X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

This Unpopular Tactic in FFPC Best Ball Drafts Can Spike Win Rates

darren waller fantasy football rankings news NFL DFS lineup picks

Zachary Krueger takes aim at FFPC best ball draft strategy with a seldom-deployed tactic that can boost your win rates by exploiting tight end premium scoring.

One of the best things about drafting in FFPC leagues is the tight end premium. For those unfamiliar, TE-premium scoring gives 1.5 PPR to TEs compared to the 1.0 PPR every other player on the roster receives per reception. While it may seem like a subtle edge, it's one that can work wonders when exploited properly.

If we take a quick look back at the 2020 season, we can see that in PPR scoring, only two TEs place in the top-50 among all running backs, wide receivers, and tight ends. In TE premium scoring, six tight ends made up the top-50, with Travis Kelce moving from fifth in PPR scoring to second in FFPC scoring. Darren Waller ranked 11th among all RB/WR/TEs in PPR, but seventh in FFPC leagues.

With tight ends bringing serious value to FFPC leagues, I wanted to take a look at an underused draft strategy in best-ball leagues that could give a significant boost to your win rates in 2021.

Be sure to check all of our fantasy football rankings for 2025:

 

A Premium Price for Premium Scoring

If you haven't participated in an FFPC classic best ball draft before, it's a 28-round draft that requires the following positions to be filled each week:

  • 1 Quarterback
  • 2 Running Backs
  • 2 Wide Receivers
  • 1 TE
  • 2 FLEX (WR/RB/TE)
  • 1 DEF
  • 1K

For this article, I'll be using the FFPC Roster Construction Explorer tool over at RotoViz.com. Since the beginning of the draft season, I've made the RCE a staple in all my builds, as it provides win rates dating back to 2017 for teams based on how they were constructed. It's a powerful tool that I highly recommend you check out.

When looking at the roster construction explorer, we see the following win rates when starting our first two rounds with the following builds:

Of the builds mentioned above, a TE-RB start yields the highest win rate at 14.1%. While going TE-RB is a more than adequate start to a draft, the start is rather conventional. In the past, it has also suggested that to accomplish the said strategy, you either have to draft Kelce - which is easier said than done, or reach on another TE to make it work. Since 2017, only three TEs have carried a first-round ADP in FFPC best ball leagues - Rob Gronkowski in 2017 and Kelce in 2019 and 2020.

One strategy that is seldom employed in these leagues, but is more effective than most, is a TE-TE start.

Historically speaking, a four-TE build has provided the highest win rate at 8.9%. The second-highest win rate of 8.4% comes with a five TE build but requires some sacrifice at other key positions.

When we plug the TE-TE start into the RotoViz RCE, we see the following results:

Screenshot taken from RotoViz FFPC Roster Construction Explorer

Overall, a TE-TE start gives us a 10.1% win rate, which is tied for the third-highest win rate among the other builds listed above. If we deploy an optimal four-TE build, that win rate jumps to 11.7%.

 

Tackling Your Draft in 2021

Opting to go for a TE-TE start in 2021 has looked more viable than ever early on. As I mentioned earlier, over the last four seasons, we have seen only three TEs carry a first-round ADP heading into the season.

Through almost three months of drafting this year, we are seeing a much different development. When looking at player ADPs over the last two weeks, we see that three tight ends are going in the first round, with Kelce going as the TE1 at 3.1 overall.

Screenshot taken from RotoViz FFPC Exposure and ADP tool

When forced to pick near the back third of a draft, it's easy to see how a TE-TE start becomes a real option. While it's unlikely this start will involve Kelce and another elite tight end, starting a draft with George Kittle and Darren Waller is far from a bad build.

While Kittle missed six games last season with a foot fracture and another two with an MCL sprain, he had a 10.1% win rate at the end of Week 8 while averaging 18.6 PPR/game in TE premium leagues. Kittle played eight games in 2020 and finished the season with a receiving line of 48/634/2.

In regards to Waller, his 18.7% win rate from last season ranked second among all tight ends. He finished the season with 21.0 PPR/game in FFPC leagues and a receiving line of 107/1,195/9. From a PPR/game standpoint, Waller averaged 21.0 PPR/game, good for ninth-most among all position players. Kittle wasn't far behind, with an 18.6 PPR/game in FFPC leagues, good for the 12th highest scoring player in the format.

If you aren't a fan of the running backs falling in the latter portion of Round 1 or are confident in your abilities to win at wide receiver later in the draft, pivoting to a TE-TE build to start your draft could prove to be a viable option.



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Fantasy Football Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Logan Gilbert

Leaves Friday's Start With Forearm Tightness

Vikings Select Tai Felton To Finish Day 2

Seahawks Select Quarterback Jalen Milroe With The 92nd Pick Overall

Browns Select Dillon Gabriel 94th Overall

Packers Pick Savion Williams At No. 87 overall

Steelers Snag Kaleb Johnson In Round 3

Broncos Select Wide Receiver Pat Bryant With The 74th Overall Pick

Texans Select Jaylin Noel With 79th Pick

Lions Select Wide Receiver Isaac TeSlaa With The 70th Overall Pick
Jack Leiter

To Start On Sunday

Patriots Add Wide Receiver Kyle Williams In Round 3

Browns Draft Harold Fannin Jr. With 67th Pick
Garrett Mitchell

Makes Early Exit
Luke Keaschall

Removed Early On Friday
Blake Snell

Likely Avoids Major Injury
Cole Ragans

Dealing With Mild Groin Strain

Broncos Add RJ Harvey To Backfield With 60th Pick

Raiders Select Jack Bech With 58th Pick

Chargers Add Wide Receiver Tre Harris In Round 2
Detroit Lions

Lions Acquire 57th Pick From Broncos

Seahawks Draft Elijah Arroyo 50th Overall
Carolina Panthers

Panthers Acquire 51st Pick From Broncos
Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals Snag Will Johnson At No. 47

Jets Add A Pass-Catcher With Mason Taylor At No. 42

Rams Select Terrance Ferguson With 46th Pick
Houston Texans

Texans Acquire 48th Pick From Raiders, Draft Aireontae Ersery

Saints Snag Tyler Shough At No. 40
Brenton Doyle

Out For Personal Reasons On Friday
Brandin Podziemski

Not On Injury Report For Game 3
Jimmy Butler III

Warriors Optimistic About Jimmy Butler III Playing Saturday
Jae'Sean Tate

To Remain Out Saturday
Jock Landale

Unavailable For Game 3
Terry Rozier

Out On Saturday
Jrue Holiday

Ruled Out For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Orlando
Kevin Love

To Miss Saturday's Game
Jaylen Brown

Available For Friday Night's Game 3 Against Magic
Gary Payton II

Iffy For Saturday's Action
Jayson Tatum

Officially Available On Friday For Game 3 Against Magic
Will Smith

Back From Injury On Friday
Luke Kennard

Questionable For Game 4 On Saturday
Darius Garland

Listed As Questionable For Game 3
Ja Morant

To Miss Game 4 On Saturday
Rui Hachimura

Available For Game 3 In Minnesota
Aaron Ekblad

Available To Return Saturday
Erik Swanson

Ryan Burr Progressing
Daulton Varsho

To Return On Tuesday At The Latest
Max Scherzer

Takes Positive Step On Friday
Aleksander Barkov

Questionable For Saturday
Gabriel Landeskog

Set For Larger Role In Game 4
Calvin Pickard

To Start Game 3 For Oilers
Randy Arozarena

Resting For First Time This Year
Jonas Siegenthaler

To Play Limited Minutes In Game 3
MLB

Red Sox-Guardians Game Postponed On Friday
Luke Hughes

Remains Out On Friday
MLB

Tigers-Orioles Postponed On Friday
Patrik Laine

A Game-Time Decision Friday
Yainer Diaz

Out On Friday Against Royals
Iván Herrera

Ivan Herrera Hopes To Start Rehab Assignment Next Week
Salvador Perez

Sitting Out For First Time This Season
Jaylen Brown

Questionable For Game 3 On Friday
Brendan Donovan

Back In Action On Friday
Jimmy Butler III

Could Miss Game 3 On Saturday
Coby Mayo

Getting On A Roll At Triple-A
Moises Ballesteros

Riding An 11-Game Hit Streak
Victor Mesa Jr.

Starting Rehab Assignment On Saturday
Carlos Prates

Looks To Remain Undefeated In The UFC
Ian Machado Garry

Set For UFC Kansas City Main Event
Cade Cunningham

Collects Double-Double In Loss
Jalen Brunson

Drops 30 Points In Game 3
Karl-Anthony Towns

Leads All Scorers In Game 3 Victory
Zhang Mingyang

Scheduled For Co-Main Event
Anthony Smith

Set For His Final UFC Bout
David Onama

Set For Featherweight Bout
Giga Chikadze

Looks To Bounce Back
Abus Magomedov

Looks For His Third Consecutive Win
Michel Pereira

Returns To Action At UFC Kansas City
Nicolas Dalby

An Underdog At UFC Kansas City
Randy Brown

A Favorite At UFC Kansas City
Andre Muniz

Set To Open Up UFC Kansas City Main Card
Ikram Aliskerov

Looks To Get Back In The Win Column
Sergei Bobrovsky

Shuts Out Lightning In Game 2
Cam Fowler

Finishes Thursday's Win With Five Points
Robert Thomas

Posts Four Assists In Game 3 Win
Pavel Buchnevich

Celebrates Hat Trick During Four-Point Performance
Dylan DeMelo

Battling An Illness
Marcus Johansson

Exits Early Thursday
Aleksander Barkov

Hurt In Game 2
Jrue Holiday

Tagged As Questionable For Friday
Jayson Tatum

Likely Out Again On Friday
Anthony Cirelli

Good To Go Thursday
Andrei Vasilevskiy

Looks To Bounce Back In Game 2
Rasmus Ristolainen

To Miss Training Camp
Jonas Siegenthaler

Returns To Practice
Aliaksei Protas

Traveling With Capitals
Gabriel Vilardi

Still Out On Thursday
Max Pacioretty

Set To Join Maple Leafs Lineup For Game 3
Cam Davis

Looking For Better Fortunes At TPC Louisiana
Adam Svensson

Making Third Apperence At Zurich Classic
Max Greyserman

Aiming For Similar Success At TPC Louisiana
Lee Hodges

A High-Upside Player In New Orleans
PGA

Nico Echavarria Looks To Ride Off Of Elite Putting In New Orleans
Gary Woodland

A Player Worth Watching In New Orleans
Max McGreevy

Returns To The Zurich Classic Of New Orleans
Rasmus Hojgaard

In Search Of Consistency Ahead Of Zurich Classic
Sam Stevens

A Boom-Or-Bust Candidate In New Orleans
Nicolai Hojgaard

Looking To Turn Season Around At Zurich Classic
Christiaan Bezuidenhout

Looks To Sway A Hot Putter In Teams Favor At Zurich Classic
Akshay Bhatia

Looking To Bounce Back At TPC Louisiana
Carson Young

Looks To Turn Things Around At TPC Louisiana
Erik Van Rooyen

Looking For Momentum In Louisiana
Andrew Novak

Making Start At TPC Louisiana After Near Miss At Harbour Town
Ben Griffin

Making Third Career Start At Zurich Classic
Taylor Moore

Competing With A New Teammate In New Orleans
Wyndham Clark

Making Return To New Orleans
Kurt Kitayama

Teeing It Up Again In New Orleans
Collin Morikawa

Back At Zurich Classic For Fifth Time
Thomas Detry

Making Third Appearance At New Orleans Team Event
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF