Thunder Dan's NFL Betting Picks for Week Two: Spreads, Totals, Parlays, and Teasers

Dan Palyo's top NFL betting picks and best bets for Week 2 of the 2022 season. His favorite NFL betting picks for player spreads, money lines, parlays, teasers, and game totals.

Football season is back! Whether you like to bet game totals, sides, or player props, I have something in here for you, and try to cover a little bit of everything!

This year, I started my own free sports betting newsletter, and the good people here at RotoBaller are allowing me to share my picks and data with you here in this space! You can access the free substack here and sign up for daily emails in addition to viewing the picks daily here on the RotoBaller website.

In this article, I'll be providing my favorite NFL betting picks for week two of the 2022 NFL season. The odds on these bets vary from book to book and are constantly changing. I primarily use FanDuel and DraftKings sportsbooks, but I would strongly encourage you to shop for the best odds at whatever books you use daily. I would also advise checking back later in the week as I may add bets depending on odds changing or specific props becoming available after I first post.

Thunder Dan's Best Bets: 2022 NFL Season

• Against the Spread: 2-2
• O/U: 1-2
• Overall: 3-4

NFL Betting Picks: Spreads

MIA (+3.5) vs. BAL (-110 DK)

The Dolphins looked good in week one and I think there’s a chance they are a better team than Baltimore this year. The Ravens won pretty handily in the second half but didn’t do much offensively other than one big passing play to Batemen. I think this Baltimore offense could struggle to score this year, and their defense will be tested here as Miami has some really nice weapons in the passing game. I’ll take the points on the road, but I think a small bet on the money line here is also warranted.

IND (-3.5) vs. JAX (-110 DK)

This line moved towards the Jags a half point, and I’m wondering why. Jacksonville was at least competitive in their opener but still lost to a Washington team that no one expects to be very good. The Colts scuffled to a tie against Houston in a game they were favored to win by a touchdown, but I doubt we see that happen again and it’s quite possible that Houston ends up being significantly better overall than Jacksonville. The Colts bounce back in a big way this week and cover this one easily.

SEA (+8.5) @ SF (-110 DK)

Seattle is the first of my three big road underdogs. Seattle probably shouldn’t have won last week, but they did. And their offense looked decent in the process. The Niners lost on the road in a bad weather game, and plenty of people are using that and the injury to Eli Mitchell to defend them. But I have had my doubts about Trey Lance going into this season, and I still have plenty of skepticism after week 1. I’m not Seattle can eke out a win here, but I think they keep it within a TD, this is simply too much cushion.

HOU (+10) @ DEN (-110 DK)

Another massive spread! When I see a double-digit spread, I think this has to be a major mismatch or I’m leaning towards the underdog. The talent gap in the NFL is much thinner than people realize, and we see upsets happen every week for a reason. Houston hung with Indy and forced a tie, while Denver blew it against Seattle last week. Of course, the Broncos are the better team, but they clearly still need time to gel on offense with Russ and his weapons and their defense allowed Seattle to move the ball for most of the game. Give me the Texans and the points!

CHI (+10) @ GB (-110 DK)

HOW ARE THE PACKERS FAVORED BY THIS MUCH? Again, a team that lost ugly last week is installed as big favorites. I watched the entire game with Minnesota and Green Bay looked BAD. They’re going to turn it around this quickly and suddenly dominate a division rival who should be pumped up after winning in Week one? Nah, the Bears will hang here and if the Packers do win, I don’t see them covering such a big spread. Once again, let’s take the dogs and gimme all those points!

NFL Betting Picks: Totals

KC-LAC over 54

Tonight’s game shoots out, I really believe that. These teams have a history of high-scoring affairs and averaged 58 combined points in two meetings last season. These offenses are pretty much intact from last year, other than Tyreek Hill missing from KC (who scored 44 without him last week), and the Chargers are without Keenan Allen due to injury.

This total jumped a few points right away and then settled in at 54. I was surprised it didn’t keep moving, so I imagine a decent chunk of money came in on the under. But I’m trusting my model (projects for 59 points) and my gut on this one.

Sports Betting Promo Offers

NFL Betting Picks: Teasers and Parlays

So let’s establish something here. I am going to post some money line parlays each week and at least one teaser. These bets carry more risk than straight bets, even if they seem like slam dunks! I try not to get too carried away and limit them to 3-4 games at the most. Play along if you like, or build your own. Most of these bets are half-units if you are wondering how to scale them to your other bets.

ML PARLAY: CIN/LAR/CLE/IND = (+230 DK)

The Browns should win at home against the Jets and both the Rams and Bengals are heavy faves in their game. Adding Indy’s ML to this one jumps the odds from +116 to +230, but I think it’s worth the risk.

6.5-point TEASER: MIA/SEA/HOU/CIN/CHI/CLE = (+500 DK)

We have our three big underdogs with even BIGGER cushions here, plus Miami boosed to +10. Then by going to 6.5 points we get CLE and CIN as basically money line bets. This is a big one, but it feels like a good one!

I hope you find my data and picks helpful and profitable! Thanks for checking out my picks and content here at RotoBaller!

More Fantasy Baseball Analysis

Featured Sportsbook Promo Offers

All new sign-ups get a free year of RotoBaller's Premium Pass for all sports ($450 value)! Check out all of the sportsbooks and their bonus offers: