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Welcome to our Underdog Fantasy MLB DFS prop picks for Friday, June 9, 2023. Welcome to our new DFS series covering Underdog Fantasy contests! We will focus on the MLB DFS props offered on Underdog called Higher/Lower (Over/Under).
Higher/Lower is traditional over/under DFS prop picks - whether you think pitchers and hitters will score Over or Under the set lines, and choosing your amount. You can parlay multiple picks together to vastly increase the juice (ex: 3 picks = 6x your bet). Underdog Fantasy offers some of the industry's best and easiest-to-win MLB DFS games. At Underdog Fantasy, you're not playing against other people - you're just playing against the projections.
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MLB DFS Props - Over/Under Picks for Today
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Michael Lorenzen 4.5 Strikeouts (LOWER)
Merrill Kelly 6.0 Strikeouts (LOWER)
Dansby Swanson 7.5 Fantasy Points (LOWER)
Lorenzen has a 19.6% K rate, and the Diamondbacks have an 18% K rate. There are five Diamondbacks with an OPS of over .800 versus right-handed pitchers (Dominic Fletcher and Corbin Carroll among them). Detroit expects the temperature to be close to 80 degrees at game time. As a team, Arizona has a wRC+ of 102 and an ISO of .168. I expect lots of ground balls from Lorenzen but only a few strikeouts.
In his only six career innings against Detroit, Kelly has allowed four runs, seven hits, one walk, and five strikeouts. The Diamondbacks' ace has a high K rate, but he also LOVES to throw to first. The new pickoff rules could be a distraction that could help Detroit.
Swanson has only five hits in twenty-five at-bats in his last seven games. The Chicago Cubs have a lowly wRC+ of 53 for the season and 87 for the past 30 days. They also have a team K rate of a whopping 29.4%. I'm not expecting much from Swanson or the Cubs against Anthony Sclafani.
Lower for Lorenzen, Kelly, and Swanson
Mike Trout 8.5 Fantasy Points (HIGHER)
Corbin Carroll 10.5 Fantasy Points (HIGHER)
Alex Verdugo 0.5 Singles (HIGHER)
Even against Louis Castillo, I expect Trout to score more than 8.5 fantasy points. He is 2-5 with a home run and an RBI in his career against Castillo. If he does that again, he'll quickly get over this total.
Going over 10.5 might be asking a lot for most, but Carroll has been crushing it this year. Versus left-handed pitchers, his slash line is .290/.385/.567, with a .952 OPS. He also has eighteen stolen bases for the year. Confidence is high!
Verdugo vs. Gerrit Cole has a slash line of .286/.286/.697 with a .893 OPS. Cole tends to have shaky first innings, and with Verdugo most likely in the lead-off spot, I expect at least one hit against Cole tonight.
Underdog Fantasy - Mike Trout, Corbin Carroll, Alex Verdugo (HIGHER)
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