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Wide Receiver Trends Banner - NFL, Air Yards, Targets

Wide Receiver Sleepers, Risers, Fantasy Football Breakouts - Targets, Air Yards, Snaps Trends Analysis For Week 12

by Kevin Tompkins

Targets are paramount when it comes to evaluating pass-catchers for fantasy football. There are no air yards, receiving yards, receptions, or touchdowns without first earning a target. There’s a reason the biggest and most consistent target-earners are among the top fantasy point scorers: they can be relied on by not just their team’s offense to earn targets and produce on those targets.

We’ll take a weekly team-by-team look into these target earners and separate the wheat from the chaff. To properly lead into what we’ll be looking at this season, we’ll have to establish a baseline of the most important things we’re looking at with targets and other receiving metrics that paint the full picture for who we should be rostering, who we should be adding, and who we can drop.

Everything we’ll discuss in this season’s WR/TE/RB Targets, Air Yards, and Snaps trends analysis article will be some of the best metrics correlating to fantasy production. Think of targets as a page in a coloring book, representing the outline yet to be colored. Coloring on that page adds context and flavor to that page. That’s what we’ll do with targets — adding more context than just some target totals and box score stats.

Note: Statistics from our player pages at RotoBaller were included during the compilation of data, while Pro Football Reference, PFF, Fantasy Points Data, rbdsm.com/stats, NFELO, NFL NextGenStats, NFL Pro+, RotoViz, ESPN Stats and Info, SumerSports, and Nathan Jahnke's Immediate Fantasy Football Takeaways article for that particular week were also used as resources in the creation of this article.

 

Important Links

We're also providing a full table with statistics for each week HERE.

 

Largest Target Share % Increases from Week 10 To Week 11

Name Pos. Team WK 10 Target Share WK 11 Target Share Diff (+/-)
Taysom Hill TE NO 10.0% 35.7% +25.7%
Austin Ekeler RB WAS 3.7% 28.1% +24.4%
Cooper Kupp WR LAR 19.5% 38.5% +18.9%
Ladd McConkey WR LAC 11.8% 30.0% +18.2%
Isaiah Likely TE BAL 0.0% 17.9% +17.9%
Najee Harris RB PIT 0.0% 16.1% +16.1%
Jordan Addison WR MIN 11.1% 26.7% +15.6%
Justice Hill RB BAL 6.3% 21.4% +15.2%
Quentin Johnston WR LAC 11.8% 26.7% +14.9%
Hunter Henry TE NE 9.5% 24.3% +14.8%
Luke Schoonmaker TE DAL 3.6% 18.0% +14.4%
Kendrick Bourne WR NE 0.0% 13.5% +13.5%
Breece Hall RB NYJ 12.1% 25.0% +12.9%
Noah Gray TE KC 5.7% 17.9% +12.1%
Xavier Worthy WR KC 5.7% 17.9% +12.1%

Largest Target Share % Decreases from Week 10 To Week 11

Name Pos. Team WK 10 Target Share WK 11 Target Share Diff (+/-)
Kareem Hunt RB KC 25.7% 0.0% -25.7%
Travis Kelce TE KC 31.4% 10.7% -20.7%
Will Dissly TE LAC 35.3% 16.7% -18.6%
Davante Adams WR NYJ 39.4% 21.4% -18.0%
Calvin Ridley WR TEN 36.4% 18.5% -17.8%
Calvin Austin III WR PIT 23.1% 6.5% -16.6%
Terry McLaurin WR WAS 22.2% 6.3% -16.0%
Jake Ferguson TE DAL 17.9% 2.0% -15.9%
Alvin Kamara RB NO 30.0% 14.3% -15.7%
Drake London WR ATL 36.4% 20.7% -15.7%
T.J. Hockenson TE MIN 25.0% 10.0% -15.0%
Davis Allen TE LAR 14.6% 0.0% -14.6%
J.K. Dobbins RB LAC 17.6% 3.3% -14.3%
Rashod Bateman WR BAL 25.0% 10.7% -14.3%
Ricky Pearsall WR SF 17.6% 3.8% -13.8%

Arizona Cardinals

ON BYE IN WEEK 11

 

Atlanta Falcons

 

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Drake London WR 6 3 61 0 35.7% 86.1% 78.0% 13.8 20.7% 15.0% 19.4% 1.97 9.1 WR47
Darnell Mooney WR 4 2 27 0 25.9% 58.3% 57.6% 15.0 13.8% 20.0% 19.0% 1.29 4.7 WR67
Ray-Ray McCloud III WR 6 6 46 0 7.0% 100.0% 98.3% 2.7 20.7% 20.0% 16.7% 1.28 10.6 WR38
Casey Washington WR 1 0 0 0 13.8% 5.6% 3.4% 32.0 3.4% 5.0% 50.0% 0.00 0.0 WR104
KhaDarel Hodge WR 2 2 22 0 0.9% 41.7% 44.1% 1.0 6.9% 10.0% 13.3% 1.47 4.2 WR73
Kyle Pitts TE 4 1 9 0 16.7% 77.8% 74.6% 9.7 13.8% 10.0% 14.3% 0.32 1.9 TE42
Ross Dwelley TE 1 1 5 0 0.4% 27.8% 42.4% 1.0 3.4% 5.0% 10.0% 0.50 1.5 TE51
Bijan Robinson RB 4 4 28 0 1.7% 69.4% 71.2% 1.0 13.8% 10.0% 16.0% 1.12 10.3 RB25
Tyler Allgeier RB 1 1 -1 0 -2.2% 5.6% 6.8% -5.0 3.4% 5.0% 50.0% -0.50 0.9 RB61
Jase McClellan RB 11.1% 22.0% 1.5 RB56

Falcons Notes From Week 11:

The Falcons got behind in this one as they never scored again past a Younghoe Koo field goal near the two-minute warning. The Falcons are probably a fine team, not good, maybe not even great. They’ll move the ball against lesser teams, but the Broncos are a bit of a buzzsaw right now with their pretty stout defense and Bo Nix who is playing out of his mind.

Thanks to that, it was a quiet afternoon from Bijan Robinson (12-35 rushing; four targets, 4-28 receiving) as the game-script got so out of hand that Tyler Allgeier (one target, 1-(-1), just four snaps) was on a milk carton and Jase McClellan (8-15 rushing) got all eight of his carries with the backups.

Of course, that also meant quieter days in the passing game too. Drake London (six targets, 3-61) and Ray-Ray McCloud (six targets, 6-46) ran their usual allotment of routes with London bowing out a little earlier in the blowout.

Darnell Mooney (four targets. 2-27) left in the third quarter with a hamstring injury and with the game out of hand, didn’t return. Present and accounted for was Kyle Pitts (four targets, 1-9), but like the last several weeks, meaningless.

 

Baltimore Ravens

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Zay Flowers WR 6 2 39 1 28.2% 88.9% 83.6% 14.2 21.4% 22.2% 18.8% 1.22 11.9 WR35
Rashod Bateman WR 3 2 30 0 13.6% 86.1% 80.3% 13.7 10.7% 11.1% 9.7% 0.97 5.0 WR64
Nelson Agholor WR 1 0 0 0 1.0% 41.7% 39.3% 3.0 3.6% 0.0% 6.7% 0.00 0.0 WR104
Tylan Wallace WR 1 1 8 0 0.3% 13.9% 14.8% 1.0 3.6% 5.6% 20.0% 1.60 1.8 WR94
Diontae Johnson WR 2 0 0 0 21.2% 16.7% 18.0% 32.0 7.1% 5.6% 33.3% 0.00 0.0 WR104
Mark Andrews TE 3 2 22 0 11.9% 58.3% 60.7% 12.0 10.7% 16.7% 14.3% 1.05 4.2 TE27
Isaiah Likely TE 5 4 75 0 17.2% 55.6% 49.2% 10.4 17.9% 27.8% 25.0% 3.75 9.5 TE12
Charlie Kolar TE 8.3% 14.8% 0.0 TE58
Derrick Henry RB 22.2% 49.2% 10.5 RB24
Justice Hill RB 6 4 28 0 6.3% 63.9% 49.2% 3.2 21.4% 11.1% 26.1% 1.22 8.1 RB28
Keaton Mitchell RB 2.8% 3.3% 0.0 RB71
Patrick Ricard FB 1 1 5 0 0.3% 8.3% 36.1% 1.0 3.6% 0.0% 33.3% 1.67 1.5 FB2

Ravens Notes From Week 11:

Lamar Jackson had his worst game of the season with just a single touchdown pass, breaking a four-game streak with multiple touchdown passes in a game. Throwing for just 207 yards, that trickled down to his pass-catchers.

Zay Flowers (six targets, 2-39-1) and Justice Hill led the team in targets, but Isaiah Likely (five targets, 4-75) had his best yardage and target game since Week 1. Remember when he was going to completely take over for Mark Andrews (three targets, 2-22) this season?

Derrick Henry (13-65-1 rushing) gets there again, ho-hum yet another touchdown because he’s good at football! I meant that in a nice way, I promise! He’s just ridiculously good. Hill (2-13 rushing; six targets, 4-28 receiving) got on the field running a season-high 64% routes per drop back and earned six targets in that “old-style PPR running back” archetype from yesteryear.

 

Buffalo Bills

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Curtis Samuel WR 6 5 58 1 11.4% 68.9% 60.3% 4.8 16.2% 23.5% 19.4% 1.87 16.8 WR20
Khalil Shakir WR 11 8 70 0 22.6% 80.0% 71.2% 5.2 29.7% 35.3% 30.6% 1.94 15.0 WR25
Mack Hollins WR 2 2 27 0 5.5% 60.0% 56.2% 7.0 5.4% 5.9% 7.4% 1.00 4.7 WR67
Amari Cooper WR 3 2 55 0 27.3% 53.3% 50.7% 23.0 8.1% 11.8% 12.5% 2.29 7.5 WR52
Dawson Knox TE 6 4 40 0 24.9% 82.2% 83.6% 10.5 16.2% 17.6% 16.2% 1.08 8.0 TE18
Quintin Morris TE 1 0 0 0 13.0% 26.7% 38.4% 33.0 2.7% 5.9% 8.3% 0.00 0.0 TE58
Zach Davidson TE 1 1 5 0 1.6% 11.1% 15.1% 4.0 2.7% 0.0% 20.0% 1.00 1.5 TE51
James Cook RB 6 5 7 0 -7.8% 37.8% 37.0% -3.3 16.2% 0.0% 35.3% 0.41 19.7 RB7
Ray Davis RB 11.1% 20.5% 1.1 RB59
Ty Johnson RB 1 0 0 0 1.6% 35.6% 45.2% 4.0 2.7% 0.0% 6.3% 0.00 1.8 RB51
Reggie Gilliam FB 6.7% 12.3% 0.0 FB4

Bills Notes From Week 11:

It was a massive real-life win for the Bills, their first in five matchups that wasn’t a one-possession game. I mean, sure, it was nine points, but it’s technically true. Because it was a Bills offense that is “death by a thousand cuts”, the deep play element was not present thanks to not having Keon Coleman available.

Khalil Shakir (team-leading 11 targets, 8-70) is the top receiver here and he has been for weeks, as his brand is not the norm of what you’d expect with a lot of volume and shorter-area receptions (5.2 aDOT), but he gets it done as one of the better yards after the catch (YAC) players in the league.

Without Dalton Kincaid in Week 11, that role belongs to Shakir and Curtis Samuel (six targets, 5-58-1), who has come on the last couple of weeks out of purgatory to become a consistent contributor. Who knows if Amari Cooper (three targets, 2-55) will even get more than 75% of routes for this team for the rest of the season as he feels like a purely rotational piece, but maybe they're just integrating him into the offense?

Khalil Shakir has the second-most yards after the catch (462)  in the entire NFL behind only Ja'Marr Chase (489) and has done it on 33 — THIRTY THREE — fewer targets, and he has the most reliable hands in the game.

Shakir is elite YAC. Keep him in Buffalo forever. #BillsMafia

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— Jon Helmkamp (@jonhelmkamp.bsky.social) November 18, 2024 at 2:53 PM

The run game suffered in terms of volume and in efficiency, as all three running backs combined for 49 rushing yards on 19 carries. Luckily, James Cook (9-20-2 rushing; six targets, 5-7) saved the day for fantasy managers by plunging into the end zone twice and added some PPR scamming with five receptions.

It’s pretty fair to say the path for Ray Davis (5-11, 21% snaps) to take a massive role in case of a Cook injury is a bit thinner with Ty Johnson (5-18 rushing; one target receiving, 36% routes, 45% snaps) taking such a massive on-field role as the third-down back.

 

Carolina Panthers

ON BYE IN WEEK 11

 

Chicago Bears

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
DJ Moore WR 7 7 62 0 3.0% 100.0% 94.4% 0.9 22.6% 25.9% 17.9% 1.59 13.7 WR29
Keenan Allen WR 7 4 41 0 27.6% 100.0% 93.1% 8.3 22.6% 29.6% 17.9% 1.05 8.1 WR49
Rome Odunze WR 11 6 65 0 57.0% 89.7% 81.9% 10.9 35.5% 29.6% 31.4% 1.86 12.5 WR34
Cole Kmet TE 3 3 42 0 13.3% 94.9% 97.2% 9.3 9.7% 11.1% 8.1% 1.14 7.2 TE23
Gerald Everett TE 2.6% 11.1% 0.0 TE58
Marcedes Lewis TE 5.1% 16.7% 0.0 TE58
D'Andre Swift RB 2 2 13 0 -1.9% 48.7% 56.9% -2.0 6.5% 3.7% 10.5% 0.68 16.4 RB13
Roschon Johnson RB 1 1 8 0 1.0% 35.9% 41.7% 2.0 3.2% 0.0% 7.1% 0.57 11.1 RB21
Travis Homer RB 2.6% 1.4% 0.0 RB71

Bears Notes From Week 11:

Under a brand-new offensive coordinator, the Carolina Panthers 2023 offensive coordinator Thomas Brown who was hired as passing game coordinator, the Bears kept a lot of the same condensed personnel element from ousted former offensive coordinator Shane Waldron.

D.J. Moore (seven targets, 7-62), Keenan Allen (seven targets, 4-41), and Rome Odunze (team-leading 11 targets, 6-65) all ran at least 90% routes and the three took 81% of the available targets. Odunze, in particular, has been much more of a focal point in the offense at deeper ranges and also leading the Bears in targets (30) over the last four games coming out of the bye.

Cole Kmet (three targets, 3-42, 95% routes) continues to run a ton of routes and catch a few balls.

With Brown calling plays for the Bears, it was going to be interesting not only to see how their passing game would work out, but if Roschon Johnson (10-33-1 rushing; one target, 1-8 receiving) could earn a bit more of a role going forward. After one week, that could be coming to fruition.

Johnson tied a season-high in carries and he also scored on a touchdown plunge. Not only that, but Johnson also ran a season-high 36% routes per drop back and earned 42% snaps next to D’Andre Swift (14-71-1 rushing; two targets, 2-13 receiving). Swift isn’t giving up the job at all with how well he has played, but there’s room for Johnson to work in and potentially be a standalone option in the latter part of the season.

 

Cincinnati Bengals

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Ja'Marr Chase WR 13 7 75 2 28.6% 98.2% 98.8% 12.1 27.7% 32.4% 23.6% 1.36 26.5 WR4
Tee Higgins WR 13 8 148 1 35.4% 89.3% 84.1% 15.0 27.7% 35.3% 26.0% 2.96 28.8 WR2
Andrei Iosivas WR 3 3 46 0 7.5% 58.9% 69.5% 13.7 6.4% 5.9% 9.1% 1.39 7.6 WR51
Jermaine Burton WR 4 1 8 0 13.8% 23.2% 20.7% 19.0 8.5% 11.8% 30.8% 0.62 1.8 WR94
Trenton Irwin WR 1.8% 4.9% 0.0 WR104
Mike Gesicki TE 2 0 0 0 5.1% 76.8% 62.2% 14.0 4.3% 2.9% 4.7% 0.00 0.0 TE58
Drew Sample TE 3 1 9 0 1.6% 35.7% 59.8% 3.0 6.4% 2.9% 15.0% 0.45 1.5 TE51
Tanner Hudson TE 2 2 13 0 2.2% 14.3% 11.0% 6.0 4.3% 2.9% 25.0% 1.63 3.3 TE34
Chase Brown RB 7 5 57 0 5.8% 58.9% 82.9% 4.6 14.9% 5.9% 21.2% 1.73 19.3 RB8
Khalil Herbert RB 5.4% 4.9% 0.0 RB71

Bengals Notes From Week 11:

That game was FUN. It’s awesome to see two excellent offenses and more importantly, two excellent quarterbacks push each other and provide a massive tug-of-war with plenty of fantasy goodness on both sides of the coin.

The Bengals continue to be condensed with Ja’Marr Chase (13 targets, 7-75-2), Tee Higgins (13 targets, 8-148-1), and running back Chase Brown (22-86 rushing; seven targets, 5-57 receiving) combining for 70% of the team’s targets.

Higgins returned after three weeks off from a quad injury to jump back into his usual role (89% routes) and not skip a beat production-wise. They play way better than any 4-7 team should, that’s for sure.

In his six healthy games this season, Tee Higgins has averaged:

🔲 91% route participation
🔲 26% TPRR
🔲 29% target share
🔲 40% air yards share
🔲 18.5 PPR

Where does he end up next season?

— Sam Wallace (@swallaceff.bsky.social) November 18, 2024 at 8:18 AM

For Brown, his role is undeniably massive as he was the only running back who earned a touch for the Bengals and Khalil Herbert (no stats) had just four snaps on the night.

 

Cleveland Browns

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Jerry Jeudy WR 10 6 142 1 31.2% 96.2% 84.9% 14.6 22.7% 29.4% 20.0% 2.84 26.2 WR5
Elijah Moore WR 8 6 66 1 32.1% 80.8% 72.6% 18.8 18.2% 20.6% 19.0% 1.57 18.6 WR14
Cedric Tillman WR 8 3 47 0 26.5% 96.2% 95.9% 15.5 18.2% 20.6% 16.0% 0.94 7.7 WR50
Jamari Thrash WR 1 1 11 0 0.6% 9.6% 19.2% 3.0 2.3% 2.9% 20.0% 2.20 2.1 WR88
Kadarius Toney WR 5.8% 8.2% -0.7 WR144
David Njoku TE 10 9 81 0 5.6% 90.4% 86.3% 2.6 22.7% 8.8% 21.3% 1.72 19.1 TE4
Jordan Akins TE 3 1 19 0 6.6% 19.2% 21.9% 10.3 6.8% 8.8% 30.0% 1.90 2.9 TE37
Geoff Swaim TE 3.8% 13.7% 0.0 TE58
Jerome Ford RB 4 4 29 0 -2.6% 55.8% 56.2% -3.0 9.1% 8.8% 13.8% 1.00 7.9 RB29
Pierre Strong Jr. RB 5.8% 9.6% 0.5 RB65
Nick Chubb RB 17.3% 30.1% 5.0 RB38

Browns Notes From Week 11:

It really doesn’t matter, because most of the time when the Cleveland Browns are uncompetitive in games, Jameis Winston finds a way to get there with the quietest 395 passing yards and two touchdowns in history. More importantly, Winston gets his pass-catchers there.

The Browns have been a passing machine under the Winston regime and have averaged 44 pass attempts per game; the opposite of what they were with Deshaun Watson at the helm with 33 pass attempts per game and none of his six starts reaching even 200 yards passing.

Obviously, Winston is a great thing for fantasy managers and those rostering any of the passing game options. While Cedric Tillman (eight targets, 3-47), Jerry Jeudy (10 targets, 6-142-1), and David Njoku (10 targets, 9-81) have had awesome games during Winston’s stretch of games, Elijah Moore (eight targets, 6-66-1) has been lurking in the shadows. He’s been the forgotten man here, but his slot role has been fantastic.

I know the Nick Chubb (11-50) story has been great, but I’m not sure that if it’s going to happen. Coming back from a multiple ligament tear in his left knee is no joke.

Jerome Ford (5-10 rushing; four targets, 4-29) sees a ton of time on the field in passing situations and in negative game scripts with 56% on both routes and snaps, but with Winston pushing the ball downfield, it’s not a great role or else I’d recommend him further. It’s not going to be fruitful for fantasy unless Chubb gets nicked up.

 

Dallas Cowboys

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
CeeDee Lamb WR 12 8 93 0 26.4% 82.0% 79.5% 7.3 24.0% 36.4% 24.0% 1.86 18.6 WR14
Jalen Tolbert WR 4 2 21 0 12.1% 82.0% 79.5% 10.0 8.0% 6.1% 8.0% 0.42 4.1 WR74
Ryan Flournoy WR 3 2 19 0 17.2% 63.9% 65.1% 19.0 6.0% 3.0% 7.7% 0.49 3.9 WR76
KaVontae Turpin WR 3 3 86 1 6.3% 29.5% 27.7% 7.0 6.0% 6.1% 16.7% 4.78 17.6 WR18
Jonathan Mingo WR 3 0 0 0 12.4% 31.1% 28.9% 13.7 6.0% 6.1% 15.8% 0.00 0.0 WR104
Jake Ferguson TE 1 1 11 0 0.9% 6.6% 8.4% 3.0 2.0% 0.0% 25.0% 2.75 2.1 TE40
Luke Schoonmaker TE 9 6 56 0 23.4% 52.5% 53.0% 8.6 18.0% 24.2% 28.1% 1.75 11.6 TE10
Brevyn Spann-Ford TE 5 4 42 0 6.9% 39.3% 49.4% 4.6 10.0% 9.1% 20.8% 1.75 8.2 TE15
Princeton Fant TE 1.6% 8.4% 0.0 TE58
Ezekiel Elliott RB 3 3 16 0 -1.2% 34.4% 31.3% -1.3 6.0% 0.0% 14.3% 0.76 5.4 RB35
Rico Dowdle RB 5 2 6 0 -3.9% 39.3% 49.4% -2.6 10.0% 9.1% 20.8% 0.25 5.4 RB35
Deuce Vaughn RB 2 1 4 0 -0.6% 18.0% 19.3% -1.0 4.0% 0.0% 18.2% 0.36 2.7 RB45

Cowboys Notes From Week 11:

Well, Cooper Rush had 55 pass attempts, and the Cowboys barely ran the ball. 12 players caught a pass for the Cowboys, yet somehow, it wasn’t fruitful for anybody in fantasyland but CeeDee Lamb (team-leading 12 targets, 8-93). These games are going to happen, but in a game with 61 drop backs, you would expect the target alpha to have more than 12 targets. This team is cooked on offense.

Jake Ferguson (one target, 1-11, just four routes) left this game early on with a concussion, so Luke Schoonmaker (nine targets, 6-56) ran 53% of routes and earned quite a bit of volume. On a short week, it’s unlikely that Ferguson can get cleared in time for Week 12 in Washington against the Commanders, so that would slot Schoonmaker into the streaming tight end conversation for fantasy purposes.

After head coach Mike McCarthy talked up Rico Dowdle (10-28 rushing; five targets, 2-6 receiving) as the workhorse in press conferences leading up to Week 11, he didn’t even give Dowdle 50% of snaps or 40% of routes. Ezekiel Elliott (1-8 rushing; three targets, 3-16 receiving, 31% snaps, 34% routes) and Deuce Vaughn (4-13 rushing; two targets, 1-4 receiving) to mix in, but it was still a bit curious to see Dowdle’s utilization.

Not sure it changed too much on the season-long front for Dowdle, but it’s something to take note of as there are plenty of games coming up where the Cowboys game-script is going to be less than ideal.

 

Denver Broncos

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Courtland Sutton WR 8 7 78 0 65.6% 94.3% 83.9% 10.1 25.0% 23.5% 24.2% 2.36 14.8 WR26
Marvin Mims Jr. WR 2 2 49 1 3.2% 28.6% 22.6% 2.0 6.3% 5.9% 20.0% 4.90 13.3 WR31
Troy Franklin WR 2 2 15 1 -6.5% 54.3% 43.5% -4.0 6.3% 11.8% 10.5% 0.79 9.5 WR45
Devaughn Vele WR 4 4 66 0 27.9% 74.3% 67.7% 8.6 12.5% 29.4% 15.4% 2.54 10.6 WR38
Lil'Jordan Humphrey WR 5 4 52 1 12.2% 40.0% 43.5% 3.0 15.6% 17.6% 35.7% 3.71 15.2 WR23
Adam Trautman TE 1 0 0 0 4.9% 25.7% 59.7% 6.0 3.1% 0.0% 11.1% 0.00 0.0 TE58
Lucas Krull TE 25.7% 29.0% 0.0 TE58
Nate Adkins TE 1 1 12 1 4.9% 22.9% 48.4% 6.0 3.1% 0.0% 12.5% 1.50 8.2 TE15
Javonte Williams RB 5 4 28 0 -5.7% 45.7% 51.6% -1.4 15.6% 11.8% 31.3% 1.75 18.7 RB11
Jaleel McLaughlin RB 8.6% 14.5% 1.9 RB50
Audric Estime RB 3 3 9 0 -4.9% 14.3% 22.6% -2.0 9.4% 0.0% 60.0% 1.80 5.5 RB34
Michael Burton FB 1 1 -2 0 -1.6% 5.7% 8.1% -2.0 3.1% 0.0% 50.0% -1.00 1.0 FB3

Broncos Notes From Week 11:

It feels like the byproduct of head coach Sean Payton retooling the Broncos’ offense in his image following the offseason trade of Jerry Jeudy was just any sort of athleticism. The team brought in several former Saints skill-position players and drafted a handful of bit-part players to rotate in and out with reckless abandon.

Unfortunately, that specific confluence of factors means no fantasy goodness for us, the simple peasants who just want the guys to be on the field all the time.

We do get that in one player and one player only: Courtland Sutton. Sutton (eight targets, 7-78) led the Broncos with eight targets and all receiving marks, but on an afternoon where Bo Nix tossed four touchdowns, none of them went to Sutton.

Four other Broncos caught touchdowns, but the only one that MIGHT be worth deeper-league consideration is Devaughn Vele (four targets, 4-66, 74% routes), but for any pass-catcher not named Sutton, you run the severe risk of a low, low fantasy floor and a volatile routes floor.

Vele has five targets per game this season and in the last two games, has run routes on 78% of Nix’s drop backs, so he could be trending towards a more consistent player in the offense that separates from some of the personnel and routes volatility.

To the run game, where last week, it looked like Audric Estime (6-16 rushing; three targets, 3-9 receiving) was the new hotness, but Payton “out-Paytoned” the rest of us and re-installed Javonte Williams (9-59-1 rushing; five targets, 4-28 receiving) as the starter, where he had a solid, but ultimately, unspectacular game despite a touchdown.

It’s not like Estime wasn’t involved, because he was, and Payton has said a lot of good things about wanting to get the young guys involved, but also added that Javonte and Jaleel McLaughlin (4-19 rushing) are “young guys too.”

It's just a gross spot to be in when we’re trying to decide which running back to start each week. Especially when the given week in Week 12 is one with six teams on bye. I’m learning Williams for the rest of the season, but I’m not starting him where I don’t have to. Unfortunately, my ZeroRB teams are crying for help, so in his goes. I made my bed; I lay in it.

 

Detroit Lions

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Amon-Ra St. Brown WR 11 11 161 2 41.0% 86.5% 79.7% 9.9 35.5% 40.7% 34.4% 5.03 38.7 WR1
Jameson Williams WR 6 4 124 1 25.5% 73.0% 64.6% 11.3 19.4% 22.2% 22.2% 4.59 22.6 WR8
Kalif Raymond WR 2 2 30 0 8.3% 24.3% 31.6% 11.0 6.5% 7.4% 22.2% 3.33 5.0 WR64
Tim Patrick WR 4 3 26 0 13.5% 67.6% 70.9% 9.0 12.9% 14.8% 16.0% 1.04 5.6 WR62
Allen Robinson II WR 2 1 7 0 4.5% 13.5% 13.9% 6.0 6.5% 7.4% 40.0% 1.40 1.7 WR98
Brock Wright TE 1 1 5 1 3.8% 54.1% 82.3% 10.0 3.2% 3.7% 5.0% 0.25 7.5 TE21
Shane Zylstra TE 1 1 22 0 3.4% 32.4% 24.1% 9.0 3.2% 0.0% 8.3% 1.83 3.2 TE36
James Mitchell TE 16.2% 31.6% 0.0 TE58
Jahmyr Gibbs RB 1 1 54 0 -1.1% 45.9% 41.8% -3.0 3.2% 0.0% 5.9% 3.18 19.3 RB8
David Montgomery RB 3 3 20 0 1.1% 43.2% 39.2% 1.0 9.7% 3.7% 18.8% 1.25 24.5 RB4
Craig Reynolds RB 5.4% 7.6% 2.1 RB48
Sione Vaki RB 8.1% 12.7% 0.9 RB61

Lions Notes From Week 11:

The Lions scored roughly a billion points (52) and scored on every single drive until the last one, where they kneeled the ball with backup quarterback Hendon Hooker to put the Jaguars out of their mercy.

Every fantasy piece shined in this game, with Amon-Ra St. Brown (team-leading 11 targets, 11-161-2 receiving; 1-(-4) rushing) scored twice two, Jameson Williams (six targets, 4-124-1 receiving; 1-2 rushing) scoring on a 64-yard touchdown, plus multiple TDs from David Montgomery (15-75-2 rushing; three targets, 3-20 receiving), and a score from Jahmyr Gibbs (11-69-1 rushing; one target, 1-54 receiving) too.

I'm very slow, but you probably could have run for 30 yards against the Jaguars on Sunday.

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— Bill Barnwell (@billbarnwell.com) November 19, 2024 at 12:15 AM

If Sam LaPorta had played, he probably would have gotten in on the fun too. Instead, that touchdown went to Brock Wright (one target, 1-5-1). It was an embarrassment of riches for Jared Goff and the Detroit Lions, who has to be THE Super Bowl contender out of the NFC right now.

 

Green Bay Packers

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Jayden Reed WR 2 2 23 1 8.6% 60.0% 56.5% 6.0 11.8% 33.3% 16.7% 1.92 9.8 WR41
Romeo Doubs WR 2 1 17 0 16.4% 90.0% 78.3% 11.5 11.8% 16.7% 11.1% 0.94 2.7 WR84
Christian Watson WR 4 4 150 0 75.7% 75.0% 67.4% 26.5 23.5% 33.3% 26.7% 10.00 19.0 WR13
Dontayvion Wicks WR 1 0 0 0 3.6% 30.0% 34.8% 5.0 5.9% 0.0% 16.7% 0.00 0.0 WR104
Malik Heath WR 5.0% 6.5% 0.0 WR104
Tucker Kraft TE 1 0 0 0 4.3% 90.0% 93.5% 6.0 5.9% 16.7% 5.6% 0.00 0.0 TE58
Ben Sims TE 35.0% 37.0% 0.0 TE58
John FitzPatrick TE 5.0% 6.5% 0.0 TE58
Josh Jacobs RB 5 4 58 0 0.0% 65.0% 80.4% 0.0 29.4% 0.0% 38.5% 4.46 23.4 RB5
Chris Brooks RB 2 2 13 0 -8.6% 25.0% 21.7% -6.0 11.8% 0.0% 40.0% 2.60 3.3 RB41

Packers Notes From Week 11:

Green Bay as a collective fantasy unit is one we’ve expected so much more of lately, but with the Bears’ fifth-ranked defense in EPA per pass attempt hosting this matchup, it was going to be tough sledding.

Jordan Love was pretty good all things considered, but he only had 20 drop backs and ran just 43 plays. Christian Watson (four targets, 4-150) was a clear star here, and after Josh Jacobs’ 58 receiving yards, no other Packer had more than two targets or 23 yards.

Jayden Reed (2-23-1 receiving; 1-(-5) rushing) caught a stray touchdown, but he’s been an addendum rather than a focal point lately. That really needs to change as the Packers get their bearings as a 7-3 team.

Jacobs (18-76-1 rushing; five targets, 4-58 receiving) paced the team in the rushing department and also led the team in targets as one of the few things the Packers could consistently rely on here against Chicago.

Chris Brooks (2-13 receiving, 25% routes, 22% snaps) has almost completely supplanted Emanuel Wilson (2-17 rushing; three snaps) as the contingent play, but even so, Brooks’ value is capped as a middle-of-the-road RB2 for fantasy, as he would likely work in with Wilson in a split.

 

Houston Texans

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Nico Collins WR 7 4 54 0 32.4% 55.3% 47.6% 8.4 21.9% 20.8% 33.3% 2.57 9.4 WR46
Tank Dell WR 7 4 54 0 37.4% 78.9% 65.1% 9.7 21.9% 20.8% 23.3% 1.80 9.8 WR41
Robert Woods WR 2 2 13 0 5.5% 21.1% 31.7% 5.0 6.3% 8.3% 25.0% 1.63 3.3 WR79
Xavier Hutchinson WR 39.5% 42.9% 0.0 WR104
John Metchie WR 3 3 33 0 8.8% 71.1% 61.9% 5.3 9.4% 8.3% 11.1% 1.22 6.3 WR56
Dalton Schultz TE 7 5 33 0 15.4% 76.3% 74.6% 4.0 21.9% 25.0% 24.1% 1.14 8.3 TE14
Cade Stover TE 2 2 15 0 0.0% 28.9% 44.4% 0.0 6.3% 0.0% 18.2% 1.36 3.5 TE31
Teagan Quitoriano TE 10.5% 28.6% 0.0 TE58
Joe Mixon RB 3 2 44 0 2.1% 71.1% 81.0% 1.3 9.4% 12.5% 11.1% 1.63 35.3 RB1
Dameon Pierce RB 5.3% 6.3% 0.2 RB68
Dare Ogunbowale RB 1 1 11 0 -1.7% 18.4% 12.7% -3.0 3.1% 4.2% 14.3% 1.57 2.1 RB48

Texans Notes From Week 11:

The final score was 34-10, but it wasn’t a major blowout or anything, even if the Texans were the much better team on the field. That tracks with how the Texans have seemingly played down to opponents all season, and that’s because of some lack of aggressiveness (besides this week with a league-high 13.3% PROE) and willingness to just lean on Joe Mixon.

I mean, Mixon (20-109-3 rushing; three targets, 2-44 receiving) was the alpha, omega, and every other Greek letter you can muster up in this one as he WAS the offense.

We had to be hoping for more with Nico Collins (seven targets, 4-54), but it was his first game back, so you could give him a little bit of a pass considering he ran 21 routes on 38 dropbacks. Tank Dell (seven targets, 4-54) was equally as involved as Collins was, literally.

John Metchie (three targets, 3-33) was the slot man in 3WR sets for the Texans, with him taking 71% routes and relegating everybody else to spot roles, but with the offense not as potent through the air as it has been on the ground, it’s only good enough to make Metchie a dart-throw flex option.

 

Indianapolis Colts

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Michael Pittman Jr. WR 8 5 46 0 38.0% 90.6% 87.1% 12.6 30.8% 25.0% 27.6% 1.59 9.6 WR44
Josh Downs WR 5 5 84 1 26.7% 78.1% 68.6% 14.2 19.2% 20.8% 20.0% 3.36 19.4 WR11
Adonai Mitchell WR 1 1 33 0 1.1% 15.6% 17.1% 3.0 3.8% 4.2% 20.0% 6.60 4.5 WR70
Alec Pierce WR 4 3 74 0 27.6% 84.4% 80.0% 18.3 15.4% 16.7% 14.8% 2.74 10.4 WR40
Ashton Dulin WR 12.5% 22.9% 0.0 WR104
Kylen Granson TE 2 1 4 0 1.1% 53.1% 45.7% 1.5 7.7% 8.3% 11.8% 0.24 1.4 TE55
Mo Alie-Cox TE 3 2 17 0 7.6% 21.9% 40.0% 6.7 11.5% 12.5% 42.9% 2.43 3.7 TE29
Drew Ogletree TE 1 1 8 0 -1.1% 18.8% 35.7% -3.0 3.8% 4.2% 16.7% 1.33 1.8 TE43
Jonathan Taylor RB 1 1 3 0 -1.3% 65.6% 90.0% -3.5 3.8% 8.3% 4.8% 0.14 7.0 RB30
Trey Sermon RB 1 1 3 0 0.4% 9.4% 7.1% 1.0 3.8% 0.0% 33.3% 1.00 1.3 RB57
Tyler Goodson RB 6.3% 2.9% 0.0 RB71

Colts Notes From Week 11:

The much-maligned Anthony Richardson escaped from Colts purgatory over his post-Week 8 benching to put up a 28-point QB4 week against the spiraling New York Jets. Richardson upped his efficiency, with a 66.6% completion percentage, 272 yards, a passing touchdown, plus two rushing touchdowns.

That final Colts drive that he led with 2:41 left to take the Colts down the field 70 yards in six plays for Richardson’s second rushing touchdown of the game was awesome and if not for terrible decision-making by the Jets, probably shouldn’t have happened. At least if a comeback bid was going to happen, make it happen with much less time on the clock and with fewer timeouts than having all three PLUS the two-minute warning.

Michael Pittman Jr. (team-leading eight targets, 5-46) returned following a one-game absence from a back injury he’s been dealing with to lead the team in targets, but Josh Downs (five targets, 5-84-1) was the efficiency star and frankly, is just the better wide receiver at this point.

While the efficiency was severely lacking for Jonathan Taylor (24-57 rushing; one target, 1-3 receiving) in Week 11, the role is excellent (90% snaps, 66% routes) and there will most certainly be better days ahead. No other Colts running back took a carry, though Trey Sermon (one target, 1-3 receiving) and Tyler Goodson (two snaps, two routes) mixed in at times.

 

Jacksonville Jaguars

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Gabe Davis WR 3 1 3 0 16.7% 54.8% 54.2% 18.3 10.7% 12.5% 17.6% 0.18 1.3 WR102
Brian Thomas Jr. WR 7 5 82 0 27.7% 96.8% 93.8% 13.0 25.0% 29.2% 23.3% 2.73 13.6 WR30
Parker Washington WR 3 1 10 0 11.2% 64.5% 58.3% 12.3 10.7% 12.5% 15.0% 0.50 2.0 WR89
Tim Jones WR 3.2% 8.3% 0.0 WR104
Devin Duvernay WR 2 0 0 0 18.6% 38.7% 29.2% 30.5 7.1% 8.3% 16.7% 0.00 0.0 WR104
Evan Engram TE 7 5 28 0 16.4% 80.6% 75.0% 7.7 25.0% 25.0% 28.0% 1.12 7.8 TE20
Luke Farrell TE 2 1 3 0 9.4% 19.4% 29.2% 15.5 7.1% 4.2% 33.3% 0.50 1.3 TE56
Brenton Strange TE 1 1 6 0 0.3% 22.6% 50.0% 1.0 3.6% 4.2% 14.3% 0.86 1.6 TE46
Travis Etienne RB 3 3 6 0 -0.3% 61.3% 72.9% -0.3 10.7% 4.2% 15.8% 0.32 6.3 RB31
D'Ernest Johnson RB 19.4% 29.2% 0.3 RB66

Jaguars Notes From Week 11:

The Jaguars’ white flags were no match for the Lions’ muskets in this one, as Jacksonville was toast by halftime. Mac Jones looked marginally better here than he did last week, but the Lions also took the foot off the gas defensively as well. Still, at least Brian Thomas (seven targets, 5-82) had a game to build off of, and Evan Engram (seven targets, 5-28) wasn’t a complete zero.

The run game was, predictably, a disaster with Travis Etienne (12-27 rushing; three targets, 3-6) barely averaging 2.0 yards per carry.

At least Jacksonville is on bye so they can’t lose in Week 12… although, the bye week is currently a 4.5-point favorite this week, so who knows.

 

Kansas City Chiefs

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Xavier Worthy WR 5 4 61 1 33.8% 73.5% 58.2% 14.4 17.9% 23.5% 20.0% 2.44 16.1 WR22
Justin Watson WR 2 2 26 0 11.7% 55.9% 56.4% 12.5 7.1% 5.9% 10.5% 1.37 4.6 WR69
Mecole Hardman WR 2 2 12 0 -0.9% 20.6% 23.6% -1.0 7.1% 5.9% 28.6% 1.71 4.1 WR74
JuJu Smith-Schuster WR 1 1 8 0 -1.9% 32.4% 36.4% -4.0 3.6% 5.9% 9.1% 0.73 1.8 WR94
DeAndre Hopkins WR 4 3 29 0 25.4% 52.9% 47.3% 13.5 14.3% 11.8% 22.2% 1.61 5.9 WR58
Travis Kelce TE 3 2 8 0 15.9% 79.4% 80.0% 11.3 10.7% 17.6% 11.1% 0.30 2.8 TE38
Noah Gray TE 5 4 23 2 11.7% 70.6% 76.4% 5.0 17.9% 23.5% 20.8% 0.96 18.3 TE6
Peyton Hendershot TE 1 1 11 0 5.2% 5.9% 10.9% 11.0 3.6% 0.0% 50.0% 5.50 2.1 TE40
Samaje Perine RB 4 2 8 0 0.9% 29.4% 20.0% 0.5 14.3% 5.9% 40.0% 0.80 2.8 RB43
Carson Steele RB 1 1 5 0 -1.9% 11.8% 14.5% -4.0 3.6% 0.0% 25.0% 1.25 1.7 RB52
Kareem Hunt RB 47.1% 69.1% 6.0 RB32

Chiefs Notes From Week 11:

If you’ve followed the routes of the Kansas City Chiefs over the last two seasons, you’ll know that for the majority of 2023, routes were spread throughout multiple wide receivers without anybody taking a major foothold outside of Rashee Rice.

Even Rice didn’t get a huge consistent routes per drop back role until Week 14. Back to last week, we say routes spread out amongst a large group of pass-catchers evoking memories of last season with no pass-catcher hitting even 80% of routes.

While Xavier Worthy (five targets, 4-61-1) isn’t there quite yet with a “massive” role, he’s run about 70% of Patrick Mahomes dropbacks this season and he was clearly a focal point in the offense against the Bills as he co-led the Chiefs in targets with Noah Gray (five targets, 4-23-2), who caught two touchdowns.

DeAndre Hopkins (four targets, 3-29, 53% routes) and Travis Kelce (three targets, 2-8, 79% routes) were focal points as well, just by the defense so that they didn’t beat up on the Bills’ defense with the short targets that have eaten up other teams.

Isiah Pacheco is slated to come back very soon; as soon as this upcoming Week 12 matchup with the Panthers, so while Kareem Hunt (14-60) has run very well in his time as the Chiefs’ lead back, the good times could be coming to an end. Don’t be sad that it’s over, be happy because it happened.

 

Las Vegas Raiders

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Jakobi Meyers WR 5 4 28 0 16.4% 89.6% 87.7% 4.6 13.2% 18.5% 11.6% 0.65 8.8 WR48
Tre Tucker WR 4 3 28 0 22.3% 93.8% 89.2% 7.8 10.5% 14.8% 8.9% 0.62 6.5 WR55
DJ Turner WR 3 3 29 0 8.6% 45.8% 43.1% 4.0 7.9% 7.4% 13.6% 1.32 5.9 WR58
Ramel Keyton WR 1 0 0 0 13.6% 8.3% 7.7% 19.0 2.6% 0.0% 25.0% 0.00 0.0 WR104
Justin Shorter WR 6.3% 13.8% 0.0 WR104
Terrace Marshall Jr. WR 8.3% 10.8% 0.0 WR104
Brock Bowers TE 16 13 126 1 38.8% 91.7% 95.4% 3.4 42.1% 51.9% 36.4% 2.86 31.3 TE2
Michael Mayer TE 3 1 5 0 5.3% 43.8% 52.3% 2.5 7.9% 3.7% 14.3% 0.24 1.5 TE51
Alexander Mattison RB 3 3 50 0 -2.8% 22.9% 30.8% -1.3 7.9% 3.7% 27.3% 4.55 9.9 RB26
Zamir White RB 20.8% 33.8% 0.9 RB61
Ameer Abdullah RB 3 3 16 1 -2.1% 35.4% 33.8% -1.0 7.9% 0.0% 17.6% 0.94 10.7 RB23

Raiders Notes From Week 11:

The Raiders may be absolute dog water this season, but at the very least, Gardner Minshew understands the assignment to get the ball to your best player by any means necessary. Or a court order. Either way. It was Brock Bowers (team-leading 16 targets, 13-126-1 receiving; 1-(-3) rushing) and he’s pretty good at football.

The man earns targets, he’s the best player on the field in 99% of instances, and he’s going to destroy the rookie record for receptions by a tight end (86, set last season by Sam LaPorta) by a wide margin.

Then, he’s going to go in the 1-2 turn next season in drafts and people won’t understand it. We will. Bowers is awesome and will be for a LONG time. Book it. He’s TE1 in season-long leagues next season, he’s TE1 in dynasty, he’s TE1 in any format under the sun. I could go on for days, I think.

Believe it or not, there are other players that play for the Raiders, like Jakobi Meyers (five targets, 4-28), who wasn’t great, but is realistically the other Raider you’re starting in fantasy leagues as a low-end flex play.

Both Alexander Mattison (5-19 rushing; three targets, 3-50 receiving) and Zamir White (5-9) got hurt in this game with an ankle and quad injury, respectively. That left Ameer Abdullah (1-1 rushing; three targets, 3-16-1 receiving) to pick up the pieces of the running back room and at least scored a receiving touchdown. It’s bad in this running back room.

 

Los Angeles Chargers

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Joshua Palmer WR 3 2 23 0 8.6% 81.4% 76.1% 12.7 10.0% 9.1% 8.6% 0.66 4.3 WR71
Ladd McConkey WR 9 6 123 0 30.7% 76.7% 73.1% 15.2 30.0% 31.8% 27.3% 3.73 18.3 WR16
Quentin Johnston WR 8 2 48 1 39.2% 86.0% 82.1% 21.8 26.7% 31.8% 21.6% 1.30 12.8 WR33
Derius Davis WR 1 1 14 0 -0.9% 9.3% 10.4% -4.0 3.3% 0.0% 25.0% 3.50 3.0 WR82
Jalen Reagor WR 1 0 0 0 5.2% 23.3% 19.4% 23.0 3.3% 4.5% 10.0% 0.00 0.0 WR104
Will Dissly TE 5 4 80 1 14.6% 60.5% 56.7% 13.0 16.7% 13.6% 19.2% 3.08 18.0 TE7
Stone Smartt TE 11.6% 10.4% 0.0 TE58
Tucker Fisk TE 2 1 6 0 2.7% 18.6% 35.8% 6.0 6.7% 4.5% 25.0% 0.75 1.6 TE46
J.K. Dobbins RB 1 1 3 0 0.0% 55.8% 73.1% 0.0 3.3% 4.5% 4.2% 0.13 18.9 RB10
Gus Edwards RB 9.3% 16.4% 2.7 RB45
Hassan Haskins RB 7.0% 9.0% 0.1 RB70

Chargers Notes From Week 11:

The Chargers had the second-highest PROE in Week 11, and it showed, with their aggressiveness, despite some inefficiency with Justin Herbert as he completed less than 50% of his passes but made the ones count in the fourth quarter to set up a J.K. Dobbins rushing touchdown with :18 left.

That aggressiveness manifested in their intent to get deep passes working to Quentin Johnston (eight targets, 2-48-1) and some deeper-than-usual stuff to the “our smiling boy” Ladd McConkey (team-leading nine targets, 6-123). Don’t forget our boy Will Dissly (five targets, 4-80-1), who continues his come-up.

Ladd McConkey teaching tape for Quentin Johnston on how to execute a jump up and through attack on an underthrown ball #Boltup

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— Matt Waldman (@mattwaldman.bsky.social) November 18, 2024 at 12:48 AM

Dissly’s path to fantasy relevancy is pretty amazing, to say the least. To quote Sweeney Todd, “he trod a path that few have trod.” Dissly has gone from a forgettable extra tight end for six seasons in Seattle to a tight end with the Chargers who already has his career-high in most receiving categories with seven games remaining. Weird, but true. As a wise man once said, “we must adjust.”

Dobbins (11-56-2 rushing; one target, 1-3 receiving) came back to his normal big rushing role before Gus Edwards (6-27) returned and Dobbins rewarded fantasy managers with two touchdowns, including the game-winning 29-yard scamper.

 

Los Angeles Rams

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Cooper Kupp WR 10 6 106 2 34.7% 77.8% 71.2% 10.7 38.5% 40.0% 47.6% 5.05 28.6 WR3
Puka Nacua WR 9 7 123 1 36.8% 81.5% 75.0% 12.6 34.6% 36.0% 40.9% 5.59 25.3 WR6
Demarcus Robinson WR 3 2 19 0 10.0% 74.1% 75.0% 10.3 11.5% 12.0% 15.0% 0.95 3.9 WR76
Tutu Atwell WR 2 1 21 0 8.8% 14.8% 13.5% 13.5 7.7% 8.0% 50.0% 5.25 3.1 WR81
Jordan Whittington WR 3.7% 9.6% 0.0 WR104
Tyler Johnson WR 14.8% 13.5% 0.0 WR104
Colby Parkinson TE 1 1 19 1 9.1% 18.5% 36.5% 28.0 3.8% 4.0% 20.0% 3.80 8.9 TE13
Davis Allen TE 63.0% 65.4% 0.0 TE58
Hunter Long TE 14.8% 34.6% 0.0 TE58
Kyren Williams RB 48.1% 80.8% 8.6 RB27
Blake Corum RB 1 1 7 0 0.6% 11.1% 19.2% 2.0 3.8% 0.0% 33.3% 2.33 3.8 RB40

Rams Notes From Week 11:

  • Puka Nacua (nine targets, 7-123-1): good. ✅
  • Cooper Kupp (team-leading 10 targets, 6-106-2), good. ✅

Honestly, the Rams start and end there, with just seven targets from quarterback Matthew Stafford divided up between the rest of the team. Both Kupp and Nacua combined for 73% of the Rams’ targets in Week 11 and frankly, they don’t need to go anywhere else.

Kupp was more of the second-half player while Nacua compiled a lot of his work in the first half with Nacua just having a single catch for six yards in the second half.

Kyren Williams (15-86) had his usual massive workload and was pretty efficient, even if he didn’t get into the end zone. Blake Corum (5-21 rushing; one target, 1-7 receiving) saw a little more work than usual, but it’s nothing more than just spot duty.

 

Miami Dolphins

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Tyreek Hill WR 8 7 61 1 33.3% 78.9% 76.5% 8.4 23.5% 28.0% 26.7% 2.03 19.1 WR12
Jaylen Waddle WR 3 2 37 0 13.8% 81.6% 77.9% 9.3 8.8% 8.0% 9.7% 1.19 5.7 WR61
Malik Washington WR 3 3 11 0 -4.5% 36.8% 39.7% -3.0 8.8% 12.0% 21.4% 0.79 4.8 WR66
Odell Beckham Jr. WR 4 2 13 0 17.8% 36.8% 23.5% 9.0 11.8% 16.0% 28.6% 0.93 3.3 WR79
River Cracraft WR 5.3% 8.8% 0.0 WR104
Jonnu Smith TE 7 6 101 2 27.7% 92.1% 80.9% 8.0 20.6% 20.0% 20.0% 2.89 28.1 TE3
Durham Smythe TE 1 1 3 0 0.0% 15.8% 33.8% 0.0 2.9% 4.0% 16.7% 0.50 1.3 TE56
Julian Hill TE 3 2 28 0 13.4% 39.5% 55.9% 9.0 8.8% 4.0% 20.0% 1.87 4.8 TE26
De'Von Achane RB 4 4 32 0 -2.6% 57.9% 61.8% -1.3 11.8% 4.0% 18.2% 1.45 20.5 RB6
Raheem Mostert RB 15.8% 14.7% -0.2 RB77
Jaylen Wright RB 1 1 2 0 1.0% 26.3% 26.5% 2.0 2.9% 4.0% 10.0% 0.20 1.6 RB54

Dolphins Notes From Week 11:

Tua Tagovailoa was actually pretty good here with 288 yards passing and three touchdowns as he got the Miami Dolphins going in the pass game, but not in the typical way that we’re accustomed to. Nothing much really happened downfield, as no pass-catcher had an aDOT over 9.3 yards.

Tyreek Hill (team-leading eight targets, 7-61-1) took a lot of short stuff, but still scored and led the team in targets. Good to see Hill showing signs of life as he works through the rest of the season with his wrist injury.

Still on a milk carton is Jaylen Waddle (three targets, 2-37), but the main god here was Jonnu Smith (seven targets, 6-101-2), who dominated and had his yearly super-long catch for a touchdown.

De’Von Achane (17-73-1 rushing; four targets, 4-32 receiving) is a superstar and he’s being treated like one compared to Raheem Mostert (3-(-2)) and Jaylen Wright (5-4 rushing; one target, 1-2 receiving), who I’m they very much like but Wright just doesn’t look very much the part of an NFL running back right now.

 

Minnesota Vikings

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Justin Jefferson WR 8 6 81 0 26.1% 100.0% 98.6% 9.8 26.7% 25.0% 21.6% 2.19 14.1 WR27
Jordan Addison WR 8 3 61 1 43.9% 70.3% 61.6% 16.5 26.7% 30.0% 30.8% 2.35 15.1 WR24
Jalen Nailor WR 2 0 0 0 16.6% 48.6% 43.8% 25.0 6.7% 10.0% 11.1% 0.00 0.0 WR104
Brandon Powell WR 1 1 13 0 4.3% 27.0% 23.3% 13.0 3.3% 0.0% 10.0% 1.30 2.3 WR87
Trent Sherfield Sr. WR 1 1 16 0 2.0% 13.5% 21.9% 6.0 3.3% 0.0% 20.0% 3.20 2.6 WR86
T.J. Hockenson TE 3 2 13 0 4.7% 56.8% 47.9% 4.7 10.0% 15.0% 14.3% 0.62 3.3 TE34
Johnny Mundt TE 1 1 13 0 -0.3% 13.5% 26.0% -1.0 3.3% 5.0% 20.0% 2.60 2.3 TE39
Josh Oliver TE 3 3 34 0 3.3% 48.6% 56.2% 3.3 10.0% 5.0% 16.7% 1.89 6.4 TE24
Aaron Jones RB 1 1 4 0 -1.0% 37.8% 53.4% -3.0 3.3% 5.0% 7.1% 0.29 5.3 RB37
Cam Akers RB 2 2 11 1 0.3% 35.1% 37.0% 0.5 6.7% 5.0% 15.4% 0.85 11.6 RB20
C.J. Ham FB 16.2% 30.1% 0.0 FB4

Vikings Notes From Week 11:

The Vikings weren’t super-efficient on offense thanks to the Titans being able to do one thing consistent: limit yards and team’s offenses, but didn’t matter, as the Titans only scored 13 points. Minnesota was ahead in the first quarter and were never really threatened as Sam Darnold threw two touchdown passes.

Justin Jefferson (eight targets, 6-81) had a floor game and Jordan Addison (8 targets, 3-61-1) caught one of the two touchdowns from Darnold as Jefferson and Addison combined for over half of the targets with no other player having more than three targets.

Limited to just 57% of routes this week was T.J. Hockenson (three targets, 2-13), who is still being worked in, but it was a dip this week in routes from 71% last week.

The run game was the least efficient part of their offense with Aaron Jones (15-39 rushing; one target, 1-4 receiving) getting some volume but running into the aforementioned tough Titans defense, but Cam Akers (10-25 rushing; two targets, 2-11-1 receiving) scored a receiving touchdown and has been what we wanted Ty Chandler (one snap) to be when we drafted him: a thorn in the side of Jones.

 

New England Patriots

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
DeMario Douglas WR 7 5 59 0 22.3% 63.0% 56.6% 6.7 18.9% 16.7% 24.1% 2.03 10.9 WR37
Ja'Lynn Polk WR 32.6% 40.8% 0.0 WR104
Kendrick Bourne WR 5 5 70 1 20.9% 50.0% 47.4% 8.8 13.5% 16.7% 21.7% 3.04 18.0 WR17
Kayshon Boutte WR 6 4 33 0 31.9% 97.8% 96.1% 11.2 16.2% 16.7% 13.3% 0.73 7.3 WR53
Javon Baker WR 4.3% 6.6% 0.0 WR104
Hunter Henry TE 9 6 63 0 27.4% 93.5% 88.2% 6.4 24.3% 30.0% 20.9% 1.47 12.3 TE8
Austin Hooper TE 4 4 35 0 1.0% 45.7% 51.3% 0.5 10.8% 10.0% 19.0% 1.67 7.5 TE21
Jaheim Bell TE 1 0 0 0 2.9% 2.2% 5.3% 6.0 2.7% 3.3% 100.0% 0.00 0.0 TE58
Rhamondre Stevenson RB 4 4 16 0 -5.3% 63.0% 76.3% -2.8 10.8% 6.7% 13.8% 0.55 12.9 RB18
Antonio Gibson RB 1 1 2 0 -1.0% 13.0% 17.1% -2.0 2.7% 0.0% 16.7% 0.33 3.0 RB42
JaMycal Hasty RB 6.5% 6.6% 0.2 RB68

Patriots Notes From Week 11:

Drake Maye has honestly been a revelation for the New England Patriots this season and they are so bereft of wide receiver talent to make him pop off the chart more and when you consider what Maye has to work with, he looks even better. Maye can shine with his legs, the Patriots are letting him pass through it with three of his last four completed games above 37 pass attempts and rushing upside, of course. In Maye’s last six starts, he has averaged 41 yards rushing over his past six starts.

EPA chart W11

In Week 11, Maye was 11th out of 28 quarterbacks in EPA per play, and in EPA plus completion percentage over expected (CPOE) composite, Maye jumps to eighth. Take out the two turnovers he had, and Maye’s positive stuff REALLY shines, as his EPA per play jumps to eighth and his EPA+CPOE darts up to sixth ahead of names like Anthony Richardson and Josh Allen.

Simply put, the level at which Maye is playing right now is beyond his years. But the weapons are subpar. That will hopefully change this offseason, but everything you want from a franchise quarterback is there for the Patriots. Now, it’s time to build around him.

DeMario Douglas (seven targets, 5-59) could stick around as the Patriots build talent around Maye, as he’s a solid, professional slot receiver. Certainly not unlike Tyler Boyd, who was there for the Bengals’ rebuild even before Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, and Tee Higgins.

Catching Maye’s only touchdown was Kendrick Bourne (5-70-1), who sat in Week 10 as the team “wanted to get a look at some younger guys”, but the team saw one look of Ja’Lynn Polk (no targets, 33% routes) last week and said “nah, we’re good”, and put Bourne in and he delivered with a score. Hunter Henry (team-leading nine targets, 6-63) was solid as well.

Rhamondre Stevenson (20-73 rushing; four targets, 4-16 receiving) continues to operate with little resistance behind him, and he was solid on the ground, but not spectacular.

 

New Orleans Saints

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Cedrick Wilson Jr. WR 16.7% 16.7% 0.0 WR104
Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR 4 2 87 1 43.0% 86.7% 65.0% 23.5 14.3% 18.2% 15.4% 3.35 16.7 WR21
Kevin Austin Jr. WR 2 1 18 0 7.3% 53.3% 68.3% 8.0 7.1% 9.1% 12.5% 1.13 2.8 WR83
Dante Pettis WR 1 1 9 0 2.3% 10.0% 11.7% 5.0 3.6% 4.5% 33.3% 3.00 1.9 WR93
Juwan Johnson TE 3 3 30 1 10.0% 50.0% 56.7% 7.3 10.7% 13.6% 20.0% 2.00 12.0 TE9
Taysom Hill TE 10 8 50 0 11.4% 60.0% 55.0% 2.5 35.7% 31.8% 55.6% 2.78 41.5 TE1
Foster Moreau TE 4 3 50 0 33.8% 70.0% 85.0% 18.5 14.3% 13.6% 19.0% 2.38 8.0 TE18
Dallin Holker TE 6.7% 13.3% 0.0 TE58
Alvin Kamara RB 4 4 22 0 -7.9% 73.3% 73.3% -4.3 14.3% 9.1% 18.2% 1.00 12.9 RB18
Jordan Mims RB 10.0% 18.3% 0.3 RB66
Adam Prentice FB 16.7% 33.3% 0.0 FB4

Saints Notes From Week 11:

The Saints literally built the entire Week 11 plane out of Taysom Hill, plus touchdowns to Marquez Valdes-Scantling. Hill (team-leading 10 targets, 8-50; 7-138-3 rushing; 1-of-2 passing for 18 yards, INT) was everywhere and the Cleveland Browns couldn’t do a thing to stop him.

Getting 41.52 points from your tight end spot is just wild and will go down as one of the tentpole games of the 2024 season for real-life NFL fans and fantasy managers who either started him or faced him.

Valdes-Scantling (four targets, 2-87-1, 87% routes) got us again with another long touchdown, and the second we start him in fantasy, he’s going to be a zero. I know it, you know it, we all know it. It’s just the MVS way.

Keeping his consistent huge role is Alvin Kamara (16-67 rushing; four targets, 4-22 receiving), but zero resistance from any other running back in New Orleans despite Hill’s huge day.

 

New York Giants

ON BYE IN WEEK 11

 

New York Jets

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Garrett Wilson WR 8 4 18 0 54.8% 100.0% 100.0% 8.5 28.6% 36.4% 25.0% 0.56 5.8 WR60
Xavier Gipson WR 1 1 17 0 13.7% 59.4% 53.8% 17.0 3.6% 0.0% 5.3% 0.89 2.7 WR84
Malachi Corley WR 1 1 10 0 8.1% 25.0% 23.1% 10.0 3.6% 0.0% 12.5% 1.25 2.0 WR89
Davante Adams WR 6 6 72 0 14.5% 96.9% 94.2% 3.0 21.4% 22.7% 19.4% 2.32 13.2 WR32
Tyler Conklin TE 2 1 7 0 8.9% 96.9% 92.3% 5.5 7.1% 9.1% 6.5% 0.23 1.7 TE44
Jeremy Ruckert TE 2 1 6 0 1.6% 15.6% 28.8% 1.0 7.1% 4.5% 40.0% 1.20 1.6 TE46
Kenny Yeboah TE 1 1 11 1 0.8% 3.1% 5.8% 1.0 3.6% 4.5% 100.0% 11.00 8.1 TE17
Breece Hall RB 7 7 43 1 -2.3% 71.9% 84.6% -0.4 25.0% 22.7% 30.4% 1.87 31.1 RB3
Braelon Allen RB 15.6% 17.3% 0.6 RB64

Jets Notes From Week 11:

I’m convinced the Jets and Aaron Rodgers just don’t care at this point. Why would they? Head coach Robert Saleh is gone. General manager Joe Douglas is gone. All over the quarterback, who reportedly had owner Woody Johnson pushing to bench Rodgers after a Week 4 loss to the Denver Broncos. They went out and got Adams. That hasn’t worked.

In Week 11, the Jets didn’t get a first down until around a minute left in the first half. No, really. The Jets are tired, listless, and boring. They play so slowly, they don’t push the ball downfield (124 air yards as a team, 68 of them to Garrett Wilson), and they make terrible decisions.

---> IND (22) @ NYJ (24) <---

NYJ has 4th & 2 at the IND 17, Q4 02:41

Recommendation (STRONG): 👉 Go for it (+2.8 WP)

Actual play: 👟🏈 A.Carlson 35 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-T.Hennessy, Holder-T.Morstead.

[image or embed]

— NFL 4th Down Bot (@nfl4th.com) November 17, 2024 at 2:46 PM

This was the decision that lost them the game, kicking a field goal to go up five points instead of going for it and either scoring a touchdown and putting the game into two-possession territory, or at worst, taking critical time off the clock. Sure, the Colts had all three timeouts, but worst case, you make them burn them. Maybe you get ANOTHER first down out of the deal if you don’t get to the 10-yard line.

Instead, Anthony Richardson drives the Colts down the field in what could be a seminal moment for his young career and a Colts franchise that could regroup after playing quarterback chicken the last few weeks.

Anyway, enough about how bone-headed and archaic the Jets are, the aforementioned Wilson (eight targets, 4-18) led the team in targets but didn’t do anything with them. Davante Adams (six targets, 6-72) was solid and led the Jets in receptions and receiving yards.

Breece Hall (16-78-1 rushing; seven targets, 7-43 receiving) is the best player on the team, the best fantasy option, and keeps this team afloat almost every week when they should be miles underwater. I’m not even a Jets fan but I’m mad because they should be WAY better than this and they aren’t.

 

Philadelphia Eagles

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
A.J. Brown WR 8 5 65 0 49.1% 97.1% 97.2% 10.4 33.3% 29.4% 24.2% 1.97 11.5 WR36
DeVonta Smith WR 6 4 29 0 29.0% 94.1% 90.1% 8.2 25.0% 29.4% 18.8% 0.91 6.9 WR54
Jahan Dotson WR 2 1 8 0 0.6% 55.9% 40.8% 0.5 8.3% 11.8% 10.5% 0.42 1.8 WR94
Johnny Wilson WR 14.7% 18.3% 0.0 WR104
Ainias Smith WR 8.8% 8.5% 0.0 WR104
Dallas Goedert TE 5 5 61 0 19.5% 85.3% 88.7% 6.6 20.8% 23.5% 17.2% 2.10 11.1 TE11
Grant Calcaterra TE 29.4% 52.1% 0.0 TE58
C.J. Uzomah TE 2.9% 4.2% 0.0 TE58
Saquon Barkley RB 2 2 52 0 4.1% 64.7% 81.7% 3.5 8.3% 5.9% 9.1% 2.36 33.8 RB2
Kenneth Gainwell RB 1 1 6 0 -2.4% 23.5% 18.3% -4.0 4.2% 0.0% 12.5% 0.75 5.9 RB33

Eagles Notes From Week 11:

Just when Saquon Barkley (26-146-2 rushing; two targets, 2-52 receiving) was lulling us to sleep later in the game, he put everybody in the dirt yet again with two 20+-yard touchdowns in the fourth quarter.

Barkley peeled off a 23-yard touchdown with about five minutes left in the fourth, then on Washington’s first play from scrimmage, the Eagles intercepted Jayden Daniels, and two plays later, Barkley goes off for a 39-yard touchdown to put the Eagles more comfortably ahead. Even Kenneth Gainwell (4-43 rushing; one target, 1-6 receiving) was efficient in his limited work.

If you didn’t draft Barkley (I did not), you’re undoubtedly kicking yourself. The fact that Barkley has been THIS good with Jalen Hurts still scoring 11 touchdowns on his own is staggering, because frankly, you take half of those touchdowns and give them to Barkley, and we’re talking about a generational running back fantasy season.

I mean, he’s already on the doorstep with 22 fantasy points per game in PPR. It’s crazy the type of season we could be facing with Barkley, but the one we’re currently witnessing is pretty awesome too.

With the three touchdowns being accounted for by Barkley’s two and Hurts taking one for himself, there wasn’t TOO much for the passing game to sink their teeth into. A.J. Brown (team-leading eight targets, 5-65) led the team in targets and was solid, as was Dallas Goedert (five targets, 5-61). DeVonta Smith (six targets, 4-29) was the low man on the totem pole, but when the run game is this productive and efficient, unfortunately somebody has to take a backseat.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
George Pickens WR 12 8 89 0 69.7% 100.0% 88.3% 11.3 38.7% 45.8% 28.6% 2.12 16.9 WR19
Van Jefferson WR 1 0 0 0 2.1% 54.8% 55.8% 4.0 3.2% 4.2% 4.3% 0.00 0.0 WR104
Calvin Austin III WR 2 1 -1 0 11.8% 54.8% 33.8% 11.5 6.5% 8.3% 8.7% -0.04 0.9 WR103
Ben Skowronek WR 1 1 4 0 2.1% 16.7% 26.0% 4.0 3.2% 4.2% 14.3% 0.57 1.4 WR99
Mike Williams WR 35.7% 32.5% 0.0 WR104
Pat Freiermuth TE 2 2 14 0 3.6% 71.4% 57.1% 3.5 6.5% 8.3% 6.7% 0.47 3.4 TE33
Darnell Washington TE 3 2 42 0 18.0% 40.5% 57.1% 11.7 9.7% 8.3% 17.6% 2.47 6.2 TE25
Connor Heyward TE 7.1% 24.7% 0.0 TE58
Najee Harris RB 5 4 30 0 -5.7% 50.0% 57.1% -2.2 16.1% 8.3% 23.8% 1.43 13.3 RB17
Jaylen Warren RB 4 4 27 0 -0.6% 31.0% 33.8% -0.3 12.9% 8.3% 30.8% 2.08 10.8 RB22
Cordarrelle Patterson RB 1 1 0 0 -1.0% 19.0% 15.6% -2.0 3.2% 4.2% 12.5% 0.00 1.0 RB60

Steelers Notes From Week 11:

The absolutely sorcery and witchcraft that it takes to shut down arguably the best offense in the NFL and beat them with SIX field goals. Honesty, scholars should be studying that and putting that into school curriculums. That entire scenario sounds like an XBOX achievement.

Anyway, since we had six field goals and zero touchdowns, obviously some of the production amongst the pass-catchers was thin, but you’re not starting any of them realistically besides George Pickens (team-leading 12 targets, 8-89) anyway. Sorry Pat Freiermuth (two targets, 2-14) truthers, he has no more than three targets in each game since Week 5. That’s the last six games. Rough stuff.

Not even Mike Williams (no targets, 36% routes) is providing any relief, but it’s an Arthur Smith-run offense where receivers are mixed and matched.

Baltimore was able to keep the run game mostly in check, as both Najee Harris (18-63 rushing; five targets, 4-30 receiving) and Jaylen Warren (9-41 rushing; four targets, 4-27 receiving) were the two other main receiving threats outside of Pickens, and Harris was solid with his rushing volume.

 

San Francisco 49ers

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Deebo Samuel Sr. WR 7 4 22 0 23.5% 89.2% 87.3% 4.4 26.9% 30.0% 21.2% 0.67 6.1 WR57
Jauan Jennings WR 10 10 91 1 53.5% 97.3% 95.2% 7.0 38.5% 45.0% 27.8% 2.53 25.1 WR7
Ricky Pearsall WR 1 0 0 0 10.7% 62.2% 58.7% 14.0 3.8% 5.0% 4.3% 0.00 0.0 WR104
Chris Conley WR 2.7% 4.8% 0.0 WR104
Eric Saubert TE 1 1 7 0 5.4% 83.8% 96.8% 7.0 3.8% 5.0% 3.2% 0.23 1.7 TE44
Christian McCaffrey RB 5 4 27 0 12.7% 89.2% 93.7% 3.8 19.2% 15.0% 15.2% 0.82 14.6 RB14
Isaac Guerendo RB 5.4% 3.2% 0.0 RB71
Kyle Juszczyk FB 2 2 12 0 6.9% 40.5% 36.5% 4.5 7.7% 0.0% 13.3% 0.80 3.2 FB1

49ers Notes From Week 11:

Should it have been Jauan Jennings that got the massive Brandon Aiyuk contract extension? Many are asking and many are saying, as Jennings (team-leading 10 targets, 10-91-1) has been a dominant force in the last two weeks in a sort of Rashee Rice-ish way.

He’s been on fire the last two weeks and is entering must-start territory the rest of the way. Especially with Deebo Samuel (seven targets, 4-22 receiving; 1-(-1) rushing) in such a glaring production funk lately.

There’s a reason why the 49ers are 5-5; they apparently cannot close out divisional games, and their offense is pretty volatile in terms of getting into a rhythm and maintaining it throughout a game. They lost Aiyuk for the season, just got Jennings back, had no George Kittle this week, just got Christian McCaffrey back, and Samuel has been mired in a slump.

Brock Purdy can only do what he can do and it’s a testament to how he’s still been able to produce as a fantasy quarterback despite the numerous moving parts. At least McCaffrey (19-79 rushing; five targets, 4-27 receiving) is the one cog you can set your watch to, as he’s up to 94% snaps and 89% routes in his usual, pre-injury role.

 

Seattle Seahawks

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
DK Metcalf WR 9 7 70 0 42.1% 94.7% 90.0% 12.1 29.0% 35.0% 25.0% 1.94 14.0 WR28
Tyler Lockett WR 3 2 19 0 15.9% 97.4% 78.3% 13.7 9.7% 15.0% 8.1% 0.51 3.9 WR76
Jaxon Smith-Njigba WR 11 10 110 0 36.1% 92.1% 83.3% 8.5 35.5% 30.0% 31.4% 3.14 21.8 WR9
Jake Bobo WR 2.6% 10.0% 0.0 WR104
Cody White WR 2.6% 6.7% 0.0 WR104
Pharaoh Brown TE 15.8% 36.7% 0.0 TE58
AJ Barner TE 4 2 15 0 11.3% 86.8% 85.0% 7.3 12.9% 15.0% 12.1% 0.45 3.5 TE31
Kenneth Walker III RB 2 2 5 0 -2.7% 65.8% 73.3% -3.5 6.5% 5.0% 8.0% 0.20 13.9 RB16
Zach Charbonnet RB 2 2 2 0 -2.7% 26.3% 31.7% -3.5 6.5% 0.0% 20.0% 0.20 2.5 RB47

Seahawks Notes From Week 11:

I made it a point to mention that in a game with all of the top players back (minus Noah Fant, but I would argue he’s a piece, just not a vital one) for the Seahawks, that Jaxon Smith-Njigba (team-leading 11 targets, 10-110) still was a massive player in this offense alongside DK Metcalf (nine targets, 7-70).

When the Seahawks needed JSN, he delivered with four catches; two of them being key third-down grabs in Seattle’s final drive that set up Geno Smith’s 134-yard scramble with 12 seconds left to win it.

There aren't many quarterbacks who are going to complete this pass while getting blasted, but Geno Smith has enough arm strength and touch to somehow loft a perfect strike to Jaxon Smith-Njigba for a 15-yard gain. #Seahawks

[image or embed]

— Corbin K. Smith (@corbinsmithnfl.bsky.social) November 19, 2024 at 1:25 AM

That could be a bigger green flag than just the stat line itself going forward, as the relegation of Tyler Lockett (three targets, 2-19) to clear third target seemed inevitable in JSN’s rookie season, but maybe it was Seahawks offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb needing to unlock him instead of everybody’s favorite public enemy No. 1, Shane Waldron, who served as Seattle’s OC last season before going to Chicago and eventually being axed.

Seattle was hugely condensed in the passing game with 65% of targets going to JSN and Metcalf. No other pass-catcher earned more than four targets or caught more than two balls.

With the passing game in a good spot, the running game for the Seahawks has taken a bit of a backseat with Kenneth Walker (14-54-1 rushing; two targets, 2-5) still good, but clearly not in his early-season form where he looked like a staggering success. At the very least, you know where the volume is going when the Seahawks do need to run the ball and that isn’t something you can say about a lot of offenses in today’s NFL.

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

ON BYE IN WEEK 11

 

Tennessee Titans

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Calvin Ridley WR 5 4 58 0 43.8% 94.6% 88.1% 24.8 18.5% 31.3% 14.3% 1.66 9.8 WR41
Tyler Boyd WR 3 2 34 0 8.2% 73.0% 59.3% 7.7 11.1% 12.5% 11.1% 1.26 5.4 WR63
Nick Westbrook-Ikhine WR 5 2 117 1 32.5% 81.1% 84.7% 18.4 18.5% 25.0% 16.7% 3.90 19.7 WR10
Bryce Oliver WR 1 1 33 0 9.2% 2.7% 3.4% 26.0 3.7% 6.3% 100.0% 33.00 4.3 WR71
Chigoziem Okonkwo TE 4 2 19 0 0.7% 51.4% 71.2% 0.5 14.8% 6.3% 21.1% 1.00 3.9 TE28
Josh Whyle TE 1 1 6 0 2.1% 13.5% 23.7% 6.0 3.7% 6.3% 20.0% 1.20 1.6 TE46
Nick Vannett TE 1 1 6 0 1.8% 24.3% 61.0% 5.0 3.7% 0.0% 11.1% 0.67 1.6 TE46
Tony Pollard RB 4 2 14 0 0.0% 40.5% 62.7% 0.0 14.8% 0.0% 26.7% 0.93 4.9 RB39
Tyjae Spears RB 3 2 8 0 1.8% 32.4% 44.1% 1.7 11.1% 12.5% 25.0% 0.67 2.8 RB43

Titans Notes From Week 11:

In a mostly unserious showing by the Titans at home against a much better team in the Minnesota Vikings, Will Levis threw for 295 yards in Week 11, and it could have been more if not for a penalty that took a Calvin Ridley (five targets, 4-58) touchdown off the board.

Ridley could have had a better day and that would have gone in tandem with Nick Westbrook-Ikhine (five targets, 2-117-1); the most unlikely candidate for a 98-yard touchdown in recorded history. But he did it and here we are in the anomalous 2024 NFL season.

The Titans stink, let’s get that right. But in a week with six byes, Westbrook-Ikhine is worth a flex spot in fantasy lineups. Rest of season? Well, he has five touchdowns in his last six games but isn’t earning target volume with just two top 24 weeks at wide receiver in that span.

The run game was awful with Tony Pollard (9-15 rushing; four targets, 2-14 receiving) ineffective and Tyjae Spears (3-0 rushing; three targets, 2-8 receiving) leaving the game and entering concussion protocol.

 

Washington Commanders

 

Name Pos Targets Rec. Rec. Yards TD Air Yards % Route % Snap % aDOT Target Share % First Read Target % TPRR YPRR PPR FPTS PPR Finish
Terry McLaurin WR 2 1 10 0 9.8% 74.4% 71.2% 6.0 6.3% 5.0% 6.9% 0.34 2.0 WR89
Dyami Brown WR 2 1 4 0 5.7% 41.0% 37.9% 3.5 6.3% 5.0% 12.5% 0.25 1.4 WR99
Luke McCaffrey WR 1 0 0 0 4.1% 30.8% 30.3% 5.0 3.1% 5.0% 8.3% 0.00 0.0 WR104
Olamide Zaccheaus WR 2 1 10 0 10.7% 41.0% 42.4% 6.5 6.3% 0.0% 12.5% 0.63 2.0 WR89
Noah Brown WR 4 1 4 0 42.6% 76.9% 77.3% 13.0 12.5% 15.0% 13.3% 0.13 1.4 WR99
Zach Ertz TE 7 6 47 1 31.0% 87.2% 80.3% 5.4 21.9% 35.0% 20.6% 1.38 18.7 TE5
Ben Sinnott TE 7.7% 9.1% 0.0 TE58
John Bates TE 3 2 17 0 1.7% 17.9% 30.3% 0.7 9.4% 10.0% 42.9% 2.43 3.7 TE29
Brian Robinson Jr. RB 1 1 9 0 1.6% 33.3% 53.0% 2.0 3.1% 5.0% 7.7% 0.69 14.2 RB15
Austin Ekeler RB 9 8 89 0 -8.1% 59.0% 51.5% -1.1 28.1% 20.0% 39.1% 3.87 17.6 RB12
Jeremy McNichols RB 1 1 1 0 0.8% 17.9% 16.7% 1.0 3.1% 0.0% 14.3% 0.14 1.6 RB54

Commanders Notes From Week 11:

While the Jayden Daniels run so far in his rookie season has been more excellent than not, he’s clearly working through the toughest stretch of his young career. Daniels is averaging just 196 passing yards and has a combined 23 rushing yards in his last two games. Is it due to his rib injury?

It’s certainly possible he’s still working through that and isn’t exactly 100%. It’s clear the passing game has suffered because of it, as the ball isn’t getting pushed downfield as much. Daniels had the fifth-lowest yards per attempt (6.0 yards) and the second-lowest aDOT (3.8 yards) among all starting quarterbacks in Week 11.

He’s also barely completing passes further than five yards downfield. It’s not great and while Daniels does have a bye week to get through it, that’s two games from now.

Jayden Daniels passing plot W11

To the pass-catchers themselves, as Austin Ekeler (team-leading nine targets, 8-89 receiving; 2-7 rushing) led the team in targets and after Zach Ertz (seven targets, 6-47-1) was next in line with seven targets, no other Commander had more than one reception except backup tight end John Bates (three targets, 2-17). It was honestly ugly.

At least Brian Robinson (16-63-1 rushing; one target, 1-9 receiving) was perfectly fine and continues his very under-the-radar season as a clear win out of the running back dead zone.



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