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Tommy Pham (OF) - Fantasy Baseball Draft Values

BALLER MOVE: Draft target ~pick 240

CURRENT ADP: ~261 overall

ANALYSIS: Pham stole 14 bases last season but has a history of good wheels, stealing 25 in both 2017 and 2019 and also swiping 15 in 2018. He stole six in just 31 games during the COVID-shortened season, so it's fair to say that Pham has had essentially a 15 stolen base floor over the last five years. When Pham stole 25 bases in 2019, his sprint speed was 28.7 ft/sec and his home-to-first time was 4.38, which was good for 252nd in the league. In 2021, his sprint speed was 27.8 ft/sec and a home-to-first time of 4.54, so he does seem to be slowing down a step, which could also be the result of multiple soft tissue injuries over the years.

Another reason I like Pham is because of his ability to help you in other categories. Pham has tremendous plate discipline with a 13.9% walk rate last year and a 12.5% rate for his career to go along with a strikeout rate that hasn't been above 23% since 2018. He's also been a .265 career hitter, and I urge you to not let the .229 batting average from last year fool you. Pham recorded a career-high 10% barrel rate last year to go along with a 46.7% hard-hit rate. The hits just didn't fall for him. He also upped his flyball rate and dropped his groundball rate by 14% from 2020 and by 5% from 2019. That's part of the reason he hit 15 home runs despite playing in a good pitcher's park. While many people are drafting Robbie Grossman around pick 180 for the hope that he puts up a 15/15 season, I think you are just as likely to get 15/15 from Pham but with a higher batting average going way later. You're taking a risk drafting him before he has a set team, but he's been a full-time player since 2017 so I expect him to sign somewhere he is going to start.

 

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Jasson Dominguez: Fantasy Baseball Prospects Waiver Wire Pickups for Week 25 (2024)

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12+ Team Leagues ROSTERED IN: 35% of Leagues ANALYSIS: The New York Yankees called up their top prospect, Jasson Dominguez, before Monday's series opener against the Kansas City Royals. Dominguez hit sixth and played left field in his second major league start of the season. In that contest, he went 1-for-4 with […]

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BALLER MOVE: Stash in 12+ Team Leagues CALL-UP ETA: September 1 ANALYSIS: The New York Yankees called up their No. 1 prospect, Jasson Dominguez, for Sunday's Little League Classic game against the Detroit Tigers and served as the team's 27th man. Dominguez saw his first major league start this season in that game, hitting fifth and […]

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Zebby Matthews - Fantasy Baseball Prospects Waiver Wire Stashes (Week 22)

BALLER MOVE: Add in 12+ Team Leagues CALL-UP ETA: In Majors ANALYSIS: With Joe Ryan (shoulder) landing on the injured list 10 days ago, the Minnesota Twins called up their No. 5 prospect, Zebby Matthews, to take his spot in the rotation. Matthews then made his major league debut on August 13, where he threw five innings of […]

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Back in 2019, the New York Yankees used most of their international bonus pool money to sign Jasson Dominguez for $5.1 million as a 16-year-old due to his potential to be a five-tool player. Dominguez methodically moved his way through the organization, culminating in his big league debut in 2023, where he impressed during his […]

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