X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Week 14 NFL DFS Prop Picks for MNF - Over/Under Prop Picks on Sleeper.com

Tyjae Spears - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 14 Monday Night Football (December 11, 2023). Use Dan's NFL over/under props recommendations to win money on Sleeper.

Welcome to our Sleeper NFL DFS prop picks for Week 14 Monday Night Football. For the first time since Week 3, we have a doubleheader on Monday night: Packers vs. Giants and Titans vs. Dolphins. 

Last week’s MNF prop picks finished 1-2, bringing our season record to 19-10 (66%). We’ve scoured the slate and highlighted three top props for this week you can use on Sleeper DFS or your favorite sportsbook.

Sleeper offers some of the best and easiest-to-win NFL DFS games in the industry. Sleeper DFS works just like regular player prop betting - there are no large-field tournaments to get lost in. You're not playing against other people; you're just playing against the projections. Here are a few of our favorite prop picks for MNF on Sleeper DFS.

Announcement: We have two awesome new Props Optimizers for the NFL, MLB, NBA, NHL, and NCAA! The PrizePicks Optimizer and Prop Bets Optimizer are both available in our new Props Premium Package, which includes exclusive access to RotoBaller's VIP Discord chat rooms for props and betting.

 

NFL DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Week 14 Monday Night Football

Tyjae Spears OVER 2.5 Receptions

Spears has seen his snap share increase throughout his rookie season, culminating in a season-high 67% in Week 13. He has also seen more consistent receiving work of late as well, catching four or more balls three times in his last five games. The third-round pick is third among all Titans players in receptions and 14th among all running backs in that category – ahead of perennial pass-catching backs like D'Andre Swift and Saquon Barkley

Spears has a matchup with the Dolphins next up on Monday night, who just gave up 37 receiving yards on four catches to Commanders running back Antonio Gibson. Miami has given up the 12th-most receptions to opposing teams this season. 

With Derrick Henry avoiding the concussion protocol this past week Spears will be the backup once more, but in a trailing game script, he will likely get a fair share of third-down and passing-down snaps. This makes his receptions prop one to consider this week.

Wan’Dale Robinson OVER 23.5 Receiving Yards

The Giants' passing offense has been deplorable this year, averaging a league-worst 151.6 passing yards per game (18 yards per game worse than the 31st-ranked team, the New York Jets). Robinson has shown the most promise of any of the team’s receivers this year, leading the Giants in receptions despite only playing in 10 games.

Robinson has three games of over 25 receiving yards in his last four, averaging 4.25 targets and 3.25 receptions per game over that span. The second-year receiver leads his team in fantasy points per route run (0.30) and yards per route run (1.08), showing promise for his receiving prop this week.

He matches up with the Packers on Monday, a zone-heavy team (78.5% of the time, 10th most) who are in the bottom half of the league in DVOA. Robinson leads the Giants in receptions and fantasy points against zone coverage this year.

Rotoballer's Proptimizer tool gives this prop a 20.9% edge with a Sharp App projected line of 34.75 receiving yards.

Chigoziem Okonkwo UNDER 3.5 Receptions

Okonkwo is coming off a six-target performance in an overtime loss to the Colts, which may have over-inflated his receptions prop this week against the Dolphins. The second-year tight end has only reached four or more catches once in his last five games. 

The Dolphins defense is also rounding into form down the home stretch of the regular season, giving up 15 points or less in four straight. Last week they held Commanders tight end Logan Thomas catchless. The Dolphins present the sixth-toughest matchup for TEs this week according to PFF, and Okonkwo's matchup with Miami linebacker Duke Riley is projected as the fifth-toughest starting tight end matchup of the week.

PFF agrees with this pick, projecting a 69.4% likelihood of this over cashing out. 

 

Be sure to also check out our brand new PrizePicks Optimizer tool and the free PrizePicks DFS Props Tool to see more recommended picks.

Play the NFL DFS Picks Now on Sleeper

 



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Weekly DFS Analysis

POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Austin Wynns17 mins ago

Collects Three More Hits on Wednesday
Emilio Pagán21 mins ago

Emilio Pagan Closes Out Reds Win
Trevor Larnach33 mins ago

Launches Another Long Ball
Oneil Cruz44 mins ago

Keeps Stacking Stats
Logan Webb1 hour ago

Works Six Scoreless Innings In Giants Win
Christopher Morel1 hour ago

Mashes Second Homer Of The Season
Tyler Herro1 hour ago

Scores Game-High 33 Points In Wednesday's Loss
Donovan Mitchell2 hours ago

Fires In 30 Points In Game 2 Win
Paolo Banchero2 hours ago

Notches 32 Points In Game 2 Loss
Jaylen Brown2 hours ago

Posts 36-Point Double-Double Wednesday
Jalen Green2 hours ago

Erupts For 38 Points In Game 2 Victory
Brandin Podziemski2 hours ago

Limited To 14 Minutes Wednesday
Jimmy Butler III2 hours ago

Set For MRI Thursday
Chandler Simpson2 hours ago

Extends Hitting Streak To Four Games
Jacob Melton2 hours ago

Quiet Since Returning From Injured List
Lazaro Montes3 hours ago

Hits Home Run No. 5
Joel Díaz3 hours ago

Joel Diaz Continues Strong Start To High-A Season
Ryan Clifford3 hours ago

Goes Deep On Wednesday
Jaison Chourio3 hours ago

Hits First Home Run Of High-A Regular Season
Brady Singer8 hours ago

Earns Fourth Win In Quality Start
Corbin Carroll8 hours ago

Keeps Raking With Two More Homers
Carlos Rodón8 hours ago

Carlos Rodon Strong Again In Win Over Cleveland
Luke Keaschall8 hours ago

Shows Off Speed With Two Swipes
J.P. Crawford8 hours ago

Finally Hits First Home Run Of The Season
Teoscar Hernández8 hours ago

Teoscar Hernandez Busts Out Of Slump Wednesday
Andrew Heaney9 hours ago

Tosses Six Shutout Innings
Triston Casas9 hours ago

Launches Three-Run Homer
Jordan Lawlar9 hours ago

Records Another Multi-Hit Performance
George Kittle9 hours ago

Wants To Be Highest-Paid Tight End
Tyler Lockett10 hours ago

Joining The Titans
10 hours ago

Will Shedeur Sanders' Game Translate To The NFL?
Las Vegas Raiders10 hours ago

Raiders Could Go With Offensive Lineman At No. 6 Overall
NFL10 hours ago

Jaguars, Raiders Looking To Trade Up In First Round
New Orleans Saints10 hours ago

Saints Won't Pick Up Fifth-Year Option On Trevor Penning
Nick Chubb10 hours ago

Not Interested In Retirement
George Pickens11 hours ago

Drawing Trade Interest
Rashee Rice11 hours ago

Taking Part In Offseason Program
11 hours ago

Concerns About Tetairoa McMillan's Lack Of Effort
Jahan Dotson11 hours ago

Eagles Decline Fifth-Year Option On Jahan Dotson
Brandin Podziemski13 hours ago

Upgraded To Available
Cam Davis13 hours ago

Looking For Better Fortunes At TPC Louisiana
Michael Porter Jr.14 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Game 3
Minnesota Vikings14 hours ago

Vikings Waive NaJee Thompson, Trevor Reid
Adam Svensson14 hours ago

Making Third Apperence At Zurich Classic
Jake Fromm14 hours ago

Lions Release Jake Fromm
Seattle Seahawks14 hours ago

Cameron Young Let Go By Seattle
Detroit Lions14 hours ago

Detroit Makes Kerby Joseph The Highest-Paid Safety In League History
Davion Mitchell14 hours ago

Moves Into Starting Lineup Wednesday
Brandin Podziemski15 hours ago

Picks Up Questionable Tag
Al Horford15 hours ago

Starts Game 2
Michael Porter Jr.15 hours ago

Practices On Wednesday
Jayson Tatum15 hours ago

Out On Wednesday
Isaiah Stewart15 hours ago

May Miss Another Game Thursday
NYI16 hours ago

Cal Clutterbuck Announces Retirement
Pavel Zacha16 hours ago

Recovering From Small Procedure
Nikolaj Ehlers16 hours ago

To Miss At Least Two More Games
Miro Heiskanen16 hours ago

Still Out On Wednesday
John Klingberg16 hours ago

Enters Oilers Lineup For Game 2
Evander Kane16 hours ago

To Make Season Debut Wednesday Night
Gabriel Landeskog16 hours ago

Likely To Play In Game 3
Denver Broncos18 hours ago

Broncos Not Expected To Trade Up In Round 1
Houston Texans18 hours ago

Texans Trying To Move Up In Round 1 Of NFL Draft
Atlanta Falcons18 hours ago

James Pearce Jr., Mike Green Potential Top Targets For Falcons
Dallas Cowboys18 hours ago

Cowboys Could Add Wide Receiver Help With No. 12 Pick
New Orleans Saints18 hours ago

Saints Likely To Address Defense With No. 9 Pick?
18 hours ago

Rams Eyeing Trade Up For Tyler Warren, Colston Loveland?
Jaren Jackson Jr.24 hours ago

Posts Team-High 26 Points In Tuesday's Loss
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander24 hours ago

Notches 27 Points Despite Poor Shooting
Max Greyserman24 hours ago

Aiming For Similar Success At TPC Louisiana
Pascal Siakam24 hours ago

Scores Team-High 24 Points In Game 2 Win
Giannis Antetokounmpo1 day ago

Posts Big Double-Double In Game 2 Loss
Lee Hodges1 day ago

A High-Upside Player In New Orleans
PGA1 day ago

Nico Echavarria Looks To Ride Off Of Elite Putting In New Orleans
Julius Randle1 day ago

Leads Timberwolves In Scoring In Game 2
Gary Woodland1 day ago

A Player Worth Watching In New Orleans
Luka Dončić1 day ago

Luka Doncic Nets 31 Points In Lakers Win
Max McGreevy1 day ago

Returns To The Zurich Classic Of New Orleans
Rasmus Hojgaard1 day ago

In Search Of Consistency Ahead Of Zurich Classic
Sam Stevens1 day ago

A Boom-Or-Bust Candidate In New Orleans
Nicolai Hojgaard1 day ago

Looking To Turn Season Around At Zurich Classic
John Tavares1 day ago

Collects Two Points In Overtime Win
Christiaan Bezuidenhout1 day ago

Looks To Sway A Hot Putter In Teams Favor At Zurich Classic
Frederik Andersen1 day ago

Posts 40th Postseason Win
Akshay Bhatia1 day ago

Looking To Bounce Back At TPC Louisiana
Carson Young1 day ago

Looks To Turn Things Around At TPC Louisiana
Kirill Kaprizov1 day ago

Leads Wild To Valuable Road Win
Matthew Tkachuk1 day ago

Returns With Three-Point Performance
Erik Van Rooyen1 day ago

Looking For Momentum In Louisiana
Anthony Cirelli1 day ago

Suffers Undisclosed Injury Tuesday
Gabriel Vilardi1 day ago

May Return To Jets Lineup Thursday
John Klingberg1 day ago

Ready To Return To Action
Evander Kane1 day ago

Could Be An Option For Game 2
Andrew Novak1 day ago

Making Start At TPC Louisiana After Near Miss At Harbour Town
Ben Griffin1 day ago

Making Third Career Start At Zurich Classic
Taylor Moore2 days ago

Competing With A New Teammate In New Orleans
Wyndham Clark2 days ago

Making Return To New Orleans
Kurt Kitayama2 days ago

Teeing It Up Again In New Orleans
Collin Morikawa2 days ago

Back At Zurich Classic For Fifth Time
Thomas Detry2 days ago

Making Third Appearance At New Orleans Team Event
Derek Forbort2 days ago

Recovering From Surgery
Martin Fehérváry2 days ago

Martin Fehervary To Miss Postseason Following Knee Surgery
Luke Glendening2 days ago

Available For Start Of Playoffs
Mitchell Chaffee2 days ago

Available Tuesday
Cody Glass2 days ago

Good To Go Tuesday
Brenden Dillon2 days ago

Won't Play In Game 2
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF