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Welcome RotoBallers to our betting picks for the Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins, another article in our daily series of free MLB betting picks for every game on the schedule. This free MLB betting breakdown article is for Thursday September 15th, 2022.
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Today's Betting Overview - Royals vs. Twins
The Royals take on the Twins on Thursday September 15th at Target Field, Minnesota. RotoBaller provides free handicapping pick and odds for all MLB games throughout the 2022 season.
- Matchup: Kansas City Royals (57-86) vs. Minnesota Twins (71-70)
- Date: Thursday September 15th, 2022
- Time: 7:40 ET
- Venue: Target Field, Minnesota
Today's MLB Sportsbook Odds - Royals vs. Twins
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Kansas City Royals - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Kansas City Royals take on Minnesota hoping to improve on their record of just 57-86, placing them 4th in the AL Central division. On the season, the Royals have been one of the worst performing road teams, going 23-45. The Royals will be looking to bounce back after falling to Minnesota by a score of 4-0. To start the year, Kansas City has picked up just 13 series wins, going 13-29-4.
Daniel Lynch gets the start for the Royals with a below .500 record at 4-10. Lynch will be looking to bring down an ERA of 5.14. His batting average allowed of .289 compared to other pitchers. Opposing batters have been able to hit for power against Lynch. So far, he has allowed 17 home runs, leading to a per 9 average of 1.37. For the season, he has picked up 105 strikeouts on a K rate of 21.0%. Daniel Lynch's per 9 walk average of 3.7 has been a problem for the left.
Kansas City comes into this game averaging just 3.89 runs per game, placing them 24th in the MLB. So far, the team has struggled to score early, ranking 26th in runs scored through 4 innings. The Royals' combined batting average currently sits at .242, placing them 16th in the league. Per game, the team is averaging 8.07 hits. For the season, the team has struggled in the power department, ranking 28th in the league at 0.84 home runs per contest. Thus far, the team has put together an average rate similar to the league average (7.1%). To date, Kansas City has the MLB's 24th rated OBP, sitting at .306. So far, the team has a walk rate of 7.8%.
Minnesota Twins - Today's MLB Betting Analysis
The Minnesota Twins take on the Kansas City looking to move above .500. Their record of 71-70 ranks 3rd in the AL Central division. When playing at Target Field, the Twins have played well, posting a record of 42-32. Minnesota is hoping to add on another win, as they are coming off a 4-0 win over the Royals. Overall, the team has won over half of their 45 series played, going 20-19-6.
Minnesota pitcher Dylan Bundy gets the start, looking to pick up another win, as his current record sits at 8-7. Compared to other starting pitchers, Bundy has one of the higher ERA's in the league at 4.68. Dylan Bundy has had problems limiting base runners, made evident by a WHIP of 1.27. Across his previous outings, Bundy has a SLG% allowed of .448. In total, he has given up 19 home runs. Heading into the game, Bundy has struck 16.0% of the batters he's faced. Thus far, Dylan Bundy has had problems with walks, averaging 1.83 BB/9.
Minnesota's offense comes into this game averaging 4.36 runs per game, placing them near the MLB average. In the team's 74 games at home, their run differential is -3. The Twins offense comes into this matchup ranked 12th in the league, at .249. For the season, 35.0% of the team's hits have been in the form of extra bases. The team's lineup is also hitting for power at an above-average rate, averaging 1.15 home runs per game (12th). In terms of exit velocity, the team ranks near the top of the league. Minnesota's offense has done an excellent job getting on base, ranking 10th with an OBP of .319. While the team's wOBA is one of the best in the league at .318.
Today's MLB Betting Pick - Royals vs. Twins
Heading into today's matchup between Kansas City and Minnesota, the Twins are the heavy favorite at -172 on the moneyline. Minnesota's implied win probability sits at 63.24%. The MLB predictive model shows Minnesota having enough of an edge on offense and on the mound to take the Twins on the runline (-1.5).
Recommended Betting Pick: Twins Runline
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