X
Lost password?

Don't have an account?
Gain Access Now

X

Receive free daily analysis

NFL
NBA
NHL
NASCAR
CFB
MLB
MMA
PGA
ESPORTS
BETTING

Already have an account? Log In

X

Forgot Password


POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

Thunder Dan's NFL Prop Bets for Super Bowl LVIII: Expert Player Props Picks

Travis Kelce - Fantasy Football Tight Ends You Must Have in 2024

Dan Palyo's top NFL betting picks and best bets for Super Bowl LVIII. His favorite NFL betting picks for NFL player props bets for the Super Bowl.

The Super Bowl is rapidly approaching and there's simply no sports event that invites more gambling than this one. While I will have bets on the outcome of the game, most of my action will be on player props and there's certainly no shortage of props and bets available for this highly anticipated rematch of Super Bowl XIV.

I am using primarily FanDuel and DraftKings here for my odds strictly for convenience. I have my props sorted into three categories for you - passing/rushing/receiving totals, anytime touchdown scorers, and receptions.

In this article, I'll provide my favorite NFL betting picks for the Super Bowl on Sunday, February 11th. The odds on these bets vary from book to book and constantly change. I primarily use FanDuel and DraftKings sportsbooks, but I strongly encourage you to shop for the best odds at whatever books you use daily. I would also advise checking back later in the week as I may add bets depending on odds changing or specific props becoming available after I first post.

Featured Promo: Get any Props Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with our two new Props Optimizer tools -- one for PrizePicks Props, and one for Sportsbook Betting Props. Find optimal prop bets and get our recommended picks daily! Go Premium, Win More!

 

NFL Betting Picks: Player Props for Super Bowl LVIII

Patrick Mahomes OVER 25.5 rushing yards (-125 DK)

Patty has gone under this number in the last two playoff games, but the Chiefs have been playing from in front during the playoffs and have not been forced into many two-minute drills or hurry-up offense situations. I have a feeling that KC might end up in those situations here in this game and Mahomes is one of the absolute best scramblers in terms of running when he has to and getting just enough for a first down. He doesn't have blazing speed, but a few long scrambles and he goes over this number - something he did in 10 games this season.

Isiah Pacheco OVER 16.5 rushing attempts (-115 DK)

The Chiefs are committed to the run game unlike in previous seasons when they were content to let Mahomes throw 40-50 times per game. Pacheco has little to no competition for carries with McKinnon out injured and Clyde Edwards-Helaire being used as only a third-down back.

He's gone for 17+ carries in three of his last four games and the Niners defense has looked soft on the interior as both Aaron Jones and David Montgomery found success in the run game this postseason.

Justin Watson longest reception OVER 12.5 yards (-115)

Watson is averaging 16.5 yards per reception this season and has been operating along with MVS as KC's downfield threat. Mahomes is going to take some shots down the field against this secondary and I expect Watson to be targeted at least a few times as the Niners key in on Rice and Kelce.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire OVER 5.5 receiving yards (-110 DK)

CEH has yet to hit this number in the playoffs with 5, -1, and 3 yards receiving in the Chiefs postseason games. However, the opportunity has been there as he's run 10, 6, 10 routes, respectively, in those contests.

The Niners are going to play two high safeties and force Mahomes to check down. CEH likely gets a few targets in this game and he just needs one catch and run to get over such a low number.

Brock Purdy OVER 0.5 interceptions (-135 DK)

I am not a Brock Purdy "hater" per se, but I do think he could run out of magic at some point in this playoff run. He does everything well within this offense when things are going right, but if he's playing from behind and being asked to make more difficult throws, he is prone to making mistakes - as any young QB is. This KC secondary is legit and Coach Spagnolo has been in his bag all postseason. I think Purdy makes at least one errant throw and gets picked off.

 

Sports Betting Promo Offers

Featured Promo: Get any Betting Premium Pass for 30% off using code NEW. Win more with exclusive betting picks from proven winners across 9 sports! Find optimal bets with our Betting Picks Tool and Bet Weighting Tool and follow along in our VIP chat rooms! Go Premium, Win More!

 

Anytime Touchdown Scorers

Travis Kelce (+100 FD)

The Big Yeti has three touchdowns in the Chiefs' last two games and is having a fantastic postseason. His rather mundane regular season is a thing of the past and he should be heavily involved in the game plan for KC in this game, especially in the red zone.

Andy Reid is known for having a lot of creative plays down around the goal line and we've seen Kelce score on everything from designed runs to shovel passes, to just traditional TE routes.

Deebo Samuel (+140 FD)

Betting on a McCaffrey TD simply isn't very profitable as his odds are always juiced up, so I would much rather target Deebo here, who usually gets a few carries down in the red zone, too. He also has been an incredible YAC guy who can catch a short crossing route and take it 20+ yards for a score. I really think he's going to be a part of the Niners' offensive attack in this game.

George Kittle (+180 FD)

Kittle had only 7 TDs in the regular season but has one in two postseason games. He's a huge target working the middle of the field for Brock Purdy and one of the guys who's likely to have a mismatch in the KC secondary. You have to like these odds as we are getting a lot more juice for our squeeze here.

 

Receptions

A lot of juice on some of these overs, but these reception props make for nice parlay pieces in your SGPs (Same Game Parlays), too.

Travis Kelce OVER 6.5 (-166 DK)

George Kittle OVER 3.5 (-150)

Deebo Samuel OVER 4.5 (-130)

Isiah Pacecho OVER 2.5 (-166)

Kyle Juszczyk OVER 0.5 (-145)

 

I hope you find my picks helpful and profitable! Thanks for checking out my picks and content here at RotoBaller!



Download Our Free News & Alerts Mobile App

Like what you see? Download our updated fantasy football app for iPhone and Android with 24x7 player news, injury alerts, rankings, starts/sits & more. All free!

More Fantasy Football Analysis




POPULAR FANTASY TOOLS

Expert Advice
Articles & Tools
Import Your Leagues
Draft Rankings
Draft Simulator
Enter League Settings
Value Picks
Compare Any Players
News and Alerts

REAL-TIME FANTASY NEWS

Chandler Simpson4 mins ago

Extends Hitting Streak To Four Games
Jacob Melton18 mins ago

Quiet Since Returning From Injured List
Lazaro Montes32 mins ago

Hits Home Run No. 5
Joel Díaz41 mins ago

Joel Diaz Continues Strong Start To High-A Season
Ryan Clifford46 mins ago

Goes Deep On Wednesday
Jaison Chourio53 mins ago

Hits First Home Run Of High-A Regular Season
Carlos Rodón6 hours ago

Carlos Rodon Strong Again In Win Over Cleveland
Luke Keaschall6 hours ago

Shows Off Speed With Two Swipes
J.P. Crawford6 hours ago

Finally Hits First Home Run Of The Season
Teoscar Hernández6 hours ago

Teoscar Hernandez Busts Out Of Slump Wednesday
Andrew Heaney6 hours ago

Tosses Six Shutout Innings
Triston Casas7 hours ago

Launches Three-Run Homer
Jordan Lawlar7 hours ago

Records Another Multi-Hit Performance
Pete Crow-Armstrong7 hours ago

Homers, Steals Two Bases
Yanquiel Fernandez7 hours ago

With Another Multi-Homer Game
Reese Olson7 hours ago

Strikes Out Seven In Win
Jake Mangum7 hours ago

Exits Game With Groin Tightness
Ryan Pressly7 hours ago

Dealing With Knee Issues
George Kittle7 hours ago

Wants To Be Highest-Paid Tight End
Jac Caglianone7 hours ago

Stays Hot On Wednesday
Tyler Lockett8 hours ago

Joining The Titans
Allan Winans8 hours ago

Strikes Out 10 On Wednesday At Triple-A
8 hours ago

Will Shedeur Sanders' Game Translate To The NFL?
Las Vegas Raiders8 hours ago

Raiders Could Go With Offensive Lineman At No. 6 Overall
NFL8 hours ago

Jaguars, Raiders Looking To Trade Up In First Round
Marcelo Mayer8 hours ago

With Two More Multi-Hit Performances Wednesday
New Orleans Saints8 hours ago

Saints Won't Pick Up Fifth-Year Option On Trevor Penning
Nick Chubb8 hours ago

Not Interested In Retirement
George Pickens8 hours ago

Drawing Trade Interest
Rashee Rice9 hours ago

Taking Part In Offseason Program
9 hours ago

Concerns About Tetairoa McMillan's Lack Of Effort
Jahan Dotson9 hours ago

Eagles Decline Fifth-Year Option On Jahan Dotson
Brandin Podziemski11 hours ago

Upgraded To Available
Cam Davis11 hours ago

Looking For Better Fortunes At TPC Louisiana
Michael Porter Jr.11 hours ago

Listed As Questionable For Game 3
Minnesota Vikings11 hours ago

Vikings Waive NaJee Thompson, Trevor Reid
Adam Svensson12 hours ago

Making Third Apperence At Zurich Classic
Jake Fromm12 hours ago

Lions Release Jake Fromm
Seattle Seahawks12 hours ago

Cameron Young Let Go By Seattle
Detroit Lions12 hours ago

Detroit Makes Kerby Joseph The Highest-Paid Safety In League History
Davion Mitchell12 hours ago

Moves Into Starting Lineup Wednesday
Brandin Podziemski13 hours ago

Picks Up Questionable Tag
Al Horford13 hours ago

Starts Game 2
Michael Porter Jr.13 hours ago

Practices On Wednesday
Jayson Tatum13 hours ago

Out On Wednesday
Isaiah Stewart13 hours ago

May Miss Another Game Thursday
NYI13 hours ago

Cal Clutterbuck Announces Retirement
Pavel Zacha14 hours ago

Recovering From Small Procedure
Nikolaj Ehlers14 hours ago

To Miss At Least Two More Games
Miro Heiskanen14 hours ago

Still Out On Wednesday
John Klingberg14 hours ago

Enters Oilers Lineup For Game 2
Evander Kane14 hours ago

To Make Season Debut Wednesday Night
Gabriel Landeskog14 hours ago

Likely To Play In Game 3
Denver Broncos16 hours ago

Broncos Not Expected To Trade Up In Round 1
Houston Texans16 hours ago

Texans Trying To Move Up In Round 1 Of NFL Draft
Atlanta Falcons16 hours ago

James Pearce Jr., Mike Green Potential Top Targets For Falcons
Dallas Cowboys16 hours ago

Cowboys Could Add Wide Receiver Help With No. 12 Pick
New Orleans Saints16 hours ago

Saints Likely To Address Defense With No. 9 Pick?
16 hours ago

Rams Eyeing Trade Up For Tyler Warren, Colston Loveland?
Jaren Jackson Jr.22 hours ago

Posts Team-High 26 Points In Tuesday's Loss
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander22 hours ago

Notches 27 Points Despite Poor Shooting
Max Greyserman22 hours ago

Aiming For Similar Success At TPC Louisiana
Pascal Siakam22 hours ago

Scores Team-High 24 Points In Game 2 Win
Giannis Antetokounmpo22 hours ago

Posts Big Double-Double In Game 2 Loss
Lee Hodges22 hours ago

A High-Upside Player In New Orleans
PGA22 hours ago

Nico Echavarria Looks To Ride Off Of Elite Putting In New Orleans
Julius Randle22 hours ago

Leads Timberwolves In Scoring In Game 2
Gary Woodland22 hours ago

A Player Worth Watching In New Orleans
Luka Dončić22 hours ago

Luka Doncic Nets 31 Points In Lakers Win
Max McGreevy22 hours ago

Returns To The Zurich Classic Of New Orleans
Rasmus Hojgaard22 hours ago

In Search Of Consistency Ahead Of Zurich Classic
Jock Landale22 hours ago

Unavailable For Game 2
Sam Stevens22 hours ago

A Boom-Or-Bust Candidate In New Orleans
Jae'Sean Tate22 hours ago

Remains Out Wednesday
Nicolai Hojgaard22 hours ago

Looking To Turn Season Around At Zurich Classic
John Tavares23 hours ago

Collects Two Points In Overtime Win
Christiaan Bezuidenhout23 hours ago

Looks To Sway A Hot Putter In Teams Favor At Zurich Classic
Frederik Andersen23 hours ago

Posts 40th Postseason Win
Akshay Bhatia23 hours ago

Looking To Bounce Back At TPC Louisiana
Carson Young23 hours ago

Looks To Turn Things Around At TPC Louisiana
Kirill Kaprizov23 hours ago

Leads Wild To Valuable Road Win
Matthew Tkachuk23 hours ago

Returns With Three-Point Performance
Erik Van Rooyen23 hours ago

Looking For Momentum In Louisiana
Anthony Cirelli23 hours ago

Suffers Undisclosed Injury Tuesday
Gabriel Vilardi23 hours ago

May Return To Jets Lineup Thursday
John Klingberg23 hours ago

Ready To Return To Action
Evander Kane23 hours ago

Could Be An Option For Game 2
Andrew Novak1 day ago

Making Start At TPC Louisiana After Near Miss At Harbour Town
Ben Griffin1 day ago

Making Third Career Start At Zurich Classic
Taylor Moore1 day ago

Competing With A New Teammate In New Orleans
Wyndham Clark1 day ago

Making Return To New Orleans
Kurt Kitayama1 day ago

Teeing It Up Again In New Orleans
Collin Morikawa1 day ago

Back At Zurich Classic For Fifth Time
Thomas Detry2 days ago

Making Third Appearance At New Orleans Team Event
Terry Rozier2 days ago

Ruled Out For Wednesday
Damian Lillard2 days ago

Will Have His Minutes Monitored Tuesday
Jayson Tatum2 days ago

Listed As Doubtful For Game 2
Derek Forbort2 days ago

Recovering From Surgery
Martin Fehérváry2 days ago

Martin Fehervary To Miss Postseason Following Knee Surgery
Luke Glendening2 days ago

Available For Start Of Playoffs
Mitchell Chaffee2 days ago

Available Tuesday
Cody Glass2 days ago

Good To Go Tuesday
Brenden Dillon2 days ago

Won't Play In Game 2
Damian Lillard2 days ago

Cleared To Play Tuesday
Nikola Jokić2 days ago

Nikola Jokic Posts 19th Postseason Triple-Double
RANKINGS
C
1B
2B
3B
SS
OF
SP
RP

RANKINGS

QB
RB
WR
TE
K
DEF