Welcome, RotoBallers, to a brand new MLB DFS article for the 2024 season! We will still be bringing you a full slate breakdown every day, but this companion piece is intended to help you determine which offenses you are going to stack in your tournament (GPP) lineups. I will be handling the Tuesday slates for the rest of the MLB season. Tonight features a handful of chalky stacks with stacking appeal and a couple of contrarian stacks that can hopefully help differentiate your lineup.
We have a 12-game slate, so we have countless options to stack tonight. There’s no Coors game on the slate, and with 24 teams to choose from, it doesn’t look like any single stack will be overwhelmingly chalky. That means we just fire away with the best matchups (including a game stack down in Arizona) and try to take advantage of some of the arms that aren’t meeting their expectations.
This article will provide my favorite hitting stacks for daily fantasy baseball on DraftKings and FanDuel on 6/11/2024. Today's main slate kicks off at 7:10 p.m. EDT on both sites. You can also read more DFS advice and lineup picks for MLB and other sports here. Don't forget to monitor injury news and today's MLB starting lineups!
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MLB DFS: Chalky Stacks
Cincinnati Reds vs Triston McKenzie (CLE/RHP)
Implied Team Total:
Believe it or not, Triston McKenzie had the second-worst score on the pitching model for this slate. He’s generally been a good pitcher over his career, but his fortunes have taken a turn for the worse over his last three starts. He has a 7.04 ERA with an astounding eight home runs allowed in those games (4.7 home runs per nine innings). He also walked eight batters in those games (4.7 walks per nine innings), which has been a problem for him all year (5.2 walks per nine innings). Putting runners on base and giving up a high number of fly balls (18 ground balls to 28 fly balls over his last four starts) lead to big innings for opposing offenses.
The Reds have seven batters who have a slugging percentage of .350 or higher against right-handed pitching, which is not an ideal situation for McKenzie. A handful of those bats are right-handed, and McKenzie is a reverse splits pitcher, allowing a .466 slugging percentage to right-handed bats. That’s not to say that we should avoid lefty bats since the Reds employ righty-killers in Elly De La Cruz, Jeimer Candelario, and Will Benson. This game will take place in hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark, which is just one more reason to like the Reds tonight.
Favorite Combo of Hitters: Tyler Stephenson, Elly de la Cruz, Will Benson, TJ Friedl, Jeimer Candelario, Santiago Espinal (if he’s batting in the top six)
How Cincinnati Red's Elly De La Cruz league leading 34 Stolen Bases helped him become the Most Valuable Man in Major League Baseball. Per AkWu Metric, he's currently valued at $12,671,300. Highest among both MLB & MLS as of June 10, 2024 pic.twitter.com/Dg2qgAG4LH
— AkWu (@akwuchronicles) June 10, 2024
Los Angeles Angels at Jordan Montgomery (ARI/LHP)
Implied Team Total: 3.5
Few teams hit left-handed pitching better than the Los Angeles Angels. Kevin Pillar and Jo Adell each have an ISO over .300 against lefties, with a combined nine home runs in 99 at-bats. They both have a slugging percentage north of .750, and Luis Rengifo and Zach Neto join them as elite hitters against lefties, each with a slugging percentage of .575 or higher. Taylor Ward and Logan O'Hoppe both have slugging percentages of .460 or higher; making it six batters who have a .460 or higher SLG against lefties on the Angels. That’s a lot of power from a team that won’t cost you all that much salary.
We don’t just blindly stack the Angeles against lefties; we want to be sure that the matchup is strong. Jordan Montgomery has allowed three or more earned runs in four of his last five starts, posting an 8.10 ERA in those games. He’s allowing far too many free passes, recording 4.6 walks per nine innings over those starts. Montgomery has allowed a .566 slugging percentage, while only striking out 11% of the right-handed batters he’s faced this year. That’s a big “yikes” for Montgomery, but a huge plus for your Angels stack.
Favorite Combo of Hitters: Logan O’Hoppe, Jo Adell, Taylor Ward, Kevin Pillar, Luis Rengifo, Zach Neto (if you need a cheaper option)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Jose Suarez (LAA/LHP)
Implied Team Total: 4.5
Let’s stay in the desert and look to the other side of the field with the Diamondbacks matching up against Jose Suarez. He’s probably not going to see a lot of work (only a max of 3.1 innings this year), but when he’s played he’s been a below-average pitcher. Suarez has a 6.54 ERA on the year, walking 5.7 batters per nine innings. He’s struggled against right-handed bats, allowing a .486 slugging percentage on the season.
Ketel Marte is the prime bat you’re going to want in your stack. He’s hammered lefties this year, with 10 home runs, a .340 batting average, and an unreal .732 slugging percentage. Blaze Alexander and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. have both joined Marte in their dominance of left-handed pitching, each with a slugging percentage of over .500. Kevin Newman is a cheap option who has been hitting well with hits in seven of his last eight games. He hits lefties well and could help you spend up at another spot in your lineup with his value price point.
Favorite Combo of Hitters: Lourdes Gurriel Jr., Christian Walker, Ketel Marte, Blaze Alexander, Kevin Newman (if you need a cheaper option)
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MLB DFS: Contrarian Stacks
Oakland Athletics at Randy Vasquez (SD/RHP)
Implied Team Total: 3.5
The Oakland Athletics always seem to find their way into value stack territory. They are a plucky offense that can be financially beneficial in the right matchups. Tonight’s game qualifies as that with Randy Vasquez on the mound for the San Diego Padres. Vasquez has been bad this year, posting a 5.40 ERA, allowing three or more earned runs each of his last four starts and five of seven starts this year. He’s also allowed at least one home run in six of his seven starts (1.90 home runs per nine innings) and doesn’t strike out a lot of batters (5.7 strikeouts per nine innings), meaning lots of balls get put into play against him.
He’s been particularly bad against left-handed bats, allowing a robust .646 SLG. That represents the worst slugging percentage split of any pitcher on tonight’s slate. JJ Bleday and Kyle McCann are the left-handed bats that we want most, but Vasquez also allows a .486 SLG against right-handed bats so we don’t want to ignore them. Brent Rooker is the best bat on the A’s, but don’t sleep on Shea Langeliers, who has 10 home runs against right-handed pitching on the year.
Favorite Combo of Hitters: JJ Bleday, Abraham Toro, Kyle McCann, Brent Rooker, Miguel Andujar, Shea Langeliers
110 mph
436 feetBrent Rooker absolutely crushed this one.
Make that 13 HRs for the A’s likely back-to-back All-Star.pic.twitter.com/DqkMHwRisj
— Karl Buscheck (@KarlBuscheck) June 9, 2024
San Francisco Giants vs. Ronel Blanco (HOU/RHP)
Implied Team Total: 3.5
The Giants should go overlooked tonight, and I’m not sure that they should. Ronel Blanco was one of the best pitchers at the start of the year, but he’s cooled off considerably recently. His last two starts have been particularly bad, as he allowed four earned runs in both starts. This wouldn’t be overly concerning if those games were against the Yankees and Dodgers, but they came against weak offenses (St. Louis and Minnesota). These struggles have extended farther past his last two starts, but they’ve been more subtle. For instance, he’s allowed at least one home run in all but one of his last eight starts (1.65 home runs per nine innings). He’s also allowed nearly four walks per nine innings, and he’s given up seven more fly balls than ground balls this year, but we tend to overlook that because of his stellar start to the year.
The Giants, for their part, his righties well. Heliot Ramos is the main bat you’re going to want to use in your stacks given how hot he’s been over his last 10 games. He has four HRs, 11 RBI, a .389 batting average, and an average of 12.2 DraftKings points per game. The guy has been an absolute stud. Michael Conforto hasn’t been quite as good, but the three home runs he’s hit over his last 10 games are still worth noting. The Giants are a good stack to use for value as well, with only two players that cost over $4K on DraftKings, and one of them may not even find their way into your lineup (Tyler Fitzgerald).
Favorite Combo of Hitters: Thairo Estrada, Patrick Bailey, Heliot Ramos, Michael Conforto, Tyler Fitzgerald
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