X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

ADP Warning Signs - High-Risk Wide Receivers

Everybody loves a good fantasy hype train, especially when players join new teams and enter new situations. But the guys riding high on hype often see themselves overdrafted and end up busting at their ADPs. A new paint of coat doesn't always make the room look better.

All three of these potential bust receivers are entering entirely new situations than they were in last year. One of them experienced the best season of his career, one of them suffered through the worst, and one of them didn't even touch the field. Their new situations, while some are more promising than others, come with a lot of risk, especially where these guys are being drafted.

Let me be clear: these guys are all worth drafting if they fall in the later rounds of your draft. There's clear upside to all of them, but the risks and uncertainty may make them too risky for their current ADP.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2024:

 

High-Risk Wide Receivers for 2017

Terrelle Pryor, Washington Redskins

Pryor broke out as a legitimate receiving option in his first true season as a wide receiver. He joins a Washington offense that put two receivers over 1,000 yards last season, and neither of them are on the team anymore. Most importantly, nobody can make a case that he's the best quarterback on his team anymore, as he teams up with Pro Bowler Kirk Cousins. The upside is massive for Pryor, but I think fantasy owners should temper expectations a bit for him.

Kirk Cousins threw for 4,917 yards last season. I would be shocked if he approached 5,000 yards again this season, but for arguments sake lets assume he does. The two leading receivers from last season are gone, but the two touchdown leaders are back in Jordan Reed and Jameson Crowder. Crowder impressed out of the slot last season and should see an increased role, and a healthy Jordan Reed is likely to be the focal point of the passing game. Reed is the favorite to lead the team in touchdowns, and Crowder may find himself over 1,000 yards for the first time in his career if his role increases.

Even with increased outputs for Reed and Crowder, Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson still put up 2,056 yards and seven touchdowns on 214 targets last year. While Pryor is likely to see more than half of these numbers, I wouldn't count out Josh Doctson just yet. The second year player will likely start alongside Pryor should he be healthy. The Redskins took Doctson in the first round last season with the intention of giving him the ball. He will cut into Pryor's targets if he's on the field.

The point here is that Washington has a ton of mouths to feed. Pryor will see plenty of targets, but maybe not the mammoths share some expect at his current ADP as the 14th receiver off the board. We haven't even gotten into Pryor's inconsistency on the field. He had under 50 yards in over half of his games last season, including three games under 20 yards, and didn't have the touchdowns to make up for it. It is wishful thinking to expect Pryor to see a substantial increase in fantasy production from last season. And his numbers last year do not justify his current ADP.

 

Martavis Bryant, Pittsburgh Steelers

Bryant has been impressive this early in his career, scoring 14 touchdowns in 21 total games. He plays alongside two of the best offensive players in the league and with one of the best quarterbacks of his generation. What's not to love?

Well, maybe the fact that Bryant hasn't played in a year and the fact that the Steelers failed to produce another fantasy relevant receiver in his absence. No Pittsburgh receiver scored more than three touchdowns last season besides Antonio Brown. Eli Rogers, the Steelers runner-up in targets, receptions, yards, and touchdowns among Pittsburgh receivers last season, has emerged in the slot this preseason and should be a factor in the offense once again. Brown and Le'Veon Bell combined for 248 targets last season, and it's unlikely that the Steelers are going to decrease the usage of their two unstoppable workhorses.

All these factors just make it hard for me to believe that Bryant will be able to put up solid WR3 numbers consistently this season. Brown and Bell cast big shadows, and I just can't imagine the rest of the targets in the Pittsburgh passing game go almost exclusively to a guy that didn't play last season. Plus, he doesn't seem to have the full support of his quarterback, which may make a difference on the field. The ball won't find Bryant enough this season to justify his current ADP as the 25th receiver off the board.

 

Brandon Marshall, New York Giants

The Giants haven't consistently produced two receivers who lead the group in targets by a wide margin since 2010. Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks were a fearsome two-headed receiving attack early in the decade. Reuben Randle slid into the two spot as Nicks suffered injuries, and Odell Beckham Jr burst onto the scene when Victor Cruz suffered injuries. Odell Beckham is clearly going to lead the team in targets. Who's the favorite to be the number two receiver next to him?

You could argue that it will be Brandon Marshall, the 33 year old veteran coming off his worst season since his rookie year. Or you could argue that it will be Sterling Shepard, the 24 year old second year player coming off a rookie year where he was the second option in the Giants passing game and had a better season than Marshall did. Shepard is on the rise in his career and has proven chemistry with quarterback Eli Manning, while Marshall is declining veteran who's been banged up this preseason, is still learning a new offense, and hasn't played a full game with his new quarterback yet.

I would be shocked if Shepard saw less than 100 targets this year after seeing 105 as a rookie. After Beckham and Shepard, the third receiving option in last years offense was Victor Cruz, who recorded 72 targets, 39 receptions, 586 yards and a touchdown. Marshall will likely improve on Cruz's numbers, but the last time the Giants produced three quality fantasy receivers was 2009, and they didn't have a receiver who demands the ball as much as Beckham does.

Marshall is currently the 30th receiver off the board, just behind Stefon Diggs and Emmanuel Sanders and just before Jamison Crowder and Willie Snead. All four of those guys are almost guaranteed to see more volume than Brandon Marshall and aren't coming off career worst years. I'd stay far away from Marshall at his current ADP.

 

More Overvalued Draft Picks




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Desmond Bane17 mins ago

Might Miss Another Game With An Ankle Issue
Ja Morant22 mins ago

Questionable For Thursday
Draymond Green29 mins ago

Iffy For Thursday's Action
Stephen Curry35 mins ago

Questionable Thursday
Matthew Tkachuk2 hours ago

Tallies Two Helpers In Victory
Petr Mrazek2 hours ago

Stands Tall Against Colorado
Connor Bedard2 hours ago

Tallies Goal, Assist On Wednesday
Logan Thompson2 hours ago

Leads The Way In Overtime Victory
Pierre-Luc Dubois2 hours ago

Scores Twice On Wednesday
Jeff Petry2 hours ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Khris Middleton13 hours ago

Available For Wednesday's Game
Giannis Antetokounmpo13 hours ago

Cleared For Wednesday
Damian Lillard13 hours ago

Upgraded To Available On Wednesday
Nikola Jokic14 hours ago

Unavailable On Wednesday
Miles McBride15 hours ago

Ruled Out For Wednesday
Karl-Anthony Towns15 hours ago

To Play On Wednesday
Andre Drummond15 hours ago

Sidelined On Wednesday
Alexandre Sarr15 hours ago

Ruled Out On Wednesday
Bub Carrington15 hours ago

Available On Wednesday
Kyle Kuzma15 hours ago

Will Play On Wednesday
Jalen Suggs15 hours ago

Out For Thursday Versus Minnesota
Zion Williamson15 hours ago

Sitting Out Versus Portland
Trent Miner16 hours ago

Set For First Career Start On Wednesday
Aaron Gordon16 hours ago

Ruled Out Wednesday
Beck Malenstyn16 hours ago

To Remain Out On Thursday
Jiri Kulich16 hours ago

Out Week-To-Week
Thatcher Demko16 hours ago

Unavailable Wednesday
Nikola Jokic16 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday Versus Clippers
Elias Pettersson16 hours ago

A Game-Time Call Against Capitals
Jonathan Drouin16 hours ago

Out Wednesday
Paolo Banchero17 hours ago

Expected To Return On Friday Versus Bucks
Aaron Ekblad17 hours ago

A Game-Time Decision Wednesday
Kawhi Leonard17 hours ago

Out Versus Denver
Davis Thompson17 hours ago

Starts 2025 Season Well
PGA17 hours ago

J.T. Poston Disappoints At The Sentry
Chris Kirk17 hours ago

Sputters At The Sentry
Billy Horschel17 hours ago

Looks Forward To Sony Open
Brian Harman17 hours ago

Gets 2025 Started With A Rough Start
PGA17 hours ago

Cameron Davis Finishes Strong At The Sentry
Keegan Bradley17 hours ago

Starts 2025 Season Well
NFL18 hours ago

Bill Belichick Has No Plans To Return To The NFL
Deebo Samuel Sr.18 hours ago

49ers Plan To Bring Deebo Samuel Sr. Back Next Year
Zay Flowers19 hours ago

Absent From Wednesday's Practice
Braxton Garrett20 hours ago

To Miss 2025 Season Following Elbow Surgery
Taylor Pendrith21 hours ago

Is A Dark-Horse Pick For Sony Open
Jalen Hurts22 hours ago

Expected To Practice On Wednesday
Eric Cole22 hours ago

Looking For Bounce-Back Performance At Sony Open
Zay Flowers22 hours ago

A Long Shot To Play On Wild-Card Weekend
Sahith Theegala22 hours ago

A Big Name To Stay Away From At Sony Open
Nick Dunlap23 hours ago

Looks To Bounce Back At Sony Open
Tom Kim23 hours ago

Making Season Debut At Sony Open
Deni Avdija1 day ago

In Danger Of Missing Wednesday's Contest
Hideki Matsuyama1 day ago

Looks To Make History At Waialae
Sean Monahan1 day ago

Exits Tuesday's Game Early
Filip Chytil1 day ago

Exits On Tuesday With Upper-Body Injury
Brock Faber1 day ago

Sustains Injury On Tuesday
Steven Stamkos1 day ago

Exits Early On Tuesday
Evgeni Malkin1 day ago

Sidelined With Upper-Body Injury
Josh Morrissey1 day ago

Day-To-Day With Lower Body Injury
Tanner Scott2 days ago

Mets Meet With Tanner Scott
Justin Verlander2 days ago

Signs One-Year Contract With San Francisco
NFL2 days ago

Ashton Jeanty Declares For 2025 NFL Draft
Joey Daccord2 days ago

Activated From Injured Reserve
Colin Miller2 days ago

To Miss At Least Two Weeks
Tua Tagovailoa2 days ago

Dolphins Have "No Concern At All" About Tua Tagovailoa's Long-Term Health
Las Vegas Raiders2 days ago

Raiders Fire Head Coach Antonio Pierce
David Montgomery2 days ago

Expected To Return For Divisional Round
Tyreek Hill2 days ago

Dolphins Say Tyreek Hill Did Not Request A Trade
Brandon Woodruff2 days ago

Hopes To Be Ready By Opening Day
Zay Flowers2 days ago

Not At Tuesday's Practice
Luke Clanton2 days ago

A Player To Watch At Sony Open
Thomas Detry2 days ago

In Solid Form Ahead Of Sony Open
Russell Henley2 days ago

A Course Horse At Sony Open
Stephan Jaeger2 days ago

A Risky Option At Sony Open
Kurt Kitayama2 days ago

Makes 2025 Debut At Sony Open
Maverick McNealy2 days ago

Looks To Stay Hot In Hawaii
Sepp Straka2 days ago

A Safe Option At Sony Open
Michael Thorbjornsen2 days ago

A Dark Horse At Sony Open
Tennessee Titans2 days ago

Titans Retaining Brian Callahan As Head Coach
Tennessee Titans2 days ago

Titans Fire GM Ran Carthon
Brent Rooker2 days ago

Signs Five-Year Extension
Nolan Arenado2 days ago

Red Sox Emerge As Strong Candidate To Land Nolan Arenado
Christian Watson2 days ago

Packers Confirm Torn ACL For Christian Watson
Ezekiel Elliott2 days ago

Signing With Chargers
Michael Lorenzen3 days ago

Signs One-Year Deal With Kansas City
Gavin Lux3 days ago

Traded To Cincinnati
Kyler Murray3 days ago

"100 Percent" Chance That Kyler Murray Will Start For Cardinals In 2025
Brock Purdy3 days ago

Wants Contract Done Sooner Than Later
Christian McCaffrey3 days ago

"Definitely Close" To Being Fully Recovered
Jayden Daniels3 days ago

Commanders "Not Concerned" With Jayden Daniels' Leg Soreness
Amari Cooper3 days ago

Bills Hopeful Amari Cooper Will Be Available In Wild-Card Round
Chicago Bears3 days ago

Bears Seek Permission To Interview Mike McCarthy For Head-Coaching Job
Luis Arraez3 days ago

Yankees Talking With Padres About Luis Arraez
Clayton Kershaw5 days ago

Intends To Pitch In 2025, Expected To Return To Los Angeles
Charlie Morton6 days ago

Signs One-Year Deal With Baltimore

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Travis Kelce - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Time To Hang It Up: Five NFL Tight Ends That Should Retire After The Season

The tight end position typically has players that can play later into their careers than other positions. You don't usually see many running backs, wide receivers, or defensive and offensive linemen over 31 years old have much success or even play at all in the NFL. There are some outliers of course. But even for […]


Patrick Mahomes - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

Best Potential Matchups For Super Bowl LIX

The NFL playoffs have arrived, which means we're just a month away from Super Bowl LIX, which will be played at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. There are 14 teams that could play in the Super Bowl, with 49 potential combinations of teams that could play in the Super Bowl. While every potential matchup […]


Justin Herbert

PrizePicks NFL DFS Prop Picks - Over/Under Props for Super Wild Card Weekend (Saturday Slate)

Hello everybody, and welcome to our PrizePicks NFL DFS prop picks for Super Wild Card Weekend - Saturday Main Slate! The 2024 NFL season is now through the holiday season and gearing up for the playoffs, and our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great DFS plays we can look to take advantage […]


Marvin Mims Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL DFS Picks

WR/CB Matchups to Upgrade and Downgrade - Fantasy Football Wild Card Round (2025)

Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for the Wild Card Round of the 2024 fantasy football season. Congrats to all of you who won a championship or reached the title game! For those unfamiliar, this weekly series looks at fantasy football matchups for wide receivers versus the cornerbacks who are projected to cover them. The […]


Zay Flowers - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football WR Injury Reports: Wild Card Weekend Updates For Zay Flowers, Christian Watson, John Metchie III, Joshua Palmer

The (regular) fantasy football season is over but the DFS season rolls along. A few high-profile receivers may not make your lineups due to injury. To keep close tabs on all of the news across the NFL, make sure to favorite or bookmark the fantasy football player news page. Also, download the free RotoBaller fantasy […]


Lamar Jackson - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

NFL Playoffs Rankings: Fantasy Football Draft Rankings and FFPC Playoff Challenge (2025)

Welcome, RotoBallers, to the 2025 NFL Playoffs and our continuing coverage of fantasy football playoff leagues. Fantasy football is still going strong during the NFL playoffs – including new drafts and contests forming before the Wild Card Weekend games. The NFL postseason starts with one of the most challenging and unique fantasy football playoff leagues […]


David Montgomery - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Will David Montgomery Play In The Postseason? Injury Update For Lions RB

Detroit Lions running back David Montgomery (knee) suffered an MCL injury in Week 15 against the Buffalo Bills. While it was initially reported that he would be placed on injured reserve and his season would be over, we haven't seen that yet. "Monty" has now played in 14 games this season, rushing 185 times for […]


Travis Kelce - Fantasy Football Tight Ends You Must Have in 2024

12 Biggest Fantasy Football Busts Of 2024

Unfortunately, the 2024 fantasy football season is over. Hopefully, fantasy players came away with the championship trophy. While the fantasy season just wrapped up, it’s never too early to prepare for next year. The first thing fantasy players should do is look back at the 2024 season and see where they went wrong. Therefore, let’s […]


Mike Evans - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

NFL Playoff League Rankings for Fantasy Football: Saquon Barkley, Jahmyr Gibbs, Mike Evans, Kyren Williams, Joe Mixon, Puka Nacua, Terry McLaurin

While the traditional fantasy football season is over, the start of the NFL playoffs brings various types of fantasy football contests geared toward the playoffs. Fantasy football is not over yet, so let's get to the action! Below are our 2025 fantasy football playoff league rankings to help you make the best decisions for your playoff […]


Nico Collins - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - Wild Card Weekend Matchups Analysis

Welcome back, RotoBallers, to another start'em and sit'em piece as we look ahead to Wild Card Weekend! If you are new here, this matchups analysis and Start 'Em, Sit 'Em article will look at the best and worst matchups of the week.  Whether you are looking for some DFS plays this weekend or are playing in a fantasy […]


Bucky Irving - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

All-Waiver Wire Fantasy Football Team - 2024 Undrafted Players Who Exceeded Expectations

The casual fantasy football managers draft a team and ride it out, hoping their selections push them into the playoffs. The savvy fantasy managers utilized the waiver wire to make a good team great. Every year, undrafted players go on to be fantasy football darlings. This season was no exception. Below is the All-Waiver Wire […]


Jayden Daniels - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

2024 Fantasy Football Awards - RotoBaller Writers Picks

Greetings and welcome to the official 2024 Fantasy Football Awards Show, presented by RotoBaller. These awards are voted on by RotoBaller's NFL writers, with some goofy ones thrown in alongside the expected. We are here to celebrate the good, the bad, and the downright frustrating. Once again, I'm your host, Nick Mariano. We won't have […]


J.K. Dobbins - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Injury News, DFS Lineup Picks

Fantasy Football Injury Reports For NFL RBs: Wild Card Weekend Updates for J.K. Dobbins, Justice Hill, Gus Edwards, Blake Corum

Below is our fantasy football injuries report for running backs on Wild Card Weekend, as of January 8. The injury statuses for various NFL running backs are up in the air for Wild Card Weekend, including J.K. Dobbins, Justice Hill, Gus Edwards, and Blake Corum. As the NFL playoffs get underway and fantasy football continues, […]