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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the New England Patriots vs. Minnesota Vikings, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Thursday, November 24th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Patriots @ Vikings
The Patriots take on the Vikings on Thursday, November 24th at U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: New England Patriots (6-4) vs. Minnesota Vikings (8-2)
- Date: Thursday, November 24th, 2022
- Time: 8:20 PM ET
- Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Patriots @ Vikings
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New England Patriots - NFL Betting Analysis
Last week, the Patriots picked up a game in the AFC East, as they took down the Jets by a score of 10-3. This win was paired with an ATS victory, as they went into the game by -3.5 point favorites. With an over-under betting line of 38, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 13. In the 7-point win, the Patriots entered the 4th quarter in a 3-3 tie. However, they outscored the Jets by 7 points to come away with the win and cover the spread. Through 10 games, the Patriots have an ATS record of 6-3-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 4-6. This week's betting total of 42.5 is right in line with their previous games.
Heading into this week's matchup, the Patriots' offense is averaging 21.3 points per game, placing them 20th in the NFL. Look for the team to put together a strong offensive performance vs a Vikings defense ranked 18th in points per game. Although the Patriots come into the game ranked just 24th in pass yards per game, they will benefit from facing a Minnesota secondary that is vulnerable through the air. We expect New England to have an above-average performance in the passing attack. On the ground, our projections show that the Patriots' offense will have its problems. Even though they have a decent matchup against Minnesota, look for New England to come up with fewer rush yards than their season average of 115.4.
Minnesota Vikings - NFL Betting Analysis
Last week, the Vikings fell by a score of 40-3 to the Dallas Cowboys, giving them a loss in the NFC standings. Minnesota lost the game by more than anticipated, as the oddsmakers placed Minnesota as 2.0 point underdogs. With an over-under betting line of 48, the two teams fell below that figure as they combined for 43. The Vikings were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed Dallas by a score of 37-3 heading into the final quarter. Through 10 games, the Vikings have an ATS record of 4-5-1. So far, they have an over-under record of 5-5. This week's betting total of 42.5 is slightly lower than the line in their previous games.
As the Vikings prepare to take on New England, they are ranked 13th in points per game at 22.9. This week, the team is matched up against the league's 2nd ranked defense, look for Minnesota to have a below average performance compared to their usual offensive output. In the passing game, the Vikings will need to be on top of their game, as they are matched up against a New England defense that has been tough on opposing quarterbacks. In addition, Minnesota figures to have their fair share of problems as they come into the game as the 24th-ranked team in rush yards per game.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Patriots vs. Vikings
Heading into the game, Minnesota will look to turn things around in the series, as the Patriots have won each of the last 5 games. The over-under record in these games sits at 1-4, with the average scoring total coming in at 39.2 points. New England and Minnesota did not play each other in the 2021-2022 regular season.
The New England Patriots have performed well vs the spread in recent games, going 3-1. On average, the Patriots have averaged 27.4 points per game in the past 5 head-to-head matchups, compared to Minnesota at 11.8.
Spanning across their last 3 games, New England has gone 3-0. In addition, their ATS record over this stretch is 3-0 while posting a 0-3 over-under mark.
When looking at their past 3 road matchups, New England has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 28.0 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
Over their last 3 regular season games, the Vikings have gone 2-1 straight up. In these games, they have a 1-1-1 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 1-2.
Across their last 3 home contests, Minnesota has been good against the spread posting a mark of 1-2. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 22.0 points per game.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Patriots 2.5
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Under 42.5
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