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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors, another article in our weekly series of free NBA betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NBA betting breakdown article is for Tuesday, April 4th.
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Today's Betting Overview - Thunder @ Warriors
The Thunder take on the Warriors on Tuesday, April 4th at Chase Center, San Francisco. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NBA games throughout the 2022-2023 season.
- Matchup: Oklahoma City Thunder (38-41) vs. Golden State Warriors (41-38)
- Date: Tuesday, April 4th
- Time: 10:00 PM ET
- Venue: Chase Center
Today's NBA Sportsbook Odds - Thunder @ Warriors
- Caesars Sportsbook NBA Odds
- BetMGM Sportsbook NBA Odds
- DraftKings Sportsbook NBA Odds
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Featured Promo: Get any Betting Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!Thunder & Warriors Key Injuries
Thunder
- Kenrich Williams (Out) Wrist
- Chet Holmgren (Out) Foot
Warriors
- Andre Iguodala (Out) Wrist
- Andrew Wiggins (Out) Personal
- Ryan Rollins (Out) Foot
Oklahoma City Thunder - NBA Betting Analysis
The Thunder enter today's game having lost two straight, including a 128-118 loss to the Suns. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the team in scoring with 39 points on 50.0% shooting. Going into the game, oddsmakers had Oklahoma City as the 5.5-point underdog, resulting in an ATS loss for the team.
Now, the Thunder's overall record sits at 38-41, placing them 10th in the Western Conference. The team's current record at home is 23-17 and 15-24 on the road. For the season, the Thunder are 44-34 vs. the spread but have failed to cover in seven straight games.
This season, the Thunder's offense has been excellent, ranking 5th in the NBA at 117.5 points per game. Oklahoma City has averaged 118 points per contest over its last five games. Oklahoma City has used pace to its advantage this season, averaging 101.4 possessions per game, which is the 4th most in the league. This up-tempo style has made up for a three-point field goal percentage of 35.7% (18th). In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Thunder are 15th in the NBA in attempts while connecting at a rate of 81.0%.
Some key factors behind the Thunder's struggles this year are their inconsistent defensive rebounding and inability to force turnovers. So far, they are 29th in defensive rebounds per game and 25th in forced turnovers at 25th per game. Overall, Oklahoma City is allowing 111.8 points per game, placing them 21st in the NBA. Opposing teams have hit 35.0% of their three-point field goal attempts against the Thunder and 45.9 of their shots overall.
Golden State Warriors - NBA Betting Analysis
In Golden State's most recent game, Klay Thompson led the team in scoring with 25 points, but the Warriors fell to the Nuggets by a score of 112-110 to the Nuggets. Going into the game, Golden State was a 4.0-point favorite, adding an ATS loss to their resume.
Now, the Warriors' overall record sits at 41-38, placing them 6th in the Western Conference. The team's current record at home is 32-8 and 9-30 on the road. The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in 2 straight games and have an overall ATS record of 36-42.
Klay Thompson
UNREAL. https://t.co/9GYHivBo0s pic.twitter.com/XYZaVWa3N0— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) April 3, 2023
With an average of 118.2 points per game, the Warriors are ranked 3rd in the NBA in scoring. Despite this, their recent performance has been below average, scoring just 115 points per game in their last five contests. The key to the Warriors' offensive success is in their balance of pace and efficiency. This season, they are ranked 2nd in the league in pace, while also hitting 38.1% of their three-point shots. Currently, the team's effective field goal percentage of 56.7% is ranked 3rd in the NBA.
The Warriors have struggled this season due to poor defensive rebounding and a lack of forced turnovers, ranking 29th and 30th respectively. They are allowing an average of 111.8 points per game, putting them 21st in the league. Opponents have connected on 35.0% of their three-pointers and 45.9% of their field goal attempts when facing Golden State.
Today's NBA Betting Pick - Thunder vs. Warriors
The Warriors currently have a leg up in this year's season series against the Thunder. Across three games, the Warriors have a record of 2-1. The last head-to-head showdown between the teams ended in a 128-120 win for the Warriors. However, the Thunder covered the spread as the 5.0-point underdogs. The over/under line going into the game was 242.5, which they surpassed.
In the Thunder's previous five games as the favorite, they have a straight-up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 against the spread. Across their last three road games, they are 0-3 ATS and 1-2 straight up. Their previous ten games have an over/under mark of 5-5 with an average of 228 points per contest.
Across Golden State's last five games at home, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 2-3 straight-up. As the favorite, the Warriors are 2-1 straight up on an average scoring differential of 3 points per game. This has led to an ATS mark of 1-2. Their previous ten games have ended in an average of 242 points per game and an over/under mark of 4-6.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: OKC +8
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 242.0
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