RADIO
BALLER MOVE: Target Around ~130 Overall
CURRENT ADP: ~165
ANALYSIS: Tua's ADP of 103 has him getting off draft boards as the QB18... while he has a QB12 projection (again, via PFF). That, translated to a simple ROI figure, means that Tua is the most valuable player at the position with an ADP below 100. He's the only QB projected to a QB1 finish in the year while getting drafted below that mark. If you're not banking on Tua and getting shares of him in every league you're part of, you're missing on a true bargain.
The Fins opted to move on from veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick and are poised to hand Tua all snaps he can manage to play and then some. Not only that, but Miami bolstered the receiving unit with the addition of deep-threat Will Fuller and rookie wideout Jaylen Waddle--a first-rounder, no less. Tua only started nine games in 2020 and just couldn't compete for a QB2 finish because of the low playing time.
That being said, though, he was one of the best QB's at throwing catchable passes (80.3%) and showed Konami-Code-prowess, rushing the rock 3.6 times per game (70th percentile) and doing so inside the red zone in 10.5 percent of Miami's such plays. This surely looks like Tua's true arrival, yet most fantasy GMs have still not caught up to his potential exploits.
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