X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

Week 17 NFL DFS Prop Picks for TNF - Over/Under Prop Picks on Sleeper.com

Breece Hall - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Welcome to our Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 17 Thursday Night Football: Jets vs. Browns

Last week’s picks went 1-2 after a heroic effort from Derek Carr, bringing us to 8-4 (67%) since taking over this column in Week 13. Let’s start Week 17 off right with three more top props.

Sleeper offers some of the best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games in the industry. Sleeper DFS works just like regular player prop betting – there are no large-field tournaments to get lost in. You're not playing against other people; you're just playing against the projections. Here are a few of our favorite prop picks for TNF on Sleeper DFS.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 50% off using code WINNING. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

NFL Sleeper DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Thursday Night Football

Trevor Siemian UNDER 169.5 Passing Yards

With Zach Wilson still in the concussion protocol, QB Trevor Siemian will get his second consecutive start for the Jets. Last week the 32-year-old went 27-for-49 for 217 yards, one touchdown, and one pick in a close win over the Commanders.

Unfortunately for Siemian, his matchup with the Browns on Thursday night is the toughest in the league this week. Cleveland gives up an average of 160.1 passing yards per game, the least in the NFL this season by over eight yards. They have held four of their last six opponents to 166 passing yards or less and are a good bet to do so once more against the Jets and their 31st-ranked passing attack.

PFF agrees with this pick, giving Siemian’s passing under a 70% likelihood of hitting. Fade him on Thursday.

Announcement: We have two awesome new Props Optimizers for the NFL, MLB, NBA, NHL, and NCAA! The PrizePicks Optimizer and Prop Bets Optimizer are both available in our new Props Premium Package, which includes exclusive access to RotoBaller's VIP Discord chat rooms for props and betting.

SIGN UP NOW!

Our friends at Sleeper are hooking you up a nice deposit bonus, too! Take advantage of this offer while it lasts!

Breece Hall OVER 28.5 Receiving Yards

RB Breece Hall has been a bright spot for the lackluster Jets offense this season, tallying 1,269 scrimmage yards and seven touchdowns over 15 games. He has accounted for 28.9% of his team’s scrimmage yards this season, second only to MVP candidate Christian McCaffrey

Despite a similarly bleak outlook for the Jets offense this week against the Browns, Hall is in a position to over-achieve through the air. Last week with QB Trevor Siemian under center, Hall accounted for 36% of his team’s catchable targets en route to 12 catches and 96 receiving yards. 

While he is certainly not likely to reach those marks this week against the Browns and their top-ranked defense by DVOA, he is showing value on a 28.5 receiving yards prop. Hall has reached 29 or more yards in five of his last 7 games (71%) and two of the three games Siemian has appeared in. Grab this bet before it moves, although I would bet it up to 29.5 yards.

Quinnen Williams UNDER 0.5 Sacks

Defensive tackle Quinnen Williams has the highest implied likelihood of getting a sack among Jets defenders this week according to Sleeper DFS (2.19x bet multiplier) and DraftKings Sportsbook (+125), but he is a great fade against the Browns.

After signing a $96 million extension this past offseason, Williams has yet to realize his pass-rushing potential. He has tallied 3.5 sacks this season, fifth-most on his team. He seems also to save his best performances for top-ranked offenses – those 3.5 sacks have come across five of his 15 games in 2023 (33%), all against opponents in the top 13 in offensive DVOA. The Browns rank 27th in this category.

The 26-year-old has lined up predominantly on the right side of the interior defensive line for the Jets. Based on that he will be matched up most often opposite Browns Pro Bowl LG Joel Bitonio, who has only allowed two sacks all season. With great bang for your buck on this prop, it is an excellent one to build a high-value TNF parlay around.

Be sure to check out the rest of our prop betting coverage later this week. Good luck with your picks!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Fantasy Football Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Las Vegas Raiders2 hours ago

Maxx Crosby Confirms His Season Is Over
David Njoku2 hours ago

"A Gametime Decision" For Week 15
Josh Downs2 hours ago

Likely To Play On Sunday
Tony Pollard3 hours ago

Expected To Play Versus Cincinnati
Jared McCain5 hours ago

Out Indefinitely
De'Anthony Melton5 hours ago

On The Move To Brooklyn
Dennis Schröder5 hours ago

Dennis Schroder Heading To Golden State
Breece Hall5 hours ago

Expected To Suit Up For Week 15
Tyler Toffoli6 hours ago

In Danger Of Missing Saturday's Game
NHL6 hours ago

Will Smith Back In Sharks Lineup Saturday
Dustin Wolf6 hours ago

Takes On Prolific Panthers Saturday
Andrei Kuzmenko6 hours ago

Will Not Play On Saturday
Kevin Lankinen7 hours ago

Unavailable On Saturday
Elias Lindholm7 hours ago

Good To Go Saturday
Cam Fowler7 hours ago

Blues Pick Up Cam Fowler In Trade With Ducks
NFL9 hours ago

Maxx Crosby Ruled Out For Week 15
NFL10 hours ago

Trevon Diggs Out For Season With Knee Injury
Jalen Johnson10 hours ago

Will Suit Up For Saturday's Game
Bogdan Bogdanovic10 hours ago

Playing Against Milwaukee
Trae Young10 hours ago

Available On Saturday
Khris Middleton11 hours ago

Active Versus Atlanta
Giannis Antetokounmpo11 hours ago

Good To Go Against Atlanta
Kevin Huerter11 hours ago

Suffers Another Shoulder Injury
Paul Reed11 hours ago

Pistons Waiving Paul Reed
Paolo Banchero11 hours ago

Spotted Shooting On Saturday
D'Andre Swift12 hours ago

Questionable For Monday Night
Roschon Johnson12 hours ago

Ruled Out For Week 15
Nolan Arenado13 hours ago

Astros Serious About Trading For Nolan Arenado
Jeffrey Springs13 hours ago

A's Acquire Jeffrey Springs From Rays
Deshaun Watson14 hours ago

Expected Back In Cleveland In 2025
Harrison Butker14 hours ago

Chiefs Releasing Matthew Wright, Harrison Butker Expected To Return
Samuel Ersson16 hours ago

Faces Wild On Saturday
Marc-Andre Fleury16 hours ago

In Wild Net For Saturday's Matchup
Linus Ullmark17 hours ago

Records 10th Career Shutout
Nick Jensen17 hours ago

Continues Prolific Month In Friday's Win
Shane Pinto17 hours ago

Ends Dry Spell With Two-Goal Effort
Evan Bouchard17 hours ago

A Game-Time Call On Saturday
Donovan Clingan1 day ago

Returning On Friday
Marquise Brown1 day ago

Expected Back Before Postseason
Bradley Beal1 day ago

Downgraded To Out
Jamal Murray1 day ago

Upgraded To Available
Christian Braun1 day ago

To Play On Friday
Aaron Gordon1 day ago

Available On Friday
Joel Embiid1 day ago

Won't Return On Friday
Bradley Beal1 day ago

Now Questionable Versus Utah
LeBron James1 day ago

JJ Reddick Doesn't Know When LeBron James Will Return
Anthony Davis1 day ago

Available Against Minnesota
Austin Reaves1 day ago

Upgraded To Available On Friday
Christian Walker1 day ago

Seattle Would "Love" To Sign Christian Walker
Carson Kelly1 day ago

Agrees To Two-Year Contract With Cubs
Houston Astros1 day ago

Cam Smith Traded To Houston
Hayden Wesneski1 day ago

Shipped To Houston
Alec Martinez1 day ago

Added To Injured Reserve
Anthony Stolarz1 day ago

Day-To-Day With A Lower-Body Injury
K'Andre Miller1 day ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Dan Vladar1 day ago

Considered Day-To-Day
Ladd McConkey1 day ago

Officially Questionable For Week 15
Cam Talbot1 day ago

Re-Aggravates Lower-Body Injury
Matt Dumba1 day ago

To Remain Out On Saturday
Linus Ullmark1 day ago

Seeks Fourth Straight Win Friday
Bub Means1 day ago

Ruled Out For Week 15
Derek Carr1 day ago

Listed As Doubtful, Not Starting
Josh Downs1 day ago

Questionable For Week 15
Kenneth Walker III1 day ago

Listed As Doubtful For Week 15
Tyler Higbee1 day ago

Expected To Make Season Debut In Week 16
D'Andre Swift1 day ago

Roschon Johnson Miss Another Practice
Trey McBride1 day ago

Good To Go, Remains A Must-Start In Fantasy
Tony Pollard1 day ago

Listed As Questionable For Week 15
Isaac Paredes1 day ago

Shipped To Houston
Kyle Tucker1 day ago

Cubs Acquire Kyle Tucker From The Astros
Kyle Tucker1 day ago

Cubs Close To Acquiring Kyle Tucker From The Astros
Nestor Cortes2 days ago

Traded To The Brewers
Adrian Yanez2 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Tampa
Daniel Marcos2 days ago

Looks To Remain Undefeated At UFC Tampa
Vitor Petrino2 days ago

Looks To Return To Win Column At UFC Tampa
Dustin Jacoby2 days ago

A Big Underdog At UFC Tampa
Cub Swanson2 days ago

Searching For 30th Career Win At UFC Tampa
Billy Quarantillo2 days ago

Faces A Legend At UFC Tampa
Devin Williams2 days ago

Traded To The Yankees
Joaquin Buckley2 days ago

Looks For His Sixth Win In A Row
Colby Covington2 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Bruno Silva2 days ago

Looks To Extend His Win Streak
Manel Kape2 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Tampa
Tuco Tokkos2 days ago

Looks For His First UFC Win
Navajo Stirling2 days ago

Set To Make His UFC Debut
Kevin Lankinen2 days ago

Frustrates Panthers With Shutout Performance
Kyle Bradish2 days ago

Begins Throwing Program
Nolan Arenado2 days ago

Would Approve Of Trade To The Bronx
Francisco Lindor2 days ago

Back Injury In The Rearview Mirror
Rafael Devers3 days ago

Red Sox Prepared To Keep Rafael Devers At Third Base
Cody Bellinger3 days ago

Yankees Targeting Cody Bellinger
Pete Alonso3 days ago

Mets Still Trying To Bring Back Pete Alonso
Corbin Burnes3 days ago

Giants The Favorites To Land Corbin Burnes
Brenton Doyle3 days ago

Rockies Plan To Hit Brenton Doyle At Leadoff
Mitch Keller3 days ago

Jared Jones, Mitch Keller Available For Trade
Shane Bieber3 days ago

Throwing From 90 Feet
Alexandre Pantoja5 days ago

Gets Second-Round Win At UFC 310
Kai Asakura5 days ago

Submitted At UFC 310
Alexander Volkov5 days ago

Takes Split-Decision Loss
Ciryl Gane5 days ago

Edges Out Split Decision At UFC 310
MMA5 days ago

Doo Ho Choi Scores TKO Win At UFC 310

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP