Thunder Dan's NFL Betting Picks for Week 9: Player Props Bets

It's Week 9 of the NFL season and time to get those wagers in! I provide free betting picks for sides and totals every Thursday and then my free player prop picks right here at RotoBaller on Saturday!

This year, I started my own free sports betting newsletter, and the good people here at RotoBaller are allowing me to share my picks and data with you here in this space! You can access the free substack here and sign up for daily emails in addition to viewing the picks daily here on the RotoBaller website.

In this article, I'll be providing my favorite NFL betting picks for week 8 of the 2022 NFL season. The odds on these bets vary from book to book and are constantly changing. I primarily use FanDuel and DraftKings sportsbooks, but I would strongly encourage you to shop for the best odds at whatever books you use daily. I would also advise checking back later in the week as I may add bets depending on odds changing or specific props becoming available after I first post.

Thunder Dan's Best Bets: 2022 NFL Season

• Last Week's Props: 7-4
• Season-to-Date Props: 34-36

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NFL Betting Picks: Player Props for Week 8

PASSING/RUSHING/RECEIVING YARDS

Justin Fields OVER 49.5 rushing yards (-130 DK)

The Chicago offense is all of a sudden clicking and they have allowed Fields (even started to design him running plays) to run. With 88, 82, and 60 yards rushing the last three weeks he’s been a major part of their running game, even hitting double-digit carries twice.

Deon Jackson UNDER 55.5 rushing yards (-115 DK)

Jackson is going to be the feature back for the Colts, but will they actually be able to run the ball? Last week the Patriots held the Jets to just 51 yards on the ground and the lack of a passing game from Indianapolis means they can stack the box here against the Colts, too. Jackson is averaging just 3.3 YPC this season and is much better as a pass catcher, than a ball carrier. It feels weird to go under such a small number, but Jackson in his two spot starts this year has averaged 12.5 carries for just 52 yards.

D’Onta Foreman OVER 69.5 rushing yards (-120 DK)

I am going right back to this prop! Foreman carried it 26 times last week for over 100 yards and the Panthers are likely to feed him again this week. The Bengals' run defense is trending in the wrong direction, allowing a league-high 169 yards on the ground over the last three weeks.

Rhamondre Stevenson OVER 23.5 receiving yards (-120 DK)

His last two games have yielded 8-59 and 7-72 in the passing game for the now-lead back of the Patriots. Throwing to their backs is a big part of their offense and fits Stevenson’s skillset incredibly well. This number is really low considering the increase in snap share that he’s had as he’s taken control of this backfield.

Justin Herbert OVER 281.5 passing yards (-115 DK)

After a few down weeks in his yardage total, Herbert threw for 293 last week and now he gets the absolute best possible matchup for a QB against an Atlanta secondary that has allowed the most passing yards per game (307) and that has been gashed recently to the tune of an average of 354 yards per game over their last three. I mean, this secondary gave up big plays to…PJ Walker of all people! I know Herbert is down both his top receivers, but he will still be slinging it to his backs, tight ends, and backup wideouts aplenty in a game that could shoot out.

Justin Jefferson OVER 87.5 receiving yards (-115 DK)

If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it, right? Jefferson’s number went down a few yards this week, but he faces another depleted secondary and a potential “pass funnel” defense that will attempt to force Cousins to throw it to beat them. The Vikings have no problem airing it out and Jefferson can roast just about any corner in the league, let alone the mediocre defenders he will face Sunday.

Receptions

DeAndre Hopkins OVER 6.5 (-140 DK)

Gerald Everett OVER 4.5 (-135 DK)

Aaron Jones OVER 3.5 (-165 DK)

Evan Engram OVER 3.5 (-170)

Some really soft numbers here for this group and the odds are juiced as a result. These are great parlay props, or run them together as a round-robin!

I hope you find my picks helpful and profitable! Thanks for checking out my picks and content here at RotoBaller!

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