RADIO
The Week 3 slate on DraftKings and FanDuel is going to be a lot of fun. There is an exponential number of viable strategies this week. You can go with chalky big-name options in the Seahawks-Cowboys tilt. Or you can go with some of the low-cost alternative stacks I detailed yesterday. Or you can create a line-up of entirely mid-range options. There are more possibilities than even the Onceler's thnead offers!
But unlike the Onceler I know you'll be smart enough to realize that resources are not infinite. Therefore, you need your picks not to just produce, but to produce more than they cost. At the same time, we are talking about GPPs, so you need to find values where others might not be looking.
Here are my week 3 GPP Value plays, one that should produce but should be relatively low owned. Let's start with a player I would not have considered a week ago at this time, but comes with my strong recommendation.
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Week 3 Quarterback DFS GPP Value Play
Justin Herbert vs. Panthers (DraftKings $5900, FanDuel $7200)
Herbert might seem like an overly aggressive pick this week. However, I watched large chunks of the Chargers/Chiefs game. Herbert's play left me quite impressed. You can watch his composure and playmaking ability for yourself:
Of course, my belief that he looked good is my opinion only. But here's a fact. No one has been as bad as Carolina this year in giving up fantasy points to quarterbacks. And that's understating it. They are not only the worst in the league, but they have also given up 16 more quarterback fantasy points than the next worst team, the Raiders. The gap between the Raiders and the 11th most generous team (Atlanta) is smaller than the gap between the Panthers and the Raiders.
In his first professional start, Herbert completed two-thirds of his passes for 311 yards. I think he does even better in his second.
Week 3 Running Back DFS GPP Value Play
Devin Singletary vs. Rams (DraftKings $4900, FanDuel $5900)
Priced outside of the top 25 running backs this week on both sites, Singletary might be my favorite play on the Week 3 slate. We already know Zack Moss has been ruled out for this week. Singletary was already the more effective runner (4.5 YPC to Moss's 2.8) and has consistently out-snapped Moss the last two weeks. And now Singletary will have the backfield without Moss?
Wait, it gets better! The Bills will be hosting the Rams, who have given up the ninth-most fantasy points to running backs. In addition, the game script will likely favor Singletary as well. We know that Sean McVay's offenses can score in a hurry and my guess is that the Bills will try to keep the Rams offense off the field for as long as they can by slowly running the ball. It would not surprise me to see Singletary see 20 carries on Sunday. He doesn't even need to average the 5+ yards a carry he did last year. 90 yards and touchdown will give you plenty of value at his ridiculously low price.
Week 3 Wide Receiver DFS GPP Value Play
CeeDee Lamb at Seahawks (DraftKings $4500, FanDuel $5600)
I mentioned previously that this game will be the chalky play. And with an over/under of 57 points on this game, it's no surprise. However, there is no need to spend up for the big names when you get a piece of this game at a fraction of the cost.
Any time you pick a team's WR3, you are taking some risk. Yet Lamb saw nine targets last week, catching six of those for 106 receiving yards. Lamb will be far less owned than at least five or six of the other players from this game and comes with a lower price tag to boot.
Week 3 Tight End DFS GPP Value Play
Logan Thomas at Cardinals (DraftKings $3700, FanDuel $4900)
We might need to start charging Thomas rent for this space. Once again I am featuring him here. However, his price on both sites is slowly rising. And there's a reason his price is rising and it won't stay this low for long. Thomas has 17 targets over the first two weeks and should continue to see passes his way this weekend, especially against the Browns.
Cleveland has been really bad against tight ends this year. They have given up a league-worst 50.6 fantasy points to tight ends so far this year after finishing second-worst last season. With George Kittle out due to injury and both Mark Andrews and Travis Kelce's game not on the main slate, there is zero reason to pay up at tight end in week 3. And no tight end has higher upside value than Thomas on Sunday.
