Welcome to Week 13 WR Matchups to Target. Last week was our best slate of the season, with three of our five picks being home runs that finished over the 3x multiplier on DraftKings salary. This week’s main slate offers a slimmed down 10 games, but there is still a ton of value to be had.
Each week, we will use matchup data from PFF to determine which wide receivers to target based on who they will be primarily lining up against that week. These players are more likely to return a 3x multiplier on their DraftKings salary, a benchmark for consistently winning DFS cash games.
Below are five top WR vs. CB matchups for this week’s DFS main slate. Use these to set season-long lineups, make player-prop picks, and gain an edge in DFS. Let's get to it.
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Drake London, Atlanta Falcons
$6.5k on DraftKings, $7.3k on FanDuel; vs. Tarheeb Still
After starting the season red-hot with five 17+ full-point PPR games in his first seven, London has cooled, reaching 17 points only once since Week 8. The third-year receiver is still on pace for career highs across the board and averages the 13th most fantasy points per game among all receivers.
London and the Falcons welcome the Chargers to down on Sunday. Los Angeles is a difficult matchup overall, ranking seventh in passing defense DVOA and playing a zone-heavy scheme that ranks third in defensive success rate.
London has fared well against zone, garnering a 24.2 target rate and 0.40 fantasy points per route run against zone while maintaining a 78.4 receiving grade against the coverage (18th among 109 eligible receivers). London is also playing at home for only the third time since October 3rd. He has scored in his last three straight home games (four of his last five).
Look for London to lead the Falcons in a bounce-back spot.
Ladd McConkey, Los Angeles Chargers
$6.1k on DraftKings, $6.3k on FanDuel; vs. Dee Alford
McConkey enters Week 13 as WR31 in fantasy points per game (13.0). He has, however, shown promise and a strong connection with QB Justin Herbert, ranking 15th in WR receiving yards and yards per target. The rookie has finished in the top 12 at the position in three of his last five games.
He has a great shot at doing that again on Sunday against the Falcons. Atlanta’s secondary gives up the seventh most fantasy points to opposing receivers and ranks 28th in pass coverage DVOA.
McConkey will primarily match up against CB Dee Alford in the slot, who has struggled this season (59.2 PFF coverage grade). The rookie has a 92.1 matchup advantage over Atlanta’s secondary per PFF, the fourth-best advantage of any receiver this week.
Atlanta deploys zone coverage at a top-three rate. McConkey leads his team by a healthy margin in most major receiving categories against zone, including receptions and yards. He ranks 34th among 109 eligible receivers in yards per route run against zone coverage.
The Chargers have an appealing receiving matchup this week, with McConkey in the best spot to capitalize.
Where Ladd McConkey ranks among all rookie WRs:
⚡️ Receiving Yards: 1st
⚡️ Receiving First Downs: 2nd
⚡️ Yards per Route Run: 2nd
⚡️ Explosive Plays: 1st
⚡️ EPA per Target: 2nd
⚡️ EPA on All Targets: 1st
⚡️ Receiving TDs: T-3rdCertified Gem 💎 https://t.co/jcKjL2fxtf pic.twitter.com/tFZ5q5dPif
— The 33rd Team (@The33rdTeamFB) November 27, 2024
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Tank Dell, Houston Texans
$5.9k on DraftKings, $6.4k on FanDuel; vs. Ronald Darby
Dell has largely underwhelmed in his sophomore season but has been noticeably better with WR Nico Collins in the lineup. He averages more than double the fantasy points in games with Collins than games without and has a 10.9 touchdowns per target rate with him versus a 1.8 touchdowns per target without him.
Houston has the seventh-best matchup of the week according to PFF’s strength of schedule metric. Jacksonville ranks dead last in passing defense DVOA and has given up the most fantasy points to receivers this season.
Dell lines up predominantly in the Z-receiver position, where he will line up opposite CB Ronald Darby most often. Darby is giving up 1.67 yards per coverage route, the fourth-highest among all starting cornerbacks this week per PFF.
Dell was out of the lineup for Houston’s Week 4 matchup with the Jaguars, QB CJ Stroud’s only 20-point performance of the year. Dell is poised for his best game of the season on Sunday.
Jordan Addison, Minnesota Vikings
$5.3k on DraftKings, $6.3k on FanDuel; vs. Sean Murphy-Bunting
Addison went atomic last week against the Bears with 33.2 DraftKings points (WR1). He has 15+ full-point PPR performances in three of his last four, including garnering 17 targets over his last two games.
Addison gets the Cardinals in Week 13, PFF’s fifth-best matchup of the week for receivers. Arizona gave up 77 yards and a touchdown to second-year receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba last week. A similar output this week would put Addison safely in home run territory again for DFS.
The Cards deploy zone at a top-10 rate, against which Addison has scored 0.43 fantasy points per route run (tied with Justin Jefferson for 23rd in the NFL). He ranks 14th among 109 eligible receivers in receiving percentage against zone.
Addison has a safe floor with QB Sam Darnold overperforming this season (six top-10 performances in his last nine) against a beatable Arizona secondary.
Oh my... this angle of the Jordan Addison TD 🎥🔥 pic.twitter.com/0optsZlV8R
— NFL (@NFL) November 4, 2024
Michael Wilson, Arizona Cardinals
$4.2k on DraftKings, $5.4k on FanDuel; vs. Shaquill Griffin
Michael Wilson has regressed a bit in his second year, declining in targets per game, yards per game, and yards per reception in his first full year with Kyler Murray. Wilson has reached double-digit full-point PPR points in four of his last nine games. If he can reach 12.6 DK points, he will reach the coveted 3x salary multiplier on DraftKings.
He has a great chance to do that against the Vikings this week, who are giving up the second most points to opposing NFL receivers in the NFL. No team gives up more receiving yards to receivers than Minnesota. They have given up the most receiving yards to the position this year, and rank in the top five for both WR receptions and touchdowns surrendered.
The Vikings have a 79.5% zone coverage rate (second in the NFL). Wilson has a 20.6% target rate against zone compared to 14.5% versus man. Wilson is a great dart throw alternative to Marvin Harrison Jr. in GPP lineups this week.
Thanks for reading, and good luck with your DFS contests!
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