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The Baller Ranks: Weekly Top 101 Starting Pitcher Rankings

Shohei Ohtani - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, Draft Sleepers, MLB Injury News

We're onto the back nine of May, and before you know it the baseball season will take us right into June! Basketball and hockey playoffs are gearing up, but this is that stretch of baseball's marathon where the runner's high kicks in. Let's separate from the pack with another version of my weekly Starting Pitcher Baller Ranks, where we take stock of my top 101 SPs moving forward.

As usual, the ranks table below comes with this google sheet that accompanies the table and adds relevant 5x5 stats, K%, BB%, BABIP, and CSW%. Do note that I leave off most injured players, and removing those injured players can give an illusion that others have risen despite mediocre performances.

To be clear, these are Rest of Season ranks geared towards traditional 5x5 leagues sans most injured SPs, lest a return is imminent. If 25% of the board is on the IL, then it isn't terribly actionable, and I'll intermittently weave in updates of where I'd throw them in if they were healthy. For now, let's dive into my Top 101 SPs, featuring brief thoughts on every dang name.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy baseball lineup tools and weekly lineup resources:

 

Top 101 Starting Pitchers for Fantasy Baseball - Week 8

Rank (+/-) Tier Player EV $ $PV Trend Notes
1 0 1 Jacob deGrom 18.1 42.0 43.0 -1.0 ▼ No structural damage, 'pen session coming on May 18. Always #1
2 0 1 Gerrit Cole 21.9 40.0 39.0 1.0 ▲ The prince that was promised for NYY, flexing for us and them
3 0 2 Shane Bieber 11.6 36.0 38.0 -2.0 ▼ Many Ks, many BBs; poor control on Sunday, first <5 IP start since June 2019
4 0 2 Trevor Bauer 10.6 35.0 34.0 1.0 ▲ Hitters can't square up, .215 BABIP in '20, .183 in '21; 2.72 SIERA
5 0 2 Yu Darvish 10.0 33.0 33.0 0.0 ▬ Labored some in Coors but 4 IP, 0 ER won't burn anyone
6 0 2 Max Scherzer 10.9 31.0 30.0 1.0 ▲ No longer consistent 10+ K outings but still elite, stay healthy
7 0 2 Brandon Woodruff 13.4 29.5 29.0 0.5 ▲ Building off success, clearly in matchup-proof territory
8 0 2 Clayton Kershaw 13.8 28.5 28.0 0.5 ▲ One poor inning after long 8-run 2nd for LAD, no worries
9 0 2 Corbin Burnes 16.4 28.0 28.0 0.0 ▬ He issued a walk, season's over. Went 78 pitches in return
10 1 2 Tyler Glasnow 12.4 26.0 25.0 1.0 ▲ Double-digit Ks in 5 of last 7; @BAL next should make it 6 of 8
11 -1 3 Aaron Nola 12.4 25.5 26.0 -0.5 ▼ Not enjoying louder contact yielded lately, at least Ks are coming
12 1 3 Jack Flaherty 9.9 24.5 24.0 0.5 ▲ 7 straight Ws; 43 IP, 7 ER since bad opener. You'll take modest K/9 for this
13 -1 3 Walker Buehler 6.2 24.0 24.0 0.0 ▬ Still a small command jump away from top-tier leap
14 0 3 Lance Lynn 10.4 22.0 22.0 0.0 ▬ Forearm X-rays negative; don't love 7 BB in last 2 starts but only 3 hits
15 0 3 Zack Wheeler 12.8 22.0 22.0 0.0 ▬ Looks amazing, 21/2 K/BB over last 3 outings; Cruising
16 1 3 Kevin Gausman 12.3 21.0 21.0 0.0 ▬ Toyed w/ PIT, 8 IP, 1 ER, 12 K; .221 BABIP should rise a bit, bargain SP2
17 -1 4 Lucas Giolito 2.8 20.0 21.0 -1.0 ▼ Got shafted by 2 short HRs, let's see how he handles MIN
18 1 4 Sandy Alcantara 5.5 19.0 19.0 0.0 ▬ Destroyed by LAD, deploy outside of top-end matchups
19 1 4 Trevor Rogers 10.8 18.5 18.0 0.5 ▲ 6+ Ks in each start, only >2 ER once so far. 2 HRs across 44 IP. Wow
20 2 4 John Means 14.2 16.5 16.0 0.5 ▲ BAL easing up after heavy no-hit workload, but wasn't Johan territory
21 3 4 Julio Urias 9.2 15.0 14.5 0.5 ▲ Nice 7 IP, 1 ER, 6 K rebound after 5 ER @LAA. 52/7 K/BB, swoon
22 -1 4 Jose Berrios 6.3 15.0 17.0 -2.0 ▼ Good to see 6/0 K/BB after 5 walks on May 8, but HRs creeping up
23 2 4 Hyun-Jin Ryu 5.9 14.5 14.0 0.5 ▲ Hasn't yielded >1 BB in a start yet; great way to maintain low ratios
24 2 4 Lance McCullers Jr. 3.8 14.5 13.5 1.0 ▲ Can get away w/ lofty walk rate for now, crushed TEX & gets them again next
25 -2 5 Dylan Bundy 4.0 14.0 15.5 -1.5 ▼ 0-5 record, but 3.76 SIERA behind 6.02 ERA; HRs have bitten him entire career sans '20
26 1 5 Joe Musgrove 7.5 12.5 13.0 -0.5 ▼ Slight bounceback W vs. STL, but 4 BB in 5 IP not ideal
27 1 5 Max Fried 0.6 12.5 12.0 0.5 ▲ First 2 post-IL starts: 11 IP, 2 ER, 6 H, 4 BB, 10 K. Good not great
28 1 5 Ian Anderson 6.4 11.5 12.0 -0.5 ▼ 3 4-walk starts in 8 gms, but 55% GB rate, 0.8 HR/9 help erase it
29 3 5 Zach Eflin 11.5 10.0 10.0 0.0 ▬ 32 K in last 25 1/3 IP but 14 ER on goofy .394 BABIP; 2.49 FIP in that span
30 1 5 Blake Snell 2.3 10.0 10.5 -0.5 ▼ Ghastly 24 BB in 34 1/3 IP; hasn't worked deeper than 5.1 IP yet
31 2 5 Marcus Stroman 7.1 10.0 10.0 0.0 ▬ Uncanny 3 HRs allowed on Sunday, still strong ratio resource
32 2 5 Tyler Mahle 5.7 10.0 10.0 0.0 ▬ Impressed at Coors, only 2 ER and zero walks; bravo
33 2 5 Sonny Gray 4.4 9.5 9.5 0.0 ▬ Slogging thru .361 BABIP (career .282), can buy-low off 1.46 WHIP
34 3 5 Carlos Rodon 10.3 9.0 9.0 0.0 ▬ Looked mortal w/ 4 ER, 5/3 K/BB in KC rematch; not Superman
35 1 5 Pablo Lopez 6.3 9.0 9.0 0.0 ▬ Sad 0-3 record despite 3.07 ERA, 10.4% SwStr% after 12.1% in '20
36 2 6 Zach Plesac 6.1 8.5 8.5 0.0 ▬ B2B 8 IP starts, only 2 ER across last 3 games, needs ratios w/ fewer Ks
37 5 6 Freddy Peralta 9.1 8.5 8.0 0.5 ▲ 7+ Ks in his last 8 starts, only 1 BB in 4 of last 5; dazzling
38 13 6 Shohei Ohtani 4.2 8.0 5.5 2.5 ▲ Pushed back a day to Wednesday, we can live with that
39 N/A 6 Stephen Strasburg -1.2 8.0 0.0 8.0 ▲ Making rehab start on Sunday; possible return near so I'll list him
40 -10 6 Luis Castillo 1.8 8.0 11.5 -3.5 ▼ Full-on panic; predictable Coors flop. It's getting worse, freefall
41 -2 6 Huascar Ynoa 5.3 8.0 8.5 -0.5 ▼ Averaging one walk per start but tagged @MIL on Sunday, PIT next!
42 -2 6 Eduardo Rodriguez 4.8 8.0 8.0 0.0 ▬ Season-high 9 Ks good; Another 4 ER start, I lean on 3.36 SIERA
43 0 6 Robbie Ray 0.9 8.0 8.0 0.0 ▬ Finally seeing plus whiffs with control, 3 solo HR ruined Sunday
44 -3 6 Aaron Civale 3.4 8.0 8.0 0.0 ▬ Early BABIP luck normalizing, .177 in first 4, .274 in next 4
45 -1 7 Kenta Maeda -0.5 8.0 8.0 0.0 ▬ Unsure we can blame minor groin tightness for continued woes
46 1 7 Cristian Javier 5.3 8.0 8.0 0.0 ▬ Hasn't yielded more than 4 hits in any of his 7 starts, BBs increasing though
47 1 7 Charlie Morton 3.7 7.0 7.0 0.0 ▬ Yet to work into 7th inning in '21, 58% 1st-pitch K rate lowest since '11
48 1 7 Zack Greinke 4.7 6.5 6.0 0.5 ▲ Notched 1st QS since 4/23 on Friday, but 7 IP, 3 ER vs. TEX isn't shining
49 -3 7 Michael Pineda 2.0 6.5 8.0 -1.5 ▼ Stumbled w/ 3 BB for first time in '21, still 3 ER or less in 6 of 7
50 2 7 Chris Bassitt 8.2 6.5 5.5 1.0 ▲ 5 QS streak broken @MIN (5 IP, 4 ER); season-high 10 K on May 11
51 6 7 Alex Wood 5.3 5.5 4.0 1.5 ▲ Wood looks good; pounding zone, still 64% groundball rate
52 3 7 Andrew Heaney 4.3 4.5 4.5 0.0 ▬ 3 HRs in 2 of his last 3 starts, but 30/3 K/BB ratio in last 4. Few mistakes spoil it
53 5 7 JT Brubaker 3.6 4.5 4.0 0.5 ▲ Only knock is shorter starts; closer to 3.33 SIERA than 4.11 FIP
54 0 7 Sean Manaea 5.8 4.5 5.0 -0.5 ▼ Now career 16.07 ERA at Fenway, 43/8 K/BB, 2.88 FIP outside that clunker
55 4 7 Dylan Cease 6.9 4.0 3.0 1.0 ▲ Don't love 3/3 K/BB on Sunday, but 0 ER works; 27/5 K/BB ratio in previous 3 gms
56 4 7 Yusei Kikuchi 3.5 4.0 3.0 1.0 ▲ QS w/ 11 Ks @LAD, 3 straight QS; I'm impressed
57 5 8 Kyle Hendricks -4.2 3.0 2.5 0.5 ▲ Has bounced between good/bad starts all 2021, maddening
58 7 8 Adbert Alzolay 3.5 3.0 2.0 1.0 ▲ Yielding 2 HRs doesn't burn w/ zero walks, command improving
59 7 8 Madison Bumgarner 8.5 3.0 2.0 1.0 ▲ 5 starts in last month: 30 IP, 34/2 K/BB, 3 ER (2 HR); velo still rising (92.5 on 5/11)
60 -15 8 Corey Kluber 4.5 3.0 8.0 -5.0 ▼ 4.40 SIERA a run above ERA, matchup-dependent play
61 8 8 Taijuan Walker 9.1 2.5 2.0 0.5 ▲ Locating well, only 1 HR in 41 IP; not all Citi-aided, looks good
62 2 8 Adam Wainwright 1.1 2.5 2.0 0.5 ▲ 3 walks in 3 straight after only 6 BB in first 5 games combined
63 -10 8 Jameson Taillon 2.9 2.5 5.0 -2.5 ▼ 22/6 K/BB in 16 IP this May is neat; 3.12 SIERA, but must rein in 2.16 HR/9
64 -8 8 Danny Duffy 12.8 2.5 4.5 -2.0 ▼ Velo holding near 94 mph, incredible start wouldn't last forever
65 -4 8 Shane McClanahan 1.9 2.5 3.0 -0.5 ▼ You can see the ceiling but must refine command for MLB level
66 4 8 Matthew Boyd 10.1 2.5 2.0 0.5 ▲ After 4 BB in 1st start, only 6 BB in last 7 starts; only 2 HR thru 47.2 IP
67 5 8 Patrick Corbin -3.1 2.0 1.5 0.5 ▲ 3 QS in a row, zero walks in last 2 games! HRs still an issue
68 6 8 Domingo German 3.2 2.0 1.5 0.5 ▲ Won't overwhelm, but 2.37 ERA, 30/6 K/BB since 4/22 return will play anywhere
69 -6 8 Jordan Montgomery 4.0 2.0 2.0 0.0 ▬ Flashes upside, looked uncomfortable @BAL on Sunday
70 5 8 Garrett Richards 4.8 2.0 1.5 0.5 ▲ Finally conquered Fenway w/ 6 scoreless, W vs. OAK. 10 ER in 6.2 IP prior
71 6 8 Kyle Gibson 7.2 1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲ Don't marry the low ratios, but new cutter helping his attack
72 4 8 Nathan Eovaldi 12.6 1.5 1.5 0.0 ▬ Inconsistent since hot start, 4+ ER in 3 of last 5
73 10 8 Luis Garcia 1.4 1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲ Working up arm still, 26 K in last 20 IP will do. Nearly all damage via HR
74 14 8 Logan Webb 4.4 1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲ Aggressive in zone vs TEX, yielded 10 Ks; 3 QS in last 4 (Coors was 4)
75 16 8 Anthony DeSclafani 8.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲ Disco hasn't yielded >3 ER in a start yet, leaning on slider more
76 16 8 Rich Hill 3.3 1.5 1.0 0.5 ▲ 3 scoreless starts in a row, 9+ Ks in 2 of last 4; Dick Mountain in command
77 -9 9 Frankie Montas 1.8 1.0 2.0 -1.0 ▼ Not dominant, but 3 QS in last 4; 5 in last 7
78 -11 9 Dinelson Lamet 1.4 1.0 2.0 -1.0 ▼ 2 IP, 1 ER, 2 K, 2.00 WHIP in relief on Sunday; shaky role, shaky arm
79 -8 9 Brady Singer 5.2 1.0 1.5 -0.5 ▼ Rebound from rough DET outing w/ QS @CHW, DET rematch looms
80 -2 9 Cole Irvin 6.6 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬ 4 QS in a row, 2.91 FIP and 34/6 K/BB in last month
81 -8 9 Chris Paddack 4.2 1.0 1.5 -0.5 ▼ 3.45 FIP loves his control, only 7 IP between 2 starts since return
82 5 9 Tyler Anderson 7.7 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬ Hadn't given up HR since April 8, tagged by 2 on Saturday
83 2 9 Griffin Canning 1.8 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬ HRs always plague Canning, but 1.97 HR/9 way above 1.3-1.4 from '19 & '20
84 11 9 Nick Pivetta 5.6 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬ 11 BB in first 3 starts, sub-1.00 WHIP over next 5 w/ 7+ K in 3 straight
85 -5 10 German Marquez 4.6 1.0 1.5 -0.5 ▼ 6 Coors starts vs. 3 road so far, but walk rate too high anyway
86 -5 10 Dallas Keuchel 2.1 1.0 1.5 -0.5 ▼ Only 1 K in last 2, resulting 6/8 K/BB in last 3 w/ 10 ER isn't okay
87 6 10 J.A. Happ 2.7 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬ Serviceable 3.78 ERA going back through 2020 even w/ 9 ER blowup
88 N/A 10 Drew Smyly -3.2 1.0 0.0 1.0 ▲ Hit May running with only 1 earned across 2 solid 6 IP starts
89 8 10 Jon Gray 6.9 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬ Career-high 53.7% GB rate; fewer curves, more sliders
90 -4 10 David Peterson 2.4 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬ Still refining wide arsenal, 8+ Ks in 2 of last 3 will play
91 -9 10 Wade Miley 7.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬ No-hitter plus 8-ER Coors atrocity yields true Miley average
92 -8 10 Steven Matz 3.4 1.0 1.5 -0.5 ▼ 5 IP, 0 ER, 9 K after 4-start stretch w/ 17 ER in 18.2 IP, monitor for streams
93 N/A 10 Ryan Weathers 3.7 1.0 0.0 1.0 ▲ Drew Sunday night's start in return to rotation, 0 K in 4 IP
94 -5 10 Kwang-Hyun Kim 6.6 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬ Only 1 ER in four consecutive starts entering Sunday, pulled after 3.1 IP
95 -1 10 Dane Dunning 8.3 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬ 2.61 FIP, 3.51 SIERA; .358 BABIP should simmer for streamable play
96 3 11 Casey Mize 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.0 ▬ Trio of QS in past few weeks, though 13/9 K/BB in them limits hype
97 N/A 11 Vince Velasquez -0.9 1.0 0.0 1.0 ▲ More curves helping, 8 ER on 7 HR over 5 starts, beware 5.81 FIP
98 N/A 11 Jake Arrieta 0.3 1.0 0.0 1.0 ▲ 6 IP, 2 ER, only 5 baserunners and 1 K @DET in return from IL
99 -17 11 Triston McKenzie -2.1 1.0 2.5 -1.5 ▼ Danny Salazar flashbacks are killing us, averaging 4 BB per start
100 N/A 11 Luke Weaver 2.4 1.0 0.0 1.0 ▲ 12.2 IP of scoreless ball is notable, pulled w/ shoulder discomfort
101 N/A 11 Martin Perez 5.7 1.0 0.0 1.0 ▲ Small margin for error with modest Ks but 2 ER or fewer in 5 straight


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