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Wide Receiver Sleepers, Risers, Fantasy Football Breakouts - Targets, Air Yards, Snaps Trends Analysis For Week 16
Targets are paramount when it comes to evaluating pass-catchers for fantasy football. There are no air yards, receiving yards, receptions, or touchdowns without first earning a target. There’s a reason the biggest and most consistent target-earners are among the top fantasy point scorers: they can be relied on by not just their team’s offense to earn targets and produce on those targets.
We’ll take a weekly team-by-team look into these target earners and separate the wheat from the chaff. To properly lead into what we’ll be looking at this season, we’ll have to establish a baseline of the most important things we’re looking at with targets and other receiving metrics that paint the full picture for who we should be rostering, who we should be adding, and who we can drop.
Everything we’ll discuss in this season’s WR/TE/RB Targets, Air Yards, and Snaps trends analysis article will be some of the best metrics correlating to fantasy production. Think of targets as a page in a coloring book, representing the outline yet to be colored. Coloring on that page adds context and flavor to that page. That’s what we’ll do with targets — adding more context than just some target totals and box score stats.
Note: Statistics from our player pages at RotoBaller were included during the compilation of data, while Pro Football Reference, PFF, Fantasy Points Data, rbdsm.com/stats, NFELO, NFL NextGenStats, NFL Pro+, RotoViz, ESPN Stats and Info, SumerSports, and Nathan Jahnke's Immediate Fantasy Football Takeaways article for that particular week were also used as resources in the creation of this article.
Important Links
We're also providing a full table with statistics for each week HERE besides the tables you see in this article which feature even more statistics!
Largest Target Share % Increases from Week 14 To Week 15
(For BAL, DEN, HOU, IND, NE, and WAS players, from Week 13 before their Week 14 bye)
| Name | Pos. | Team | Previous Week's Target Share | WK 14 Target Share | Diff (+/-) |
| Jerry Jeudy | WR | CLE | 16.7% | 43.8% | +27.1% |
| CeeDee Lamb | WR | DAL | 25.0% | 52.0% | +27.0% |
| Brenton Strange | TE | JAC | 3.7% | 28.6% | +24.9% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | SEA | 17.2% | 41.4% | +24.1% |
| Keenan Allen | WR | CHI | 21.7% | 45.2% | +23.4% |
| Mike Evans | WR | TB | 19.2% | 42.3% | +23.1% |
| Rashod Bateman | WR | BAL | 0.0% | 20.8% | +20.8% |
| Jonnu Smith | TE | MIA | 8.9% | 28.2% | +19.3% |
| Malik Nabers | WR | NYG | 22.5% | 41.2% | +18.7% |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | DET | 15.0% | 32.7% | +17.7% |
| Jayden Reed | WR | GB | 5.6% | 23.1% | +17.5% |
| Charlie Woerner | TE | ATL | 3.3% | 20.0% | +16.7% |
| Davante Adams | WR | NYJ | 26.3% | 42.9% | +16.5% |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | SF | 8.0% | 24.1% | +16.1% |
| Josh Jacobs | RB | GB | 0.0% | 15.4% | +15.4% |
Largest Target Share % Decreases from Week 14 To Week 15
(For BAL, DEN, HOU, IND, NE, and WAS players, from Week 13 before their Week 14 bye)
| Name | Pos. | Team | Previous Week's Target Share | WK 14 Target Share | Diff (+/-) |
| Amari Cooper | WR | BUF | 37.8% | 0.0% | -37.8% |
| Calvin Ridley | WR | TEN | 37.9% | 13.9% | -24.0% |
| Jaylen Waddle | WR | MIA | 26.7% | 5.1% | -21.5% |
| Michael Mayer | TE | LV | 27.3% | 5.9% | -21.4% |
| Dontayvion Wicks | WR | GB | 27.8% | 7.7% | -20.1% |
| Tucker Kraft | TE | GB | 27.8% | 7.7% | -20.1% |
| Joshua Palmer | WR | LAC | 32.1% | 12.5% | -19.6% |
| Sterling Shepard | WR | TB | 23.1% | 3.8% | -19.2% |
| Xavier Legette | WR | CAR | 28.1% | 11.5% | -16.6% |
| Isaiah Davis | RB | NYJ | 18.4% | 3.6% | -14.8% |
| Scotty Miller | WR | PIT | 20.0% | 5.6% | -14.4% |
| Mike Williams | WR | PIT | 20.0% | 5.6% | -14.4% |
| Puka Nacua | WR | LAR | 46.4% | 32.0% | -14.4% |
| Alec Pierce | WR | IND | 26.1% | 11.8% | -14.3% |
| Jordan Addison | WR | MIN | 40.0% | 25.7% | -14.3% |
Arizona Cardinals
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Marvin Harrison Jr. | WR | 6 | 2 | 32 | 0 | 57.3% | 91.7% | 77.1% | 15.0 | 19.4% | 21.7% | 18.2% | 0.97 | 5.2 | WR66 | |||
| Greg Dortch | WR | 3 | 3 | 60 | 0 | -0.6% | 36.1% | 25.7% | -0.3 | 9.7% | 13.0% | 23.1% | 4.62 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 9.6 | WR41 |
| Michael Wilson | WR | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 5.1% | 80.6% | 74.3% | 4.0 | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 0.31 | 2.9 | WR81 | |||
| Zay Jones | WR | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1.3% | 33.3% | 30.0% | 2.0 | 3.2% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 0.25 | 1.3 | WR108 | |||
| Trey McBride | TE | 10 | 9 | 87 | 0 | 34.4% | 100.0% | 91.4% | 5.4 | 32.3% | 39.1% | 27.8% | 2.42 | 17.7 | TE4 | |||
| Elijah Higgins | TE | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 2.5% | 19.4% | 34.3% | 4.0 | 3.2% | 4.3% | 14.3% | 0.71 | 1.5 | TE53 | |||
| Tip Reiman | TE | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 3.2% | 27.8% | 42.9% | 1.7 | 9.7% | 0.0% | 30.0% | 0.80 | 2.8 | TE40 | |||
| James Conner | RB | 5 | 5 | 28 | 0 | -3.2% | 75.0% | 71.4% | -1.0 | 16.1% | 8.7% | 18.5% | 1.04 | 16 | 110 | 2 | 30.8 | RB1 |
| Trey Benson | RB | 11.1% | 15.7% | 5 | 22 | 0 | 2.2 | RB62 | ||||||||||
| DeeJay Dallas | RB | 8.3% | 17.1% | 4 | 15 | 0 | 1.5 | RB66 |
Cardinals Notes From Week 15:
Of all the talk about older running backs, I don’t think people talk about James Conner and how he just gets it done, and when the team has either tried to bring a complement in or mix in other backs, Conner bounces right back and makes them eat dirt. Chase Edmonds, Trey Benson, eat dirt.
Conner was fantastic here with 138 total yards; 110 on the ground. Two touchdowns on the ground plus five receptions. Give that man some flowers.
Luckily, the Cardinals had to contend with a Patriots team that while plucky, just isn’t talented enough at the skill positions to compete and push the Cardinals to keep their offense going. Trey McBride (10 targets, 9-87) continues his assault on the “most catches without a receiving touchdown” stat. We’re up to 89 catches on the season and the Cardinals, to their credit, had Kyler Murray attempt a shovel pass to get McBride off the schneid. It was a no go, but they’re going to keep trying and we’re all going to talk about it!
Nobody better than Trey McBride between the 1s.
— Andy Behrens (@andybehrens.bsky.social) December 15, 2024 at 6:06 PM
Greg Dortch (3-60) had a 39-yard catch that highlighted his day with the second-most yards. Marvin Harrison (2-32) was present and accounted for as well with six targets that didn’t really amount to much outside of a 23-yard catch early on their second offensive play of the game.
Atlanta Falcons
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Drake London | WR | 3 | 3 | 53 | 1 | 37.0% | 95.2% | 98.3% | 13.7 | 20.0% | 28.6% | 15.0% | 2.65 | 14.3 | WR28 | |||
| Darnell Mooney | WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9.0% | 100.0% | 91.4% | 10.0 | 6.7% | 14.3% | 4.8% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR114 | |||
| Ray-Ray McCloud III | WR | 3 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 25.1% | 76.2% | 41.4% | 9.3 | 20.0% | 0.0% | 18.8% | 0.88 | 2.4 | WR91 | |||
| KhaDarel Hodge | WR | 4.8% | 8.6% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| Kyle Pitts | TE | 4 | 4 | 28 | 0 | 18.0% | 76.2% | 41.4% | 5.0 | 26.7% | 28.6% | 25.0% | 1.75 | 6.8 | TE18 | |||
| Charlie Woerner | TE | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 7.3% | 19.0% | 69.0% | 2.7 | 20.0% | 28.6% | 75.0% | 1.75 | 2.7 | TE42 | |||
| Ross Dwelley | TE | 9.5% | 48.3% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Bijan Robinson | RB | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 3.6% | 57.1% | 75.9% | 4.0 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 0.83 | 22 | 125 | 0 | 14.5 | RB15 |
| Tyler Allgeier | RB | 4.8% | 25.9% | 12 | 43 | 0 | 4.3 | RB47 |
Falcons Notes From Week 15:
THIS game, above all games, was apparently the straw that broke the camel’s back for Kirk Cousins despite the Falcons winning 15-9 over the Raiders. It wasn’t impressive, it didn’t look particularly good either, but Atlanta got it done.
Very little in part thanks to Cousins, who threw the ball just 17 times, didn’t look great doing it besides a nice touchdown to Drake London who was pretty much wide open when he caught it. London led the team with 53 yards receiving and had the game’s only touchdown for Atlanta, who will now turn to Michael Penix Jr. as head coach Raheem Morris named Penix the starter moving forward.
Darnell Mooney ran 100% of routes and had one catchless target, which of course is super awesome. Kyle Pitts led the Falcons in targets, with four on just 28 yards. This passing game (minus London) was in desperate need of a glow-up and will (hopefully) get just that with Penix manning the controls for the next three weeks as he tries to vault the Falcons into an NFC South Division Championship, which is their easiest way into the playoffs.
Of course, Bijan Robinson is awesome with 125 yards rushing and a 10-yard catch on his lone target, and his massive role is without question. He’s likely the RB2 in fantasy drafts next season after Saquon Barkley.
Baltimore Ravens
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Zay Flowers | WR | 7 | 6 | 53 | 0 | 21.7% | 96.6% | 81.4% | 8.1 | 29.2% | 38.9% | 25.0% | 1.89 | 11.3 | WR34 | |||
| Rashod Bateman | WR | 5 | 3 | 80 | 2 | 45.5% | 86.2% | 76.3% | 23.8 | 20.8% | 16.7% | 20.0% | 3.20 | 23.0 | WR10 | |||
| Nelson Agholor | WR | 1 | 1 | 26 | 0 | 9.2% | 31.0% | 28.8% | 24.0 | 4.2% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 2.89 | 3.6 | WR74 | |||
| Devontez Walker | WR | 1 | 1 | 21 | 1 | 11.5% | 6.9% | 18.6% | 30.0 | 4.2% | 5.6% | 50.0% | 10.50 | 9.1 | WR42 | |||
| Tylan Wallace | WR | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2.3% | 13.8% | 23.7% | 6.0 | 4.2% | 5.6% | 25.0% | 2.00 | 1.8 | WR96 | |||
| Mark Andrews | TE | 2 | 2 | 24 | 1 | 10.7% | 82.8% | 66.1% | 14.0 | 8.3% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 1.00 | 10.4 | TE9 | |||
| Isaiah Likely | TE | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 3.1% | 58.6% | 66.1% | 4.0 | 8.3% | 0.0% | 11.8% | 1.00 | 3.7 | TE33 | |||
| Derrick Henry | RB | 34.5% | 45.8% | 14 | 67 | 0 | 6.7 | RB37 | ||||||||||
| Justice Hill | RB | 5 | 5 | 61 | 1 | -3.8% | 62.1% | 37.3% | -2.0 | 20.8% | 16.7% | 27.8% | 3.39 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 17.8 | RB10 |
| Rasheen Ali | RB | 3.4% | 16.9% | 8 | 32 | 0 | 3.2 | RB54 | ||||||||||
| Patrick Ricard | FB | 6.9% | 35.6% | 0.0 | FB1 |
Ravens Notes From Week 15:
Considering Lamar Jackson had more touchdown passes (five) than incompletions (four), the Ravens rolled the Giants and left only destruction in their wake. Jackson only threw 25 passes here and eventually gave way to backup Josh Johnson to close out the win.
While Rashod Bateman is a risky play each week, there’s certainly no denying that his single-week upside exists. Bateman added two touchdowns to the ledger against the Giants on top of his three receptions for 80 yards on five targets. As the only other non-running back to notch more than two catches, Zay Flowers was solid but clearly took a backseat to Bateman here.
Mark Andrews got back to above 80% routes for the first time since Week 10’s game against the Cincinnati Bengals and for just the second time this season. He only caught two balls but caught a touchdown at least before the Ravens called off the dogs.
In the run game, Derrick Henry was just fine with 14 carries for 67 yards, but everybody had him ticketed for a huge game, you know, being “DeHEMber” and all. While it wasn’t a super fruitful game for Henry, Justice Hill was excellent and outscored Henry in fantasy points (17.8 to 6.7) in Week 15 with a 5-61-1 line on five targets and seven yards rushing.
Of course, Hill is merely a flex as his receiving games are sporadic and Henry is historically dominant in the winter months.
Buffalo Bills
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Curtis Samuel | WR | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -0.6% | 30.6% | 27.1% | -1.0 | 6.7% | 5.0% | 18.2% | 0.09 | 1.1 | WR109 | |||
| Khalil Shakir | WR | 7 | 6 | 39 | 1 | 11.5% | 63.9% | 58.6% | 5.7 | 23.3% | 30.0% | 30.4% | 1.70 | 15.9 | WR24 | |||
| Keon Coleman | WR | 2 | 1 | 64 | 0 | 23.3% | 55.6% | 62.9% | 40.5 | 6.7% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 3.20 | 7.4 | WR52 | |||
| Mack Hollins | WR | 2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 4.9% | 58.3% | 50.0% | 8.5 | 6.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 0.33 | 1.7 | WR100 | |||
| Amari Cooper | WR | 41.7% | 45.7% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| Dalton Kincaid | TE | 7 | 4 | 53 | 0 | 23.9% | 58.3% | 48.6% | 11.9 | 23.3% | 25.0% | 33.3% | 2.52 | 9.3 | TE14 | |||
| Dawson Knox | TE | 2 | 2 | 42 | 0 | 8.9% | 66.7% | 72.9% | 15.5 | 6.7% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 1.75 | 6.2 | TE25 | |||
| Quintin Morris | TE | 2.8% | 2.9% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| James Cook | RB | 1 | 1 | 28 | 0 | 4.9% | 27.8% | 41.4% | 17.0 | 3.3% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 2.80 | 14 | 105 | 2 | 26.3 | RB4 |
| Ray Davis | RB | 2 | 2 | 14 | 1 | 1.7% | 19.4% | 25.7% | 3.0 | 6.7% | 10.0% | 28.6% | 2.00 | 7 | 15 | 0 | 10.9 | RB25 |
| Ty Johnson | RB | 5 | 5 | 114 | 0 | 21.5% | 41.7% | 30.0% | 15.0 | 16.7% | 15.0% | 33.3% | 7.60 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 17.3 | RB11 |
| Reggie Gilliam | FB | 8.3% | 17.1% | 0.0 | FB1 |
Bills Notes From Week 15:
The Buffalo Bills playing in back-to-back game of the year contenders? This was a Super Bowl preview – my prediction for the big game, actually – and it did not disappoint. I talked on the Fantasy In Frames Waiver Wire Show about Ty Johnson and the potential game scripts where somebody like him and Ray Davis could be effective for fantasy managers, and that’s few and far between.
#Bills get man coverage (pre snap motion helps identify that) & Josh Allen delivers a beautiful ball to Ty Johnson running a wheel through the A gap
#BillsMafia #GoBills
— Anthony (game script enthusiast) (@proant.bsky.social) December 16, 2024 at 8:49 AM
The Bills need a game script where they are pushed to maximize their offense and with games upcoming against the Patriots and Jets in the rest of the fantasy playoffs, I just can’t see enough work or opportunity where those plays can be successful.
Even with Johnson (5-114 receiving; 2-9 rushing) and Davis (2-14-1 receiving; 7-15 rushing) being super helpful for fantasy managers, James Cook STILL went off for 133 total yards and two touchdowns in this wild, back-and-forth game.
Amari Cooper (zero targets; 42% routes) was on a milk carton in Week 15 just a week removed from notching 14 targets – yes, that’s a one with a four after it – and he’s now on my Richard Nixon’s Kevin Tompkins’ enemies list.
In terms of players who actually recorded statistics, Khalil Shakir (6-39-1) continues to be a YAC monster and got into the end zone yet again as Shakir and the returning Dalton Kincaid (4-53) both co-led the Bills with seven targets.
Carolina Panthers
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Adam Thielen | WR | 7 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 30.7% | 89.2% | 85.5% | 8.9 | 26.9% | 38.9% | 21.2% | 1.55 | 10.1 | WR38 | |||
| Xavier Legette | WR | 3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 20.7% | 35.1% | 41.8% | 14.0 | 11.5% | 5.6% | 23.1% | 0.54 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2.9 | WR81 |
| David Moore | WR | 3 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 9.3% | 64.9% | 58.2% | 6.3 | 11.5% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.9 | WR70 | |||
| Jalen Coker | WR | 6 | 4 | 110 | 1 | 34.9% | 83.8% | 87.3% | 11.8 | 23.1% | 22.2% | 19.4% | 3.55 | 21.0 | WR12 | |||
| Deven Thompkins | WR | 13.5% | 9.1% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| Tommy Tremble | TE | 2 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 4.4% | 62.2% | 63.6% | 4.5 | 7.7% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 0.65 | 3.5 | TE35 | |||
| Ja'Tavion Sanders | TE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5% | 45.9% | 49.1% | 1.0 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 5.9% | 0.00 | 0.0 | TE56 | |||
| Feleipe Franks | TE | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Chuba Hubbard | RB | 4 | 4 | 17 | 0 | -0.6% | 78.4% | 94.5% | -0.3 | 15.4% | 5.6% | 13.8% | 0.59 | 10 | 32 | 0 | 8.9 | RB32 |
| Mike Boone | RB | 2.7% | 5.5% | 2 | 14 | 0 | 1.4 | RB67 |
Panthers Notes From Week 15:
With Xavier Legette leaving the game thanks to a quad injury, the offense may get a bit more condensed with Jalen Coker and Adam Thielen demanding the most targets amongst the pass-catchers in Carolina.
Thanks to an 83-yard touchdown towards the end of the first quarter, Jalen Coker put up his best performance of the season off the heels of a three-game absence with a quad injury. Coker’s four catches and 110 yards helped pace the Panthers as he played out wide more than in the slot for the first time all season.
With Legette considered “week-to-week” and head coach Dave Canales expecting Legette to be ruled out of Week 16’s matchup against the Cardinals, that should unlock Coker to run the majority of routes on the outside, which is where he lined up when he caught his long touchdown. All three played over David Moore, who with Coker back in the lineup with Legette and Thielen, was bumped down until Legette’s injury where he ended up running 65% of routes thanks to the opportunity that opened back up.
Chuba Hubbard had one of his most disappointing games of the season (10-32 on the ground; 4-17 receiving) but can hardly be blamed thanks to the heavier pass script thanks to the blowout that saw the Cowboys up 24-7 at the end of the third quarter.
Chicago Bears
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| DJ Moore | WR | 8 | 8 | 46 | 0 | 1.3% | 97.2% | 85.3% | 0.4 | 25.8% | 35.0% | 22.9% | 1.31 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 15.0 | WR26 |
| Keenan Allen | WR | 14 | 6 | 82 | 1 | 66.5% | 97.2% | 80.9% | 11.9 | 45.2% | 40.0% | 40.0% | 2.34 | 20.2 | WR14 | |||
| Rome Odunze | WR | 6 | 2 | 39 | 0 | 33.0% | 88.9% | 77.9% | 13.8 | 19.4% | 20.0% | 18.8% | 1.22 | 5.9 | WR61 | |||
| Tyler Scott | WR | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -0.8% | 2.8% | 5.9% | -2.0 | 3.2% | 5.0% | 100.0% | 5.00 | 1.5 | WR105 | |||
| Collin Johnson | WR | 13.9% | 16.2% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| Cole Kmet | TE | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 0.0% | 86.1% | 92.6% | 0.0 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 3.2% | 0.45 | 2.4 | TE43 | |||
| Gerald Everett | TE | 5.6% | 17.6% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Marcedes Lewis | TE | 2.8% | 26.5% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| D'Andre Swift | RB | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0.0% | 38.9% | 69.1% | 0.0 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 0.71 | 19 | 79 | 0 | 9.9 | RB28 |
| Travis Homer | RB | 16.7% | 25.0% | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0.7 | RB72 |
Bears Notes From Week 15:
The Bears kind of stink, folks. They’ve lost eight straight games and more importantly, Caleb Williams looks like a frenetic mess right now. Leaving one or two plays out on the field is one thing, but leaving like five or six? That’s not great. Watching Williams play feels like watching a child going through the stages of a sugar rush, so you can imagine how playing like that feels!
If the Bears don’t nail the next head coach – which I have little to no confidence that they’ll do – it’ll be yet another failed top quarterback and then they’ll be right back to the drawing board with Arch Manning or whatever blue-chip “can’t-miss” prospect comes through the pipeline next for the next coaching staff to bungle.
Caleb Williams has the same reaction to watching the Bears in primetime as the rest of us pic.twitter.com/GravoEEo0V
— Barstool Sports (@barstoolsports) December 17, 2024
90% of the team’s targets went to the top three wide receivers. Keenan Allen (6-82-1) led the team in targets with 14 and had a solid game, but Williams missed several throws to him, including one along the sideline where he had a step on the defender in trail coverage and an easy touchdown.
DJ Moore caught all eight of his targets for 46 yards as they continued getting him the short, line-of-scrimmage targets (0.4 aDOT). Early on, the Bears sprinkled in a few rushing attempts for Moore too (3-24). Rome Odunze was inefficient with his six targets (2-39), so it really was just a classic 2024 Bears game. Right down to Cole Kmet running 86% of routes and earning just one target. At least he caught one this week!
After that huge stretch where D’Andre Swift emerged as a solid every-week fantasy contributor, Swift hasn’t had a weekly top-20 finish since Week 11 and has averaged 8.5 fantasy points in the last four weeks. It hasn’t been great as the Bears have hibernated for the winter, but he’s still getting a ton of work and at the very least, he’s a workable flex option.
Cincinnati Bengals
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Ja'Marr Chase | WR | 11 | 9 | 94 | 0 | 29.8% | 97.4% | 97.1% | 6.1 | 34.4% | 41.7% | 29.7% | 2.54 | 18.4 | WR19 | |||
| Tee Higgins | WR | 6 | 5 | 88 | 1 | 38.1% | 92.1% | 87.0% | 14.3 | 18.8% | 25.0% | 17.1% | 2.51 | 19.8 | WR15 | |||
| Andrei Iosivas | WR | 4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 9.4% | 84.2% | 87.0% | 5.3 | 12.5% | 4.2% | 12.5% | 0.16 | 1.5 | WR105 | |||
| Jermaine Burton | WR | 7.9% | 4.3% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| Mike Gesicki | TE | 4 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 11.2% | 52.6% | 31.9% | 6.3 | 12.5% | 8.3% | 20.0% | 1.85 | 6.7 | TE20 | |||
| Drew Sample | TE | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0.0% | 36.8% | 68.1% | 0.0 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 7.1% | 0.57 | 1.8 | TE47 | |||
| Tanner Hudson | TE | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 2.2% | 13.2% | 7.2% | 5.0 | 3.1% | 4.2% | 20.0% | 1.80 | 1.9 | TE46 | |||
| Cam Grandy | TE | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 4.0% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 4.5 | 6.3% | 8.3% | 66.7% | 4.00 | 3.2 | TE37 | |||
| Chase Brown | RB | 3 | 3 | 16 | 1 | 5.3% | 76.3% | 92.8% | 4.0 | 9.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 0.55 | 25 | 97 | 1 | 26.3 | RB4 |
| Khalil Herbert | RB | 5.3% | 4.3% | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.4 | RB74 |
Bengals Notes From Week 15:
Same condensed Bengals, same bad defense that truly is the perfect storm for fantasy production as they got pushed by Mason Rudolph who threw two touchdowns in the fourth quarter after Will Levis was benched following a pick-six in the third quarter. The Bengals were threatened enough that Joe Burrow got to 37 pass attempts; typical Bengals as they are the highest pass rate over expected (PROE) team in the league for about four years running now.
Ja’Marr Chase (team-leading 11 targets, 9-94) is always awesome and will be far and away the highest-scoring wide receiver in fantasy this season with 24 fantasy points per game, with nobody else at even 20 fantasy points per game. Tee Higgins didn’t earn a ton of volume but still was second on the team with six targets and saw a robust 5-88 line with a second-quarter touchdown that got the Bengals up two scores heading into halftime.
The way the Bengals are constructed, the volume will always be there for Chase Brown until the wheels fall off, and that’s in both rushing and receiving as Brown had a touchdown on the ground and through the air with 115 total yards. He’s been a monster since they lost Zack Moss for the season.
Cleveland Browns
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Jerry Jeudy | WR | 14 | 11 | 108 | 0 | 48.1% | 95.1% | 95.2% | 7.9 | 48.3% | 54.5% | 35.9% | 2.77 | 21.8 | WR11 | |||
| Elijah Moore | WR | 6 | 2 | -1 | 0 | 37.0% | 85.4% | 85.5% | 14.2 | 20.7% | 27.3% | 17.1% | -0.03 | 1.9 | WR95 | |||
| Jamari Thrash | WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.8% | 22.0% | 17.7% | 11.0 | 3.4% | 4.5% | 11.1% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR114 | |||
| James Proche II | WR | 4.9% | 3.2% | -2.0 | WR154 | |||||||||||||
| Jordan Akins | TE | 4 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 3.1% | 61.0% | 53.2% | 1.8 | 13.8% | 4.5% | 16.0% | 1.20 | 6.0 | TE26 | |||
| Blake Whiteheart | TE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.8% | 17.1% | 37.1% | 18.0 | 3.4% | 4.5% | 14.3% | 0.00 | 0.0 | TE56 | |||
| Jerome Ford | RB | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | -3.0% | 46.3% | 58.1% | -3.5 | 6.9% | 4.5% | 10.5% | 1.05 | 7 | 84 | 1 | 18.4 | RB9 |
| Pierre Strong Jr. | RB | 7.3% | 9.7% | 0.0 | RB79 | |||||||||||||
| Nick Chubb | RB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2% | 22.0% | 33.9% | 5.0 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 0.00 | 9 | 41 | 0 | 2.1 | RB63 |
Browns Notes From Week 15:
While Jerry Jeudy continued his path of destruction on opposing defenses with a massive 14-target, 11-108 line, it’s hard to ignore Jameis Winston getting benched for Dorian Thompson-Robinson after throwing three interceptions, and then Thompson-Robinson throwing a pick himself after a 4-of-9 line for 18 yards. And THEN being named the starter on Tuesday by head coach Kevin Stefanski!
Make it make sense because Winston gives all of the passing options in Cleveland a chance for actual production. They can move the ball, which is something we have not seen any offense do with Thompson-Robinson as the starting quarterback. DTR has three career starts under his belt; all from 2023 and all of them being pretty unremarkable. His “best” start (and only win) came in Week 11 last season where he went 24-of-43 for 165 yards and an interception, plus 20 yards rushing.
Yeah, sign ME up. ::eye roll::
It’s remarkable that the team is going back to the well with Thompson-Robinson, but in terms of fantasy, you can’t start him. Jeudy is the only confident start here. Stefanski said he was optimistic about David Njoku and Cedric Tillman’s availability for Week 16 against the Bengals, but neither are locks. Njoku can be started thanks to the slim pickings available at tight end, but Tillman and Elijah Moore feel like severe downgrades with DTR, and for fantasy they are no-gos on the pass-catching side.
Adding injury to insult, Nick Chubb broke his foot in Week 15’s contest and will miss the remainder of the season. The next man up is Jerome Ford, who has already been running more routes and snaps than Chubb over the last six weeks. There’s still a bit of a wrinkle here with Cleveland, as the workload is not exactly cut and dry.
The Browns could opt to give Pierre Strong or D’Onta Foreman some of the work Chubb was seeing while keeping Ford in his role for the rest of the season. That’s the rub here with Ford, as while he could be ticketed with more work, Cleveland has a stable of backs that could work their way into the rotation to close out 2024. I’d trust Ford as a start with Thompson-Robinson in a good matchup with the Bengals.
Imagine what a Winston game would have been with the possibility of returning weapons against the Bengals, who EVERY team has passed with ease against? Well, with Thompson-Robinson, the Browns are highly unlikely to join that not-so-exclusive group of teams that have had immense success through the air against the Bengals.
Unfortunately, we can only imagine.
Dallas Cowboys
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| CeeDee Lamb | WR | 13 | 9 | 116 | 1 | 44.5% | 90.0% | 69.4% | 6.5 | 52.0% | 57.1% | 48.1% | 4.30 | 26.6 | WR6 | |||
| Brandin Cooks | WR | 4 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 20.7% | 93.3% | 62.5% | 9.8 | 16.0% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 1.21 | 6.4 | WR56 | |||
| Jalen Tolbert | WR | 2 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 15.8% | 50.0% | 48.6% | 15.0 | 8.0% | 4.8% | 13.3% | 0.73 | 8.1 | WR49 | |||
| Jalen Brooks | WR | 1 | 1 | 17 | 1 | 13.2% | 6.7% | 27.8% | 25.0 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 50.0% | 8.50 | 8.7 | WR45 | |||
| KaVontae Turpin | WR | 23.3% | 19.4% | 2 | 27 | 0 | 2.7 | WR85 | ||||||||||
| Jonathan Mingo | WR | 10.0% | 18.1% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| Jake Ferguson | TE | 3 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 7.4% | 83.3% | 59.7% | 4.7 | 12.0% | 14.3% | 12.0% | 0.92 | 4.3 | TE31 | |||
| Luke Schoonmaker | TE | 16.7% | 37.5% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Brevyn Spann-Ford | TE | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1.1% | 10.0% | 30.6% | 2.0 | 4.0% | 4.8% | 33.3% | 0.67 | 1.2 | TE55 | |||
| Ezekiel Elliott | RB | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | -2.6% | 6.7% | 19.4% | -5.0 | 4.0% | 4.8% | 50.0% | 5.50 | 9 | 30 | 0 | 5.1 | RB41 |
| Rico Dowdle | RB | 76.7% | 73.6% | 25 | 149 | 0 | 14.9 | RB13 | ||||||||||
| Hunter Luepke | FB | 16.7% | 31.9% | 0.0 | FB1 |
Cowboys Notes From Week 15:
Head and shoulders above everybody else on offense was CeeDee Lamb, who had his best fantasy output (26.6 fantasy points, WR6 in PPR) in the last seven weeks. It’s been a good season for him, but obviously, the quarterback injury to Dak Prescott hampered things. Frankly, even WITH Dak, Lamb had been a slight disappointment with just 18.4 fantasy points per game compared to 16.3 fantasy points per game with Cooper Rush.
Brandin Cooks continues to run a bunch of routes which matters very little when there’s a superstar on the other side of him. Depth receivers Jalen Tolbert and Jalen Brooks each caught a touchdown on one catch each for the game. Even Jake Ferguson took a backseat (2-23) but the Cowboys ran the ball a ton in the blowout, which benefited Rico Dowdle.
Dowdle has been massive for the Cowboys with his third-straight game with 110 rushing yards or more and is just 40 yards per game away from a 1,000-yard season. His role is secure for the rest of the season with the second-highest snap percentage (74%) and highest routes per dropback (77%) of this season.
Denver Broncos
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Courtland Sutton | WR | 9 | 3 | 32 | 1 | 73.5% | 97.3% | 90.5% | 16.0 | 29.0% | 40.9% | 25.0% | 0.89 | 12.2 | WR32 | |||
| Marvin Mims Jr. | WR | 4 | 4 | 20 | 0 | -7.8% | 32.4% | 25.4% | -3.8 | 12.9% | 13.6% | 33.3% | 1.67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.0 | WR59 |
| Troy Franklin | WR | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 15.9% | 48.6% | 46.0% | 7.8 | 12.9% | 18.2% | 22.2% | 0.50 | 2.9 | WR81 | |||
| Devaughn Vele | WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.6% | 67.6% | 60.3% | 5.0 | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR114 | |||
| Lil'Jordan Humphrey | WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7.2% | 32.4% | 33.3% | 14.0 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR114 | |||
| Adam Trautman | TE | 2 | 2 | 20 | 1 | 12.8% | 27.0% | 42.9% | 12.5 | 6.5% | 9.1% | 20.0% | 2.00 | 10.0 | TE13 | |||
| Lucas Krull | TE | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 1.0% | 43.2% | 38.1% | 1.0 | 6.5% | 0.0% | 12.5% | 0.50 | 2.8 | TE40 | |||
| Nate Adkins | TE | 1 | 1 | 15 | 1 | 2.0% | 29.7% | 46.0% | 4.0 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 9.1% | 1.36 | 8.5 | TE15 | |||
| Javonte Williams | RB | 3 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0.5% | 56.8% | 54.0% | 0.3 | 9.7% | 4.5% | 14.3% | 0.38 | 6 | 15 | 0 | 4.3 | RB47 |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | RB | 3 | 3 | 13 | 0 | -5.7% | 21.6% | 23.8% | -3.7 | 9.7% | 9.1% | 37.5% | 1.63 | 7 | 21 | 0 | 6.4 | RB38 |
| Audric Estime | RB | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -2.0% | 10.8% | 20.6% | -4.0 | 3.2% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 1.25 | 5 | 13 | 0 | 2.8 | RB57 |
Broncos Notes From Week 15:
Bo Nix tossed three interceptions, but also three touchdown passes on just 130 yards in what was an incredibly uneven day for the Broncos, where Denver put up 24 unanswered points in the third quarter and stormed out ahead to make this game look more like a blowout than it was.
Uneven is definitely the right word as Courtland Sutton (as usual) led the Broncos with nine targets, but the targets were hugely inefficient with just three catches for 32 yards and a touchdown. But 10 other Broncos earned a target and eight of them caught a pass. Opportunities were very much spread out amongst a bunch of other pass-catchers with tight ends Adam Trautman and Nate Adkins scoring on the other two of Nix’s remaining touchdown passes.
Is it worth talking about this run game? You can’t start any of them and they have an equal part of the pie despite Javonte Williams taking 54% of snaps and 57% of routes. The three backs combined for 18 carries for 49 yards and Jaleel McLaughlin led the trio of Williams, McLaughlin, and Audric Estime with seven carries for 21 yards. Just draft Ashton Jeanty and make this stop, Sean Payton.
Detroit Lions
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Amon-Ra St. Brown | WR | 17 | 14 | 193 | 1 | 36.3% | 93.8% | 91.1% | 9.1 | 32.7% | 41.2% | 28.3% | 3.22 | 37.3 | WR2 | |||
| Jameson Williams | WR | 5 | 3 | 37 | 1 | 17.1% | 92.2% | 87.3% | 14.6 | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 0.63 | 12.7 | WR31 | |||
| Tim Patrick | WR | 8 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 20.4% | 87.5% | 81.0% | 10.9 | 15.4% | 20.6% | 14.3% | 0.54 | 13.0 | WR30 | |||
| Allen Robinson II | WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.6% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.0 | 1.9% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR114 | |||
| Sam LaPorta | TE | 10 | 7 | 111 | 0 | 26.3% | 92.2% | 97.5% | 11.2 | 19.2% | 17.6% | 16.9% | 1.88 | 18.1 | TE3 | |||
| Brock Wright | TE | 10.9% | 22.8% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | 7 | 5 | 83 | 1 | 0.2% | 71.9% | 74.7% | 0.1 | 13.5% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 1.80 | 8 | 31 | 1 | 28.4 | RB2 |
| David Montgomery | RB | 4 | 4 | 31 | 0 | -1.9% | 20.3% | 30.4% | -2.0 | 7.7% | 2.9% | 30.8% | 2.38 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 7.5 | RB36 |
Lions Notes From Week 15:
With the Buffalo Bills going up 35-21, and then later 45-28, in the early stages of the fourth quarter, the Detroit Lions pretty much abandoned the run and went into full-on pass mode. They actually abandoned the run well before that, as Jared Goff ended up just shy of 500 passing yards on the day, with five touchdowns and 59 passing attempts.
In some form or fashion, everybody got there with Amon-Ra St. Brown having just a gargantuan day (14-193-1) plus Jameson Williams (3-37-1) and Tim Patrick (4-30-1) also catching touchdowns. Sam LaPorta didn’t have to catch a touchdown but had a monster day himself with 10 targets and a 7-111 stat line as he was used a TON downfield with an 11.2-yard aDOT.
Unfortunately, there was also bad news as David Montgomery left the game with an MCL injury that will require surgery, so he’ll be out for the remainder of the season. That bumps up Jahmyr Gibbs (8-31-1 rushing; 5-83-1 receiving) to handle this backfield by himself. He was already a league-winner, but with a level-up to a massive workload now without Montgomery, Gibbs could be doubly impactful for the rest of the season.
Gibbs played every snap the rest of the way in Week 15 once Montgomery left with no other running backs like Craig Reynolds or Sione Vaki garnering an offensive snap, so we’ll see whether that will hold true for the three remaining games and the playoffs. At the very worst, Reynolds and then Vaki – in that order – would be a priority handcuff if you have the room on rosters. I know it’s certainly tough at this time of the playoffs to roster non-contributors, but you never know in this crazy game we play.
Dan Campbell: We have a ton of confidence in Jahmyr Gibbs handling bigger workload.
www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootb...— ProFootballTalk (@profootballtalk.bsky.social) December 17, 2024 at 6:27 AM
Green Bay Packers
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Jayden Reed | WR | 6 | 5 | 34 | 0 | 0.9% | 75.0% | 59.4% | 0.3 | 23.1% | 28.6% | 28.6% | 1.62 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 11.1 | WR35 |
| Romeo Doubs | WR | 5 | 3 | 40 | 2 | 45.7% | 89.3% | 75.0% | 17.6 | 19.2% | 21.4% | 20.0% | 1.60 | 19.0 | WR17 | |||
| Christian Watson | WR | 6 | 3 | 56 | 0 | 49.2% | 75.0% | 78.1% | 15.8 | 23.1% | 0.0% | 28.6% | 2.67 | 8.6 | WR46 | |||
| Dontayvion Wicks | WR | 2 | 2 | 14 | 0 | 1.6% | 35.7% | 46.9% | 1.5 | 7.7% | 14.3% | 20.0% | 1.40 | 3.4 | WR76 | |||
| Tucker Kraft | TE | 2 | 2 | 34 | 0 | 13.0% | 85.7% | 89.1% | 12.5 | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 1.42 | 5.4 | TE27 | |||
| Ben Sims | TE | 7.1% | 25.0% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| John FitzPatrick | TE | 14.3% | 14.1% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Josh Jacobs | RB | 4 | 4 | 42 | 0 | -8.3% | 60.7% | 75.0% | -4.0 | 15.4% | 21.4% | 23.5% | 2.47 | 26 | 94 | 1 | 21.6 | RB6 |
| Emanuel Wilson | RB | 7.1% | 9.4% | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0.9 | RB70 | ||||||||||
| Chris Brooks | RB | 1 | 1 | 9 | 0 | -2.1% | 25.0% | 25.0% | -4.0 | 3.8% | 7.1% | 14.3% | 1.29 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 2.5 | RB58 |
Packers Notes From Week 15:
The opening drive of this game against the Seahawks in Seattle was Josh Jacobs setting the tone, as he touched the ball in 9-of-10 plays on the game's opening drive that ended on a Jacobs rushing touchdown from one yard out. Jacobs ended the night with 26 carries for 94 yards and a touchdown, as well as catching 4-of-4 targets for 42 yards through the air. It was a continuation of a massive run for Jacobs as he's scored nine touchdowns in his past five games.
Romeo Doubs, who hadn't played since Week 12, scored twice and Doubs' second touchdown in the fourth quarter in particular was an excellently thrown ball by Jordan Love where Doubs had to reach low to where only he could make a play on it, cementing the Packers' victory to put them up by three scores. No other pass-catcher truly excelled here as Jayden Reed (5-34) and Christian Watson (3-56) co-led the team in targets with six, but neither really did anything great or even good with those targets.
The Packers continue to be excellent for real-life NFL (besides Jacobs) but a pain to prognosticate for fantasy purposes. Even Reed, who felt so comfy as a starter early in the season, has tailed off and fallen back in line with his other pass-catchers.
Houston Texans
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Nico Collins | WR | 6 | 4 | 17 | 2 | 27.7% | 87.5% | 82.0% | 9.2 | 24.0% | 28.6% | 21.4% | 0.61 | 17.7 | WR22 | |||
| Tank Dell | WR | 2 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 11.5% | 81.3% | 62.0% | 11.5 | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 1.00 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 6.1 | WR58 |
| Robert Woods | WR | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 5.0% | 34.4% | 48.0% | 5.0 | 8.0% | 7.1% | 18.2% | 1.09 | 3.2 | WR78 | |||
| Xavier Hutchinson | WR | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 6.5% | 15.6% | 16.0% | 13.0 | 4.0% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 2.60 | 2.3 | WR92 | |||
| John Metchie | WR | 4 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 22.6% | 53.1% | 42.0% | 11.3 | 16.0% | 21.4% | 23.5% | 1.00 | 3.7 | WR73 | |||
| Dalton Schultz | TE | 4 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 17.6% | 90.6% | 94.0% | 8.8 | 16.0% | 21.4% | 13.8% | 0.45 | 3.3 | TE36 | |||
| Irv Smith | TE | 15.6% | 46.0% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Joe Mixon | RB | 6 | 5 | 33 | 0 | 9.0% | 50.0% | 64.0% | 3.0 | 24.0% | 14.3% | 37.5% | 2.06 | 12 | 23 | 0 | 10.6 | RB26 |
| Dameon Pierce | RB | 12.5% | 14.0% | 0.0 | RB79 | |||||||||||||
| Dare Ogunbowale | RB | 21.9% | 22.0% | 1 | 35 | 0 | 3.5 | RB53 |
Texans Notes From Week 15:
The Houston Texans might be the most frustrating team to write about this season as we looked forward to seeing what C.J. Stroud could do in Year 2 with Nico Collins, Tank Dell, and Stefon Diggs, plus Joe Mixon to keep defenses honest. It was supposed to go better!
The Texans scored 20 points and ran a season-low 47 plays. Stroud only threw for 131 yards, Mixon ran at less than 2.0 yards per carry, and Collins scored two touchdowns on just 17 yards receiving. Just… I don’t even know anymore. They’ve been THE disappointment of the 2024 season relative to their preseason expectations.
Collins led the team in targets (six) and just a 4-17 line to go with it including the two scores. No other non-running back had more than two catches, and Dell led the Texans with 26 yards. That sound you heard was the most audible sigh and me throwing my hands up in disgust. In terms of players that didn’t get hurt and played through the whole season, find me a bigger bust than Dell has been.
I’m not even sure it’s Dell’s fault honestly, but for all the love given to PFF Bobby (offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik) about cultivating a dynamic offense around the rookie Stroud last season, he’s tossed all of that goodwill down the toilet.
Even Mixon, the one thing that was going in this offense throughout the season, couldn’t get anything going on the ground with 23 yards on 12 carries. And somehow, despite just 208 yards of offense and 47 offensive plays, they won this game. Amazing for all the worst reasons.
Indianapolis Colts
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Michael Pittman Jr. | WR | 9 | 6 | 58 | 0 | 21.6% | 97.7% | 96.1% | 7.6 | 26.5% | 33.3% | 20.9% | 1.35 | 9.8 | WR40 | |||
| Josh Downs | WR | 8 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 18.9% | 86.4% | 76.3% | 7.5 | 23.5% | 25.9% | 21.1% | 0.84 | 6.2 | WR57 | |||
| Adonai Mitchell | WR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16.1% | 45.5% | 48.7% | 17.0 | 8.8% | 7.4% | 15.0% | 0.00 | 1 | -10 | 0 | -3.0 | WR155 |
| Alec Pierce | WR | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26.1% | 43.2% | 46.1% | 20.7 | 11.8% | 11.1% | 21.1% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR114 | |||
| Anthony Gould | WR | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 5.7% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 18.0 | 2.9% | 3.7% | 25.0% | 5.75 | 3.3 | WR77 | |||
| Kylen Granson | TE | 4 | 3 | 47 | 0 | 6.9% | 34.1% | 35.5% | 5.5 | 11.8% | 11.1% | 26.7% | 3.13 | 7.7 | TE17 | |||
| Mo Alie-Cox | TE | 11.4% | 30.3% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Drew Ogletree | TE | 15.9% | 39.5% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Will Mallory | TE | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.7% | 38.6% | 23.7% | 15.0 | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 0.00 | 0.0 | TE56 | |||
| Jonathan Taylor | RB | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -0.6% | 43.2% | 68.4% | -1.0 | 5.9% | 3.7% | 10.5% | 0.21 | 22 | 107 | 0 | 10.1 | RB27 |
| Trey Sermon | RB | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 0.6% | 31.8% | 23.7% | 1.0 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 14.3% | 0.64 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3.2 | RB54 |
| Tyler Goodson | RB | 6.8% | 6.6% | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.3 | RB76 |
Colts Notes From Week 15:
The Colts are bad.
The Colts ran a trick play parlay @craighorlbeck @DannyBKelly pic.twitter.com/k9wWA4nihv
— Danny Heifetz (@Danny_Heifetz) December 16, 2024
Can I be done? No?
Well, surely else nothing else bad happened to that Colts that we can talk abo-
Call overturned! This TD was ruled a touchback pic.twitter.com/jRlTeq9QQs
— NFL (@NFL) December 15, 2024
::sigh::
Another day where Anthony Richardson completed less than half of his passes and delivered some inefficient volume to Michael Pittman Jr. (6-58) and a returning Josh Downs (3-32). Jonathan Taylor had 111 total yards, but Taylor’s afternoon won’t be remembered for that when the history books are written about Week 15 for the 2024 Indianapolis Colts.
The hilarious thing is that the Colts were WINNING late in the third quarter. What else can you say at this point? I don’t think there’s a pass-catcher you can start with any confidence right now, maybe Pittman or Downs as low-end flex options? But with how sporadic Richardson’s accuracy is? I can’t put my playoff hopes on that.
Jacksonville Jaguars
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Brian Thomas Jr. | WR | 14 | 10 | 105 | 2 | 33.9% | 94.1% | 88.1% | 6.7 | 33.3% | 41.2% | 29.2% | 2.19 | 32.5 | WR4 | |||
| Parker Washington | WR | 6 | 3 | 54 | 0 | 32.1% | 90.2% | 85.7% | 14.8 | 14.3% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 1.17 | 8.4 | WR48 | |||
| Tim Jones | WR | 9.8% | 13.1% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| Devin Duvernay | WR | 4 | 3 | 42 | 0 | 16.4% | 52.9% | 46.4% | 11.3 | 9.5% | 5.9% | 14.8% | 1.56 | 7.2 | WR54 | |||
| Josh Reynolds | WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4.0% | 39.2% | 33.3% | 11.0 | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR114 | |||
| Luke Farrell | TE | 17.6% | 32.1% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Brenton Strange | TE | 12 | 11 | 73 | 0 | 18.7% | 82.4% | 82.1% | 4.3 | 28.6% | 35.3% | 28.6% | 1.74 | 18.3 | TE2 | |||
| Josiah Deguara | TE | 7.8% | 17.9% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Travis Etienne | RB | 4 | 4 | 20 | 0 | -2.9% | 68.6% | 72.6% | -2.0 | 9.5% | 0.0% | 11.4% | 0.57 | 14 | 65 | 0 | 12.5 | RB22 |
| Tank Bigsby | RB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.2% | 17.6% | 26.2% | -6.0 | 2.4% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 0.00 | 11 | 42 | 0 | 4.2 | RB49 |
Jaguars Notes From Week 15:
I’d say the Jaguars being very competitive with the Jets is surprising, but on the other hand, it IS the New York Jets we’re talking about here. Another week of Mac Jones throwing the ball, which is great for exactly nobody. Well, that’s a bit disingenuous, because one certain rookie wide receiver has been awesome, that being Brian Thomas Jr.
Thomas posted two touchdowns on a team-leading 14 targets with 10-105 and continues to prove that he was woefully undervalued by most analysts and the community at large coming out of the NFL Draft and in fantasy drafts, as he’s been BETTER than Malik Nabers this season, averaging 15.3 fantasy points per game as fantasy WR7. As a more polished DK Metcalf in an era where the 6-foot-4 prototype “X” receiver has gone the way of the dodo for speedier, smaller, and more versatile receivers, Thomas has flourished in his rookie campaign no matter who is throwing him passes.
With Evan Engram out for the season with a shoulder injury, the Jaguars have been further decimated as they continue to spiral into the offseason following this loss to the Jets. At the very least, as Engram’s door closes, a door opens for an increased opportunity for Brenton Strange. He took advantage of this opportunity to finish as TE2. Strange compiled targets and catches that would make Engram cry happy tears, as he hauled in 11-of-12 targets for 73 yards. He’s a usable volume-dependent tight end option who will run routes (82% in Week 15) for the rest of the season.
Tank Bigsby saw the Brian Robinson “lots of carries but low snaps” role to Travis Etienne’s Austin Ekeler-plus role, which allowed him to out-carry Bigsby 14-to-11 and get some solid receiving work in with four catches. Etienne was also much more efficient on the ground than Bigsby but both are probably startable going forward, especially this week against the Raiders in a matchup that nobody will watch and a game Scott Hanson will begrudgingly take us to on NFL RedZone.
Kansas City Chiefs
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Xavier Worthy | WR | 11 | 6 | 46 | 0 | 29.2% | 86.0% | 81.3% | 8.9 | 32.4% | 39.1% | 29.7% | 1.24 | 3 | 30 | 1 | 19.6 | WR16 |
| Justin Watson | WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14.3% | 51.2% | 56.0% | 48.0 | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR114 | |||
| JuJu Smith-Schuster | WR | 2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1.8% | 55.8% | 50.7% | 3.0 | 5.9% | 4.3% | 8.3% | 0.29 | 7.7 | WR51 | |||
| DeAndre Hopkins | WR | 6 | 5 | 36 | 0 | 20.0% | 48.8% | 45.3% | 11.2 | 17.6% | 26.1% | 28.6% | 1.71 | 8.6 | WR46 | |||
| Nikko Remigio | WR | 2.3% | 6.7% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| Travis Kelce | TE | 7 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 23.6% | 93.0% | 89.3% | 11.3 | 20.6% | 13.0% | 17.5% | 0.68 | 6.7 | TE20 | |||
| Noah Gray | TE | 4 | 2 | 21 | 1 | 12.5% | 39.5% | 54.7% | 10.5 | 11.8% | 4.3% | 23.5% | 1.24 | 10.1 | TE11 | |||
| Anthony Firkser | TE | 9.3% | 12.0% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Isiah Pacheco | RB | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0.3% | 20.9% | 37.3% | 1.0 | 2.9% | 4.3% | 11.1% | 1.67 | 13 | 32 | 0 | 5.7 | RB40 |
| Samaje Perine | RB | 1 | 1 | 23 | 0 | -0.6% | 32.6% | 25.3% | -2.0 | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 1.64 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 4.4 | RB46 |
| Kareem Hunt | RB | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -1.2% | 27.9% | 37.3% | -4.0 | 2.9% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 0.33 | 13 | 45 | 0 | 5.9 | RB39 |
Chiefs Notes From Week 15:
With Patrick Mahomes coming out of Week 15’s game with a high ankle sprain after being rolled up on, obviously the concern is his status for the playoffs with three weeks left in the season, and a fourth with a potential first-round bye that still very much hangs in the balance. With three games left, the Chiefs have a 75% chance to nab that top spot in the AFC.
With this offense as currently constructed, it’s been pretty bad WITH Mahomes, but without him and Carson Wentz in? I mean, you can’t exactly feel too confident about the weapons. Travis Kelce and DeAndre Hopkins are fine, locked-in options, even if the targets were and likely will continue to be in the short area.
Manufactured touches for Xavier Worthy continue with the possibility of more rushing work after taking a 21-yard “rushing attempt” (actually a swing pass) that went for a touchdown. They’ve really tried to get him going and he led everything for the team (11 targets, 6-46), including deep targets, with a team-leading 29% of air yards and a 39% first-look rate.
The backfield is carved up several ways with both Isiah Pacheco and Kareem Hunt taking 28 snaps (37%) and 13 carries with Hunt’s carries being a bit more efficient (45) than Pacheco's (32). Samaje Perine only touched the ball twice, but he was still on the field running more routes (33%) than any of the four running backs which also include Carson Steele. This backfield feels like a game of hot potato with nobody wanting to take it over right now, but Pacheco is hard to start right now in fantasy.
Las Vegas Raiders
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Jakobi Meyers | WR | 10 | 5 | 59 | 0 | 48.5% | 91.3% | 89.4% | 17.6 | 29.4% | 37.5% | 23.8% | 1.40 | 10.9 | WR36 | |||
| Tre Tucker | WR | 3 | 2 | 18 | 0 | 11.6% | 95.7% | 97.0% | 14.0 | 8.8% | 12.5% | 6.8% | 0.41 | 3.8 | WR72 | |||
| Ramel Keyton | WR | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| Terrace Marshall Jr. | WR | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1.9% | 32.6% | 37.9% | 7.0 | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 0.47 | 1.7 | WR100 | |||
| Brock Bowers | TE | 6 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 20.3% | 97.8% | 93.9% | 12.3 | 17.6% | 29.2% | 13.3% | 0.78 | 6.5 | TE22 | |||
| Michael Mayer | TE | 2 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 10.5% | 67.4% | 69.7% | 19.0 | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 0.35 | 2.1 | TE45 | |||
| Harrison Bryant | TE | 6.5% | 10.6% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Alexander Mattison | RB | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -1.4% | 26.1% | 31.8% | -1.7 | 8.8% | 0.0% | 25.0% | 0.25 | 7 | 21 | 0 | 2.4 | RB60 |
| Ameer Abdullah | RB | 7 | 7 | 58 | 1 | 4.4% | 52.2% | 47.0% | 2.3 | 20.6% | 12.5% | 29.2% | 2.42 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 19.6 | RB7 |
| Sincere McCormick | RB | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 4.1% | 13.0% | 21.2% | 7.5 | 5.9% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 2.83 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 4.5 | RB44 |
Raiders Notes From Week 15:
Under the Desmond Ridder regime, it somehow was possible for the Las Vegas Raiders to look even worse than they normally have. Jakobi Meyers led the team with 59 yards receiving and 10 targets, Brock Bowers was just pedestrian catching 3-of-6 targets for 35 yards, and Ameer Abdullah had to spell Sincere McCormick, who injured his ankle early on and according to reports, may be out for the remainder of the season.
Abdullah only took three rushes for eight yards but caught all seven of his targets for 58 yards and a touchdown with Alexander Mattison taking more of a depth role (seven carries, 32% snaps) upon his return from injury. The fantasy value does lie with Abdullah as a receiving threat, while Mattison will probably take the typical rushing downs. Mattison’s role going forward isn’t good enough to even toss into your flex, however.
Los Angeles Chargers
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Joshua Palmer | WR | 4 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 9.8% | 83.8% | 75.0% | 6.3 | 12.5% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 0.32 | 3.0 | WR80 | |||
| DJ Chark | WR | 2 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 5.4% | 21.6% | 17.3% | 7.0 | 6.3% | 8.3% | 25.0% | 2.00 | 3.6 | WR74 | |||
| Ladd McConkey | WR | 7 | 5 | 58 | 1 | 22.0% | 91.9% | 88.5% | 8.1 | 21.9% | 25.0% | 20.6% | 1.71 | 16.8 | WR23 | |||
| Quentin Johnston | WR | 9 | 5 | 45 | 1 | 37.7% | 73.0% | 73.1% | 10.8 | 28.1% | 33.3% | 33.3% | 1.67 | 15.5 | WR25 | |||
| Derius Davis | WR | 5.4% | 3.8% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| Laviska Shenault Jr. | WR | 8.1% | 13.5% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| Stone Smartt | TE | 6 | 5 | 50 | 0 | 21.6% | 64.9% | 67.3% | 9.3 | 18.8% | 16.7% | 25.0% | 2.08 | 8.0 | TE16 | |||
| Eric Tomlinson | TE | 5.4% | 17.3% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Tucker Fisk | TE | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1.9% | 16.2% | 26.9% | 5.0 | 3.1% | 0.0% | 16.7% | 1.17 | 1.7 | TE49 | |||
| Gus Edwards | RB | 5.4% | 26.9% | 8 | 23 | 0 | 2.3 | RB61 | ||||||||||
| Kimani Vidal | RB | 3 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 1.5% | 43.2% | 67.3% | 1.3 | 9.4% | 4.2% | 18.8% | 0.81 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 4.2 | RB49 |
| Hassan Haskins | RB | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.0 | RB79 | |||||||||||||
| Scott Matlock | FB | 2.7% | 21.2% | 0.0 | FB1 |
Chargers Notes From Week 15:
The Chargers were up 17-10 after Quentin Johnston scored a 13-yard touchdown, but the Buccaneers put the clamps on everything and scored 30 unanswered points.
Between Ladd McConkey (5-58-1), Johnston (5-45-1), and Stone Smartt (5-50), those three accounted for 69% of the targets on the night. McConkey scored at least and had a solid night with the co-lead in catches and the most yards. Johnston led the team in targets with nine and had Justin Herbert’s other touchdown.
Smartt took over the starting tight end duties from Will Dissly, who was inactive. Always having been a solid contributor in the receiving game for the Chargers, Smartt had a little bit of run last season when Donald Parham Jr. was hurt. Smartt ran routes on 65% of Herbert’s dropbacks and earned 17% first-read targets, so he was prioritized as a weapon as he earned the third-most targets on the team with six.
With just 11 rushing attempts, Gus Edwards was game scripted out and Kimani Vidal played a large portion of snaps (67%) and routes (43%) on the night. The snaps and routes really didn’t matter with Edwards still leading the team with eight carries. The Chargers have one of the worst running games in the league now with J.K. Dobbins injured.
Los Angeles Rams
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Cooper Kupp | WR | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17.3% | 82.8% | 84.6% | 10.3 | 12.0% | 0.0% | 12.5% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR114 | |||
| Puka Nacua | WR | 8 | 7 | 97 | 0 | 43.0% | 89.7% | 76.9% | 9.6 | 32.0% | 46.2% | 30.8% | 3.73 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 17.8 | WR21 |
| Demarcus Robinson | WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6.2% | 89.7% | 78.5% | 11.0 | 4.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR114 | |||
| Tutu Atwell | WR | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 10.1% | 37.9% | 30.8% | 9.0 | 8.0% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 0.55 | 1.6 | WR102 | |||
| Tyler Johnson | WR | 3.4% | 7.7% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| Colby Parkinson | TE | 4 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 20.1% | 58.6% | 49.2% | 9.0 | 16.0% | 23.1% | 23.5% | 1.24 | 4.1 | TE32 | |||
| Davis Allen | TE | 13.8% | 23.1% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Hunter Long | TE | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 3.4% | 24.1% | 33.8% | 3.0 | 8.0% | 7.7% | 28.6% | 2.43 | 3.7 | TE33 | |||
| Kyren Williams | RB | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0.6% | 69.0% | 86.2% | 0.5 | 8.0% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 0.20 | 29 | 108 | 0 | 13.2 | RB19 |
| Blake Corum | RB | 3 | 2 | 15 | 0 | -0.5% | 13.8% | 13.8% | -0.3 | 12.0% | 0.0% | 75.0% | 3.75 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 4.0 | RB51 |
Rams Notes From Week 15:
In San Francisco, the elements were at play for the Rams in this battle of field goals. This game (which ended 12-6) crushed a lot of people’s fantasy playoff aspirations, but less so on the Rams side, though there was one huge outlier.
At the very least, we got Puka Nacua going 7-97 as the main target for the Rams and he also saw a couple of carries too, so he was far and away the most involved member of the passing game in a game where Matthew Stafford threw for only 160 yards.
No other Ram had more than two catches, including Cooper Kupp. Kupp had three targets and didn’t bring in any of them, putting up a literal good egg. The last time Kupp played more than 50% of his team’s snaps and failed to bring in a pass was the only time that’s ever happened in his career: Week 10 of 2019, where Kupp went catchless on four targets against the Steelers.
As for Kyren Williams, well he kept his usual workhorse role and third 100-yard game of the season on 29 carries. On the previous Sunday’s track meet against the Bills at home and just a few days later on Thursday, Williams had 29 carries in each game. That’s 58 carries in a five-day span and 62 total touches. Wild stuff from somebody people were downgrading because they thought he was going to be a punt returner this season!
Miami Dolphins
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Tyreek Hill | WR | 7 | 2 | 36 | 0 | 58.7% | 90.9% | 92.6% | 16.0 | 17.9% | 21.4% | 17.5% | 0.90 | 5.6 | WR65 | |||
| Jaylen Waddle | WR | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12.6% | 36.4% | 38.2% | 12.0 | 5.1% | 7.1% | 12.5% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR114 | |||
| Malik Washington | WR | 6 | 5 | 52 | 0 | 8.5% | 70.5% | 58.8% | 2.7 | 15.4% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 1.68 | 10.2 | WR37 | |||
| Grant DuBose | WR | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | -2.6% | 13.6% | 16.2% | -5.0 | 2.6% | 3.6% | 16.7% | -0.33 | 0.8 | WR113 | |||
| River Cracraft | WR | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 3.1% | 34.1% | 30.9% | 6.0 | 2.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 0.40 | 1.6 | WR102 | |||
| Jonnu Smith | TE | 11 | 9 | 48 | 1 | 24.8% | 72.7% | 66.2% | 4.3 | 28.2% | 25.0% | 34.4% | 1.50 | 19.8 | TE1 | |||
| Durham Smythe | TE | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 3.1% | 22.7% | 25.0% | 6.0 | 2.6% | 3.6% | 10.0% | 0.80 | 1.8 | TE47 | |||
| Julian Hill | TE | 22.7% | 39.7% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| De'Von Achane | RB | 7 | 7 | 35 | 0 | -6.2% | 65.9% | 66.2% | -1.7 | 17.9% | 10.7% | 24.1% | 1.21 | 12 | 41 | 0 | 14.6 | RB14 |
| Raheem Mostert | RB | 3 | 3 | 13 | 0 | -2.0% | 34.1% | 38.2% | -1.3 | 7.7% | 7.1% | 20.0% | 0.87 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 5.1 | RB41 |
| Jaylen Wright | RB | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.3 | RB76 | ||||||||||
| Alec Ingold | FB | 15.9% | 23.5% | 0.0 | FB1 |
Dolphins Notes From Week 15:
Tua Tagovailoa had one of his worst games of the season with three interceptions and a lost fumble, plus just 196 yards passing as the Dolphins could only muster two field goals up until just under the 5:00 mark in the fourth quarter when Jonnu Smith caught a seven-yard pass to get the game within a possession, where it stayed 20-12 as the final.
Smith continued his dominance with a team-high 11 targets and a 9-48 line in an Evan Engram-ish role for the Dolphins. He had to pick up some of the slack because Jaylen Waddle left the game with a knee injury and is day-to-day after notching just two targets and zero catches. The Texans bottled up Tyreek Hill as well, who was just 2-36 on seven targets.
Malik Washington ran a season-high in routes (70%) and was pretty solid with a 5-52 line for Miami, but he’s not a realistic fantasy option even if Waddle misses time or the rest of the season.
Lacking in efficiency for much of this season but getting by on a lot of receiving work is De’Von Achane. He desperately needs somebody to play off of in the backfield and not the elderly Raheem Mostert or Jaylen Wright, who at least so far, has not shown that he belongs on an NFL field.
Achane lined up as a receiver for a little over 47% of his snaps, which is pretty crazy, and speaks to his receiving talent to get him involved in ways outside of toting the rock to stress a defense. He’s been Alvin Kamara-esque, in that Kamara played receiving roles and thrived with another back to play off of, whether it was Mark Ingram or whoever they put with him. That’s what we need so that we can get the uber-efficient Achane back and dominating like he did at times last season.
Minnesota Vikings
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Justin Jefferson | WR | 13 | 7 | 73 | 1 | 48.8% | 95.2% | 88.3% | 12.2 | 37.1% | 42.9% | 32.5% | 1.83 | 20.3 | WR13 | |||
| Jordan Addison | WR | 9 | 7 | 63 | 0 | 23.8% | 92.9% | 85.7% | 8.6 | 25.7% | 17.9% | 23.1% | 1.62 | 13.3 | WR29 | |||
| Jalen Nailor | WR | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -0.3% | 64.3% | 53.2% | -1.0 | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 0.19 | 1.5 | WR105 | |||
| Brandon Powell | WR | 1 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 3.4% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.0 | 2.9% | 3.6% | 25.0% | 3.00 | 2.2 | WR93 | |||
| Trent Sherfield Sr. | WR | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1.5% | 7.1% | 15.6% | 5.0 | 2.9% | 3.6% | 33.3% | 2.00 | 1.6 | WR102 | |||
| T.J. Hockenson | TE | 8 | 5 | 52 | 0 | 23.4% | 81.0% | 64.9% | 9.5 | 22.9% | 21.4% | 23.5% | 1.53 | 10.2 | TE10 | |||
| Johnny Mundt | TE | 9.5% | 26.0% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Josh Oliver | TE | 23.8% | 46.8% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Aaron Jones | RB | 2 | 2 | 20 | 0 | -0.6% | 59.5% | 61.0% | -1.0 | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 0.80 | 18 | 86 | 1 | 18.6 | RB8 |
| Ty Chandler | RB | 0.0% | 1.3% | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0.4 | RB74 | ||||||||||
| Cam Akers | RB | 21.4% | 27.3% | 10 | 24 | 1 | 8.4 | RB34 | ||||||||||
| C.J. Ham | FB | 19.0% | 20.8% | 0.0 | FB1 |
Vikings Notes From Week 15:
In the battle of condensed offense vs. MORE condensed offense, the Vikings were solid and didn’t get pushed too much but still ended up with 30 points without a huge game from Sam Darnold. The great thing about condensed offenses is that even when Darnold throws for 231 yards with a touchdown and interception, the main guys can all still get there for fantasy. You don’t have to deal a lot with secondary players vulturing touchdowns.
Case in point: Week 15, where Justin Jefferson is awesome and scores a touchdown on a team-leading 13 targets and a 7-73 receiving line. Jordan Addison didn’t catch a touchdown but earned nine targets and still had a respectable 7-63. T.J. Hockenson was also solid with a 5-53 line on eight targets. These three combined for 86% of Minnesota’s targets and no other Vikings had more than two targets or receptions.
With the game well in hand, Aaron Jones’ night with 106 total yards and a touchdown ended a little early thanks to the positive game script. That allowed Cam Akers to earn 10 carries and even score in the fourth quarter.
New England Patriots
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| DeMario Douglas | WR | 3 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 5.8% | 58.6% | 60.8% | 2.7 | 15.0% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 0.65 | 10.1 | WR38 | |||
| Ja'Lynn Polk | WR | 34.5% | 39.2% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| Kendrick Bourne | WR | 3 | 3 | 44 | 0 | 25.0% | 44.8% | 52.9% | 11.7 | 15.0% | 18.8% | 23.1% | 3.38 | 7.4 | WR52 | |||
| Kayshon Boutte | WR | 5 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 57.7% | 96.6% | 88.2% | 16.2 | 25.0% | 25.0% | 17.9% | 0.68 | 3.9 | WR70 | |||
| Hunter Henry | TE | 4 | 4 | 25 | 0 | 6.6% | 86.2% | 82.4% | 2.3 | 20.0% | 18.8% | 16.0% | 1.00 | 6.5 | TE22 | |||
| Austin Hooper | TE | 2 | 3 | 38 | 0 | 11.4% | 62.1% | 58.8% | 8.0 | 10.0% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 2.11 | 6.8 | TE18 | |||
| Jaheim Bell | TE | 6.9% | 7.8% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Rhamondre Stevenson | RB | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | -5.0% | 58.6% | 68.6% | -7.0 | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 0.94 | 13 | 69 | 0 | 9.5 | RB29 |
| Antonio Gibson | RB | 2 | 2 | 31 | 0 | -1.4% | 24.1% | 31.4% | -1.0 | 10.0% | 6.3% | 28.6% | 4.43 | 7 | 33 | 0 | 8.4 | RB34 |
Patriots Notes From Week 15:
Right now, the Patriots just aren’t good enough. Drake Maye is doing the best he can do with what he’s got, but when you look at their skill position players, there’s just not enough talent there to consistently make plays. Perfectly fine players, but outside of MAYBE DeMario Douglas (3-11-1), we’re talking like, the abandoned dynasty fantasy roster-type players at wide receiver. Hunter Henry is a perfectly fine tight end but is no gamebreaker at his age.
This is a team that desperately needs a big wide receiver addition in free agency AND the NFL Draft for Maye’s sake. Tee Higgins, anybody?
But did you see that Maye flip pass to Douglas for his only touchdown of the game? That’s what Maye can do. He’s creative and makes plays. Get weapons to help Maye out.
Drake Maye with a pocket pass for the TD
— CJ Fogler (@cjzero.bsky.social) December 15, 2024 at 5:51 PM
Rhamondre Stevenson, I hate to keep using this term, but he’s just fine. He serves a purpose, but he’s going to be 27 years old next February. Once the team re-tools its wide receivers and skill-position players, Stevenson is going to be on the way down. His contract does allow for some team-friendly cuts after June 1, 2026, though.
Stevenson had 85 total yards and Antonio Gibson was also involved with nine touches and 63 total yards as their most efficient and effective means of moving the ball.
New Orleans Saints
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Cedrick Wilson Jr. | WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5% | 30.6% | 36.4% | 7.0 | 3.8% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 0.00 | 4.8 | WR69 | |||
| Marquez Valdes-Scantling | WR | 5 | 2 | 64 | 0 | 34.4% | 77.8% | 78.2% | 19.0 | 19.2% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 2.29 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8.8 | WR44 |
| Kevin Austin Jr. | WR | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 14.5% | 77.8% | 74.5% | 13.3 | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 0.29 | 1.8 | WR96 | |||
| Dante Pettis | WR | 4 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 18.8% | 52.8% | 47.3% | 13.0 | 15.4% | 17.6% | 21.1% | 1.26 | 4.4 | WR69 | |||
| Juwan Johnson | TE | 3 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 10.5% | 80.6% | 72.7% | 9.7 | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 0.41 | 3.2 | TE37 | |||
| Foster Moreau | TE | 4 | 4 | 39 | 1 | 4.3% | 47.2% | 63.6% | 3.0 | 15.4% | 11.8% | 23.5% | 2.29 | 13.9 | TE6 | |||
| Alvin Kamara | RB | 5 | 4 | 58 | 1 | 14.9% | 41.7% | 45.5% | 8.2 | 19.2% | 23.5% | 33.3% | 3.87 | 5 | 12 | 0 | 17.0 | RB12 |
| Jamaal Williams | RB | 11.1% | 10.9% | 0.0 | RB79 | |||||||||||||
| Kendre Miller | RB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 41.7% | 47.3% | 0.0 | 3.8% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 0.00 | 9 | 46 | 0 | 4.6 | RB43 |
| Adam Prentice | FB | 2.8% | 18.2% | 0.0 | FB1 |
Saints Notes From Week 15:
The passing game? That’s one giant hornet’s nest where we don’t even know who the quarterback is because both Jake Haener and Spencer Rattler are pretty bad. Rattler’s late touchdown to Foster Moreau got the Saints in a position to win the game but they could not convert a two-point attempt to put them ahead on the game’s last play. In fact, Alvin Kamara’s receiving touchdown was a double pass from Cedrick Wilson Jr., so the Saints stay tricky, for fantasy evaluation purposes and for the on-field stuff.
With Kamara leaving Week 15 with a groin injury and not returning after a 4-58-1 receiving line and just 12 yards rushing, that left the door open for Kendre Miller to seize some opportunity with the Saints. After Kamara left, Miller earned 7-of-8 carries and saw a touchdown on just 3.2 yards per carry.
The Kamara groin/adductor injury may keep him out of Week 16 and if so, that makes Miller a volume-dependent play against the Packers on Monday Night Football.
New York Giants
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Malik Nabers | WR | 14 | 10 | 82 | 1 | 45.8% | 97.6% | 94.1% | 6.9 | 41.2% | 46.7% | 34.1% | 2.00 | 24.2 | WR9 | |||
| Wan'Dale Robinson | WR | 8 | 4 | 38 | 0 | 43.7% | 76.2% | 76.5% | 11.5 | 23.5% | 23.3% | 25.0% | 1.19 | 7.8 | WR50 | |||
| Darius Slayton | WR | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 3.8% | 66.7% | 67.6% | 8.0 | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 0.57 | 2.6 | WR87 | |||
| Jalin Hyatt | WR | 33.3% | 29.4% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| Ihmir Smith-Marsette | WR | 4.8% | 4.4% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| Daniel Bellinger | TE | 3 | 3 | 35 | 0 | 9.5% | 59.5% | 67.6% | 6.7 | 8.8% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 1.40 | 6.5 | TE22 | |||
| Chris Manhertz | TE | 14.3% | 39.7% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Greg Dulcich | TE | 14.3% | 10.3% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Devin Singletary | RB | 4 | 3 | 16 | 0 | -5.7% | 23.8% | 33.8% | -3.0 | 11.8% | 6.7% | 40.0% | 1.60 | 8 | 25 | 1 | 13.1 | RB20 |
| Tyrone Tracy Jr. | RB | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2.8% | 47.6% | 67.6% | 1.5 | 11.8% | 10.0% | 20.0% | 0.20 | 10 | 31 | 0 | 4.5 | RB44 |
| Eric Gray | RB | 4.8% | 4.4% | 0.0 | RB79 |
Giants Notes From Week 15:
Anything that can go wrong for the Giants, has and will. Case in point, it’s bad enough that in Week 15, Tommy DeVito had to mop up for Drew Lock’s mess from Week 14. But DeVito left Sunday’s game with a concussion and NFL fans’ favorite journeyman quarterback (whether he deserves to be or not) Tim Boyle had to come in and clean up after DeVito’s mess… by leaving a mess of his own with just 50% passing and an interception.
At least Malik Nabers saw a bunch of targets and got a touchdown on 10-82 receiving. Seeing more volume than he has in weeks was Wan’Dale Robinson, but he could only bring in 4-of-8 targets for 38 yards. There’s no other option you can realistically start here and Robinson is stretching that premise pretty thin.
Tyrone Tracy Jr. kept his big role for the most part, but the Giants REALLY wanted to get some green-zone love to Devin Singletary, who came in and snatched an easy touchdown from Tracy on just 34% of snaps. Both earned four targets, and Singletary feels very annoying right now despite Tracy being on the field a ton. It doesn’t feel good, and Tracy is probably more of a flex option for the rest of the season while the quarterback carousel keeps spinning for the Giants.
New York Jets
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Garrett Wilson | WR | 6 | 3 | 56 | 1 | 29.0% | 100.0% | 98.3% | 16.5 | 21.4% | 25.0% | 16.7% | 1.56 | 14.6 | WR27 | |||
| Xavier Gipson | WR | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| Allen Lazard | WR | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21.8% | 83.3% | 81.0% | 18.6 | 14.3% | 6.3% | 13.3% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR114 | |||
| Davante Adams | WR | 12 | 9 | 198 | 2 | 43.9% | 100.0% | 93.1% | 12.5 | 42.9% | 56.3% | 33.3% | 5.50 | 42.8 | WR1 | |||
| Jeremy Ruckert | TE | 3 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 6.4% | 66.7% | 67.2% | 7.3 | 10.7% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 0.50 | 2.2 | TE44 | |||
| Kenny Yeboah | TE | 38.9% | 50.0% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Breece Hall | RB | 2 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 0.0% | 47.2% | 48.3% | 0.0 | 7.1% | 0.0% | 11.8% | 1.24 | 9 | 30 | 1 | 13.1 | RB20 |
| Braelon Allen | RB | 13.9% | 17.2% | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0.5 | RB73 | ||||||||||
| Isaiah Davis | RB | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.2% | 44.4% | 41.4% | -4.0 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 6.3% | 0.13 | 5 | 24 | 0 | 3.6 | RB52 |
Jets Notes From Week 15:
Aaron Rodgers was 11-of-21 for 138 yards and two touchdowns before the final two scoring drives that got him to 289 yards and three touchdowns thanks to hitting his long touchdown to Davante Adams for 71 yards plus long gains of 23 and 41 in the final drive of the game. Adams was the unquestioned star for the Jets in the passing game, but let’s not pretend that this was a whole-game thing with Adams getting 135 of his 198 receiving yards in those last two drives.
Jags just totally blow their coverage on mesh and Davante Adams ends up wide-open to set up a Jets TD.
— Bill Barnwell (@billbarnwell.com) December 15, 2024 at 3:09 PM
Garrett Wilson also caught a touchdown on a quieter day with no Tyler Conklin active either. The Jets have really been a two-man game and there’s no other option to start other than Adams and Wilson amongst the pass-catchers.
After a left knee injury that kept Breece Hall out of Week 14, Hall returned and split time with Isaiah Davis more than with Braelon Allen. Hall still gained the majority of carries but the Jets passed more than they ran (as usual) but spread out 16 carries between three backs.
Philadelphia Eagles
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| A.J. Brown | WR | 10 | 8 | 110 | 1 | 42.5% | 100.0% | 91.3% | 8.3 | 34.5% | 47.6% | 25.6% | 2.82 | 25.0 | WR8 | |||
| DeVonta Smith | WR | 11 | 11 | 109 | 1 | 30.9% | 97.4% | 92.5% | 5.5 | 37.9% | 42.9% | 28.9% | 2.87 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 28.0 | WR5 |
| Jahan Dotson | WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15.9% | 59.0% | 45.0% | 31.0 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 4.3% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR114 | |||
| Johnny Wilson | WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0% | 20.5% | 28.8% | 0.0 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 12.5% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR114 | |||
| Grant Calcaterra | TE | 1 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 10.2% | 94.9% | 92.5% | 20.0 | 3.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 0.59 | 3.2 | TE37 | |||
| E.J. Jenkins | TE | 5.1% | 11.3% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| C.J. Uzomah | TE | 15.4% | 32.5% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Saquon Barkley | RB | 2 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 2.0% | 61.5% | 61.3% | 2.0 | 6.9% | 0.0% | 8.3% | 0.38 | 19 | 65 | 0 | 9.4 | RB30 |
| Kenneth Gainwell | RB | 3 | 3 | 40 | 0 | -1.5% | 30.8% | 38.8% | -1.0 | 10.3% | 4.8% | 25.0% | 3.33 | 7 | 20 | 0 | 9.0 | RB31 |
Eagles Notes From Week 15:
Both A.J. Brown (8-110-1) and DeVonta Smith (11-109-1) ate for the Eagles as they were just two of three non-running backs to catch a pass. The other was Grant Calcaterra, who caught just one pass on his lone target for 22 yards.
It seemed to be a “Philadelphia Eagles passing offense squeaky wheel” game, where Jalen Hurts had his most pass attempts (32), completions (25), and yards (290) since Week 3. The Eagles, who have been 32nd in PROE this season, had their second-highest PROE (-0.5%). That was still hilariously good for 23rd-best in Week 15, but hey, little wins!
Falling into some of the same ruts that fellow older fantasy backs like Derrick Henry and Joe Mixon did, Saquon Barkley had one of his worst games of the season at an inopportune time with just 9.4 fantasy points. He wasn’t as needed in Week 15, but the Eagles also gave Kenneth Gainwell a little bit of work too with seven carries for 20 yards, three catches for 40 yards, and 39% snaps.
Pittsburgh Steelers
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Van Jefferson | WR | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27.7% | 84.6% | 81.4% | 19.5 | 11.1% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 0.00 | 1.0 | WR111 | |||
| Calvin Austin III | WR | 5 | 5 | 65 | 0 | 36.2% | 92.3% | 81.4% | 10.2 | 27.8% | 25.0% | 20.8% | 2.71 | 11.5 | WR33 | |||
| Scotty Miller | WR | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4% | 15.4% | 23.3% | 2.0 | 5.6% | 6.3% | 25.0% | 0.00 | 0.0 | WR114 | |||
| Ben Skowronek | WR | 1 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 2.1% | 26.9% | 23.3% | 3.0 | 5.6% | 6.3% | 14.3% | 2.43 | 2.7 | WR85 | |||
| Mike Williams | WR | 1 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 10.6% | 57.7% | 34.9% | 15.0 | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 1.00 | 2.5 | WR90 | |||
| Pat Freiermuth | TE | 5 | 3 | 22 | 1 | 30.5% | 84.6% | 69.8% | 8.6 | 27.8% | 31.3% | 22.7% | 1.00 | 11.2 | TE8 | |||
| Darnell Washington | TE | 15.4% | 44.2% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Connor Heyward | TE | 7.7% | 14.0% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| MyCole Pruitt | TE | 7.7% | 27.9% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Najee Harris | RB | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | -4.3% | 23.1% | 32.6% | -6.0 | 5.6% | 6.3% | 16.7% | 1.17 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 3.1 | RB56 |
| Jaylen Warren | RB | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 53.5% | 0.0 | 5.6% | 0.0% | 7.7% | 0.23 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 2.5 | RB58 |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | RB | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | -4.3% | 15.4% | 14.0% | -6.0 | 5.6% | 6.3% | 25.0% | -0.25 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1.8 | RB64 |
Steelers Notes From Week 15:
Good lord, we’re scraping here trying to find any nuggets about a team whose quarterback Russell Wilson threw the ball 22 times for 128 yards and whose running backs combined for 56 rushing yards. It was awful and the Eagles dominated despite a 27-13 score that didn’t seem like it was dominant.
With no George Pickens yet again, who would you even start? Pat Freiermuth (3-22-1) scored a touchdown and co-led with Calvin Austin III (5-65) in targets with five apiece, but Freiermuth is only in streaming territory for tight ends. It’s gross. The Steelers might have the least wide receiver talent outside of Pickens, and I just went on a soliloquy about the Patriots’ lack of weapons. It’s a true “Sophie’s Choice” of terrible pass-catching groups.
Both Najee Harris (6-14 rushing) and Jaylen Warren (4-12) combined for 10 carries for 26 yards on the ground and two catches for 10 yards receiving. If you got a team past the quarterfinals with one of those two running backs, all I need to say is “Godspeed.”
San Francisco 49ers
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. | WR | 7 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 13.6% | 82.4% | 77.8% | 7.0 | 24.1% | 25.0% | 25.0% | 0.57 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4.9 | WR68 |
| Jauan Jennings | WR | 8 | 2 | 31 | 0 | 32.9% | 97.1% | 94.4% | 14.8 | 27.6% | 35.0% | 24.2% | 0.94 | 5.1 | WR67 | |||
| Ricky Pearsall | WR | 4 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 21.5% | 67.6% | 55.6% | 19.3 | 13.8% | 15.0% | 17.4% | 0.70 | 2.6 | WR87 | |||
| Chris Conley | WR | 2.9% | 5.6% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| Jacob Cowing | WR | 2.9% | 7.4% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| George Kittle | TE | 7 | 4 | 61 | 0 | 33.1% | 97.1% | 96.3% | 17.0 | 24.1% | 20.0% | 21.2% | 1.85 | 10.1 | TE11 | |||
| Eric Saubert | TE | 14.7% | 31.5% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Isaac Guerendo | RB | 3 | 4 | 18 | 0 | -1.1% | 64.7% | 75.9% | -1.3 | 10.3% | 5.0% | 13.6% | 0.82 | 16 | 57 | 0 | 11.5 | RB24 |
| Patrick Taylor Jr. | RB | 8.8% | 5.6% | 0.0 | RB79 | |||||||||||||
| Kyle Juszczyk | FB | 52.9% | 50.0% | 0.0 | FB1 |
49ers Notes From Week 15:
We talked about this quagmire of a game for the Rams on the road, but at home for the 49ers? It was even worse. Isaac Guerendo was questionable heading into the game, and with Patrick Taylor not even touching the ball, he still carved out double-digit fantasy points. Of the 49ers’ position players, he was your top scorer. Obviously, with just six points scored as a team, there were zero touchdowns and a lot of frustrated fantasy managers out there.
With Brock Purdy going 14-of-31 passing for just 142 yards, you can imagine there wasn’t a lot of goodness to go around. George Kittle had 4-61 in a floor game. Deebo Samuel was atrocious, again. Jauan Jennings caught just 2-of-8 targets. It was bad all around, and in the fantasy playoffs where a lot of people had some of these players, it was the worst possible time for a game like this that likely contributed to teams being knocked out.
Seattle Seahawks
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| DK Metcalf | WR | 3 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 13.0% | 97.6% | 93.2% | 9.0 | 10.3% | 18.8% | 7.3% | 0.68 | 5.8 | WR63 | |||
| Tyler Lockett | WR | 1 | 1 | 22 | 0 | 10.6% | 78.6% | 76.3% | 22.0 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 3.0% | 0.67 | 3.2 | WR78 | |||
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | WR | 12 | 10 | 83 | 0 | 30.1% | 100.0% | 94.9% | 5.2 | 41.4% | 50.0% | 28.6% | 1.98 | 18.3 | WR20 | |||
| Jake Bobo | WR | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2.4% | 21.4% | 25.4% | 5.0 | 3.4% | 0.0% | 11.1% | 0.89 | 1.8 | WR96 | |||
| Dareke Young | WR | 0.0% | 5.1% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| Noah Fant | TE | 6 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 26.9% | 66.7% | 59.3% | 9.3 | 20.7% | 18.8% | 21.4% | 0.54 | 4.5 | TE28 | |||
| Pharaoh Brown | TE | 4.8% | 16.9% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| AJ Barner | TE | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 15.5% | 28.6% | 28.8% | 10.7 | 10.3% | 6.3% | 25.0% | 0.42 | 1.5 | TE53 | |||
| Zach Charbonnet | RB | 3 | 1 | 12 | 0 | 1.4% | 78.6% | 79.7% | 1.0 | 10.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 0.36 | 8 | 54 | 1 | 13.6 | RB17 |
| Kenny McIntosh | RB | 11.9% | 15.3% | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0.9 | RB70 | ||||||||||
| George Holani | RB | 0.0% | 5.1% | 3 | 10 | 0 | 1.0 | RB69 |
Seahawks Notes From Week 15:
The real story for the Seahawks was the Packers sacking a combination of Geno Smith and Sam Howell seven times. Yes, THAT Sam Howell. He came in the third quarter for Smith who left the game with a knee injury.
While Jaxon Smith-Njigba kept up his productive 2024 with a team-leading 12 targets, 10 catches, and 83 yards, both Smith and Howell couldn’t get any other receiver going, including DK Metcalf, who was in the background for most of the evening catching all three of his targets for just 28 yards.
Even Zach Charbonnet, filling in for Kenneth Walker III who missed his second consecutive game, was capped with rushing opportunities thanks to the negative game script but at least got into the end zone and tallied 54 yards rushing.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Mike Evans | WR | 11 | 9 | 159 | 2 | 58.7% | 86.7% | 65.3% | 12.5 | 42.3% | 40.9% | 42.3% | 6.12 | 36.9 | WR3 | |||
| Jalen McMillan | WR | 6 | 5 | 75 | 1 | 31.5% | 86.7% | 63.9% | 12.3 | 23.1% | 22.7% | 23.1% | 2.88 | 18.5 | WR18 | |||
| Trey Palmer | WR | 13.3% | 23.6% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| Rakim Jarrett | WR | 6.7% | 9.7% | 0.0 | WR114 | |||||||||||||
| Sterling Shepard | WR | 1 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 6.0% | 70.0% | 50.0% | 14.0 | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 0.76 | 2.6 | WR87 | |||
| Ryan Miller | WR | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -0.9% | 3.3% | 20.8% | -2.0 | 3.8% | 4.5% | 100.0% | 1.00 | 1.1 | WR109 | |||
| Cade Otton | TE | 3 | 2 | 24 | 0 | 12.8% | 93.3% | 91.7% | 10.0 | 11.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 0.86 | 4.4 | TE30 | |||
| Payne Durham | TE | 20.0% | 41.7% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Ko Kieft | TE | 3.3% | 26.4% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Rachaad White | RB | 2 | 2 | 17 | 1 | -4.7% | 50.0% | 51.4% | -5.5 | 7.7% | 9.1% | 13.3% | 1.13 | 15 | 64 | 0 | 14.1 | RB16 |
| Bucky Irving | RB | 2 | 2 | -4 | 0 | -3.4% | 36.7% | 44.4% | -4.0 | 7.7% | 9.1% | 18.2% | -0.36 | 15 | 117 | 0 | 13.3 | RB18 |
| Sean Tucker | RB | 3.3% | 11.1% | 7 | 16 | 0 | 1.6 | RB65 |
Buccaneers Notes From Week 15:
In the last two weeks, Jalen McMillan has been a top-20 fantasy receiver with a 4-59 line and two touchdowns in Week 14, and then this past week against the Chargers on the road, McMillan put up a 5-75 line with another touchdown.
He’s benefiting from Mike Evans (9-159-2) on the other side of him, who absolutely BLEW UP, by the way. Evans is aging like the finest of wines and McMillan might just be a league winner the way he’s going, so as a regular 80% or more routes per dropback player in the last three weeks, it’s time to toss him into flex spots as a borderline top-36 fantasy wide receiver.
Another week, another tandem backfield with Bucky Irving and Rachaad White both being incredibly fantasy-viable. White caught a later touchdown and had 81 total yards while earning 15 carries. Irving also had 15 carries but was way more efficient with 117 yards on the ground. It’s wild the turnaround even from just a year or two ago on this backfield from one of the worst and least efficient to one of the best where we can start multiple players from it.
Even Sean Tucker got involved, but that involvement was when the game was well in hand with Tucker’s seven carries all coming within the game’s final stanza.
Tennessee Titans
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Calvin Ridley | WR | 5 | 3 | 41 | 0 | 33.1% | 82.5% | 72.9% | 14.2 | 13.9% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 1.24 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 9.0 | WR43 |
| Tyler Boyd | WR | 2 | 2 | 39 | 0 | 5.3% | 80.0% | 55.7% | 5.7 | 5.6% | 13.0% | 6.3% | 1.22 | 5.9 | WR61 | |||
| Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | WR | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 9.9% | 95.0% | 91.4% | 5.3 | 11.1% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 0.24 | 2.9 | WR81 | |||
| Bryce Oliver | WR | 2 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 5.1% | 17.5% | 20.0% | 5.5 | 5.6% | 8.7% | 28.6% | 1.14 | 1.8 | WR96 | |||
| Mason Kinsey | WR | 1 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 5.1% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 11.0 | 2.8% | 4.3% | 25.0% | 2.75 | 2.1 | WR94 | |||
| Chig Okonkwo | TE | 10 | 8 | 59 | 0 | 26.6% | 52.5% | 62.9% | 5.7 | 27.8% | 39.1% | 47.6% | 2.81 | 13.9 | TE6 | |||
| Josh Whyle | TE | 5 | 5 | 37 | 1 | 17.7% | 45.0% | 25.7% | 7.6 | 13.9% | 0.0% | 27.8% | 2.06 | 14.7 | TE5 | |||
| Nick Vannett | TE | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1.4% | 7.5% | 37.1% | 3.0 | 2.8% | 4.3% | 33.3% | 2.33 | 1.7 | TE49 | |||
| David Martin-Robinson | TE | 2.5% | 4.3% | 0.0 | TE56 | |||||||||||||
| Tony Pollard | RB | 17.5% | 44.3% | 17 | 45 | 1 | 8.5 | RB33 | ||||||||||
| Tyjae Spears | RB | 6 | 6 | 87 | 1 | -4.2% | 67.5% | 55.7% | -1.5 | 16.7% | 8.7% | 22.2% | 3.22 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 27.2 | RB3 |
Titans Notes From Week 15:
The Bengals got pushed a bit by the Titans here as Tennessee was down 31-14 following a Will Levis interception return for a touchdown. That led Mason Rudolph to come off the bench, throw two touchdowns, and immediately get the Titans somewhat back into the game. Rudolph will start in Week 16 and that should at the very least provide some fantasy floor to the couple of options at our disposal for the Titans.
Calvin Ridley had a quiet game (3-41) and only earned five targets on 38 total pass attempts between the two quarterbacks. That should bump back up as the Titans face the Colts in Week 16.
Besides Ridley, the only other option I’d consider is Chig Okonkwo, who amongst the Brenton Strange and Stone Smartt stuff was lost in that tight end madness despite earning 10 targets. Okonkwo caught eight of those for 59 yards and don’t look now, but Okonkwo has earned 20 targets over the past three weeks. With an adult in the room at quarterback, look for more on-target looks on the menu for Okonkwo.
Another running back, yet another injury. This time, it’s Tony Pollard who aggravated an ankle injury in the second quarter, but did return. Pollard did not practice on Wednesday and if this repeats throughout the week, that could give the reins to Tyjae Spears, who looked electric in his receiving work in Week 15.
Spears caught all six of his targets for 87 yards and a touchdown while running in a second touchdown. With Spears and the Titans set for a matchup with the Colts in Week 16, a team that has given up huge chunks of rushing yards to opposing backs this season, Spears as the starter would be an instant RB2 but still a flex if Pollard does play if Spears is going to carry 68% of routes per dropback as he did in Week 15.
Washington Commanders
| Name | Pos | Targets | Rec. | Rec. Yards | TD | Air Yards % | Route % | Snap % | aDOT | Target Share % | First Read Target % | TPRR | YPRR | Rush Att. | Rush Yds. | Rush TD | PPR FPTS | PPR Finish |
| Terry McLaurin | WR | 10 | 7 | 73 | 2 | 74.5% | 91.3% | 89.7% | 19.3 | 35.7% | 41.2% | 23.8% | 1.74 | 26.3 | WR7 | |||
| Dyami Brown | WR | 3 | 3 | 30 | 0 | 1.2% | 82.6% | 78.2% | 1.0 | 10.7% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 0.79 | 6.0 | WR59 | |||
| Luke McCaffrey | WR | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.4% | 10.9% | 15.4% | 1.0 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 20.0% | 0.00 | 1.0 | WR111 | |||
| Olamide Zaccheaus | WR | 3 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 6.1% | 47.8% | 48.7% | 5.3 | 10.7% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 1.64 | 6.6 | WR55 | |||
| Jamison Crowder | WR | 3 | 3 | 27 | 0 | 10.8% | 37.0% | 26.9% | 9.3 | 10.7% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 1.59 | 5.7 | WR64 | |||
| Zach Ertz | TE | 2 | 2 | 25 | 0 | 6.2% | 30.4% | 23.1% | 8.0 | 7.1% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 1.79 | 4.5 | TE28 | |||
| Ben Sinnott | TE | 1 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 1.5% | 54.3% | 53.8% | 4.0 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 4.0% | 0.28 | 1.7 | TE49 | |||
| John Bates | TE | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1.2% | 21.7% | 53.8% | 3.0 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 10.0% | 0.60 | 1.6 | TE52 | |||
| Brian Robinson Jr. | RB | 3 | 3 | 22 | 0 | -0.3% | 56.5% | 74.4% | -0.3 | 10.7% | 5.9% | 11.5% | 0.85 | 21 | 65 | 0 | 11.7 | RB23 |
| Jeremy McNichols | RB | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.5% | 32.6% | 28.2% | -4.0 | 3.6% | 0.0% | 6.7% | 0.00 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1.4 | RB67 |
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. | RB | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.2 | RB78 |
Commanders Notes From Week 15:
The first two scores of the game were Terry McLaurin touchdowns in the first and second quarters and it looked like the Commanders were going to be able to cruise to an easy win. But as Lee Corso would say, “Not so fast, my friend!”
The Commanders almost blew a 17-0 lead and the Saints scored a touchdown to make it 20-19 and went for the two-point conversion to win instead of the typical PAT, because for a team playing for nothing, what does extending a game into overtime do? The Saints failed to convert, and the Commanders escaped with a win.
McLaurin’s 10 targets and 7-73-2 led the Commanders in everything as the only serious target you’re starting in fantasy. Sure, Zach Ertz (two targets, 2-25) exists, but he’s just *fine* in that inoffensive tight end streamer way.
The backfield wasn’t cut into multiple ways as it has been without Austin Ekeler, with Brian Robinson taking 74% of snaps and 21-of-24 running back carries on the afternoon at just slightly more than 3.0 yards per carry. Robinson wasn’t that great, and we expected more in a plus matchup, but he still was serviceable enough to put up double-digit fantasy points.
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