X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

Today's MLB Betting Picks - Odds, Expert Predictions, and Best Bets (7/27/23)

Dylan Cease - Fantasy Baseball Rankings, MLB Injury News, DFS and Betting Picks

You don't see many five-game MLB slates throughout the MLB regular season but that is indeed the case on this Thursday, July 27 slate! In fact, 40% of today's MLB action is dedicated to the Tigers and Angels who will play a doubleheader after rain forced a postponement of Wednesday night's affair.

Attention fellow sports bettors! We have some exciting news to share as we are now officially partnered with various sportsbooks and have some sweet sports betting promo offers! Get your deposit bonus, as well as a year of free RotoBaller Premium access, when you sign up with a new account today! After you're signed up, use our picks in this article for spreads, totals, and props to win big.

Feel free to give me a follow on Twitter @BKemp17 with any questions or comments or plain ol' baseball talk! Now, let's dive into Thursday's free MLB betting picks and see if we can pad those bankrolls!

Featured Promo: Get any DFS Premium Bundle for for 10% off using code BALLER! Win more with expert advice from proven winners and exclusive DFS tools. Get instant access to RotoBaller's Lineup Optimizers, Research Stations, daily picks and VIP chat rooms across 10 sports! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Today's MLB Betting Picks - Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets

O/U: 9 | Moneyline: NYM (-200)
WSH: Josiah Gray| NYM: Kodai Senga

It's an NL East tilt tonight at Citi Field as the New York Mets play host to the Washington Nationals with the Mets desperately in need of wins over the next couple of months.

Getting the ball for the Nationals is 2023 All-Star Josiah Gray who has surpassed expectations this season. The 25-year-old has worked to a healthy 3.45 ERA across 20 starts but that's about as good as his numbers get. Gray is also the owner of a 4.77 FIP and 4.92 SIERA while his 9.6% K-BB% leaves plenty to be desired. He hasn't missed many bats while his control is subpar.

The Mets will counter with rookie right-hander Kodai Senga who has been as advertised in his first season in North America. The 30-year-old has tossed a 3.27 ERA across 18 outings on the season while he also sports a 3.81 FIP and 4.01 SIERA that call for some regression as well. While he too hasn't displayed pinpoint control with an elevated 11.9% BB%, Senga has also punched out a hefty 29.7% of the batters he has faced this season.

The offensive advantage goes to the Mets in this one. They haven't been anything special at the plate this season as they sit 14th with a .319 wOBA against right-handed pitching but the Nationals fall to 22nd with a .304 wOBA against righties. Washington's bats have perked up some on the road where they own a .315 wOBA while the Mets slip to 26th with a .304 wOBA at Citi Field this season.

Looking at the back end of things, the Nationals' bullpen has been among the worst in baseball this season. While the Mets sport a bullpen ERA of 4.22 that ranks 21st, Washington plummets all the way to 29th with an ugly 5.43 ERA on the season.

Simply put, this is one the Mets need to have. They have a guy who has been their best pitcher this season toeing the rubber while it appears Gray is due for some notable regression moving forward. Add in a weak Nationals offense and a bullpen that has struggled mightily and I am comfortable riding with the home side on the run line tonight.

Pick: Mets run line (+100, DraftKings sportsbook)

 

Sports Betting Promo Offers

Featured Promo: Get any VIP Betting Premium Pass for 10% off using code BALLER. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!

 
Today's MLB Betting Picks - Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox

O/U: 8.5 | Moneyline: CWS: (-115)
CLE: Tanner Bibee | CWS: Dylan Cease

We'll target another divisional matchup with today's free MLB picks as the Cleveland Guardians take on their AL Central rival Chicago White Sox tonight in the Windy City.

The Guardians send rookie right-hander Tanner Bibee to the bump and he's been everything and more for the team this season. The 24-year-old has turned in a stellar 3.04 ERA across 15 starts and while his 3.53 FIP is solid his SIERA does slip to 4.19. While he owns a solid 16.2% K-BB%, Bibee hasn't been at his best on the road where he owns a 4.38 ERA, 4.77 FIP, and a 1.46 HR/9 versus a 0.20 mark at home.

The first major domino to fall this trade season was White SOx righty Lucas Giolito who was traded to the Angels on Wednesday night. Another rumored trade target is on the mound for the White Sox tonight as Dylan Cease gets the ball, perhaps for his final start in White Sox colors.

The 2022 AL Cy Young runner-up hasn't had his best season, tossing a 4.04 ERA in 21 starts versus a 2.20 mark last season, but Cease also sports a 3.63 FIP and 3.93 SIERA. He's brought his walk rate down to 9.6% while striking out 28% of the batters he has faced. He's also been on a mission over his last two starts, tossing 11 innings of two-run ball with just six hits allowed and 15 strikeouts in that time.

The offensive advantage goes to the Guardians in this one, even while both groups have largely scuffled at the dish. While the White Sox have been brutal with a 27th-ranked .292 wOBA off righties, the Guardians haven't been much better with a 21st-ranked .308 wOBA versus right-handed pitching.

The biggest gap in this matchup is the bullpen. The Guardians have dominated late in ball games, posting a 3.54 bullpen ERA that is tied with the Braves for second-best in baseball. At the same time, the White Sox fall all the way to 25th with a 4.67 ERA out of the bullpen. The Guardians slip to 13th with a 4.03 FIP from their bullpen but the Sox still sit 27th with a 4.54 bullpen FIP. This gives the first five innings some importance.

I like the White Sox to win the first half of this one. Cease has been bumping up his trade value with back-to-back dominant efforts while Bibee should see some regression moving forward and he has struggled on the road. If this is indeed his final start for the White Sox, look for the Cease to go out with a bang.

Pick: White Sox F5 (-125, DraftKings sportsbook)

Good luck, folks!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy baseball app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, sleepers, prospects & more. All free!



More Fantasy Baseball Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Daily Stats & Leaders
All Pitcher Matchups
Compare Any Players
Player Comparisons
Rookies & Call-Ups
24x7 News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Younghoe Koo29 mins ago

Falcons Sticking With Younghoe Koo As Their Kicker
Dalton Kincaid34 mins ago

No Practice For Dalton Kincaid On Wednesday
Amari Cooper40 mins ago

To Be Limited On Wednesday
Davante Adams51 mins ago

Misses Practice On Wednesday
Trevor Lawrence56 mins ago

Ruled Out For Week 11
Anthony Richardson59 mins ago

Colts Going Back To Anthony Richardson As Starting QB
Nick Hardy3 hours ago

Looks To Find Consistency On The Greens In Bermuda
Carson Young4 hours ago

Hopes To Carry Recent Form To Bermuda
Miles Sanders4 hours ago

Panthers’ Miles Sanders Avoids Major Injury
Brandon Clarke4 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday's Action
Kevin Yu4 hours ago

A Name To Watch At Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Marcus Smart4 hours ago

Picks Up Questionable Tag Ahead Of Wednesday
Fred VanVleet4 hours ago

Tagged As Questionable For Wednesday
Steven Adams5 hours ago

Questionable For Meeting With Clippers
Dorian Finney-Smith5 hours ago

In Danger Of Missing Another Game
Obi Toppin5 hours ago

Questionable For Wednesday Night
Anthony Davis5 hours ago

Expected To Play Wednesday
Connor McDavid5 hours ago

Leads Oilers To Victory With Four-Point Effort
Neal Pionk5 hours ago

Records Three Assists In Historic Win
Linus Ullmark5 hours ago

Records First Shutout As Senator
Hampus Lindholm5 hours ago

Taken Out By A Lower-Body Injury
Sam Bennett6 hours ago

Battling An Upper-Body Injury
Lars Eller6 hours ago

Returns To Washington
Shohei Ohtani14 hours ago

Among NL Silver Slugger Winners
Aaron Judge14 hours ago

Headlines AL Silver Slugger Winners
Desmond Ridder14 hours ago

Raiders Expected To Make The Change To Desmond Ridder At QB
Jose Alvarado15 hours ago

Out Against OKC
Zach LaVine16 hours ago

Back On The Injury Report For Wednesday
Luka Doncic16 hours ago

Cleared To Play Against The Warriors
Donovan Clingan16 hours ago

Starting Versus Minnesota
Deandre Ayton16 hours ago

Sidelined Versus The Timberwolves
Andrew Wiggins16 hours ago

Good To Go Versus The Mavs
P.J. Washington16 hours ago

Ruled Out Versus Golden State
Luka Doncic16 hours ago

Now A Game-Time Decision
Jusuf Nurkic17 hours ago

Out On Tuesday Night With Left-Ankle Soreness
Gary Trent Jr.17 hours ago

Active On Tuesday, Will Come Off Bench
Daniel Jones17 hours ago

Giants Potentially Moving On From Daniel Jones?
Tyreek Hill18 hours ago

Playing With Torn Ligament In His Wrist
Cameron Payne18 hours ago

Active On Tuesday, Will Face Former Team
Miles McBride18 hours ago

Active On Tuesday Against Sixers
Dereck Lively II18 hours ago

Returning On Tuesday
Andre Jackson Jr.18 hours ago

Available On Tuesday
Dallas Goedert19 hours ago

A Limited Participant On Tuesday
Dante Fabbro19 hours ago

Makes Blue Jackets Debut Tuesday
DeVonta Smith19 hours ago

Limited On Tuesday
Wander Franco19 hours ago

Now Facing Weapons Charges
Spencer Knight19 hours ago

Set To Face Devils Tuesday
Travis d'Arnaud19 hours ago

Agrees On Two-Year Deal With Angels
Logan Stanley19 hours ago

Added To Injured Reserve
Philipp Grubauer19 hours ago

Remains Out On Tuesday
Shane Pinto19 hours ago

Returns To Senators Lineup
Cam Fowler20 hours ago

Placed On Injured Reserve
Nico Collins20 hours ago

Expected To Practice This Week, Play On Monday Night
Robby Fabbri20 hours ago

Lands On Injured Reserve
Brendon Todd20 hours ago

A Hard Sell At Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Greyson Sigg21 hours ago

May Surprise In Bermuda
Jacob Bridgeman21 hours ago

In For Adventure At Port Royal Golf Course
Mark Hubbard21 hours ago

Plays Solid In Bermuda
Andrew Novak21 hours ago

Tries To Build Off ZOZO Championship
Daniel Berger22 hours ago

Looks To Continue His Consistent Run At Port Royal Golf Course
Justin Lower22 hours ago

Looks To Continue His Hot Play At Butterfield Bermuda Championship
Ben Griffin22 hours ago

Brings Solid Form And Good Course History To Bermuda
23 hours ago

Blue Jays, Red Sox To Meet With Juan Soto
Sam Stevens23 hours ago

In Good Form Heading To Bermuda
Doug Ghim23 hours ago

May Be Up For Bermuda
Seamus Power24 hours ago

Returns To Bermuda With Good Outlook
Najee Harris24 hours ago

Should Be Good Despite Dealing With Ankle Issue
Adam Thielen1 day ago

Panthers Activate Adam Thielen From Injured Reserve
Isiah Pacheco1 day ago

Chiefs Designating Isiah Pacheco To Return From Injured Reserve
Chicago Bears1 day ago

Bears Fire Offensive Coordinator Shane Waldron
Dak Prescott1 day ago

To Have Season-Ending Surgery
Dustin Wolf1 day ago

Cools Off Kings Monday
Mason Marchment1 day ago

Erupts For Five Points Versus Pittsburgh
Cole Caufield1 day ago

Takes Over Goal-Scoring Lead
Nick Suzuki1 day ago

Ends Dry Spell With Four-Point Effort
Jack Eichel1 day ago

Has Two Points In Losing Effort
Seth Jarvis1 day ago

Nursing An Upper-Body Injury
Anthony Mantha1 day ago

To Undergo Season-Ending Knee Surgery
Puka Nacua2 days ago

Targeted 14 Times Against Miami
Kyren Williams2 days ago

Fumbles, Fails To Find End Zone
Carolina Panthers2 days ago

Panthers Mum On Starting QB Heading Into Bye Week
Mattias Samuelsson2 days ago

Injured On Monday
Jasson Domínguez2 days ago

Yankees Expect Jasson Dominguez To Have A Big Role In 2025
Carlos Correa2 days ago

Progressing
Carlos Prates2 days ago

Gets Higlight-Reel Knockout Win At UFC Vegas 100
Neil Magny2 days ago

Gets Knocked Out At UFC Vegas 100
Cortavious Romious2 days ago

Drops Decision At UFC Vegas 100
Gaston Bolaños2 days ago

Gaston Bolanos Wins Back-To-Back Fights
Joey Logano2 days ago

Holds On At Phoenix To Win His Third Cup Series Championship
Los Angeles Dodgers2 days ago

Dodgers Considered Favorites For Roki Sasaki
Ryan Blaney2 days ago

Falls Short Of The 2024 Cup Series Title At Phoenix
Dusko Todorovic2 days ago

Gets TKO'd At UFC Vegas 100
Wander Franco2 days ago

Arrested On Monday After Altercation
Tyler Reddick2 days ago

Lacks Speed Of Other Championship 4 Contenders But Drives Well
William Byron2 days ago

Finishes Third In Phoenix Race And Championship
Miami Marlins3 days ago

Marlins Hire Clayton McCullough As New Skipper
Mansur Abdul-Malik3 days ago

Gets First-Round Finish At UFC Vegas 100
Luana Pinheiro3 days ago

Falls Short At UFC Vegas 100
Gillian Robertson3 days ago

Extends Win Streak At UFC Vegas 100
Gerald Meerschaert3 days ago

Gets Finished At UFC Vegas 100
MMA3 days ago

Reinier de Ridder Gets Submission Win In UFC Debut
3 days ago

Rays Have Interest In Juan Soto
NASCAR3 days ago

Bubba Wallace Is A Top DFS Recommendation With Upside For Phoenix
Tyler Reddick3 days ago

Is Expected To Compete For The Title At Phoenix
Joey Logano3 days ago

Is One Of The Favorites To Win At Phoenix
Kyle Larson3 days ago

Could Be A Favorable DFS Option For Phoenix Lineups
Corey Lajoie3 days ago

Corey LaJoie Will Start 20th At Phoenix
Brad Keselowski3 days ago

Is A Solid Recommendation For Phoenix DFS Lineups
Erik Jones3 days ago

Will Start 19th At Phoenix This Week
Carson Hocevar3 days ago

Will Compete For A Top-10 Finish At Phoenix
Ty Gibbs3 days ago

Should DFS Players Fade Ty Gibbs At Phoenix?
Chase Elliott3 days ago

Is Chase Elliott A Solid DFS Pick For Phoenix Lineups?
Ryan Blaney3 days ago

The Championship Favorite Despite Qualifying Blunder
William Byron3 days ago

Will Be Strong In Fight For Championship
Austin Cindric3 days ago

Is Austin Cindric Worth Rostering For Phoenix DFS Lineups?
Ross Chastain3 days ago

Is Great At Phoenix
Christopher Bell3 days ago

Looking To Go Back-To-Back At Phoenix After Championship Snub
Chase Briscoe3 days ago

Can Be Worth Rostering In Tournaments At Phoenix
Denny Hamlin3 days ago

Could Contend At Phoenix
4 days ago

Nick Martinez Expected To Accept Qualifying Offer
MLB4 days ago

Roki Sasaki Will Be Posted, Opens Door For 2025 MLB Debut
Nolan Arenado5 days ago

Could Be On The Trade Block
Zach Neto5 days ago

Undergoes Shoulder Surgery, Could Miss Start Of 2025
Mason Miller5 days ago

To Stay In The Bullpen
Shohei Ohtani5 days ago

Shoulder Surgery Could Delay His Pitching
New York Yankees5 days ago

Yankees Exercise Aaron Boone's Option
Carlos Prates5 days ago

Looks For His Fourth Win In A Row
Neil Magny5 days ago

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
MMA5 days ago

Benardo Sopaj Looks For His First UFC Win
Ricky Turcios5 days ago

Returns At UFC Vegas 100
Dusko Todorovic5 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 100
Mansur Abdul-Malik6 days ago

A Big Favorite At UFC Vegas 100
Luana Pinheiro6 days ago

Could Be Fighting For Job At UFC Vegas 100
Gillian Robertson6 days ago

Looks To Extend Win Streak At UFC Vegas 100
Reinier De ridder6 days ago

Reinier de Ridder Makes UFC Debut At UFC Vegas 100
Gerald Meerschaert6 days ago

An Underdog At UFC Vegas 100
6 days ago

Jeff Hoffman Could Enter Starting Rotation In 2025
6 days ago

Willy Adames Receives Offers From Mets And Dodgers
T.J. McFarland6 days ago

Re-Signs With The A's

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP