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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Detroit Lions vs. Minnesota Vikings, another article in our weekly series of free NFL betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free NFL betting breakdown article is for Sunday, September 25th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Lions @ Vikings
The Lions take on the Vikings on Sunday, September 25th at U.S. Bank Stadium, Minneapolis. RotoBaller provides free handicapping picks and odds for all NFL games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Detroit Lions (1-1) vs. Minnesota Vikings (1-1)
- Date: Sunday, September 25th, 2022
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Venue: U.S. Bank Stadium
Today's NFL Sportsbook Odds - Lions @ Vikings
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Detroit Lions - NFL Betting Analysis
This week, the Lions will look to keep things rolling, after picking up a 36-27 over the Washington Commanders. In terms of betting, Detroit picked up an ATS win, as they were the 0.5 point underdogs. The teams combined for a total of 63 points, which surpassed the over-under betting line of 48. Despite being the 0.5 point underdogs heading into the game, the Lions held a 14 point lead heading into the 4th quarter.
On offense, the team's 36 point performance, surpassed last year's season average of 19.12 points per game. On the ground, Detroit ended with 191 rushing yards on 24 attempts. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the team with 68 rush yards and did not find the endzone.
At the quarterback position, Jared Goff ended the game with a passer rating of 121.69 on 256 yards through the air. Goff also managed to throw for 4 passing touchdowns. In addition to his team leading 116 receiving yards, Amon-Ra St. Brown hauled in 2 touchdowns. As a team, Detroit ranks 19th in the number of pass yards per game, averaging 219.5 per game. So far, 54.13% of their yards have come through the air, on a completion percentage of 57.8% (25th).
Currently, the Lions defense is ranked just 30th in overall yards allowed. So far, the team's defense has allowed 3 scores through the air and 5 on the ground. This season, the Lions have struggled to get off the field in 3rd down situations, allowing opponents to convert at a rate of 53.1%.
Minnesota Vikings - NFL Betting Analysis
In week 2, the Minnesota Vikings dropped their NFC matchup against the Eagles by a score of 24-7. Minnesota lost the game by more than anticipated, as the oddsmakers placed Minnesota as 3.0 point underdogs. The team's combined scoring of 31 points fell below the posted betting line of 49. The Vikings were not able to make a comeback in last week's game, as they trailed Philadelphia by a score of 24-7 heading into the final quarter.
The Vikings 7 points was a below average figure compared to last year's squad that averaged 25.0 points per game. Minnesota struggled to run the ball last week, finishing with just 62 yards on 11 attempts. The team's leading rusher was Kirk Cousins, who finished with just 20 yards and a per attempt average of 2.
Last week Kirk Cousins completed 58% of his passing attempts for 221 passing yards. Cousins ended the game by throwing for 1 touchdown. Although Adam Thielen did not come up with a touchdown grab through the air, he was still productive with 52 yards. In terms of pass yards per game, on average, Minnesota is the 13th ranked team in the NFL. Going into the game, the Vikings have thrown a total of 3.0 interceptions, coming on a passing completion percentage of 65% (13th).
Currently, the Vikings defense is ranked just 29th in overall yards allowed. So far, the team's defense has allowed 1 score through the air and 3 on the ground. This season, the Vikings have struggled to get off the field in 3rd down situations, allowing opponents to convert at a rate of 45.5%.
Today's NFL Betting Pick - Lions vs. Vikings
Over the last 3 matchups between Detroit and Minnesota, the Vikings have won 2 of the last 3 games. The over-under record in these games sits at 2-1, with the average scoring total coming in at 54.67 points. Looking back to last year's matchups between the teams, both Detroit and Minnesota picked up a win. The Lions won their game by a score of 29-27, while the Vikings picked up a 19-17 victory.
In terms of the spread, the Detroit Lions have covered in 3 straight matchups. On average, the Lions have averaged 27.0 points per game in the past 3 head-to-head matchups, compared to Minnesota at 27.67.
Through their last 3 games, the Lions have a record of 2-1. In these games, they have a 3-0 record vs the spread and an over-under mark of 3-0.
Through their last 3 road games, Detroit has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 18.33 points per game.
Through their last 3 games, the Vikings have a record of 2-1. The team has also been excellent vs the spread, going 2-1. Their over-under record in these games was 1-2
In their last 3 home games, Minnesota has averaged 25.67 points per game while allowing 18.0. The team's record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1.
Recommended ATS Betting Pick: Vikings -6.0
Recommended OU Betting Pick: Over 53.5
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