | 10.0% | 20.0% | 10.0% | 0.15 | 1.3 | WR99 |
| Adonai Mitchell | WR | 3 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 17.7% | 20.7% | 22.6% | 12.3 | 15.0% | 20.0% | 50.0% | 5.00 | 5.0 | WR57 |
| Alec Pierce | WR | 4 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 26.0% | 82.8% | 79.0% | 13.5 | 20.0% | 20.0% | 16.7% | 0.63 | 3.5 | WR67 |
| Ashton Dulin | WR | 10.3% | 24.2% | 1.2 | WR100 | ||||||||||
| Kylen Granson | TE | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12.0% | 17.2% | 22.6% | 12.5 | 10.0% | 6.7% | 40.0% | 0.00 | 0.0 | TE52 |
| Mo Alie-Cox | TE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0% | 41.4% | 53.2% | 2.0 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 0.00 | 0.0 | TE52 |
| Drew Ogletree | TE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.7% | 24.1% | 40.3% | 14.0 | 5.0% | 6.7% | 14.3% | 0.00 | 0.0 | TE52 |
| Will Mallory | TE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1.9% | 10.3% | 4.8% | 4.0 | 5.0% | 6.7% | 33.3% | 1.67 | 1.5 | TE42 |
| Trey Sermon | RB | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | -1.9% | 41.4% | 51.6% | -4.0 | 5.0% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 1.08 | 5.9 | RB40 |
| Tyler Goodson | RB | 20.7% | 48.4% | 11.1 | RB24 | ||||||||||
| Evan Hull | RB | 0.0% | 1.6% | 0.0 | RB76 |
Colts Notes From Week 7:
Anthony Richardson only completed 10-of-24 passes for 129 yards, and despite a robust workload on the ground (14-56), you have to have concerns about the viability of the offense if Richardson continues to miss throws. Granted, it doesn’t help not having Jonathan Taylor to hand the ball off to, but when he DOES return, and you can’t complete passes when the defense isn’t stacking the box, what can you do?
There are tools here and head coach Shane Steichen has proven himself (with Jalen Hurts) to be able to take that lump of clay and mold it into something usable, workable, and excellent in a “real-life quarterback” type of way, but it draws some parallels to the Bryce Young/Andy Dalton situation, where we’ve seen how this offense can function with Joe Flacco.
Handing over the full-time reins to a quarterback that’s on the precipice of 40 years old is a complete non-starter, but when that question is being posed, much less asked, that’s a problem.
August: Anthony Richardson could be the QB1!
October: Anthony Richardson is the second-best QB on his own team, behind a guy 57 years old.
— scott pianowski (@scott_pianowski) October 20, 2024
Working through issues at the quarterback position can only be done for a certain amount of time, and despite what Richardson can offer when he’s off-script, it’s the main stuff that goes with being an NFL quarterback where Richardson is currently deficient.
Consistency, making the correct reads, throwing accurately, and while not what every quarterback has to worry about but still a very valid point for Richardson’s case, not putting yourself in harm’s way running the ball.
Michael Pittman Jr. (five targets, 3-63) led the Colts in everything here with a solidly mediocre line, but that again is illustrated by the deficiency where Richardson only completed 10 passes for 129 yards. Josh Downs (two targets, 1-3, 69% routes) was only targeted twice for some reason. It’s beyond me.
Tyler Goodson (14-51-1) was the best back for the Colts (insert “always has been” gif), while Trey Sermon (8-36; 1-13 receiving) continues to get more screen time on the field (41% routes, 52% snaps). I’m prioritizing Goodson over Sermon based on what we’ve seen skill-wise until Taylor makes his return.
Jacksonville Jaguars
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Christian Kirk | WR | 3 | 1 | 24 | 0 | 27.8% | 81.0% | 57.4% | 12.7 | 15.8% | 21.4% | 17.6% | 1.41 | 3.4 | WR68 |
| Gabe Davis | WR | 2 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 16.0% | 71.4% | 68.9% | 11.0 | 10.5% | 7.1% | 13.3% | 0.87 | 2.3 | WR88 |
| Brian Thomas Jr. | WR | 5 | 5 | 89 | 1 | 46.6% | 85.7% | 65.6% | 12.8 | 26.3% | 21.4% | 27.8% | 4.94 | 22.1 | WR2 |
| Parker Washington | WR | 38.1% | 34.4% | 6.0 | WR51 | ||||||||||
| Tim Jones | WR | 4.8% | 16.4% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Evan Engram | TE | 5 | 5 | 35 | 0 | 9.5% | 66.7% | 55.7% | 2.6 | 26.3% | 28.6% | 35.7% | 2.50 | 8.5 | TE19 |
| Luke Farrell | TE | 19.0% | 50.8% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Brenton Strange | TE | 14.3% | 45.9% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Tank Bigsby | RB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5% | 38.1% | 65.6% | -2.0 | 5.3% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 0.00 | 23.8 | RB8 |
| D'Ernest Johnson | RB | 3 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 1.5% | 47.6% | 34.4% | 0.7 | 15.8% | 14.3% | 30.0% | 3.20 | 10.0 | RB27 |
Jaguars Notes From Week 7:
The Jaguars played their second of back-to-back games in London and it showed, as even though they went down 10-0 to the New England Patriots, they scored 25 straight points to stave off Doug Pederson’s eventual firing for another week.
Brian Thomas Jr. (five targets, 5-89-1) has been extremely close to Malik Nabers in terms of rookie impact, as he’s been slightly touchdown-dependent, but has been by far the best Jaguars’ receiver this season. He’s relegated Christian Kirk (three targets, 1-24) into the shadow realm, where you could make the case that Kirk is droppable in fantasy. He’s been THAT bad through seven games.
Christian Kirk has played 3 games with Evan Engram and Brian Thomas Jr.
In those games, he's averaging:
- 4.3 targets
- 1.7 receptions
- 31 yards
- 0 TDsThe 4.8 PPR points per game he's averaging in those matchups would make him fantasy football's WR99.
— Dave Kluge (@DaveKluge) October 22, 2024
Where Kirk had been consistent as a target earner over the last two seasons, his Weeks 3-4 where he combined for 22 targets have been surrounded by just 20 targets combined in the five other games this season. It’s the increased target competition, where Kirk can’t earn targets with other weapons like Thomas and Evan Engram (five targets, 5-35).
It’s actually wild if you think about it from the lens of making it easier to earn targets when others are drawing attention away.
The game-script was perfect for Tank Bigsby (26-118-2 rushing; one target, no catches) to rack up touches and yardage, culminating in a huge game with volume and two touchdowns without Travis Etienne in the lineup. Even D’Ernest Johnson (9-38 rushing; three targets, 3-32 receiving) snuck in a double-digit fantasy day compiling opportunity on 48% routes.
Kansas City Chiefs
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Xavier Worthy | WR | 8 | 3 | 19 | 0 | 56.4% | 81.3% | 59.4% | 15.5 | 32.0% | 35.3% | 30.8% | 0.73 | 5.4 | WR54 |
| Justin Watson | WR | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2.3% | 78.1% | 72.5% | 5.0 | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 0.32 | 1.8 | WR96 |
| Skyy Moore | WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.1% | 28.1% | 47.8% | 9.0 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR104 |
| Mecole Hardman | WR | 2 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 0.5% | 34.4% | 30.4% | 0.5 | 8.0% | 11.8% | 18.2% | 1.55 | 12.5 | WR22 |
| JuJu Smith-Schuster | WR | 18.8% | 10.1% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Travis Kelce | TE | 5 | 4 | 17 | 0 | 18.2% | 90.6% | 78.3% | 8.0 | 20.0% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 0.59 | 5.7 | TE28 |
| Noah Gray | TE | 4 | 4 | 66 | 0 | 19.1% | 53.1% | 66.7% | 10.5 | 16.0% | 17.6% | 23.5% | 3.88 | 10.6 | TE14 |
| Jody Fortson | TE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.2% | 9.4% | 14.5% | 7.0 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.00 | 0.0 | TE52 |
| Samaje Perine | RB | 1 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 0.5% | 34.4% | 21.7% | 1.0 | 4.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 2.00 | 3.8 | RB47 |
| Carson Steele | RB | 9.4% | 18.8% | 1.7 | RB60 | ||||||||||
| Kareem Hunt | RB | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -4.1% | 53.1% | 63.8% | -4.5 | 8.0% | 5.9% | 11.8% | 0.29 | 22.3 | RB11 |
Chiefs Notes From Week 7:
The Chiefs (namely Patrick Mahomes) continue to mystify fantasy managers and NFL ball-watchers, but the lad continues to get it done as the Chiefs are 6-0. The return of JuJu Smith-Schuster (no targets, seven snaps) was short-lived as he injured his hamstring and was ruled out very early for Week 8.
Xavier Worthy (eight targets, 3-19) led the Chiefs in air yards (124) and targets (8), but the production did not come along for the ride. You could see very clearly what the Chiefs wanted to do and Mahomes and company will tighten the screws, as they always do.
And by tighten the screws, they went and traded a Day 3 pick for Titans wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins. Hopkins hasn’t been too healthy this season, but getting footballs from Mahomes instead of Will Levis can do some things to a man. A healthy Hopkins at age-32 should be solid enough for the Chiefs to get decent ROI on their investment. Anything is better than Skyy Moore (one target, no catches), am I right?
Travis Kelce (five targets, 4-17) was quiet, his fellow tight end Noah Gray (four targets, 4-66) carried the water here in the passing game, and Mecole Hardman (two targets, 1-17 receiving; 2-38-1 rushing) was a bit more involved and put up a rushing touchdown.
Kareem Hunt (22-78-2 rushing; two targets, 2-5) continued his brand of looking good enough with a little spark in the Chiefs’ offense with two touchdowns. If you picked up Hunt on a whim, you’ve got to be loving the free production he’s been putting up for the last few weeks.
Las Vegas Raiders
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Tre Tucker | WR | 7 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 34.4% | 95.7% | 94.9% | 10.9 | 21.2% | 28.6% | 15.9% | 0.82 | 7.7 | WR43 |
| DJ Turner | WR | 7 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 34.7% | 97.8% | 94.9% | 11.0 | 21.2% | 19.0% | 15.6% | 0.29 | 3.7 | WR66 |
| Alex Bachman | WR | 52.2% | 45.6% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Kristian Wilkerson | WR | 17.4% | 22.8% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Justin Shorter | WR | 4.3% | 3.8% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Brock Bowers | TE | 13 | 10 | 93 | 0 | 34.0% | 84.8% | 83.5% | 5.8 | 39.4% | 38.1% | 33.3% | 2.38 | 19.3 | TE4 |
| Harrison Bryant | TE | 2 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 1.4% | 15.2% | 29.1% | 1.5 | 6.1% | 4.8% | 28.6% | 2.71 | 3.9 | TE33 |
| John Samuel Shenker | TE | 15.2% | 17.7% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Alexander Mattison | RB | 3 | 3 | 31 | 0 | -1.8% | 47.8% | 69.6% | -1.3 | 9.1% | 4.8% | 13.6% | 1.41 | 15.3 | RB19 |
| Zamir White | RB | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | -2.7% | 8.7% | 13.9% | -6.0 | 3.0% | 4.8% | 25.0% | 3.50 | 3.7 | RB49 |
| Ameer Abdullah | RB | 17.4% | 16.5% | 0.0 | RB76 |
Raiders Notes From Week 7:
The Raiders just stink. We had Aidan O’Connell start this one and Gardner Minshew finish it out due to O’Connell breaking his thumb and landing on injured reserve. Did much really change? Probably more “YOLO” stuff from Minshew, but in a way that just depends on the talent of the guys around him to make a play, and besides Brock Bowers, there just isn’t much of that on the field right now.
With Jakobi Meyers still out, it was Tre Tucker (seven targets, 3-36; 1-11 rushing) and DJ Turner (seven targets, 2-13; 1-4 rushing) still grabbing inefficient volume that helps not very many of you, unless you’re in super super SUPER deep leagues. My proverbial hat goes off to you intrepid folks.
Bowers (team-leading 13 targets, 10-93) carried the day and it only less than two months of NFL play, but Bowers is the locked-in dynasty TE1 AND the redraft TE1. He’s also on pace to break Puka Nacua’s record for most receptions in a season by a rookie. He’s been a revelation.
Brock Bowers is on pace to break Puka Nacua’s rookie receptions record (105).
— David J. Gautieri (@GuruFantasyWrld) October 20, 2024
Alexander Mattison (23-92 rushing; three targets, 3-31 receiving) has a near workhorse role in Vegas now with Zamir White (3-13 rushing; one target, 1-14 receiving) just returning, but only getting 14% of snaps and 9% of routes playing behind Ameer Abdullah (no carries or targets) for snaps.
Whether that’s injury related, we’ll see, but it’s good for Mattison for sure. Not that Mattison is a world-beater by any stretch, but hey, he’s a solid RB2 floor play right now.
Los Angeles Chargers
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Joshua Palmer | WR | 5 | 4 | 63 | 0 | 20.4% | 72.7% | 59.1% | 13.0 | 13.5% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 1.97 | 10.3 | WR27 |
| Ladd McConkey | WR | 8 | 5 | 46 | 0 | 11.8% | 95.5% | 86.4% | 4.7 | 21.6% | 15.0% | 19.0% | 1.10 | 9.6 | WR32 |
| Brenden Rice | WR | 4.5% | 4.5% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Simi Fehoko | WR | 5 | 3 | 45 | 0 | 22.4% | 95.5% | 92.4% | 14.3 | 13.5% | 20.0% | 11.9% | 1.07 | 7.5 | WR44 |
| Jalen Reagor | WR | 1 | 1 | 41 | 0 | 11.6% | 13.6% | 22.7% | 37.0 | 2.7% | 5.0% | 16.7% | 6.83 | 3.0 | WR72 |
| Will Dissly | TE | 11 | 8 | 81 | 0 | 19.0% | 75.0% | 72.7% | 5.5 | 29.7% | 30.0% | 33.3% | 2.45 | 16.1 | TE7 |
| Stone Smartt | TE | 2 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 12.2% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 19.5 | 5.4% | 5.0% | 40.0% | 6.20 | 4.1 | TE32 |
| Eric Tomlinson | TE | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -0.9% | 18.2% | 33.3% | -3.0 | 2.7% | 0.0% | 12.5% | 0.88 | 1.7 | TE41 |
| J.K. Dobbins | RB | 3 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 2.5% | 47.7% | 68.2% | 2.7 | 8.1% | 5.0% | 14.3% | 1.24 | 9.6 | RB28 |
| Kimani Vidal | RB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0.9% | 31.8% | 27.3% | 3.0 | 2.7% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 0.64 | 2.9 | RB55 |
| Hassan Haskins | RB | 2.3% | 4.5% | 0.2 | RB74 |
Chargers Notes From Week 7:
As we all predicted, the entirety of the Chargers’ scoring was from the leg of Cameron Dicker, and it still wasn’t enough to beat the Cardinals on the non-televised Monday Night Football game that not a lot of people watched unless you were a sicko or a fan of either team.
The Chargers had their first positive PROE of the season (ninth best in Week 7; 5.2%) and Justin Herbert may have had the emptiest 349 passing yards in league history.
Will Dissly led the Chargers in targets (11), receptions (8), and receiving yards (81) on the night. No, really. That actually happened. Without Hayden Hurst, Dissly saw 75% of routes and wasn’t even that bad. Ladd McConkey (eight targets, 5-46) was right behind him with some traditional slot work. Simi Fehoko (five targets, 3-45) earned five targets and 96% of routes without Quentin Johnston active.
With a nice 69% of snaps, J.K. Dobbins (14-40 rushing; three targets, 3-26) resumed his stranglehold on the Chargers’ running back room, holding off Kimani Vidal (3-10 rushing; one target, 1-9 receiving) pretty easily, and that should be the case barring injury.
Los Angeles Rams
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Demarcus Robinson | WR | 3 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 38.0% | 100.0% | 90.9% | 17.3 | 15.0% | 18.8% | 12.5% | 0.38 | 1.9 | WR95 |
| Tutu Atwell | WR | 9 | 6 | 51 | 0 | 22.4% | 91.7% | 78.2% | 3.4 | 45.0% | 50.0% | 40.9% | 2.32 | 11.1 | WR24 |
| Jordan Whittington | WR | 0.0% | 16.4% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Tyler Johnson | WR | 5 | 4 | 57 | 0 | 30.0% | 100.0% | 90.9% | 8.2 | 25.0% | 18.8% | 20.8% | 2.38 | 9.7 | WR31 |
| Xavier Smith | WR | 4.2% | 9.1% | 3.0 | WR72 | ||||||||||
| Colby Parkinson | TE | 2 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 5.9% | 62.5% | 63.6% | 4.0 | 10.0% | 6.3% | 13.3% | 2.13 | 5.2 | TE29 |
| Davis Allen | TE | 12.5% | 21.8% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Hunter Long | TE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 3.7% | 25.0% | 29.1% | 5.0 | 5.0% | 6.3% | 16.7% | 0.83 | 1.5 | TE42 |
| Kyren Williams | RB | 70.8% | 89.1% | 19.6 | RB14 | ||||||||||
| Blake Corum | RB | 4.2% | 10.9% | 1.1 | RB68 |
Rams Notes From Week 7:
With the Rams so condensed with their 11 personnel, it was kind of shocking to see Jordan Whittington (no targets) only play nine snaps and not run a single route. Unsure if that was because of his shoulder injury, but he’s not playing on Thursday against the Vikings.
Tyler Johnson (five targets, 4-57) is back on the menu as a routes play as he ran a full 100% route participation. As did Demarcus Robinson (three targets, 1-9), but the only other option we’d consider if Tutu Atwell (nine targets, 6-51), who has been pretty competent with double-digit fantasy points in four consecutive games.
Kyren Williams (21-76-2) continues his path of destruction on those who doubted him with two more touchdowns. Blake Corum saw a handful of carries, but it’s merely a contingent role in the offense that he took over from Ronnie Rivers. Corum is a pretty valuable hold, but it’s doubtful that particular role turns into anything more barring a Williams injury.
Miami Dolphins
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Tyreek Hill | WR | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 22.8% | 93.8% | 89.9% | 17.5 | 10.0% | 13.3% | 6.7% | 0.27 | 2.3 | WR88 |
| Jaylen Waddle | WR | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 10.4% | 93.8% | 85.5% | 8.0 | 10.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 0.37 | 2.1 | WR90 |
| Braxton Berrios | WR | 3.1% | 7.2% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Malik Washington | WR | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 15.6% | 50.0% | 36.2% | 8.0 | 15.0% | 20.0% | 18.8% | 0.56 | 2.9 | WR77 |
| Odell Beckham Jr. | WR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2% | 28.1% | 15.9% | 5.5 | 10.0% | 13.3% | 22.2% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR104 |
| Jonnu Smith | TE | 7 | 7 | 96 | 1 | 30.5% | 81.3% | 49.3% | 6.7 | 35.0% | 33.3% | 26.9% | 3.69 | 22.6 | TE2 |
| De'Von Achane | RB | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 4.5% | 65.6% | 58.0% | 2.3 | 15.0% | 6.7% | 14.3% | 0.38 | 10.5 | RB25 |
| Raheem Mostert | RB | 28.1% | 33.3% | 3.0 | RB54 | ||||||||||
| Jaylen Wright | RB | 3.1% | 8.7% | 3.3 | RB52 | ||||||||||
| Alec Ingold | FB | 1 | 1 | 25 | 0 | 9.1% | 15.6% | 39.1% | 14.0 | 5.0% | 6.7% | 20.0% | 5.00 | 1.4 | FB1 |
Dolphins Notes From Week 7:
With the fourth-lowest PROE (-13.4%) of all teams in Week 7, the Dolphins clearly had a plan to exploit the Colts’ run defense, which is one of the worst in the NFL. It at least made the Dolphins sort-of competent, instead of woefully hopeless for a week. So, that is something.
Tua Tagovailoa is slated to come back in Week 8, so at least the passing component of the Dolphins’ offense can start to see some much-needed normalcy.
Jonnu Smith (team-leading seven targets, 7-96-1) led the way for everybody in a game where Tyreek Hill (two targets, 1-8 receiving; 1-5 rushing) and Jaylen Waddle (two targets; 1-11) went full milk carton, not having even as much as a target for the entirety of the first half. No other Dolphin had more than three targets.
De’Von Achane (15-77 rushing; three targets, 2-8 receiving) had a very healthy workload even with Raheem Mostert (11-50 rushing) getting a sizeable chunk of the pie based on the gameplan.
Minnesota Vikings
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Justin Jefferson | WR | 8 | 7 | 81 | 1 | 29.6% | 97.2% | 96.7% | 8.0 | 30.8% | 35.3% | 22.9% | 2.31 | 21.4 | WR5 |
| Jordan Addison | WR | 4 | 3 | 66 | 0 | 36.6% | 91.7% | 85.0% | 19.8 | 15.4% | 17.6% | 12.1% | 2.00 | 9.6 | WR32 |
| Jalen Nailor | WR | 5 | 4 | 76 | 0 | 27.7% | 83.3% | 73.3% | 12.0 | 19.2% | 23.5% | 16.7% | 2.53 | 11.6 | WR23 |
| Brandon Powell | WR | 2.8% | 3.3% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Trent Sherfield Sr. | WR | 2.8% | 6.7% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Johnny Mundt | TE | 5 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2.8% | 63.9% | 66.7% | 1.2 | 19.2% | 5.9% | 21.7% | 0.35 | 4.8 | TE30 |
| Josh Oliver | TE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2.3% | 41.7% | 58.3% | 5.0 | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 0.33 | 1.5 | TE42 |
| Robert Tonyan | TE | 2.8% | 3.3% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Aaron Jones | RB | 3 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 1.0% | 61.1% | 71.7% | 0.7 | 11.5% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 1.05 | 20.6 | RB12 |
| Ty Chandler | RB | 8.3% | 18.3% | 0.4 | RB73 | ||||||||||
| C.J. Ham | FB | 8.3% | 16.7% | 0.0 | FB3 |
Vikings Notes From Week 7:
The same as ever with the Minnesota Vikings: consolidated targets, 80%+ routes from all three receivers and very little in the way of depth. Justin Jefferson (eight targets, 7-81-1 receiving; 1-3 rushing) led the way for the Vikings receivers. Set it in stone.
Jordan Addison (four targets, 3-66) and a returning Jalen Nailor (five targets, 4-76) chipped in with solid games as well, with Nailor not having played since Week 4 and getting back to 83% routes is encouraging for his continued role in the offense as the third wide receiver.
After Week 5 where Aaron Jones (14-93-1 rushing; three targets, 3-23) left the game with a hip injury and then a minor hamstring injury popping up during the Vikings’ Week 6 bye and into practice leading up to Week 7, it was good to see Jones be incredibly productive and take 72% of snaps and 61% of routes.
Ty Chandler (2-4) is back to being a handcuff right now instead of having any sort of meaningful standalone role in the Vikings’ offense.
New England Patriots
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Demario Douglas | WR | 3 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 3.9% | 23.8% | 33.3% | 3.7 | 8.3% | 10.0% | 30.0% | 1.40 | 3.4 | WR68 |
| Ja'Lynn Polk | WR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18.1% | 52.4% | 56.7% | 17.3 | 8.3% | 10.0% | 13.6% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR104 |
| Kendrick Bourne | WR | 2 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 8.0% | 61.9% | 61.7% | 11.5 | 5.6% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 0.54 | 2.4 | WR86 |
| K.J. Osborn | WR | 3 | 2 | 26 | 1 | 7.6% | 45.2% | 36.7% | 7.3 | 8.3% | 10.0% | 15.8% | 1.37 | 10.6 | WR25 |
| Kayshon Boutte | WR | 2 | 1 | 33 | 0 | 16.4% | 88.1% | 83.3% | 23.5 | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 0.89 | 4.3 | WR61 |
| Hunter Henry | TE | 9 | 8 | 92 | 0 | 37.0% | 83.3% | 86.7% | 11.8 | 25.0% | 35.0% | 25.7% | 2.63 | 17.2 | TE6 |
| Austin Hooper | TE | 5 | 4 | 32 | 0 | 10.8% | 33.3% | 38.3% | 6.2 | 13.9% | 10.0% | 35.7% | 2.29 | 7.2 | TE23 |
| Jaheim Bell | TE | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0.7% | 42.9% | 50.0% | 0.7 | 8.3% | 5.0% | 16.7% | 0.39 | 4.5 | RB44 |
| Antonio Gibson | RB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | -1.4% | 11.9% | 16.7% | -4.0 | 2.8% | 5.0% | 20.0% | 1.80 | 2.3 | RB58 |
| JaMycal Hasty | RB | 5 | 5 | 49 | 1 | -1.0% | 38.1% | 33.3% | -0.6 | 13.9% | 0.0% | 31.3% | 3.06 | 15.7 | RB18 |
Patriots Notes From Week 7:
A 10-0 second-quarter lead evaporated in the blink of an eye as the Patriots gave up 25 unanswered points and succumbed to Jaguars, who had stayed in London an extra week with back-to-back contests across the pond.
Drake Maye continues to look pretty appealing in a “scoring fantasy points” kind of way, while showing signs of real-life NFL quarterback competency. The former trickles down into some of his pass-catchers, while the latter continues to build a stable floor for future fantasy production as a whole.
Maye has two 20+ fantasy point weeks, and he needs to be rostered in almost every league as what he’s doing is perfect for the silly game within a game we love to play.
The old “rookie quarterbacks lean on tight ends” adage may not be true in most instances as it’s an often-cited fantasy football trope. In this case, it’s certainly true with Hunter Henry (nine targets, 8-92), as he was the go-to player for Maye, leading the team in targets, receptions, yards, air yards, and first-read targets among many others. You name it, Henry probably led it on the week.
Demario Douglas (three targets, 2-14, 24% routes) was used sparingly because of an illness, where he reportedly kept vomiting and losing focus. You have to figure a healthy Douglas pairs with Kayshon Boutte (two targets, 1-33, 88% routes) in any normal game for the lion’s share of the routes.
Since Douglas was out, those routes were split up between several others, including Ja’Lynn Polk (three targets, no stats, 52% routes), K.J. Osborn (three targets, 2-26-1, 45% routes), and Kendrick Bourne (two targets, 1-14, 62% routes) for the most part.
You can go ahead and drop Polk, even if you’ve exhibited extreme patience with him. There have been numerous chances for him to make a play and while he’s not dead as a prospect or fantasy contributor by any means, we’re at the point in the fantasy football where we need production and can’t afford to use up valuable roster spots waiting on players to finally produce after weeks of opportunity.
It's one thing to not have the opportunity to produce, but to have it and then fall flat after weeks a giant red flag.
JaMycal Hasty (2-(-2) rushing; five targets, 5-49-1 receiving) saw an increased run (33% snaps, 38% routes) with both Rhamondre Stevenson (7-18 rushing; three targets, 2-7 receiving) and Antonio Gibson (3-4 rushing; one target. 1-9 receiving).
Both running backs either coming into the game hurt or getting hurt (with an undisclosed injury in Gibson’s case – he did come back into the game), and Hasty nabbed a receiving touchdown. Game script pretty much negated the run game as the trio combined for 12 carries for 20 yards on the ground.
New Orleans Saints
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Cedrick Wilson Jr. | WR | 7 | 6 | 57 | 1 | 15.7% | 66.7% | 68.6% | 6.4 | 17.9% | 25.0% | 21.9% | 1.78 | 17.7 | WR11 |
| Bub Means | WR | 5 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 22.4% | 91.7% | 88.6% | 12.8 | 12.8% | 20.8% | 11.4% | 0.84 | 6.7 | WR49 |
| Mason Tipton | WR | 9 | 6 | 45 | 0 | 42.0% | 89.6% | 82.9% | 13.3 | 23.1% | 25.0% | 20.9% | 1.05 | 10.5 | WR26 |
| Equanimeous St. Brown | WR | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Juwan Johnson | TE | 6 | 3 | 18 | 0 | 11.1% | 66.7% | 72.9% | 5.3 | 15.4% | 16.7% | 18.8% | 0.56 | 4.8 | TE30 |
| Foster Moreau | TE | 2 | 2 | 38 | 0 | 7.7% | 52.1% | 60.0% | 11.0 | 5.1% | 4.2% | 8.0% | 1.52 | 5.8 | TE27 |
| Dallin Holker | TE | 6.3% | 4.3% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Alvin Kamara | RB | 7 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 0.0% | 60.4% | 57.1% | 0.0 | 17.9% | 8.3% | 24.1% | 0.48 | 8.4 | RB32 |
| Jamaal Williams | RB | 8.3% | 17.1% | 1.7 | RB60 | ||||||||||
| Kendre Miller | RB | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1.1% | 16.7% | 28.6% | 1.0 | 7.7% | 0.0% | 37.5% | 0.13 | 5.7 | RB41 |
| Adam Prentice | FB | 4.2% | 18.6% | 0.0 | FB3 |
Saints Notes From Week 7:
The Saints were down about a billion players, so the vibes going into a nationally televised Thursday Night Football game with Spencer Rattler at quarterback, with actual, verified humans named Bub Means and Mason Tipton were not so great. Think “Week 3 of the preseason” vibes. Naturally, they were not super great as the Saints only put up 10 points against the Broncos.
39 pass attempts across Rattler and Jake Haener, who came in to mop up in the loss. Most of Cedrick Wilson Jr.’s (seven targets, 6-57-1, 67% routes) production came with under six minutes left in the game and the touchdown came with Haener. Means (five targets, 3-37) and Tipton (team-leading nine targets, 6-45) were the main players with Chris Olave out and Rashid Shaheed out for the season.
Alvin Kamara (7-10 rushing; seven targets, 6-14 receiving) was fine with 57% snaps as the player who should get most of the snaps. He would have if the game didn’t get so out of hand. Kendre Miller (6-36 rushing; three targets, 2-1 receiving) was active for his first game of the season and in garbage time, looked halfway decent with six carries, three targets, and 29% snaps.
Not sure why Miller didn’t leapfrog Jamaal Williams (3-17) in the pecking order in that limited work, considering he’s a breath of fresh air in a running back room that might as well be a retirement home.
New York Giants
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Malik Nabers | WR | 8 | 4 | 41 | 0 | 55.8% | 95.0% | 93.1% | 13.1 | 30.8% | 42.1% | 21.1% | 1.08 | 8.1 | WR42 |
| Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | 8 | 6 | 23 | 0 | 8.1% | 85.0% | 84.5% | 1.9 | 30.8% | 31.6% | 23.5% | 0.68 | 8.3 | WR41 |
| Darius Slayton | WR | 3 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 24.4% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 15.3 | 11.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 0.28 | 2.1 | WR90 |
| Jalin Hyatt | WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 32.0 | 3.8% | 5.3% | 50.0% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR104 |
| Daniel Bellinger | TE | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 1.1% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 2.0 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 2.75 | 2.1 | TE40 |
| Theo Johnson | TE | 87.5% | 89.7% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Chris Manhertz | TE | 5.0% | 13.8% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Devin Singletary | RB | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1.6% | 15.0% | 20.7% | -3.0 | 3.8% | 5.3% | 16.7% | 0.50 | 3.1 | RB53 |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | -1.1% | 67.5% | 67.2% | -0.7 | 11.5% | 5.3% | 11.1% | 0.33 | 6.2 | RB39 |
| Eric Gray | RB | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -3.7% | 10.0% | 10.3% | -7.0 | 3.8% | 5.3% | 25.0% | 1.75 | 1.9 | RB59 |
Giants Notes From Week 7:
The Giants pretty much stunk out loud with a megaphone shouting from the rooftops as they put up three points and put up exactly zero fight against the Philadelphia Eagles. 105 passing yards later from Daniel Jones and eventually, Drew Lock, and we didn’t get much to show from it.
Malik Nabers (eight targets, 4-41, 95% routes) returned from his two-game concussion sabbatical to share the team-lead in targets with Wan’Dale Robinson (eight targets, 6-23). Besides those two, no other Giant had more than 11 receiving yards and only one (Tyrone Tracy Jr.) had more than one reception.
Speaking of Tracy, the lead-up to Week 7 was going to be interesting with Devin Singletary (5-18 rushing; one target, 1-3 receiving, 21% snaps, 15% routes) back to see how the running back workload would split. Tracy took 67% of the snaps and 68% of the routes, but it’s certainly possible that Singletary could get ramped up as his snaps and routes were more or less adjacent to Eric Gray (1-2 rushing; one target, 1-7 receiving).
New York Jets
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Garrett Wilson | WR | 9 | 5 | 61 | 0 | 42.4% | 100.0% | 100.0% | 10.4 | 23.7% | 26.9% | 22.5% | 1.53 | 13.1 | WR20 |
| Mike Williams | WR | 2 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 12.2% | 32.5% | 33.3% | 13.5 | 5.3% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 1.15 | 2.5 | WR84 |
| Xavier Gipson | WR | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Allen Lazard | WR | 4 | 4 | 58 | 0 | 21.8% | 62.5% | 57.9% | 12.0 | 11.4% | 10.4% | 16.0% | 2.32 | 9.8 | WR30 |
| Irvin Charles | WR | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Davante Adams | WR | 9 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 31.0% | 97.5% | 96.5% | 7.6 | 17.1% | 23.1% | 23.1% | 0.77 | 6.0 | WR51 |
| Tyler Conklin | TE | 4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0.5% | 77.5% | 86.0% | 0.3 | 11.4% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 0.23 | 10.7 | TE13 |
| Jeremy Ruckert | TE | 22.5% | 29.8% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Breece Hall | RB | 9 | 6 | 103 | 0 | -5.7% | 75.0% | 82.5% | -1.4 | 23.7% | 19.2% | 30.0% | 3.43 | 26.1 | RB5 |
| Braelon Allen | RB | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | -5.0 | 2.6% | 3.8% | 33.3% | 0.67 | 1.6 | RB64 |
Jets Notes From Week 7:
In Week 7, Garrett Wilson (nine targets, 5-61) ran every route and Davante Adams (nine targets, 3-30) in his Jets’ debut ran all but one route. File that under “things you love to see.” Neither put up great games, or even so-so games, but the intent was there and the Jets passed a bunch with the second-highest PROE (10%) of the week behind the Buffalo Bills.
Aaron Rodgers 😬😬😬😬
No passes beyond 20 yards from the LOS. And two interceptions on intermediate passes.
The #Jets QB ranks second-to-last in CPOE (-6.7%) this season ahead of only Anthony Richardson (-11.4%), per @NextGenStats. pic.twitter.com/ZulxH414qW
— Henry McKenna (@henrycmckenna) October 21, 2024
Tyler Conklin (four targets, 4-7-1) caught the only touchdown for the Jets as he ran his usual complement of routes but fell by the wayside besides the score. Allen Lazard (four targets, 4-58) as the third target was also involved quite a bit but fell down to 63% routes, so on the Jets, he feels like “pre-Brandon Aiyuk injury Jauan Jennings” in terms of the pecking order but without the talent of Jennings.
The Todd Downing era of Breece Hall (12-38-1 rushing; nine targets, 6-103) is my favorite era and it’s helping Hall get back to realizing overall RB1 value this season. Hall was used in a massive way with 83% snaps and 75% routes, so yeah. He’s a baller.
Philadelphia Eagles
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| A.J. Brown | WR | 5 | 5 | 89 | 1 | 72.8% | 91.3% | 77.3% | 15.0 | 45.5% | 57.1% | 23.8% | 4.24 | 19.9 | WR6 |
| DeVonta Smith | WR | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | -1.9% | 91.3% | 80.3% | -2.0 | 9.1% | 14.3% | 4.8% | -0.10 | 0.8 | WR101 |
| Jahan Dotson | WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27.2% | 73.9% | 57.6% | 28.0 | 9.1% | 14.3% | 5.9% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR104 |
| Johnny Wilson | WR | 8.7% | 16.7% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Parris Campbell | WR | 8.7% | 19.7% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Grant Calcaterra | TE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 4.9% | 82.6% | 71.2% | 5.0 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 5.3% | 0.26 | 1.5 | TE42 |
| Jack Stoll | TE | 34.8% | 66.7% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Saquon Barkley | RB | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | -5.8% | 60.9% | 53.0% | -3.0 | 18.2% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 0.79 | 26.7 | RB3 |
| Kenneth Gainwell | RB | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 2.9% | 30.4% | 36.4% | 3.0 | 9.1% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 1.57 | 7.7 | RB35 |
| Will Shipley | RB | 4.3% | 13.6% | 1.5 | RB65 |
Eagles Notes From Week 7:
Oh, did we have the Saquon Barkley revenge game if there was ever was one. Barkley went nuts on the Giants, with 176 rushing yards and a touchdown at MetLife Stadium. I’m sure the Giants’ front office were very rational in their reaction to this.
Besides A.J. Brown’s 5-89-1 line on five targets, no other Eagle had more than 11 receiving yards and only Barkley had more than one reception. There’s wasn’t a lot of heavy lifting here from Jalen Hurts, besides his two “tush push” touchdowns.
Pittsburgh Steelers
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| George Pickens | WR | 9 | 5 | 111 | 1 | 69.5% | 93.5% | 79.4% | 17.9 | 36.0% | 40.0% | 31.0% | 3.83 | 22.1 | WR2 |
| Van Jefferson | WR | 3 | 2 | 15 | 1 | 6.1% | 67.7% | 61.8% | 4.7 | 12.0% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 0.71 | 9.5 | WR35 |
| Calvin Austin III | WR | 4 | 1 | 36 | 0 | 11.7% | 64.5% | 50.0% | 6.8 | 16.0% | 10.0% | 20.0% | 1.80 | 4.6 | WR58 |
| Brandon Johnson | WR | 16.1% | 14.7% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Pat Freiermuth | TE | 2 | 2 | 51 | 0 | 8.6% | 80.6% | 70.6% | 10.0 | 8.0% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 2.04 | 7.1 | TE24 |
| Darnell Washington | TE | 4 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 3.1% | 29.0% | 52.9% | 1.8 | 16.0% | 20.0% | 44.4% | 4.00 | 7.6 | TE22 |
| Connor Heyward | TE | 6.5% | 14.7% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| MyCole Pruitt | TE | 16.1% | 44.1% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Najee Harris | RB | 32.3% | 48.5% | 16.2 | RB17 | ||||||||||
| Jaylen Warren | RB | 3 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 0.9% | 61.3% | 51.5% | 0.7 | 12.0% | 5.0% | 15.8% | 0.79 | 7.9 | RB34 |
Steelers Notes From Week 7:
Was Russell Wilson cooking? Well… the jury is out. He didn’t look super great from the eye test. Nowhere close to his peak Seattle days, but some of the easy ball placement was there, as were the helium lobs Wilson has been accustomed to throwing. Luckily, George Pickens (team-leading nine targets, 5-111-1) made him look better than he was on a couple of plays.
Verdict: Wilson cooked, but there’s a parental lock on the stove, so he used the microwave.
No other Steeler earned more than four targets as things were spread around. Pat Freiermuth (two targets, 2-51) got a little lost in the shuffle but ran 81% of routes. Darnell Washington (four targets, 4-36), who moves like a glacier and is about as big as one, got loose for some yards after the catch and imagine tackling THAT guy. Van Jefferson caught the other touchdown from Wilson, which helped zero people in fantasy.
Jaylen Warren (12-44 rushing; three targets, 2-15) returned to the Steelers’ lineup after a knee injury and had his biggest role of the 2024 season, with 61% routes and 52% snaps, besting Najee Harris (21-102-1) in both. Not world-breaking numbers, but something to build off of going forward in a run-heavy offense for Warren, but Harris carried the day with heavy volume.
San Francisco 49ers
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | 5.4% | 6.3% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Brandon Aiyuk | WR | 5 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 18.2% | 43.2% | 39.7% | 10.8 | 17.9% | 20.0% | 31.3% | 1.44 | 4.3 | WR61 |
| Ricky Pearsall | WR | 5 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 13.5% | 86.5% | 76.2% | 8.0 | 17.9% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 0.66 | 5.1 | WR55 |
| Chris Conley | WR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10.8% | 73.0% | 69.8% | 16.0 | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR104 |
| Jacob Cowing | WR | 3 | 2 | 50 | 0 | 17.2% | 21.6% | 19.0% | 17.0 | 10.7% | 15.0% | 37.5% | 6.25 | 7.0 | WR48 |
| Ronnie Bell | WR | 2 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 6.1% | 37.8% | 38.1% | 9.0 | 7.1% | 5.0% | 14.3% | 0.71 | 2.0 | WR93 |
| George Kittle | TE | 7 | 6 | 92 | 0 | 27.6% | 83.8% | 92.1% | 11.7 | 25.0% | 30.0% | 22.6% | 2.97 | 15.2 | TE8 |
| Eric Saubert | TE | 10.8% | 22.2% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Jordan Mason | RB | 2 | 2 | 11 | 0 | -0.7% | 73.0% | 85.7% | -1.0 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 7.4% | 0.41 | 8.9 | RB30 |
| Isaac Guerendo | RB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 1.0 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 1.67 | 1.7 | RB60 |
| Kyle Juszczyk | FB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.1% | 24.3% | 41.3% | 21.0 | 3.6% | 5.0% | 11.1% | 0.00 | 1.4 | FB1 |
49ers Notes From Week 7:
I had to note this from the start, because I had to go back and watch his targets to see if it was true and oh my, was it ever. Ben Gretch talked about Ricky Pearsall (five targets 3-21) dancing on his routes trying to set up defenders, and he did it on almost EVERY one. Thought that was amusing, but Pearsall will have to step up now that Brandon Aiyuk (five targets, 2-23) is done for the season with a torn ACL and MCL.
Absolutely tough news on a brutal Week 7 that saw a LOT of top players in the NFL get seriously injured. With the 49ers a bit gutted personnel-wise as Deebo Samuel only played four snaps due to pneumonia, George Kittle put the team on his back the best he could with an excellent 6-92 game on seven targets.
During the game, Chris Conley (two targets, 73%) had to run a bunch of routes, but with a full week to prepare, it could be the diminutive Jacob Cowing (three targets, 2-50, 22% routes) that gets a bit more run in the 49ers’ offense, especially if Jauan Jennings misses Week 8 in addition to Week 7.
With the passing game in such flux, Jordan Mason (14-58 rushing; two targets, 2-11 receiving) could do his best to stabilize things for the Niners with a robust 86% of snaps and a lockdown on the workload. Even if Brock Purdy did take both rushing touchdowns in the losing effort.
Seattle Seahawks
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| DK Metcalf | WR | 7 | 4 | 99 | 1 | 47.3% | 90.9% | 78.3% | 22.4 | 26.9% | 31.8% | 23.3% | 3.30 | 19.9 | WR6 |
| Tyler Lockett | WR | 5 | 4 | 45 | 0 | 22.3% | 63.6% | 60.0% | 14.8 | 19.2% | 22.7% | 23.8% | 2.14 | 8.5 | WR40 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | 5 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 13.9% | 90.9% | 85.0% | 9.2 | 19.2% | 27.3% | 16.7% | 0.30 | 5.3 | WR56 |
| Jake Bobo | WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.6% | 39.4% | 48.3% | 12.0 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR104 |
| Noah Fant | TE | 4 | 4 | 65 | 0 | 8.4% | 48.5% | 53.3% | 7.0 | 15.4% | 9.1% | 25.0% | 4.06 | 10.5 | TE15 |
| Pharaoh Brown | TE | 18.2% | 30.0% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| AJ Barner | TE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1.2% | 27.3% | 40.0% | 4.0 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 0.56 | 1.5 | TE42 |
| Kenneth Walker III | RB | 2 | 2 | 24 | 1 | 5.1% | 30.3% | 46.7% | 8.5 | 7.7% | 4.5% | 20.0% | 2.40 | 23.3 | RB9 |
| Zach Charbonnet | RB | 1 | 1 | -5 | 0 | -1.8% | 42.4% | 55.0% | -6.0 | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | -0.36 | 2.4 | RB57 |
Seahawks Notes From Week 7:
The routes were not as condensed as in previous weeks for the Seahawks, where it was usually DK Metcalf (seven targets, 4-99-1, 91% routes), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (five targets, 3-9, 91% routes), and Tyler Lockett (five targets, 4-45) running at least 80% of routes per drop back.
Lockett was down to a season-low 64% routes, but you can expect that to come back up a little bit, especially if Metcalf can’t play in Week 8 due to an MCL sprain that he picked up late in this game.
While the routes weren’t as condensed, the targets were, where you can add Noah Fant (four targets, 4-65) to the trio of receivers who earned 20-of-26 targets in Week 7. Fant has put up a few solid weeks in a row of consistent production and could be utilized even more with a potentially missed game from Metcalf.
Toss in Jake Bobo (one target, no catches, 39% routes) as another option in deeper fantasy leagues who could benefit minus Metcalf.
Kenneth Walker III (14-69-1 rushing; two targets, 2-24-1 receiving) was a game-time decision late in the week with an illness, but he still was excellent with two touchdowns and plenty opportunity, even when he ceded some work to Zach Charbonnet. Charbonnet (8-19 rushing; one target, 1-(-5)) even led Walker in routes and snaps, but couldn’t do much with it on the afternoon.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Mike Evans | WR | 3 | 1 | 25 | 1 | 17.2% | 19.2% | 28.0% | 23.0 | 6.7% | 10.3% | 30.0% | 2.50 | 9.5 | WR35 |
| Chris Godwin | WR | 9 | 7 | 65 | 0 | 16.6% | 82.7% | 85.4% | 7.4 | 20.0% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 1.51 | 13.5 | WR18 |
| Jalen McMillan | WR | 8 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 28.7% | 61.5% | 61.0% | 14.4 | 17.8% | 13.8% | 25.0% | 0.47 | 5.6 | WR53 |
| Trey Palmer | WR | 3 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 11.0% | 80.8% | 72.0% | 14.7 | 6.7% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 0.38 | 2.6 | WR82 |
| Sterling Shepard | WR | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 3.7% | 53.8% | 45.1% | 15.0 | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 0.54 | 4.5 | WR59 |
| Cade Otton | TE | 10 | 8 | 100 | 0 | 21.9% | 88.5% | 97.6% | 8.8 | 22.2% | 24.1% | 21.7% | 2.17 | 18.0 | TE5 |
| Rachaad White | RB | 6 | 6 | 71 | 2 | -0.7% | 42.3% | 47.6% | -0.5 | 13.3% | 13.8% | 27.3% | 3.23 | 29.1 | RB2 |
| Bucky Irving | RB | 3 | 3 | 54 | 0 | 1.0% | 34.6% | 35.4% | 1.3 | 6.7% | 3.4% | 16.7% | 3.00 | 16.7 | RB16 |
| Sean Tucker | RB | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0.7% | 15.4% | 19.5% | 1.5 | 4.4% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 1.13 | 4.8 | RB43 |
Buccaneers Notes From Week 7:
Well… without Chris Godwin, this is going to be a MESS. Godwin (nine targets, 7-65) got hurt on a relatively meaningless play (depending on who you ask) that called Google AI into question about knowing the onside kick rules.
With no Godwin and no Mike Evans for a few weeks, it’s going to be some combo of rookie Jalen McMillan (eight targets, 3-15; 1-11 rushing), Sterling Shepard (one target. 1-15), and Trey Palmer (three targets, 1-16) leading this wide receiver corps.
If you had to ask me, I’m team McMillan, but eventually. For Week 8, it’s probably Shepard that I trust the most to at least carry volume and the highest probability of that volume to be not volatile. Cade Otton (team-leading 10 targets, 8-100) is as steady as it comes and he’s got a good chance of just being THE target there without Evans and Godwin.
As if the passing game wasn’t confusing enough, we’ve got a three-headed backfield here too. Rachaad White (10-40 rushing; six targets, 6-71-2 receiving, 48% snaps, 42% routes) was the most productive of the trio, but Bucky Irving (9-23-1 rushing; 3-54 receiving, 35% snaps, 35% routes) also took a late fourth-quarter touchdown too.
Sean Tucker (5-29 rushing; two targets, 1-9) was the clear third in the pecking order with just 20% of snaps and 15% routes.
White and Irving are locked-in RB2 options right now with Tucker as the contingency-based guy, but he still has massive upside and if he rips off a run or a long catch, he can get some extended looks. Still, that’s tough to figure our when you have to physically put him in your lineup.
Tennessee Titans
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| DeAndre Hopkins | WR | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 1.9% | 54.5% | 60.3% | 4.0 | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | -0.08 | 0.8 | WR101 |
| Calvin Ridley | WR | 9 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 56.0% | 79.5% | 79.5% | 13.4 | 26.5% | 33.3% | 25.7% | 1.20 | 7.2 | WR47 |
| Tyler Boyd | WR | 5 | 5 | 43 | 0 | 13.9% | 68.2% | 56.2% | 6.0 | 14.7% | 18.5% | 16.7% | 1.43 | 9.3 | WR37 |
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | WR | 4 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 13.9% | 54.5% | 46.6% | 7.5 | 11.8% | 11.1% | 16.7% | 0.42 | 9.0 | WR39 |
| Jha'Quan Jackson | WR | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Chigoziem Okonkwo | TE | 4 | 4 | 50 | 0 | 18.2% | 61.4% | 57.5% | 9.8 | 11.8% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 1.85 | 9.0 | TE17 |
| Josh Whyle | TE | 4 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 5.2% | 34.1% | 35.6% | 2.8 | 11.8% | 14.8% | 26.7% | 2.27 | 6.4 | TE26 |
| Tony Pollard | RB | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -7.8% | 70.5% | 89.0% | -2.8 | 17.6% | 3.7% | 19.4% | 0.13 | 8.5 | RB31 |
| Julius Chestnut | RB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | -1.4% | 2.3% | 11.0% | -3.0 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 100.0% | 9.00 | 3.4 | RB51 |
Titans Notes From Week 7:
"Billy, this is Calvin Ridley. He's been a solid wide receiver for years in the NFL. He's always played pretty well when he's had an alpha pass-catching target to play off of. His defect is that the Titans are terrible and Ridley cannot catch a cold."
Such is the tale of Ridley (nine targets, 3-42), who has caught just 12-of-33 targets thus far in 2024. It doesn't matter who the quarterback is, whether it’s Mason Rudolph, Will Levis, or anybody. His longest catch in Week 7 was a Hail Mary-type scenario where Ridley caught it at the 30-yard line and then lateraled it once he got to the sideline. He’s frustrating and you can’t start him in fantasy unless you’re desperate.
Without DeAndre Hopkins as he was traded to the Kansas City Chiefs on Tuesday, it probably opens up a more full-time role for Nick Westbrook-Ikhine as the “X” receiver, but even with the opportunity now afforded to Westbrook-Ikhine, you just can’t trust anybody here week to week in Tennessee.
Without Tyjae Spears due to a hamstring injury, Tony Pollard (16-61 rushing; six targets, 2-4 receiving) got 89% of the snaps and was fine, but not great with the opportunity he received before the negative game-script got to him.
Washington Commanders
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Terry McLaurin | WR | 6 | 6 | 98 | 0 | 32.1% | 67.9% | 71.0% | 13.0 | 24.0% | 23.8% | 31.6% | 5.16 | 15.8 | WR16 |
| Dyami Brown | WR | 3 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 27.2% | 35.7% | 30.4% | 22.0 | 12.0% | 14.3% | 30.0% | 2.30 | 3.3 | WR70 |
| Luke McCaffrey | WR | 42.9% | 37.7% | 0.0 | WR104 | ||||||||||
| Olamide Zaccheaus | WR | 6 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 18.0% | 64.3% | 42.0% | 7.3 | 24.0% | 23.8% | 33.3% | 1.39 | 6.5 | WR50 |
| Noah Brown | WR | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 6.6% | 60.7% | 60.9% | 16.0 | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 0.94 | 2.6 | WR82 |
| Zach Ertz | TE | 5 | 4 | 40 | 1 | 17.3% | 67.9% | 58.0% | 8.4 | 20.0% | 14.3% | 26.3% | 2.11 | 14.0 | TE9 |
| Ben Sinnott | TE | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 44.9% | 0.0 | 8.0% | 9.5% | 28.6% | 0.86 | 8.6 | TE18 |
| John Bates | TE | 25.0% | 42.0% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Colson Yankoff | TE | 7.1% | 7.2% | 0.0 | TE52 | ||||||||||
| Brian Robinson Jr. | RB | 17.9% | 37.7% | 13.1 | RB21 | ||||||||||
| Austin Ekeler | RB | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -1.2% | 50.0% | 40.6% | -1.5 | 8.0% | 9.5% | 14.3% | 0.21 | 4.0 | RB46 |
| Jeremy McNichols | RB | 14.3% | 24.6% | 4.2 | RB45 |
Commanders Notes From Week 7:
Washington hit the gas, but Jayden Daniels came up sputtering as he got two pass completions and three rushes for 50 yards in before leaving the game with a rib injury. It was only the Panthers, so Marcus Mariota came in to mop up the Panthers and throw two touchdowns.
Predictably, Terry McLaurin led the charge with the team lead in targets (6), receptions (6), receiving yards (98), air yards (78) and if you can name another statistic besides touchdowns, McLaurin probably had that too.
After talking up Noah Brown (one target, 1-16) in this article last week, his routes stayed stagnant at 61% and only earned one target, but if the Commanders were pushed even slightly by Carolina, I’m sure it would have been more of an issue.
Both touchdowns went to the right ends, as Zach Ertz (five targets, 4-40-1) and rookie Ben Sinnott (two targets, 2-6-1) scored. Sinnott caught his first two receptions in the NFL, the first being a touchdown, so that’s pretty cool. Head coach Dan Quinn talked about wanting to get Sinnott on the field more often, so we’ll see if that actually happens.
Easy game for Brian Robinson (12-71-1) to just coast through, and he did with just shy of 6.0 YPC and a touchdown. Austin Ekeler (4-17 rushing; two targets. 2-3) was a bit involved as the passing down back and edging out Robinson in snaps (41% to 38%).
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