X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

ADP Warning Signs - High-Risk Wide Receivers

Everybody loves a good fantasy hype train, especially when players join new teams and enter new situations. But the guys riding high on hype often see themselves overdrafted and end up busting at their ADPs. A new paint of coat doesn't always make the room look better.

All three of these potential bust receivers are entering entirely new situations than they were in last year. One of them experienced the best season of his career, one of them suffered through the worst, and one of them didn't even touch the field. Their new situations, while some are more promising than others, come with a lot of risk, especially where these guys are being drafted.

Let me be clear: these guys are all worth drafting if they fall in the later rounds of your draft. There's clear upside to all of them, but the risks and uncertainty may make them too risky for their current ADP.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2024:

 

High-Risk Wide Receivers for 2017

Terrelle Pryor, Washington Redskins

Pryor broke out as a legitimate receiving option in his first true season as a wide receiver. He joins a Washington offense that put two receivers over 1,000 yards last season, and neither of them are on the team anymore. Most importantly, nobody can make a case that he's the best quarterback on his team anymore, as he teams up with Pro Bowler Kirk Cousins. The upside is massive for Pryor, but I think fantasy owners should temper expectations a bit for him.

Kirk Cousins threw for 4,917 yards last season. I would be shocked if he approached 5,000 yards again this season, but for arguments sake lets assume he does. The two leading receivers from last season are gone, but the two touchdown leaders are back in Jordan Reed and Jameson Crowder. Crowder impressed out of the slot last season and should see an increased role, and a healthy Jordan Reed is likely to be the focal point of the passing game. Reed is the favorite to lead the team in touchdowns, and Crowder may find himself over 1,000 yards for the first time in his career if his role increases.

Even with increased outputs for Reed and Crowder, Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson still put up 2,056 yards and seven touchdowns on 214 targets last year. While Pryor is likely to see more than half of these numbers, I wouldn't count out Josh Doctson just yet. The second year player will likely start alongside Pryor should he be healthy. The Redskins took Doctson in the first round last season with the intention of giving him the ball. He will cut into Pryor's targets if he's on the field.

The point here is that Washington has a ton of mouths to feed. Pryor will see plenty of targets, but maybe not the mammoths share some expect at his current ADP as the 14th receiver off the board. We haven't even gotten into Pryor's inconsistency on the field. He had under 50 yards in over half of his games last season, including three games under 20 yards, and didn't have the touchdowns to make up for it. It is wishful thinking to expect Pryor to see a substantial increase in fantasy production from last season. And his numbers last year do not justify his current ADP.

 

Martavis Bryant, Pittsburgh Steelers

Bryant has been impressive this early in his career, scoring 14 touchdowns in 21 total games. He plays alongside two of the best offensive players in the league and with one of the best quarterbacks of his generation. What's not to love?

Well, maybe the fact that Bryant hasn't played in a year and the fact that the Steelers failed to produce another fantasy relevant receiver in his absence. No Pittsburgh receiver scored more than three touchdowns last season besides Antonio Brown. Eli Rogers, the Steelers runner-up in targets, receptions, yards, and touchdowns among Pittsburgh receivers last season, has emerged in the slot this preseason and should be a factor in the offense once again. Brown and Le'Veon Bell combined for 248 targets last season, and it's unlikely that the Steelers are going to decrease the usage of their two unstoppable workhorses.

All these factors just make it hard for me to believe that Bryant will be able to put up solid WR3 numbers consistently this season. Brown and Bell cast big shadows, and I just can't imagine the rest of the targets in the Pittsburgh passing game go almost exclusively to a guy that didn't play last season. Plus, he doesn't seem to have the full support of his quarterback, which may make a difference on the field. The ball won't find Bryant enough this season to justify his current ADP as the 25th receiver off the board.

 

Brandon Marshall, New York Giants

The Giants haven't consistently produced two receivers who lead the group in targets by a wide margin since 2010. Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks were a fearsome two-headed receiving attack early in the decade. Reuben Randle slid into the two spot as Nicks suffered injuries, and Odell Beckham Jr burst onto the scene when Victor Cruz suffered injuries. Odell Beckham is clearly going to lead the team in targets. Who's the favorite to be the number two receiver next to him?

You could argue that it will be Brandon Marshall, the 33 year old veteran coming off his worst season since his rookie year. Or you could argue that it will be Sterling Shepard, the 24 year old second year player coming off a rookie year where he was the second option in the Giants passing game and had a better season than Marshall did. Shepard is on the rise in his career and has proven chemistry with quarterback Eli Manning, while Marshall is declining veteran who's been banged up this preseason, is still learning a new offense, and hasn't played a full game with his new quarterback yet.

I would be shocked if Shepard saw less than 100 targets this year after seeing 105 as a rookie. After Beckham and Shepard, the third receiving option in last years offense was Victor Cruz, who recorded 72 targets, 39 receptions, 586 yards and a touchdown. Marshall will likely improve on Cruz's numbers, but the last time the Giants produced three quality fantasy receivers was 2009, and they didn't have a receiver who demands the ball as much as Beckham does.

Marshall is currently the 30th receiver off the board, just behind Stefon Diggs and Emmanuel Sanders and just before Jamison Crowder and Willie Snead. All four of those guys are almost guaranteed to see more volume than Brandon Marshall and aren't coming off career worst years. I'd stay far away from Marshall at his current ADP.

 

More Overvalued Draft Picks




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Weekly Rankings
Compare Any Players
Stats & Leaders
Starts and Sit
Daily Fantasy
Who To Pickup
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Trevor Lawrence24 mins ago

Picked Off Twice By Philadelphia
Evan Engram26 mins ago

Targeted 10 Times In Loss To Eagles
Las Vegas Raiders32 mins ago

Raiders Fire Three, Including Offensive Coordinator Luke Getsy
Darius Slayton52 mins ago

Enters Concussion Protocol Sunday
Justin Jefferson1 hour ago

Goes Over The Century Mark Yet Again
Drake London1 hour ago

Dealing With Hip Pointer, Oblique Injury
Courtland Sutton1 hour ago

Produces Second Straight 100-Yard Game, Throws A Touchdown
Jamal Murray2 hours ago

Listed As Out On Monday Against Toronto
Bradley Beal2 hours ago

Questionable Going Into Monday Night's Matchup Against Philadelphia
Rudy Gobert2 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Monday Night
Zach LaVine2 hours ago

Listed As Questionable On Monday
NASCAR2 hours ago

Speeding Penalty Foils Martin Truex Jr.'s Last Realistic Shot At Winning
Denny Hamlin2 hours ago

Fails To Advance To Championship 4 But Runs Well
Shane Van Gisbergen3 hours ago

Shane van Gisbergen Earns Best Oval Finish at Martinsville
William Byron3 hours ago

Tentatively In Championship 4 Pending Ruling On Manufacturer Orders
Anthony Davis3 hours ago

Listed As Probable For Monday
Stephen Curry3 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Monday Night
Jaylen Brown3 hours ago

Listed As Out For Monday Night's Matchup In Atlanta
Joel Embiid3 hours ago

Listed As Out For Monday Night's Game
Giannis Antetokounmpo3 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Monday Night
Paul George4 hours ago

Expected To Make Debut On Monday Night
Erick All Jr.4 hours ago

Potentially Done For Season
Caleb Williams4 hours ago

Expected To Be Fine
Mike Gesicki4 hours ago

Keeps It Going In Week 9
Chase Brown5 hours ago

Thrives Versus Vegas
Joe Burrow5 hours ago

Has Another Strong Showing In Week 9
Jayden Reed5 hours ago

Leads Packers In Receptions And Yards In Week 9 Loss
Geno Smith5 hours ago

Tosses Three Interceptions In Week 9
Jaxon Smith-Njigba5 hours ago

With A Monster Day In Week 9
Saquon Barkley5 hours ago

Tallies Nearly 200 Total Yards, Scores Twice
Jalen Hurts5 hours ago

Has Another Strong Performance In Week 9
MMA6 hours ago

Ariane Lipski Submitted At UFC Edmonton
Jasmine Jasudavicius6 hours ago

Gets Submission Win At UFC Edmonton
Caio Machado6 hours ago

Still Winless In The UFC
Brendson Ribeiro6 hours ago

Edges Out Split Decision At UFC Edmonton
CeeDee Lamb6 hours ago

Has AC Joint Issue, To Undergo An MRI
Amir Albazi6 hours ago

Falls Short At UFC Edmonton
Brandon Moreno6 hours ago

Dominates At UFC Edmonton
A.J. Brown7 hours ago

Won’t Return Versus Jacksonville
Zay Flowers7 hours ago

Puts Up Huge Performance Against Broncos
Quentin Johnston7 hours ago

Has A Big Game In His Week 9 Return
Artturi Lehkonen8 hours ago

Activated From Injured Reserve
NJ8 hours ago

Nathan Bastian To Miss "Several Weeks"
Brayden Point8 hours ago

Exits With Injury Sunday
Dan Vladar8 hours ago

Set For Second Consecutive Start Sunday
Nicholas Robertson8 hours ago

Re-Enters Maple Leafs Lineup Sunday
Jakub Vrana9 hours ago

Scratched On Sunday
Onyeka Okongwu10 hours ago

Lands On Injury Report
Immanuel Quickley10 hours ago

Doubtful For Monday's Game
Austin Reaves10 hours ago

Participates During Sunday's Practice
Jarred Vanderbilt11 hours ago

Practices On Sunday
Ben Simmons11 hours ago

Available On Sunday
Austin Barnes16 hours ago

Returning To Los Angeles
16 hours ago

David Robertson To Test Free Agency
Wilmer Flores16 hours ago

Giants Exercise Club Option On Wilmer Flores
Owen Miller16 hours ago

Shipped To Colorado
Merrill Kelly16 hours ago

Staying In Arizona
16 hours ago

Eloy Jimenez Headed To Free Agency
Daniel Suarez17 hours ago

Will Start 20th At Martinsville
Zane Smith17 hours ago

Might Be An Underrated Value Play For Martinsville
Tyler Reddick17 hours ago

Is A Top DFS Recommendation For Martinsville Lineups
Joey Logano17 hours ago

Will Be One To Watch At Martinsville
Brad Keselowski17 hours ago

Should DFS Players Rely On Brad Keselowski For Martinsville Lineups?
Carson Hocevar18 hours ago

Is A Great DFS Option For All Martinsville DFS Lineups
Ty Gibbs18 hours ago

Is Ty Gibbs Worth Rostering At Martinsville This Week For DFS?
Austin Cindric18 hours ago

Could Have A Top-20 Performance At Martinsville
William Byron18 hours ago

Might Be Usable Only In DFS Tournaments At Martinsville
Chris Buescher18 hours ago

Should DFS Players Roster Chris Buescher At Martinsville?
Alex Bowman18 hours ago

Expect A Solid Top-10 Performance From Alex Bowman At Martinsville
Josh Berry18 hours ago

May Be Set For Long-Run Struggles At Martinsville
Dylan Larkin18 hours ago

Scores Twice On Saturday
Cam Talbot18 hours ago

Stops 31 Shots In Saturday's Victory
Cale Makar18 hours ago

Tallies Goal, Assist On Saturday
Anton Forsberg18 hours ago

Records Shutout Victory On Saturday
Philip Broberg18 hours ago

Leaves Saturday Early With Lower-Body Injury
Sidney Crosby19 hours ago

Nets Two More Goals In Saturday's Victory
Chase Elliott20 hours ago

Will Be Tough To Beat At Martinsville
Ryan Blaney20 hours ago

A Great DFS Play At Martinsville
Denny Hamlin20 hours ago

Wrecks In Practice, Will Start Last At Martinsville
Kyle Larson21 hours ago

Going Overlooked At Martinsville
Martin Truex Jr21 hours ago

. Will Be Strong At Martinsville On Sunday
Joel Embiid1 day ago

Reportedly Shoves Columnist On Saturday
Desmond Bane1 day ago

Diagnosed With An Oblique Strain
Marcus Smart1 day ago

Labeled Week-To-Week
Jordan Hawkins1 day ago

Back On The Injury Report
Wendell Carter Jr.1 day ago

Questionable Against Dallas
Bradley Beal1 day ago

Returning On Saturday Night
1 day ago

Joc Pederson To Test Free Agency
1 day ago

Anthony Rizzo Headed To Free Agency
Freddy Peralta1 day ago

Milwaukee Picking Up Option On Freddy Peralta
1 day ago

Ha-Seong Kim Headed To Free Agency
Adam Pelech1 day ago

To Miss At Least Four Weeks
Mathew Barzal1 day ago

Ruled Out For 4-6 Weeks
Tyler Seguin1 day ago

Day-To-Day With A Lower-Body Injury
Ilya Samsonov1 day ago

Out On Saturday
Mark Stone1 day ago

Good To Go Saturday
Mark Jankowski1 day ago

Back For Predators On Saturday
Brandon Montour1 day ago

Returns To Kraken Lineup
Samuel Ersson1 day ago

Suffers A Lower-Body Injury Saturday
Robbie Ray2 days ago

Doesn't Opt Out Of Contract, Stays With Giants
2 days ago

Yankees Could Make Play For Pete Alonso This Offseason
2 days ago

Sean Manaea Opts Out Of Contract, Becomes Free Agent
Cody Bellinger2 days ago

Picks Up $27.5 Million Player Option With Cubs
Gerrit Cole2 days ago

Opts Out Of Contract With Yankees
Rhys Hoskins2 days ago

Staying In Milwaukee
2 days ago

Seattle Declines Club Option On Jorge Polanco
Luke Weaver2 days ago

Returning To New York
Eugenio Suárez2 days ago

Arizona Picks Up Club Option On Eugenio Suarez
Nikolaj Ehlers2 days ago

Totals Four Points Versus Blue Jackets
Rose Namajunas2 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Edmonton
Clayton Kershaw2 days ago

To Undergo Two Surgeries
Erin Blanchfield2 days ago

Returns At UFC Edmonton
Brandon Lowe2 days ago

Rays Pick Up Club Option On Brandon Lowe
Marc-Andre Barriault2 days ago

Dustin Stoltzfus Set To Face Marc-Andre Barriault At UFC Edmonton
Marc-Andre Barriault2 days ago

A Favorite At UFC Edmonton
Trevin Giles2 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Mike Malott2 days ago

Opens Up UFC Edmonton Main Card
Brendson Ribeiro3 days ago

Searching For 1st UFC Win At UFC Edmonton
Caio Machado3 days ago

Drops Down To Light Heavyweight At UFC Edmonton
Jhonata Diniz3 days ago

Gets Big Step-Up At UFC Edmonton
Derrick Lewis3 days ago

Faces An Unranked Heavyweight At UFC Edmonton
Amir Albazi3 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Edmonton
Brandon Moreno3 days ago

Ends Layoff At UFC Edmonton

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

MORE RECENT ARTICLES

 
Quentin Johnston - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Waiver Wire Express - Week 10 Lightning Round Including Quentin Johnston, Xavier Legette, Ray-Ray McCloud III, Ray Davis, Jauan Jennings, Cedric Tillman, Bo Nix

October is in the past and many of you are here with shifted clocks, seeking help at wide receiver. Amidst the usual chaos of Sunday's football, we absorbed several high-profile losses at wideout. We're all doing our best to stay hot in November with our fantasy football waiver wire pickups lightning round heading into Week […]


Jordan Love - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Fantasy Football Injury Reports For Week 9 (Sunday Morning Updates): Jordan Love, Puka Nacua, Josh Jacobs, Tank Bigsby, Tony Pollard, and more

Heading into Week 9 of the NFL season, injuries continue to impact the upcoming schedule. These play a huge factor in start/sit decisions for fantasy managers. Our injury updates and reports for Week 9 as of Sunday, November 3, 2024, will give you the latest updates on key fantasy football players. The injury news for […]


Bijan Robinson - Fantasy Football Rankings, NFL Rookies, Draft Sleepers

Fantasy Football Start 'Em, Sit 'Em - Week 9 Matchups Analysis

Welcome back, RotoBallers, to another start'em and sit'em piece as we look ahead to Week 9! With the Pittsburgh Steelers and San Francisco 49ers on bye this week, fantasy managers will have to replace George Pickens, Najee Harris, Deebo Samuel Sr., and George Kittle in their lineups. This Week 9 matchups analysis and Start 'Em, Sit 'Em piece will help you make the right lineup decisions […]


Michael Pittman Jr. - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

WR/CB Matchups to Upgrade and Downgrade - Fantasy Football Week 9 (2024)

Welcome back to our WR/CB Matchups for Week 9 of the 2024 fantasy football season. For those unfamiliar, this weekly series looks at fantasy football matchups for wide receivers versus the cornerbacks who are projected to cover them. The data we access for offensive and defensive players continues to skyrocket. Though we mainly focus on offensive […]


Zay Flowers - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Week 9 Fantasy Football Busts? Players Who May Disappoint Include Josh Jacobs, Zay Flowers, Tank Bigsby, Rachaad White, Nick Chubb, Bucky Irving

Welcome to Week 9, the midway point of the 2024 fantasy football season. It's arrived quickly for most, but there's still plenty of season left! Injuries to wide receivers have left a sour taste in the mouths of fantasy managers, therefore propping up running backs. However, some running backs may have a rough week while […]


Rachaad White - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

2024 Fantasy Football Rankings (Weekly Rankings)

Check out all of RotoBaller's fantasy football rankings. Staff rankings are updated regularly for all positions and include standard formats, PPR scoring, tiered rankings and dynasty leagues.


Fantasy Football Matchups We Love - Start 'Em, Sit 'Em Picks for Week 9 Include Caleb Williams, Alvin Kamara, DeVonta Smith, Josh Jacobs, more

What a week it was for fantasy goodness. Quarterbacks were on fire, and thus, so were offenses around the NFL. If you were on the right side of that output, then I commend you. If you received duds on your roster, then I feel your pain. This was a topsy-turvy week in the NFL and […]


Keon Coleman - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Key Starters and Tough Calls - Week 9 Lineup Spotlights for Fantasy Football Include Chase Brown, Keon Coleman, Ladd McConkey, Joe Flacco, more

Scott Engel’s Lineup Spotlights are an essential weekly feature on RotoBaller.com for the 2024 fantasy football season. Every week, he focuses on players to choose as starting options when you are dealing with tight lineup decisions. The lineup picks included in this rundown are based on Scott’s Premium Weekly Lineup Rankings, available as part of the RotoBaller […]


Terry McLaurin - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Wide Receiver Matchups to Target in Week 9 - Terry McLaurin, Chris Olave, Ladd McConkey, Jakobi Meyers

Welcome to WR Matchups to Target for Week 9. Last week’s picks yielded one “in the money” pick (3x multiplier on DraftKings salary) in Keon Coleman, giving us 11 such picks over the first eight weeks of the season. Each week, we will use matchup data from PFF to determine which wide receivers to target […]


Bryce Young - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, Waiver Wire Pickups

High-Upside Bench Stashes: Weekend Waiver Wire Adds for Week 9 Includes Jalen Coker, Troy Franklin, Jaylen Wright, Erick All Jr., Kimani Vidal, Blake Corum

Mastering the waiver wire is a crucial skill that can lead you to a fantasy football championship. It's not just about strategically placing your FAAB budget on specific players but also about knowing when to stash players. This dual strategy keeps you engaged and focused on your ultimate goal of winning a fantasy championship. As […]


Jameis Winston - NFL DFS Picks, Waiver Wire, Fantasy Football Rankings

Booms and Busts - Fantasy Football Starts and Sits for Week 9 Lineups

Well, November is here, and we have officially entered the third month of the 2024 NFL season. It never ceases to amaze me how fast it moves once it’s finally here. Week 8 was more of the same for us here. Some good calls mixed in with some poor ones. Our big miss of the […]


Chicago Bears Defense - Jaquan Brisker, DST, D/ST, Rankings, Streamers

Week 9 Defense (DEF) Streamers and Starts - 2024 Fantasy Tiers, Rankings

Welcome back, RotoBallers, to our Week 9 fantasy football defense streamers and D/ST rankings for the 2024 fantasy football season. Every week, I'll go through the best and worst fantasy defenses. With two teams on bye (Pittsburgh Steelers and San Francisco 49ers), I will be ranking fantasy defenses from No. 1 to No. 30.  With the 49ers and […]


Devin Singletary - Fantasy Football Rankings, Draft Sleepers, NFL Injury News

Sneaky Starts, Pivot Plays, and Post-Waiver Pickups for Week 9 - Joe Flacco, Devin Singletary, Xavier Legette, Dalton Schultz, Bo Nix, Josh Downs

We have reached the point in the season when some of you may be in season-saving mode. If you are sitting at 3-5, this may apply to you. To save your season, you have to change your approach. Rather than holding injured players and waiting for them to return, you have to trade them.  Yes, […]